• Donate
  • Our Purpose
  • Contact Us
Executive Magazine
  • ISSUES
    • Current Issue
    • Past issues
  • BUSINESS
  • ECONOMICS & POLICY
  • OPINION
  • SPECIAL REPORTS
  • EXECUTIVE TALKS
  • MOVEMENTS
    • Change the image
    • Cannes lions
    • Transparency & accountability
    • ECONOMIC ROADMAP
    • Say No to Corruption
    • The Lebanon media development initiative
    • LPSN Policy Asks
    • Advocating the preservation of deposits
  • JOIN US
    • Join our movement
    • Attend our events
    • Receive updates
    • Connect with us
  • DONATE
Business

Generally healthy

by Soraya Darghous October 1, 2009
written by Soraya Darghous

Health care is one of the fastest growing industries in the region. As a global leader in health care equipment and technology, GE Healthcare — a $17 billion segment of the General Electric Company and the first GE business headquartered outside the US — is playing a major role in shaping the next generation of patient care. At this year’s Arab Health exhibition in Dubai, Executive had the chance to sit with John Dineen, president and chief executive officer of GE Healthcare and Aziz Koleilat, the general manager for GE Healthcare for the Middle East.

John Dineen, president and chief executive officer of GE Healthcare

E At present, how would you describe the condition of health care in the Gulf?

John Dineen (JD): From a business standpoint, it’s very good. Like most parts of the world, [the region] had a challenging start to 2009, but we saw very good recovery in the second half of the year. It’s one of the better regions in the world for the [health care] business. We think governments in the region understand the importance of the social investment of health care and we don’t think that is going to change.

Aziz Koleilat (AK): From a delivery standpoint of the healthcare systems themselves, there is a need for development. So the potential is there. On top of that, there are a lot of projects coming up, whether in the private or public sector. The whole Gulf Cooperation Council is investing because they need to catch up with delivery ratios. There’s a lot of potential.

JD: There’s a big gap but it’s moving in the right direction. It’s got the right type of leadership with the right commitment. The progress has been good.

E In your opinion, what markets in the GCC will see the biggest growth in health care this year?

AK: The sheer size of Saudi Arabia in any industry in the Gulf makes it the biggest.

JD: It’s moving forward. They’re investing in health care and they’re large; that’s probably the distinguishing factor. There are plenty of countries in the region that are moving forward, in fact most if not all of them are — all in the right direction. When you couple that with size, mathematically Saudi Arabia is the largest and has the most potential.

E  There are many private equity (PE) funds investing in health care in the region. How do you work with PE investors?

AK: A lot of private equity has moved into health care. They’re investing in the infrastructure because they know there’s space for the private sector to play a role.

We partner with them in many cases, i.e. we can work on solutions with them, we sometimes even pair them up with international operators to put the pieces of the puzzle together — it’s more of a coordination role. We have the contacts in United States and Europe for different hospitals that want to come to the region and we have very good contacts with the investors who want to put money into them. We also have our own construction company and give our own advisory services. So we bring the whole thing together for them.

E  What role does the public sector play in the Gulf in terms of health care? Does it understand the need for health care?

JD: In terms of the basics, there’s a tremendous commitment to health care. In the region most of the governments understand its importance. It’s one of the most basic investments you can make in a society. It has almost unanimously received tremendous support in that area.

I think on the public sector side there is a strong commitment to investing in infrastructure. We’re probably seeing more public interest in health care here than in many places in the world.

Health care is a regulated industry. You’ve got controls in place, with both strengths and some challenges wherever you go. It’s no more challenging in the Gulf than the rest of the world.

E  What is the situation and potential for health care in Iraq or Yemen? These countries are not only facing security issues but are also lagging in health care. Is GE looking into such locations?

Aziz Koleilat, the general manager for GE Healthcare for the Middle East

JD: We have real interest. When you take a long-term view of a market like that, it’s got the resources, it has the need, the infrastructure will be built: the only question in your mind is, ‘When?’ and ‘How fast?’

You don’t have a question as to where it’s going and what it’s going to need. It really has all the makings of a great health care market. We’re hopeful that we’re going to see some investments and building in the future there, and maybe we can play a big role in that.

E  So you have plans in those countries already?

JD: Yes.

AK: We already have contacts, we have deals and we’ve worked on projects. This already happened, whether in Yemen, Iraq, Afghanistan, Pakistan, all these markets. We have a presence, so we work with them. The key challenge is how can we help accelerate in helping them build the necessary infrastructure. Because of the insecurities [there is a risk of] putting investments in and then having to pull out, so we’re trying to find the best way to do it in order to bring in our expertise and work with them to find solutions.

E  What is the best way?

JD: We’ve got to find the right relationships; we have to understand who the first movers are going to be, with regard to infrastructure development.

AK: On top of that, we’re talking directly to the Ministry of Health in Iraq and the same thing with the Ministry of Health in Yemen, to see what their needs are and who they think would be the right partners in that sense. So we’re looking for the best way to get deeper into those countries.

JD: It’s really the next big challenge. We’re spending a lot of time talking about it. We don’t have a simple answer to your question, but it’s really an area that we’re trying to work through as we speak.

E  Do you think your competitors are also looking into the same areas for potential long-term projects?

JD: Yes, the opportunity is obvious. The ‘how’ is going to be the real challenge as people crack the code on how to do it. I think it’s going to be a great opportunity.

AK: The demographics and dynamics are there, it’s not hidden. We all know it.

E  Let’s talk numbers. How much was the region’s health care industry affected by the global financial crisis?

JD: I can speak relatively. It wasn’t as bad as what we saw in the US and Europe; those were the most challenged markets. This market was slow to start during 2009. People were cautious. But at the end of the day it didn’t stop the investments. I still think there were long-term commitments made. It’s a pretty strong market — maybe not as strong as China or India, but still much better than most of the developed markets.

AK: In the first half of 2009, the oil price dropped and the private sector got very worried. There was a shift, it’s not like things completely stopped but it was a shift. We see more projects and more interest going forward; confidence is back in.

E  What are your targets and expectations for 2010?

JD: Our view is that we’re going to continue to grow; we’re bringing more technologies and products to the market, we’re investing in our people in a very big way, developing service needs to support our base, and we continue to create new partnerships — especially with private equity funds. We’re continuing to build more and more capabilities.

E   What are the greatest issues and concerns for the GCC health care industry going forward? How do they differ from 2008/9?

JD: To some extent, the health care industry in the region and around the world is focused on the next generation of technology.

We wait for that technology to trickle down to the more affordable segments. Health care now is about solving problems, it’s not just about building the next great CT [scanner].

It’s about understanding the classic challenges in health care systems, which in many countries is improving access, improving the quality of the health care, improving costs, etc.

So we are really looking to utilise technology to solve those problems and change the way health care is delivered.

 

 

 

 

 

 

October 1, 2009 0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Comment

Capitalism’s reckless amnesia

by Peter Speetjens October 1, 2009
written by Peter Speetjens

October 1, 2009 0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Special SectionYoung Arab Leaders

Rami Makhzoumi (Q&A)

by Executive Staff September 26, 2009
written by Executive Staff

At the age of 32, Rami Fouad Makhzoumi is president and CEO of the Dubai-based Future Pipe Industries, one of the largest private fiberglass pipe manufacturing groups in the world, and a member of the board of directors of Young Arab Leaders (YAL). Makhzoumi joined YAL in 2005. Driven by a strong faith in the organization’s mission, he has played a significant role in the leadership and growth of YAL.

E What originally brought you to YAL?

The belief in working for a better future for the youth of our region inspired me to join the organization. The youth of our region have the right to have a quality education and also need to be encouraged to be independent and utilize the education they acquire to establish enterprises to sustain themselves.

E What is your role on the board of directors and what is the purpose of the board?

As part of the Board at YAL, in keeping with international best practices, our role, among other things, is to ensure that the organization is progressing within its defined vision, and mandate. We meet regularly to monitor and evaluate the key non-financial and financial areas of relevance to YAL and the organization’s progress towards its goals including introducing key performance indicators as appropriate. We provide direction and advise on the initiation and implementation of programs. We approve policies and procedures by which YAL is operated, and monitor compliance and ensure YAL has in place effective communication processes with its members and other key stakeholders.

E What have you brought to YAL from your experience as a professional and an executive in the Arab world?

I believe that through business, we indeed can serve and contribute to the society and economy in which we operate through various channels and at different levels and scales. You achieve national goals at a local level. You can become a major employer in any given region, thus creating the ability to multiply your effect through the sheer numbers under your flag. I have always said that the greatest asset we have is our people. Empowering the people, allowing them to grow, benefits not only your immediate business but also the society in which it functions.

E What are the issues confronting Arab youth today?

More than 65 percent of our population is under 24 years old, with the fastest growing workforce of any region in the world. Empowering these youth with the right education and skills to help in the creation of employment — self or otherwise — is the biggest challenge we face in our region. We can either be a great and noble thought in history, or a potent force in the region. To empower our youth we need to educate and truly begin to instill the values of the entrepreneurial spirit, and see a new age be born. [Otherwise], we will see further unemployment, greater gaps and disparity in wealth and education, and ultimately, an increasing opportunity for radicalism to be nurtured.

E How have you been working to help YAL to have the biggest impact on the region?

