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Levant

Turkey The market yawns

by Executive Contributor July 27, 2007
written by Executive Contributor

Despite political uncertainty with the coming elections and setbacks in negotiations with the European Union, Turkey’s economic fundamentals remain strong. While there have been short-term wobbles due to recent events, and long-term issues such as inflation, the current account deficit (CAD) and poverty remain, the IMF and the market expect growth to continue, most likely under the current ruling party with a renewed mandate after July’s elections.

At the end of April, the Turkish stock market and the lira were hit by a statement by the military voicing support for secularism, which was seen as an attack on the ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) government, with its roots in political Islam. The markets were also influenced by large demonstrations against AKP in Istanbul, Ankara and Izmir.

The demonstrations came in the wake of Prime Minster Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s decision to name Foreign Minister Abdullah Gül as candidate for president, a role elected by parliament. There had already been demonstrations against Erdogan when it was thought that he would stand for the presidency. The opposition boycotted the vote in parliament, so Gül failed to achieve the required two-thirds majority. The vote was annulled by the constitutional court, with the consequence that the AKP announced changes to the constitution allowing the president to be elected directly. These changes have been rejected by the court and secular President Ahmet Necdet Sezer, and will now be put to the electorate by referendum. Meanwhile, the legislative elections have been brought forward to July 22. Tensions are running high between the AKP and Turkey’s secularists, who accuse the party of trying to usher in elective dictatorship as a first step towards Islamic rule.

However, despite the shocks to stocks and currency, the response of the market as a whole appears to be “so what?” Turkey has in the past been vulnerable to capital flight, but business confidence in the country remains relatively unperturbed by political events for two main reasons. Firstly, the economy has been performing strongly enough, with sound enough fundamentals, for the political worries to have less effect than previously. Secondly, the AKP, which has presided over several years of growth, looks increasingly likely to be re-elected thanks to divisions in the secularist camp.

Difficult relations with the EU

Turkey’s strong and stable economic performance under the AKP administration has seen the party win friends in the domestic, business community, the EU and the IMF. The party came to power in 2003 with a majority in parliament, the first since the Motherland Party (ANAP) governments of the 1980s.

Under the AKP, economic reforms have continued, the economy has performed well and a historic milestone was reached when EU accession negotiations were opened. However, as elections drew closer, the privatization program has slowed, and the EU has suspended eight “chapters” (or policy areas) of negotiations due to Turkey’s intransigence on certain issues, including allowing ships and aircraft from the Republic of Cyprus to use its ports and airports.

However, the country’s economy is still in good shape. The budget deficit is 2% of GDP, considerably less than the maximum of 2% required by the EU; public debt, at 61%, is only a touch above the EU ceiling of 60%; and growth has averaged almost 8% over the past four years, taking the average per capita income at purchasing power parity (PPP) to $8,400 in 2006, from $6,700 in 2002, according to the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.

The growth has been boosted by high inflows of foreign direct investment (FDI), which has also been financing the current account deficit. Between 1980 (the year of the last military coup) and 2003, Turkey attracted $18 billion in FDI. However, in 2003, the country brought in $1.7 billion in FDI, and in 2006 $20 billion, a figure that could rise to $30 billion this year.

Turkey’s custom union with the EU has further contributed to country’s economic development. Turkey is one of only two non-member countries with such an agreement. Ulrike Hauer, the undersecretary of the EU Delegation of the European Commission to Turkey said that the EU and Turkey were enjoying good levels of trade and that this has helped Ankara decrease its trade deficit with the bloc. “Turkey’s trade deficit declined to 20% from 60% during its trade with the EU,” she declared.

Economic challenges remain. Inflows of money due to the appreciating lira and high interest rates are restraining corporate profits and exports. The current account deficit remains large and is growing, hitting 8% of GDP earlier this year. Inflation, for years the bugbear of the economy, is under control and decreasing, but still well off target at 9.6% in 2006, with the Economist Intelligence Unit forecasting a 6.5% rate by year end. Official unemployment stands at 9.9%, and poverty remains an issue.

Relations with the EU have been given a further setback by the election of Nicholas Sarkozy as French President, and the subsequent victory of the party backing him in parliamentary elections. Sarkozy’s election platform explicitly stated his opposition to Turkey’s membership of the EU as the country is in “Asia Minor.” A Turkish military incursion into northern Iraq (seen by many as a pawn in the AKP-military game) would also hit relations with both the EU and the US, though it is likely to be a brief operation. Business has been ambivalent about the potential for military action, divided between those benefiting from trade with northern Iraq and those supporting a stronger security focus following the Ankara bombing in late May.

Despite these important caveats, Turkey’s disciplined macroeconomic policies, strengthened economic institutions and structural results continue to bolster confidence. This is apparent from the latest IMF report on the nation’s economic outlook, part of the 2007 Article IV Consultation meetings.

“Turkey’s macroeconomic performance in recent years has been impressive, combining strong growth with a sustained reduction of inflation,” the IMF said in a statement. “Political stability, structural reforms and favorable external conditions have facilitated this good performance.”

According to the IMF, the primary drivers behind growth are private consumption and investment, declining real interest rates, surging capital inflows, rapid credit expansion and rising productivity, combined with falling inflation.

The statement concluded: “The goal should be to build on the economic success of the last five years to firmly entrench high growth, secure low inflation and make the economy more flexible and resilient to external shocks.”

The EIU, sharing the IMF’s confidence, forecasts continued growth, with 5.5% in 2008, 5.2% in 2009, 5.1% in 2010 and 5.2% in 2011.

A June report by ING, the Dutch banking group, pronounced the June EU summit as “a non-event for Turkey,” and said that a likely AKP victory would keep the economy on track, whereas its rivals may herald a return to instability. The report, part of ING’s Prophet series, says that, despite the election of Sarkozy, France is likely to hold off from lobbying to change the objectives of Turkey’s EU membership talks until December.

The report said that opinion polls showing 35-40% support for AKP indicates it is likely to win, “with positive implications for economic development… [and] good news for bonds.” The opposition secular Republican People’s Party (CHP), which is nominally social-democratic, is currently polling around 20%. ING says that the party program, which promises cuts in tax on income and fuel, higher subsidies for agriculture and industry and cheap student loans, “would be very worrying for the market if enacted … it harks back to the populist type policies that voters backed in the 1990s which led Turkey into three economic crises.” However, the report states that the stronger economic foundations existing now could prevent another crisis on the same scale.

The confidence of international institutions in Turkey remains resilient, considerably more so than in the past, despite political fireworks and a worsening in relations with the EU. Turkey seems likely to overcome these headaches and move forward, under an AKP government, albeit perhaps one with slightly clipped wings. However, with Turkish politics known for its volatility, the final outcome of the July elections is still a difficult call.

July 27, 2007 0 comments
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Levant

Syria The financing of reform

by Executive Contributor July 27, 2007
written by Executive Contributor

A Damascene stock market has been in the cards for a number of years, gradually taking fruition over the past three years in anticipation of the slated launch in early 2008. With the launch of the bourse, Syria will finally join the regional stock market club that has rapidly expanded over the past decade. Only Syria, Libya and Yemen are absent from this now not-so-exclusive group, with even Khartoum and war-torn Baghdad trading shares.

Establishing a bourse is not without its obstacles, particularly in a country that is slowly opening up economically and with minimal financial market experience — Syria definitely doesn’t want to ride the roller coaster that the fledgling Gulf bourses went on in the past few years, particularly Saudi Arabia, which saw nine million investors stung last year when stock prices plunged.

But the decision to set up a Securities Exchange is considered vital to boosting investment domestically and bolstering Syria’s economic reforms, which were kicked off at the beginning of the millennium.

“There is a need for a regional stock exchange, but a country in transition needs alternative modes of finance and a mechanism for potential privatization,” says Bassil Hamwi, Deputy Chairman and General Manager of Bank Audi Syria and a member of the Executive Board of the Stock Exchange. “Having a local market first makes sense,” he adds.

This will not be Syria’s first foray into the world of stocks and shares. “We had a stock market in the 1960s, but it was closed due to nationalization. It wasn’t official, but was a market,” says Dr Mohammed Imady, Chairman of the Board of Commissioners at the Syrian Commission on Financial Markets and Securities (SCFMS).

The idea of a stock market resurfaced, says the former economy minister of 30 years, in 1987 when a law was issued to establish joint stock companies in the agricultural sector, and again in 1991 when an investment promotion law was issued.

“We prepared a number of drafts but the time was not ripe,” Imady recalls.

In 2005, Law 22 was issued stipulating the establishment of the SCFMS, followed shortly after by a Stock Exchange Act and a decree stipulating fines for violating the commission’s regulations.

The commission looked closely at international stock market regulations to come up with their own rules, borrowing heavily from the Amman stock exchange.

Consultant Dr. Nabil Sukkar, managing director of the Syrian Consulting Bureau for Development and Investment, believes the regulations are up to par, but is concerned about their implementation, particularly in regard to influential political and economic figures.

“The challenge now is to enforce regulations in an efficient, transparent and timely way. It needs political guts to show you have teeth and they have to be careful the sharks don’t do all the speculation and hurt the smaller groups,” says Sukkar.

Dr. Ayman Midani, a finance investment, capital markets and banking consultant, concurs.

“It could be one of the biggest problems facing the SSEC. It’s an empirical question though, and I don’t want to pass judgement ahead of time,” he says.

A fly in the ointment?

Time will tell how far the long arm of the law will truly extend in the case of potential malpractice. Protecting investors should be a primary goal of the SCFMS, in addition to providing enough information to inform investors of the potential risks of trading.

“They need to be tough to not allow speculative, fishy, or fraudulent companies to be listed to protect investors,” says Midani. “Investors are very gullible and can be fooled easily, such as by pyramid schemes.”

A formula to rectify this, suggests Midani, should be a requirement for companies that plan to list to publicly issue financial statements on a quarterly basis. Under the current rules, companies only have to submit statements to the commission.

Disclosure is of particular importance, agrees Sukkar, as many of the larger Syrian companies that might list are family-owned businesses, which have a tendency to underestimate assets declared in income statements to the Finance Ministry.

Hamwi says the commission will ask companies that want to list to have at least seven years of compliance.

