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Retrospective

A chip off the old block

by Norbert Schiller January 2, 2007
written by Norbert Schiller

Iraq’s former leader Saddam Hussein was more than just a ruthless dictator. Like most psychopaths, he could be likable—even charming—when he wanted. Saddam Hussein was a survivor. He came from peasant stock and learned early on that in order to move up, he had to make the right friends, use them and dispose of them.

However, his eldest son and “original” heir-apparent Uday inherited none his father’s manipulative charm, and all of his ruthlessness. Uday, who was born into power, used only fear to move through life.

Whereas Saddam was omniscient figure that the average Iraqi saw only in newspapers, on street murals and on television. Uday, on the other hand, was much more visible in person, with his entourage of shady characters driving expensive cars. He appeared in public mostly at night, going from one upscale nightclub to another. He was even known to crash the weddings of women he had previously been interested in.

During my travels to Iraq over the past three decades, I came face to face with Uday on a few occasions. The first encounter was in 1990, four months after Iraq invaded Kuwait. In order to stall the imminent invasion, Iraqi authorities rounded up all the male westerners they could find in Kuwait and Iraq and held them against their will at strategic installations they believed would be targeted by the American-led coalition. As international pressure mounted to release the “Human Shields,” Iraq decided to host an international Music and Sports Peace Festival as a way of gaining sympathy for their country. The host of the festival was none other than Uday Hussein.

People from across the world flooded into the Iraqi capital. A Japanese senator arrived with an entourage of wrestlers, musicians, and kite flyers. A group came from the US, claiming to be an all-in-one basketball/volleyball team and singing troupe. Even former heavyweight boxing champion Mohammed Ali showed up with assorted peaceniks and businessmen.

Uday was the center of attention, dividing his time between listening to impassioned pleas from politicians and housewives to release the “Human Shields” and attending almost every festival event. He beamed when Iraq’s national basketball team demolished the American singing troupe.

When the festival ended, everyone nervously waited to see if the Iraqi parliament would vote in favor of releasing the hostages. Was the festival a success? Was Uday pleased by the turnout? The parliament met in an emergency session and within a few minutes declared that the Iraqi military was now strong enough to defend the ‘homeland,’ so there was no need to hold any foreigner against his will.

The years which followed the first American invasion of Iraq took a high toll on the country. The sanctions slapped on Iraq hardly affected the ruling party. Instead, it was the poor and middle classes that suffered. Those who could leave the country did and with them went the vibrancy of Iraqi society. From one visit to the next, I would see shops boarded up. Restaurants and cafes shut down, and Baghdad’s once throbbing night life was reduced to the disco in the Rasheed hotel, one of Uday’s favorite haunts.

One evening a group of friends and I headed to the disco, hoping to cheer ourselves up. By then, Saddam Hussein had put a ban on selling alcohol in public places but the Rasheed disco was left untouched. After too much Johnny Walker Black Label, we hit the dance floor. As the only nightspot still open, Baghdad’s high society was out in numbers. Men and women danced to the Arabic top 40, seemingly oblivious to the hardships the rest of society was facing. Suddenly, I awoke from my alcohol-induced daze and realized that I was dancing alone, with only a few other men scattered across the dance floor. I stumbled back towards my friends and in a loud and boisterous voice asked where all the women had gone.

An Iraqi friend motioned to me to come close and keep my voice down; then he pulled me even closer and said in my ear, “Don’t make it obvious when you turn around, but the party-pooper just arrived.”

NORBERT SCHILLER is a photographer/editor

January 2, 2007 0 comments
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Special FeatureTelecom

Disappointing performances Oh-Gero

by Executive Staff January 2, 2007
written by Executive Staff

Both provide telecommunications services. Both have postponed going public. Both are linked inextricably to Lebanese issues. But there is much more than one tiny ‘o’ in difference between Oger Telecom, the Gulf-based multi-market provider of mobile and landline services associated with the Hariri family empire, and Ogero, the landline phone division attached to Lebanon’s ministry of telecommunications and would-be operator of a third mobile network in the country.

Would be – if plans for evolving Ogero into a modern company called Liban Telecom – were implemented with key components of getting the government entity ready for privatization and adding a mobile operator license to its portfolio to make it more attractive to buyers.

Lagging behind

In more real terms, Ogero is the entity that brought Lebanon public pay phones early in the 21st century, rolling out some 2,700 by the end of 2004. It is also in all probability – although the hypothesis has not been verified by global research – the world’s premier telecommunications services provider to confess on its home page that a customer service project of mailing phone bills to subscribers “is suspended for the time being”.

Other operators may have discontinued putting the bill in the mail because of paperless notification and payment; countless Ogero customers still queue in the “centrals” on payment date and never experienced the luxury of a mailed invoice. When the entity one day is turned into a customer-centric corporation and finds a way to deliver invoices electronically (rather than making customers ask for the invoice info), it will probably claim that it leapfrogged over the paper age.    

But that is a long ways off. Ogero is not going to push for an initial public offering in 2007. According to Lebanon’s Higher Privatization Council, the operator could be transformed into Liban Telecom in late 2007 and be ready for partial privatization toward the end of 2008. The privatization act could involve taking a stake in Liban Telecom public.  