YAL is a pan-Arab organization and this strong regional presence is our biggest asset as we look at reaching out to and benefiting the youth of our larger Arab region. Since our inception five years ago, we have been consolidating our network with members that are leaders from different Arab countries, and who share the common goal of creating a better future for our region and our people by passing on the right knowledge and experience and imparting the right education. We have been identifying our programs and initiatives with the YAL mission in mind that we need to benefit as many youth as we can, who will in turn benefit our society and the world community. Our aim is create a positive ripple effect from our programs to create a positive world view.

Many young Arab leaders like myself have been educated and brought up in the West and hold dear the founding principles of YAL, from which we can demonstrate not just to the region but to the world, the significance of the Arab world. Not just in its contributions historically to modern civilization, but its potential in realizing its deserved position as a substantial contributor to tomorrow’s world.

E What particular YAL programs are you involved in?

As a member and part of the YAL board, I consider it my responsibility to involve myself in key programs of the organization in a different capacity for different programs. From offering key internship positions in the Future Pipe Industries group to being in the task force for the creation of YAL’s Entrepreneurship Initiative, I have attempted to be a part of the key focus areas of YAL.

I believe it is vital to pool the next generation of leaders for the benefit of our region. YAL can act as the cornerstone of prosperity for those within, and as the hope and model for those outside.

E What role does YAL have to play in the future? What would you like to see the organization undertake in terms of programs or activities?

As the youth are the leaders of the future, they are the greatest asset of the Arab world. We are committed to ensure that the programs YAL develops will harness the potential of Arab youth, and leverage their contribution to the growth and development in the Arab World. Arab civilization in the past is an inspiration for me and others at YAL, and I believe that the potential is there for a second Arab renaissance and that Arab countries should seize the current opportunities to lay down the infrastructure of a second Arab golden age.

The role of our organization is more significant now as the world is experiencing a transition period and leading global economies are shifting their focus inwards. Individuals, organizations, countries and regions worldwide are rethinking their strategies and focus on sustainability mechanisms for strengthening corporate and national capacities to create a more resilient world for our next generation.

It is important for us as YAL to drive a united vision to empower our youth and offer them the know-how and tools to surge ahead with decisive solutions that complement our leaders’ efforts and aspirations. During times when global economies face unprecedented challenges, the responsibilities of organizations such as ours increase manifold — we have to take on the mantle of being the agents of change that will holistically contribute to the sustainable development of the Arab region.

September 26, 2009 0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Finance

Regional equity markets

by Executive Staff September 26, 2009
written by Executive Staff

Beirut SE  (one month)

Current Year High: 1,396.65  Current Year Low: 705.56

The Beirut Stock Exchange (BSE) index witnessed its sharpest downturn since the global equity sell-off in the fall of 2008, dropping 8.31% to 1,002.09 points as of August 24, down from the 2009 peak of 1,109.24 points seen on July 29. The political vacuum created by the stalled cabinet formation took a toll on the exchange’s largest stock and real estate developer, Solidere, whose shares fell almost 11% during the review period. Despite the political stand-off, the country still welcomed a record of number of tourists during the first seven months of 2009 and banks’ assets and loans continued to grow. Growth forecasts for the Lebanese economy ranged between 2.4% and 6%. Still, driven by limited volume, shares of Bank Audi and Byblos Bank fell 2.29% and 10.26%, respectively. BLC Bank led the market with an 11.05% gain. Holcim Liban and BLOM also managed to add market value.

Amman SE  (one month)

Current Year High: 4,405.12  Current Year Low: 2,454.48

Market performance in the past two months has indeed been a stark reflection of the general sense of pessimism in Jordan. After posting a sharp decline in July, the Amman Stock Exchange (ASE) index continued its downward trend into August, losing 5.78% to reach 2,467.33 points on August 25. The Jordanian decline was driven by the Insurance and Service sectors which plunged 9.01% and 6.8% respectively during the review period, while the Industrial and Banking sectors were not innocent, shedding 4.09% and 2.77%, respectively. Leading the downturn were Specialized Investment Compounds with a loss of 53.1%, Arab German Insurance at 45.79% and Al Tajamouat for Catering and Housing at 45.7%. On the other hand, Afaq Energy Comp led the market with gains of 55.91% followed by Contempro For Housing Projects and Jordan Ceramic Industries, which added 54.8% and 33.9%, respectively.

Abu Dhabi SM  (one month)

Current Year High: 4,416.08  Current Year Low: 2,136.64

Like its neighboring Dubai Financial Market, the Abu Dhabi Stock Exchange (ADX) index suffered from the global mood swings of equity markets, which pulled the market down sharply in the middle of August. However, sentiment on the ADX was less destructive as more sectors ended in the positive and the index finished our review period at 2,829.5 points, up 1.02%. The two leading sectors were Energy and Real Estate gaining 9.87% and 8.94%, respectively. Aabar properties posted the best returns with a 21.4% gain during our review period. Gulf Cement and Abu Dhabi Ship Building Company followed with increases of 19.01% and 15.89%, respectively. On the other hand, Banking and Consumer sectors were the period’s laggards with losses of 2.26% and 1.29%, respectively, following the global trend of cyclical underperformance. Banks and Insurance companies suffered the most, but the worst performance came from International Fish Farming Holding, which shed 27.07%.

Dubai FM  (one month)

Current Year High: 4,802.38  Current Year Low: 1,433.14

The mid-month correction at the Dubai Financial Market (DFM) was more pronounced than any other regional exchange, suffering a peak to trough fall of 9.1% before the index finished the review period up 1.58% at 1,847.09 points on August 24. Although Emaar’s earnings were hit by writedowns from exposure to US real estate, the company’s shares still posted strong gains of 14.96%, leading the real estate sector to the top with a 6.95% gain. All other sectors except the defensive Consumer Staples, which rose 4.81%, were in the red, reflecting the markets continued risk-averseness. Trailing the market were Utilities and Materials sectors which lost 5.32% and 2.39%, respectively. Following Emaar in top performance were Emirates NBD and Arab Insurance Group with gains of 11.69% and 11.11%, respectively, after trailing the market in July. Still, some positive news came from a Colliers report that showed a 9% decline in Dubai property prices in the second quarter, a sign of stabilization after a 42% plunge in the first three months of the year.

Kuwait SE  (one month)

Current Year High: 14,516.10            Current Year Low: 6,391.50

The Kuwait Stock Exchange (KSE) index was little affected by the fluctuation in oil prices and equity markets abroad as the uptrend maintained strength throughout the month of August. The index ended our review period up 2.97% to 7,907.2 on the back of strong gains in the Industrial and Food sectors, which led market performance with 13.19% and 10.55% gains, respectively. On the other hand, the Real Estate and Insurance sectors suffered from losses of 3.45% and 2.84%, respectively. The leading stocks were National investments Company (116.95%), Gulf Cable and Electrical Industries (47.69%), and Kuwait Syrian Holding Company (47.22%), while the worst performing stocks were Dar Al Thuraya Real Estate (-33.11%), Ajial Real Estate Entertainment (-32.67%) and Nafais Holding (-25.4%). In corporate news, several companies reported weak second quarter earnings results, including National Industries which said its net profit fell 57%, and Jazeera Airways which announced a net loss of $4.4 million. Some of the positive earnings included Wataniya Telecom, which said its second quarter profit surged 139% to $222 million.

Saudi Arabia SE  (one month)

Current Year High: 8,898.97  Current Year Low: 4,130.01

A drop in oil prices and a major global equity correction drove the Saudi Stock Exchange (TASI) index down 2.6% through the middle of August. However, the recovery in oil prices and the flurry of positive reports by international institutions led the index back to 5,789.78 points by August 24, an increase of 0.2% over July. Fears of the possible fallout from the credit-troubled Saad Group and Al Gosaibi took the back stage as the IMF and several international investment banks highlighted the resilience of the country’s banking sector, backed by the government’s vast liquidity. The Petrochemical sector led the market with a 4.84% and the Cement sector came second with a 2.36% return, followed by Insurance, which gained over 10% during the month but ended with a weaker 0.93% increase. On the other hand, after leading the market in July, the Hotel and Tourism sector lagged with a 5.68% drop, followed by Construction at -4.75% and Multi-Investment at -3.66%.

Muscat SM  (one month)

Current Year High: 9,904.68  Current Year Low: 4,223.63

The Muscat Securities Market (MSM) index leapt 6.69% to 6,237.33 points during the review period through August 25, with little interruption from the global equity sell-off that brought down markets all around Oman. Indeed, all three market sectors posted strong gains, led by Banking with a 12.48% increase, followed by Industrial at 11.17% and finally Services, with a still strong return of 3.5%. The market’s leading stocks were Gulf International Chemicals, National Aluminum Products, and Oman National Investment Corporation which rose 59.78%, 36.04% and 35.46%, respectively. On the other hand, Al Ahlia Converting Industries was far down the queue with losses of -45.65%, followed by National Mineral Water Company and Oman Chromite Company which lost 9.71% and 8.82%, respectively.