To encourage companies to go public, the government is drafting a law to exempt capital gains tax and has reduced income tax on publicly owned companies to 14% under Law 51 in 2006. For companies with shareholders of less than 50%, income tax would remain at 22%.

Insider trading is equally an issue that the commission should keep its eye on.

“What I’m afraid of in this country is price manipulation by insiders. If there is any abnormal price behavior they should start asking questions and look at transactions,” says Midani.

Imady says the commission is prepared for this eventuality. “We are not allowing an increase of a financial paper of more than 2% a day, as a company’s productivity will not increase more than that,” he says. He adds that he faced stiff opposition to include this regulation in the stock exchange act, and that the bouse’s initial aim will be to boost investment for private Syrian companies.

“People think we want a market for speculation, but this is too early. We want a market for investment and cheaper financing than from the banks,” says Imady. As a result the stock market will not aim to attract foreign capital.

Foreign investment is not disallowed by the commission, which has, Hamwi says, adopted a “foreign investment neutral” policy. In line with the law on banks requiring 51% Syrian ownership, the same will apply to the stock exchange, and companies with foreign shareholders will have to be first approved by the prime minister’s office, which should ensure the bourse is not inundated with foreign investors.

Joint-Stock Companies List

An ill-fated marriage?

With the introduction of private banks in Syria in 2003, the banking sector is playing an increasingly pivotal role in the country’s economic reforms. But with high liquidity due to burgeoning assets and few outlets for the cash bar lending, at least until treasury bills are issued some time in the next year, banks are looking to the stock market as another way to diversify their portfolios.

However, observers are wary about the impact banks could have on the bourse, particularly as three of the executive board members are from banks.

“I am wary of the marriage of banks and the stock market,” says Midani. “Lets not pretend to be the great liberal of financial regulation and let banks meddle in the markets, at least in the early stages until investors and the administration get some experience to manage the market efficiently. I say put a high and thick wall between the banks and the stock market, for at least a five-year span.”

Sukkar also has reservations and calls for the Central Bank to introduce regulations on how much the banks can invest in the stock market.

But Hamwi says margin trading will initially be prohibited. “This is extreme in our view, but necessary for confidence. In the future we will definitely see margin trading,” he adds.

Currently some five brokerages have been licensed in addition to the Commercial Bank of Syria to handle IPOs. The commission recently granted preliminary brokerage licenses to Egypt’s Orion Holding, Jordan’s Elite Financial Services and Orouba Stock Brokers, with a further 21 applications pending, all with minimal capital requirements of SYP805 million to carry out all brokerage activities (see box).

Such high minimal capital requirements, based on Amman’s regulations, are considered excessive by some. “The minimum capital requirement for brokerage firms is too high. It is not for investment banks but managing IPOs — it is restrictive,” says Sukkar.

The commission disagrees, and Hamwi says that although brokers would not need such capital to operate, the high requirements are necessary due to the country’s high liquidity.

“It is a barrier of entry to reduce risks in the market,” posits Hamwi.

Location, location

A final bone of contention about the stock market is where it will be located and who is to pay for it. When launched, the stock market will be housed in the same building as the commission, located out in Mezze. Far from an ideal location, stuck out in a residential area and with a trading floor, which will be fully electronic, that currently resembles a disused theater, a purpose built bourse is vital.

However, although several options are on the table the commission is apparently leaning towards an offer from a wealthy Syrian individual living in the UAE to build a bourse out in Yarmouk. This possibility has faced derision by some, particularly as the individual in question is on the same board of directors as Imady at the Arab European University.

“I don’t want private individuals to build it and offer it as a gift,” says Midani. “This is totally unacceptable and I expressed my view on this to the board. The stock market is going to make a hell of a lot of money … it will be a cash printer, so it can borrow money.”

Furthermore, the exchange has the funding of the Finance Ministry, the European Investment Bank, the Islamic Bank and other institutions.

Striking the right balance on this issue will be of as great importance as ensuring the commissions rules are upheld. In the meantime, the commission is struggling to find enough qualified personnel to regulate the bourse and inform the public about the highs and lows of trading, which it is doing through a weekly spread in the daily Thawra newspaper.

July 27, 2007 0 comments
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Special Report

Jordan Saraya Holding revamps Aqaba

by Executive Contributor July 27, 2007
written by Executive Contributor

Saraya Aqaba is the first of four major developments launched by Saraya Holdings. The high-end tourist and residential resort will cement Aqaba to the world tourism map and establish Saraya Holdings among the region’s leading property developers.

If Lawrence of Arabia were to return to Aqaba today, he would not believe his eyes. What was then a backwater within the enormous Ottoman Empire, is now a major port city with a growing population of 100,000 and, if government goals are met, Jordan’s second economic center after Amman is set to double in size by 2020.

The main catalysts for the city’s rapid growth in recent years have been the modernization of the port and the establishment of the Aqaba Special Economic Zone. Easy access to the sea, tax cuts and other business incentives, combined with Jordan’s entering the World Trade Organization and the signing of a Free Trade Agreement with the United States, has lured dozens of factories to the Hashemite Kingdom’s southernmost tip.

However, the city is yet to fully capitalize on its potential as a tourism destination. Although blessed with beaches, coral reefs, year-round sun, and situated in close proximity to such treasures as Petra and Wadi Rum, Aqaba remains largely a transit city. The main problem is a lack of infrastructure in terms of hotels, cafés and restaurants, as well as leisure activities. Apart from a dive in the sea or a less exciting glass-boat ride, there just is not much to do. But that is about to change.

Big plans in the works

In recent years, a number of tourism and residential projects worth billions of dollars have been given the green light, among them Tala Bay, Ayla Oasis and Saraya Aqaba. All three are mixed-use developments consisting mainly of mainly high-end residencies, retail and hotels. Arguably the most prestigious among them is Saraya Aqaba, the first of four major projects under development by Saraya Holdings (SH). The company’s main shareholder is Saad Hariri, son of the late Rafik Hariri, Lebanon’s former prime minister and by many regarded as the mastermind behind Solidere’s regeneration of Beirut.

According to Ali Kolaghassi, SH’s vice-chairman and CEO, “the company aims to create high-end real estate, hospitality and leisure opportunities throughout the Middle East and North Africa, focusing on destinations that have high growth potential. Through our projects we hope to help turn carefully selected locations into world-class tourism destinations.”

Regarding Saraya Aqaba, SH is the main, but not the only shareholder. Its partners include Jordan’s Social Security Corporation (SSC), Arab Bank and the Aqaba Development Corporation, while Saudi Oger, one of the Hariri business empire’s main pillars, is the project’s main contractor. Much like Solidere in Beirut, SH in Aqaba will function both as a leading developer and asset manager.

First announced during the 2005 World Economic Forum, Saraya Aqaba is a mixed-use development built on 617,000 square meters of land around a man-made lagoon, which is to add 1.5 kilometers of seafront to Aqaba’s 27 kilometers of shoreline. The project is worth an estimated $1 billion and will consist of more than 600 high-end villas, townhouses and apartments, as well as 6 luxury hotels, a retail area complete with restaurants, cafés and nightclubs, as well as leisure facilities, such as a water theme park, an amphitheater and a sports complex. The hotels will be managed and operated by the renowned Emirati Jumeirah and American Starwood chains.

A recent walk over the construction site, situated in between the InterContinental Hotel and the palm tree gardens of King Abdullah’s palace, revealed nothing yet of the future glory being erected. The infrastructure and foundations have been laid, and some of the villas are starting to take shape. Prices have not been determined yet, but according to a construction manager one should reckon with a price tag of $2 million to $4 million depending on type of villa and location.

The project is set to be completed by 2009. Next-door neighbor, the $1 billion Ayla Oasis, will follow a few years later, as it seems have encountered some problems in creating a 17-kilometer long manmade lagoon. There are in fact strong rumors that the Saudi-Jordanian project has been (partly) sold to an Emirati investor. Tala Bay, located some 15 kilometers to the south of Aqaba is nearly completed. The question is: who is going to buy?

Are there enough tourists?

“We mainly target Jordanians, as well as Gulf Arabs, looking for an escape from the city or second home in a destination resort that offers the highest standards of service,” said Kolaghassi. “But we will also target the European market with an eye on second-home buyers.”

Kolaghassi said not to fear the competition by similar projects targeting a similar clientele. “Jordan has great potential and is currently witnessing an era of prosperity,” he said. “It has a healthy investment environment, and enjoys stability and security. Its central location places it within easy access to a number of countries. The number of foreign visitors who chose to come to Jordan in 2006 was an estimated 6.5 million, which represented a 13% increase compared to 2005. If anything, we are currently facing a shortage of hotel rooms throughout Jordan, and especially in Aqaba, which right now has only 2,000 rooms.”

However, it should be noted that some 3.2 million of the 6.5 million foreigners that entered Jordan in 2006 were same-day transit visitors, the majority of whom Syrians who work in Saudi Arabia and Saudi nationals heading in the opposite direction for a holiday in Syria or Lebanon. What’s more, last year Jordan only registered some 300,000 package tour tourists. Nevertheless, taking into consideration the ongoing political turmoil elsewhere in the Levant, as well as Aqaba’s strategic location between sea and mountains, most experts predict the country to attract a growing number of tourists who might normally head to Damascus or Beirut.

Illustrative for SH’s sky-high confidence in the future of Jordan is the company’s announcement during the 2007 World Economic Forum that it is to construct a second prime tourism resort on the northern tip of the Dead Sea. Among other elements the project will consist of three worldclass hotels, a spa and health resort and several sport facilities, including an 18-hole golf course.

Like Aqaba, the Dead Sea has witnessed a lot of construction activities in recent years. Over the last five years, the KHCC and a handful of five-star hotels were built, while two more leading hotel branches are under construction. In addition to SH, Bayan Holding and Emaar have announced plans to construct major spa and health resorts, including an 18-hole golf course, on the shores of the Dead Sea.

“The Dead Sea is considered a religious tourist destination thanks to the many sites surrounding it, it is a health destination due to its mud, salts and water, and has recently become a MICE destination (Meetings, Incentives, Conferences and Exhibitions),” said Kolaghassi. “Thus, the World Economic Forum (WEF) has been held at the Dead Sea for the past several years, and at this year’s WEF it was impossible to find a room for many of the guests, who eventually had to stay in Amman and commute to the Dead Sea every day.”

