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The Buzz

Business briefing: 26 Sept 2013

by Executive Staff September 26, 2013
written by Executive Staff

Economics and Policy

A new body has been established to monitor and combat the deadly Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS).

More from Arabian Business

 

Abu Dhabi's government has approved $4.3 billion in infrastructure and social welfare spending.

More from Gulf Business

 

Amid a boom in real estate, experts are urging Dubai's government to take steps to avoid another bubble in the sector.

More from Gulf Business

 

Iraqi authorities have threatened to cut off payments to the Kurdistan Regional Government if a new pipeline bypassing central government controls begins operations.

More from the Daily Star

 

 

Companies and Business

Dubai-based Emirates airline will receive seven more Airbus A380s by year's end, bringing the size of its A380 fleet to 43, says the company's president.

More from Gulf Business

 

Citigroup is seeking an injunction to block a claim of $4 billion by the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority. The Authority accuses Citigroup of breaches of contract and good faith. A similar complaint was dismissed earlier this year.

More from Gulf Business

September 26, 2013 0 comments
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Consumer Society

An evasive business

by Riad Al-Khouri September 25, 2013
written by Riad Al-Khouri

After decades of unbalanced economic growth amid pseudo-liberal reform, the Middle East exploded in the turmoil of the ‘Arab Spring’, and many of the business groups that anchored pre-2011 developments vanished from the political scene, or otherwise recast themselves.

Addressing this process, “Business Politics in the Middle East” looks at the role of the private sector in light of the recent regime changes, the role business plays in orienting state policies, lobbying of government by private sector interests and the mechanisms by which regimes seek to keep businesses dependent — important topics that usually do not get much attention.

The book also provides insights on some individual businesses, what their impact has been, and what their prospects are. Of particular interest is a discussion of the nexus between business and the Muslim Brotherhood, an especially timely topic in view of this summer’s developments in Egypt.

The editors, Steffen Hertog of the London School of Economics, Giacomo Luciani of the Paris School of International Affairs and Princeton University, and Marc Valeri of the University of Exeter are well known in Middle East scholarly and policy circles. Luciani is perhaps the most prominent, having worked extensively on the topic of rentierism in the Arab world with, among others, Hazem Beblawi, the current prime minister of Egypt.

The book’s starting point is that in the two decades before the ‘Arab Spring’, many Arab countries underwent a restructuring of state-society relations in which lower and middle-class interest groups retreated while big business benefited through integration into policy-making and opening of economic sectors previously dominated by the state.

The ‘Arab Spring’, which is likely to lead to a more pluralistic political order in the long term, has changed much of this, with the business segment of society that was often close to the old regimes playing a less pivotal role. However, this remains a work in progress, as the current process of change in Egypt, Tunisia, Syria, and other countries shows.

While the book was published in April of this year, it is not, strictly speaking, about the ‘Arab Spring’ — four of the book’s nine country case studies cover Gulf countries where there has been no upheaval, including Oman, Kuwait, the United Arab Emirates, and Iran, the latter of course not even being Arab. The project underlying the research started in 2007 under the heading of “The Role of the Private Sector in Promoting Economic and Political Reforms”. Many of the volume’s chapters were clearly begun pre-2011.

In some cases, prefatory remarks and new concluding paragraphs were added to update research that was mainly undertaken before the ‘Arab Spring’; and the overall effect is of writers running to catch up with current events. A two-part work might have been preferable: the first bit talking about the pre-2011 situation, followed by stand-alone country analyses of business politics in light of the ‘Arab Spring’ and what the future could bring.

However, to return to the Egyptian and other regional events of the past few months: is a third phase now beginning — perhaps a long ‘Arab Summer’ — that will see extended clashes between conservative and radical forces? If so, where does business fit in scenarios of the next stage of regional turmoil? The whole question of business politics might be submerged by the current lack of certainty; in the words of Robert Springborg, author of one of the book’s two fine essays on Egypt, “such uncertainty is certainly not advantageous to business, so for the immediate future it will be on the sidelines as the political struggle is played out by more powerful forces.”

Is this book now therefore a document of the past, and does the whole story of business and the ‘Arab Spring’ need to be rewritten in another effort? The answer is that, as it stands, Business Politics in the Middle East is a solid contribution to the literature on the political economy of the region, but nevertheless will need updating in a new edition soon.

Riad al-Khouri, a Jordanian economist who lives and works on the region, is principal of DEA Inc, Washington DC
 

September 25, 2013 0 comments
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The Buzz

Business briefing: 25 Sept 2013

by Executive Staff September 25, 2013
written by Executive Staff

Economics and Policy

The Lebanese Army is not under Hezbollah’s control despite criticism from some groups, and international support for the military is critical, President Michel Sleiman said in remarks published on Tuesday.