Bahrain SE  (one month)

Current Year High: 2,696.68  Current Year Low: 1,481.06

After posting major losses in July, the Bahrain Stock Exchange (BSE) index picked up the pieces in August, reaching 1,514.08 points on an increase of 0.61%. In fact, the market traded in the flat band throughout the whole month and unlike other exchanges, the BSE did not witness much of a correction in the middle of the month. The banking sector still managed to lead the month’s performance with a 7.5% gain, far outpacing its nearest competition from the Services sector which added 3.3%. The period’s best stocks were Ahli United Bank, which gained 14.89%. Nass Corporation and Bahrain Commercial Facilities made gains of 14.41% and 13.66%, respectively, while United Gulf Bank and Gulf Finance House posted the steepest losses of 22.2% and 18.24%, respectively. The worst performing sectors were Investments and Hotels and Tourism which were down 5.88% and 1.06%, respectively.

Doha SM  (one month)

Current Year High: 10,550.27            Current Year Low: 4,230.19

The Qatar Exchange index came back from a mid-month foreign-driven 5% correction to end our review period at 6,928.06 points, up 3.28%. The exchange is still benefiting from the banking sector’s strong second quarter earnings, supported by the government’s willingness to help clean up the bank’s balance sheets and free up bank capital for lending. The banking sector continued to lead the market for the second consecutive month with a gain of 4.59%, followed by Services at 2.69% and Insurance at 1.01%. The Industrial sector lost a meager 0.16% through August 24. The uncontested stock leader of the period was Ezden Real Estate Company, which leapt 74.26% despite giving back more than 35% of its early August gains. Zad Holding and Qatar National Bank followed with increases of 14.29% and 10.82%, respectively. The worst performance came from Qatar Cinema and Film Distribution Company with a 17.78% loss, while Al Khaliji Commercial Bank lost 8.43%.

Tunis SE  (one month)

Current Year High: 3,697.32  Current Year Low: 2,836.64

The Tunisia Stock Exchange Index (Tunindex) recovered its July losses and added 1.94% to reach 3,685.64 points as of August 25, as the country’s 27.5% market rally this year still seems to be alive. Leading the only-slightly-interrupted trend in July was Attijara Leasing Company with a gain of 27.18%, followed by Société Tunisienne des Industries de Pneumatique at 15.51% and Compagnie Internationale de Leasing with 14.04%. On the other hand, the market laggards were Société Générale Industrielle de Filtration (-12.81%), Société de Production Agricole de Téboulba (-10.18%), and Industries Chimiques du Fluor (-4.54%). Tunisia moved one step closer in its bid to increase oil refinery capacity after it awarded the contract to build and operate the Skhira oil refinery project to oil and gas services company Petrofac, for a total cost of $500 million and a capacity of 150,000 barrels per day.

Casablanca SE  (one month)

Current Year High: 14,083.91            Current Year Low: 9,405.86

Continuing its weak performance from July, the Casablanca Stock Exchange (CSE) index suffered from a lack of direction during August to finish our review period up 0.85% to 11,064.92 points. Although the country continues to suffer from the fallout in tourism activity, the decline in exports, and the drop in remittances, recent figures showed the overall number of tourists increased 9% during the first six months of 2009 compared to the same period in 2008. However, it was the Telecom sector that lagged behind in 2009, dropping 8.9%, followed by Construction and Building Materials at -6.54%. The best performing sectors on a year-to-date basis are Beverages, Transport and Mining at 76.94%, 67.92%, and 58.71%, respectively. The market was led by Attijariwafa Bank, which added 7.9% through August 24 and M2M Group with a 7.17% gain, while Matel PC Market shed 8.9% and Société Nationale d’Investissement fell 6.99%.

Egypt CASE (one month)

Current Year High: 8,480.53  Current Year Low: 3,389.31

The Cairo and Alexandria Stock Exchange (CASE) pared its losses and led the MENA region with a gain of 7.24% to reach a new 2009 peak of 6,620.38 points. The country signed six oil and natural gas exploration agreements worth $2.3 billion, aimed at exploring oil and gas in the Nile Delta, the Eastern Desert and the Gulf of Suez. Several companies reported increases in net profit in the first half, including Egypt Telecom, El Nasr Transformers, and Oriental Weavers. Leading the market was Arab Land Reclamation which leapt 72.58%, followed by Assiut Islamic Trading with a 72.54% gain and Acrow Misr, which added 55.53% during our review period. On the other hand, Egyptian Real Estate Group posted the sharpest decline with a loss of 21.97%, behind Ismailia National Company for Food Industries with a loss of 21.38% and Nile Company for Pharmaceuticals and Chemical Industries which lost 20.76%.

September 26, 2009 0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Finance

Nabil Sawabini (Q&A)

by Executive Staff September 26, 2009
written by Executive Staff

Nabil Sawabini founded MENA Capital in September 2004 and today is the chairman and chief executive officer of the private equity and property company. Before founding MENA Capital, Sawabini was with JP Morgan, where he spent 25 years in high-ranking positions in the United States, Europe and the Middle East. Executive recently sat down with Sawabini to get an insider’s view of the private equity and real estate markets in Lebanon and the region.

E We are still in the midst of an economic downturn and the effects on the regional private equity markets have been significant, leaving funds and investors in a wait-and-see mode. What has your strategy been since October 2008 when we started to see the market nosedive?

The focus we have had in the last few years has been primarily on real estate for a very simple reason: We felt that there is more potential and better reward for the risk we were taking in real estate than in private equity. That is primarily because on the private equity side the valuations were simply too high in every sense. Whether you took valuations based on market multiples, on earnings multiples, on discounted cash; everything didn’t make much sense. So we basically held back on investing. After the crisis began to subside in the spring of this year, we decided that we are going to start getting more involved in private equity and merchant banking, [with] a fine line between the two. Merchant banking is a creation of new businesses that are more or less tried and tested elsewhere but not necessarily in the market where [you invest], or if they have been started, they have done so in a format that has not really been well studied. We are focusing now on three areas in private equity: principally consumables as well as food and beverage and services that basically relate to both.

E So basically you are moving more toward a defensive sector approach as opposed to things like real estate?

We are still in real estate and we are quite big in real estate. [But] we are going to be diverting more and more of our resources over time towards merchant banking.

E This is more of a long-term strategy than a short-term one, no?

Exactly. But the form you do it in and the focus you have on the products is what will make it less defensive and not your pure defensive plays.

E What angle are you playing to bring on a faster return on investment?

It’s basically the way you package, deliver, create and complement the different food and beverage businesses that will help you over time grow the business through economics of scale and efficiency — not just in Lebanon, but regionally and internationally.

E Considering what has happened in the private equity industry since October 2008, we kept hearing about interesting valuations at the end of 2009’s first quarter, and at the end of quarter two some people were even talking about the bottom being reached. Are you looking into those valuations now more than you were before?

To base any investment on just a pure valuation today is not interesting. We are still not interested. If it is in the overall context of a new business or a new direction for the business that we are buying into, then that is really the growth orientation [model] that we are looking into.

E Are you saying venture capital and mezzanine sectors are now the focus, such as your Kababji restaurant venture in the US?

That’s a venture but it’s a tried and tested concept. There are already 14 or 15 similar outlets in Washington, DC which are very successful. It’s not really venture capital where you create a whole new product and service — not quite. We wouldn’t invest in new technologies. We are not interested. Anything we don’t understand we will not do.

E So basically a conservative approach even in light of the valuations we discussed?

Absolutely.

E But why wouldn’t you take advantage of those valuations before they go up?

I didn’t say we are not interested. We are interested but only if it is coupled with a growth model that makes sense to us. It can’t just be the price.

E How have you adjusted your financing now that the large buyout model fell through after the financial crisis?

We never relied on bank debt in our business. We do not believe in leveraging as being the cutting-edge of a transaction. We believe that leverage should always be used prudently, on a margin, as is needed, but never to build our model based on leverage.

E Is this model being replicated across the industry?

Because leveraging has been affected and banks are very reticent to lend for private equity deals, I think that although banks will at some point start to lend for such deals, they are going to be a lot more conservative and a lot more cautious as to what they lend and who they lend to. Which translates into less deals being done, more prudent deals being done, more reasonable valuations and in transactions that really make sense rather than just flipping.

E During the boom phase private equity companies acquired a lot of dry powder, investors were willing to invest and when the financial crisis hit this changed. Today the firms still have this dry powder and now they are under pressure by their limited partners to increase their investment activity. Nonetheless, we haven’t seen a real surge in the market. Do you expect to see it soon?

I don’t think we are going to start seeing that before 2010 when people truly begin to believe that the bottom has been reached. As long as people think we are still in a sliding mode, even potentially a [downward] slide again, they are not going to be very eager.

E What about your capital commitments? How long can you keep the investors at bay while still asking them to deliver on their commitments?

We do have private equity investor commitments and we basically told them: ‘Look, we haven’t done it and these are the reasons we haven’t done it. We are going to do it now at much better valuations and in businesses that make a lot more sense. Just count your blessings that we didn’t do it, because you would have lost your shirts.’

E But this can’t go on forever; something has to give.

We feel very strongly that if we can’t do it in the next year we might as well just…

E Give the money back?

We never took the money. We never drew down the money, we only drew down what we needed.

E But the industry as a whole has a lot of commitments and they don’t have cash in hand. They are under pressure to make investments. When is this going to end and when will we start to see some action?

The next year is very critical. It’s hard to predict. I smile because six months ago I was sitting with someone who was one of the largest players in hedge funds, and he was claiming that the hedge fund business was dead. Now they are going back into it. Never say never.