Oger Telecom, by contrast, may very well do an IPO in 2007. The company actually stepped back from a planned $1.25 billion initial public offering on the London Stock Exchange and the Dubai International Financial Market in November, preferring an embarrassing last-minute withdrawal of the offer – which was overpriced by judgment of analysts – over the possibility that it would be a financial disappointment to its investors and greater damage to its corporate reputation.

Avoidance of disappointments has not been a priority for Ogero, or rather the decision makers who derailed the entity’s privatization with embarrassing repetitiveness since the national privatization debate started around eight years ago with plans developed by the administration led by Salim Hoss.

In 2000, for instance, Ogero was slated to be prepared for sale before 2004. World Bank (WB) documents show how the institution was committed more than five years ago to assist the government of Lebanon in readying Ogero for privatization, at the time expected to be “the next major transaction” after selling off Middle East Airlines with help of the International Finance Corporation.

According to the WB, the preparation for Ogero’s privatization was to include establishment and operation of the Telecommunications Regulatory Authority (TRA), to act as supervisor of the sector and provide support for severance payments associated with the privatization transaction. The estimated mid-point project cost of these measures was estimated at $27 million, out of a $90 million privatization support package to which the WB was willing to contribute $70 million.  

On average once or twice per year since then, the issues of telecommunications liberalization, auctioning of mobile operator licenses, and privatizing Ogero have ruled the political and public debate in one form or another. The TRA was legislated; mobile phone license auctions were announced, delayed, called off and reshaped into management outsourcing agreements; Ogero employees protested against restructuring plans; network and service improvements were presented with fanfare and postponed without them. All that and more happened with the well-known triple effect of stifling investments into new technology, eroding anyone’s confidence in governmental announcements on telecom restructuring, and dooming the country to be an overpriced underperformer in telecommunications, period. 

In June 2006, the situation had moved so far into the absurd that a – however laudable – student initiative by the Lebanese club at MIT was hailed as the solution to the country’s telecom misery. The group had a plan to draw up another road map for making Lebanon “a vibrant and sustainable technology hub in the Middle East and North Africa region”.

The good news in the current situation is that the transformation of Ogero and privatization of Liban Telecom does not play a central role in debt reduction plans associated with the hoped-for Paris 3 donor gathering.

Privatization plan sabotaged?

As the minister of economy and trade, Sami Haddad told Executive in late December that the Lebanese government’s main revenue proposition for sellable assets in connection with Paris 3 negotiations is again telecommunications. But it is the mobile sector which, according to the government’s international advisors, could fetch $5 billion.

This revenue would be used for debt reduction, Haddad said, but equally important, the privatization of the mobile sector would be the “largest inflow of foreign direct investment in Lebanon”, creating new jobs and possibly expanding the mobile phone sector from the current one million to three million subscribers within a year.     

For Sami Haddad – who also says that MEA should have been privatized “yesterday” – the ogre factor in the Lebanese telecom story is political resistance to getting telecommunications privatization off the ground. “What stands in our way is that the TRA has been sabotaged by [President] Emile Lahoud. At every cabinet meeting, he sabotaged it,” Haddad said.

“The main thing for privatization is telecommunications and we have a strong parliamentary majority for it,” the minister added. “I think we should privatize the two mobile companies to 100%.”

In Haddad’s opinion, privatization of the mobile companies should take place through IPOs and that the government should ascertain, as laid out in its ministerial declaration on the issue, that no single person or company will own more than a stake of “x” in an operator. This limit has not been decided, but Haddad indicated there is wide agreement that it should be 50%. 

By reaching market penetration rates of 70% or more in a short time, private sector mobile operators in Lebanon would reach goals that the old BOT operators in the 1990s, FTML and LibanCell, had seen as attainable for the year 2000.

And here, high growth stories from the private sector, like that of Oger Telecom or those of Kuwait’s MTC and Egypt’s Orascom, can today serve as examples. They show how companies with ambitious strategies could set and achieve not only good economic performance in regional markets, but expand outside of the Middle East with equal or larger success. They also illustrate how to handle setbacks that may arise en route to implementing targets – as Oger Telecom did with its IPO withdrawal, which did not discernably dampen the company’s plans for further acquisitions and growth.   

Over the past five years, developments of the regional telecommunications industry have established new leaders in markets that were only vaguely defined a few years earlier. The sector’s rapid evolution has moreover shown that even several staid, state-owned landline companies and incumbents could transform into transnational corporations with tremendous performance under gradual privatization schemes.

In this, Batelco, Etisalat, and QTel stand in the same line as Saudi Arabia’s STC and Egypt’s Telecom Egypt. Compared to the un-dynamic bureaucratic bodies that some of these companies once were, their modern incarnations are centers of functionality that are well taking advantage of the region’s present favorable climate for telecommunication expansions and privatization measures.  

The Lebanese government will see a major headache dissolve if its plans for privatizing the mobile operators finally come to fruition within 2007. For the transformation and privatization of Ogero, a question will remain if the currently strong hunger of potential telecom investors will stay strong, or if price scenarios will change by the time the company is ready for an IPO and sale to strategic partners. But, in any case, Liban Telecom will need time and will arrive on a regional communications landscape long after territories have been marked and bigger fish have built their markets.