More from The Daily Star

 

Saudi Arabia tops the list of countries for laws that limit women’s economic potential, while South Asia, the Middle East and North Africa have made the least progress over the last 50 years in improving women’s economic opportunities, a new report said.

More from Reuters

 

Saudi Arabia and the UAE are set to show strong growth in the next two years as a result of infrastructure development and successful diversification of the economy, according to credit insurance agency Euler Hermes.

More from Gulf Business

 

Dubai could benefit from a windfall of $23bn if it is successful in its bid to host World Expo 2020, according to a new report.

More from Arabian Business

 

Companies and Business

Dubai’s Habtoor Leighton Group (HLG) has signed a $517m deal with the Al Habtoor Group to be the main contractor for the $1.33bn Al Habtoor City.

More from Arabian Business

 

Megaprojects in Lebanon are continuing to be built despite the tough economic circumstances.

More from The Daily Star

 

Middle East carriers are expected to post profits of $1.6 billion, overshooting the projected target of $1.5 billion, according to the International Air Transport Association’s (IATA) industry outlook for 2013.

More from Gulf Business

September 25, 2013 0 comments
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Business

Following the crowdfunding

by Thomas Schellen September 25, 2013
written by Thomas Schellen

It is rare enough that a Dubai-based financial venture sees Lebanon as one of its key target markets and is eager to set up a Beirut office during these confusing times. It is rarer still that a new option is offered whereby Lebanese entrepreneurs can access that extremely scarce resource: affordable equity funding. The conflux of these two factors in the new crowd investing platform Eureeca in itself makes the venture worth looking at, even as their particular version of the crowdfunding concept, which claims to be the first “global solution” of its kind, raises its own cloud of questions. 

For small and medium enterprises (SMEs) in Lebanon, the venture wants to serve as a vehicle to raise equity in an open-access private placement structure. From the perspective of financial markets, Eureeca hopes to complement established but very restrictive funding organizations such as investment banks, venture capital and private equity players.

Related article: Zoomal, Lebanon's online project funding site

The company could be a positive threat to established capital raising practices handled behind closed doors in investment banks, says Eureeca’s general manager Sam Quawasmi, a former investment banker. “The internet disrupted a lot of businesses and a lot of sectors over the last decade but finance has not been disrupted yet. I think that crowd investing will disrupt the way in which finance is being conducted right now,” he says as he explains his passion for the enterprise. “What I like about it very much is changing the way of finance to a much cleaner, newer way of finance. It will provide a mechanism where raising capital or selling shares will happen in a much cleaner and more transparent manner.”

Eureeca launched operations in May, about a year after first announcing itself as a startup in beta testing. On both occasions, the company’s cofounders — Quawasmi and business partner Chris Thomas — made well-orchestrated marketing noise in local and regional media. A third jubilant publicity push came in early July when Nabbesh.com, an online skills matching site, achieved its funding target of $100,000 after a 12-day equity raising campaign on Eureeca.

Nabbesh was promoting itself beside two other companies on the platform in Eureeca’s first round of sparring with potential investors. There was no PR push and no statement on the site in August when the 90-day fundraising period for the other two companies expired without them having reached anywhere near their respective equity raising targets of $300,000 and $630,000.

However, the flop rate is calculated and in the long term will probably be much higher than two out of three. Like in all appeals for capital to angel investors, venture capitalists or private equity players, failures will always outnumber the successes also under the crowd-investing model, Quawasmi concedes. He sees a 25 percent success rate as possible, an optimistic estimate when compared with the humble success rates that SMEs have in conventional capital raising, often around the single digit percentages.

According to Quawasmi, the companies that Eureeca wants to see on the platform are to be operational and revenue making. This means there is room for nascent business plans but indifference to funding less profitable personal education or music projects — the norm on the largest crowd funding sites, Kickstarter and Indiegogo. 

The company expects that the first year of operations will yield some 20 to 30 successful funding events out of 70 to 100 companies that would appeal on the platform for equity. The minimum investment that each company is supposed to look for is $20,000, but there is no upper limit and the preferred ticket size is well above the minimum. “Our sweet spot is between $2 and 5 million in terms of valuation of companies who are looking to sell 5 to 10 percent [in equity] in exchange for $300,000 to $500,000,” says Quawasmi.

Companies should not expect to rely on an online version of cold calling to reach such targets. Statistics quoted by Eureeca show that the first tier of the funding crowd comprise relatives, friends, clients and existing stakeholders who contribute 30 to 40 percent of the investment that the company seeks. Attracting a second tier of investors relies on the buzz that the internal crowd of family, friends and fans generates around a company.