E How about your investor profile? High-net-worth individuals are important in the Gulf, even more so in Lebanon. Here you don’t have the sovereign wealth funds (SWFs), who have the money. Moreover, those high-net-worth individuals along with the family businesses, have lost a lot of money, as have the SWFs. Which investors are you targeting in light of this?

We continue to target investors who are, in our opinion, professional and have the in-house capacity to determine what is good and what is bad for them, especially on the real estate side. Unless the group or the high-net-worth individual truly appreciates what it takes to do a private equity deal and how to get out of it, how much time it will take and all of that; we are not eager to bring them in as an investor. At the end of the day people have seen a lot of craziness and they stop and say: ‘Fine. We have done what we’ve done because everyone else went crazy, not just us. Now the time has come for us to be a lot more prudent.’

September 26, 2009 0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Finance

Orbital ambitions

by Executive Staff September 26, 2009
written by Executive Staff

This summer an Emirati investment firm secured exclusive rights to what may be the next wave in adventure tourism and could place it on the cutting edge of scientific research.

On July 28, Abu Dhabi-based Aabar Investments signed a $280 million deal with Richard Branson’s Virgin Galactic, gaining a 32 percent stake in what is now a $900 million foray into the great unknown.

Virgin Galactic, which vows to be the “world’s first commercial spaceline,” had been shopping for an outside investor for six months when it signed with Aabar at the EAA AirVenture show in Oshkosh, Wisconsin. Branson and Aabar CEO Mohamed Badawy al-Husseiny signed the deal following Branson’s inaugural flight in Virgin’s jet-powered carrier aircraft which will be used to launch the spacecraft.

“This transaction carries multiple potential for the creation of an exceptional platform for space infrastructure, such as research labs, space centre[s] for commercial travel and much more,” a Virgin press release quoted Aabar’s Husseiny as saying at the event.

Until Husseiny came on board, the venture was solely funded by Branson himself. Virgin expects that Aabar’s infusion of new capital will completely fund the project until operations begin.

Credit Suisse was the bank handling the all-cash transaction and served as advisor and placement agent to Virgin throughout the process.

Jeffrey Culpepper, head of the investment banking department in the Middle East and North Africa region for Credit Suisse, said that though investors interested in Virgin Galactic came from all over the world, the final decision to accept the Abu Dhabi proposal came down to chemistry.

Sheikh Mansour bin Zayed al- Nahyan is chairman of the International Petroleum Investment Company, which is Aabar’s largest shareholder, and he is also a member of Abu Dhabi’s ruling family. When Nahyan met Branson, the pair seemed to agree about the potential of Virgin technology.

“It was not the most aggressive bid, but it was the right bid,” Culpepper said.

Branson was particularly drawn to Sheikh Mansour’s hope that Virgin Galactic would further Abu Dhabi’s existing attempts to bring the UAE to the forefront of space research and education.

On a mission

Aabar intends to build a launch facility or “spaceport,” for both manned and unmanned launches in Abu Dhabi. This initiative comes on the heels of several related efforts, which mark a palpable shift in focus toward outer space for the UAE.

In 2006, the country opened the Emirates Institution for Advanced Science and Technology (EIAST). The center lists space research and exploration as one of its four current focuses.

On July 29, the EIAST launched DubaiSat-1, the country’s first satellite from Baikonur Cosmodrome in Kazakhstan and two more like it are in production. The $50 million satellite will take pictures of the region to be used for urban-planning, monitoring climate change and in case of a natural disaster.

DubaiSat-1 was designed and built with the help of South Korean firm SaTReC, but officials intend for its successors to be manufactured completely in the Emirates and should be ready for launch in 2020.

An observation center and “space academy” is also planned for the UAE. The 4C GEOC (Global Earth Observation Center) will at first display images from Italian satellites already in orbit, but the $30 million center will launch its own satellite when it becomes fully operational in 2012.

Culpepper said Sheikh Mansour hopes for Abu Dhabi to be the ultimate destination for studying space and related engineering through the combination of state of the art training and opportunities to experience space through Virgin’s technology.

“They like the idea of having the transfer of knowledge to the Middle East,” said Culpepper. Eventually, Sheikh Mansour also hopes to integrate space technology into the country’s public schools.

Virgin’s launch system may be able to reduce the cost of a ticket to space from $200,000 to $20,000

The ride

The Abu Dhabi spaceport will be home to Virgin’s mothership called “WhiteKnightTwo” and a commercial spacecraft called “SpaceShipTwo,” the original design of which won Virgin a $10 million prize from the X Prize foundation in 2004.

Virgin Galactic has redesigned traditional space travel using a launch vehicle or mothership, which takes off from a runway much like an airplane. The mothership rises to 50,000 feet and then releases a spacecraft containing six passengers and two pilots.

According to William Whitehorn, president of Virgin Galactic, the mothership is currently surpassing expectations in test flights in New Mexico, having so far reached a height of 52,400 feet (50,000 are needed for a successful launch). SpaceShipTwo will be publicly unveiled this December and will begin test flights soon after. The United States Federal Aviation Administration has yet to approve the system for commercial operation.

Despite the pending FAA approval, five SpaceShipTwos and three motherships are currently in production in Mojave, California. The vehicles are being built by aeronautical firm Scaled Composites, and Whitehorn expects to begin operations at Spaceport America in New Mexico in late 2010.

Because the mothership is able to land and be completely reused, the Virgin launch system is more eco-friendly than any space travel system in existence and also uses environmentally responsible materials and bio-fuels. Further more, a reusable launcher means less debris left in space and shorter rocket burn.

This launch system also significantly cuts the cost of space flight by launching the spacecraft when it is already 50,000 feet in the air.

“The more efficient a system is, the cheaper it is to operate,” said Whitehorn. The Virgin system is able to launch a spacecraft 10 times cheaper than traditional ground launches, which may allow Virgin to eventually decrease the ticket price from $200,000 to $20,000.

Whitehorn also insists that this launch system is safer than any other in existence. But, he said, though space tourism will be the first function of the launch system, Virgin Galactic’s priorities are in the more scientific capabilities of the mothership and SpaceShipTwo. And although Aabar Investments is giving no interviews on the subject, Jeffrey Culpepper said the research and satellite launch capabilities of the Virgin system were the main pull for Aabar as well.

“It’s a space launch system, not a tourism business,” said Whitehorn, adding that when the spaceport is fully operational it will contain a mechanism for launching small satellites for the use of the UAE and other parties.

Culpepper said that after the commercial space flights are approved by the FAA and running smoothly in New Mexico, Aabar will hand over an already pledged additional $100 million specifically to improve Virgin’s satellite launching capabilities.

“It’s more than just about tourism and fancy hotels,” said Culpepper.

The suborbital flights can also greatly decrease the price of what Whitehorn calls “human science,” meaning manned space experiments. Experiments requiring microgravity, such as some pharmaceutical experiments, currently demand an expensive trip to the international space station. With the Virgin spaceports, this would no longer be the case.

Take off

Space travel in the UAE is regulated by the General Civil Aviation Authority (GCAA) much as the FAA regulates space travel in the US. However, changes to this system have been suggested.

“It’s time to design and set up the mechanism for a nationwide program for research in all fields, and the immediate aim is for such an authority to define a space policy,” said Ahmed al Mansoori, director general of EIAST at the Global Space Technology Forum in 2008.

Professor Clint J. Wallington teaches a course on commercial spaceflight at the Rochester Institute of Technology. He said all of Virgin’s vehicles will be subject to FAA standards because they are being manufactured in the US. However, the individual governments of the launch locations will oversee the operation of the vehicles.

Despite the fact that not a single paying customer has yet to take a Virgin Galactic flight and the technology has yet to receive government approval, Culpepper said Aabar’s investment was not as risky as it may seem.

“Advance ticket sales made it a profitable business before the first rocket went into space,” Culpepper said.

The “spaceline” has already registered more than 85,000 people who wish to be among the first to take a sub-orbital ride, including Star Trek star William Shatner. Only 300 of the pre-paid passengers have paid in advance, but the total amount of their deposits is more than $40 million, Virgin Galactic said. The deposits range from just $20 to the full $200,000 and determine where the potential astronauts fall in the queue.

Each commercial flight will allow the spaceship passengers to experience zero gravity and see views of the earth below. Whitehorn said that this would be a draw for the Abu Dhabi spaceport.

“With this location, you get a fantastic view. You’d see everything from Lebanon to the Arabian peninsula to Egypt,” he said. Flights will also be available from New Mexico and Sweden, each offering a unique view of the Earth.

Eventually, Virgin would also like to offer orbital commercial flights, which would allow ordinary people to fly from Australia to England in 2.5 hours.

So far in human history, 500 people have been to outer space. Virgin Galactic intends to match that number in their first year of operation.

According to Premjit Bangara, travel manager for Sharaf Travel, the only travel agency authorized to sell spaceflight tickets in the region, demand should match this goal. Bangara said that the partnership “has created quite a stir” in the region, drawing interest from a variety of age groups and professions.

Though Sharaf is contractually forbidden from releasing specific regional sales figures, Bangara says that registration in the Middle East is going strong.

“We see a mix of high net-worth individuals and also young professionals who want a spot of adventure and can afford it. It therefore is a mix of young entrepreneurs and older, wealthy individuals sharing a passion for adventure,” Bangara said.

Operations at the Abu Dhabi spaceport are at least three years away, but Whitehorn said that if anyone wanted to specifically register for an Abu Dhabi Virgin Galactic flight, “We’d be happy to hold the place for them.”