January 2, 2007 0 comments
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Real estateSpecial Report

New city in the making The Dubai effect

by Executive Staff January 2, 2007
written by Executive Staff

Across the Arab world, Gulf-based property developers are changing the face of the region’s capital cities – and their real estate markets too.

Dubai today is a new city in the making. The seafront on the road south to Abu Dhabi is a forest of cranes, all operating ceaselessly at the hands of imported labor. Further west, just behind the skyscrapers on Sheikh Zayed road, is the prefabricated skeleton of the Burj Dubai, which when completed will be the tallest building on earth. It is reportedly going up at the rate of a floor every four days, while the overall level of construction in the Gulf Emirate is second only to the Chinese city of Shanghai.

Some within the market find Dubai’s breakneck speed of development hard to comprehend. They say the pace at which projects are announced and constructed is unreal.

But so far, there is no sign of a slowdown, and the naysayers, who have long predicted a crash or were doubtful that the Emirate’s property market had real substance to it are watching on with growing incredulity. Believers simply point to the fact that Dubai is stamping 60,000 new residential visas a month, and all of these people will need somewhere to live.

Contagious development

But, while Dubai is a master of attracting media attention, it is not the only city in the Arab world whose real estate sector is being transformed by the huge levels of capital derived from the high oil prices of the last three years.

Right across the region, from Rabat on Morocco’s Atlantic coast to Muscat in the Gulf of Oman, property developers – and mainly those based in the Gulf – are literally changing the face of most capital cities.

Over the last three years, real estate markets in the Arab world have benefited from surplus oil capital, the repatriation of investments following 9/11 and the increasing demand created by urbanization and population growth within the Arab world.

An improvement in property legislation in some countries has also been a factor contributing to a steep rise in property prices, which in some Arab cities have doubled in recent years.

The most visible effects are in the Gulf itself: drive 70 kilometers down the coast from Dubai to Abu Dhabi, where the capital of the UAE is planning around $270 billion in new construction projects over the coming years. Some $8 billion is set aside to build a new island city that will house 100,000 people, while plans are afoot to develop several other natural islands, one of which will feature a Ferrari museum and another a branch of the Guggenheim Museum – as well as, so it is rumored, an offshoot of the Louvre.

This level of construction and development will also be seen in most of GCC states in the coming years. In Bahrain developers are responding to the chronic shortage of land by “reclaiming” it from the sea, the prime example being the $3 billion Durrat Bahrain development on the south-eastern tip of the main island that planners say will accommodate 50,000 people.

New pastures

Yet while such monumental levels of activity within the GCC will continue, investors are starting to realize that saturation is possible. In order to spread risk, new opportunities should be sought, and sought largely on home ground.

The signatures of gargantuan developers, such as Dubai Holding and Emaar, are those most often found on the resulting string of mega-projects, which are signed on a seemingly daily basis across the entire region. The latter in particular has embarked on a monumental spending spree across Asia and the Middle East, spearheading Gulf-sourced investment in real estate.

The fact that these are inherently unstable areas has so far not been a turn-off. Lebanon is probably the best example of a country whose real estate sector is able to shrug off conflict and instability and still attract investors. Abu Dhabi Investment House (ADIH), for instance, has said that it will push on with its $600 million Beirut Gate development despite current travails, supporting the maxim that Beirut real estate never loses its value – no matter what else happens in the country.

Across the border in Syria, hardly considered an easy or stable place to do business, Emaar has announced two projects worth a combined $3.4 billion. In Amman, the government’s decision to move a military base out of the centre of the city has created 2,592 hectares of prime real estate in the heart of the capital. Abdali, as the project is known, has already seen $1.5 billion of investment.

Into Africa

Further afield, North Africa is also attracting serious interest, particularly since it is often perceived as offering the familiarity of the Arab world but also a certain insulation from Levantine instabilities.

With probably the largest middle class in the Arab world, Tunisia has recently hosted a number of Gulf suitors studying retail and residential projects in the country. Emaar has lead the way – this time with an $1.88 billion marina investment – but Dubai Holding and other developers are also tentatively exploring the market.

Morocco, despite an economy still highly dependent on rainfall, has in the past year launched a series of large-scale joint ventures with Gulf-based investors on the Atlantic coastline in and around Rabat and Casablanca. Many now feel the country is on the verge of a property boom, given heightened interest not only from the Arab world but also from Europe, where developers see great potential in a tourist industry whose hotel capacity will struggle to keep up with demand.

And, while neighboring Algeria is still emerging from more than a decade of debilitating civil conflict, Emaar recently announced plans to construct a tourist development on the Mediterranean. Others will surely follow. Even in Libya, one of the most untouched markets in the region, the Dubai-based developer last month signed a deal with Muammar Gaddafi’s son to build a free zone in the north.

Is it viable?

So far, property prices in the greater Middle East show no sign of being dented by the worsening situation in Iraq, Palestine and Lebanon. If anything, these conflicts are fueling a rise in some places. Jordan, for example, is now a center for the Iraqi middle class who have fled the violence in their country and are pushing up property prices in Amman.

It appears that buyers and investors alike are indifferent to the potential risk that exists within many of the region’s property markets. Indeed, in some Arab countries real estate is one of the only segments of the economy to show any serious activity, which makes it even more difficult for governments to resist the advances of mega-projects whose less-publicized effects include raising wider property prices out of the reach of most locals, pushing up inflation and blotting out historical skylines.