Still, the Dead Sea is not an entirely risk-free destination. The main problem is that, due to overexploitation of water resources such as the Jordan River, the lowest point on earth is currently sinking by about one meter per year. So, while the mid-1960s the Dead Sea level remained stable at 392 meters below sea level, today it has decreased to -418 meters. In Israel, some hotels used to be right on the shore, but now their visitors have to walk up to 100 meters before being able to float on the salty sea.

Yet most investors seem not too worried as they have put their hopes on the Red-Dead Canal, which is to bring water from the Red Sea to the Dead Sea, whereby the fall of the water to the earth’s lowest point is to produce enough electricity to empower a desalination plant. Last April, the $5 billion project made a tiny step closer to reality when the World Bank issued a $15 million tender for a feasibility study.

“The Red-Dead Canal will reach the Dead Sea from the south, while our project is situated in the north, which is in fact the furthest possible away from the future canal,” said Kolaghassi. “Studies and designs regarding the project have not yet been completed, but the Red-Dead Canal aims to raise the water to pre-1962 levels, or some 396 meters below sea level. The buildings in our Master Plan are placed in such a way that the foundations are well above this level, and hence the Red-Dead Canal will have no impact on our project.”

Saraya Holdings also building in Oman, UAE

Remarkable for a company that has not even completed its first project is the fact that SH is developing two more mega-projects outside Jordan. On an island off the coast of the emirate of Ras al-Khaimah, SH is to create Saraya Islands on a total surface area of some 1.1 million square meters, consisting of a village and four “islands” that are separated by an artificial lagoon, yet interconnected by roads and bridges. The islands will contain luxury villas, apartments and hotels, will be pedestrian-friendly and are organized in such a way that most public spaces are located in the central village, while more exclusive and private areas are located on the islands. Each island will be a gated community for the exclusive use of residents and Saraya Islands clients.

On June 3, 2006 SH signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with the Omani Ministry of Tourism to launch a project with the Oman Tourism Development Company. The MoU requires the two parties to develop a worldclass tourism project that offers distinguished residential and entertainment facilities for visitors and Omani residents alike.

Ras al-Khaimah and Oman, and to a lesser extent Jordan, have long remained off the beaten track compared to such tourist destinations like Dubai, Egypt and Lebanon, but are currently rapidly developing their infrastructure in the hope to catch up. It is remarkable that such a relative newcomer on the block as Saraya Holdings has managed to sign for four such prestigious projects in a spell of less than two years.

No doubt, the Hariris’ political clout and connections must have played a major role, yet arguably even more important is the sound reputation, throughout the region, of Solidere’s regeneration of the Beirut city center. No wonder then, that not only Saad Hariri, but also his brother Baha and Solidere itself are currently venturing into project development outside Lebanon in an attempt to capitalize on precisely that reputation.

Although spread across the region, SH’s four developments are by no means separate entities. At the recent Paris Air Show, Saraya Private Aviation signed an agreement with Piaggio Aero for six P.180 Avanti II planes, introducing this type of aircraft for the first time in the Middle East.

“We recently launched Saraya Private Aviation, an aircraft charter operator designed to offer exclusive option of executive flights,” said Kolaghassi. “The idea is to provide our customers with the possibility to travel from one Saraya destination to another or anywhere between the Middle East and North Africa and the rest of the world.”

July 27, 2007 0 comments
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Special Report

Moving through the Gate Dealing in the DIFC

by Executive Contributor July 27, 2007
written by Executive Contributor

In the shadow of the twin pinnacles of the Emirates Towers, the most iconic of the dozens of skyscrapers which now align Sheikh Zayed Road in central Dubai, a brand-new financial district is gradually being assembled.

Overlooking this 110-acre site, which is still dotted with cranes and buses ferrying around legions of construction workers, stands a futuristic cube-like building whose intended role is to become the heart of the region’s financial arteries.

The “Gate” — more than a little reminiscent of the Défense arch which dominates one of Paris’s key business districts — is the showpiece of the first phase of the Dubai International Financial Center (DIFC), an expansive and ambitious government-led venture, which aims to put the Emirate firmly on the world’s financial map.

The DIFC wants to house many things under one roof: an independently-regulated regional base for financial services firms; a world-class securities market; an commodities trading platform; an international investment arm; and a free zone.

Some of these goals are closer to being achieved than others, and the jury is certainly still out as to whether Dubai can one day seriously compete with London or New York as one of the world’s major financial centers.

But such an ambition hardly sounds out of place in the city which regularly recites its desire to be a “hub” for most things, and the consensus is that enough big names have now signed up to the DIFC that Dubai may well emerge as one, if not the, financial powerhouse of the region.

Trying to take the lead

With economic diversification on the lips of decision-makers in the Gulf, and more and more wealth being invested back into the region instead of Europe or the US, there is much at stake for those countries competing to become a financial player.

“All of the region’s financial centers are doing very well right now, which is hardly a surprise when you look at the pace and scope of economic growth in the GCC,” says Simon Williams, chief economist at HSBC Bank Middle East in Dubai.

“Each center is pursuing its own particular model, with Dubai trying to position itself as a regional hub and, longer-term, as a player within the international financial system, too. To a large extent, it’s been a success.”

If one were to take one of the DIFC’s immediate primary functions, which is to establish the leading base for major financial services companies operating in the region, then it has certainly managed to attract an impressive clutch of A-list multinationals.

Since the first company inked its name in September 2004, the DIFC Authority has issued licenses to some 420 firms, with noteworthy new additions for 2007 including Halliburton, Goldman Sachs, Calyon, Schroders, Barclays and Merrill Lynch.

“When we looked to open an office in the GCC, we had three candidates: Bahrain, Doha and Dubai,” says Naoki Tamaki, Representative at the Japan Bank of International Cooperation, which opened its DIFC office in September 2005.

“Bahrain was attractive because it already had long experience in the financial sector, particularly in terms of banking regulations, whilst Doha has the Qatar Financial Center,” Tamaki told Executive.

“We chose Dubai because there was a large rise in the number of Japanese businesses established here, there was a good level of infrastructure, and because it was already a logistical hub for the region.”

Free for all

Like the many other free zones in the UAE, the DIFC can offer its members full corporate and income tax exemptions, as well as 100% foreign ownership and no restrictions on the repatriation of capital. Under present regulations, non-free zone companies locally established in the UAE market must be at least 51% owned by an Emirati partner.

This independent status means that the DIFC has attracted not only financial services providers and related firms, but also marketing companies, real estate developers and others for whom it makes sense to be based in Dubai’s emerging business district. Moreover, most of the other free zones in the Emirates tend to be either geographically isolated from the emerging city center, as is the case with Jebel Ali, or are too industry-specific, a label which applies to Dubai Internet City or Dubai Media City.

The DIFC is also independently regulated by the Dubai Financial Services Authority (DFSA), a body which drew up specific rules for the DIFC based on international practice laws. Unlike the other bourses in the UAE, for example, the DIFC does not come under the regulatory jurisdiction of the UAE Central Bank or the Emirates Securities and Commodities Authority.

Yet while the DIFC has issued hundreds of licenses, the physical infrastructure is far from being ready, with a number of licensees citing delays in finding commercial space and subsequent hold-ups in relocating their staff to Dubai from other offices.

Once the infrastructure is complete, though, the DIFC wants to evolve into a fully-functioning business district with its own hotels, serviced apartments and transport system. Construction is being phased, with the Gate and the surrounding buildings representing a first stage. By 2010 there should be four million square feet of office space, as well as hotels, serviced apartments, bars, restaurants and some 31,000 car parking spaces.

Setting up shop

The fees payable to the DIFC Authority for incorporating a new company in the centre, or opening a branch of an existing firm, are not particularly onerous, and average around $2,000, plus an annual commercial license of $3,000.

However, the rub comes when calculating the actual cost of doing business in Dubai itself, which is certainly higher than Bahrain or Saudi Arabia, even if Doha is rapidly catching up on Dubai as one of the most expensive places in the world to live and work.

The costs of renting an office in Dubai were the 10th highest on the planet in 2006, according to a report by property consultants Cushman and Wakefield.The DIFC Authority says that current annual rents are $82 per square foot, although in some cases it is thought the companies which signed up early on benefitted from preferential rates or locked-in, long-term contracts which mean they now pay far less than market costs.

Nor do staff come cheap. According to a 2007 Mercer Human Resource Consulting report, Dubai is the most expensive city to live in the Middle East, after Tel Aviv. It was ranked in 34th place worldwide, although had dropped down the rankings largely due to the slump in the US dollar, to which the UAE dirham is pegged.

Offering large enough packages to lure world-class talent to Dubai is therefore a strain on budgets, but spending the extra pennies could still be worthwhile in terms of competing in what is an increasingly busy marketplace.

“Financial services companies are relocating greater numbers of their staff here from more established locations, and even if the cost of living and operating in Dubai continues to rise, they are choosing to come here in order to compete effectively in the market,” says HSBC’s Williams.

“A lot of the services that would previously need to be handled outside of the region can now be done in Dubai itself — the days of suitcase bankers are largely over,” he says.

Moreover, as many international firms with offices in Dubai point out, there are also many important “soft” reasons why the Emirate offers a more attractive lifestyle than its regional competitors.

“We also took into account that Dubai is an easier place to live than other GCC cities,” says the JBIC’s Tamaki. “Although if Saudi was to relax some of its business and lifestyle restrictions, then I think many companies, particularly banks, would open in Riyadh.”

Eggs in many baskets

As well as trying to attract investors with the wider Dubai “package,” the DIFC strategy also wants to bolster its credibility through the various subsidiaries which fall under its umbrella, not least of which is the Dubai International Financial Exchange (DIFX).

The exchange, which began trading in September 2005 amid much PR fanfare, set out with the ambition of becoming a state-of-the-art securities trading platform, straddling the markets of the East and West and offering the same regulatory sophistication as London or New York. 