Virgin wants to offer orbital commercial flights able to fly from Australia to england in 2.5 hours

Market Turbulence

After other banks and advisors had told Branson that it was not the right economic climate to seek an investment of this size, Culpepper says that Branson was all the more determined to find an investor.

“It sends a message of optimism to the market,” Culpepper said, adding that he sees the deal as a sign of hope for the global economy.

And with the obvious show of interest in Virgin Galactic from the investing world, multiple sources close to the deal said the company will very likely go public in the future.

September 26, 2009 0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Finance

For your information

by Executive Staff September 26, 2009
written by Executive Staff

Iraqi development fund at $180 billion

A report from the United Nations secretary general said the amount of capital deposited in the UN’s Development Fund for Iraq, as of the end of 2008, was some $180 billion. The fund, created after the UN halted its oil-for-food program in 2003, acquires most of its revenue from Iraqi hydrocarbon exports, accounting for some $165 billion of the fund’s total capital.

A further $10.4 billion was deposited into the fund from the balance of the oil-for food program, and $1.5 billion came from the proceeds of frozen assets. The fund is managed by the International Advisory Board (IAB), which is comprised of members from the UN, the International Monetary Fund, the director general of the Arab Fund for Social and Economic Development, the World Bank and the Iraqi government.

The IAB and the UN secretary general have declared the Committee of Financial Experts, created by the Iraqi Council of Ministers, ready to assume oversight of the account. The report also cited “key issues of concern regarding weaknesses in controls over oil extraction and use of the resources,” and said “the International Advisory and Monitoring Board remains concerned that one of its earliest recommendations from 2004 concerning oil metering remains incomplete.”

The report notes that the fund’s external auditor, KPMG, stated total metering systems installed up until the end of 2008 had only reached 33 percent. Nevertheless, the report claimed that the auditor was able to reconcile petroleum quantities received by Iraq’s State Oil Marketing Organization (SOMO) with sales from the country’s petroleum exports.

Equity firm sales jump in the Gulf

A recent report released by Lipper, a Thomson Reuters research company, stated that the number of equity firms in the Gulf Cooperation Council that are registered for sale grew by 21 percent this year, compared with a 12.55 percent loss during the same period last year. The report stated that during the second quarter of 2009, GCC equity funds posted a 30 percent increase in average returns, compared to the second quarter of 2008.

“GCC markets outperformed developed markets but underperformed other emerging markets,” said Dunny Moonesawmy, Lipper’s head of research for the Middle East. “News at the corporate level, the disclosures of payment defaults by Saad Group and Ahmad Hamad Al Gosaibi & Bros, and at the macro-economic level, confirmation of a lighter GCC monetary council, contributed to accrued uncertainties in the market.”

As far as asset classes are concerned, equity led the pack with a near 10 percent gain over the first half of 2009, due mainly to the results of the Emerging Markets Global and Emerging Markets Asia funds, both of which increased by 40 percent, according to Lipper.       

“The market should stabilize itself with the acceleration of government spending programs, which should benefit the whole region,” Moonesawmy concluded in the report.

Dubai debt increases

Dubai’s measureable public debt continued to mount last month, according to the Cairo-based investment bank EFG Hermes. But the total amount of Dubai’s public debt remains uncertain due to a lack of transparency in several Dubai companies such as Limitless and Istithmar.

Estimates of Dubai’s debt have been as high as $160 billion, although these remain unconfirmed.

The bank estimates that the total debt of the emirate amounted to $87.4 billion last month, up from a previous estimate of $80 billion. A total of $60 billion in debt is estimated to be held by the government-owned conglomerate Dubai World.

Nakheel, which is also government owned, revealed Dubai World’s liabilities as part of its mandatory disclosure obligations attached to a $3.5 billion Sukuk, due to expire in December. Nakheel itself already owes $1 billion to creditors, according to EFG Hermes.

“The fact that the government is not sending a message of unambiguous support for Nakheel raises doubt in the market regarding the extent to which the government will relieve investors of the substantial refinancing risks of Dubai Inc. generally,” said Farouk Soussa, an analyst with ratings agency Standard & Poors, to the Wall Street Journal.

UAE spreads the wealth in 2008

The total amount of investment by the United Arab Emirates into fellow Arab League member states totaled approximately $10.7 billion last year, according to the Kuwaiti-based Inter-Arab Investment Guarantee Corporation (IAIGC). The figure places the UAE atop the list of capital exporters to other Arab League members.

According to the IAIGC’s figures released last month, the UAE has injected $5.8 billion into Saudi Arabia, making it the largest contributor of foreign direct investment in the kingdom. In the wake of the global downturn, the Saudi economy is seen as one of the more stable and reliable economies in the region because of its conservative fiscal policy and large hydrocarbon reserves.

The figure dwarfs other investments made by the UAE in other Arab countries, and constituted almost 45 percent of total investments made in the Saudi kingdom by other members of the Arab League, which came to around $12.9 billion. The UAE also invested a total of almost $34 billion in other Arab League member states, accounting for more than one-third of all foreign direct investments regionally.

In terms of the value of licenses granted by the Saudi Arabian General Investment Authority, the government institution responsible for managing investment and economic liberalization in the country, the UAE again came out on top with $32.84 billion dollars already committed, which is around 40 percent of all licenses approved by the authority since it came into force more than nine years ago.

Yahoo! buys Maktoob

In a bid to weaken the global Internet search-engine leader Google, the alliance between tech giants Yahoo! and Microsoft made its first foray into the Middle East. Last month Yahoo acquired the Jordan-based Arabic Internet portal Maktoob. The specific terms of the agreement were not publicized at a press conference in Dubai where the announcement was made. But several sources have put Maktoob’s price tag at $70 million to $85 million. The deal will provide Yahoo with its first portal dedicated to the Arab world and allow it to take advantage of Maktoob’s more than 16.5 million unique users.

The deal, however, does not include several of Maktoob’s products, such as their auction site Souq and their prepaid card payment system CashU, which will become part of the Jabbar Internet Group.

“Maktoob is a terrific local brand,” said Yahoo’s Senior Vice President and Head of Emerging Markets, Keith Nilsson, at the press conference where the deal was announced. “Yahoo will be combining its global technology and Maktoob’s local Arabic content.”

A substantial share of the company was previously acquired by the Dubai-based private equity company, Abraaj Capital, which sold its share to the American Tiger Global Management, which will now go to Yahoo.

“Yahoo and Maktoob are natural partners and this combination should help energize the Internet market in the region as a whole,” stated Samih Toukan, founder of Maktoob in a press release issued by Yahoo. “We are excited about Yahoo building a stronger presence in the Middle East and bringing its compelling suite of services to Arab users in Arabic.”

The deal comes on the heels of an expected increase in regional online advertising, which is projected to grow by 35 to 40 percent this year according to Madar Research.

Saudi Arabia deals well with low oil prices

The outlook for the region’s largest economy, Saudi Arabia, will “remain broadly positive” despite the ongoing economic downturn, according to an International Monetary Fund executive board report released last month. The IMF expects the Saudi Economy to contract by 0.9 percent this year, down from a 4.2 percent growth in 2008, because of lower oil prices. The Fund praised the kingdom for its leadership in stabilizing oil prices through increasing market supply despite falling oil prices.

According to the IMF, the amount of gross domestic product that is derived from oil revenue in the kingdom is expected to shrink by 10.3 percent, while the non-oil sector is predicted to expand by 3.3 percent due to an increase in government expenditure. The Saudi government has been keen to invest in infrastructure projects since the onset of the global downturn. Accordingly, the kingdom has pledged $127 billion for infrastructure this year, which represents a $18 billion increase on the amount spent in 2008. The report also stated that the Saudi banking industry “remains profitable and well-capitalized with low non-performing loans,” while noting that the Tadawul, the Saudi Stock Exchange, fell 46 percent in the last quarter of 2008.

September 26, 2009 0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Internet & Communications TechnologySpecial Report

The next generation of business applications

by Executive Staff September 26, 2009
written by Executive Staff

There was a time when a computer was the size of an entire room and the only people who knew how to use it were the technology buffs at universities. Those days are over. Today almost a billion people worldwide have access to a computer or the Internet. Those billion people have also become accustomed to a flexible and personalized interaction with their computing devices and are today demanding the same from the systems they use in the workplace.

Accustomed to the latest Internet applications available in their homes, technology users at work are asking for more from the standardized information technology systems they use in the office. A recent study carried out by IFS showed that 80 percent of users want to be able to individualize their working environment, as they can on Google, Twitter or Facebook to boost their productivity. The ability to adapt business applications to a specific task, experience level and even the physical environment (on the road, for example), goes beyond simply the look and feel of an application interface and increased productivity. The idea is to design an ergonomic business application that can be truly tailored to the individual’s needs.

Enterprise software companies that manufacture organization-wide IT solutions have been slow to recognize the change in end-user expectations. The ‘20-somethings’ who grew up with the Internet are now taking on management roles and bring with them a level of expectation from software in the workplace that hasn’t been seen before. A total of 64 percent of our survey respondents said that these elements influence their buying decisions.

As such, the “add-on sale” business model that enterprise resource-planning software — the formal name for organization-wide software — offered in the 1990s is no longer up to par with component-based, agile systems that provide a significant level of individualization, which have become commonplace.

