• Donate
  • Our Purpose
  • Contact Us
Executive Magazine
  • ISSUES
    • Current Issue
    • Past issues
  • BUSINESS
  • ECONOMICS & POLICY
  • OPINION
  • SPECIAL REPORTS
  • EXECUTIVE TALKS
  • MOVEMENTS
    • Change the image
    • Cannes lions
    • Transparency & accountability
    • ECONOMIC ROADMAP
    • Say No to Corruption
    • The Lebanon media development initiative
    • LPSN Policy Asks
    • Advocating the preservation of deposits
  • JOIN US
    • Join our movement
    • Attend our events
    • Receive updates
    • Connect with us
  • DONATE
Levant

A curious sort of bank

by Executive Staff March 10, 2009
written by Executive Staff

Politics can make for strange bedfellows, but also curious financial deals. The granting of a preliminary license by the Syrian government last month to establish a joint Syrian-Iranian commercial bank, Banki or “My Bank,” has raised eyebrows.

Both of the banks behind the joint venture, Bank Saderat (BS) and the state-owned Commercial Bank of Syria (CBS), are under United States (US) sanctions. Saderat, the Iranian export bank, has faced sanctions since 2006 for the alleged transfer of hundreds of millions of dollars to Hizbullah and other “terrorist” organizations. CBS has been listed under US Patriot Act Section 311 since 2004 as a “money laundering concern.”

It’s a curious deal. Bilateral trade between Syria and Iran is estimated at a mere $200 million, a figure that would seemingly not warrant more than a correspondent bank, much less a new institution.

“Iranian investments are very limited. They don’t go beyond the $150 million mark,” said Jihad Yazigi, editor of financial publication The Syria Report. “Each time Iran and Syria meet they say $1-to-$2 billion in trade, but trade is only around $200 million.”

“You can count the number of investments on a single hand. And the Iranians don’t have a cash surplus, while the Syrians don’t invest abroad. Both economies are not complimentary and have no real added value,” he said.

Yazigi said that there are no Iranian investments in the banking, real estate, tourism or manufacturing sectors, other than the Iran Khodro, the largest automobile manufacturer in Iran, and SAIPA car assembly plants.

“Many of the projects here are government tenders, so if you look into the details it’s not investment,” he said.

Growing, but still small

Bilateral trade has increased over the years however, from $67 million three years ago to $105 million in 2007, and to $130 million by 2008. This figure could reach $500 million in a few years, “but you don’t need a joint bank for that,” said Yazigi.

The minimal trade volumes could explain why the set-up capital for the bank is the minimum requirement of SYP 1.5 billion ($32 million). But what other motivations are there for setting up such a bank?

“It is a small venture and a way of avoiding scrutiny if they deal with each other and not through international channels,” said Yazigi. Given the reputation of the two banks and their alleged financial links to Hamas and Hizbullah, that makes sense.

But according to a well-placed banking source, the real motivation is political, with the project being a joint commission between the two countries. Tehran has allegedly been pressuring Damascus to create the bank, with the preliminary license pushed through faster than expected. The Syrian prime minister reportedly even stepped in to say the bank is to be licensed despite all the relevant papers still being collected by the Central Bank. Meanwhile, CBS is supposedly not happy about the project, having been strong-armed into the venture as they realize that such a partnership is not good for their reputation.

“I’m sure CBS could’ve found a good Lebanese bank to partner with, as CBS is the largest commercial bank in the country with around 60 percent of all banking assets,” said Yazigi. “Who would be willing to partner with a bank if it’s under sanctions?”

The Mahdi connection

The shareholders give an indication. The Commercial Bank of Syria and Bank Saderat each have a 25 percent stake, while 27 percent is to be divided up between Ghadir Investment Company, a BS subsidiary, car manufacturer SAIPA, and Khalil Sultan al-Abid, the Syrian representative of Iran Khodro.

Al-Abid came late to the deal, according to the banking source, as Iranian and Syrian Shiite investors already involved were selective regarding the other investors.

“It [wasn’t about] business but solidarity,” the source said, as the bank is — for all intents and purposes — a partnership between Shiites in Iran (which is predominately Shiite, ) and Shiites in Syria (which has a small Shiite minority). “Effectively it will be looked at as a Shiite bank,” said the source.

But while Banki appears to be bypassing the usually lengthy registration process, the initial public offering (of 23 percent) could take longer as other banks are already in line at the Central Bank. As a result, the source said the bank is unlikely to be operating before mid-2010.

How well the bank will be received, commercially and internationally, will have to be seen. A senior source at a Middle Eastern Central Bank said it would be logical for Banki to be put under the same US sanctions as the parent institutions.

Unless Washington’s relations with Tehran change, the bank will likely face more than a slap on the wrist if it engages in activities the US disapproves of, unlike LloydsTSB in January. The British bank was fined $350 million under US law for falsifying wire transfers from Sudan and Iran, having completed more than $300 million in transfers for Iranian banks Melli, Sepah and Saderat. A further nine EU banks are also being investigated.

“It [wasn’t about] business but solidarity… effectively it will be looked at as a shiite bank”

March 10, 2009 0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
North Africa

Regional equity markets

by Executive Staff March 3, 2009
written by Executive Staff

Beirut SE  (one month)

Current Year High: 1,629.74  Current Year Low: 715.77

Lebanon’s bourse traded up in February, but only by a hair’s breadth. The BLOM Stock Index closed at 1087.29 points on Feb 20, up 10 and-a-half points from February 2 (but still eight percent lower than at the start of 2009). The Beirut Stock Exchange (BSE) was typically low on action and, mercifully, on volatility. Solidere dipped under $15 in early February — its lowest reading since the middle of the 2006 war with Israel — but the stock retuned smoothly to values around the $16 mark. The center of market attention in mid February was Byblos Bank, which moved to convert almost a fourth of its common stock into Global Depository Receipts (GDR) in order to list them on the London Stock Exchange. Byblos offered share owners one GDR for each 50 shares. The 50-million-share move made Byblos account for over 90 percent of trade volume and value on the BSE in the third week of February. Results-wise, the banking sector sent positive signals in 2008, with the three major banks reporting profit increases of 22 to 23 percent compared with 2007.

