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Banking & Finance

For your information

by Executive Editors September 14, 2012
written by Executive Editors

Tighter times for Lebanese banks

Lebanese banks’ first-half results have revealed tougher market conditions. Overall for the banking sector, deposits grew by just $3.2 billion in the first five months of the year, 13 percent less than the average growth of the past five years. The three largest banks in Lebanon, Bank Audi, Blom Bank and Byblos Bank, took provisions totaling some $150 million in the first half of the year as a risk precaution in case of defaults, given the uncertain economic conditions in Lebanon and neighboring Syria. Bank Audi, Lebanon’s largest bank by assets, reported net profits of $230 million for the first half of the year, growing by 28 percent over the same period last year. Removing the profits made through the June sale of its 81 percent stake in LIA Insurance Company to Saham Finances, an African insurance company, the profit growth falls to less than 6 percent. Audi also took provisions of $68 million. Blom Bank, Lebanon’s second largest bank by assets, reported first-half net profits of $165 million on July 31, up by just one percent on the same period last year — it took provisions of $60 million. Byblos Bank, Lebanon’s third largest bank by assets, reported profits of $80 million in the first half of the year, flat on the same period of last year, while allocating provisions of $23 million.

U.S. seizes $150 million in ‘Hezbollah funds’…

The United States authorities announced they had seized $150 million that they claim was used by Hezbollah entities to launder money. The seizure is the result of a civil complaint filed in 2011 in New York against the now defunct Lebanese Canadian Bank, acquired by Société Générale de Banque au Liban (SGBL) in September 2011 for $580 million. The lawsuit asserts that entities linked to Hezbollah were channeling funds from Lebanon into the US financial system between January 2007 and early 2011 to acquire used cars to then sell in West Africa for cash, which was then transferred back to Lebanon along with funds from drug sales and other crimes. SGBL placed the $150 million in escrow at a New York correspondent account of Lebanon’s Banque Libano Française (BLF) pending the lawsuit. BLF and SGBL are not accused of any wrongdoing according to the prosecutors.

…and scrutinizes banks for Iran dealings

Standard Chartered Bank (SCB), Deutsche Bank and Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) are the latest banks in the hot seat for their dealings in Iran. New York’s superintendent of Financial Services Benjamin Lawsky accused United Kingdom-based SCB last month of helping Iranian banks and corporates hide some 60,000 transactions worth at least $250 billion, between 2001 and 2010. SCB agreed to pay a record $340 million penalty to settle the charge and prevent the revoking of their New York license. The regulator is also accusing the bank of having similar schemes with other countries sanctioned by the United States, such as Burma, Libya and Sudan. Lawsky said the “rogue bank” is being aided by its consultant Deloitte & Touche, an accusation that Deloitte’s Chief Executive Joe Echevarria considers “distortions of the facts.” Deutsche Bank is also being scrutinized by US authorities according to the New York Times, but with the investigation still at an early stage, no accusations have been put forth as Executive went to print. RBS has volunteered information to the UK and US regulators concerning its dealings with Iran following an internal review.

Death sentences in Iran banking scandal

An Iranian court sentenced four people to death on July 30, following a billion-dollar bank scandal that came to light in September 2011. The court sentenced two others to life imprisonment and several received sentences ranging up to 25 years. 39 people were sent to trial for the fraud. The scandal, one of the biggest frauds in the Islamic republic’s history, involved several Iranian banks and caused losses amounting to a staggering $2.6 billion over more than two years. The financial scandal involved the forging of documents to secure credit from various financial institutions, including Bank Saderat, one of the largest in the Middle East. The proceeds were then used to purchase state-owned enterprises, such as the Khuzestan Steel Company, as the government implemented its controversial privatization scheme, which began in 2004. Back in October, Kayhan, a conservative newspaper under the direct supervision of the Office of the Supreme Leader, had identified the suspect as billionaire mogul Amir-Mansour Aria, and alleged complicity on the part of President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s top ally, chief of staff Esfandiar Rahim Mashaei. Ahmadinejad denies Mashaei’s link to the scandal.

Lebanese banks under cyber attack

Remember Stuxnet? That was the computer virus discovered in June 2010 that attacked Iran’s nuclear program and which in June this year was reported by the NY Times to be part of an American-Israeli intelligence operation. Now it’s the turn of Lebanese and Arab bank accounts to come under cyber attack from a virus dubbed Gauss — after an apparent reference to the German mathematician Carl Gauss that was found in the code — which is capable of stealing browser passwords and online banking account details. Moscow-based cyber security firm Kaspersky Labs, which discovered Stuxnet, also uncovered Gauss and is having a difficult time cracking the code, pleading for help on their website. “We’re talking about a complex package (…). It maintains code and has similar functionality to Flame and Stuxnet,” says senior security researcher Kurt Baumgartner. Flame and Stuxnet both have the ability to rewrite code; Stuxnet rewrote code leading to enrichment centrifuges in Iran to go out of control and become useless. So far, Kaspersky Labs has detected Gauss on more than 2,500 computers in the Middle East, of which approximately 1,600 are in Lebanon and nearly 500 in Israel. Bank of Beirut, Blom Bank, Byblos Bank and Credit Libanais have been affected, according to the Russian security firm, as well as Citibank and Paypal. While the origin of the virus is still unclear, Kaspersky Labs said it believed it was built in the same laboratories as Stuxnet, Flame and Duqu, another espionage virus.

Egypt requests $4.8 billion from the I.M.F.