Spurred on by double-digit yields and apparently undeterred by the swaths of bureaucracy and corruption evident in most of these markets, developers are likely to continue their investment drive across the region. This kind of inter-Arab economic activity should be applauded. But, whether the investment is the result of genuine financial logic or simply a bubble inflated by countries with massive amounts of capital and a pressing need to invest, is another question.

Another issue to be examined is whether these investments create communities that will guarantee the long-term social health of Arab cities. In Beirut, for one, there are fears that the luxury apartments sprouting up in the city centre will be empty for most of the year, only occupied while their owners visit during the summer holidays. Some projects are seeing the same problem in Dubai, with developers gradually realizing the importance of creating mixed-use communities as well as making good investments.

Whatever strategy is adopted, the urban landscape of the Arab world is undergoing an unprecedented period of change. Not even mentioned here are yet more giant developments in Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Oman and Qatar, all of which suggest that this could be just the start of a wider transformation. How that will change everyday life for the average citizens living in these countries remains to be seen.

January 2, 2007 0 comments
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Banking & Finance

Money Matters BLOMINVEST Bank

by Executive Staff January 2, 2007
written by Executive Staff

Regional stock market indices

Regional currency rates

Emaar wins ‘Property Company of the Year’ Award

Emaar Properties, the Dubai-based global property developer, received the ‘Property Company of the Year’ award at the Arabian Business Awards 2006. This award is Emaar’s fourth this year after ‘Best Real Estate Brand in the GCC’, ‘Best Developer in the UAE and Egypt’, and ‘Developer of the Year’. Emaar has been following a strategy of expansion and diversification, which has seen it enter into projects in more than 15 countries including a $20 billion project in downtown Dubai and a recent $500 million residential project in Jordan. Emaar recorded an increase in its first half-net profits of 21%, reaching $831 million.

SABIC Group Issues First Saudi Arabian Corporate Eurobond

SABIC Europe B.V, the European subsidiary of Saudi Basic Industries Corporation (SABIC), issued the first Saudi Arabian corporate Eurobond. This euro 750 million ($975 million) Eurobond issue is part of the company’s raising of  euro 2 billion ($2.62 billion) in debt led and bookrun by HSBC and aimed at refinancing existing debt, funding new capital increases programs, and financing other general purposes. The loan facility was well oversubscribed, a clear indication of global investor interest in the company. SABIC, the largest company in the Middle East by market capitalization ($70 billion), reported total profits of $2.35 billion in the first six months of 2006.

Overall Arab Economic Freedom

Fraser Institute granted its “Overall Arab Economic Freedom Award 2006” for the second consecutive year. This award is based on Fraser’s Economic Freedom Index ranking Arab governments in recognition of their achievements in the creation of wealth through the promotion of economic freedom. Five awards including the “Lean Government Award”, “Rule of Law Award”, “Sound Money Award”, “Free Trade Award”, and “Ease of Business Award” were the parameters constituting the measure of economic freedom.  Oman scored highest for the second year running with an overall score of 8. Kuwait came in second, up one rank from last year, with a score of 7.8. Lebanon and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) tied at third place with a score of 7.7. Jordan, Saudi Arabia and Yemen followed with scores of 7.6, 7.5 and 7.4 respectively. Egypt, Tunisia, Syria and Morocco ranked 8th through 11th; while Algeria scored 5.3, the lowest among ranked Arab countries. Of the above-mentioned ranked countries, six saw their scores deteriorate; three witnessed score increases, while the remaining three countries maintained the same scores as last year.

January 2, 2007 0 comments
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North Africa

Italy woos Tunisia

by Executive Staff January 2, 2007
written by Executive Staff

Romano Prodi’s visit with President Zine el Abidine Ben Ali in Tunis on October, 30, 2006 – one of the stops on his 20-day visit to North Africa and the Middle East – highlighted Italy’s growing interest in Tunisia as an investment destination.

Italy is the second largest source of foreign investment in the country, with almost 650 firms and an estimated $758 million of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) so far, a figure that does not include the investment in the energy sector. It is estimated that more than 47,000 jobs have been created through Italian funds.

Just over half (56%) of all Italian investment in the country is accounted for by textile-related industries. There are roughly 320 Italian companies involved in textile, leather and shoe manufacturing, with a cumulated investment of roughly $204.6 million. Despite the end of the Multi-Fibre Agreement, Tunisia continues to attract Italian brands looking for high-quality production and finishing and quick restocking capabilities. Most recently, clothing giant Benetton announced plans for a new, 14,000m2 finishing plant, worth approximately $27.3 million. Benetton produces 21 million pieces per year in Tunisia, and its activity alone represents no less than 7,000 jobs.

Prominent presence

Mechanical and electrical manufacturing, particularly automotive components, is another important activity. There are 90 Italian companies active in this sector, and their cumulated investment is in excess of $166.7 million. Fiat, Piaggio, Iveco, among others, have production plants in the country.

The Italian involvement in banking is more of a mixed bag. In August 2005, Italian bank Monte dei Paschi di Siena pulled out of Tunisia by selling the 17% stake it had acquired in the recently-privatized Banque du Sud. SIMEST, however, has recently acquired shares of Banque Internationale Arabe de Tunisie (2%), in which Gruppo San Paolo IMI also has a 5.61% stake. Banca del Popolo is the latest of the Italian banks that have opened representative offices in Tunisia.