Amman SE  (one month)

Current Year High: 5,043.72  Current Year Low: 2,561.30

The Amman Stock Exchange index closed its Feb 19 session at 2676.06 points, down by a single percentage point from the last session in January. Volatility reached 9.21 percent; the average price to earnings ratio of Jordanian stocks remained higher than in the GCC markets and stood at 14.80x, according to Zawya. The local unit of Kuwaiti finance firm Global Investment House was cast in unfavorable light for a while as authorities suspended its operations for several days because of a dispute over loan collateral with Jordanian bank HBTF. Arab Bank reported a 2008 net profit of $840 million, increased by 8.4 percent — a good banking performance in a massacre year. UBS and Deutsche Bank would be dancing in ecstasy if they had managed the year with profit contractions in the single digits. 

Abu Dhabi SM  (one month)

Current Year High: 5,148.49  Current Year Low: 2,136.64

The Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange edged up less than one percent between Jan 29 and Feb 22 and closed on the latter date at 2274.60 points. Energy and construction were the best gainers in the review period, each adding more than 10 percent. The real estate sub-index, however, fell disproportionately with a drop of 14.5 percent on the month; from the start of 2009 to Feb 22, its slide amounted to 39.5 percent whereas the ADX general index contracted 4.8 percent in the same period. In the meantime, the UAE government said it will institute a uniform policy for real estate related residency permits across the UAE, in a step that could help the crucial property market regain some footing. Results are nightmarish for some construction companies but not for reasons one would assume to make sense.

Dubai FM  (one month)

Current Year High: 5,960.16  Current Year Low: 1,433.14

No regional market could compete with Dubai in the bad news/good news game in February. The Dow Jones US industrial index could slip to a six-year low even after the bailout plan for the US economy and financial system ballooned into dollar trillions. Not so the Dubai Financial Market, as news of a $20 billion bond program on Feb 22 caused a furious upswing in market optimism and pushed the index to a 7.9 percent gain in a single day on Feb 23 to a close at 1,652.98 points. The day before, profit taking and Emaar’s declaration of seeking Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection for its US unit, John Laing Homes, had weighed the index down and the two sessions before that had been very positive… all in a week’s nervous trading. In the standard review period of Jan 29 to Feb 22 for this month, the DFM index would have shown only an increase of 0.77 percent.

Kuwait SE  (one month)

Current Year High: 15,654.80            Current Year Low: 6,444.60

With a general index reading of 6,613.60 points on February 22, the Kuwait Stock Exchange (KSE) at the end of the review period again skated close to beneath the 6,500 year low it had descended to exactly a month earlier. Intra-month gains that allowed the KSE index to briefly cross above the 7,000 points in the first week of February had quickly evaporated and for the second part of the review period, the KSE moved sideways. In terms of sector trends, the market was dragged around in the mud by a troika of investment, real estate, and banking indices. Now, trading in narrow ranges is not necessarily a bad thing for bourses where investors are looking for stabilizing factors. However, crawling sideways in a dark basement with possible hidden sinkholes is not something that will help find the bottom of regional markets. Global Investment House traded in relatively high volumes but at valuations that represent less than 10 percent of the share price it commanded six months ago.

Saudi Arabia SE  (one month)

Current Year High: 10,291.47            Current Year Low: 4,264.52

The Saudi Stock Exchange’s TASI shone at some days in February 2009 when it outperformed the other GCC equity markets,  but the sum total for the Jan 29 to Feb 22 review period was not as convincing. The TASI closed at 4,713.75 points on Feb 22, less than two percent lower on the month. Some previously oversold stocks in insurance and other sectors moved up by more than 10 percent each, but major names from SABIC to Savola and STC took price beatings in the review period. In terms of sector indices, the spread since the start of 2009 was from 15 percent up for insurance to 13 percent down for construction. So what to make of valuations? Arabian Pipes Company (APC), a staid manufacturer of unspectacular things such as coated steel pipes, was reviewed by Dubai investment banking stars, Shuaa Capital. The analysts in February slashed their nine-month-old fair value estimate of APC by trifling 68 percent but still called the stock a buy because it currently trades at a discount to the new estimate.

Muscat SM  (one month)

Current Year High: 12,109.10            Current Year Low: 4,223.63

Oman’s Muscat Securities Market (MSM) dipped fairly low in early February, but the index achieved a slightly rosier close at 4,860.80 on February 22, allowing it to end the review period with a gain of one percent when compared to its last close in January. From the start of 2009, the MSM index is still down by more than 10 percent. The banking and industry sub-indices outperformed the general index in February by eight and five percentage points, respectively, whereas the services index underperformed. It is to be noted, though, that on a longer-term viewing line the services sector was the best bet on the MSM in the past four months. Omantel, which saw a planned sale of a 25 percent stake halted last December because of averse market conditions, saw its fourth quarter 2008 net profit contract by two thirds but announced 25.9 percent higher operational profit for 2008 as well as an expectation of further substantial growth of revenues in 2009.

Bahrain SE  (one month)

Current Year High: 2,902.68  Current Year Low: 1,587.56

The Bahrain Stock Exchange (BSE) Index closed at 1,593.32 points on Feb 19, some 62 points lower than at the end of January. Although the third-biggest loser among the GCC securities exchanges in the first eight weeks of 2009, the BSE kept below the radar in February. No big rescue plans for the economy, no bailout plan for banks and the central bank governor said last month that the tiny kingdom’s financial sector is sound. The no-news treatment seemed to work out okay for the exchange — at least reporters weren’t drawing sensationalist attention to the general index’s new low at the end of week eight. The results of the banking sector notwithstanding — Khaleej Commercial Bank ($72.4 million) and Ahli United Bank ($255.7 million) for example, reported earnings in 2008 that represented increases of more than 30 percent for the former and a contraction of less than 20 percent for the latter — banking stocks were at the bottom of market performance.

Doha SM  (one month)

Current Year High: 12,627.32            Current Year Low: 4,589.76

The Qatari economy’s primary strength as producer and exporter of natural gas was not reflected in the Doha Securities Market’s (DSM) showing in February 2009. At market close on February 22, the DSM index’s weakening was just 0.1 percent shy of 10 percent when compared with the last close in January. This drop exacerbated the unhappy picture of the DSM as the worst faring GCC market in the early part of the year; by percentage, its loss in the 30 percent range is double what the second-worst performer, the Kuwaiti bourse, gave up. Qatar’s services, industry, and insurance indices did better than the general index and it was the banking index that pulled the market down, underperforming the general index by 3.5 percentage points. Share prices of Qatar Commercial Bank, Qatar Islamic Bank, and Qatar National Bank dropped by 26, 20, and 15 percent, respectively, in the review period.

