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Real Estate

Neglecting the plight of the world’s poor

by Safa Jafari October 1, 2005
written by Safa Jafari

Five years after setting Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) at the United Nations, world leaders gathered last month to assess their progress in achieving them at the World Summit in New York. If any indicators were needed to this end, the UN Human Development Report 2005 (HDR 2005) has arrived in the nick of time to show that a change in policy and politics is needed if countries are indeed to meet their goals by 2015. These changes include countries putting less emphasis on military forces, expenditure and conflict resolution; and more emphasis on international aid, trade and security. At the moment, the chances of countries meeting the set millennium goals are minimal. This reminder could not be any timelier for an unstable Lebanon.

What are the UN Millennium Development Goals?
At the September 2000 UN summit, world leaders agreed to a set of time-tabled, measurable goals and targets for combating poverty, hunger, disease, illiteracy, environmental degradation and discrimination against women. The summit’s Millennium Declaration also outlined a range of commitments in human rights, good governance and democracy.

Placed at the heart of the global agenda, the MDGs represent the most comprehensive and detailed set of human development goals ever adopted; a framework for the entire UN system to work coherently together towards a common end. The goals set fell under eight broad categories:

1. The eradication of extreme hunger and poverty and halving the number of people living on less than $1 a day whilst halving malnutrition

2. Achieving universal primary education; promoting gender equality and empowering women

3. Eliminating gender disparity in primary and secondary schooling, preferably by 2005 and no later than 2015

4. Reducing child mortality and cutting the under-five death rate by two-thirds

5. Improving maternal health and reducing the maternal mortality rate by three-quarters

6. Combating HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases

7. Ensuring environmental stability and cutting by half the proportion of people without sustainable access to safe drinking water and sanitation

8. Developing a global partnership for development and reforming aid and trade with special treatment for the poorest countries.

The Human Development Report 2005: a timely reminder

The Human Development Report 2005, entitled International cooperation at a crossroads: aid, trade and security in an unequal world was released on September 7 to present the case that “if the world’s governments continue with business as usual, 2005 will be the year in which the pledge of the Millennium Declaration is broken. If they act now to deliver on their pledges to the world’s poorest people, they can make 2005 the start of a decade for development, helping countries to get back on track for achieving the Millennium Development Goals by 2015 and forging a new, more equitable pattern of globalization.”

The report for this year provides a range of indicators summing up the status of human development five years after the 2000 MDG declaration. Using country-level trend data, the HDR 2005 estimates the human cost gaps in 2015 between Millennium Goal targets and predicted outcomes if current global trends continue. According to the report, the target for reducing child mortality will be missed, with the margin equivalent to more than 4.4 million avoidable deaths in 2015. Over the next 10 years the cumulative gap between the target and the current trends adds more than 41 million children who will die before their fifth birthday from that most curable of all diseases: poverty. This is an outcome that is difficult to square with the Millennium Declaration’s pledge to protect the world’s children. In addition, the gap between the MDG target for halving poverty and projected outcomes is equivalent to an additional 380 million people in developing countries living on less than $1 a day by 2015. Other gaps were also highlighted in the report, such as that for education (according to the HDR studies, the MDG target of universal primary education will be missed on current trends, with 47 million children in developing countries still out of school in 2015).

The HDR 2005 also traces development performance trends and points to countries that have achieved, are on track to, are lagging, remain stagnant, or have reversed away from the Millennium Development Goals. Highlighting existing inequalities amongst and within countries, the HDR 2005 calls for social justice brought about through better international cooperation; particularly on three fronts: aid, trade, and security. Through presenting case studies and figures, the HDR 2005 contends that current public policy favors the developed world and only through better international cooperation in these three fields can human development be hastened.

The report contends that aid contributes to human development by reducing financing constraints, increasing economic growth, improving the provision of basic services, extending social insurance, supporting reconstruction and meeting global health challenges, while international cooperation in trade contributes to human development through developing an active industrial and technology policy. As for the “human development costs of conflict,” added security will hasten economic growth, create opportunities in education, improve public health and reduce displacement, insecurity and crime.