But it has so far failed to live up to expectations, and despite the growing number of Islamic bonds listed on the exchange, trading volumes have been disappointing,

Another division of the center, DIFC Investments, has been busier. Acting as the DIFC’s investment arm — and the sole shareholder of the DIFX — it listed a $1.25 billion sukuk bond on the exchange in June to fund its ongoing international acquisitions in the financial sector.

The latest of these was a 2.2% stake in Deutsche Bank in May, which made the DIFC the largest institutional shareholder in the German bank, whilst at the time of writing there was also speculation over the possibility of a bid for OMX, the Scandinavian bourse.

Lots of energy

One of the newest entities of the DIFC to come into operation, meanwhile, is the Dubai Mercantile Exchange (DME), an energy commodities exchange which wants to lead the way in trading crude oil futures contracts within the region.

The DME is a partnership between Tatweer, a member of the state-owned Dubai Holding Group, the Oman Investment Fund (OIF), and the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX). It launched operations on June 1st with an initial listing of Oman-based oil contracts.

“I am very pleased with the contract volumes and open interest so far, having set records on the second, third and fourth day of trading,” Ahmad Sharaf, the DME’s Chairman, told Executive. “After only 12 trading days, we reported an exchange-wide open interest of 5,414 and upon the conclusion of 15 days of trading the DME surpassed 50,000 contracts traded.”

“As our contract continues to trade in larger volumes and open interest continues to grow, the market will become increasingly comfortable with the DME as a concept and its futures contracts as better risk management tools. The DME recognizes that some customers may wish to wait for certain milestones or volume thresholds, but I am very confident that the DME is well on its way of establishing a global benchmark for Middle East sour crude shortly.”

Sharaf says that the DME can also try to find a niche by benefiting from the time difference between Europe and Asia and providing a hub for energy futures, options and other products such as jet fuel.

The way forward

The DIFC is a long-term project, and one point cited by a number of firms is that it has taken longer than expected to develop. Many challenges still remain.

“There are still teething problems, largely because the DIFC is still relatively new and lacks a long period of experience,” says Tamaki of the JBIC. “Many improvements have been made in terms of the regulatory environment, for instance, but occasionally some regulations will still be altered by the authorities without sufficient warning or consultation.” 

Others say that the broader regional problems of transparency and poor corporate governance are limiting listings on the DIFX, with local companies unwilling to conform to the same strict rules and regulations which govern more developed stock exchanges around the world.

But as a financial district the DIFC is already ahead in regional terms, feeding off the wider population and service-sector growth in Dubai and enjoying a first-mover advantage above places like Qatar or Saudi Arabia. Above all, there is a perhaps an urgent sense that this is a race against the clock.

“It is essential that Dubai makes this work,” says

HSBC’s Williams. “Unlike Qatar, it cannot rely on massive natural resources to sustain future economic growth, so developing the financial services sector into a regional or even global player is particularly crucial.”

July 27, 2007 0 comments
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Special Report

Women in business Breaking glass

by Executive Contributor July 27, 2007
written by Executive Contributor

Over the past decades, Arab women have seen immense progress in terms of education and participation in politics, and have made tremendous forays into the business world. The average literacy rate for women in the MENA region rose from 16.6% in 1970 to 52.5% in 2000. Since 1980, girls’ tertiary (university) education has doubled so that now 14% of young women go to university (compared to 20% of young men). On the other hand, female participation in the MENA labor force stands at a measly 32%, the lowest among all developed countries, on top of which the vast majority of women are working in the public sector.

The World Bank estimates that the MENA private sector is still significantly prejudiced against women, resulting in the bizarre situation that the best-educated women have the biggest problems getting hired. There is still a perception that women take away men’s jobs. Statistics, however, actually show a negative correlation between unemployment and women’s participation in labor. The World Bank calculated that had the MENA region used its female labor potential, the average per capita income could have risen by 2.6% during the 1990s, instead of the actual 1.9%.

With this month seeing the publication of a World Bank report on women entrepreneurs in the MENA region, Executive interviewed six Arab women — all highly educated, ambitious, driven, and persistent and all successful in their careers, some having salaried jobs in companies and others entrepreneurs — on the issue of women in business.

When in summer 1997 Nada Safa, having just finished her college degree in Economics at the Université St. Joseph in Beirut, inquired about a job opportunity at a leading Lebanese finance house, she was told “This is a man’s world. You are young and you have no experience, so I don’t think there is a place for you here.”

Determined to realize her childhood dream, one month later Nada arranged a second interview with another manager. She outlined a simple financial deal: she would work for free for a while and then, if they wanted, they could decide to give her a contract. “I told him it was an investment because I would be working for free during the summer. No risk. Zero capital. They might have a return, or they might not, but they had nothing to lose. I worked for a month for free and then they told me ‘You’re in.’”

Today, at 31, Nada Safa is a regional manager at Banque Audi Saradar Private Bank, one of Lebanon’s two biggest banks. And while she stresses that her difficulties in being accepted among her peers have mainly to do with her age, she nevertheless agrees that her gender does play a role.

Regional Specificities

Sahar al-Sallab, Vice-Chair and Managing Director of the Commercial International Bank (CIB), Egypt’s third largest bank, says that when she entered the banking sector in the mid-1970s it was normal for Egyptian women to work, not just in banks but throughout the economy. Her employers — first Citi Bank and since 1982, Chase Manhattan Egypt (which later transformed into CIB) — gave her the professional opportunities to gain experience, prove herself, and rise in the ranks. CIB now has a female vice-chair, 70% of senior management positions are occupied by women, over 60% of the staff is female and a quarter of the current Board of Directors are   women — more than double the S&P 500 average. As Al-Sallab puts it, “In Egypt, woman have been in banking, in law, in other areas for a long time and their participation is much higher than in other places in the region or even in Europe.”

Contrast that with the situation in Saudi Arabia and the Gulf. The tale of Nahed Taher’s groundbreaking career in the Saudi finance system is well-known: Coming from a family of bankers and oil managers, and having written her Ph.D. thesis in the UK on the deficiencies of the Saudi banking system, she first became a financial consultant and then the first female chief economist at the National Commercial (Al-Ahli) Bank, which at the time covered a quarter of the Saudi banking sector, before, at age 42, she founded her own business — Gulf One Investment Bank, with a capital base of $1 billion — in 2006.

This is certainly a very impressive career, but at each step she had to convince her peers that she could do it. Some of her fears proved to be entirely unfounded, as Al-Ahli’s general manager and chairman supported her, and the predicted interference from the government and religious establishment never materialized, yet it was never clear if and when a backlash could occur and Nahed Taher was always aware of the fact that she was breaking new ground. She attributes the support she received to both the fact that Al-Ahli is headquartered in Saudi Arabia’s more cosmopolitan Western Region and that today, Saudi government officials are well-educated. As she says, “I’ve never received any single comment. I was the first woman to enter the Central Bank and the Ministry of Finance — but nobody commented.”

For 30-year-old Dalal al-Dousari the choice of a career in the financial sector was easy — in Kuwait it was either that or going into the oil industry. Ultimately she chose finance because, “It is the decision-making field. You take everything from the other fields and then make the decisions. At the end of the day you’ll be able to be the decision-maker.”

According to her, some companies are open-minded and actively seek to employ women. One of her former bosses told her that he wanted women in his company because he believes that women are more precise and more faithful to their companies than men. And certainly, in Kuwait there have been female pioneers — just like Nahed Taher in neighboring Saudi Arabia — such as Maha al-Ghunaim of Global Investment House (“She sets the standard,” says Al-Dousari) and Sheikha Al-Bahar at the National Bank of Kuwait. But there is still much to be done and women do face discrimination at the workplace. According to Al-Dousari, “Decision-makers prefer men in certain positions to women. They say that men are more flexible, can travel on short notice, can do late meetings, that women will get married and then get pregnant and committed to their family, and then their children get sick … So they keep that in mind when they decide about whom to put into certain positions. Women have to work to prove that they are flexible, that they can do a good job. They have to put in an effort that is at least double that of their male peers.”

But even in everyday business they are faced with peculiar challenges resulting purely from the fact that they are women. At one point Dalal al-Dousari, now Vice-President for Investment at Amwal International Investment, was managing a multi-million dollar portfolio for an Islamic institution. She did all the work, devised the project, developed the strategy, and prepared the brief, only to learn that the client refused to let her do the presentation because she is a woman, although even after the presentation she would be managing the portfolio.

“So imagine, I had to give my brain to a man, who doesn’t know anything about the project, and to tell him what to say, how to present, what sort of questions to expect and how to answer them — and he went to give the presentation. My bosses apologized and explained that the client had made the demands but I think they should’ve insisted on sending me or not done the project. But the outcome will be that everyone will think that the presentation was my male colleague’s work, because nobody knows that it was my work.” Another time she had to hand

 Financing for Arab businesswomen in 5 countries (World Bank)

 a project to a male colleague because it involved traveling to Saudi Arabia, which meant that, again, she had lost a great professional opportunity. And, as she says, this will certainly influence the senior managers’ decisions when it comes to promotions.

For Lina Hundaileh, a Jordanian entrepreneur who founded and manages Philadelphia Chocolate Manufacturing Company, since she runs her own business the obstacles she faces because of her gender may be different from those encountered by the Kuwaiti banker, but they still exist. On the one hand, she says that there are instances where business meetings are held in exclusively male spheres — like the Qat-chewing majaalis in Yemen that are strictly off-limits to women — or done over after-hour drinks at the bar, where a woman might feel uncomfortable. On the other hand, despite speeches and grand announcements by the political leadership to empower women, she says they are often nothing but kalaam faadi (empty rhetoric) and when it comes to such issues like electing women to offices the traditions persevere. When she wanted to be elected to the Chamber of Industry, Lina Hundaileh stood a good chance of wining the election because by then she had established a good reputation and a wide network. But she had not counted on the resistance of her male peers.

“Businessmen came to my house and wanted to convince me to withdraw. And I accepted to withdraw because they did it in the Arab way — they didn’t drink the coffee of my father and brother-in-law until I withdrew. And now they are blaming themselves because I could’ve added value.” Thus, even a woman’s long-term success in business does not automatically translate into true acceptance. She adds, “It’s easier to implement decisions in my company since I am the boss, but when I go outside my environment, outside my comfort-zone, I will again face obstacles. Where people don’t know me, I again need to prove myself.”

