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Data deficiency syndrome

by Matt Nash

Incomplete as they are, the numbers look bad for Lebanon’s real estate sector in 2015. Construction permits are down. The number of transactions is down. Cement deliveries are down. Full-year stats were not available at time of writing, but year-on-year comparisons of the most recent data point to a deepening slump after a boom phase that ended in 2010. That said, developers continue to insist that large, unsold apartments in Beirut do not accurately reflect the state of activity in the market as a whole. With help in the form of subsidized loans made possible through central bank stimulus packages since 2013, young Lebanese couples are still buying, and population growth guarantees local demand for both residential and commercial properties, developers say. How bad? Tough to say Available data on the sector, however, prohibits in-depth analysis. Construction permits are misleading. The recipient of a permit has several years to actually

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