Egypt’s president Mohamad Morsi has asked Christine Lagarde, the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) chief, for a $4.8 billion loan to cover the country’s budget deficits. Talks between Egypt and the IMF have been ongoing ever since president Hosni Mubarak was deposed last year, but a deal failed to go through as the IMF required broad political support as a key condition for the loan. Following the formation of a government by President Morsi and his dismissal of top army generals, the deal is expected to be given the green light, with Lagarde stating that, “It is going to take a bit of time and we feel that we have perfectly competent authorities to negotiate with.” Egyptian Prime Minister Hisham Kandil expects the loan to be signed by the end of the year and be for five years, with a grace period of 39 months and interest rate of 1.1 percent. With limited alternative options, the Egyptian government had to borrow a hefty $12 billion from its central bank in the 12 months to June 2012.

Qatar investment spree continues

This time, Qatar goes after China as its sovereign wealth fund, Qatar Investment Authority (QIA), acquires a 22 percent stake in a Chinese investment fund, CITIC Capital Holdings, known for its investments in real estate and private equity. CITIC is partly owned by CIC, China’s sovereign wealth fund. While the size of the investment was not disclosed, the deal is expected to have a significant impact as it links two major sovereign wealth funds. Back in the United Kingdom, a country Qatar is very familiar with through its numerous investments, the peninsula has been eying a stake in UK-based airport operator BAA, owner of London’s Heathrow airport, the third busiest airport in the world. Qatar Holding is set to acquire a 20 percent stake for £900 million ($1.4 billion) in BAA from Ferrovial, the Spanish company owning 49 percent of the operator. Qatar will become the third largest shareholder in BAA after completion of the deal. “This acquisition is a key element in our exposure to the infrastructure sector,” said QIA in a press release.

Lebanese companies’ appetite to open up for capital

According to a survey of 100 Lebanese companies by BEMO Securitization, the structured finance unit of Banque Bemo, 48 percent of Lebanese companies would be willing to open up their capital to new investors. The vast majority of these companies operate in capital-intensive sectors, such as industry, with startups making up 40 percent and well-established companies comprising the remaining 60 percent. One third of Lebanese companies have no interest in opening up their capital and would not issue preferred shares (a class of ownership with higher claims on assets than common shares but with no voting rights), with most of the companies within this category made up of well-established family owned businesses operating in sectors that are not capital intensive, such as the trade sector. The final 19 percent of surveyed companies would consider issuing preferred shares, with half of these companies being well-established family-owned businesses in non-capital intensive sectors.

September 14, 2012 0 comments
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Morning briefing: Sep 14 2012

by Executive Staff September 14, 2012
written by Executive Staff

The leaders of Iraq's central government and its autonomous Kurdish region edged closer to an agreement on oil revenues, with both parties signing a new deal.

The deal – if implemented – will increase Kurdistan’s oil exports and re-start Baghdad’s payment to contractors.

"An agreement was made in principle to pay the entitlements" to the companies producing oil under contracts awarded by the Kurdistan Regional Government, an official who was in the meeting said.

More from Iraq Oil Report

The Lebanese government invited international firms to bid for the construction of a 60-megawatt wind farm, Energy Minister Gebran Bassil announced.

“It would be possible to produce wind energy and sell it to Electricite du Liban after the conclusion of the tender, which awaits approval by the Cabinet,” Bassil said during the opening of the Beirut Energy Forum.

The minister said the tender would allow the production of cheaper electricity cheaper.

Lebanon suffers from chronic electricity rationing due to low energy production, particularly in the summer months.

More from the Daily Star

The Royal Bank of Scotland and two other banks began legal proceedings against an investment vehicle owned by Dubai’s ruler, seeking immediate repayment after abandoning talks to restructure $10 billion in debts.

RBS, along with German lender Commerzbank and South Africa’s Standard Bank, abandoned talks on restructuring Dubai Group’s liabilities in July and had threatened legal action.

Legal action to reclaim debt owed has been unprecedented in an emirate where banks have tended to take the best terms on offer due to an opaque legal system and to avoid jeopardising chances of winning future business.

More from the Washington Post

Newly independent South Sudan has decided to break up a massive oil concession largely held by Total into three blocks, granting one to the French energy company and the others to two foreign firms, government officials said.

One oil industry source identified the other two operators as U.S. firm Exxon Mobil and Kuwait's Kufpec, which had already claimed about a quarter of the mostly unexplored block, known as Block B.

Total, Exxon Mobil and Kuwait Petroleum Corp, the state-owned parent firm of Kufpec, all declined to comment.

More from Reuters

EU leaders offered Egypt more than a billion euros in aid and better trade terms as President Mohammed Morsi flew in for his first visit to Europe pledging to support democratic values and freedoms.

The lightning trip, followed by a visit to Rome, came amid violent anti-US protests over a film deemed insulting to Islam that led to the killing of four US officials in the Libyan city of Benghazi.

 

European Commission head Jose Manuel Barroso said the EU was making available 449 million euros to Egypt for 2011-2013 but was "willing to do much more," Barroso said.

More from Oman Tribune

Jordan was reviewing offers from a group of banks to manage a eurobond sale of as much as US$1.5bn to help finance government spending, Finance Minister Suleiman Hafez said.

"A specialised committee from the Ministry of Finance and the Central Bank of Jordan is currently studying the offers to pick the best offer in terms of interest rates and issuance costs," the minister said, according to the state run Petra News Agency.

The government plans to raise between US$750m and US$1.5bn in the sale and will announce the shortlisted banks soon, Petra reported, citing Hafez. The debt instruments would be paid over a period of seven to ten years, the minister said.