In Quawasmi’s opinion, the close relationship between equity seekers and their internal crowd also makes it less likely that fraudulent and pretend ventures will appear on the platform. “When a business like a pizzeria reaches out to its own friends and family and clientele to get them to participate in the success of their approach, we don’t think that the SME would think of defrauding its own friends and family and future client base,” he says but admits to a “high risk of general failure” as Eureeca is in essence “merely a transparent market place”.

Rules of the game

Eureeca’s contribution to the realm of online financing in this sense is an offshore structure that makes crowd investing legally viable for companies from numerous jurisdictions — but one learns by digging into the FAQ section of the site that SMEs cannot apply if they are based in Saudi Arabia, Japan, the United Kingdom, the United States or “any country on the Financial Action Taskforce list”.

Money laundering watchdog FATF issues two lists of no-go and strategically deficient countries. Iran is one of two in the first category along with North Korea; the second category currently has 12 countries, among them Yemen, Syria, Turkey, Pakistan and Indonesia. Eureeca’s count of 18 barred jurisdictions means that not only the world’s most vibrant entrepreneurial ecosphere, the US, is excluded but so are sizeable chunks of the Middle Eastern and Islam-centric markets. 

To be prepared for scrutiny by suspicious authorities such as FATF, Eureeca is protecting itself against running afoul of anti money-laundering rules by a layer of one-time compliance checks that investors have to undergo. To be active on the site, investors have to pay a $15 fee for the third-party compliance service. Equity seekers also have to undergo “certain due diligence and compliance checks,” Quawasmi says. “Both parties in this game will be compliant.”

There is no indication that the business model includes any assumption of liability for the investments that are promoted. Other than accommodating SMEs with room to display their business plan documentation and projections, Eureeca stays clear of scrutinizing company financials anzd such things. It alerts its equity seekers, however, to their legal responsibility to “act truthfully at all times” and provide “clear, honest answers” to all questions from the investor crowd.

The Eureeca operational philosophy then is crowd rule based on the assumption that, as Quawasmi puts it, “money is efficient. We leave it up to the entrepreneur to apply his own valuation, whether through an independent party or not. It is completely democratic.” He expects to see companies approach the platform with over- and understated valuations but insists that it will be up to the market to believe or disbelieve these valuations.

Under the all-or-nothing principle, the equity seeking company will receive the collected funds only if the full target is met. The success orientation of Eureeca means the platform owners get paid only if the full funding targets are achieved. Only in this case, they take a cut of 7.25 percent from the total while the investors receive shares in correspondence to their investment.

These shares, under current setup, are not tradable in any form, Quawasmi says, meaning that investors who want to divest have to offer them to the issuer and are not allowed to sell at all if the issuer declines to buy and gives no permission to sell to a third party.  
These and other policies and standards, however, appear to be works in progress along with other aspects of the operational formula — such as a system to rate investors or the company’s recipe for attracting franchisees which would represent and promote the platform under some kind of profit sharing formula in geographic territories. Another option is partnership with an insurer that would underwrite the risk investors take on the platform. 

The ambiguity of some points is not surprising. Crowd investing guidelines, regulations and best practices are currently in the early phase of formation across international markets if legislators and regulators have even looked into them. On the practical side, the biggest project funding success stories so far were the $10.3 million raised in 2012 for Pebble, a smartwatch, and $12.8 million raised last month for Ubuntu Edge, a smartphone. Both campaigns offered their product-to-be to donors but the Ubuntu campaign, although being the top-grossing crowd funding story to date, reached only 40 percent of its target and effectively didn’t get any funding out of the effort. This example alone speaks to the need for entrepreneurs and platform operators to get smarter on the processes and develop the options that will make basic crowdfunding perform in the long run, let alone the need for more complex crowd investment methodologies where commercial transaction parties, investors, financial watchdogs and a plethora of national regulators and legislators are stakeholders.

Eureeca, which according to Quawasmi raised capital of $3.25 million from a crowd of 17 investor-shareholders before its launch, is coming to Beirut with plans to have an office up and running within this or the next quarter. One of its selling points to the local market is that high-profile financial head Nasser Saidi is an investor and deputy chairman of Eureeca’s board of directors. Featured in the testimonials section of the Eureeca homepage, Saidi’s comment on the company reads, “Eureeca.com enables the enablers.”