Web-based sites and applications, such as MSN, MySpace and Facebook were all designed to be as simple and easy to use as possible, not to mention readily accessible through different browsers and devices. Hence, it’s no surprise that 34 percent of people surveyed believe web-based applications are the most intuitive types of software to use.

With businesses beginning to seek applications which require less training before workers can be proficient users, ‘zero training’ applications such as those designed by Google are becoming the benchmark for the business application industry.

With only 6 percent of respondents to our survey claiming they do not waste any time using enterprise applications, there are clearly many software companies that need to improve the usability of their products in order to help staff do their job better.

So how can things be improved?

First, enterprise resource planning solutions need to provide users with the ability to personalize the user interface, something 80 percent of survey respondents agreed would help them improve personal productivity.

Second, solution providers need to enable their applications to incorporate, share and store information from web-based resources such as maps, travel information, prices and weather reports. These elements will prove essential to providing background information for business activities as diverse as planning work orders, scheduling visits from service engineers or adjusting project-based activities to fit with changes in demand, pricing, costs or available resources. Seventy-eight percent of survey respondents would like to have such capabilities.

The ability to easily search for and find information is also an essential item that has been generally overlooked by solution providers. According to the survey, searching for information was the second largest time-wasting activity for professionals. Integrating an intuitive Google-style search tool would make it easy and quick for users to find what they are looking for within business applications.

Finally, our research also showed that 89 percent of respondents agree that better collaboration with colleagues would improve the productivity of their organization. Today, users are accustomed to multiple channels of communication and data sources. Enterprise applications must also make it easier for workers to enlist the assistance of colleagues, delegate to team members, and follow up on others’ actions, while working with the processes and data held within the application.

Working with different types of information, colleagues and suppliers in a global and mobile market is a business reality we all face. Employees need and deserve a modern business system that they can individualize to enable them to work smarter to meet the demands their company places on them. This gives them the ability to individualize their working environment to fit their role, how they work, where they work, how they like to communicate while integrating multimedia web content to improve productivity and aid collaboration in the workplace. 

A software application with these capabilities will deliver a unique working environment for each member of staff. It will improve their productivity and their relationship with the system, bringing about a sea change in application design and delivering the vision of the ‘individualized’ business system. Solution providers would do well to listen to the call of the market.

Ian Fleming is managing director of IFS, Middle East, Africa and South Asia

September 26, 2009 0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Internet & Communications TechnologySpecial Report

Sami al-Basheer al-Morshid (Q&A)

by Executive Staff September 26, 2009
written by Executive Staff

Sami al-Basheer al-Morshid is the current director of the Telecommunication Development Bureau at the International Telecommunications Union (ITU), the United Nations agency that works with governments and the private sector to advance information and communications technology (ICT) worldwide. With more than 23 years experience in the regional and global telecommunications industry, al-Morshid has held several high-level posts within governments and the private sector, including the position of chief of the regional office for Arab states at the ITU. In August he sat down with Executive to offer his insights on the regional ICT sector and how countries in the region should reform the sector in order to meet global standards.

E Liberalization in regional markets has been slow to come about. Many governments in the region still view their existing telecommunications operators as cash-cows and this has resulted in prohibitive pricing and bad planning models. Do you see this changing, taking into account that the financial crisis is making governments more conservative in general? 

This is what we are trying to do at the ITU by organizing the global symposium for regulators, which will be held in Lebanon. Regulators from all over the world [will] come [together] in one place and exchange ideas, adopt best practices [and talk about] where it worked and where it didn’t, how much regulation is needed and how much involvement from the government is enough. It’s funny that we are talking about this at a time when we have a financial crisis, where even the most open market countries like the US and the UK are coming back and erecting [trade] barriers and adopting protectionism. We hope this will not happen in telecom, because we feel, and we have studies to prove it, that the ICT sector is the least affected by the financial crisis. It is going to be affected but it is the least affected. Some experts go even further and think this is the sector that is going to solve the problem of the whole world, even the financial problem. In short, yes, we feel there are steps being taken by governments themselves and through regional and multilateral forums like the ITU. We are trying to find the right balance in terms of a regulatory framework where you don’t have it completely free, but at the same time you have a balance [between government and regulator].

E When you start talking to governments about independent regulators, do alarm bells start going off as governments fear they will lose a major source of income?

That has been true until recent years. Many developing countries, including the Arab countries, thought [infrastructure and telecommunications were] a goldmine for the government’s budget. The good news is that when these governments realized this [the advantages of liberalization] and partially opened their markets, they had better services, more affordable prices and more output even in terms of government budgets. Because most developing countries, including Arabic countries, own the infrastructure, when you talk about the regulatory framework in Saudi Arabia or the United Arab Emirates, you find that 70 to 80 percent of the shares of these incumbent companies are still owned by the government.

But the good thing is they are working on a commercial basis. With only 30 percent of the shares of, for example, Etisalat or Saudi Telecom created, all of this improvement is in services. Can you imagine how it would be if you increase this [private] share of the market? I promote a gradual approach in this aspect. There is no single government in the world that opens up directly. Even the UK and France took a long time to do that. We try to talk a lot about the global village and open competition.

E In light of what you just said, how do Arab countries measure up to other developing nations?

The Arab countries are doing much better than a lot of developing countries. If we are talking about the Gulf countries, penetration rates for mobile [service] are over 100 percent. You have middle income countries like Egypt, Syria, Lebanon and others and you have the least developed counties, such as Yemen and Djibouti, where we have the biggest problem.

E So there really is an oil divide and that line is clearly drawn. Wouldn’t this logically mean that the middle to lower income economies would want to embrace liberalization faster, for commercial means at least? But this is not happening. Is it just because of the politics of poorer countries or are there other reasons?

In my personal opinion this is a misperception. The least developed counties in the region have financial problems and they are struggling. Although it is logical that they should open up, at the same time, it is a matter of administration and management, where they are so preoccupied with food, agriculture and security which is [the] number one [priority]. Iraq is a good example of a rich country where unfortunately the services are terrible, especially in fixed and broadband. It’s simply because they have other priorities. Security and stability are number one, [because] you don’t only attract direct investment but you also have the security to really have the confidence to open up the system. If you are hungry you don’t have time for luxury, although [ICT] is not a luxury anymore — it’s a basic need.

E What is the biggest concern for governments when they look at the private sector?

There are many things they look at. In some countries it’s for security reasons, and in others its competition for business. Who gets the largest piece of the cake? Is it my internal and domestic investors [and] how much I can guarantee them this? It’s about how the government can make sure that the whole population gets the benefits of this privatization and not only a rich businessman or individual who can take over the whole thing. That’s why you see that when most government offer their tenders after they open up, they have a consortium where they say, for instance, 30 percent [ownership] has to be from within and this has to be comprised of five or six unions from within the country. This is to avoid having one person or company control the sector. This is wise and has been done beautifully in some countries. Some countries are still reluctant to open up. We are working closely with them to encourage them to do so by giving them advice and training some of their people. The good news is that this is high on the agenda. In Syria we are expecting this to happen anytime.

E How about Lebanon’s regulator? There have been suggestions that the regulator is not independent of the government.

Lebanon has a regulator. I don’t know how independent the regulator is now but from what I see from the Lebanese government, they are heading toward that. Lebanon has a special situation. You remember that Lebanon was the first country to introduce mobile [and it had] the highest penetration in the Arab region. Security and regional conflicts affected the sector and this is understandable. This is a rich sector if you have the right transparent, independent rules and regulations — [then] the money is no problem, the money is there. But you have to make sure that it is transparent, it’s open and it’s fair competition, and those countries which have succeeded to do that have taken off in the right direction.

September 26, 2009 0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Internet & Communications TechnologySpecial Report

The big broadband JOKE

by Executive Staff September 26, 2009
written by Executive Staff

The long hours Lebanon’s Internet users spend sitting in front of their computers waiting for content to download is not the fault of some computer conspiracy. The decrepit state of the Internet is the result of poor governance, suffocating bureaucracy, illegal internet providers and sectarian politics. 

Illegal Internet networks made headlines last month when a microwave transmission connection installed on top of the Barouk Mountain in the Chouf region of Lebanon was alleged to have been taking bandwidth from Israel.

The incident set off a wave of accusations from Member of Parliament Ahmad Houry, part of the March 14 parliamentary bloc that won last June’s elections, against the present care-taker telecom Minister Gebran Bassil, who is part of the Free Patriotic Movement (FPM) opposition party. Houry claimed Minister Bassil was somehow involved in facilitating the illegal connection.  Hezbollah, allies of the FPM, said that the connection was discovered in April but “a large political party” had prevented the station from being raided earlier. The minister, who did not respond to requests for an interview, has denied the allegations. The station was installed in 2006, however, when Marwan Hamade — a March 14 ally — was telecommunications minister.

Sources in the telecommunications industry, who asked not to be identified in order to speak freely, told Executive that the station owner has not been arrested, which is “very weird,” said Habib Torbey, head of the Lebanese Telecommunications Association (LTA).

Mohamad Safa, an adviser to Bassil — who stressed that he speaks for himself and not the minister — said there were “many partners involved” in the Barouk business, which he claims is now being made an issue in order to maintain the “oligopoly” of Lebanon’s legal Internet providers, who are losing market share to unlicensed providers.