Tunis SE  (one month)

Current Year High: 3,418.13  Current Year Low: 2,649.23

With their confidence in the local securities market, Tunisian share buyers set positive signs in February by elevating the index back above the 3,000 point line. The Tunindex, which had languished beneath that line in December and January, closed at 3,065.1 points on Feb 20, representing a 4.1  percent gain on the month. Saudi-Tunisian JV real estate developer SITS was the strongest gainer and traded up 14.43  percent in the review period. Market cap leader Poulina shed 1.99  percent while leading banking stock Banque de Tunisie climbed 2.79 percent. Results season is less thrilling in Tunisia as many companies follow the mid-year pattern for their annual results.  

Casablanca SE  (one month)

Current Year High: 14,925.99            Current Year Low: 9,405.86

The Moroccan securities market staged an exercise in optimism and on Feb 20 closed at 10,725.66 points, or 6.3 percent up when compared with the final close of January 2009. Interestingly, share price losses that occurred stayed broadly confined to the single percentage points, but gains of some stocks exceeded 10 percent. The best share price performer of the review period was the real estate firm Groupe Addoha, which appreciated 33 percent. Second and third best gainers in the market were two mid-sized firms by market capitalization: beverage company SBM advanced 30.7 percent and petrochemicals sector company SNEP added 25.2 percent. Leading bank Attijariwafa also did well in the market with a 14.5 percent share price gain.

Egypt CASE (one month)

Current Year High: 11,935.67            Current Year Low: 3,389.31

The Egyptian bourse’s CASE 30 Index closed at 3,528.81 points on Feb 22. The market had dropped to four-year lows on Feb 5 when it closed at 3,389.31. Although the index recovered a bit from this low in the sessions following Feb 5, new selling pressure after Feb 16 contributed to the CASE 30 losing 8.93 percent in the review period. The February 2009 appearance has been the last showing of the CASE 30 Index as Egyptian stock market authorities said the index will no longer be published. It will, however, re-emerge in March as EGX 30, as the Egyptian bourse is completing its six-month long migration from the cumbersome Cairo and Alexandria Exchanges to The Egyptian Exchange (EGX), giving it time to adopt the new name in this column and say goodbye to CASE, in name.

March 3, 2009 0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
North Africa

Money Matters by BLOMINVEST Bank

by Executive Staff March 3, 2009
written by Executive Staff

Regional stock market indices

Regional currency rates

‘New Diwaniya’, the birth of an Iraqi city

Authorities in Diwaniya, located in Iraq’s Al-Qadisiyah province, announced the start of discussions with various contractors keen to be involved with designing and building a new city in Diwaniya. The new city will cost $1.5 billion and will have a total surface area of 20 square kilometers. The new site will be adjacent to the existing city of Diwaniya, which lies 155 kilometers to the south of Baghdad. The city — which will be called ‘New Diwaniya’ — will involve construction of several thousand new homes, as well as hospitals, shopping malls and sports recreation facilities.

Total pursues Middle East projects amidst losses

The French petrochemical company Total posted $989 million in losses during the last quarter of 2008. Nevertheless, the company stated that it would adapt its petrochemical production to new trends in product demand. At the same time, the company reiterated its commitment to ongoing projects in Jubail refinery in Saudi Arabia and the Qatofin cracker in Qatar. The company’s losses resulted from the devaluation of inventory holdings due to the fall in the value of oil prices as the global recession deepened. On the other hand, Total’s gas production increased by 25 percent in the Middle East in 2008, to 569 million cubic feet a day, in contrast with a total fall of two percent globally to 4.8 billion cubic feet a day. This came as a result of Total’s positive results in its Yemen and Qatar liquefied natural gas (LNG) projects.

Jordan’s investment board to attract FDI

According to figures released by the Jordanian Investment Board (JIB), private sector investment in Jordan increased by five percent in 2008 to $3.2 billion, up by 45 percent from 2007. This comes at a time when the JIB will be launching a new five to seven year strategy to attract foreign direct investments (FDI). The main investment sectors and opportunities are in the agri-food, pharmacuticals, information technology, cosmetics, textile & garments and automotive sectors. The board will be targeting 12 countries for new FDI, including three Arab states: Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and UAE. The other countries include China, France, India, Italy, Russia, South Korea, Spain, Taiwan and Turkey. Of the $3.2 billion in investments, 60 percent went to the industrial sector, 30 percent to tourism projects and the rest was split between various sectors. With few natural resources, Jordan has struggled to compete with other regional countries like Saudi Arabia, which attracted $18.3 billion, Egypt at $10 billion and the UAE $8.4 billion.

March 3, 2009 0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
North Africa

Industrial ambitions

by Executive Staff March 3, 2009
written by Executive Staff

The Moroccan administration revealed its new national strategy for the promotion of industry in mid-February at a ceremony attended by King Mohamed VI, various ministers and prominent figures from the private sector. The National Pact for Industrial Emergence outlines multi-sector reforms designed to stimulate the industrial sector for the period of 2009 to 2015. Minister of Industry, Commerce, and New Technology, Ahmed Reda Chami, said that the pact’s 111 measures will rely on coordination between the public and private sectors to increase foreign direct investment (FDI), support small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), expand human resources capacity and improve the country’s business climate, which continually receives low ratings in international rankings on account of high levels of corruption.

Strong in stating quantifiable objectives, the strategy seeks to raise the volume of exports by $11 billion, create 220,000 lasting industrial jobs and to increase industrial gross domestic product (GDP) by $10 billion. Chami said that industry currently only accounts for 16 percent of Morocco’s GDP and 13 percent of jobs.

Dependence on agriculture has long been a source of economic vulnerability in Morocco, where half the population lives in rural areas and relies directly or indirectly on agricultural yield. Recurring periods of heavy drought starting in the 1960s fueled a rapid urbanization. Urban poverty has swelled with each new wave of rural migrants and the need to absorb these into some sort of workforce has proven an enduring challenge.

