“But is he lucky?” Napoleon once asked about a general whose name was put forward for promotion. The French emperor knew the value of luck in war and leadership. It might be fun to speculate what the reply would have been if the officer’s name had been George Bush Jnr, for history is not likely to look back kindly at Bush Jnr’s years in the White House. The war in Iraq, Hurricanes Katrina and Rita, and soaring gas prices are starting to show signs of strain on the president, who must be cursing his own bad run of luck. Under the Bush administration America experienced its worst terrorist attack, which consequently led to the dual wars in Afghanistan and Iraq. Then, though through no fault of his, the president lost an entire city to a storm that devastated parts of the southern United States, blowing away 400,000 jobs and causing