Meanwhile, Italy’s presence in service industries is limited. Only $1.13 million has been invested in the sector so far, and only a handful of companies operate in the country – mainly consultancies. Nevertheless, Tunisia has the potential to woo Italian service companies contemplating outsourcing. There is already one Italian call centre operator in the country, and observers anticipate more activity in this segment. Teleperformance, the biggest call-centre operator in the country, is currently recruiting Italian-speaking employees.

But the most ambitious project to date is an energy deal. The Tunisian government is pushing hard for a mega-project estimated to cost more than $1,28 billion that would interconnect both countries through an underwater electrical cable.

The Tunisian side would like to see the project begin as early as 2007. This would entail installing a gas-powered electrical plant in El Haouaria, on the northern tip of Cap Bon (which is just 87 miles away from Sicily). As a joint venture, it would produce 1,200 MW of electricity, of which 800 would be exported to Italy, and 400 sold locally. The cable, with a capacity of 1,000MW, would provide some room for growth in exports to the Italy.

The project would allow Italy to secure alternative energy supplies – the 2005 “gas war” between Russia and Ukraine, and recent power cuts have shed light on Europe’s energy vulnerability. For Tunisia, it would provide significant cash inflows and would allow it to even the trade balance with Italy.

However, despite the political enthusiasm surrounding the project, it might take some time to effectively kick-start. The Italian side is still conducting technical and financial feasibility studies, according to some observers. The cable’s cost, that by some estimates could cost up to $350 million, is a major hurdle that will have to be lifted.

January 2, 2007 0 comments
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North Africa

Enterprising Solutions

by Executive Staff January 2, 2007
written by Executive Staff

Morocco’s small and medium enterprises (SMEs) have recently benefited from the growing interest of financiers and the increasing emphasis on the link between corporate governance and terms of credit.

In November 2006, an awareness-raising campaign was launched on financing and corporate governance for SMEs. The program is a joint initiative of the Central Bank (Bank Al-Maghrib), the Banking Association (GPBM), the Agency for the Promotion of SMEs (ANPME) and the Investment Guaranty Agency (CCG).

Aimed at promoting best practice in the cooperation between SMEs and the banking sector, the campaign comes amid a flurry of workshops meant to address funding problems.

“The goal of this operation is to loosen the structural constraints that hinder the activities of SMEs,” noted Abdellatif Jouahri, the governor of Bank Al-Maghrib.

The predominance of SMEs in the agro-industrial, construction, tourism, high-tech and chemical sectors has made the matter all the more pressing. Indeed, SMEs represent 99.6% of companies operating in these areas, employing 55% of labor.

Many SMEs are still facing high costs for credit as well as generic funding programs, which are not tailored to their needs. Large banks charge between a 5.5% and 6.5% interest rate, while the market interest rate for SME loans varies between 8% and 13%, substantially above rates offered to larger companies.

Promising partnership

The issues of transparency and corporate governance are accountable for these shortcomings, as well as the lack of guarantees and reliable information about SMEs.

In response, the central bank has initiated a number of programs to improve transparency and the free flow of information, as well as to encourage commercial banks to extend their services to SMEs.

“We admit that the execution of special programs for SMEs is slow,” noted Jouahri. “This is due to, among other issues, the harmonization of financial information, the normalization of accounting information and the setting up of a ratings system for a better analysis of credit risk by banks.”

Commercial banks, such as Groupe Banque Populaire, BMCE and BMCI, currently offer financing services to SMEs. Following the trend, on November 28, Attijariwafa Bank, the largest private bank in Morocco, initiated a partnership with ANPME.

Companies will benefit from tailor-made financial services, technical assistance and capacity-building. While the ANPME can take up to 90% of the cost of the technical assistance plan, Attijariwafa will provide services for the restructuring and consolidation of debt as well as loans at a lower interest rate. Many similar programs form the nexus between SMEs’ funding needs and best practice at the level of corporate governance for most Moroccan companies.

“We have created a network of more than 25 business centers dedicated to these companies, satisfying the need for proximity demanded by our SME clients, as well as their financing and financial management needs,” said Boubker Jai, director general of Attijariwafa bank. “Given that the economy includes a number of SMEs that are not necessarily well-structured, we owe it to ourselves to do more and act as real advisors.”

The strategy is thus to integrate the relationship between banks and SMEs into a partnership with promises of greater transparency on the part of SMEs and more straightforward access to credit offered by banks. The business association, the Confederation Générale des Entreprises du Maroc (CGEM), emphasized the advisory role of banks in this process.

Campaign in high gear

“We want the project to be guaranteed itself and that the bank insures rapid responses to all the needs of SMEs as well as playing an advisory and assistance role,” explained Khalid Benjelloun, president of the CGEM.

On November 23 and 24, corporate governance featured high on the agenda of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development’s (OECD) working session. In preparation for a general code of corporate governance for Moroccan enterprises, including SMEs, the session brought together personalities from the public and private sectors.