Jordan's government is issuing the bonds "in order to strike a balance between domestic and external borrowing and provide the kingdom with a new financing instrument with a lower interest rate," Hafez said.

More from Arabian Business

Al Arif Contracting has been awarded the contract for the construction and maintenance of the UAE’s first eco-friendly mosque, and what will also be Dubai’s largest mosque upon completion in 18 months time.

The 3,500-worshipper mosque is to be built on a 9,755 sqm plot near the Clock Tower Roundabout in the Bur Saeed area of Dubai’s Deira.

AMAF secretary ceneral Tayeb Al Rais said: “Al Arif has a track record of shaping major construction projects in the UAE, and has proven experience in the implementation of projects that support environment preservation and sustainability factors.

“Following the successful completion of this landmark initiative, AMAF aims to transform a large number of mosques in Dubai to eco-friendly mosques and adopt green building standards to contribute to Dubai’s sustainable development plans.”

More from Arabian Business

 

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Morning briefing: 13 Sep 2012

by Executive Staff September 13, 2012
written by Executive Staff

Saudi Arabia's annual inflation eased to 3.8 percent in August, its lowest level in almost three years, government statistics showed.

Slower increases in rents were highlighted as the cause of the slowdown.

Consumer price growth in the world's top oil exporter has been slowing gradually since peaking at 5.4 percent in February and March, registering 4.0 percent in July.

More from Arabian Business

President Barack Obama has vowed to bring to justice the killers of the US ambassador to Libya and three other diplomats after they were murdered by Islamist protesters.

Obama condemned the attack in Benghazi as "outrageous and shocking" but insisted it would not threaten relations with Libya's new elected government, which took power in July after rebel forces backed by NATO air power overthrew Muammar Gaddafi.

The targeting of US diplomats was sparked by a US-made film seen as insulting the Prophet Mohammad.

More from Reuters

The world’s tallest residential building, Princess Tower, has been officially delivered by its developer Tameer in Dubai.

The building, which cost Dhs1.5 billion ($408 million) to build and measures 414 metres in height, is 98 per cent sold to investors, Tameer said.

The tower offers 763 individual residential units, and Tameer has handed over 150 units in the last six weeks.

Prices for the apartments vary from $326 to $680 per square foot, with apartment sizes ranging between 800 and 2,300 square foot.

More from Gulf Business

Gulf Bank won a leading role in financing two energy projects in Kuwait worth a combined $2bn, the bank's chief executive said.

"One is in the oil sector and one is in the power sector. One is a bit less than $1bn, the other is a bit more than a billion. So, the total is roughly $2bn," Michel Accad said in an interview.

The deals will increase Gulf Bank's market share in corporate and project financing in the local market despite deep concerns over government willingness to speed up long-awaited infrastructure projects.

More from Arabian Business

Israel is undermining Jordan's efforts to establish a nuclear program that would help the country to become fuel sufficient, Jordan's King Abdullah said.

The country, which has one of the smallest economies in the Arab world and almost no natural resources, suffers from energy shortages.

"Strong opposition to Jordan's nuclear energy programme is coming from Israel," the monarch told Agence France Presse in an interview.

"When we started going down the road of nuclear energy for peaceful purposes, we approached some highly responsible countries to work with us. And pretty soon we realised that Israel was putting pressure on those countries to disrupt any cooperation with us," King Abdullah said. "A Jordanian delegation would approach a potential partner, and one week later an Israeli delegation would be there, asking our interlocutors not to support Jordan's nuclear energy bid," he added.

More from The Nation

Egypt's finance minister said the government had revised up its budget deficit for the 2011/12 fiscal year to 11 percent of gross domestic product from an earlier projection of 8.6 percent.

The deficit was EGP170bn ($27.92bn) in the year that ended on June 30 and not the EGP134bn ($21 billion) projected earlier, Mumtaz al-Saeed said.

More from AMEInfo

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Economics & Policy

The Pope in Lebanon: the numbers

by Joe Dyke September 13, 2012
written by Joe Dyke

Pope Benedict XVI arrived in Lebanon on Friday, 14 September 2012 for a three-day trip in which he was expected to call for peace across the Middle East. Executive gives you the key facts you should know about his first visit to the country.

September 13, 2012 0 comments
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Economics & Policy

Collusion over our heads

by Zak Brophy September 13, 2012
written by Zak Brophy

Protesters burning tires on the airport road and the tit-for-tat kidnappings gripping the nation’s attention may justly be blamed for diverting planes and visitors away from Lebanon. However, protectionism and expedient political maneuvering may be responsible for a more insidious affliction in the country’s civil aviation, and the saga at Beirut airport surrounding one relatively minor executive jet operator perhaps best illustrates the culture dominating the sector.

Not welcome

Imperial Jet was established in Germany in 1983 but decided to set up a regional hub in Lebanon in early 2006. Other aviation hotspots in the neighborhood — such as Dubai, Saudi Arabia or Jordan — may have seemed like more logical choices but “Lebanon was underserved,” says Mohamed Alem, board member and external legal advisor to Imperial Holding. “It’s a great strategic location and it wasn’t really on the international aviation scene. We felt we could make a difference.”

Within a couple of years the company had consolidated itself firmly within the Middle Eastern executive aviation sector and from 2006 to 2008 bought nine aircraft, representing an initial investment of close to $200 million. Imperial Jet, either by good fortune or by shrewd assessment, had set up shop in Lebanon at a time when the aviation sector was on the up. The national carrier, Middle East Airlines (MEA), had been turned from a hemorrhaging and bloated beast into a multi-million dollar profit-making company, an aviation law had been passed by Parliament, the airport had been expanded and Lebanon’s aviation sector had been liberalized with the adoption of a complete Open Skies policy. Former Prime Minister Rafiq Hariri’s relentless pursuit of profits and ambition to restore Lebanon to its former glory as the region’s foremost business hub was the driving force behind these developments.

