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Regional equity markets

by Executive Editors

Beirut SE  

Current year high: 1,180.99    Current year low: 935.56

>  Review period: Closed Feb 28 at 936.99 Points                Period Change: -5.3%

More turmoil in the region, no cabinet and a real surprise in the United States going after a (non-listed) Lebanese bank for money laundering in a manner reminiscent of a B-movie: February was a month of few positives for Lebanese stock market investors. However, the BSE’s year-to-date performance of minus 3.6% is not too depressing, given the circumstances. Of the three largest stocks, developer Solidere closed the month in the mid $18s, Bank Audi came in at $7.11 and BLOM Bank at $9.14.

Amman SE 

 Current year high: 2,648.36                Current year low: 2,223.30

> Review period: Closed Feb 28 at 2251.73 Points               Period Change: -5.1%

With Libya and Yemen attracting the caravans of revolution-watching media, Jordan in February was not in the front row of international speculations over its future. The Amman Stock Exchange did not have an easy month, however. In the February review period, all sector indices pushed lower in tandem with the ASE general index, which is down 6% for 2011 so far. According to local media, a handful of investors took their cue from the popular protest handbook and staged a sit-in demanding dismissal of the head of the Jordan Securities Commission.

Abu Dhabi Exchange  

Current year high: 2,931.67                Current year low: 2,471.70

> Review period: Closed Feb 28 at 2,588.90 Points              Period Change: 0.1%

The richer emirate in the UAE was the only market in the GCC that did not drop in February. When seen across sectors, performance on the ADX was mixed; telecommunications ended the review period 4.3% higher while banking weakened 2.9%. But the real estate index suffered badly, dropping 19.9% and construction fell 12.2%. RAK Properties, Aldar Properties and Sorouh Real Estate all suffered double-digit share price losses, as did three financial stocks and Abu Dhabi Ship Building Co. Market cap leader Etisalat gained 3.9% but showed no progress on buying Zain.  

Dubai FM  

Current year high: 1,880.62                Current year low: 1,470.70

> Review period: Closed Feb 28 at 1410.70 Points               Period Change: -8.1%

Even directly after the Dubai World debt trauma, the DFM index did not slump as low as it did at the end of February 2011. With rampant talk of contagions from regional crisis spots, all DFM sector indices tended negative, with transport dropping 12% and real estate 13.3%. Utilities was the worst underperforming sector on the DFM for the review period, down 19.6%. Banking was a brighter spot, weakening only 1.8%. Market volatility in February reached 26.7%. On the year, the DFM index had given up 13.5% by Feb 28 close.

Kuwait SE  

Current year high: 7,575.00                Current year low: 6,319.70

> Review period: Closed Feb 24 at 6,481.10 Points  Period Change: -5.5%

The KSE benchmark index turned totally south in February. The regular market’s sector indices dropped on all fronts, led down by the investment index (-7.9%) and the industrial index (-7.7%). Bahrain’s Arab Insurance Group, which is cross-listed on the KSE, was also here a top gainer, up 21.1%. Shares in Mena Holding, a real estate firm with subsidiaries and projects in Egypt, lost more than 53%. The trading month in Kuwait was truncated Feb 24 as the country celebrated its 50th Independence Day.

Saudi Arabia SE  

Current year high: 6,929.40                Current year low: 5,538.72

> Review period: Closed Feb 28 at 5,941.63 Points              Period Change: -6.5%

Until Feb 14, the SASE Index stood firm but then the TASI fell nearly 700 points to the end of the month. For the year to date, this translated into a fall of 10.3%, the second worst year-to-date Gulf market performance after Dubai. Telecommunications and banking indices showed the weakest sector performances, falling 9.9% and 9% respectively. King Abdullah’s return from hospitalization abroad and his announcement of economic measures toward the end of the month had no visible positive impact.

Muscat SM  

Current year high: 7,027.32                Current year low: 6,058.11

> Review period: Closed Feb 28 at 6,142.42 Points                  Period Change: -10.2%

The MSM fell victim to political unrest and showed the worst drop of all GCC markets in February, wiping out the modest gains from January. Notably, the bourse’s average daily turnover was slightly higher than last month but losing stocks vastly outnumbered gainers. Volatility was substantial, at 21.5%. Within the MSM’s shock-induced downturn the banking sector fared worst, closing the month 18.6% lower. While there were no surprise gainers, investors in poultry specialist A’Saffa Food showed the biggest scare as the scrip fell 28.5%.

Bahrain Bourse  

Current year high: 1,605.98                Current year low: 1,361.19

> Review period: Closed Feb 28 at 1,430.77 Points              Period Change: -1.2%

It is an irony that will not escape careful observers: while Bahrain is being viewed as the GCC member with the greatest exposure to political protests and internal dissonance in Feb 2011, the BB remains the GCC exchange to drop the least in the year to date, at -0.1%. Even in February, market losses remained modest. However, turnover for the month fell about two thirds from January. Arab Insurance Group was the period’s best gainer, up 17.1%. Inovest, a real estate investment firm, slipped 39.6%.

Qatar SE  

Current year high: 9,242.63                Current year low: 6,647.18

> Review period: Closed Feb 28 at 7932.84 Points               Period Change: -9.3%

Like Saudi Arabia, Qatar was not a scene of unrest in February but like the TASI, the QSE Index took a steep downturn in the middle of the month, save for a brief respite on Feb 24. Owing to a share-price surge in early February, Masraf Al Rayan closed the month 8.5% up but the month’s unsuspected best gainer was Qatar Oman Investment Company. The bilateral company, with stake holdings by the two governments, gained 9%. Barwa Real Estate and National Leasing Holding Co underperformed the market with respective losses of 20.8% and 25.6%.

Tunis SE  

Current year high: 5,681.39                Current year low: 4,058.53

> Review period: Closed Sept 23 at 4,058.53 Points                            Period Change: -10.86%

The price of real freedom is never too high and even if the benchmark Tunindex of the TSE closed February 28 down 22.2% since the start of 2011 and 29.6% down from its year high in October 2010, it is far too early to open a cost-benefit calculation on the changes Tunisians initiated in January. The TSE, which had been closed for half a month until Jan 31, could easily have tumbled worse in Feb and there seems to be no historic benchmark for an average post-revolutionary stock market performance.    

Casablanca SE  

Current year high: 13,397.47              Current year low: 10,938.64

> Review period: Closed Feb 28 at 12,805.81 Points                              Period Change: 1.72%

Isn’t Casablanca in revolutionary North Africa? Political prospects on the region notwithstanding, Morocco’s benchmark MASI ended the review period with an upswing that made February into a typical V-month for its investors. The index lost 500 points in the third week of the month and regained them in the fourth. No trouble on the real estate front, it seemed, where Groupe Addoha climbed 5.9%.

Egypt SE  

Current year high: 7,603.04                Current year low: 5,647.00

> Review period: Closed at 5,467.00 Points (Jan 27)                        Period Change: N/A

The only events of record in the EGX during the month of February were postponements; there were several announcements that the bourse would reopen shortly, only to be rescinded before their implementation. The market, which recorded its last session close to date on January 27, has been shuttered for more than 20 regular sessions. The central bank kept pressure on the Egyptian Pound in check throughout Feb and banks returned to serving customers, but with increased controls on transfers.

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