Alexander Bohmer, coordinator of the MENA-OECD Investment Program, said, “On one hand, the availability of traditional bank financing to SMEs remains a burning question for Morocco, particularly in light of Basel II requirements by local and foreign banks. On the other hand, the growth in alternative sources of finance such as private equity, which is in line with a similar trend in some OECD countries, represents a positive development for Moroccan SMEs.”

The high-profile campaign has focused on assisting SMEs within the Moroccan economy. With an increasing number of SMEs listed on the Casablanca stock exchange, investors and policy makers are becoming aware of the needs of unlisted SMEs.

January 2, 2007 0 comments
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North Africa

Egypt pumps up FDI market

by Executive Staff January 2, 2007
written by Executive Staff

Egypt has become, after South Africa, the largest market for foreign direct investment (FDI) on the African continent. Though the total capital inflow may be low by global standards, it is on the rise and the trend is tipped to continue for the foreseeable future.

From a mere $700 million in the 2000/01 financial year, FDI rose to $6.1 billion for the year ending June 30, representing just under 5.8% of GDP. With a further $8 billion expected to enter the Egyptian market from overseas in the current financial year, South Africa could see itself relegated to second place as the continent’s premier FDI destination.

While at least some of the sharp rise in FDI can be put down to the increasing pace of the government’s privatization program, a well that will one day dry up, this is not the only factor in Egypt becoming a favored destination for investors.

The government of Prime Minister Ahmed Nazif has passed a raft of legislation since coming to office in 2004 aimed at streamlining investment procedures, opening up the economy and instilling confidence. Though the process is nowhere near complete, which the government acknowledges, the increase in FDI indicates that overseas investors are taking notice.

Just as significant as the pro-investment stance of the government has been the shift away from Egypt’s energy sector, that traditional magnet for foreign investment in the country. This reflects both a broadening of the economy’s base and recognition that there will come a time when the long time mainstay of energy will be exhausted.

Steady rise

In the last financial year, overseas investments in Egypt’s petroleum sector accounted for 30% of all FDI, down from 65.1% the previous year. By contrast, FDI in non-petroleum sectors of the economy topped $4.28 billion in the 2005/06 financial year, a year on year rise of some 214%. Better still for Egypt was the fact that a full 54.78% of these investments came in the form of newly established companies or capital issue increases in existing operations.

Almost as positive for the long-term outlook was the relatively low level of FDI represented by the sales of companies and productive assets to foreign investors, which came in at 905.7 million or 14.82% of the annualized total. Given that this figure included receipts from the privatization process, it is clear that foreign capital is being attracted to Egypt not by some fire sale of state-owned enterprises, but by the potential that the country possesses.

Interestingly, one other component, the 2005/06 FDI figures for investment in real estate, remained steady at just 0.42% of the total. While much of the overseas investment in neighboring countries is being driven by capital inflow into the property market, with the member states of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) being the largest single source, Egypt is obviously going down a different path – that of business investment.

Another change in the complexion of FDI in Egypt is where these funds are coming from. While both the Middle East and Europe remain significant investors in the country’s economy, both Egypt’s government and the burgeoning private sector have been actively looking further afield in the search for foreign capital.

With the opening of its markets to investment, and with the advantages the country possesses in terms of location, sitting astride trades routes to Europe, Africa and the Middle East, Egypt has been promoting itself as the ideal destination for investors from Asia, with China being the most recent target.

In September, a deal was struck that will see a joint Sino-Egyptian factory established to cater for the textile, footwear and pharmaceutical industries. The same month, Citic Group, China’s biggest state-run company, announced it was to invest $800 million in an aluminum smelter in Egypt. The two countries also agreed to boost bilateral trade to $5 billion in the coming years, bringing it to the same level that  Egypt currently enjoys with the US.

January 2, 2007 0 comments
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GCC

Striving for diversity

by Executive Staff January 2, 2007
written by Executive Staff

Kuwait’s drive to diversify and open up its economy, attracting international investment and making its own companies international brands, has created opportunities for the public relations sector, which some observers expect will double its activities over the next year.

With many of Kuwait’s companies going international over the last decade, spreading the base of their operations around the globe, there is a greater need than ever to get the corporate message across to an expanding audience, be it the public, institutions or governments.

This was one of the key messages of a two-day conference that wound up in Kuwait City in December 2006, on the role of public relations staged by the Gulf chapter of the International Public Relations Association (IPRA).

Working under the title of The Engineering of Human Relations, the conference focused on the need for greater understanding of the importance of PR in the region and the benefits it offered across a broad spectrum, ranging from promotion to risk management.

Campaigning the PR sector

There is an increasing interest in Kuwait and the region in the value of PR as a management tool, according to Iatidal al-Aiar, the chairperson of the committee organizing the conference and a member of the IPRA-Gulf Chapter’s board.

“The recent advances in the PR sector in Kuwait in particular and the Gulf in general can be attributed to the increasing awareness by senior managers of major firms and organizations of the risks and challenges that face them, and how PR could be used as a strategic tool in addressing these issues,” said al-Aiar.

However, while the PR sector has been developing in Kuwait, it still had a long way to go, both in terms of public and institutional acceptance and with regard to meeting international standards.

“Everyone knows that we are still at the beginning,” al-Aiar said. “Although PR sections have existed at our public and private institutions for decades, there is still so much work to be done to develop it, in its modern and genuine concepts.”