The case of Lebanon: performing against the trend

Since the HDR 2005 was issued, Lebanon has dropped a notch down to 81st out of 177 countries. It could be argued that the drop merely indicates that some other countries have performed better and have developed at a higher rate, thus leaping over Lebanon on their way up the HDI scale, but this still means that Lebanon is not doing enough. While speaking at the UN on September 16, President Emile Lahoud argued that Lebanon was on its way to realizing its own millennium goals, having created, since the declaration, two institutions: the EU-funded Economic and Social Fund for Development, and the World Bank and Lebanese government-sponsored Community Development Project. However, despite these efforts, without security, Lebanon faces a constant challenge in any development effort. This was highlighted at a press conference in Beirut the day after the release of the report when Finance Minister Jihad Azour supported UNDP resident representative Mona Hammam’s statement that aid, trade and security were the “three major impediments that prevented any developing country (including Lebanon) from achieving any kind of political, economical and social improvement.” Minister Azour also drew attention to the issue of security by stating that “development and security are closely related and both set the base for democracy … We, the Lebanese people especially, are aware of how interlinked those two components truly are.” After all, it is Lebanon’s fractured security sector that has contributed to the killing of “a national development symbol, Rafik Hariri.”

According to a report published this year by the Department for International Development (DFID), entitled: Why we need to work more effectively in fragile states, the definition of a “fragile state” is one that “cannot or will not deliver what citizens need to live decent, secure lives … As such, they significantly reduce the likelihood of the world meeting the Millennium Development Goals by 2015.” Although the report does not include Lebanon in its list of 46 fragile states, focusing more on Afghanistan, Sierra Leone and Liberia, by DFID’s definition, Lebanon is a “fragile state.” The Lebanese state at the moment faces a very likely accusation of disability – if not unwillingness – in providing for its people; particularly when it comes to the debate on “secure lives.”

The data for Lebanon included in the HDR 2005 was measured in 2003, two years before the Hariri killing. It was a year of growth, but more in terms of economic growth than human development. Military expenditure remains relatively high and priority to primary health and education remains low. At present, we remain unsure of what course the indicators will take in the short term. The country awaits stability in all sense of the word: political, social, economic and psychological. Once Lebanon has a stable government and functional governance, one hopes that ministers and MPs alike will begin to yield to the peoples’ daily needs. In the meantime, red flags such as the Human Development Report 2005, serve as handy reminders of what is still at stake: while we engage in creating, evaluating and watching internal politics in Lebanon, every day, the Lebanese people continue to ask for a decent life.

October 1, 2005 0 comments
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Editorial

Sovereign Deficit

by Yasser Akkaoui October 1, 2005
written by Yasser Akkaoui

Once again it appears that Lebanese history is being written with the blood of our fellow journalists. May Chidiac was marked for death not for who she is, but for what she represents: the free spirit that quenches the thirst of those of us who rejoice in the diversity, openness and enlightenment that is present – if not always apparent – in our unique society. A week before the atrocity in Ghadir, Messrs Siniora, Salameh, Azour and Haddad and their entourage (on whom I imposed myself) took the begging bowl to New York and Washington. They were reminded that sovereignty doesn’t just only apply to borders and armies, but that it also applies to economic principles.

Governor Salameh tells us that our currency is only 25% sovereign at best, while minister Azour reminds us that 50% of the “sovereign” debt is external. And yet they seek more foreign money for the national collection tin. But how can we ask for additional sovereign debt when our nation is still not totally sovereign, and when all it would take is one container-load of arms to cross our porous border to erase the word completely. This comes at a time when our top officials deny we are living in crisis and see no reason for a national troop deployment, consigning our soldiers to the role of Les Gendarmes de St Tropez.

Before doing so, maybe we should remind ourselves of the $500 million found in the bank accounts of the four security chiefs – those supposedly entrusted with protecting our sovereignty – representing just under 2% of the national overdraft and ask, if this much was squirreled away by our second rank public “servants,” how much more is there sloshing around in numbered vaults in Lebanon and elsewhere, belonging to our “leaders” who, while complaining about unwelcome foreign help, have feathered their nests – or rather, castles and penthouses –with the proceeds from prostituting our sovereignty.