The marketing mantra that Quawasmi and Thomas use in communicating their company is total confidence that crowd investing will become an integral part of the financial industry within the next decade. “I think in 10 years’ time we will look back and ask how on earth did we exist without crowdfunding and crowd investment?” enthuses Quawasmi, who is not averse to being considered as a contender for the next Arab internet billionaire.

September 25, 2013 0 comments
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The Buzz

Business briefing: 24 Sept 2013

by Executive Staff September 24, 2013
written by Executive Staff

Economics and Policy

France has cleared the use of frozen Syrian bank assets to fund the export of food to the country as part of a European Union system that allows such funds to be used for humanitarian ends.

More from Reuters

 

Elsewhere, France's foreign minister has said he expects the UN Security Council to agree on a resolution to enforce the chemical weapons deal with Syria.

More from Reuters

 

The UAE economy will grow by 3.5 percent this year, according to credit insurance giant Euler Hermes.

More from Arabian Business

 

Israel will offer the Palestinians a broad package of new economic projects for the West Bank and the Gaza Strip during a donors’ conference at the United Nations in New York today.

More from The Financial Times ($)

 

Companies and Business

Smartphone maker BlackBerry has agreed to go private in a $4.7 billion deal led by its biggest shareholder, allowing the on-the-go email pioneer to regroup away from public scrutiny.

More from Reuters

 

Real Madrid have canceled a planned $1 billion football-themed resort in the United Arab Emirates after the project’s organizer defaulted on payments.

More from Bloomberg

 

Qatar Petroleum, the state-owned energy firm, has picked two banks to help arrange an initial public offer of shares in one of its units, an issue which could be worth around $880 million.

More from Reuters

September 24, 2013 0 comments
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Business

Renaud Pretet

by Yasser Akkaoui September 24, 2013
written by Yasser Akkaoui

Luxury swiss watchmakers Jaeger-LeCoultre are expanding their flagship boutique in Lebanon — owned by Atamian.  Executive sat down with  Renaud Pretet, regional brand director for Jaeger-LeCoultre in the Middle East, India, Turkey and Greece, to discuss the regional market in these difficult economic times.

Where would you position Jaeger-LeCoultre within the watch industry?

It is hard to position Jaeger-LeCoultre because technically we can do everything and have created everything for the last 108 years, from the smallest spare parts to the highest complication. So we have the Reverso which is a watch that can start at 6,000 euros and we also have the highest complication in the world which is the Hybris Mechanica Grande Sonnerie which is a watch that is valued at 1.2 million euros. What is common and could be defined as the position of the brand is the spirit of invention and for this we have registered more patents than any other watch company, more than 400 patents.

Which category within your line sells the most per number?

Per number, technically, the Reverso is still the bestseller because the Reverso can be found at 6,000 euros. If you talk about turnover and not quantities, the high complication provides more of the base because it is much more expensive — more than 100,000 euros and up to 1 million euros — so few quantities are sold but the highest turnover is from them.

Are the demands for these complications more in the American market, the European market or the Asian market?

Historically the American market is very much geared toward sports watches. Europe is a good market —and I would add Lebanon here — you have very strong collectors or even a connoisseur who buys and knows about the technical content of the watch, not just its resale value. This is the market that is interesting for us — the connoisseurs — and you have a lot of those in any market influenced by Europe. For the last four years, we have had a push from China which is picking up very quickly on the collectibles segment and is learning fast about the technical aspects of the watch because historically China and Japan have an appreciation of fine arts and care about the ‘know how’ and craftsmanship. We consider Europe and China our strongest markets and our new markets are the Middle East and America.

But Lebanon has been in a crisis for the last few years. Not only did the international financial crisis affect it but so did the recent regional developments, especially in Syria, which has affected the Lebanese purchasing power. How is this reflected in the numbers and performance of LeCoultre in Beirut?

First of all, despite this crisis, we are extending the boutique so this should give you an indication of how the brand is performing and how confident we are in the brand. Secondly, in times of crisis, people who used to buy three or four watches would reduce their purchase to one or two credible watches with good resale value so within them you might have Jaeger-LeCoultre. So it does not affect [us] so much actually, not in Lebanon and not even at a worldwide level. If you look at the statistics from the Swiss industry, you will see that the high-end segment — even in times of crisis — is still performing very well.

Why is that?

Because the rich in times of crisis seize the opportunity and become even richer; it is the history of crisis, whether we like it or not. The brands that have been affected are the sports watches or the ‘bling bling’ showoff watches as the rich are requiring more discreet classical and traditional watches, and this has benefited us.

Is your flagship in Lebanon fully owned by LeCoultre or is it an agency?