High joblessness and a crushing urban poverty rate — 35.4 percent among 15 to 24 year olds — have helped make the development of the industrial sector a pressing economic and political incentive in recent years. Industry made moderate progress in some areas under former King Hassan II, whose rule of the country (1961-1999) is credited with the molding of modern Morocco. Mining and phosphates, manufacturing and food processing for export and national consumption, textile, leather, and handicraft production were all cultivated during this time.

Backtracking or forward march?

King Mohamed VI, who inherited the throne from his father in 1999, has carefully cultivated a public image as a “modernizer” over the past 10 years. Using his power to push sharia reforms into effect against strong Islamist-party opposition, he set up the Truth and Reconciliation Committee to address human rights abuses inflicted under his father’s reign, and installed a new nationwide focus on industrialization — twice.

In 2005, former Prime Minister Driss Jettou presented the Emergence Plan to the king for his signature. This national strategy, the current administration’s first attempt to revolutionize the fabric of Moroccan industry, also laid out specific objectives, like creating 440,000 jobs and augmenting industrial GDP by 1.6 percent, over a 10-year horizon period. So naturally, the introduction of a new plan with different focal points and modified objectives just four years later came as a surprise for many analysts.

Minister Chami and other signatories of the new National Pact have been careful to clarify that the new plan was formulated “in a spirit of continuity with the Emergence Plan,” and that there has been no rupture or backsliding in industrial policy. The Emergence Plan is generally considered a successful initiative, and is credited with the thriving Casanearshore business park, which has won accords with 30 foreign companies in just one year, and the TangierMed industrial zone. So why did the government introduce a new industrial strategy only halfway through the 2005-2015 strategy’s mandate?

First, the 2005 plan was formulated at a time of prosperity and perky economic performance, before the global financial crisis kicked in. The 2009 pact, which commits $7 billion to industrial upgrades over the next six years, comes in the eye of the financial storm, and shows that the country is confident in its financial standing and economic potential. At a time when many countries are scaling back, the pact is a robust move to boost investment and productivity. Boosting investment now will also help carry Morocco through some of the indirect negative consequences of the global slowdown, as tourism and some exports take a hit. Enhancing industrial competitivity and infrastructure will ensure the continuity of capital flows, both at home and abroad. “The National Pact is a long-term strategy to correct structural deficits,” Chami said, “whereas the crisis is short-term.”

Furthermore, the 2009 Pact adds new, ultra-modern sectors to the country’s industrial strategy, which in 2005 was moving towards offshoring, automobiles and aeronautics. These sectors remain strategic investments, but the 2009 Pact introduces high profit margin sectors of biotechnology, microelectronics, and nanotechnology to the mix. A new smart city is planned for the microelectronic and nanotechnology industries, as well as a center for technological research and development. “With these projects, and thanks to the strategic role played by our partners, we will quickly be able to attract semi-conductor businesses and thermal energy and materials production, with the aim of installing an initial nucleus of complementary and innovative companies,” Chami said. Scientific research institutes helmed by Moroccans living abroad are also able to make significant contributions, through organizations like the Moroccan Association for Scientific Innovation and Research (MASCIR) and the Institute of Nanomaterials and Nanotechnologies.

At a time when many countries are scaling back, Morocco’s pact is a robust move to boost investment and productivity

Private-public partnership

The 2009-2015 National Plan for Industrial Emergence, a blueprint for widening the scope of the industrial sector, includes cross-sector reforms and envisions a robust role for the private sector. In addition to the nine ministers who signed and conferred on the pact, the different federations of the Confédération Générale des Entreprises du Maroc (CGEM) and the Groupement Professionnel des Banques du Maroc (GPBM) also played a role in its articulation. The GPBM committed $343 million to financing for the program, and overall the plan anticipates a private investment totaling $5.7 billion. The $1.4 billion state budget for the program will be managed by private investment funds, which will coordinate with banks and the administration to promote SME development. “Today many businesses have strong potential but lack capital,” said  Chami, who specified that SMEs will be strengthened by improved credit access and the option of augmenting their capital stock.

Legal measures are also included in the plan, especially new organs of arbitration, and legal authorities to combat corruption and money laundering. The enforcement of business law reforms will be of particular importance in increasing foreign investment flows into the industrial sector, as Morocco continues to lag behind regional competitors like Algeria and Tunisia in terms of transparency and overall business climate.

Fortunately, Morocco’s financial institutions — called upon to extend credit and stimulate competitivity among SMEs — are standing strong in the face of the crisis. Othmane Benjelloun, representing the National Association of Moroccan Bankers at the ceremony, said there was a 15 to 20 percent growth in lending in the first six weeks of 2009. “The crisis has had no effect on the Moroccan financial sector,” he said, confirming that the Banque Marocaine de Commerce Exterieur, of which he is CEO, is moving forward with plans to penetrate all 55 African territories in no more than 15 years.

A united front among qualified political actors will also go a long way towards the achievement of the plan’s principal objectives. The World Bank and the IMF have both urged Morocco to work on coordinating interministerial cooperation. Chami, who holds an MBA from UCLA, previously served as regional director of Microsoft’s Emerging Markets Asia Division (2001-2003) and then as president of its Southeast Asia division (2003-2004) in Singapore, before returning to Morocco to take control of the Groupe Saham, where he managed insurance and information technology subsidiaries. Appointed minister of trade, industry, and new technologies in 2007, Chami is the engineer and spokesperson for the 2009-2015 plan, which was formulated in collaboration with management consulting cabinet McKinsey. His technological savvy and international experience are strong indicators that he is highly qualified to lead in his domain.

Coordinating with other ministers will be the key to developing the wide-ranging components of the plan — from vocational schools to anti-corruption justice system reforms to privately-managed investment funds — that will deliver on the boldly ambitious promises of the National Pact for Industrial Emergence.

March 3, 2009 0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
North Africa

Students of success

by Executive Staff March 3, 2009
written by Executive Staff

Long a regional leader in education, Tunisia is planning a number of new initiatives that will help tie classroom learning to marketable skills. International partnerships, particularly with France, as well as increased access to information technology and the opening of private universities, are part of the plan to capitalize on Tunisia’s most valuable natural resource — its people.