The funds that have been uncovered and those funds that are waiting to be found, should remind us that there will be no sovereignty as long as there are those traitors – for that is what they are – who use the state coffers as petty cash. Before we ask for more money, let us recover what else is out there.

October 1, 2005 0 comments
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Special Report

The print matter

by Thomas Schellen September 21, 2005
written by Thomas Schellen

It may have been an unreported milestone in the history of Middle Eastern printing: last year the Arab region’s first web offset printing press celebrated its 40th anniversary. A young technology back then, web offset machinery revolutionized the printing of newspapers by facilitating the huge print runs that have given readers their 100-page Sunday editions and publishers the incentive to produce larger circulations. The first such printing press to operate in the Middle East was brought to Beirut in 1964 by the Mroue family, publishers of The Daily Star newspaper and formerly also of the Arab daily, Al Hayat. 

While it is worth remembering that Lebanon was the first country to operate a web offset machine in the Middle East, it is less of an advertisement for the country’s print industry that this machine is still running today, largely because the operating company sees no point in replacing it with a new model. Although the press, by modern print technology standards an outright antique, is used nightly in the production of four daily newspapers, these print runs are insufficient to occupy the machine to more than 50%, according to the head of the operating company Print Technology, Malek Mroue. Replacing it with a new machine or even running regular three-month cycles of preventive maintenance by the book would represent financial layouts irrecoverable in the ailing domestic market for newsprint. 

Lebanon’s enterprises working in the classic domains of volume in printing books, magazines and newspapers – or what the German pioneers of Gutenberg fame dubbed the “black art” – constitute a highly qualified industry that is capable of turning out world-class quality products. But the country is no longer the navel of Arab printing.

Book printing began in Lebanon far back in the 18th century through a monastic print shop for religious tractates and for a very long time, the country was the printing hub for the region. Until deep into the 20th century and with very few alternatives, books printed in Lebanon were ruling regional markets from North Africa to the Arabian Gulf. Still in the 1970s and 1980s, Lebanon’s printing industry was in full bloom, producing schoolbooks and educational materials for numerous Arab countries, delivering copies of the Holy Koran in enormous quantities to Saudi Arabia, and also churning out publications ordered by Palestinian organizations.

By the 1990s, however, a mega-printing company in Saudi Arabia had stepped into the printing of Islamic scriptures and Gulf financiers began investing in building high-capacity print houses in other GCC countries. National print industries got powered up in Jordan and in North Africa and more recently Syria’s private sector has invested millions of dollar into modern presses at a level that makes representatives of leading international equipment manufacturers say that printers there are now better equipped with the latest technology than their colleagues here.

Thus, while other print locations in the Middle East are gaining a profile and some are booming with international aspirations, local suppliers and operators largely dismiss the idea that Lebanon could ever return to its former position as a leader in Middle Eastern printing.

Yet how much of a function the Lebanese print industry could assume or which areas it could develop, is a tough question to address. It is actually extremely difficult to gauge the size and role of the Lebanese printing industry in both its regional and domestic dimensions, because even the most basic data on performance, capacities and markets are lacking.

The print industry association, the Lebanese Graphic Arts Syndicate, has been in existence for six decades and numbers 180 member companies but cannot provide information on their performance, because none is available, the syndicate’s manager, Rania El Haji, told Executive. Neither does the syndicate have data on the activities and results of hundreds of print enterprises that are not members of the industry organization.

Executive requested data and comments on the syndicate’s assessment of the state of the print industry in Lebanon from its president, Joseph Sader, but questions faxed to him and numerous calls went unanswered. According to El Haji, the syndicate is in the process of having a market research firm conduct a survey of sector activities and expects to have relevant data available within one month but said: “it is a very hard question, because printers do not report what they do and who they work for.” 

She attributed the reasons for this habit of numbers obfuscation to the fact that many print shops are not licensed or insufficiently so, and thus operate in the shadow economy by not registering workers and not reporting taxes. The syndicate is growing in membership, but can only accept fully licensed companies and on occasion has to dismiss some for failing to pay their membership dues, she said. Some industry managers, however, offered the view to Executive that the syndicate has been less than fully proactive outside the realm of social gatherings. 

