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The author seems to be making some odd claims on our behalf: “The thinking concludes, let’s fix the sector”. We don’t believe that we have made any claims of that sort nor have we disagreed that security needs to improve. But addressing the specific point about the forecast being wrong – there are good reasons for this, namely the security issues mentioned in the article. The forecast may point to growth in 2014 but only to a level almost $1bn lower than in 2011. This is hardly a ridiculous growth outlook or overly optimistic, and it factors in the security issues.
The article also points out that tourism is potentially too large and there are also the usual claims that the sector provides low quality jobs. This can obviously be refuted by pointing out the benefit of what is there and there is no real suggestion that the sector should take a bigger share of the economy – but is clearly an important sector and is likely to remain important. Surely this large sector should be supported?
There needs to be a real attempt, here, to understand what lies behind the numbers.
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