The two Lebanese women interviewed show that there are extremes even within one country. Where Nada Safa had to work for free to prove that she was good (and determined) enough, and then worked her way up — back office, analyst, front office, trader — to arrive at a level where she is respected and could choose in which institution to continue her career, Rula Abu Daher had the luck to be hired by MTC Touch, one of Lebanon’s two GSM operators, whose CEO believes that women, when given a chance, can do as well as men. After her university degree in Engineering (a major chosen because she had heard that there were few women and sought the challenge) she joined MTC Touch and, after a year of training, was promoted to CTO, the only female chief technical officer in a GSM company within the region. As she put it, it was a meeting of similar characters. “I already had a sense of independence and I happened to join a company that does not do any gender discrimination. Half of the management are women. MTC is an exception.”

About that ‘glass ceiling’

Despite the regional variations, based on different historical experiences and developments, all interviewees agree that there is a glass ceiling when it comes to women’s careers. In a country with a long tradition of women in business, the ceiling is very high, as Sahar al-Sallab confirms, “In Egypt, I don’t think there is a glass ceiling on the medium-level management, but there is one on the senior, the chairman level.” In Jordan, according to Lina Hundaileh, “in the high-ranking businesses, you don’t see women.” Dalal al-Dousari, pointing at old-boys-networks in the region, even says that “It’s not a glass ceiling — it’s a concrete ceiling.” Some companies, like Rula Abu Daher’s MTC Touch, are notable exceptions, since there are led by visionary CEOs who’s maxim is “The sky is NOT the limit.”

Of course, one should not forget that a ‘glass ceiling’ for female employees is not a particularly region-specific issue. Nahed Taher points towards the relative situation of women in the Middle East compared to other regions when she says, “Definitely there is a ‘glass ceiling.’ But relative to the global banking industry it is everywhere. In the UK there is no female CEO banker. In the future, the support will be there. But women will need more experience. Right now they don’t have it yet.”

Must women work harder to succeed?

The often-cited argument that women have to work harder than their male peers in order to be recognized as competent professionals is not echoed by all. Nahed Taher thinks that “it might have existed when I was younger, but now they know me.” Nada Safa did have to prove herself more than others, but she puts it down to her young age, not her gender. However, both Lina Hundaileh and Dalal al-Dousari think that women have to work twice as hard to prove that they are as flexible, as good at their jobs as their male colleagues.

The main challenge is the widespread perception that women’s family responsibilities are preventing them from giving their jobs full attention. Indeed, in the framework of a World Bank report Women Entrepreneurs in the Middle East and North Africa: Characteristics, Contributions and Challenges, to be released this month, businesswomen from across the region identified the work/family balance as the most challenging issue they face.

Sahar al-Sallab, too, had to balance her family with her work when she was sent for training to Europe: “My company didn’t treat me as a woman — they treated me as a person. But that meant that they didn’t accommodate the fact that I had children, so I had to exert more effort, and also incurred more expenses, in order to take them with me.” The World Bank report notes that other challenges for women entrepreneurs are learning financial management skills, finding and keeping good employees, access to capital and the high cost of public services. However, throughout the region female and male entrepreneurs face difficulties to access capital, as banks in the MENA region are generally not geared towards financing small- and medium-size enterprises (SMEs). The report adds that, “the situation may be

Types of financing used by businesswomen in 5 countries during 2006 (World Bank)

exacerbated for women-owned SMEs, due to lower availability of collaterable assets, gender bias among lending institutions, and a lower level of financial management education among women entrepreneurs.”

Character type ‘successful woman’

Within the particular environment of the MENA region, where women still need to struggle to establish themselves in the business world and to convince their peers as well as society that they are as good (or even better) than men, it seems to take a certain kind of woman to succeed: goal-oriented, driven to excel, impervious to obstacles and, yes, stubborn. Says Nada Safa, “I knew what I wanted to do since I was 13 years old, and I went for it. If I had doubted, I wouldn’t be here today. But even now, I always consider I haven’t achieved anything — I’m not satisfied.” Lina Hundaileh avers that, “There was nothing in my dictionary that would say that I could fail. I only saw success at the end of the road. Ambition and working hard helped me to convince my business partners. And even now I continuously learn to stay up-to-date.”

When Rula Abu Daher became CTO of MTC Touch, “many people thought that I would fail, would give up after a few months because I would not be able to deal with the responsibility and the non-acceptance. But I did not give up — I persisted. The fact that I wanted to prove myself as a female might’ve pushed me more than it would a male in my position. So there was this inner motive that pushed me to keep proving myself.” Of course, this mirrors the experience of women in the business world all over the globe, and is not restricted to or special to the MENA region.

Despite the individual strength necessary to succeed, family support remains crucial since, as Nahed Taher puts it, “if there had not been the strong support from my family, I may still have embarked upon my career but not reached the results.” Most of the other women also received support from their families and attribute their success to the fact that their parents encouraged them to follow their dreams, chose the college majors they wanted, and ultimately provided a comfort zone during their professional careers. But “going against all odds” can be a strong motivation, too. After Nada Safa’s father died when she was still a teenager, the family had to struggle and this instilled in her a strong motivation to “make it from zero all the way up. I had to prove yourself. I had to rely on myself. For me it was unacceptable to fail because I couldn’t afford to fail.”

Not surprisingly then, their recommendations to other young women who espouse careers in business and finance read like quotes from self-help books: “Nothing is impossible.” “Follow your dream.” “Believe in yourself.” “To really achieve anything you have to start by yourself.” But then, their male peers — in the region and anywhere else — give (and get) the same advice, with one exception. “You have to create a momentum at home whereby you get a career, whereby you gain financial independence,” is Sahar al-Sallab’s advice to Egyptian girls. Yet in that, too, there is no ‘cultural gap’ between East and West.

Becoming male?

One thing that all women interviewed resent is the idea that, in order to succeed in business, women have to give up their femininity. Rula Abu Daher insists that she is “keeping the feminine side in me – the way I dress, talk, do my hair. You want to do this proving you can do it by being a woman, not by becoming a man.” Nada Safa, like the others, insists that women are different from men and that there is no point trying to mask that. “I dress appropriately, but feminine.” Making male colleagues learn to understand that a successful woman doesn’t become a ‘buddy’ can even have implications outside the workspace, as Dalal al-Dousari observed. “One can be feminine and be professional at the same time. One still can be a lady while wearing a business suit. I still insist that my colleagues treat me as a woman and open the doors for me. I’ve trained my colleagues and it is getting better. And it even has an impact how they treat their wives at home!”

Foreign Perception

Often, Arab businesswomen not only have to deal with prejudices at home but also while traveling abroad. When Lina Hundaileh went to the United States, “they didn’t believe we have really successful businesswomen in the region. They looked at us as being Arab, Muslim … and I was frustrated.” Egyptian banker Sahar al-Sallab concurs, “In the West I always get perceived not just as a banker but also as an Arab, Muslim woman. They ask me how I got into this position, how my country let me go into this position.”

Apart from the cultural prejudices businesswomen also have to deal with global stereotypes towards women in general. Rula Abu Daher made the experience that, “Abroad, they don’t expect a woman to be a technical officer. 3% of world senior positions are occupied by females — so it’s a world-wide issue. Many times when I met people, they always thought I am in marketing or a sales-person, not a technical person.”

And then Arab businesswomen, especially those in high-ranking positions, are also treated as exotica to be showcased. When Dalal al-Dousari attended the May 2007 World Economic Forum in Jordan she received a slew of meeting requests, many more than her male, and senior, colleagues. TV stations asked to talk to her, CNBC even exclaiming “Finally we have a woman to interview!”

However, this situation quickly shifts, once business meetings start and it becomes clear that those ‘exotic women’ know what they are talking about. As Nahed Taher says, “At the beginning they treat me as a ‘Saudi woman’ … but when they see me and I discuss business then it changes. And Forbes ranked me based on my competence and not because I’m Arab.” Or as Nada Safa succinctly puts it: “In meetings, nobody looks at me as an Arab woman or a Muslim. When you start talking money, they forget the woman or the Arab in the business.”

Positive change over time

Over the past years there has been marked change, even if — according to the interviewed women — it is still too slow. “When a woman is well-placed and has her position in society and her career she can do very well — they are seen differently now than 10 years ago,” says Nada Safa. Nahed Taher agrees and points to a changing economic situation in KSA. “There are two major factors: Women are now more educated. There is an economic need. During the Oil Boom in the 1970s women didn’t feel the need, because they all had money. Now, as life becomes more expensive, women want to be part of supporting their family. The sector is definitely reacting to that. Now opportunities are better: they are looking for qualified people, regardless if they’re men or women. Women proved their professionalism, their productivity, their commitment — also in industrial sector, even into the managerial levels.”

Sahar al-Sallab says about Egypt that, “It needs an intelligent man, a confident man to make a woman rise up the scale and give her the chance even to be better than him on the scale. So if they’re intelligent enough, they will accept it. And they are now accepting it in Egypt. Most of the compliments I get are from men. They believe and want women to be leaders in their own domain.” When, a few months ago, Rula Abu Daher was named ICT Woman of the Year, she says it radiated outward and “made other companies also think about appointing women to manager positions. I hope my experience can serve for others to succeed.” And indeed, the businesswomen are keen on not remaining alone. Says Nahed Taher, “It is my goal to be a pathbreaker and have other women following. If it was only me, then I would not have achieved anything.”

Who drives change?

Asked about how the change should be effected, the interviewees say that women themselves are driving it. As Nada Safa put it, “women are no longer saying they should stay at home and have children, because they can do all those things and work and stay a woman. We can do many things at the same time, it’s natural — we were born like this.” Indeed, many interviewees argue that women are naturally predisposed to succeed in business. Thus, Nahed Taher argues that, “The majority of women have proven to be the best for entrepreneurship — worldwide. Two major factors are in the nature of woman: She is patient to raise a family, to wait for things to grow. Also, a woman by nature likes to educate. So they educate their colleagues. Men, by nature, don’t have this patience.” Sahar al-Sallab goes as far as to say that women have the natural skills to be better managers than men, since “Women are more stable, because they have more compassion and are more sensitive. They can manage better. They are less ego-centric. They are more accommodating, making their male colleagues and subordinates think that most ideas come from them, and not from the female colleague or boss. It is an advantage that women have, if they use it.”