However, despite their promising start, by late 2008 Imperial Jet’s fortunes in Lebanon had begun to turn as relations with the authorities took a nosedive. Among the planes the company operated was a Boeing 737, which the Directorate General of Civil Aviation (DGCA) ruled was not fit to fly to Europe. When the company challenged this move at the Shura Council — Lebanon’s highest court and the legal body that determines the constitutional and legal authority of governmental decisions — the DGCA struck the Boeing 737 from the national register, meaning no airline could fly this model in or out of Lebanon. Again, Imperial Jet challenged this at the Shura Council.

Alem says when it became apparent that Imperial Jet was going to put up a fight, all of the company’s operational licenses at Beirut Rafiq Hariri International Airport, including two Air Operating Certificates (AOC) and one Fixed Base Operation (FBO), were revoked. “Somewhere between the Ministry of Public Works and Transport and the DGCA somebody decided that no matter what, they were not going to allow us to operate,” says Alem.

 

Friends with benefits

The head of the DGCA during this period was Hamdi Chaouk, a Lebanese aviation expert who had spent 30 years working in civil aviation in Australia, America, Europe and Dubai before returning to Lebanon in 1999. Hariri put him at the forefront of the restructuring of the Lebanese aviation sector and he stayed in his post at the DGCA until late 2010. The initial reasoning for revoking the licenses was, according to Chaouk, because of a series of management problems at Imperial Jet in which key posts, such as director of operations, chief pilot, director of maintenance and director of quality — all of whom are named on the AOC — were often changed and sometimes left vacant without the DGCA being informed.

However, after they were stripped of their licenses he admits the company got their act in order and fulfilled everything that was obliged of them. Chaouk says he advised his boss, the Minister of Public Works and Transportation Ghazi Aridi, to reinstate the company’s licenses, but such was not to be.

“It changed from being a technical problem to becoming a political issue completely,” argues Chaouk.

The company continued to fly to and from Beirut via the European arm of the business and on a German AOC until the DGCA made the decision to stop granting landing rights to Imperial Jet Europe. Despite two Shura Council decisons in favor of Imperial Jet regarding the European flight ban and the deregistration of the Boeing 737 as well as two interim rulings for the suspension of the DGCA decision to revoke the company’s licenses, no Imperial Jet aircraft is permitted to land at Beirut airport. The company claims this deprives the airport of what would be millions of dollars in annual airport fees. While Imperial Jet still has its headquarters in Beirut it is solely an administrative hub of some 70 staff.

It is not so much the technical or legal intricacies of the struggle between Imperial Jet and the Lebanese aviation authorities that is most illuminating but rather the cause of the dispute. Imperial Jet argues that there are two main reasons: First they gripe that they did not enter into the Lebanese business of “making friends” within the administration and making sure the right people got their cut of the pie. While Chaouk would not divulge details, he conceded that Imperial Jet was in the end targeted for personal and political reasons as opposed to any technical or professional rationale.

What is more, the company complains that there is resistance from the Lebanese companies operating at the airport — many of whom are affiliated with powerful business and political figures — to foreign outfits muscling in on the sector. “All of the talk of attracting foreign investment into Lebanon is false and misleading,” quips Alem.

Indeed, Captain Mohammed Aziz, spokesman for MEA, says, “If you completely open up the market, lots of people from outside Lebanon will come into the market and invest money and kick you out in no time.”

 

The man at the top

While Chaouk was head of the DGCA signing the papers that were squeezing Imperial Jet off the runway, the ultimate authority was coming from Minister Aridi. When challenged on why, despite the Shura Council rulings, Imperial Jet had been denied use of the airport — from ground handling to airplane management — the minister refused to offer details. Nonetheless, his resolve was unequivocal. “I know the file very well, and I have taken the decision and I am insisting on keeping on the same way. This is my decision,” said Aridi, before slamming the table.

Imperial Jet’s tribulations in Lebanon are perhaps indicative of a change in the philosophy and management of the whole of the aviation sector, one that is stifling its development. Chaouk, one of the principal architects of Lebanon’s aviation revival, says he eventually resigned in frustration  from the DGCA in late 2010. Watching his vision of liberalizing Lebanon’s aviation sector get squashed, under what he claims is political interference and self-serving protectionism, led to his eventual bowing out of office. In any case Chaouk argues that his role as the head of the DGCA was eventually stripped of virtually all authority, which he claims left him for the last few years of his tenure, “with my hands tied.”

When Lebanon signed up to the Open Skies agreement in 2001 it included the 5th freedom, which meant there were to be no limitations on the flights offered to and from Lebanon on the basis of airline, type of airplane or number of seats. While this policy was applied for several years it appears that Lebanon is now regressing on this commitment. “We went from a very open system to one that is practically implemented in line with MEA’s desire to reject flights it sees as a challenge,” gripes Chaouk. “We are not following the Open Skies policy but we are selective on the whims of MEA.”

The reach of MEA

Banque du Liban, Lebanon’s central bank, is the 99 percent owner of MEA, and yet the company is still listed as private. In addition to the airline, under the MEA umbrella are also MEA Ground Handling (MEAG), Middle East Airport Services (MEAS), Mideast Aircraft Services Company (MASCO), as well as a 77.5 percent stake in the airport’s primary catering company Lebanese Airport Catering Company (LACC). While not all of these companies hold a monopoly in their field of operations at the airport, it is clear that MEA’s interests extend into every corner of operations at Beirut airport.