Another reason for the predicted boom in the public relations and advertising sectors is the government’s sanctioning of a massive increase in the number of players in the media market. In mid-November 2006, Information Minister Mohammad al-Sanousi approved the license applications submitted by 15 advertising and publishing companies to launch new newspapers. Another four applications are in the pipeline, ministry officials said.

Main players

One of the firms that has recognized the coming growth in the sector in Kuwait is advertising and PR company, Memac Ogilvy, which used the IPRA conference to announce a major upgrading of its operations in the Emirate.

According to Ken Allsopp, Memac Ogilvy’s regional PR director, there is a high level of expansion in the sector and an increasing demand for quality services.

“We are seeing particularly strong growth in financial, corporate and healthcare practice areas,” he said.

Memac Ogilvy is just one of many international agencies to set up shop in Kuwait, along with an even larger number of advertising firms working in both the domestic and international markets. The two sectors have been drawn by the increasing expansion and openness of the Kuwaiti economy and the potential it offers.

Both sectors are to be given a significant boost by another government initiative announced by Waleed al-Wehaib, the secretary general of Kuwait’s manpower restructuring program, in November 2006.

In response to a recent government study that showed less than 2% of employees in the domestic media were Kuwaiti nationals, al-Wehaib said that a special team had been established to boost the number of Kuwaitis employed in the advertising and news sections of local newspapers. Under the scheme, 10% of the staff of the advertising and editorial departments of papers should be Kuwaiti nationals, with this figure eventually rising to 25%.

January 2, 2007 0 comments
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GCC

Matter of unity: GCC Summit

by Executive Staff January 2, 2007
written by Executive Staff

On December 9, King Abdullah opened the 27th Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) summit in Riyadh with a speech firmly endorsing greater economic and political unity for the region.

He stressed regional political and security issues, particularly the challenge of maintaining unity amongst Arabs. He compared the situation in the wider Middle East to a barrel of gunpowder that could explode any moment with a single spark.

All Gulf countries are well aware of the knock-on effect of situations in Iraq, Palestine and Lebanon deteriorating further – none more so than Saudi Arabia. The economy would likely suffer, but the main worry would be a higher risk of civil unrest should the Kingdom appear not to be acting in support of Arab neighbors in the region.

As elsewhere in the Gulf, the Saudi government treads a tight-rope between supporting the broader Arab cause, while maintaining strong relations with the West, notably the US.

King Abdullah was clearly emphasizing the link between regional security and long term economic prosperity with his opening remarks. He reccommended the notion of a Peninsular Shield – a united GCC military action force to strengthen the region’s security.

Controversial move

Saudi Arabia has traditionally been a keen proponent of Gulf unity and has in the past been critical of moves it sees as damaging this ideal. It has been particularly critical of the separate Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) member countries like Oman and Bahrain have signed with the US, claiming that they undermine the ability of the GCC to act in the interests of the whole group. Indeed, relations between the Kingdom and Bahrain were noticeably strained after it signed an FTA in 2004. Saudi was particularly concerned that being directly linked to Bahrain, its markets would be flooded with cheap imports.

In addition to the ongoing crises in the Arab world and the findings of the Baker-Hamilton report – the US government’s inquiry into the future of their involvement in Iraq – the two day summit also touched on the stand-off between Iran and the West over its nuclear ambitions. Saudi Arabia, both as an individual nation and through the GCC, has maintained a non-interventionist approach, but also voiced its concerns regarding its apparent aspirations and interference in Iraq and Lebanon through the funding of Shia organizations.

In a potentially controversial move the Council announced that it was considering developing a shared civilian nuclear capability. This would be for peaceful purposes. “It is an announcement so that there will be no misinterpretation of what we are doing,” said Prince Saud al-Faisal. The Gulf Arabs have long maintained their right to develop nuclear energy for non-military use. “We want no bombs,” said a Saudi delegate.

Economic developments within the GCC took a slightly less prominent place in discussions than the pressing political issues. Nonetheless important matters were tabled. The news that Oman would not be joining the EU style monetary union in 2010 came as a blow to the aspiration of forming a single GCC currency. Unofficial sources have said that the Sultanate will not be ready to join at that date as it will not be in a position to meet the criterion specified by the council – the limitation of budgetary deficit, public debt, inflation and interest rates to specific benchmarks and adequate foreign currency reserves.

Common initiatives

The acceleration of the GCC common market and the lifting of trade barriers, the opening up of transport and insurance sectors, and a proposal limiting the time expatriate workers can spend in GCC countries to six years were some of the common initiatives tackled. It is reported that some see this as a way for governments to stave off pressure from international rights bodies to give migrant workers more benefits. There are some 12 million such workers within the GCC and reports put the number in Saudi Arabia in the region of between five and seven million.

The GCC was formed between Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Bahrain, Oman and Kuwait on May 25,1981, at a meeting in Abu Dhabi. The goal was to effect coordination, integration and inter-connection among the member states in all fields in order to achieve unity building on the strong existing ties of kinship and religion on the Arabian peninsular. The Council’s central mandates are to further economic development and maintain regional security.

