Home OpinionCommentIran’s power dynamics – the old and the new

Iran’s power dynamics – the old and the new

by Gareth Smith

As 2013 opened, Iran’s Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was struggling to manage an unpredictable and often truculent president in Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. At the end of 2013, Iran’s supreme leader oversees a president trying to improve relations with the United States, Europe and the Saudis and to instill tighter fiscal discipline. That culminated in the November deal in Geneva to reduce global sanctions on Iran in exchange for limits to its nuclear program. The election of Hassan Rouhani upset those ‘experts’ who see Khamenei as micro-managing most aspects of Iranian politics, security and economy. In reality, Khamenei rarely leads from the front but prefers to wait for consensus — or stalemate, or inertia — to emerge from the interplay of factions scattered around parliament, Qom, the military, intelligence, the charitable trusts and the provinces. Khamenei has been dubbed “Bismarck with a turban” by Ray Takeyh, the former State Department official now at

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