Management at MEA, however, deny there is any resistance to competition; indeed they say they welcome it. Captain Aziz claims that the reason many companies have stopped flying, or at least cut back on their routes to Lebanon, is not so much because they have been refused the routes they requested but rather there simply is not the market there to maintain them. “MEA is always open to competition when it is fair competition,” he says. “There are a lot of competition and anti-trust regulations and if the licensing and the Open Skies policy is followed in accordance with these regulations then MEA has no problem.”

Regardless of their approach, what is perhaps most disconcerting is the power MEA has come to wield over the decision-making process for the sector as a whole. By the minister’s own admission, it is MEA and the DGCA that now make the decisions regarding who gets to fly in and out of Lebanon and when. According to Chaouk, affording MEA this authority is in complete contradiction to Law 442, which pertains to the aviation sector and was passed by Parliament in 2002. It is important to note that since Chaouk’s resignation, which is yet to be accepted by the government, the president of the airport is sitting as merely an acting head of the DGCA and therefore lacks the same clout that Chaouk had, even with his “hands tied”.

 

The damage of the status quo

Indeed, in recent months the Minister of Tourism Fadi Abboud has locked horns with the MEA President Mohammad Hout and Minister Aridi, claiming they are resistant to opening up routes for budget airlines because they are fearful of the competition it will bring. “Lebanon is losing valuable tourism dollars so MEA can profit,” reasons Michel Habis, advisor to Minister Abboud.

There is potential for a very damaging blowback for Lebanon’s aviation sector from these trends. If the country starts adopting protectionist measures that hurt foreign airlines or if foreign airlines, such as Imperial Jet Europe, are targeted for patently personal and political reasons, then foreign aviation authorities can play tit-for-tat against Lebanese airliners. “There is a chance that if any airline operator felt that Lebanon was not implementing its bilateral agreements properly or not really treating all airlines fairly, they can always take certain measures to upset the whole issue,” explains Chaouk.

Whether anybody is still paying any heed to Law 442 is further brought into question by the fact that the legislation stipulated that an autonomous Lebanese Civil Aviation Authority (LCAA) must be created to regulate the sector. Almost 10 years later and no board has been appointed to the LCAA; Minister Aridi assured Executive that by the time this story was printed the board would have been named; no board had been appointed, however, as Executive’s September issue went to print.

“The creation of this body would lead to the autonomy of the LCAA as a regulator, which would kill the existing political decision making within the organization,” explains Chaouk.

The vitality of Lebanon’s aviation sector feeds the economy by acting as a lifeline for business, trade and tourism. The case of Imperial Jet hints at how the business culture of “making friends” and having the right connections is hobbling a real growth. Aviation in Lebanon should not be another closed club in the economy profiting a small clique of the nation’s rich and powerful — the wealth and opportunity they are hoarding harms not just the prospective tourist or businessman, but Lebanon as a whole.

September 13, 2012 0 comments
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Morning brief: 12 Sep 2012

by Executive Staff September 12, 2012
written by Executive Staff

A leading Lebanese economics expert has warned that the country could slip into recession in 2013 as the Syria crisis continues to undermine confidence in the economy.

Simon Neaime, head of the economics department at the American University of Beirut, said that the lack of consumer spending was hurting the economy.

He also warned the government that attempts to spend their way out of the crisis would be undermined by the already high public debt.

More from Daily Star 

Commodities trader Trafigura has taken a $400m loan from a group of Middle Eastern banks, as the group looks to diversify its lending pool at a time of stress in traditional banking spheres.

The one-year revolving credit facility was arranged by BNP Paribas and involved 11 Gulf Arab banks joining the deal, which was signed at the end of August, Reuters reported.

The company has been hit by a number of crises in recent years, including allegations that it knowingly dumped toxic waste in Ivory Coast.

More from Arabian Business

Egyptian protesters scaled the walls of the U.S. embassy on Tuesday, tore down the American flag and burned it during a protest over what they said was a film being produced in the United States that insulted Prophet Mohammad.

In place of the U.S. flag, the protesters tried to raise a black flag with the words "There is no God but God, and Mohammad is his messenger", a Reuters witness said.

Once the U.S. flag was hauled down, some protesters tore it up and showed off pieces to television cameras. Others burned the remains outside the fortress-like embassy building in central Cairo. But some protesters objected to the flag burning.

More from Reuters

September 12, 2012 0 comments
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Morning brief: 11 Aug 2012

by Executive Staff September 11, 2012
written by Executive Staff

Saudi Arabia is concerned by the recent increase in oil prices as the market is no longer short on supply, the country’s oil minister said on Monday. Ali al-Naimi said the Gulf state would continue to increase output to meet any additional demand but warned that the recent price spike was not due to lack of supply. “Saudi Arabia is concerned about rising oil prices in the international oil market. The current high price of oil is simply not supported by market fundamentals,” Naimi in a statement sent to the media.

More from Gulf Business

Yemen’s government has announced the death of a senior Al Qaeda leader, claiming he was killed during an operation in the south of the country. Said al-Shihri was reportedly killed in the Hadramawt area in circumstances which remain unclear. The Yemeni government on Monday claimed responsibility for the killing, but analysts have speculated it could have been the work of a US drone.

More from the BBC

Trade between China and the UAE rose 10 percent in 2011, from $14.2 billion to $15.6 billion last year, the UAE’s Ministry of Foreign Trade has announced. China is the second-largest trading partner for the UAE, following India. China’s trade links with the entire Middle East have been getting stronger in recent years, with McKinsey forecasting that by 2020, total trade flows between the regions will reach between $350-500 billion.

