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Leaders

Leader in ethics, leader in managing wealth

by Executive Editors February 10, 2016
written by Executive Editors

Absolute discretion; the strength of character that engenders trust; the emotional intelligence that enables one to gauge a client’s needs, wants and insecurities; and a keen financial mind. Such are qualities that distinguish a top private banker. These qualities, or at least their appearance, have for eight centuries opened the doors of the wealthy and given private bankers access to the money-drenched souls of the super-rich, from the doges of Venice, Belgian merchants, European royal families, American industry tycoons and third-world rulers to dot.com billionaires and post-communist oligarchs in Russia and China.

When asked about their interaction with high net-worth individuals in the current era, private bankers at the start of this year still, as they did a decade ago, talk about advising their clients on expanding and preserving their wealth, about assessing their conservative, moderate or aggressive risk appetites and, quite a bit, about asset classes and diversification of portfolios in volatile times.

Yet in important ways, private banking has changed more in the few years of this century than in the 700 years before. The three main components of this change were the redrawing of regulations, the impact of technology and the globalization of markets. Regulations moved away from selective laissez-faire regimes and from being accommodative to the private greed of the upper 20 percent, to the intense scrutiny and punishment of financial rule-breaking by banks, of complicity in money laundering and individuals’ tax evasion, of sanctions breaking and so forth. ICT systems for asset management and private banking were developed in revolutionary leaps, allowing for unprecedented sophistication of the planning, management and reporting of portfolios. In tandem with the rising data volumes, markets on every continent became richer and more accessible, giving wealth managers more options to diversify than ever before while, at the same time, engendering interconnectedness of risks with new and perhaps entirely unknowable upsides and potentially devastating downsides.

All the while, there is a growing understanding that the destruction of nature, eruption of large social conflicts and unmitigated concentration of power in the hands of self-absorbed individuals and institutions are detriments to the world’s economic future and even threaten the survival of mankind. Environmental, social and governance (ESG) considerations have risen from fears on the fringe of human debates to central concerns in the shaping of the 21st century society and economy.

Some – but certainly not all – necessary lessons have been learned in this context from the Great Recession and social upheavals of the past seven years.

Instead of capitalist orthodoxy allowing us to presume that mere pursuit of individual interest will sustain the public good, new ESG responsibilities demand attention and have begun to inform our ethical orientations and behaviors. Tying this into the behavior of private banking means to extend and enhance business ethics beyond the notion that the most successful private banker in the long term is the one who puts the client’s interest first in all things (for some options, see story on private banking ethics).

From what we can see in history and human behavior, wealth will always be more concentrated under the stewardship of the few rather than distributed into the hands of the many. Even when significant portions of wealth get redistributed via violent or peaceful ways, the concentration process will immediately restart after a revolution or, in the far superior case of voluntary distribution, carry on. Given the continuity and the considerable benefits of managing this process of growing, preserving, sharing and regrowing wealth, and acknowledging that banking is the top asset and best performer in the Lebanese economy, there is no reason why the wealth management process under observance of best ESG standards and in practice of highest business ethics should not involve Beirut as one of its strongest hubs.

As 2016 is a year that started with many questions and rising uncertainties for private bankers and all wealth management disciplines (see story on market volatility), there is one lesson from the recent past that demonstrates why ethical behavior would be a win-win for private banking institutions in Beirut. While a lot of private wealth was destroyed in 2008 and 2009, the total sum of wealth and most high net-worth family fortunes were restored by 2012 or so. But wealth managers that were exposed during the Great Recession for their unethical greed, recklessness, self-absorption and institutional malperformance, in some cases ended up in jail and in others vanished from the markets. The best time to distinguish yourself as a private bank and advertise yourself for future business is to excel in ethical behavior during a period of financial uncertainty.   

February 10, 2016 0 comments
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Entrepreneurship

Smart money talks

by Thomas Schellen February 8, 2016
written by Thomas Schellen

It had to be one of Lebanon’s top resolutions for 2016 when Banque du Liban Governor Riad Salameh pledged at the BDL Accelerate event in December to see to the establishment of an electronic stock exchange for small and medium enterprises. “Our aim for the year 2016 is to succeed in the launching of an electronic trading platform,” Salameh said in his speech to open the event, and told Executive after his speech that the prospectus for the new exchange will be circulated in January.