Technically, you cannot own a shop if you don’t have a subsidiary in the country and Richmond [owners of LeCoultre] has no subsidiary anywhere in the country. Secondly, especially in a country and market that is new to us and where the relationship is very important, we work with partners who have a long relation with the clientele. It is owned by Atamian Boutiques [as an agency].

And Atamian is the only agency for LeCoultre in Lebanon?

We don’t have agency and we don’t give exclusivity to any country in the world. We have different retailers in different countries and in Lebanon, we have Cadrans as well.

Who is faring better in terms of sales?

Having a boutique provides a strong advantage simply because in a boutique, the retailer’s experience is something that tourists are looking at: people who are coming for a vacation look on the website for a boutique. So having a boutique in the Gold Souks attracts tourists. Talking about the local market, both partners have their own strengths in creating a relation with the local market.

So you are enlarging your flagship in Lebanon?

Yes, we are enlarging it by 10 [square] meters so far. We have 54 boutiques in the world, which is the biggest number of boutiques for a pure watchmaker, and there will be 100 boutiques globally within two years. We have a 500 square meter flagship in Paris, the biggest boutique of any watchmaker in Paris. Lebanon, with the size of 60 square meters (sqm), is still well behind the dimension of the brand that we should have for a proper boutique. We should have more than 100 sqm in Lebanon because our offer is very large and the boutique needs to reflect that.

During crisis, a lot of partners — and in order to keep up with the expectations of the brand — tend to give too many discounts or sometimes even dump watches on the market. How do you work with your partners in order for them not to resort to this?

First of all, we trust our partners because usually they are long-term partners. If they wanted to play these kinds of pricewar games, I don’t think it would be a good strategy for them. Secondly, there are a lot of products which are already in short supply at Jaeger-LeCoultre so there is no reason to discount when we cannot deliver most of the products.

Any final words?

Because of its positioning, Lebanon is a fantastic bridge between the Middle East and Europe. Everything we do in Lebanon has an impact on and facilitates the job we are doing in the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Qatar because Lebanon is an image for those countries in terms of trendsetting. The great thing is that Jaeger-LeCoultre is already popular in Lebanon because of your understanding of fine watchmaking through your relation to Europe; you understand the brand and that helps with the job we are doing in the Middle East Peninsula to promote the brand.

September 24, 2013 0 comments
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Society

All the world’s a canvas

by Lemma Shehadi September 24, 2013
written by Lemma Shehadi

“Moving [to London] shows that [modern and contemporary] art from the Middle East has matured to the point where it is ready for an international audience,” explains Hisham Samawi, co-owner of Ayyam Gallery, sitting in their space in London’s New Bond Street, nestled among Mayfair’s historic and established galleries. 

Art collectors and cousins Khaled and Hisham Samawi set up Ayyam Gallery, a contemporary art gallery for Middle Eastern artists, in Syria’s capital Damascus in 2006. The pair were struck by the amount of untapped talent in their home country. “When we first started in Syria, there was no contemporary art scene, there was no market, no collector basis supporting it — the infrastructure wasn’t there,” explains Hisham. 

Lebanese artist Nadim Karam’s exhibition at the Ayyam Gallery in London

 

Representing 28 artists from Tehran to Beirut, they have since expanded and opened spaces in Dubai, Beirut, London and Jeddah. “I would say we’re the biggest and the most aggressive,” claims Khaled, a retired banker, when asked about the role of his gallery within the burgeoning Middle Eastern modern and contemporary art market. “We take a lot of risks, because we really believe in what we’re doing,” he adds.

Swimming against the tide

“There have always been Middle Eastern art galleries, especially in Lebanon,” says an events coordinator at the Beirut Exhibition Center, but “what distinguished Ayyam was their ability to expand so quickly”. Ayyam’s second gallery opened in Dubai in 2008, four months before the peak of the financial crisis marked by the fall of Lehman Brothers in September of that year. “When everyone was freaking out and reeling in, we opened a new branch in Beirut a few months later,” says Hisham, a part-time DJ who grew up in New York. This year, they expanded to two new cities: London, where they opened in January, and Jeddah, opening in February.