Industry insiders queried for this report estimated the turnover of the sector to be somewhere upward of $100 million annually, while not exceeding $200 million. In the absence of surveyed results from companies, a comparatively concise indicator on the print industry as far as international output is concerned, can be found in the export statistics of Lebanese customs. According to these data, exports of printed matter (mainly books, newspapers and pictures as categorized under the respective customs number) in the years 2001 to 2004 were worth on average $34.2 million per year.

As sample export ratios provided to Executive by a few major printing companies were in the 20% to 30% range and reached 50% for the most export-wise productive firms, a very rough ‘guesstimate’ would support annual turnover in the mid-$100 millions as not an unreasonable assumption for annual sector performance, which makes printing almost certainly contribute less than 1% to GDP. 

On the import side, the customs statistics reveal that printed matter entering Lebanon between 2001 and 2004 was valued on average at $39 million per year, making the country a net importer of published material by worth. Only in 2002, exports at $50.7 million were significantly above average and also exceeded imports. Industry managers pointed out that around that period, large orders came in for printing schoolbooks for Libya. Another significant export opportunity arose from a large volume of orders from UNICEF for printing schoolbooks for Iraq.

The various obstacles preventing the better economic performance of printing companies include the difficult economic environment along with other market-related problems, namely the high cost of electricity, the difficulty of customers to obtain bank finance for publishing projects from corporate brochures to books, and a grueling collection process under the prevalent payment morale where exasperated operators have to spend undue time and efforts in collecting receivables.

Two operational handicaps with their own magnitude are the ever-troublesome regional security situation and the domestic legal environment, the latter constituting an area with its own inner inconsistencies. As Lebanon compared to other Arab countries enjoys greater legal assurances for the freedom of expression, this greater freedom makes printing in Lebanon a good proposition for publishers in surrounding countries. In the opinion of some print industry experts, this publishing freedom is today the country’s strongest comparative advantage over other locations.

On the other hand, the prevalent politico-clientilistic culture of seeking to control divergent viewpoints counteracts the legal framework of the freedom of speech. It hampers publications. In the realm of newspaper and periodicals production, existing legislation is even detrimental to the development of both publishing and print enterprises. Arcane restrictions on the publication of foreign media has deprived the country of opportunities to produce for instance, small (and lucrative) partial print runs of Arab newspapers based in Saudi Arabia and the Gulf for their readers vacationing in Lebanon. 

Other barriers include fragmentation in the industry, which is characterized by low cooperation. In the newspaper industry, the major dailies in the country handle their print runs on their own presses, although consolidation and outsourcing would make much more sense in economic terms. But due to political reasons, vanity of ownership issues and fears of having their real circulation numbers leaked, the major publishers have reportedly long refused to consider solutions where a high-capacity web offset printing company with advanced equipment could come into play.

Also among printers specialized in books and magazines, all too many companies seem glued to an operating mentality that emphasizes single ownership and the primitive segmentation of the market – however, without tapping into the positive potentials of family management and developing niches. This parochial mindset is so deeply entrenched that a major Lebanese print personality would decline to discuss any aspect of the business with a publication that does not print at his enterprise.      

However, this isn’t the entire picture. The organically grown expertise and entrenched quality of the Lebanese print industry are acknowledged by international experts. On the cost side, too, Lebanon is not without edge over competing locations. According to Georges Chemaly, general manager of the printers Chemaly & Chemaly, the labor cost for a qualified operator in Lebanon carries about a 40% advantage over an Eastern European location such as Bulgaria.

Operating a $12 million facility whose break even point is a monthly turnover of $350,000 to $400,000, Chemaly’s firm achieves half of its orders from European, Gulf and African markets, demonstrating that Lebanese printers today can profitably act on the international scene. The service and flexibility of printers here is better than in Dubai, Chemaly claimed, and the strong customer relationship angle of a family-run print house can be used as an asset that super-sized ventures cannot offer.