During French Education Minister Xavier Darcos’s two-day working visit in mid-February, he announced a bilateral agreement to boost technical, technological and vocational training as well as mutual authentication and recognition of degrees. The agreement will also promote teacher exchanges and the pairing of French and Tunisian academies and regions, with an affiliation between the Academy of Besançon and the Nabeul Regional Education and Training Department leading the way. The French academies of Creteil, Nantes, Nice, Lille and Bordeaux have also expressed interest in starting co-operation programs with Tunisian institutions.

First day of class

The same day the institutions in Besançon and Nabeul concluded their agreement, the University of Paris-Dauphine announced the opening of a branch in Tunis, with classes starting this year. The university will offer courses in economics, management and law, and will open masters and professional classes in the first year, with plans to expand to all levels of licensing and standards — in line with European standards for bachelor, master and doctorate degrees — in September 2010.

France is Tunisia’s most active educational partner, but other European countries have announced plans to launch programs as well. Luxembourg’s Minister of National Education and Vocational Training, Mady Delvaux-Stehres, led a delegation to Tunisia in January and inaugurated, along with Tunisian Education and Training Minister Hatem Ben Salem, the newly renovated and refitted Radès technical school.

Not to be left out of the flurry of activity in the first two months of the year, Britain signed a memorandum of understanding in mid-January to launch ‘English for the Future’, an eight-year program that will introduce new English language materials and course books for primary and secondary education. Employment is again the primary focus of the program, with stronger vocational language abilities expected to increase job opportunities for young people.

The IMF has projected the unemployment rate to be 13.8 percent in 2009 and an increasing number of university graduates are seeking jobs. In 2007, 19 percent of university graduates were unemployed, while the rate is predicted to rise to 25 percent by 2011. The new international partnerships will bolster domestic efforts to develop practical, job-oriented programs, most notably through increased access to ICT and the development of private, specialized universities.

Tunisia ranks second in the arab world and first in africa for the quality of its education system

Technology for education

The government hopes to equip primary and secondary schools as well as universities with a computer in every classroom, with plans to have 80,000 computers for 70,000 classes by 2009, up from 22,000 computers for 81,000 classes in 2004. ICT is also being integrated into curricula, not only for engineering courses but also for language and cultural lessons and as a way to prepare graduates for the job market.

Although the private sector cannot yet claim to compete with the public system — which offers quality education for free — private universities are becoming increasingly common. Such schools offer a means to relieve crowding in the state system, while they are also able to respond with more flexibility to a modernizing job market.

Private institutions offer courses in areas such as business, communication technology and tourism, and they generally integrate one-year work experience into their curricula. They also have partnerships with foreign establishments, such as ESPRIT’s relationships with the French universities École Internationale des Sciences du Traitement de l’Information (EISTI), Télécom Lille and the École National Supérieure des Mines (ENSM) in Saint Etienne, as well as the Mediterranean School of Business’s (MSB) partnerships with the US-based University of Maryland School of Business and Canada’s University of Waterloo. These international collaborations have increased recognition for Tunisian universities and added further value to their diplomas, with some partners even issuing a double diploma, as in the case of the École Supérieure des Communications de Tunis and Télécom ParisTech.

These programs will help Tunisia modernize its already strong education sector. Indeed, the country commits a substantial amount of funding to education, with the Ministry of Education and Training’s 2009 draft budget set at $1.97 billion, up from $1.7 billion in 2008. According to the World Economic Forum’s (WEF) 2008-2009 Global Competitiveness Report, Tunisia ranks second in the Arab world and first in Africa for the quality of its educational system, while coming in 17th place worldwide. The planned expansion of ICT availability will strengthen its existing network, which is ranked 34th in the world in terms of Internet access in schools, according to the WEF report.

Although the country’s education indicators are strong, the persistently high unemployment rate suggests that more can be done to harness the potential of recent graduates. The new initiatives are a good place to start.

March 3, 2009 0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
North Africa

On factory road

by Executive Staff March 3, 2009
written by Executive Staff

As the Eurozone economies begin to contract, companies are enacting an increasing number of cost-cutting measures, including outsourcing and offshoring, with Tunisia’s manufacturing sector an unexpected beneficiary. At a time when European companies are looking to reduce expenses, they are increasingly relying on North African countries such as Tunisia — with their large, educated workforces and cheaper operating costs — to supply technical expertise at a lower price.

For some major European firms, such as the aerospace group EADS — the parent company of Airbus — this year marks the first time production has been expanded outside the Eurozone. As part of a restructuring plan that seeks to save one billion euros by 2012, Airbus announced in September 2008 that it would build a components factory in Tunisia. “We are planning to produce basic parts in Tunisia, while research and production of more sophisticated parts and composites will be in Europe,” EADS spokeswoman Gaelle Pellerin was reported as saying. Work slated to be done in the $139 million factory includes sheet metal and surface processing for the assembly of fuselage components manufactured in France.

The factory express lane

The Airbus plant is just one part of Tunisia’s strategy to become a regional industrial hub. Since 2007 the Ministry of Industry, Energy and Small-and-Medium-Sized Enterprises has been working to implement an ambitious program to double exports between 2007 and 2016, from $10 billion to $21 billion. Mechanical, electric and electrical industries are expected to capture the lion’s share of this upward trend, as their share of industrial exports is set to increase from 25 percent to 46 percent between 2006 and 2012, making them the pillars of the country’s manufacturing industry. A significant number of new deals have already been signed in these segments, suggesting that a sharp rise in production is likely.

The ministry’s program was only recently launched but auto parts manufacturers and cable manufactures have already inked multiple agreements that will bring foreign direct investment (FDI) and jobs to Tunisia. In 2008 new projects helped turn cable manufacturing into a lucrative niche, including a $50 million investment from German group Draexlmaier to build a plant in Siliana, a $24 million commitment from Kromberg & Schubert to set up a company in Beja, South Korean firm Sewon’s $10 million factory in Kairouan and Sumito Electric Bordi Jetz’s operations in the Kef industrial zone, which will cost $3.5 million. In total, the four plants will create more than 13,000 jobs. These projects are still in the development phase but other plants are close to completion. For example, in early January 2009, a subsidiary of Japanese automotive supplier Yazaki announced that its $30 million automotive cable component plant in Gafsa would be operational by 2010 and create 2,500 jobs.