The creation of the electronic exchange for Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) is an important proposition and one that deserves to be monitored religiously, particularly after announcements for realizing the project within 2015 came to a quiet demise – possibly because the BDL governor had vocalized the project idea last year without any regulatory groundwork having been implemented by the Capital Markets Authority. This is probably also due to a margin of severe uncertainty over the ability to institute the SME exchange under the umbrella of the Beirut Stock Exchange (BSE).

Given that the privatization of the BSE is not a likely event in the 2016 timeframe, the prospectus for the SME electronic exchange should provide a private sector path to its creation. A hint in support of that may be Salameh’s remark in the December 10 speech that participants in the electronic trading platform will be “banks, financial companies, brokers, family offices [and] professionals”. Listings will be supervised by the Capital Markets Authority, he added. The purpose of the new mart is easy enough to divine: as per the governor, it will allow startups to list and provide exit opportunities for successful companies, with creation of liquidity in service of “startups and others” as its true aim.

Another motivating force in the establishment of the electronic exchange must be the limited lifespan of the central bank’s funding flow into the startup ecosystem under the famed Circular 331 that incentivizes banks to channel investments into knowledge economy ventures at greatly reduced risk. The system’s venture capital players such as the Berytech Fund II, which used the BDL Accelerate event to announce close to $20 million in startup investments, and Middle East Venture Partners (MEVP) need exit opportunities that jibe with the seven-year timespan of Circular 331 funding of up to $400 million; a small cap exchange will open part of that realm at least in principle.

It is beyond dispute that the ratio of market capitalization to gross domestic product in Lebanon is in serious need of improvement. However, an electronic exchange with a market capitalization of a few hundred million dollars would be nowhere near enough to lift the Lebanese market cap to GDP ratio into the 50 to 100 percent range that is often considered indicative of stronger economies when compared with very low ratios associated with poor countries or with countries at less than 50 percent ratio that are considered undervalued. In this regard, the call for creation of greater liquidity in Lebanese financial markets raises the question of what other securities, besides stocks in startups, the new privately-held and privately-run market could trade and if it would be instituted with an intent to challenge the Beirut Stock Exchange.

Better market mechanisms needed for Lebanon

The attention in the BDL Accelerate event’s opening session was fully focused on Governor Salameh, documenting the awareness that most of the Lebanese entrepreneurship ecosystem’s progress in the past three years is owed to the central bank. But notwithstanding the applause with which the crowd received Salameh’s electronic exchange announcement, the main thrust at BDL Accelerate was the quest for capital; a plurality of young entrepreneurs told Executive that they had raised funds, were engaged in fundraising or were seeking to raise money in early 2016 in a variety of funding stages. By contrast, these entrepreneurs’ — and also some investment bankers’ — comments on the potential and practicality of a Lebanese SME exchange were at best enthusiastic in the vaguely affirmative way of someone who has not given a lot of thought to the matter.

More important for the project of an electronic exchange is that promises and acclamations do not compensate for absence of market fundamentals. Well regulated stock markets are noted for their macroeconomic value as they facilitate price discovery, flows of capital, and efficiency. But markets need to be supported by adequate economic incentives and, as researchers for the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development argued in 2013, “radically different intrinsic nature[s] of markets for large cap and small cap stocks” mandate that markets for small caps should be designed differently from large cap markets. How the proposition of a small cap market can work in an environment with an anemic large cap market is, from a common sense perspective, a question that needs to be asked when deploying a small cap exchange formula in Lebanon.

Small cap ventures are notorious for their liquidity risk, meaning that investors in SME stocks may not be able to divest of shares at the time and/or price they need. It has to be asked how an electronic exchange in Lebanon could be enabled to attract market participants in sufficient numbers on both sides of the equation, namely in terms of qualified investors and of startups that can qualify as issuers of equity. This question cannot be unreasonable in a financial market that has been defined by lack of liquidity for more than 10 years. So the compounded bigger question is if a country with a fledgling capital markets authority, a history of illiquidity in its stock exchange and no recent experience with any initial public offering or much activity in secondary markets can pull off the launch and invigoration of an electronic exchange that should probably achieve more than just help startups in price discovery.