The Samawis were not the only ones attracted by London’s buzzing art market this year. The United Kingdom-based non-profit group Edge of Arabia (EoA) also opened their first gallery space in a warehouse in London’s Battersea area in April. Founded in 2008 as a non-profit community interest company, with independent sponsors and patrons looking to raise awareness and appreciation for Saudi Arabian art, EoA now reach out to artists from all over the Middle East. The gallery has featured the works of renowned Saudi Arabian artists Manal al-Dowayan and the Alem sisters, Raja and Shadia, who represented the kingdom at the 2011 Venice Biennale. Located close to the Royal College of Art and not too far from Chelsea’s renowned art galleries, EoA Testbed, the new London space, is composed of a 325 square meter area for contemporary art and another 930 square meter space for events and experimental shows.
Auction sales in the region are a good indicator of the progression of the Middle Eastern modern and contemporary art market since 2006. The peak came in the spring of 2008, when Christie’s Dubai accrued $16.9 million at their April auction, after what ArtTactic viewed as “two years of rapid growth”. A few months later, in the wake of the global financial crisis, Christie’s October sale achieved only $7 million, a 58 percent drop and 41 percent less than the pre-sale estimate. Since then, the market has grown slowly, without ever reaching its 2008 peak.

Hisham and Khaled Samawi

 

The impacts of the 2011 Arab world revolutions on the art market are not yet clear. Some collectors are predicting an explosion of art from the post-revolutionary Arab states, but for the Samawi cousins, the revolutions were a difficult time for their gallery. “We survived the Arab Spring,” says Khaled. To ensure the wellbeing of their Syrian artists, the gallery funded their relocation to neighboring countries and continues to support them financially. Their headquarters in Damascus were partly shut down; the staff have relocated to Dubai.

This year, however, auctions of modern and contemporary Middle Eastern art at Sotheby’s in Doha and Christie’s in Dubai brought in over $10 million, doubling the value reached in last year’s spring auctions. According to ArtTactic,“this result … could signal a renewed interest and confidence in the market.”

Out of the wild

But what is most telling about the success of the Middle East art market is perhaps the move of galleries to London this year. Why London as the first Western destination? “I think London is the art capital of Europe,” says Khaled. According to Sarah al-Faour, head of strategy and partnership at EoA, “London is a cosmopolitan city, and it will attract people of all nationalities.”

When it comes to Middle Eastern art, Khaled sees a market that has “matured pretty quickly” and is no longer the “wild west” it was ten years ago. “The speculators are now at home, and it’s a very serious market, with serious players, artists and collectors. Unless you do your job properly and show the best art, then nobody’s going to look at you.” Collectors, he argues, can feel safe in the Middle Eastern art world. “You have seven to eight years of price data, exhibition history, reviews and critiques to rely on.”

And the next stop for Ayyam? They are thinking about southeast Asia, where they would be following in the footsteps of the Lebanese-owned Sana Gallery set up in Singapore in 2012 by Assaad Razzouk, a Lebanese clean energy entrepreneur. “Southeast Asia is booming right now. You have a whole middle class hungry for something new,” Hisham says. And yet again, the risks seem rather high. “We don’t know if there will be interest for Middle Eastern art; we need to go there and create it.”

September 24, 2013 0 comments
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The Buzz

Business briefing: 23 Sept 2013

by Executive Staff September 23, 2013
written by Executive Staff

Economics and Policy

The number of tourists to Lebanon dropped by 10 percent in the first eight months of 2013 compared to the same period last year, with European visitors topping the list ahead of Arabs for the first time in years.

More from The Daily Star

 

Companies and Business

Dubai has appointed Essa Kazim, currently chief executive of bourse operator Dubai Financial Market (DFM), as the new governor of the emirate’s tax-free financial zone, state news agency WAM reported.

More from Reuters

 

Around two thirds of the small and medium enterprises (SMEs) in Saudi Arabia are planning to expand in international markets, a survey found.

More from Gulf Business

 

A planned $1 billion Real Madrid-branded resort in Ras al-Khaimah (RAK) has been scrapped after the project organiser defaulted on payments.

More from Arabian Business

 

Qatar National Bank (QNB) has signed a 10 year QR1.548bn ($425m) loan facility agreement with United Development Company (UDC), the master developer behind The Pearl-Qatar in Doha.

More from Arabian Business

September 23, 2013 0 comments
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Society

The great outdoor

by Nabila Rahhal September 23, 2013
written by Nabila Rahhal

The rooftop and outdoor bars concept is nothing new to Lebanon’s nightlife. It took off almost 14 years ago with the original SkyBar on Palm Beach Hotel’s rooftop, which created a lasting buzz among Lebanese socialites. But the introduction of the indoor smoking ban in September 2012, coupled with the Lebanese penchant for a puff seems to have enhanced the appeal of such venues and made them necessary for nightlife owners to stay in the game. “It is now even more the trend to be outdoors in the summer especially since the start of the smoking ban,” says Michel Elefteriades, owner and founder of Music Hall which opened its outdoor location in Beirut Waterfront District last month.

