Home Economics & PolicyHealthcareCoronavirus AnalysisLAU study on COVID-19 spread estimates extreme social distancing could save 150,000 lives

LAU study on COVID-19 spread estimates extreme social distancing could save 150,000 lives
ENAR

by Nabila Rahhal

On March 19, the Office of Graduate Studies and Research at the Lebanese American University (LAU) released the results of a study (see below) on the effects of different levels of social distancing on the number of COVID-19 related deaths by June in Lebanon. One note of caution for these figures is that the lack of data and predictive model used means these results are speculative, based on an analysis of trends. Though the team behind them did consult with LAU’s infectious disease unit when modeling the scenarios—and there are plans for collaboration across disciplines and universities in the future on the effects of COVID-19 on Lebanon—at the time of writing data is lacking. There is also a high likelihood that the number of cases in the country are above the official count, according to the researcher behind the study, Samer Saab, interim dean of graduate studies and research at

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