Questing for hub appeal

When compared with the marketing talk about Lebanon’s role as emerging hub, the number of genuinely international startups that presented themselves in booths provided for free to entrepreneurs at BDL Accelerate was hardly a handful, among them a UK firm that took advantage of the UK–Lebanon Tech Hub avenue to come to the Middle East. And just as BDL Accelerate did not feel like a magnet for international participants outside of some very isolated cases, global eyeballs did not seem drawn to Beirut in any approximation of the great attractiveness that local promoters talk about. In December, for example, a Huffington Post piece on dark horses in the race to attract international startups to rising tech hubs pointed not to Beirut but to Amman as one of three worth taking a closer look at. Ironically, it was posted right at the time of BDL Accelerate. Other cities in MENA that recently found mention in stories on up-and-coming startup hubs worldwide included Tunis, Cairo, Dubai and Tehran besides the familiar international contenders in Asia, Europe and Latin America.

Of greater indicator value than such — usually partisan and typically somewhat coincidental — rising ecosystem stories or promotional messages about the attractiveness of startup hubs in this or that emerging economy may be the 2015 Global Startup Ecosystem Ranking of San Francisco-based firm Startup Compass Inc. Their report, while falling quite short of evaluating hubs from all parts of the world, made several noteworthy observations on trends in what Compass described as a rapidly emerging and interconnected global startup landscape.

In an observation on the environment for exits, the report expects Silicon Valley to stay in the lead for exit values for several more years but anticipates “ultimate convergence towards an equilibrium that looks a fairly conventional 80/20 power law” in the world’s 20 largest startup ecosystems, meaning that Silicon Valley would capture between 30 and 50 percent of the annual exit pie, followed by three ecosystems that combined would also capture 30 to 50 percent, and another 16 startup ecosystems that will draw in the remaining 20 percent of the exits pie.

Just as interesting as the startup exchange for the development prospects of tech ventures is the issue of Beirut’s startup-hub appeal beyond the ranks of resident and expatriate Lebanese that comprise the ecosystem’s natural stakeholders. The idea of advocating Lebanon as an internationally attractive hub was an important premise of BDL Accelerate. However, while the event constituted a great initiative for showcasing the emerging startup ecosystem, it came dressed up with marketing messages that were far stronger than the event organization. The gaps between advertorial lore of huge local and international participation (presences of “100 speakers, 200 exhibitors and 100 startups from around the world” had been trumpeted all over the media) and the reality of attendances were visible everywhere in the Beirut Forum venue but never more so than on the second day when scheduled discussions went completely off schedule and when main-stage speakers and moderators sparred in front of a thousand empty chairs, while the more vibrant conversations were those of the people queuing for free coffee and a doughnut at the convention’s “coffee sponsor”.

February 8, 2016 0 comments
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DrugsEconomics & Policy

Lebanon’s Captagon boom

by Jeremy Arbid February 8, 2016
written by Jeremy Arbid

The sun had not quite risen one cold January morning in east Lebanon as an army patrol set out to arrest individuals suspected for the murders of Sobhi and Nadimeh Fakhri in November 2014. What was to be a raid in Baalbek turned into a major drug bust – the army stumbled upon a Captagon producing laboratory as well as large quantities of cannabis and heroin. It was the latest in a series of seizures by the Lebanese authorities of Captagon, an illegal drug whose trade has skyrocketed in recent years and whose black market value is said to be in the hundreds of millions of dollars annually.

Business is booming and media reports insinuate that a number of players are addicted to the action – Lebanese and Syrian foot soldiers, Lebanon’s armed militias, the drug lords of Lebanon’s Bekaa Valley, the drug lords in Syria’s Qalamoun Mountains, a member of the Saudi royal family, a Bulgarian chemist flown in to cook Captagon – even a feature film has hooked the public. One Reuters report from 2014 suggested that the outflow of Captagon from Lebanon had fallen by 90 percent between 2011 to 2013. But statistics reported to the United Nations Office of Drugs and Crime (UNODC) by Lebanese authorities show a spike in seized Captagon starting in 2013. That year the Lebanese authorities as a whole seized 11.7 million Captagon pills. In the 12 months following, Lebanese Customs alone found more than double that amount. This points to a major shift in trafficking Captagon through Lebanon, if not significant local production of the drug as well. Now, a new law passed by the United States might answer who runs the Captagon show.