More from Gulf Business

Qatar has ordered the expulsion of the son-in-law of ousted Tunisian president Zine al-Abidine Ben Ali, who had fled to the Gulf Arab state during the Tunisian uprising, a presidential spokesman said. Sakhr Materi, who was a powerful figure during the rule of his father-in-law, is wanted in Tunisia for financial corruption. Tunisian presidential spokesman Moncef Marzouki said in a statement that Qatar had agreed to a Tunisian request to expel Materi.

More from Arabian Business

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Real estate

For your information

by Executive Editors September 7, 2012
written by Executive Editors

Syrian mall project stuck in indefinite pipeline

United Arab Emirates-based developers Majid Al Futtaim (MAF) says the long-term outlook for the Syrian economy and the Syrian consumer keeps them committed to the $1 billion Khams Shamat project outside of Damascus, but Iyad Malas, the group’s chief executive, conceded in a recent interview with CNN that it is nigh impossible to carry on with orderly planning of the project amid the nation’s upheaval. “We hope that things settle so that we can start construction. In reality, today it is very difficult to get contractors to even talk to you about potentially building [in Syria]”, Malas told CNN’s Marketplace Middle East program in early August, coming exactly one year after MAF had announced that it was starting to pour foundations at Khams Shamat. Plans for the mixed-use project, located on a one million square-meters plot just off the Beirut-Damascus International Highway, are to comprise vacation apartments and business spaces anchored by a 300-store shopping mall, which is to be the Levant region’s largest according to MAF.   

Strutting like a German on the Dora Highway

Mercedes-Benz dealer T. Gargour & Fils (TGF) last month broke ground on a new 1,500 square meters (sqm) showroom right next to its main location on the northern gates of Beirut, providing a drop of commercial real estate development news. Announcing the expansion at a media roundtable, TGF Chief Executive Cesar Aoun said that the new showroom, which is slated to open in 2013, will have space to exhibit 30 vehicles of the Mercedes-Benz and Smart brands. The new facility will also include 4,800 sqm on two underground levels that can be developed into service centers. Aoun refused to say how much TGF is investing in the new showroom. TGF, the Lebanese distribution partner of Germany’s Daimler AG, has in recent years invested substantially into developing its presence in Syria but currently faces the specter of poor returns in the embattled country. Besides building a new showroom in Beirut, the company is undertaking non-real estate investments this year by beefing up its customer care systems and its networks in Jordan and Palestine. 

BDL’s green roof growing slowly

If you are waiting to see the green roof on top of Banque du Liban, Lebanon’s central bank, you’ll have to have just a little more patience. The country’s first high-profile public sector project for an intensive green installation is on course, despite a delay due to changes in the terms of reference, said Hassan Harajli, project manager at Cedro-United Nations Development Program, to Executive. The UNDP energy efficiency program for Lebanon is spearheading the project, which will provide insights on new ways to use green technology for environmentally compatible cooling of buildings in Lebanon’s climate (see Executive’s May 2012 issue). Tenders were supposed to be awarded by midyear but the prequalified bidding companies asked for additional information on the project terms, according to Jamil Corbani, chief executive of bidder Green Studios. “All three companies, including us, asked for more details in the terms of reference and the deadline for the tender was extended twice,” he said. According to Harajli, the procurement process is 90 percent complete. The contract is now scheduled to be awarded within the next month. “Implementation will begin in October and by March of next year, the project should be completed,” said Harajli. 

UAE property under the e-hammer

Dubai-based Asteco, one of the United Arab Emirates’ leading companies for real estate and property management, has signed a partnership agreement with a United States-based realty group for a new real-estate auction website. Its partnership is with LFC International Real Estate Brokerage, a Dubai-based unit of the LFC Group of Companies headquartered in California. In entering the partnership, Asteco aims to attract interest from institutional and private investors that are based overseas, said Elaine Jones, chief executive of Asteco. In addition to a commercial agreement, property owners who want to use the online auction channel will have to set a minimum bid price and agree to an auction period during which their property will be featured on the auction site Freedom Realty Exchange (fre.com). LFC Group acts as a real estate auction marketing company which, according to its website, has been operating online property auction sites starting in 2004. LFC said in April of 2012 that it was organizing an online auction for a corporate floor in Dubai’s Burj Khalifa, the world’s tallest building, with a reserve price of $5.4 million. The auction period closed at the end of June but LFC declined to comment on the outcome when contacted by Arabian Business, according to the publication.

U.A.E. developers see big shines and small smears

Several United Arab Emirates-based companies in real estate development and construction beat expectations with their second-quarter profit disclosures. Winners in Abu Dhabi and Dubai were the respective largest sector companies. Pundits viewed the results as indicators for the recovery of the UAE real estate market but the sector also saw losses at two listed companies. Abu Dhabi-based Aldar announced $113.8 million net profit for the quarter, representing a jump of 228 percent on a 500 percent increase in revenues. Sorouh also showed an improvement, albeit smaller, in reporting $45.4 million net that signified a 33 percent gain. The two companies, already siblings by their state affiliations, are in negotiations for a full merger. RAK Properties, the Ras Al Khaimah developer traded on the Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange (ADX), reported that its profits dropped 30.5 percent to $6.3 million. Newcomer Eshraq Properties, also listed on the ADX, disclosed a net loss of $779,000. The company, which went public last autumn, had written a $2.9 million net profit in the first quarter. Emaar, the largest developer listed on the Dubai Financial Market, disclosed $167 million in net profits. The result represented a 245.6 percent improvement from $68 million in the second quarter of 2011 when the company took an impairment charge on its $46.8 million investment in Dubai Bank. Year-on-year profits at Deyaar were up 2.8 percent in the second quarter, but Union Properties swung to a profit of $22.8 million from a loss of $141.8 million, according to calculations by Reuters. Dubai state-owned Nakheel Properties reported first-half net results of $208.8 million, up 36.5 percent from $153 million in first half 2011. Arabtec, the top UAE construction company by market value, surprised negatively with a $3.2 million second quarter net loss, down from a $7.9 million net profit a year ago.