Nonetheless, Dubai must be acknowledged as the Middle Eastern print industry location that Lebanon cannot measure up against. Alongside the opulence in investments and planning that is now customary in this boom emirate, Dubai has ambitions to enhance its printing activities for regional and global customers, including establishing print factories that are geared entirely towards exporting to Europe and international markets. A new, typically enormous free zone for media enterprises, the international Media Production Zone, has gained location commitments from several multi-million dollar print industry start-ups and the zone aims to attract 70 printing companies with a size of $13 million to $18 million each. Dubai also wants to establish the world’s largest printing company with a $2.1 billion investment, reports have claimed.  

In determining the future growth chances of Lebanon’s diminutive printing industry, even the best imaginable evolution of domestic demand will hold printers within clear borders, due to the inescapable scale limitations of the domestic market. Modern printing is a very capital-intensive proposition, and huge printing plants such as the $40 million web offset presses installed over the past few years at the UAE newspaper, Gulf News, would seem wholly inappropriate in Lebanon under financing and market-size perspectives.

The potentials of GCC markets are beyond comparison to that of Lebanon’s. In the past two years alone, publishing activities in the UAE increased at an estimated annual growth rate of 20%. Advertising spending in the GCC countries has topped $2 billion in the first half of 2005, and 55% of that flowed into print media.

International suppliers of high quality printing machines to Lebanon nonetheless see continued potential in this market, and can support this with reports of sales that are – albeit much smaller than in the Gulf – by local standards very respectable.

The firms dominating the field are the German manufacturers Heidelberg Druckmaschinen and MAN Roland. Heidelberg sold equipment valued at 6 million euro in Lebanon in its business year that ended in March 2004. MAN Roland is represented in the entire Levant and most Gulf countries by Dynagraph, a Beirut-headquartered firm that claims a regional turnover in the 50 million euro range and which just completed moving into a new head office building here.

In the opinion of these suppliers, Lebanon has quite a future in the printing industry, if increasing specializations such as packaging print are taken into consideration. “In the long term, there is a relocation of printing from Europe to the Middle East. What the Far East once was [in attracting print jobs from Europe], the Middle East will become more and more,” said Christoph Fischer, the MAN Roland delegate for the Middle East and North Africa stationed at Dynagraph. He quoted shorter transport distances and greater cultural proximity as reasons why Middle Eastern locations, including Lebanon, could gain increasing ground with European customers.  

One field where the entire Middle East is significantly underpowered in regards to printing is however training. Not a single vocational college or technical university in the region is specialized in this field. The Lebanese Graphic Arts Syndicate is aware of this, and Haji told Executive that it has an old dream to establish training facilities on a regional scale and “wants to revive training by creating an institute in Lebanon that would closely follow technological progress and form professional and competent employees.”

It seems that the Lebanese company Dynagraph and its international partners couldn’t agree more. In kick starting the creation of advanced training capacities for the Levant, Dynagraph and MAN Roland just spent 2.5 million euro on creating a Beirut training facility for the Levant, replicating a similar investment they had undertaken in Dubai. The centerpiece of the training workshop is a brand spanking new five-color plus lacquering offset press where employees of clients and trainees can be introduced into the latest secrets of the multi-colored art.

While acknowledging that such a facility cannot substitute a technical university, they are sending out a positive sign of their confidence in the development and future of the industry here. Actions speak louder than words.

September 21, 2005 0 comments
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Destination Armenia

by Executive Editors September 10, 2005
written by Executive Editors

Having spent nearly a century seemingly dormant under the Cold War blanket of Soviet rule, Armenia in recent years has become an increasingly popular destination for tourists and investors the world over, including many Lebanese. “Interest for Armenia has been steadily growing every year,” said Emma Bedrossian of Nakhal Tours, “but this year it has been overwhelming.”

A trend illustrated by the fact that national carrier, Armavia’s weekly direct flight between Beirut and the Armenian capital Yerevan is completely overbooked. To avoid long waiting lists, people should book about one month ahead. A second Armavia weekly flight to and from Yerevan is being added to cope with demand.