Lina Hundaileh sees that professional organizations, like Jordan’s Young Entrepreneurs Organization that she heads, offer crucial help to women who want to set up their own businesses. “We mentor them, we incubate their businesses. This makes it easier for young businesswomen.” Nahed Taher notices that, now that she and other women have opened the doors, young women are more encouraged to follow in their wake. Sahar al-Sallab even thinks that precisely the lack of opportunities for women in the region, compared to those for women in the West, motivates Arab women not to be complacent and to fight harder for what they want.

However, it is by no means clear if the example of these women is followed on a large scale, or if role models like Nahed Taher and Sahar al-Sallab will not remain exceptions to the rule. In a talk given at an Oxford conference on “Women of the Arab World: Setting their Agenda” in February 2007, Sheikha Lubna al-Qasimi, UAE Minister of Economy, pointed out that, while in UAE women now hold 30% of management positions, 32% of employees in the finance and banking sector are women, and 15% of all professors are Emirati women, this empowerment did not occur because the women themselves had driven the change and claimed their rights. Instead, it had been the government that pushed the women. Lina Hundaileh also calls for the politicians to — finally — implement their lofty promises into realities on the ground, in order to change the awareness of society — both among men and women. Sahar al-Sallab, hinting at economic incentives as agents of change, points out that, “There is a new challenge in that there are now certifications for institutions based on their gender policy, which — if achieved — would upgrade the institution.” She is referring to the ISO 9000:2000 standard that, according to the official website (www.gendercertification.com) aims “to provide tools for creating an enterprise culture where Equality is considered a quality factor integrated in organizational management.”

There are already many executives who realize that women can work as well as men can, and the women interviewed all benefited from such superiors, and unprejudiced fathers and husbands. In the end, it will take a combination of visionary executives, pragmatic government policies and women’s self-motivation to effect significant, lasting change.

July 27, 2007 0 comments
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Financial Indicators

by Executive Contributor July 17, 2007
written by Executive Contributor

In another month tormented by bombs and battles over Lebanon, the Beirut Stock Exchange sustained life on small flame. The BSI moved from 1,230.29 points on May 31 to 1,189.18 points on June 25. Companies on the BSE used the time for revising their equity structures. Cement manufacturer Holcim Liban, saying it had excess capital, reduced its equity by over 16.5% and reduced its share volume through a 12-for-1 reverse stock split. Owners of BLC Bank, Qatar Investment Authority, announced its decision to divest of the stock after it did not realize the business growth it had aimed for in buying the Lebanese bank 18 macro-economically difficult months ago. BLC Bank had net profit of $ 3 million in the first quarter of 2007. Solidere panned out its future as hopeful parent of an internationally active affiliate, Solidere International, to shareholders.

Beirut SE: Blom  (1 month)

Current Year High: 1,526.31         Current Year Low: 1,168.36

The Amman bourse entered June with an upward leap of some 213 points to a 5,878.26 reading, reversing a slide in late May. But the ASE index then proved analysts right who had said that the exchange’s gains in the first quarter of 2007 were too quick. The index slipped back and closed at 5,787.43 points on June 26. RCDI, an operator of an industrial park, was a notable gainer, moving up 37% during June. Real estate and financial sector companies accounted for much of the month’s news. Arab Bank mandated international banks to arrange for its first syndicated loan, a $500 million facility. First Jordan Investment Company, a real estate investment firm, said it will start subscription for an $85 million initial public offering in July; it had pushed back the IPO date twice in 2006.

Amman SE  (1 month)

Current Year High: 6,543.67         Current Year Low: 5,267.27

The Abu Dhabi Securities Market had a cooling-off phase in June after its springtime increases. The index moved from 3,577.52 points on May 31 largely sideways, with a dip at the end to close at 3,534.81 points on June 26. A considerable amount of Abu Dhabi attention was directed at the United Kingdom where the ADSM ventured for a road show promoting the bourse as investment destination to London-based fund managers and financial experts. Of ten ADSM-listed companies participating in the mid-June trip, the majority represented the energy, banking, and real estate sectors. The bourse said the road show entailed 200 meetings with company delegations. ADSM also received a delegation from NYSE and SEC. 

Abu Dhabi SM  (1 month)

Current Year High: 3,701.90         Current Year Low: 2,839.16

The Dubai Financial Market Index followed a parallel trajectory to the ADSM with a slightly more pronounced dip and reduced trading volumes at the end of the month, ahead of the half-year results season. The index moved from 4,476.08 points on May 31 to 4,383.93 points on June 26. According to DFM statements, foreign investors accounted for about a quarter of trades on the bourse in the second and third weeks of June. Market heavy-weight Emaar was lackluster trading at around AED 12 with downward pressure in the last week of the month. Gulf Navigation, a transport sector scrip, moved from AED 1.19 to AED 1.36 in a single day of high volume June 13 but shed most of gains by the end of the month. At Dubai’s DIFC, international financial firms Merrill Lynch and Mizuho opened new offices; Calyon announced that it will do the same in July.

Dubai FM  (1 month)

Current Year High: 4,985.39         Current Year Low: 3,658.13

The Kuwait Stock Exchange kept its optimistic mood and closed above 12,040 points on June 26, up by 550 points from its reading on May 30. The 12,000 range had been its historic high in early February 2006, from where the index then rather rapidly descended back. MTC continued its rise upon investor assumptions that the stock is a target for strategic buyers but analysts from Gulf Capital Group said at the end of June that they saw MTC as overvalued after rising 170% in the past 12 months. Speculation contributed to the KSE’s index boost across the 12,000 line at the end of June when people bought stock of Gulf Bank on media rumors that Citigroup wanted to acquire a majority share. Lebanon’s Solidere decided to withdraw its secondary listing from the KSE because its expectations for the cross-listing remained unfulfilled.

Kuwait SE  (1 month)

Current Year High: 12,065.12       Current Year Low: 9,164.30

With local investors defying the views of analysts that the correction phase for Gulf bourses is essentially be done and over with, the Tadawul index insisted on remaining the region’s worst performer for another month. Sliding from 7,492.66 points on May 30 to below 7,000 points in mid June, the TASI crawled back up to close at 7,111.55 points on June 26. Kayan Petrochemicals, which had its IPO in May, started trading in late June with first-day gains of 30% that stayed below the extreme jumps hoped for by some hit-and-run investors. However, insurance sector debutants SABB Takaful, Salama, and Arabian Shield started their trading life with five-fold share price increases over their under-priced IPOs. Following its first-day leap, SABB Takaful more than doubled in the following ten days. Prince Al-Waleed Bin Talal’s Kingdom Holding announced that it will offer 5% in an IPO later this year.

Saudi Arabia SE  (1 month)

Current Year High: 13,509.09       Current Year Low: 6,861.80

 Although the Muscat Securities Market dipped sharply for a day in the aftermath of the country suffering historic cyclone Gonu, the MSM ended June close to its in-month record high of 6,306.24 points on June 17. The index closed at 6,271.89 points on June 26, up 160 points from the end of May. Year-to-date, the MSM is the GCC’s third-best performer with a gain of 12.37%. Banks and cement companies saw positive action following the Gonu disruption which forced suspension of three trading sessions. Alliance Housing Bank, which had rejected an offer from BankMuscat in May, agreed to sell 35% of its equity to Bahrain’s Ahli United Bank for $132 million. 

Muscat SM  (1 month)

Current Year High: 6,306.24         Current Year Low: 4,657.16

 For its limited volumes, the Bahrain Stock Exchange was an upward escapee from most Gulf peers in June, with a 3.5% gain in the index to a close of 2390.98 points on June 26, compared with 2310.81 points on May 31. Gulf Finance House was among the BSE’s most actively traded stocks in June and closed almost 15% higher on June 26 than at the beginning of the month. GFH said it will list GDRs representing 14% of its equity on the London Stock Exchange before the end of June. Kuwait’s and Bahrain’s pension funds both denied rumors that they were seeking to sell their stakes in Ahli United Bank. The bank’s shares saw a comparatively high trading volume of 5.9 million shares on June 26. Dubai Financial agreed to buy 60% of Taib Bank. The BSE listed a $650 million sukuk of a privately held company, bringing the number of listed bonds and sukuk to 20.

Bahrain SE  (1 month)

Current Year High: 2,384.18         Current Year Low: 1,996.68

 In Doha, June was sideways trading month on levels about 400 points below the Doha Security Market’s 7750-points plateau in late May. Between its recording of 7,307.51 points on May 31 and its close at 7,244.63 points on June 26, the Doha index showed little fluctuation as if the summer had come earlier than elsewhere. Real estate firm Barwa saw heavy trading action on the back of its strong gains in April and May. The company announced the creation of a real estate bank as 100% subsidiary with a paid-up capital of almost $140 million. Shares of Mawashi, an agro-sector company, rose by 17% between June 1 and 26.

Doha SM: Qatar  (1 month)

Current Year High: 8,276.65         Current Year Low: 5,825.80

 The Tunisian bourse showed a V-shaped trajectory in June, dropping between the start of the month and June 11 before moving up until June 20 and receding slightly to the end of the month. The Tunindex closed at 2,519.13 points on June 26, less than 30 points down from May 30. The bourse is 8.07% higher compared with the start of 2007, trailing on its North African peers in Cairo and Casablanca. 

Tunis SE  (1 month)

Current Year High: 2,712.33         Current Year Low: 1,880.55

  The Moroccan exchange shed some 350 index points in the first half of June and showed little movement in the second half of the month. It closed at 11,526.28 points on June 25, almost 1,200 points below its year high from early May. The index is up 21.59% from the start of the year. The Casablanca stock market will see the addition of m2m group, a locally grown information technology firm, which was reported to have scheduled a $17 million initial public offering for 20% of its equity for late June. In a secondary listing action, the kingdom’s finance minister announced that the government will shortly bring another 4% of Maroc Telecom’s equity to the market. The stake will be worth around $565 million, according to newspaper reports. Maroc Telecom first went public with a 15% IPO in November 2004; at the time the offering represented little more than half of the stock’s current value of $16 per share. The secondary offering was delayed from 2006.