Venues that already have outdoor terraces, such as the bars dotting downtown Beirut’s Uruguay Street, have become even more popular during the summer season. This year five new bars opened there during the early weeks of the season in anticipation of the additional inflow of clients. A quick walk down the strip on any day of the week reveals full terraces in almost all venues, with people crammed in shoulder to shoulder. 

Yet Toni Rizk, managing partner of two new bars that have recently opened on Uruguay — Nu and Gatsby — believes the success of such bars during the summer season cannot be taken at face value, as terrace clientele tend to be transient and care more about being outdoors than the venue itself. “All the terraces on the street are almost full, but go into the bar itself and there is practically no one. You cannot measure the success of a new venture until the winter season because of this,” says Rizk.

Owners of venues with no outdoor area have had to think creatively in order to weather the summer storm. Some have adopted the strategy of closing down their venues for the summer and hosting weekly outdoor parties on rented grounds instead. The sheer numbers that attend weekly parties make it a profitable venture for these pub owners, who would not have attracted such crowds had they relied on keeping their indoor venue open all summer long.

Music Hall has had another strong summer

 

Decks on the Beach, which hosts international DJs every Friday at Sporting Beach Club in Ain El Mreiseh throughout summer, is one of the most successful weekly outdoor parties. It was started last year by the owners of nightclub Behind the Green Door (BTGD), which shuts down in summer. “When we understood that BTGD wouldn’t be working as well in the summer, we had to find a location and we knew the owners of Sporting Club so we proposed a formula to them, and they accepted,” explains Olivier Gasnier Duparc, one of the founders of BTGD.

While last year’s parties saw peaks and dips in numbers, this year’s Decks are performing more solidly with a stable average of 1,500 people a night. Learning from last year’s experiences, this year’s parties started earlier in the season (in May) and will end whenever the weather deteriorates. According to Gasnier Duparc, Decks is successful because of the positive energy and the naturally breezy climate of Sporting Club. The average bill for a Decks party is also more reasonable than that for a night on a rooftop bar — $20, drinks not included.

Others with indoor venues have chosen to set up a more permanent — albeit still seasonal — base and have opened up “summer only” venues, which operate until early October.

The most popular of these temporary venues this year is The Garten, which is run by the group behind Hamra underground nightclub Uberhaus, and opens every Saturday in a purpose-built venue next to Biel. The opening night of The Garten, which caters mainly to a younger crowd, had 2,800 people in attendance with an average of 2,000 every week since.

Arriving a little late to the party season was the outdoor venue for Music Hall, which has made up for lost time and is already fully booked on its operating days — Wednesday through Sunday— until the end of September. Following the same structure of the indoor Music Hall, Elefteriades adopted the concept of an opera house among the chaos by using the rusty containers and sandy dunes on the premises to his advantage and incorporating them within the décor. 

Investments in such venues are typically low as the land is rented on a seasonal basis and the staff and often the furniture are borrowed from the original venue. Nabil Hayek returned his $150,000 investment in Garden State, a new open-air bar in Sin El Fil, by the end of August. With an average of 200 people on weekdays, Hayek, who owns indoor bar Secteur 75, is satisfied with Garden State’s performance. Thursday is their busiest day, as on the weekends bigger parties draw the crowds away.

Owners of seasonal outdoor venues are using the downtime of their indoor venues constructively. Elefteriades talks about plans for a fully renovated Music Hall in Starco as they have been open for 11 years with the same décor and it is “time for a change,” he says. Meanwhile Gasnier Duparc plans to incorporate a small outdoor patio area at BTGD to prepare for after the summer. “We underestimated the effect of the smoking ban last year so this summer we are using the closure time to renovate Behind the Green Door into a completely different place.”

So long as the sun shines, outdoor venues will continue to be popular with Lebanese partygoers, but the winter season will show which venues were built to last.

 

Note: This article originally said that Garten was open Fridays and Saturdays, this was incorrect. It is only open Saturdays.

September 23, 2013 0 comments
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Closing the gap

by Jad Chaaban September 21, 2013
written by Jad Chaaban

During the recent launch of the World Bank report on Lebanon’s economic performance, some participants argued that the proposed salary adjustment, if implemented, would have dire consequences for the Lebanese economy.

They went on to state that salary changes would increase inflation due to higher taxes, raise the cost of finance to the private sector through higher interest rates, and entrench inefficiency in the public sector because of the non-meritocratic nature of the adjustment. These allegations are at best misleading.

For one, an increase in taxes will not raise the cost of living if the right tax is imposed; the interest rates on private sector loans will not necessarily increase since interest rate determination in Lebanon is not subjected to market dynamics as often claimed; and linking wage increase to public sector reform, although highly desired, will not happen because of the sectarian nature of the state. Before tackling each of these issues, let us look at the context.