“Some of them [the partners] have been arrested and some have not, but there are no real details because these are security-related matters,” he added. “No one will be able to tell you who the ‘godfather’ is, and if they do they are lying.”

Ironically, the Barouk incident has also cast light upon how technically uncomplicated it would be to increase bandwidth in the country.

“The official sector has [a bandwidth of] only 1 gigabit per second (Gbps). The Israeli antenna of Barouk alone had 10 Gbps,” said Riad Bahsoun, telecom expert at the International Telecommunications Union (ITU), a UN agency for information and communications technology; Bahsoun also advises the Lebanese government on telecom issues. Telecom Minister Bassil recently contradicted this statement though, saying the station was only transmitting 300 megabits per second (Mbps). 

Does Lebanon have broadband?

Illegal Internet providers in Lebanon service more than half the market, and for good reason —  Lebanon’s legal internet is slow.  Even with these illegal suppliers, however, Lebanon’s market is grossly undersupplied.

Many Internet service providers, like Cyberia and IDM, as well as state provider Ogero, claim they provide broadband internet service.  That assertion is debatable. 

“Nothing [in the market] is really broadband,” said the LTA’s Torbey when asked why his company, GlobalCom Data Services, which owns Inconet Data Management (IDM), one of Lebanon’s largest Internet Service Providers, advertises their Internet service as broadband.

The definition of broadband is foggy. The International Telecommunication Union (ITU) defines broadband as a transmission capacity that is 1.5 to 2 megabits per second (Mbps). In the United States, the Federal Communication Commission is currently seeking public comment on what should constitute broadband, with the goal being to help consumers. The current minimum bandwidth to qualify as broadband in the US is 0.75 Mbps. The Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development defines broadband as 0.25 Mbps in at least one direction. This rate is the most common baseline that is marketed as “broadband” around the world. 

Salam Yamout, co-founding member of the Lebanese Broadband Stakeholders Group, a local lobby group that pushes for broadband in Lebanon, defines broadband as 100 Mbps “at the access point for businesses and people who require it.”

The Internet speeds available to the Lebanese public today vary from 0.125 Mbps to 2.3 Mbps.  Lebanon’s Internet download speed averages 0.59 Mbps, according to Ookla Net Metrics, an Internet diagnostic company. Ookla says the world average is about 10 times that, at 5.5 Mbps.

It’s astonishing to think that these speeds represent major  progress since Digital Subscriber Line (DSL) technology became available in the summer of 2007. 

“The introduction of DSL was a very good step although it was long, long, long overdue,” said Leila Serhan, country director at Microsoft Lebanon. “It is still a very shy step and [the slow speed] is definitely hindering the introduction of a lot of the services you can get on the Internet.”

That hindrance has led to a low penetration rate for Internet service, resulting in a vast untapped market for broadband Internet. With ADSL penetration, a precursor to broadband Internet, at less than 10 percent of the population and consumers willing to adopt new technologies, there is ample room for the market to grow, yet it has not.

“There is no network and there is no infrastructure,” said a multinational telecommunications executive who asked to remain anonymous in order to speak freely.

The lack of decent Internet has also hindered Lebanon’s business world. Khalil Letayf, deputy general manager of Société Générale de Banque au Liban and a member of the Lebanese Broadband Stakeholders Group, explained that because of the lack of broadband, his bank has to incur extra costs to make physical backups instead of transferring data over the Internet, due to of the lack of reliable infrastructure. He said that, as a result of operating in such an environment, the risk factors associated with all the banks have increased.

Why so slow?

Lebanon’s Internet market does not run on a network made for data, but rather one made for voice. The current network was built by Siemens, Ericsson and Nokia in the early 1990s with $1.3 billion of funding from the World Bank. There has been no comprehensive plan for improving the infrastructure since then.

“What Lebanon has done since 1994 is build [its telecom infrastructure] in blocks,” said the ITU’s Bahsoun. Bahsoun explains that in the 1990s telecom operations like Internet and mobile were separate, and “back then they didn’t know that all these [Internet and communications technology] services, were going to converge.”

Since then, there has been little restructuring and Lebanon’s telecom ministry today is a fragmented body with two general directorates, a separate office that deals with mobile communications and miles of red tape holding it all together.

Meanwhile, regional telecoms have stayed on the cutting edge of Internet technology and service. Telecom services have been combined and broadband with hassle-free, high-speed upload and download is a reality across the region — but not in Lebanon. Transfering data is a costly and cumbersome process that involves the converting the data into a format suitable for transmission over Lebanon’s archaic network. The result for consumers is low quality and speed in tandem with high costs. The economy surely suffers, as broadband penetration has become a key economic indicator. The World Bank estimates that every 10 percent increase in broadband penetration accelerates economic growth by 1.3 percent.

Lebanon’s telecommunications market indicators as of December 2008

Source: TRA Annual Report 2008
* Household penetration for residential subscribers
** Household penetration

Where’s the problem?

Because the government only allows Internet service providers (ISPs) a miniscule amount of bandwidth — the measure of available data communication resources — there is no variety in the market. The packages offered by the county’s ISPs are identical in terms of speed, meaning all the options available are relatively similar. What makes matters worse is that the ISPs impose download ceilings or charge for additional downloads above a certain level. This has resulted in a situation where the typical Internet user in Lebanon pays eight times more than a typical user in similar countries like Jordan and Egypt.

Unlike the rest of the telecom sector in Lebanon, which is owned by the government, the retail Internet market does operate under conditions of limited competition. That fact has spurred the growth of several ISPs and Data Service Providers (DSPs). Both are licensed by the Telecom Regulatory Authority (TRA), Lebanon’s telecom regulator — the only difference being that DSPs are assigned a certain frequency they can use to provide services. At present, there are around 20 ISPs and 6 DSPs and many are owned by the same people who typically have connections to politicians. One example is the CableOne DSP, which also owns the Lynx ISP, and is partly owned by Karim Hamade, the son of Lebanon’s previous telecom minister Marwan Hamade. One of the largest DSPs, Sodetel, is half owned by the Ministry of Telecommunications itself and Solidere, the large real estate developer which was founded by the late Prime Minister Rafiq Hariri.  The Hariri family also hold a major stake in the Cyberia ISP.

No matter how many connections exist or how much competition there is, without adequate infrastructure and capacity the market cannot grow. The problem is rooted in the amount of available bandwidth in the country and who controls it. Officially, the total amount of bandwidth in the country last january did not exceed 260 Mbps, according to the Telecom Regulatory Authority (TRA), but most observers put the figure today at around one Gbps. This, however, does not take into account the illegal market which controls “40 to 60 percent of the market,” according to Torbey. The Ministry of Telecommunications distributes all the bandwidth in the country and does not release detailed information, even to the TRA.

Monthly charge for 30 gigabytes of download using 1Mbps residential DSL

Source: Operator websites

How to make it better?

In order to legally increase the level of bandwidth however, sizeable investments have to be made to create a “national backbone” in Lebanon. The national backbone will be like an information superhighway that connects the major cities of Lebanon.

“Instead of a superhighway, what you have are small, small roads,” said Kamal Shehadi, chairman of the TRA. “The connectivity between these places is not what it should be.”

Bassil has announced several projects in order to upgrade the current infrastructure, including an upgrade of the existing system like the backbone project.

One development expected to take place is a pilot project in the Hamra and Ashrafieh districts of Beirut that will, in theory, lay down fiber cables. The $14 million project aims to supply better connectivity to residents as well as provide a reference for a previously announced project to build a national backbone that the ministry estimates will cost around $64 million. But even the pilot project has yet to commence and the budget has not been approved by the Council of Ministers.

“They need decisions and they have not got all the decisions,” said the ITU’s Bahsoun.

The decisions in question must be made by the telecom ministry. The telecom ministry today consists of two general directorates, the Directorate of Operations and Maintenance and the Directorate of Construction and Equipment. Moreover, the Directorate of Operations and Maintenance, headed by Abdulmenaim Youssef, also controls the government-owned company that runs the current Internet infrastructure holder, Ogero.

List of offers and prices in Lebanon as appearing on operators’ websites ($/month)

Notes:
.All ISPs except MoT are offering an unlimited download capacity at night with double the speed 
.Sodetel is offering an unlimited download package for 128 and 256 kbps speeds
.na = price not available on website / UL= Unlimited download capacity 
.Prices are subject to 10% VAT 
Source: Telecom Regulatory Authority

A mess of a ministry

“It is one of the most embarrassing aspects [of Lebanese telecoms] that the person implementing and supervising [the implementation] is the same person,” said Safa, the telecom minister’s advisor.

Youssef did not respond to repeated requests for comment. He was appointed to both posts by Lebanon’s former telecom minister Marwan Hamade in 2005. Beyond being a gross contravention of efficient corporate governance, the position that Youssef maintains has made it almost impossible to ascertain who is in charge of what at the ministry. When Executive called Naji Andraous, the director general of construction and maintenance, to acquire information about the status of the pilot project’s progress, Andaous’ office said that Youssef was in charge.

“Abdulmenaim Youssef is reluctant to progress in Lebanon [sic],” claimed Bahsoun.

Youssef held the position of general director of the Directorate of Operations and Maintenance from 1995 to 1999, when he was imprisoned and later released in an extremely politicized struggle for control over the telecom industry. He is widely seen as the representative of current caretaker Prime Minister Fouad Siniora and his political coalition’s interests.