Sign of cement life in Abdali

The Abdali project in Amman — touted as the Jordanian equivalent to Beirut’s central district — has stirred with reports of activity. A Dubai-based company, Al Waleed Real Estate, announced at the end of July its completion of a six-story office building with “investment cost of up to AED 50 million” ($13.6 million). The company said that its Al Waleed Atrium Building provides retail space on the ground floor and office space on the upper floors with 6,700 square meters of gross floor area. “We see that the general situation in Jordan is very good and very encouraging to invest and take advantage of the opportunities available in many economic sectors,” said the chief executive of Al Waleed Real Estate, Mohammed Abdul Razak al-Mutawa. The statement also said that Jordan was one of the few countries “not affected by Arab spring” and that residents are expected to start moving into Abdali by end of 2012.

September 7, 2012 0 comments
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Economics & Policy

For your information

by Executive Editors September 7, 2012
written by Executive Editors

Trade with Syria flips on its head

Lebanon’s trade dynamic with its neighbor has reversed since the start of the Syrian uprising in March 2011, according to research by international economic analysis provider IHS Global Insight. In the first quarter of 2012 exports from Lebanon to Syria were valued at LL189 billion ($126 million), which amounts to an 18 percent increase on the same period last year. This is most likely due to a shortage in Syria of consumer, agricultural and energy products as a result of the continuing internal conflict. This reverses a downward trend of such exports over recent years. Conversely, there has been a drop in the value of imports from Syria to Lebanon by 8 percent, comparing the first quarter of 2012 to the same period last year. Lebanon still has a trade deficit with Syria but this has been significantly reduced in comparison to recent years. The report also notes a surge in the smuggling of fuel from Lebanon to Syria, reversing a historic trend of such smuggling in the opposite direction. The analysis also suggests that the growth in illegal smuggling and black market trading means the official trade figures understate the changes in the trade dynamic between Lebanon and Syria. 

First, and perhaps last, step toward electoral reform

The Council of Ministers, Lebanon’s cabinet, approved a highly contentious electoral reform law that is based on proportional representation and would divide Lebanon into 13 districts in the upcoming 2013 elections. The law passed through the cabinet despite opposition from three ministers from Walid Joumblatt’s Progressive Socialist Party (PSP) and Minister of State Ali Qanso. In the proposed law the electoral districts are divided with two for Beirut, two for the south, three for the Bekaa, three for North Lebanon and three for Mount Lebanon. The proposed legislation would see an additional three Christian seats and an additional three Muslim seats for expatriates. The law will have to pass in Parliament where there is considerable opposition, most notably from the Future Movement, the PSP, the Lebanese Forces and the Kataeb. [see page 80]

EU aid for agriculture

The European Union (EU) has committed 1.8 million euros ($2.2 million) in technical assistance for Lebanon’s agricultural sector and local development projects. The aid is intended to strengthen the Ministry of Agriculture’s capacities to design, implement and monitor agricultural policies; improve quality and competitiveness of agricultural produce; and increase the economic development of farmers and agricultural cooperatives through easier access to credit. The EU is also extending 2.5 million euros ($3.1 million) in grants to nine municipality clusters in northern Lebanon for local development projects, tackling issues such as education, water and sanitation, health, irrigation, agriculture and waste management. The money comes as part of an 8 million euro ($10 million) development program for the region. Elsewhere, the Islamic Development Bank signed a loan agreement for $26.8 million to finance the second phase of the West Bekaa Wastewater Project, and extended $180,000 toward technical assistance for the project’s implementation. Finally, recent figures show that the L’Agence Francaise de Development’s (AFD) commitments to Lebanon in 2011 totaled 71.4 million euros ($89.3 million), constituting a 54 percent increase on 2010. Lebanon accounted for 6.4 percent of AFD’s aggregate commitments of 1.1 billion euros ($1.37 billion) to the Middle East and North Africa last year, making it the fourth largest recipient in the region.

2011 on the books

The Ministry of Finance published its annual review for 2011, which showed a contraction in the fiscal deficit, a fall in the debt-to-gross domestic product ratio and a fall in tax revenues in comparison to 2010. The total fiscal balance registered a deficit of LL3.53 trillion ($2.35 billion), or 5.9 percent of GDP, in 2011, down 19 percent from LL4.36 trillion ($2.91 billion), or 7.8 percent of GDP, in 2010. A 70 percent increase in non-tax revenues helped offset a minor decrease in tax revenues, resulting in an overall increase in revenues by 11 percent to LL14.07 trillion ($9.38 billion). The significant rise in non-tax revenues was primarily a result of a 136 percent increase in transfers from the telecommunications surplus, which reached LL2.26 trillion ($1.5 billion) in 2011 against LL957 billion ($638 million) the year before. The decline of around 1 percent in tax revenues was likely due to a slowdown in economic activity, less growth of private sector bank deposits and the decision in February 2011 to reduce the excise on gasoline by LL5,000 ($3.33) per 20 liters, which reduced revenue from this tax by LL498 billion ($332 million) from 2010 to 2011. Total expenditures rose a slight 3 percent from the 2010 level to reach LL17.6 trillion ($11.73 billion), amounting to 29.4 percent of GDP. This was due to a 7 percent increase in primary expenditures and a 4 percent decrease in interest payments stemming from the low international interest rate environment.     