Besides aeronautic and automotive components, the government’s growth program calls for expansion in four other high-value sectors: textiles, footwear and leather, food processing and biotechnology.

The colors of success

These segments are proving popular areas of investment for European companies. Benetton, the Italian group, has been manufacturing textiles in Tunisia to export since 1995, but is now working to expand its presence. In 2008 alone, the company made more than $25.5 million in industrial investments, specifically aimed at building a new plant to produce cotton knits.

Commenting on the group’s decision, Alessandro Benetton, executive deputy chairman of Benetton Group, said “we think the success  factors of Tunisia can be summarized in three words: stability, proximity and quality.” Tunisia’s expanding list of trade partners should help foster broader market access for its industrial exports. Free trade agreements (FTAs) within the region and with the EU offer enormous potential for the sector. The Agadir Agreement, a free trade agreement between Jordan, Morocco, Tunisia and Egypt, is designed to help countries meet the EU rules of origin more easily, with Agadir seen as a first step towards a broader Euro-Mediterranean free trade zone. While the trade and business links between the four Arab countries are not the strongest, with Moroccan and Tunisian companies encouraging trade with individual countries rather than inter-Maghreb trade, the partnership is still in its early stages and the agreement offers great potential by increasing access to EU and US markets for the member states.

Tunisia has also expanded its trade network through a number of other bilateral agreements, including FTAs with Libya and Turkey, and perhaps most significantly, an FTA with the European Free Trade Association (EFTA).

All of these factors should help Tunisia’s industrial sector weather the global financial storm. By offering a low-cost, high-quality alternative to European production, the country can maintain and even expand production and jobs over the coming years.

March 3, 2009 0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
North Africa

Wildlife from war’s swamp

by Executive Staff March 3, 2009
written by Executive Staff

Last year wildlife experts working in South Sudan told of a re-discovery that caused a flurry of excitement and hope. Surveys in war-affected areas where animals were thought to have perished or disappeared were teeming with life. One of the world’s biggest migrations — that of the white eared kobs — was still flowing with some 800,000 animals thundering across the plains and swamps.

“Many species have been greatly reduced. But this was good news and any good news is wonderful news after such a prolonged conflict” says Paul Elkan, the head of the South Sudan Country Program of the Wildlife Conservation Society , who took part in these first surveys for 25 years.

For those who have even heard of South Sudan, the first images likely to come to mind are of AK-47-toting soldiers, six-foot tall women and even taller men, land mines and almost no development at all. But the region’s officials are beginning to think of ways to spread new ideas about the south.

North Sudan battled a southern insurgency for more than 20 years before a 2005 peace deal gave the south semi-autonomy and a secession vote in 2011. The new government is busy building its physical, bureaucratic and legislative structures. This last group includes business and investment laws and a new tourism policy that officials hope will lead to an interest in unacknowledged wildlife and cultural riches in the war torn south.

Wildlife flourishes

The few individuals who have begun to gently research possibilities agree with Elkan that it’s the unusualness of the south and its untouched wildernesses that will bring in interest. “It’s an area very few people have seen close up,” Elkan says. “You can see lots of elephants in Kenya but in the south you can see them living in the Sudd, Africa’s largest freshwater swamp.” The vast Sudd — where it is possible to fly for hours over its islands and lily-filled waters — also contains incredible, possibly unparalleled, birdlife, including the famously rare shoebill stock.

While the south’s infrastructure seems painfully underdeveloped compared to neighbors Kenya and Uganda, their proximity could also bring a few curious tourists looking for something new to add onto a trip. These neighbors, with their well-developed safari industries, will likely provide the south’s first investors too. Elkan echoed businessmen already in Juba’s large hotel business when he envisaged the beginning of small scale and pricey tented camps, set in untouched wildernesses.

The south also has a rich variety of cultures with over 70 different tribes with distinct and colorful traditions that are proudly continued to the present day.  Wildlife ministry official Laura Tete Lino sees these rural communities as direct beneficiaries of tourism as well as a draw. The tourism policy, to be passed this year, includes the promotion of community-based tourism. “We want to see eco-tourism run by the communities themselves. We plan to provide support and guidance,” Lino says. Once the policy is passed the South will launch an advertising push to try and get hardy investors hooked she adds.

Perhaps of most interest will be the south’s 13 game reserves and six national parks — including two vast ones — that were planned before the war. Never fully developed, they are now in some disarray although local populations still remember their boundaries, Elkan notes.

“People forget there was strong interest in visiting the south growing before the war,” Elkan remarks. A huge number of ex-rebel soldiers have been transferred to the wildlife division and are  slowly being trained as rangers and wardens. It is partly because these rebel soldiers and commanders understood the future value of the wildlife and controlled hunting even in tough times that so many still survive to this day, Elkan explains.

Central to the ministry’s plan is a 42-bed lodge in Nimule Park that they have built out of an old structure seated at a high point in the reserve. The hotel should be finished in the next several months. Only a few hours drive from the capital Juba where both government and UN officials are in need of a hideaway for conferences, the 410 square kilometer park is also conveniently close to the Uganda border and full of elephants and impressive rapids. “In March we hope it will be ready to open it up to investors to come and take it over and manage it,” Lino states.

For Lino and others in the south’s government, tourism is more than just a hoped-for industry. Together with agriculture, the new southern government sees tourism as a crucial way for war-affected communities to begin making money, linking them to the region. It’s also crucial for a future that southerners hope will see them free of oil-dependency that currently controls their finances — especially now, with painfully low prices drilling holes in their budget.

March 3, 2009 0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
North Africa

Enticing tourists

by Executive Staff March 3, 2009
written by Executive Staff

Algeria is stepping up efforts to revitalize its tourism industry, seeking to lure both more local and foreign investment. After years of neglect, however, Algeria’s tourist infrastructure has a long way to go before the country catches up with its neighbors in the Maghreb in becoming a destination of choice.

According to figures from the tourism ministry, Algeria attracted 1.74 million visitors in 2008. Nonetheless, more than 1.2 million of these were Algerian expatriate nationals returning home for holidays, with just over 500,000 tourists originating from other countries.

By contrast, Tunisia hosted around seven million overseas visitors in 2008 and Morocco eight million, according to official figures, which leave Algeria’s results looking pale in the shade.