According to figures of the Armenian Embassy in Lebanon, the number of foreign visitors to Armenia increased from 31,904 in 1998 to more than 250,000 in 2004. “In the first six months of this year we saw again a 30% increase,” said Areg Hovhannissian, the Armenian ambassador to Lebanon. Most visitors stem from the EU, followed by the United States and Russia. About 10%, or some 30,000 people, originate from the Middle East, up to half of whom are Lebanese.

Some 80% of Lebanese traveling to Armenia is of Armenian descent, but according to Nakhal Tours, interest among other Lebanese is growing. Armenia is only a two-hour-flight away, offers a European culture, as well as cool mountain air, and last but not least in time of economic distress, Armenia is considerably cheaper than the Western Europe.

However, it is not only tourists traveling to Armenia. With an annual economic growth rate of 8% to 12%, Armenia is booming, and the Lebanese would not be Lebanese if they did not see some business opportunities there. “Last year,” said Hovhannissian, ”late Prime Minister Hariri visited Armenia for the 3rd time and signed a protocol calling for the establishment of free trade zones between Lebanon and Armenia.”

That plan has not been executed yet, but that has not stopped Lebanese entrepreneurs of taking their chances. Most notably, businessman Pierre Fattouche has opened a mobile phone company, while according to Hovhannissian, at least one anonymous Lebanese bank is close to opening its first branch in Yerevan.

September 10, 2005 0 comments
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US Embassy to relocate

by Executive Editors September 10, 2005
written by Executive Editors

The US embassy says it is moving from Awkar to Baabda for security reasons. Construction will cost around $111 million and once begun will take between 28 and 36 months to complete.

 “It was one of the only places we could find with enough space for the construction project,” said a US embassy source. “We have this new committee back in Washington [which] made new requirements for safety standards in buildings. We needed more space in order to meet those requirements.”

One Lebanon-based real estate consultant predicted that real estate prices in the “fairly shabby bit of Baabda” to which the embassy is moving would increase as a consequence while the move away from Awkar would probably have a deflationary effect on that area.

“The Baabda area to which it is moving is awful, really very lower middle class,” he said. “The shops and petrol stations and cafes reflect it. The move can only have a positive effect on the new area mainly because the Lebanese like living near Western embassies. It makes them feel good.”

He said the cost of the new plot was probably something approaching $20 million. “They’re picking up a very large site relatively cheaply,” he said. “It has multiple access routes, entry and exit options, several different ways of getting into Beirut on the Damascus road, and is quite close to the presidential area. It’s an easy place to get to and is neither Christian nor Muslim.

Raja Makarem, managing partner of RAMCO real estate advisers was more circumspect. “Nobody really knows how prices will be affected. It’s difficult to say,” he opined. “The move will definitely add confidence to the area but it’s not necessarily really going to affect the prices.” He said prices in Baabda over the last few years had been seesawing. “Sometimes there was big demand, sometimes major stagnation.” Meanwhile prices in Beirut have risen at least 20% since the beginning of the year, he said.

September 10, 2005 0 comments
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Aviation hazard or political spite

by Executive Editors September 10, 2005
written by Executive Editors

According to Parliament’s Public Works Committee, planes landing at Beirut Airport could in theory crash into the newly completed, 122-meter Metropolitan Tower in Sin al-Fil.

A member of the committee who asked not to be identified said the danger was outlined in letters signed by the General Director of the Civil Aviation Authority and the General Director of City Planning. He argued that according to civil aviation guidelines no building in a plane’s runway approach path can be higher than 150 meters – including ground elevation. Natural ground elevation at the Metropolitan Tower site is 98 meters, he said. This implies that the Metropolitan Tower shouldn’t be taller than 42 meters.

In a letter to the Lebanese media, the Habtoor Group, which owns the Metropolitan Tower, says that an extension to Lebanese Law No. 402/95 allows hotels to increase built-up-area skyward in exchange for added payment on the value of the land. The company says it was granted permission to construct more floors on 16 December 2002, under addendum 90247 of the law, by the Council of Ministers then presided over by slain former Prime Minister Rafiq Hariri, and with the accord of the Higher Council for Construction and Redevelopment and of the then tourism minister. Habtoor says it paid the municipality the additional sum of $2,200,000, in line with Law No. 402/95, to be allowed to construct more floors.