Numbers behind the wheel

The number of newly registered cars in the first six months of 2012 stood at 16,850, an increase of 10.8 percent on the same period last year, according to the Association of Car Importers in Lebanon. The breakdown by region of origin shows Korean cars came top of the pops with 7,707 registrations, amounting to an 18.5 percent increase on the previous year. This was followed by Japanese cars with 4,688, European autos with 3,280 registrations and American rides with 1,023. Korean cars’ continued strong performance in Lebanon was based on the success of Kia and Hyundai, who came first and third, respectively, in terms of the registration of cars for different manufacturers. Japan’s big sellers were Nissan and Toyota, coming in second and fourth, respectively. In the top 10 brands the only American name was Chevrolet, which came in fifth, with the rest being European makes Renault, Volkswagen, Mercedes, BMW and Peugeot.    

Oil, precious gems, skew trade figures

The trade deficit reached LL13.1 trillion ($8.7 billion) in the first half of 2012, up 18 percent on the same period in 2011. The deficit was the highest in five years in terms of both value and volume, and was caused by a rise of LL2.4 trillion ($1.6 billion) in imports and an increase of just LL82.5 billion ($55 million) in exports year-on-year. The rise in imports was mainly for oil and mineral fuels, which increased by 89 percent year-on-year to LL4.8 trillion ($3.2 billion), while non-hydrocarbon imports grew by 1.8 percent to LL11.6 trillion ($7.7 billion). The increase in exports was mostly driven by the rise in international gold and silver prices, with exports of unwrought gold, unmounted diamonds and precious metals increasing in value by 23 percent, or LL237 billion ($158 million), and decreasing by 2 percent in volume in the first half of the year. Excluding these items, exports dropped in value by 7 percent, or by LL153 billion ($102 million). Exports to Arab countries increased by 10 percent, largely due to a rise in exports to Syria by 33 percent, and to Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates by 18 percent each. But the increase was patially offset with a 32 percent year-on-year drop in exports to Iraq, mainly due to political unrest in Syria, which represents Lebanon’s only overland trade route for exports. Re-exports totaled LL289.5 billion ($193 million) in the first half of 2012, compared to LL568.5 billion ($379 million) in the same period last year.

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Banking & Finance

Financial quotes of the month

by Maya Sioufi September 7, 2012
written by Maya Sioufi

“This summer season is not only over, you can say it has been martyred!”

Pierre Achkar, head of the Hotels Association, following the mass kidnappings in Lebanon last month

“We expect profits to fall by 4 to 5 percent and this is linked to the situation in Lebanon and the region.”

Makram Sader, secretary general of the Association of Banks in Lebanon, on profits of the banking sector

Kaspersky Lab, a Moscow-based computer security firm, in a statement on the Gauss computer worm targeting Arab bank accounts and affecting more than 1,600 computers in Lebanon: “All these attack toolkits represent the high end of nation-state-sponsored cyber-espionage and cyber war operations.”

“I did go back and look at my taxes, and over the last 10 years, I never paid less than 13 percent. I think the most recent year is 13.6 or something like that.”

Mitt Romney, US Republican presidential candidate, who has refused to make public his tax returns

An unnamed director at Standard Chartered in an email to head of the bank’s American operations, following the latter’s warning not to deal with Iranian clients: “You f****** Americans. Who are you to tell us, the rest of the world, that we’re not going to deal with Iranians?”

“Obviously it is very good business from the Arsenal point of view. Their perspective is it is £24 million ($37.7 million) for a 29-year-old who has a history of injury problems and one truly magnificent season in eight. That is great business.”

Former Arsenal goalkeeper Bob Wilson on the £24 million sale of Arsenal’s captain Robin Van Persie to Manchester United

A NASA scientist after a $2.5 billion mission saw Curiosity, a car-sized rover, land on planet Mars eight months after taking off from Earth:“Touchdown confirmed. We are wheels down on Mars. Oh, my, God.”

Nouriel Roubini, an American economist, famed for having predicted the collapse of the US housing market:“The Olympics are an economic failure as London is totally empty: hotels, restaurants, streets. It turnsout London is totally empty. A zombie city.”

Jaime Ruiz, spokesman for US Customs and Border Protection, after more than 20,000 pairs of fake Christian Louboutin shoes worth $18 million were seized in Los Angeles:“Worn by celebrities and royalty in the fashion world, the lacquered red sole in [the] shoes is a distinctive symbol of the famous French designer Christian Louboutin. However, US Customs and Border Protection specialists have a different view of the lacquered red sole. They see a trademark protected by US law.”

“The Egyptian economy resembles an Arabian horse. It struggles to gallop and can be outright skittish when the surface is uneven and the destination is uncertain. But with firm footing and a clear destination, it can run with speed, endurance and elegance.”

Mohamed el-Erian, chief executive of Pimco, the world’s largest bond investor

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Since its first edition emerged on the newsstands in 1999, Executive Magazine has been dedicated to providing its readers with the most up-to-date local and regional business news. Executive is a monthly business magazine that offers readers in-depth analyses on the Lebanese world of commerce, covering all the major sectors – from banking, finance, and insurance to technology, tourism, hospitality, media, and retail.

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