In the race to develop its tourism amenities, Algeria has set itself the ambitious target of attracting 20 million overseas visitors per year by 2025. To this end, the government has drawn up a strategy, the Schéma Directeur d’Aménagement Touristique, (SDAT) — or ‘National Tourism Development Plan’ — which identifies areas for potential development and measures to attract investment.

As part of SDAT, more than 280 new hotels are due to be built, a program that is already underway. At the end of January, Tourism, Environment and Land Planning Minister Cherif Rahmani announced that contracts for 90 new hotels, including 12 rated as five-star, had been signed with domestic investors as part of the government’s overall strategy to expand the existing visitor accommodation pool.

In 2001, tourism contributed 1.7 percent to Algeria’s gross domestic product (GDP). However, this figure has grown progressively in recent years. In its latest assessment of the industry issued last year, the World Travel and Tourism Council (WTTC) said tourism’s contribution to Algeria’s GDP would rise from 6.4 percent, or $8.4 billion in 2008, to 6.6 percent or $13 billion by 2018. Furthermore, the WTTC has predicted solid growth for the Algerian tourism sector over the next decade, in line with general expectations for the country’s economy as a whole.

No great employer

While the government is hoping that growing interest in Algeria as a tourism destination, along with the subsequent investment, will help reduce the ranks of the jobless, the WTTC predicts only a modest rise in the overall percentage of the workforce employed in the sector over the next 10 years, from last year’s total of 506,000 to 666,000 by 2018. In spite of the absolute increase in the number of positions, this would only represent a minimal increase in terms of total employment, from 5.6 percent to 5.7 percent, due to the expanding employment pool in Algeria, with more of the relatively young population entering the workforce.

In an interview with Oxford Business Group (OBG) last year, Rahmani identified a number of key issues that Algeria had to address before it could realize its full potential as a tourism destination. Chief among these issues was the need to improve the quality of human resources in the sector. As a result, the government has established a national academy to train tourism staff at Tipaza. It provides students with a broad range of skills, including increased awareness of information and communication technologies, an issue identified by the government as vital to the development of the sector.

Among some of the other factors Rahmani highlighted as impeding progress were weaknesses in public health and infrastructure, along with the threat of terrorism.

While none of these issues can be solved overnight, progress is being made. The state’s $150 billion program designed to improve infrastructure and social services has seen some of these concerns addressed, with airports upgraded and road access to coastal and interior regions improved.

Protecting the tourists

Security has also been bolstered with the formation last July of a new 1000-strong police unit to operate at tourist sites across the country. The country’s image as a safe tourist destination has been constantly rocked by ongoing terrorist attacks, with many countries such as Canada, the US and member states of the EU urging visiting nationals to be cautious when travelling in Algeria, particularly in remote or outlying areas.

The security push is key, given that it is precisely these remote areas that Algeria hopes will help its tourism drive, as it seeks to promote adventure tours and diversify its existing industry away from its focus on the sun and sand of the country’s coastal strip.

“Saharan tourism is crucial for us,” Rahmani said, adding that the government had identified four sites for development. However, investors and potential visitors will remain wary if the security situation does not improve.

Until then, and until the full benefits of SDAT are felt, the country’s tourism industry will be overshadowed by those of its Maghreb neighbors. But blessed with stunning landscape and hundreds of kilometers of coastline, by 2025 Algeria may have found its place in the sun.

March 3, 2009 0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
GCC

Antoine Drean & Jean Aboumrad – Q&A

by Executive Staff March 3, 2009
written by Executive Staff

Founded in 1992 as continental Europe’s first independent private equity placement agent, to date Triago has raised more than 130 funds and transferred more than 800 secondary positions. Today, Triago enjoys a presence on six continents operating out of their offices in New York, Paris and recently Dubai, which was inaugurated in 2007. Executive sat down with chairman and CEO Antoine Dréan and managing director Middle East Jean Aboumrad to get an insider’s view on what’s happening in the private equity market in the region and around the world.

E Are private equity (PE) firms having difficulty finding investors, given current financial conditions, and is it becoming harder to find investors for venture capital or growth capital?

Dréan — Yes, in big letters, even though it is not mission impossible. There are about 1,000 active investors in this asset class worldwide and probably two-thirds of them are on the sidelines waiting for better times, broke or with no cash for PE because they are already way above their ratios. That’s two-thirds, but there is one third that is fully ready to work. They are obviously a bit more cautious, they take more time, they look under every rock to make sure that there are no traps, but they still put money out. We have been through some ups and downs but we always find money because we look at where it is has gone. [The money] used to be in the US and Europe, then it used to be here and now it’s probably less from here and more from the US again and from Asia.

E What prospects exist for your investors, given what is happening in the region?

Aboumrad — The current trend in the region today is that you have the usual investors and usual suspects who used to commit a lot of money to this asset class, namely the sovereign wealth funds (SWFs) and the pension funds in all of the countries of the region. These guys still have funds allocated for PE and they will still commit. The other chunk of money that used to invest in this space was more family offices. Now families are much more cautious. They have put all their investment programs on hold. Some of them don’t have money anymore so they cannot invest. Others will still have liquidity but they are just more cautious. In terms of numbers, the amounts invested by the SWFs can very easily cover the amount [of money in family conglomerates] because families put less sizeable amounts than SWFs. So in the PE space there is still money but probably less than last year. Also, there is still money in the Middle East, the US and even in Asia. Now definitely buyout and large buyout, which was trendy last year and the year before, is basically finished because there is no leverage anymore. This will become buyout without leverage or even de-leveraged buyout.

So money will move more into growth capital or other capital like distress, mezzanine, and restructuring, and focus on more niche strategies and less typical buyout funds.

E You have been in the region since 1993, but did not open your Dubai office until 2007. Why did you wait so long?

Dréan — It’s difficult to know for certain when exactly in the cycle you are entering a space, but what is important is to start and this is what we did. In effect, 2007 was also a good year for the PE secondary market. In 2004 we added the secondary business. Most of what we thought we would do here when we setup shop in 2007 was on the primary side, but in fact we were almost 100 percent wrong. We are now funding a lot of sellers even in this region. People here now face some stress and some of them are very anxious. They are saying, ‘all my illiquid stuff, all the investments that are not really poor or those that I have doubts about, I am selling’. So we are seeing a lot of secondary business coming our way. In 2007 we were already thinking ‘well, this is too good to be true’ and that the party would be over at some point. Where it would come from and when, no one really knew.