“[Youssef’s] appointments were made at the behest of the previous governments and Prime Minister [Siniora],” says Safa.

It is worth noting that Safa is an advisor to telecom minister Bassil, who is part of the opposition to Siniora’s ruling March 14 coalition. The minister has become the focal point of Lebanon’s most recent political debacle between Michel Aoun, Bassil’s father in-law, and Saad Hariri, the prime minister-designate. Aoun is insisting that Bassil maintain his position at the helm of the telecom ministry.

But the fight over control of the sector seems to run much deeper than the ordinary squabbling between Lebanon’s politicians. Lebanon’s telecom law, Law 431, outlines the legal procedures that should be followed in order to reform the sector. The trouble is that the law has been implemented in pieces, and as such, its interpretation has been a contested topic between the TRA, the telecom ministry and all the political and commercial interests pegged to both bodies.

“If you implement [the law] in parts, especially when politics are involved, you take the parts that you like and the spirit of the law is lost,” said Safa.

The law calls for the creation of a joint stock company called Liban Telecom that will be granted a license to operate for 20 years and provide all other telephony services to the public. Liban Telecom will also acquire the assets of the current operator, Ogero, which includes the current Internet and phone network and any upgrades made to it.

The latest point of contention between the ministry and the TRA is how to increase the bandwidth in the country. Having already announced the expansion projects, the ministry’s current direction is to start by increasing the bandwidth themselves. Critics say the process is hampered by the inner workings of the ministry, especially Youssef’s offices.

Internet speed test from Executive’s offices in Beirut on a typical Monday afternoon in August

Source: Ookla Net Metrics

Evasive and unaccountable

“The minister asked in a letter about how the E1s are being distributed and the Abdulmenaim Youssef says ‘don’t respond,’” said Bahsoun. (An E1 is a measure of bandwidth equal to 2 Mbps). “When the minister calls [to follow up], he says ‘I don’t know, the letter went missing.’”

Even the Telecom Regulatory Authority’s annual report criticizes the telecom ministry because it will “only release limited information” about the current DSL market, “and as a result, it has been difficult to analyze the root causes of this slow development.” The report goes on to state that “it can be concluded that while some of the problems stem from anti-competitive behavior, others relate to the lack of appropriate investments.”

Factor in the political rivalries in Lebanon and the prospect of broadband becomes even less probable.

“If your objective is to make the minister fail then, you move like a tortoise and tell people that the minister does not act,” said Safa. [As stated above, calls to Youssef’s office to respond to these, and other statements, were not returned]. 

The other option on the table would be to allow the private sector to install, operate and provision broadband services. However, this too has become a point of contention between Lebanon’s ministry and its regulator.

The TRA wants to offer three “National Broadband Carrier Licenses” to the private sector which would allow them to install the fiber optic cables needed to facilitate broadband Internet and sell the services to end users. One of these licenses would legally have to go to Liban Telecom and other two would be offered in an open international auction. The proposal has been opposed by the minister who has issued his own policy paper stating that he would offer the already existing DSPs (data service providers) one of the two remaining licenses.

Proposed Telecom Regulatory Authority liberalization scheme

Source: TRA Annual Report 2008
Note: The above liberalization ‘roadmap’ was updated in line with the development of the market and presented by the TRA in December 2008.

TRA vs the telecom minister

“The T.R.A. prepared the tender for the mobile licenses and this process was suspended by political decision”

The ministry’s position has in part been facilitated by the fact that the law has not been fully implemented and Liban Telecom, the body that the TRA is mandated to regulate, does not exist.

“The [ministry’s policy paper] has a schizophrenic nature,” said Shehadi. “On the one hand it said the TRA is not respecting the law and it is being autonomous. On the other hand it said clearly ‘I want to change the law to make the TRA depend on and report to the minister.’”

Law 431 does say the minister is granted the authority to “establish the general rules for the regulation of telecommunications services in Lebanon” but it also says the TRA has the authority to “organize the bidding process, and issue, execute, oversee, amend, enforce, suspend and revoke licenses.” The minister’s policy paper also criticizes the TRA for not issuing licenses.

“That is bull,” said Shehadi angrily. “The TRA prepared the tender for the mobile licenses and this process was suspended by political decision, not by the TRA. The TRA has [also] issued licenses to about 6 DSPs and about 20 ISPs.”

Shehadi also criticized the minister for not forwarding the TRA’s draft licensing regulation to the Shura council, Lebanon’s highest court, in order to begin the bidding process. Safa defended the minister’s right to amend the legislation if he sees fit.

As far as the DSPs are concerned, they are happy to go along with the minister’s policy because it serves their purposes by protecting them from large international players.

Shehadi, on the other hand, says this policy and the position of the DSPs are putting Lebanon’s economic future at risk by erecting barriers to trade and going against the government’s stated liberalization policy.

“The four wireless service providers who claim, pretend or call for protection from foreign investors are jeopardizing Lebanon’s accession to the World Trade Organization, and Lebanon’s trade commitments to the European Union and to all of our trading partners, for very specific, vary narrow private interests,” Shehadi said, adding that any international player in his right mind “will ally with one of the incumbents,” so they should not fear international entrants.

“We are not trying to recreate a new monopoly or oligopoly,” protests the LTA’s Torbey. “We do believe in competition and free markets. He said that the TRA “cannot start with a clean slate as if nothing has happened in the past,” referring to their presence in the market and the preferential treatment they seek to gain.

Law 431, however, does state that “no discrimination or restrictions shall be imposed on providing the services, as no such restrictions shall be imposed on owning or operating the necessary infrastructure to provide these services.”

But it seems politics have once again stunted the implementation of the law. “In principle the TRA is right, but the minister is the political representative and implements the politics of the government,” said Safa.

Each delay makes the situation in the telecom industry worse and facilitates the wrangling for power over the sector

Liban Telecom and sectarian politics

When it comes to political appointments in Lebanon, horse trading is commonplace and as such the country’s politicians have yet to come to a consensus over the chairman and board of directors of Liban Telecom. Each delay makes the situation in the telecom industry worse and facilitates the wrangling for power over the sector. So why hasn’t Lebanon Telecom been established?

If it is ever created, Liban Telecom will be regulated by the TRA, thus releasing the control the ministry currently wields over the network as well as dissolving the current operator of the network, Ogero. This will mean that Youssef and the interests that he represents will also have less control over the sector.

Law 431 also states that the government “may, within a period of two years of the establishment of the company [Liban Telecom], sell a portion not exceeding 40 percent” to a strategic partner. That strategic partner could be anyone from the operators who are present on the market, such as Zain and Orascom, or those allied with political parties in Lebanon that have a stake in the telecom industry.

Whether or not there is a setup in the works may be one thing, but the creation of Liban Telecom also seems to hinge upon another of Lebanon’s more unpleasant sectarian realities.

“The [future] board of Liban Telecom will need to split according to the confessions of the members and a lot of power has been given to the chairman. The chairman will have to be decided on the basis of confession,” said Safa.

Here again there seems to be some horse trading at play because to appoint a member of one confession to a major post means there has to be a balance somewhere else. Sometimes that balance is not maintained and institutions function (or malfunction) without the presence of supervisors, or the intended accountability structures. The Lebanese government to date has failed to even appoint all of its mayors — the very officials who are responsible for providing basic services to the country’s population — let alone appointing the board of a nonexistent entity like Liban Telecom.

“You are in a country where there are sectarian issues,” said the ITU’s Bahsoun. “You have ministers who don’t know why they are ministers; it’s a system.”

Supposing Lebanon’s bickering politicians do eventually work out their differences over the telecom ministry, Liban Telecom, privatization, the national licenses, international commercial interests and the implementation of Law 431, serious work will have to be done to implement a national backbone. This would seem to be a tall order for Lebanon’s politicians who still cannot agree over the formation of a cabinet, let alone implement a progressive economic policy. One can’t forget that the same politicians who are hampering the advancement of an essential economic development tool were also elected last June by the people who still pay exorbitant fees for archaic Internet access.

But, as the ITU’s Bahsoun said: “If the people are happy, what can you do?”

September 26, 2009 0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
  • 1
  • …
  • 450
  • 451
  • 452
  • 453
  • 454
  • …
  • 696

Latest Cover

About us

Since its first edition emerged on the newsstands in 1999, Executive Magazine has been dedicated to providing its readers with the most up-to-date local and regional business news. Executive is a monthly business magazine that offers readers in-depth analyses on the Lebanese world of commerce, covering all the major sectors – from banking, finance, and insurance to technology, tourism, hospitality, media, and retail.

  • Donate
  • Our Purpose
  • Contact Us

Sign up for our newsletter

    • Facebook
    • Twitter
    • Instagram
    • Linkedin
    • Youtube
    Executive Magazine
    • ISSUES
      • Current Issue
      • Past issues
    • BUSINESS
    • ECONOMICS & POLICY
    • OPINION
    • SPECIAL REPORTS
    • EXECUTIVE TALKS
    • MOVEMENTS
      • Change the image
      • Cannes lions
      • Transparency & accountability
      • ECONOMIC ROADMAP
      • Say No to Corruption
      • The Lebanon media development initiative
      • LPSN Policy Asks
      • Advocating the preservation of deposits
    • JOIN US
      • Join our movement
      • Attend our events
      • Receive updates
      • Connect with us
    • DONATE