The region’s stimulant of choice

Captagon got its start in the 1960s as a pharmaceutical drug most commonly prescribed to treat attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD). The arrival of newer drugs that were more effective and less addictive (at treating ADHD) prompted the US government in 1981 to conclude that Captagon no longer had any medical use, leading to a ban. The World Health Organization followed suit a few years later, recommending prohibition of the drug globally. While the pill sold on the black market today carries the same name because of the pharmaceutical’s reputation, it is not the same drug (see Captagon Explained below).

Today’s street Captagon is an amphetamine-based stimulant that is said to be used both by Syrian regime forces and rebel groups fighting the country’s now five year long civil war. The pill, the Washington Post alleged, is said to make monsters out of normal men so that they can kill “with a numb, reckless abandon.” But that’s not really the case, according to addictions psychiatrist Joseph Khoury of the American University of Beirut Medical Center. Khoury, who treats patients that abuse Captagon alongside other drugs like Tramadol (a highly addictive opioid pain medication), says that Captagon keeps users alert much like a can of Redbull does. “If you want to sit at the front for days it is a valid tool – that is the purpose [to stay alert],” he says.

It neither makes users into superhumans nor does it have the psychedelic effect that the media has paraded. “If you want a guy to attack a trench and he’s on Captagon, he’ll probably be overconfident. But the idea that it makes people turn into suicide bombers is ridiculous. It’s not what explains the alteration of somebody’s personality, turning the normal caring and loving human being into a monster that can be mind-manipulated – it’s completely not true,” Khoury says. Other practitioners tend to reach the same nuanced conclusion, and a recent article in Forbes cuts straight to the point: “there is nothing especially magical about Captagon.”

Captagon Explained
What is today sold on the streets as Captagon is a mimic of the drug of the same name pharmaceutically manufactured in the 1960s and 1970s. Captagon is the brand name of fenethylline – a metabolic precursor inactive in its own right but one producing amphetamine and theophylline (a caffeine type substance) inside the user’s body. Taken orally, the body’s liver metabolizes the fenethylline tablet so that the stimulant amphetamine is absorbed into the bloodstream producing the desired effects of increased alertness and energy that improves performance of manual and intellectual tasks.

Fenethylline was found to have limited benefits for its prescribed use – treating attention deficit hyperactivity disorder – and reports on its abuse and potential for addiction as well as adverse side effects led to its prohibition by the United States Food and Drug Administration in the early 1980s. Later, in 1986, it was banned worldwide when the World Health Organization recommended it be listed as a controlled substance under international treaty – the Convention on Psychotropic Substances, of which Lebanon is a signatory. The convention calls on signatories to license the import, export, manufacture, trade and distribution of fenethylline, and to require a medical prescription for its dispensation and use. The United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC) says it has not been legally manufactured since that recommendation came into effect.

Today’s Captagon mimics the effects of the pharmaceutical brand and carries the same name because of its similarity in appearance to the original, rather than having the same chemical composition. Because fenethylline is now a banned substance, the amphetamine needed to mimic the desired effect must be synthesized and put directly into the pill – usually as a mixture of mild amphetamines and caffeine, and sometimes other related substances, says Joseph el-Khoury, an addiction psychiatrist at the American University of Beirut Medical Center.

When Captagon mimics do contain amphetamine, one common and easy way to synthesize the amphetamine ingredient is to use a precursor called phenyl-2-propanone (phenylacetone or P2P), says UNODC’s Illicit Synthetic Drug Expert Martin Raithelhuber. “It’s a common chemical product produced at volume for many licit and industrial purposes,” Raithelhuber tells Executive. He says it is also possible to convert a related chemical to P2P and then produce amphetamine. The procedure requires only a basic understanding of chemistry and the necessary chemical equipment. “We’re not talking about very sophisticated, complicated processes. It is not complex to produce amphetamine and the result will be amphetamine sulphate which is in powder form,” Raithelhuber explains.

The same convention banning fenethylline also lists P2P as a controlled substance and its import and export requires a special permit from Lebanon’s Ministry of Public Health. Customs data available online does not list any import or export for the years 2011 – 2015, so where illicit manufacturers of Captagon source the necessary raw material they need to make amphetamine is anyone’s guess. It is most likely smuggled inside other legally imported products. Illegally handling these raw materials, according to Lebanon’s law on narcotic drugs and psychotropic substances and precursors 673/1998, carries a life sentence and a fine between 25 million – 100 million Lebanese lira ($16,600 – $66,400).