Casablanca SE All Shares  (1 month)

Current Year High: 12,723.23       Current Year Low: 6,839.94

 The Cairo & Alexandria Exchanges’ Hermes Index closed at 69,769.28 points on June 26, reflecting a gain of 13.83%, year to date. On the month, the index closed just under 500 points higher. In a peer-to-peer comparison to the Saudi bourse over the past 24 months, CASE performance looks strong. While the two largest Arab exchanges run along fairly parallel tracks between mid 2005 and mid 2006, a valuation scissors has opened wide since. Compared with their index values a year ago, the Hermes Index has climbed over 65% while the TASI slumped by 45%. In early June, Egypt was the stage of the Arab world’s largest private equity deal to date when UAE investment firm Abraaj Capital bought the Egyptian Fertilizers Company for $1.41 billion. Vehicle assembler and distributor Ghabbour Auto reported 7 times oversubscription on its private placement. Vodafone Egypt, with an infinitesimal amount of free-float shares as of recent, said it will de-list from CASE.  

Cairo SE: Hermes  (1 month)

Current Year High: 70,952.61       Current Year Low: 41,965.37

July 17, 2007 0 comments
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Financial Indicators

Global economic data

by Executive Staff July 7, 2007
written by Executive Staff

Youth inacivity

Percentage of youths aged between 15 and 19 who are not in education nor in employment

 On average, across the countries for which data are available, around 7.7% of teenagers were neither in school nor at work in 2004. Differences across countries are large: in Denmark, Germany, Iceland, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Norway and Poland less than 4% were in this situation while the shares exceeded 10% in Portugal, Spain, the United Kingdom, Mexico and Turkey.

For the OECD as a whole, there has been a decline in the percentages of all teenagers who are neither in employment nor education, but the decline has been most marked for females. The fact that young people, and particularly females, spend more time in education than they did a decade ago has contributed to this.

Several features of the labor markets and training systems affect the ease of transition from school to work. OECD reviews of youths’ transition from school to work have identified Nordic and English-speaking countries as those where this process is smoother than in countries in Continental and Southern Europe countries. Beyond waste of human capital and risks of marginalization in the labor markets, delays in settling into jobs will lead many youths to live longer with their parents and defer the formation of independent families, further compounding fertility declines.

Middle East Tourist Number Forecasts

By Country, in Millions of tourists per year

Saudi Arabia, owing to ever-increasing numbers of hajj pilgrims, is set to overtake Turkey as the country with the highest visitor numbers in absolute terms. By 2010, Iran expects the number of tourists to double (from roughly 2 Million to over 4 Million per year) and both the UAE and Lebanon plan to almost triple their numbers, the first from currently 7 Million to 20 Million and the second from 1.5 Million to 4 Million tourists per year. Yemen has the most ambitious forecast, aiming for an over 400% growth in the numbers of visitors from currently under 500,000 to 2 Million by 2025.

Traditional destinations Turkey, Egypt and Jordan foresee significant increases as well, each estimating their numbers to rise by at least 50%, to 30 Million, 16 Million and 12 Million, respectively.

Gross domestic expenditure on R&D

Percentage of GDP, 2005 or latest available year

Since 2000, R&D expenditure relative to GDP (R&D intensity) has increased in Japan, and it has decreased slightly in the United States.

In 2003 and 2004, Sweden, Finland, and Japan were the only three OECD countries in which the R&D-to-GDP ratio exceeded 3%, well above the OECD average of 2.3%. Since the mid-1990s, R&D expenditure (in real terms) has been growing the fastest in Iceland and Turkey, both with average annual growth rates above 10%.

R&D expenditure for China has been growing even faster than GDP, resulting in a rapidly increasing R&D intensity, growing from 0.9% in 2000 to 1.3% in 2005.

Global chocolate consumption

Kilogram per person 2005

The biggest consumers are manufacturing countries Belgium, Switzerland, and the UK, whose citizens eat 10 kg or more of chocolate each year. Germany and, surprisingly, the four Scandinavian countries follow close behind, whereas such European countries like France (4.66 kg/person) and the Netherlands (2.94 kg/person) are below the EU average of 5.23 kilogram of chocolate per person in 2005.

Chocolate consumption thus is not directly related to GDP or average income levels, but more influenced by culinary tradition, visible in the fact that Japanese consume only 1/5 of the amount of chocolate that Belgians do.

Source: International

Confectionary Association

July 7, 2007 0 comments
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Financial Indicators

Regional equity markets

by Executive Staff July 7, 2007
written by Executive Staff

Beirut SE: Blom  (1 month)

 Current Year High: 1,526.31      Current Year Low: 1,168.36

In another month tormented by bombs and battles over Lebanon, the Beirut Stock Exchange sustained life on small flame. The BSI moved from 1,230.29 points on May 31 to 1,189.18 points on June 25. Companies on the BSE used the time for revising their equity structures. Cement manufacturer Holcim Liban, saying it had excess capital, reduced its equity by over 16.5% and reduced its share volume through a 12-for-1 reverse stock split. Owners of BLC Bank, Qatar Investment Authority, announced its decision to divest of the stock after it did not realize the business growth it had aimed for in buying the Lebanese bank 18 macro-economically difficult months ago. BLC Bank had net profit of $ 3 million in the first quarter of 2007. Solidere panned out its future as hopeful parent of an internationally active affiliate, Solidere International, to shareholders.

Amman SE  (1 month)

Current Year High: 6,543.67       Current Year Low: 5,267.27

The Amman bourse entered June with an upward leap of some 213 points to a 5,878.26 reading, reversing a slide in late May. But the ASE index then proved analysts right who had said that the exchange’s gains in the first quarter of 2007 were too quick. The index slipped back and closed at 5,787.43 points on June 26. RCDI, an operator of an industrial park, was a notable gainer, moving up 37% during June. Real estate and financial sector companies accounted for much of the month’s news. Arab Bank mandated international banks to arrange for its first syndicated loan, a $500 million facility. First Jordan Investment Company, a real estate investment firm, said it will start subscription for an $85 million initial public offering in July; it had pushed back the IPO date twice in 2006.

Abu Dhabi SM  (1 month)

Current Year High: 3,701.90       Current Year Low: 2,839.16

The Abu Dhabi Securities Market had a cooling-off phase in June after its springtime increases. The index moved from 3,577.52 points on May 31 largely sideways, with a dip at the end to close at 3,534.81 points on June 26. A considerable amount of Abu Dhabi attention was directed at the United Kingdom where the ADSM ventured for a road show promoting the bourse as investment destination to London-based fund managers and financial experts. Of ten ADSM-listed companies participating in the mid-June trip, the majority represented the energy, banking, and real estate sectors. The bourse said the road show entailed 200 meetings with company delegations. ADSM also received a delegation from NYSE and SEC. 

Dubai FM  (1 month)

Current Year High: 4,985.39       Current Year Low: 3,658.13

The Dubai Financial Market Index followed a parallel trajectory to the ADSM with a slightly more pronounced dip and reduced trading volumes at the end of the month, ahead of the half-year results season. The index moved from 4,476.08 points on May 31 to 4,383.93 points on June 26. According to DFM statements, foreign investors accounted for about a quarter of trades on the bourse in the second and third weeks of June. Market heavy-weight Emaar was lackluster trading at around AED 12 with downward pressure in the last week of the month. Gulf Navigation, a transport sector scrip, moved from AED 1.19 to AED 1.36 in a single day of high volume June 13 but shed most of gains by the end of the month. At Dubai’s DIFC, international financial firms Merrill Lynch and Mizuho opened new offices; Calyon announced that it will do the same in July.

Kuwait SE  (1 month)

Current Year High: 12,065.12     Current Year Low: 9,164.30

The Kuwait Stock Exchange kept its optimistic mood and closed above 12,040 points on June 26, up by 550 points from its reading on May 30. The 12,000 range had been its historic high in early February 2006, from where the index then rather rapidly descended back. MTC continued its rise upon investor assumptions that the stock is a target for strategic buyers but analysts from Gulf Capital Group said at the end of June that they saw MTC as overvalued after rising 170% in the past 12 months. Speculation contributed to the KSE’s index boost across the 12,000 line at the end of June when people bought stock of Gulf Bank on media rumors that Citigroup wanted to acquire a majority share. Lebanon’s Solidere decided to withdraw its secondary listing from the KSE because its expectations for the cross-listing remained unfulfilled.

Saudi Arabia SE  (1 month)

Current Year High: 13,509.09     Current Year Low: 6,861.80

With local investors defying the views of analysts that the correction phase for Gulf bourses is essentially be done and over with, the Tadawul index insisted on remaining the region’s worst performer for another month. Sliding from 7,492.66 points on May 30 to below 7,000 points in mid June, the TASI crawled back up to close at 7,111.55 points on June 26. Kayan Petrochemicals, which had its IPO in May, started trading in late June with first-day gains of 30% that stayed below the extreme jumps hoped for by some hit-and-run investors. However, insurance sector debutants SABB Takaful, Salama, and Arabian Shield started their trading life with five-fold share price increases over their under-priced IPOs. Following its first-day leap, SABB Takaful more than doubled in the following ten days. Prince Al-Waleed Bin Talal’s Kingdom Holding announced that it will offer 5% in an IPO later this year.

Muscat SM  (1 month)

Current Year High: 6,306.24       Current Year Low: 4,657.16

 Although the Muscat Securities Market dipped sharply for a day in the aftermath of the country suffering historic cyclone Gonu, the MSM ended June close to its in-month record high of 6,306.24 points on June 17. The index closed at 6,271.89 points on June 26, up 160 points from the end of May. Year-to-date, the MSM is the GCC’s third-best performer with a gain of 12.37%. Banks and cement companies saw positive action following the Gonu disruption which forced suspension of three trading sessions. Alliance Housing Bank, which had rejected an offer from BankMuscat in May, agreed to sell 35% of its equity to Bahrain’s Ahli United Bank for $132 million. 