The letter also notes that in the years of al-Habtoor’s presence in the Sin al-Fil area, neither the company nor residents of the region have observed any aeroplanes flying over. Ominously, the letter warns that if investors who are helping Lebanon negotiate its economic woes are subjected to this kind of pressure, they may decide to pull out.

“I am not prejudiced against the Metropolitan Tower,” the Public Works Committee member said. “But the license given them to build was unlawful.”

He said the only solution was to make modifications to the airport’s Eastern runway, 3-21, something currently being examined by the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO).

A more cynical interpretation was offered by a Lebanese MP on condition of anonymity. “I understand that the underlying politics of this is the continuing joust between the Hariri group and the anti-Hariri group. I don’t see how this building can be a hazard to an aeroplane,” he said.

September 10, 2005 0 comments
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Hotel auction

by Executive Editors September 10, 2005
written by Executive Editors

Bids in the auctioning off, by the Central Bank, of the Sheraton Coral Beach hotel have been flooding in, according to a government official closely involved with the process. The auction has been running for several weeks now and closes on 10 September.

The hotel was repossessed by the Central Bank as collateral when Banque al-Madina collapsed and over a billion dollars of depositors’ money disappeared. It was owned by Taha Qoleilat, a businessman who was Banque al-Madina’s biggest depositor and was implicated in the scandal. The resale is designed to provide liquidity with which Bank al-Madina depositors who have lost their money can be repaid.

One real estate consultant claimed that Starwood Hotels & Resorts, a Sheraton management branch, was considering whether or not it wanted to stay on after the sale. He estimated the hotel’s value at around $35 million. “It has a beach complex that makes two or three million dollars over two-and-a-half months a year,” he noted.

Acting Sheraton Coral Beach Manager Talal Jundi said it was up to the eventual buyers to decide if they wanted to retain Starwood Hotels & Resorts as managers of the hotel. He said he expected the hotel to fetch more than $30 million, and possibly $50 million.

“The hotel is likely to appeal to Saudis, Emirates, Kuwaitis who like hotels,” the real estate consultant said.

Asked if he thought the hotel was a good buy, The consultant answered: “I don’t see why not except that it’s a little bit limited. It’s an old design. It was refurbished about five years ago. When you do that, there are always compromises compared to when you build. It’s a seventies design so it’s not as good as say the Four Seasons. Is it a good buy if you can get it for $20 million? Yes.”

September 10, 2005 0 comments
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Summertime blues

by Executive Editors September 10, 2005
written by Executive Editors

Despite upbeat reports in the local media, leading players in Lebanon’s hospitality sector admits the season – plagued as it has been by bombs and stay away Gulf Arabs – has been a disappointment with no upturn in sight.  

According to Paul Ariss, President of the Union of Restaurant, Café and Nightclub Owners, between February 14 and April 9 – when Bahia Hariri, attempted amid much fanfare and price-slashing to revitalize the Central District – business in Downtown Beirut was down 100%. Between April 9 and August 19 – the day Ariss spoke to EXECUTIVE – general turnover in the Downtown area was down 30% compared to last year. Over the same period, across Beirut as a whole, business had been down 30%-40%, he went on. Outside Beirut, especially in the mountain resorts, the damage was even worse – “dramatic,” he said. Was it down more than 50%? “Oh yes,” he responded.

“We have had very few tourists in June and July,” he explained. “A few Arabs and other foreigners came in August, but nothing compared to last year.”

On the hotel occupancy front, a similarly bleak picture emerges. The period from 14 February until 15 July, was “very bad,” lamented Pierre Achkar, President of the Lebanese Hotel Association. “The first two months were very, very, very bad.” The occupancy rates of hotels outside Beirut were less than 10%. In Beirut the figures lay between 18% and 22% over the same period, compared to 71% occupancy on 14 February. When a modicum of normailty returned to Beirut and a few tourists did emerge, hotel occupancy in Beirut for April and May rose to between 32% and 35% – still uncomfortably low compared to the 70% of last year. Since the June legislative elections, occupancy rates have fluctuated between 45% and 60%. When EXECUTIVE spoke to Achkar on 19 August, he said Beirut occupancy was running at between 75%-80%. “Last year, everywhere was 105% full,” he said.