Forensic studies of seized Captagon in the mid 2000s by authorities in Jordan, Turkey, Serbia and Iraq detected amphetamine and caffeine in most pills, according to the UNODC. But, the UNODC says, some of the Captagon mimics that have been seized do not actually contain any amphetamine but only caffeine, ephedrine (an amphetamine substitute used as a stimulant) and quinine (a muscle relaxant and painkiller). Nizar Jurdi, head of the drug unit at the Lebanese Customs, told Executive that in January Customs seized some 250,000 pills because they bore the Captagon logo and were being smuggled with cannabis. But lab tests of the pills determined the Captagon mimic was a fake containing no amphetamine. The tested tablets were made up of 70 percent caffeine, 10 percent acetaminofene (also called paracetamol and found in popular brand name over-the-counter drugs such as Tylenol and Panadol for the treatment of moderate pain and fever reduction) and up to 20 percent aminofen (the generic substitute of acetaminofene).

A trafficking thoroughfare

Outside of use by combatants in various conflicts from Syria to Yemen, Captagon has regional fame as a recreational drug, and is in particularly high demand in the Gulf countries. Lebanon and Syria have traditionally been waypoints on the route of Captagon from the laboratories of Southeastern Europe and Turkey to the Gulf. But recent reports of Captagon-factory busts, as well as UNODC and Lebanese Customs’ data, not only indicate Lebanon’s continuation as a Captagon trafficking thoroughfare but also point to a rise in local production as factories are increasingly set up.

The UNODC reasoned in its 2008 World Drug Report that in the Middle East, “the growing seizure volume appears inconsistent given the small number of clandestine laboratories reported by authorities in Bulgaria [three laboratories] and Turkey [12 laboratories] in 2006.” Interpretation of factory busts and seizure reports led the UNODC to conclude that, in as early as 2006, production of Captagon began shifting from Southeastern Europe and Turkey to the region. Syria has been a source for Captagon production since at least 2006, the UNODC wrote in its 2009 World Drug Report. By 2014, a report by the International Narcotics Control Board (INCB) concluded that the breakdown of, or at least severe strain on, Syria’s government institutions created the ideal environment for the drug’s production to flourish. “The crisis situation in the Syrian Arab Republic clearly creates conditions favourable to the illicit manufacture and trafficking of tablets sold as Captagon,” INCB wrote.

But it is difficult to determine how much Captagon still originates from Syria. Officials that Executive spoke with say that while production continues there, the all-out war in the country has disrupted land routes popular for transiting the illicit drug through Jordan to the lucrative black markets in the Gulf – namely Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates – requiring new ways to move the product and possibly shifting some Captagon production from Syria to Lebanon.

Lebanon witnessed a stark rise in the number of Captagon tablets seized by authorities in 2013 compared to previous years, according to the latest dataset compiled by the UNODC from Lebanese authorities. The statistics show that in 2013 Lebanon discovered 11.7 million tablets, having seized only 680,000 two years earlier. Data from Lebanon’s customs authority – Executive could not obtain police and army seizures by time of print – show a steeper rise in Captagon busts in 2014. That year, customs seized 25.4 million tablets at the airport and Port of Beirut. Customs valued the seizures to total $151.85 million – $6 per pill, a conservative estimate given that the street value price in the Gulf countries where the pills were destined can range anywhere between $10 to $20 per pill, a price range cited by the UNODC’s Illicit Synthetic Drug Expert Martin Raithelhuber.

Access to the Port of Beirut and Lebanon’s airport as export points has become increasingly important. “They conceal [Captagon] sometimes inside the bowels of machinery or hide it in furniture,” says head of the drug unit at Lebanese Customs, Colonel Nizar Jurdi. Recent seizures by customs at the port detail the manner in which pills were concealed – in nursery school tables, engine blocks or water cisterns. “You should not imagine that there is one container full of Captagon, that is not how it works,” Raithelhuber illustrates. “It might be one container among hundreds on a cargo ship, and in this one container there might be one large box which may not even contain the pure drug but may contain machinery, and in the cavities of the machinery is where the drug is [concealed],” he says.