Bahrain SE  (1 month)

Current Year High: 2,384.18       Current Year Low: 1,996.68

 For its limited volumes, the Bahrain Stock Exchange was an upward escapee from most Gulf peers in June, with a 3.5% gain in the index to a close of 2390.98 points on June 26, compared with 2310.81 points on May 31. Gulf Finance House was among the BSE’s most actively traded stocks in June and closed almost 15% higher on June 26 than at the beginning of the month. GFH said it will list GDRs representing 14% of its equity on the London Stock Exchange before the end of June. Kuwait’s and Bahrain’s pension funds both denied rumors that they were seeking to sell their stakes in Ahli United Bank. The bank’s shares saw a comparatively high trading volume of 5.9 million shares on June 26. Dubai Financial agreed to buy 60% of Taib Bank. The BSE listed a $650 million sukuk of a privately held company, bringing the number of listed bonds and sukuk to 20.

Doha SM: Qatar  (1 month)

Current Year High: 8,276.65       Current Year Low: 5,825.80

In Doha, June was sideways trading month on levels about 400 points below the Doha Security Market’s 7750-points plateau in late May. Between its recording of 7,307.51 points on May 31 and its close at 7,244.63 points on June 26, the Doha index showed little fluctuation as if the summer had come earlier than elsewhere. Real estate firm Barwa saw heavy trading action on the back of its strong gains in April and May. The company announced the creation of a real estate bank as 100% subsidiary with a paid-up capital of almost $140 million. Shares of Mawashi, an agro-sector company, rose by 17% between June 1 and 26.

Tunis SE  (1 month)

Current Year High: 2,712.33       Current Year Low: 1,880.55

 The Tunisian bourse showed a V-shaped trajectory in June, dropping between the start of the month and June 11 before moving up until June 20 and receding slightly to the end of the month. The Tunindex closed at 2,519.13 points on June 26, less than 30 points down from May 30. The bourse is 8.07% higher compared with the start of 2007, trailing on its North African peers in Cairo and Casablanca. 

Casablanca SE All Shares  (1 month)

Current Year High: 12,723.23     Current Year Low: 6,839.94

  The Moroccan exchange shed some 350 index points in the first half of June and showed little movement in the second half of the month. It closed at 11,526.28 points on June 25, almost 1,200 points below its year high from early May. The index is up 21.59% from the start of the year. The Casablanca stock market will see the addition of m2m group, a locally grown information technology firm, which was reported to have scheduled a $17 million initial public offering for 20% of its equity for late June. In a secondary listing action, the kingdom’s finance minister announced that the government will shortly bring another 4% of Maroc Telecom’s equity to the market. The stake will be worth around $565 million, according to newspaper reports. Maroc Telecom first went public with a 15% IPO in November 2004; at the time the offering represented little more than half of the stock’s current value of $16 per share. The secondary offering was delayed from 2006.

Cairo SE: Hermes  (1 month)

Current Year High: 70,952.61     Current Year Low: 41,965.37

 The Cairo & Alexandria Exchanges’ Hermes Index closed at 69,769.28 points on June 26, reflecting a gain of 13.83%, year to date. On the month, the index closed just under 500 points higher. In a peer-to-peer comparison to the Saudi bourse over the past 24 months, CASE performance looks strong. While the two largest Arab exchanges run along fairly parallel tracks between mid 2005 and mid 2006, a valuation scissors has opened wide since. Compared with their index values a year ago, the Hermes Index has climbed over 65% while the TASI slumped by 45%. In early June, Egypt was the stage of the Arab world’s largest private equity deal to date when UAE investment firm Abraaj Capital bought the Egyptian Fertilizers Company for $1.41 billion. Vehicle assembler and distributor Ghabbour Auto reported 7 times oversubscription on its private placement. Vodafone Egypt, with an infinitesimal amount of free-float shares as of recent, said it will de-list from CASE.  

July 7, 2007 0 comments
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Banking & Finance

Money Matters by BLOMINVEST Bank

by Executive Staff July 7, 2007
written by Executive Staff

Regional stock market indices

Regional currency rates

Arab Bank Undertakes $500m Syndicated Loan, Debut Transaction in its History

Jordan-based Arab Bank plc appointed Credit Agricole (CALYON), HSBC Bank Middle East Limited and JP Morgan as lead arrangers and book runners for a $500 million fully underwritten syndicated loan. This loan, first of its kind to be ever undertaken by the bank, aims at “diversifying funding resources and the efficient management of assets and liabilities” of the bank. Arab Bank, established in 1930, operates in 29 countries. The bank recorded profits of $625 million in 2006, and assets and shareholders’ equity were at $32.4 billion and $5.9 billion respectively for the same period.

Ahli United Bank to Acquire 35% of Oman’s Alliance Housing Bank

Bahrain’s Ahli United Bank (AUB) signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) to acquire 35% of Oman’s Alliance Housing Bank (AHB). This acquisition comes in the form of AUB’s full subscription in AHB’s new planned increase in capital. AUB will thus acquire 113 million common shares of AHB for a total of OR50.9m ($134m). This step is in line with AUB’s strategy of establishing a strong Pan Gulf banking group. AUB, established in 2000, currently employs 1,917 people and has 17 branches in Bahrain as well as branches in Kuwait, Qatar, Iraq, Egypt and the United Kingdom. AUB reported profits of $207m in 2006, up 26% year-on-year.

BSA: Middle East/Africa Piracy Rate at 60% in 2006

US-based Business Software Alliance (BSA) released in coordination with technology research firm International Data Corporation (IDC) its 2006 software piracy report revealing a piracy rate of 60% in the Middle East/Africa Region in 2006, up from a rate of 57% a year before, and much higher that the worldwide average of 35%. Total losses from piracy in the region amounted to $1.997 billion also up from last year’s $1.615 billion. Algeria ranked first among Arab countries in terms of piracy rate recording one of 84% with losses amounting to $62 million. It was followed by Tunisia (79%, $55 million), Lebanon (73%, $34 million) and Morocco (66%, $53 million). Next came Kuwait (64%, $60 million), Egypt (63%, $88 million), Jordan (61%, $19 million). And finally Oman (62%, $25 million), Bahrain (60%, $23 million), Qatar (58%, $23 million), and Saudi Arabia (52%, $195 million). The UAE was the Arab country with the lowest piracy rate of 35% in 2006, in line with the worldwide rate. UAE’s losses from piracy amounted to $62 million.

July 7, 2007 0 comments
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North Africa

Tunisia: Textile boom

by Executive Staff July 7, 2007
written by Executive Staff

Bringing in more than 40% of Tunisia’s export earnings and providing employment to well over 200,000 people, the textile and clothing sector in Tunisia is a key driving force of the country’s economy. The sector has also attracted a major part of the foreign direct investment (FDI) that has gravitated to Tunisia in the past decade, with leading international brand names such as Benetton, GAP, Levi Strauss and Playtex all establishing production facilities in the country.

Of the approximately 2,100 firms active in the clothing and textile industries, more than 75% produce exclusively for the export trade, with total overseas earnings of some $4 billion in 2006.

However, the sector is coming under some pressure despite Tunisia’s favorable trade agreements with the EU, by far its biggest market. China’s growing dominance in the international clothing trade since the lifting of quotas and barriers in 2005, especially those of the now defunct Multi-Fibre Agreement, has put the squeeze on traditional Mediterranean manufacturers such as Tunisia and Turkey. So too has the accession of a number of Eastern European countries to the EU, with FDI being drawn to them, attracted by low wages, existing plants and good transport links.

Textile industry focuses on Italy

While other export-oriented industries had a strong year in 2006, with Tunisia’s mechanical and electrical industries posting an increase of 25% in overseas sales, the textile and clothing sector flat-lined, failing to match the overall GDP growth of 5.4% last year.

Though there has been an early surge in exports in the first five months of 2007, with overseas sales up 19% over the same period last year, this has to be balanced by the 4.2% drop in exports recorded for the first half of 2006.

During the textiles and clothing industries showcase annual event, TEXMED, held this year in Tunis in June, sector leaders were told they should step up their efforts to penetrate the lucrative Italian and Spanish markets.

Jean-François Limantour, chairman of the European-Mediterranean textile-clothing managers’ guild, told a seminar on the sidelines of TEXMED that more needed to be done by Tunisian producers to raise their profile in the Italian market. “In particular, there should be greater contacts with organizers of Italian trade shows to increase Tunisia’s profile as a clothing and textiles source,” he said.

However, he offered some solace, saying that Romania’s clothing industry, Tunisia’s main rival in the Italian market, could suffer from an exodus of skilled workers following its accession to the EU at the beginning of 2007.

Limantour also warned that Turkey could pose a challenge to the Tunisian industry, given its potential for expansion.

According to Youssef Neji, chairman and managing director of Tunisia’s Export Promotion Centre (CEPEX), the textiles and apparel sector has to strengthen itself ahead of the end of the quota system for Chinese textile exports in 2008.

Under World Trade Organisation rules, the US and the EU can restrict Chinese exports under two separate types of safeguard mechanisms that can be used until 2008 and 2013 respectively.

“The sector has to meet the objectives of a strategy laid out three years ago to move from being a subcontractor to focusing on partnerships and finished products,” he said.

Finding a niche

Jorge Rodriguez Taboadela, Spanish market advisor for CEPEX, said a sales and promotion approach targeting individual markets was the best course for the Tunisian textiles and clothing sector to adopt.

“In particular, clothing exporters should look to develop specific collections for a target area or country, taking into account culture, tastes and current trends,” he said. “Competition in this market is played on the level of innovation and difference and not on the quality and price levels.”

Current developments in the sector show that despite investments in textile and clothing sector have eased off in the past two years, there is still room for development. At the end of 2006, Benetton announced it was to develop a 14,000 square meter finishing facility in the Monastir region at a cost of $29 million, as part of the company’s projected $332 million investment plans. While this represents a vote of confidence in the future of Tunisia’s textile sector, vigilance will be needed to keep this significant employment provider globally competitive.

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Since its first edition emerged on the newsstands in 1999, Executive Magazine has been dedicated to providing its readers with the most up-to-date local and regional business news. Executive is a monthly business magazine that offers readers in-depth analyses on the Lebanese world of commerce, covering all the major sectors – from banking, finance, and insurance to technology, tourism, hospitality, media, and retail.

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