September 10, 2005 0 comments
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Appetite for investment

by Executive Editors September 10, 2005
written by Executive Editors

Syrian investors last month showed an insatiable appetite for buying into the capital of Bank Audi Syria (BAS). During a 10-day subscription period open exclusively to Syrian nationals, demand for the 25% publicly offered equity participation exceeded supply almost tenfold.

What the bank called an initial public offering to raise approximately $11.7 million (SYP 625 million) towards its start-up capital of $46.7 million (SYP 2.5 billion) was oversubscribed by more than $103 million, representing coverage of 988%.

The offering was the second tranche of inviting Syrian investors into the equity of BAS, which under the country’s law has to be to 51% in the hands of Syrian shareholders. Prior to the offering, Syrian founding investors into the new bank already held a 26% stake in BAS, which obtained a banking license from the country’s council of ministers in early June and intends to commence operations later this summer.

Non-Syrian shareholding in BAS comes to 47 % from Audi-Saradar Group member companies Bank Audi, Audi-Saradar Investment Bank (ASIB) and Lebanon Invest. The remaining 2% are held by Saudi investor Sheikh Abdallah Abdel Aziz Al Rajhi.

Executives at Audi Saradar Group commented elatedly on having achieved the hitherto largest oversubscription of any investment in Syria to date and Marwan Ghandour, chairman of ASIB, called it an “eye-opening experience” for ASIB to manage the public offering. “I hope that we will continue to provide additional investment banking products as the market potential is clearly impressive,” he said.

Finance experts in Beirut evaluated the huge interest of the Syrian private sector in the Lebanese-Syrian banking venture as proof that investors in the neighboring country sense a lack of attractive investment opportunities in their economy and have no qualms about dealing with Lebanese business and banking partners. “It shows that there is a lot of liquidity in Syria and that money has no borders, no feelings,” said Jean Riachi, chairman of Financial Funds Advisors (FFA).

Meanwhile in another development in capital formation of a new Syrian-Lebanese joint venture bank, Bank Byblos and the OPEC Fund for International Development signed an agreement under which the fund assumed a $3 million equity stake in Byblos Bank Syria (BBS).

September 10, 2005 0 comments
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For your information

VAT refunds down

by Executive Contributor September 10, 2005
written by Executive Contributor

Global Refund, the company responsible for repaying VAT to non-resident shoppers, has registered a 16% drop in overall tourist retail spending since former premier Rafik Hariri’s assassination on February 14th, with a 22% decrease in VAT refund claims.

Among the Arab tourists, who represent the biggest spenders visiting Lebanon, purchases dropped by as much as 43% for the Syrians, 30% for the Egyptians and 23% for the Saudis between February-July of 2004 and the equivalent period in 2005.

The largest drop in tourists has been among the Saudis and the Emiratis, both showing a decrease of 48% between July 2004 and July 2005. Overall, Lebanon witnessed a 26% drop in tourism from the Arab world and a 17% drop in the total number of tourists.

Considering the fact that the Saudis consistently feature among the top spenders in the country, the impact on the retail market, and especially the luxury segment of it, has made itself felt.

“It directly affects the sales of luxury products,” says Khalil Achkar, Global Refund’s country manager for Lebanon. “For a lot of retailers, 40% on average of their total sales go to tourists, of which the Saudis form the majority. A drop like the one we’ve witnessed over the course of the last few months can mean a 20% decrease in revenue.”

Most affected by the drop in tourist spending are the fashion and clothing retailers, which sell the most to Lebanon’s visitors – close to 70% of the VAT refunds requested between February and July of this year were for clothing items, with watches and jewels trailing in the back with some 12%.

However on an up note, the average amount spent purchasing by tourists claiming VAT refunds increased between 2004 and 2005 by 4%, from $749 to $775. In 2004, 50,000 visitors – some 5% of Lebanon’s tourism – claimed re-imbursement, collecting on average $50 from one of the tax-free shopping desks at the country’s main border crossings.

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September 10, 2005 0 comments
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