Read the counter argument: Lebanon’s strikes missing the point

Following several strikes and demonstrations early in 2013 by civil servants and teachers in both public and private schools, the Lebanese Government approved in March 2013 (prior to its dissolution) a salary scale adjustment for public sector employees. The new public sector wage scale, along with a suggested revenue package to finance its costs, was passed on to Parliament where they are supposed to be being scrutinized.

The Union Coordination Committee, the body representing the interests of the 230,000 civil servants and public teachers (16 percent of the labor force), argues that the increase is necessary to compensate for the loss in purchasing power of salaries since 1997. The Lebanese Government has only increased public sector salaries twice since 1997: In 2008 there was a lump-sum adjustment of LL200,000 ($133), and in 2012 a new wage-hike decree increased salaries between LL175,000 ($115) and LL300,000 ($200). These increases were deemed insufficient by civil servants and their representatives, as inflation has exceeded 100 percent since 1997. This meant that nominal salaries and pensions lost a sizeable chunk of their value over this period. In fact, the share of wages in GDP has declined to a mere 22 percent, down from almost 60 percent in the seventies.

Opponents of the wage increase, which include several ministers, private sector representatives and also international development agencies, argue that the substantial cost of the wage adjustment (estimated at an average annual additional expenditure of $1.3 billion, or 3 percent of GDP) would have dire consequences on the economy. For them, if adopted, the new salary scale would increase expenditures, and since public debt is already too high, it must be financed through new or increased taxes. This would raise the cost of living (price inflation) and cause further recession in the economy. They go on to argue that any wage increase must be preceded by a revision of tasks and an improvement in efficiency in order to also deal with a bloated and inefficient public sector.

In fact, there are several fallacies in the opponents’ arguments. First, increasing taxes does not automatically lead to higher inflation, as this depends on the type of taxes imposed on one hand, and on the ability of the production sector to transfer the tax burden over to the consumer on the other. For instance, adding the revenue stamp value to the telephone invoice (which is one form of indirect taxes being proposed) directly affects telecommunications cost. However, the tax on real estate profits, a direct tax, will not automatically increase the prices of offices or apartments because the real estate speculator, as an investor, cannot increase the price of real estate properties to compensate for the tax impact, as these prices are subject to supply and demand. Note that taxes on profits are very low in Lebanon compared to GDP (less than 2 percent), given that tax evasion is widespread at all levels. Therefore, the Lebanese economy can bear the burden of additional direct taxes, especially those imposed on high profits from real estate income gains and other types of rentier income.

Second, several opponents of the wage increase warn that interest rates on Treasury Bills must be raised to fund the deficit, which is attributed to higher wage expenditure, which will eventually lead to higher cost of lending for the private sector. This argument is simply not true. The Treasury Bills in Lebanon are not subject to the classic laws of supply and demand, given the close ties between the private local banking sector (that takes up the majority of the public debt) and the Government (be it the central bank or the Ministry of Finance).

The argument regarding the impact on the cost of lending to the private sector may be acceptable in a country with an efficient financial market, as interest rates in banks tend to follow interest rates on treasury bills. However, Lebanon has inefficient markets, and banks do not play a real role in lending to the productive sectors at low interest rates and with facilitating terms. Local banks are very pleased with their fixed income from the Government’s Treasury Bills, and therefore they do not engage in serious competition to lower their cost of lending to the private sector.

Third, the argument that efficiency and productivity should be the real motive behind any wage increase is not in tune with the current dynamics of the Lebanese economy. While it is imperative to rationalize the public sector and increase its productivity, it is widely accepted that in Lebanon, any serious reform is simply impossible given the sectarian nature of the Lebanese state and the deep divisions characterizing the local political scene. Denying civil servants their right to a decent living, including the restoration of the purchasing power of their salaries and pensions, runs the risk of destroying one of the last pillars of what is left of a Lebanese middle class. This will have serious implications of polarization in the country, and would ultimately depress local consumption, which is still one of the main drivers of the Lebanese economy.

In the absence of any serious plan to restructure the public sector and the economy at large, salary scale adjustment must be implemented to preserve the shrinking purchasing power of the middle class. Otherwise, we will be holding people captive to political and economic reforms that are nowhere within sight. More crudely, we will be making the middle class pay for the economic system that benefits only a small segment of the population.

 

Jad Chaaban is an Associate Professor of Economics at the American University of Beirut, President of the Lebanese Economic Association and a research fellow with the Lebanese Center for Policy Studies. The article originally appeared on the LCPS website.

September 21, 2013 0 comments
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