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Trade Bank of Iraq to issue $10 billon in credit
The Trade Bank of Iraq (TBI) aims to issue $10 billion in letters of credit in 2009. This represents an increase of 11.11 percent on 2008, amid increased private sector activity. Most of the bank’s business will remain in the public sector, with the addition of issuing around $1.8 billion in letters of credit to the private sector. In 2008, TBI’s net profit rose 41 percent to reach $359.3 million with a net operating income that rose 51 percent to reach $447.1 million. However, this profit will most likely remain flat this year as a result of the global economic crisis. The bank plans to enhance its domestic retail activities by opening five more branches in Iraq and three more branches abroad, in the United Kingdom, Turkey and Lebanon. It will also seek help from international investment banks in order to structure an Iraqi investment fund to finance tourism, infrastructure and industrial projects in the country.
ADNOC and Conoco Phillips deal
ADNOC (Abu Dhabi National Oil Company) and Conoco Phillips (US) signed a final agreement to invest in a $10 billion project known as the SGD (Shah Gas Development). The two companies signed the joint venture and field-entry agreement to create a new company with an ownership that will be split 60:40 between ADNOC and Conoco Phillips, respectively. This new venture aims to develop ‘sour’ or sulphur-rich gas reserves at the Shah gas field in the south of the emirate, and build processing and transportation infrastructure for 540 million cubic feet of gas alongside liquid sulphur pipelines and an export terminal at Ruwais. US company Fluor completed the front-end engineering and design for the scheme in March and documents for the construction phase of the project in June have been released. The Shah Gas Development project is one of the largest energy infrastructure developments to be approved in the Middle East in 2009.
Algerian expansionary policy
As oil and gas prices remain below their 2008 highs, Algeria expects its government revenue to fall sharply in 2009. Nevertheless, the Algerian government will still maintain an expansionary fiscal policy in order to boost economic activity in the country. The 2009 budget has been set at $72 billion, up from $68.5 billion in the supplementary 2008 budget, and revenue is projected at $39.19 billion, of which $16.7 billion is in tax receipts. As oil prices recover further along with the global economy, Algeria’s central budget deficit is forecasted at 2.4 percent of GDP in 2009 (compared to an estimated surplus of 9 percent of GDP in 2008). Real GDP growth is expected at 3.3 percent for 2009 and economic growth is anticipated to accelerate in 2010 thanks to a slight recovery in export markets. Average inflation is expected to fall sharply to 4.3 percent in 2009. As for the currency, Banque d’Algérie (BdA) will still maintain a managed float of the Algerian dinar in order to strengthen it. Additionally, rising oil prices are likely to continue to fuel the economy and trade surplus is expected to grow to $20.6 billion for the year.
