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Triggers on safety

by Nicholas Blanford

Speculation on another war between Hezbollah and Israel has been bubbling away since the end of the last encounter in 2006, but it has intensified of late with many predicting a renewed conflict could be in the offing this winter or early spring. Israel’s recent interception of the Francop cargo vessel in the Mediterranean and the discovery of 500 tons of Iran-supplied weapons and ammunition on board, allegedly destined for Hezbollah, underlines the intensity of military preparations on both sides and possibly provides Israel with the “smoking gun” to execute a swift and destructive campaign. The good news is that neither side appears to want another round at the present time. Hezbollah’s leadership does not hide the fact that the group is re-arming. But the leadership is aware that its Shiite constituents, not to mention the rest of the country, are in no mood for more military adventures. Israel, too,

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