January 2, 2007 0 comments
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Lebanon

SMEs get some help

by Executive Staff January 2, 2007
written by Executive Staff

Launched on December 18, the Building Block Equity fund is another successful initiative by Bader, the NGO that provides small and medium enterprises with business opportunities and promotes entrepreneurship. It has adopted the equity tool to further influence and shape the local economic scene. The organization, which is backed by finance minister Jihad Azour, includes as many as 40 of Lebanon’s most successful and dynamic executives.

Supporting entrepreneurship

To achieve its goal, the organization has defined several action plans that streamline the business cycle. “The NGO tries to create awareness about entrepreneurship, through road shows at leading universities as well as media campaigns,” said Robert Fadel, ABC stores vice-president. The second initiative lies in the promotion of existing programs such as Kafalat or Berytech, which support entrepreneurs. There are around 15 such programs, dedicated to entrepreneurs in Lebanon and Bader works on making them accessible to the general public. The third initiative considers building partnerships between the public and private sectors in order to resolve critical economical issues. With the help of the finance and economy ministries, the NGO seeks to create a business friendly environment for small and medium companies, by improving the legal and regulatory frameworks. “Given the current situation, it has been difficult to advance on this particular issue,” said Fadel.

Focusing on educational entrepreneurship, Bader promotes MIT’s and other business plans competitions, offering training programs with Bader members to top five graduates from selected universities.  The NGO plans to launch a mentoring program, whereby hand-picked entrepreneurs are counseled by Bader’s members. Bader’s final cornerstone activity operates through the use of several financial tools that can provide entrepreneurs or existing businesses with easy access to equity.

Subdivided into three sections, the Bader financial arm supplies businesses with external financing and capital, through the creation of a fund which invests in start ups and existing local companies. The first Bader financial program is destined to existing businesses which need further financing, to insure a sustainable level of growth. To apply this particular program, Bader has partnered with Kafalat. The ‘Start Up’ action plan is addressed to young graduates and entrepreneurs, who are looking to establish their own business. “Bader contributes to the endeavor, by providing them with technical and legal assistance as well as access to capital through the Bader Building Block equity fund, up to 20% of which is destined to such ventures,” adds Fadel. This initiative also permits young entrepreneurs to network with professional mentors who can advise them on the various business aspects such as managerial, accounting, team building and others issues, with Berytech’s assistance.

New opportunities

However, the Bader Building Block equity fund is mainly addressed to existing small and medium businesses that are looking to grow through equity. The fund aims to raise $10 to $20 million in the next 10 months. As a venture capital vehicle, it seeks to provide SMEs with accelerated growth and rapid expansion plans. Set up from inception to its first fundraising round by an international venture capital group managed by four, it receives the backing of Kafalat and international financial institutions as well as local banks. Adnan Kassar, Fransabank’s CEO, has already pledged $1 million to the fund and another million was committed by Marwan Khairedine of Al Mawarid bank, Tony Salameh of Aïshti and Azmi Mikati of Investcom

 “One of the main problems identified by Bader was the lack of equity on the local market. Although many financial programs – such as the ones offered by Kafalat, the central bank and other local banks – are specifically addressed to SMEs, they mostly follow a loan and debt framework,” explained Naji Rizk, Bader equity fund manager. Recognition that Lebanese companies can not be built solely on debt, paved the way to the introduction of other financial option s such as equity. “Instead of lending money to businesses in need, thus avoiding sharing risk, Bader comes into the equation and injects capital,” said Rizk.  Although the fund is backed by the NGO, the initiative aims at generating revenue for fund owners with a projected return varying between 20% and 30%. Depending on the amount of money raised, the fund is intended to partially acquire as many as twenty businesses, which are selected and managed following a five step process. “Identification of opportunities, building a case for investment, investing, creating value and monitoring the company before exiting,” Rizk underscored.

To be selected, SMEs need to offer an interesting business opportunity, room for growth and a workable management plan. Besides capitalization, fund managers supply acquired businesses, with support and managerial direction. “Ownership percentages have not been set yet and will depend on various factors. We need to strike a careful balance between the investor’s concern for profit and the owner’s motivation,” he said. Fund ownership is only temporary, as shares are to be sold five years into the venture, as soon as the acquired company achieves sufficient growth.   Rizk explained that the main goal behind the fund initiative is the creation of an end-product that becomes attractive enough for future sale. Therefore, the Bader fund capitalizes on Lebanese human resources, by creating a platform for growth that can extend beyond local borders by branching out  into other markets. “People are hungry for such alternative forms of leverage. Kafalat is a perfect example:  the company started as a limited venture and turned out to be a major market player with more SMEs relying every year on its services. We expect in the next few years to achieve similar success, leading the way for others to follow.”

The Building Block fund is headed by Talal El Chaer, and managed by Naji Rizk, Fadi Daou and Maurice Khawam. Talal El Chaer is vice chairman at Dar El Handasah. Naji Rizk has a background in consulting and engineering. Fadi Daou is an engineer and technology specialist, who has launched three successful tech companies in the US. Maurice Khawam, who resides in Paris, is the manager of Next fund.

January 2, 2007 0 comments
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Since its first edition emerged on the newsstands in 1999, Executive Magazine has been dedicated to providing its readers with the most up-to-date local and regional business news. Executive is a monthly business magazine that offers readers in-depth analyses on the Lebanese world of commerce, covering all the major sectors – from banking, finance, and insurance to technology, tourism, hospitality, media, and retail.

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