E What has been your greatest challenge in the MENA market since you started operating in the region?

Aboumrad — First, covering the entire space that the region offers has been a challenge. Second, in order to invest in the PE space investors have to be mature investors. Most of the SWFs and pension funds have staff for that. Most of the families in the region, however, who have a lot of wealth and had already invested in this asset class, did not really know what was going on. In Europe, it is easier to speak with specialists in this area or with families and institutions who have their asset allocation [in place]. Here, people were much more opportunistic. There was a kind of raising awareness, which wasn’t that easy. In the past couple of years PE has become very trendy. If you called investors and ask them to invest in this space they never said ‘no’. Now there is less money and you have to dig to find it, so we are having more and more business. In a sense the situation is actually better for us.

Dréan — We are actually profiting from this mess.

E What do you see happening with PE in the Levant?

Aboumrad — We have a lot of relationships in Lebanon. In Syria we do as well, but so far the Syrians haven’t yet entered this asset class. Financial institutions are quite young there and in terms of Syrian investors, if they cover this asset class, they do it from abroad and it’s never done from Syria. In Jordan and Egypt we know mostly general partners (GPs) but the biggest amount of energy and time spent is in the GCC because the money is there.

E How will you manage things going forward in terms of which funds you adopt?

Dréan — We have to look at fund managers and their history, track record and where they are coming from. Almost every fund manager has one or two poor assets that they try to hide a little bit. Today we would not be interested in a leveraged buyout (LBO) fund because they are having a hard time managing what they already have. The most difficult part of this asset class is that the past is not a guarantee for the future. Some fund managers were superstars for 10 years and then their business disappeared. They will still be able to raise money because some investors only look in the rear view mirror and say, ‘wow, these guys were great so they must be great forever’, and that is sometimes a big mistake.

E What is happening to LBOs now that the regional economy is on a downward slope?

Aboumrad — There was a lot of financial engineering in the leveraged component of the buyout, firstly in the leverage itself and especially in the securitization of this debt. Western banks were very eager to give a lot of money. They knew how to do it and they knew how to sell it afterwards so as not to have it on their balance sheets. This is what actually pushed them to give out more money and what created the bubble we have now. In this region, we didn’t have this level of sophistication. There was more obvious lending and this is why local banks and all the syndicated loans that were given were not as sophisticated or aggressive as those in the West. Going forward there is a lot less leverage everywhere. Most of the new strategies and funds that are going to be raised now, and most of the deals that should be done in the region, will focus more on growth capital and restructuring because those strategies require less leverage, if any, than the usual buyout.

E What do you think the future holds for the secondary market in the region now that investors are so eager to liquidate their holdings?

Aboumrad — Now the secondary market is extremely important, especially investing in PE and illiquid assets. When an investor invests in the [primary] PE market, the lockup period is typically 10 or 12 years and there is no easy way to get out of this investment. Nowadays, most of the investors who invested in this asset class are looking for liquidity options because either they don’t have a choice or for strategic reasons. There is not a lot of awareness in the region about this market in particular. Most of the time, we have discussions with investors who don’t really know that the secondary market exists or how we manage it. Sellers do not usually give out this information and agents cannot because of non-disclosure agreements. The only information that you have in this market is information given by the buyers and it is in their interest to say that they are buying very cheaply. So when we speak with investors and raise the secondary option they say that they are not that distressed. We tell them that in reality the situation is not that distressed and the deals being done are not that distressed anyway. It is a discount market nowadays. Six months ago it was more of a premium market, but it’s still not as depressed as one might think.

Dréan — It’s a very inefficient market. It usually deals with one and the same asset and on the same day with only two parties. [The asset] will go for $0.20 on the dollar to $0.80 on the dollar. So if you know how to sell private equity you will get $0.60 to $0.80; if you don’t you will get very poor prices and there won’t be a chance to go back.

March 3, 2009 0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
GCC

A parking lot like no other

by Executive Staff March 3, 2009
written by Executive Staff

Developers in the Gulf have been building high-rise towers, luxury developments and artificial islands, mainly targeting high-income individuals. Yet this time, the Qatari real estate conglomerate Barwa is planning to build the world’s biggest truck park with an eye to the less fortunate construction worker. With its $750 million project the “Truck Park,” Barwa Al Baraha, a subsidiary of Barwa Real Estate, aims to secure decent housing for laborers and truck drivers who were eaten by the inflation sweeping the country. The project will include a 676,000 square meter truck parking lot able to accommodate the trucks of roughly 4,200 long distance truck drivers. The company will nominate the development for the Guinness Book of World Records as the world’s biggest truck park. The project will also include accommodation for 53,000 people, dining halls and workout facilities. Barwa has also launched its Barwa Housing Program for middle and low income tenants who are carefully selected according to criteria, such as their salaries and number of children, in order to be eligible for low cost two or three-bedroom flats.

March 3, 2009 0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
  • 1
  • …
  • 478
  • 479
  • 480
  • 481
  • 482
  • …
  • 686

Latest Cover

About us

Since its first edition emerged on the newsstands in 1999, Executive Magazine has been dedicated to providing its readers with the most up-to-date local and regional business news. Executive is a monthly business magazine that offers readers in-depth analyses on the Lebanese world of commerce, covering all the major sectors – from banking, finance, and insurance to technology, tourism, hospitality, media, and retail.

  • Donate
  • Our Purpose
  • Contact Us

Sign up for our newsletter

[contact-form-7 id=”27812″ title=”FooterSubscription”]

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • Instagram
  • Linkedin
  • Youtube
Executive Magazine
  • ISSUES
    • Current Issue
    • Past issues
  • BUSINESS
  • ECONOMICS & POLICY
  • OPINION
  • SPECIAL REPORTS
  • EXECUTIVE TALKS
  • MOVEMENTS
    • Change the image
    • Cannes lions
    • Transparency & accountability
    • ECONOMIC ROADMAP
    • Say No to Corruption
    • The Lebanon media development initiative
    • LPSN Policy Asks
    • Advocating the preservation of deposits
  • JOIN US
    • Join our movement
    • Attend our events
    • Receive updates
    • Connect with us
  • DONATE