Jurdi says his drug unit at the Port of Beirut inspects somewhere between 15 and 20 containers per day. The paperwork of all containers imported from Latin America, Romania and Ukraine and those exported to Arab countries are scrutinized because of those countries’ reputation as big drug producers or consumers. When a customs inspector reading the scan of one of these containers detects something unreadable or suspicious in the container, it is referred to the drugs section, says Jurdi. The goods in the shipment, the reputation of the goods’ owner and that of the import/export company, and any shared intelligence information between countries’ customs authorities are all factors that Jurdi says are taken into account when deciding whether a flagged container requires manual inspection.

In 2014 the Port of Beirut recorded 1.2 million container movements in and out of the port. The sheer scale in container volume limits the number of containers that can be X-ray scanned and an even fewer number undergo a manual search. A rough calculation indicates that less than 1 percent of all container movements at the Port of Beirut underwent manual inspection that year. According to the UNODC, in 2015 there were an estimated 750 million container movements globally and the organization says, as a very rough estimate, only 2 percent of those containers were physically inspected. “Monitoring the contents of the sheer volume of containers,” reads a recently published UNODC document, “without interrupting the flow of legitimate trade poses tremendous challenges to customs.”

“That just shows the challenge we’re facing here – [having] good intelligence on what is a suspect shipment [is very important] – we want to increase the hit rate they have with this small percentage by improving the exchange of information between [UNODC] member states,” says the UNODC’s Raithelhuber. Indeed, when Executive conducted its interview with Jurdi, a Kuwaiti customs official was present in the room, indicating that at least some level of cooperation between these two countries is real.

Less than 1 percent of containers at Beirut Port in 2014 were manually searched | Greg Demarque

Less than 1 percent of containers at Beirut Port in 2014 were manually searched | Greg Demarque

A Gulfie drug

For years recreational pill-poppers in wealthy Gulf countries have taken Captagon to get high. In these countries, says the UNODC, “it is popular among the younger, affluent population and it has also enjoyed a reputation as a sexual stimulant since the beginning of the 1980s.”

There is only anecdotal testimony that its usage is picking up in Syria and while drug-related arrests and Captagon court cases are on the rise in Lebanon, it is not a popular drug among local users. The real market for the drug remains the Gulf countries, where the street value is most attractive for distributors. Between 2011 and 2013, according to UNODC data, Saudi Arabia alone seized some 173 million tablets.

Statistics on the number of users are harder to come by. One recent article by Voice of America estimated as many as 50,000 Saudis undergo drug rehabilitation annually, but the report did not say whether that was for Captagon treatment and it did not cite any sources. In an October 2015 interview with Arabic-language publication Economic, Abdelelah Mohammed Al-Sharif, secretary general of Saudi Arabia’s National Committee for Narcotics Control, said that Captagon use was prevalent among the country’s youth and that 40 percent of the total drug-using population fell between the ages of 12 – 22, but he did not elaborate on the number of users. In any case, the amount of tablets seized suggest that the drug’s use in the Kingdom is significant.

Captagon, and amphetamines more widely, have been the Middle East’s drug of choice for the best part of the last four decades, says the UNODC’s Raithelhuber. Boredom is a driver of Captagon use in many Arab countries where alcohol is banned and access to other drugs such as cocaine is limited. There is evidence that in the past, recreational Captagon consumption was a socially accepted and established pattern. In Kuwait, for example, when pharmacies still sold the drug legally it was taken with morning tea, a visiting Kuwaiti customs official volunteered to Executive. Raithelhuber says that drug markets have a certain resiliance. “Once a drug has established itself in a user population, that’s what users know and that’s what they want to get again; not all of them are willing to experiment with other drugs,” he says.

Lebanon – production province

The figures on seizures show an explosion in the quantity of pills that are at least trafficked, but may also be locally produced. Jurdi reasons that instability caused by the war in Syria and the closure of its borders, along with the rise of seizures and laboratory busts in Lebanon, are correlational evidence of this shift.

In the last few years both the Lebanese Army and the country’s police, the Internal Security Forces (ISF), announced Captagon factory busts and arrests. The rise in incidents was enough for head of the ISF, Major-General Ibrahim Basbous, to sound the alarm at an October 2015 Captagon-focused drug conference held in Beirut. Though Basbous did say that Lebanon’s security forces had made progress in the fight to stem the drug, he appealed to the delegates to “contribute to rooting out the operations of smuggling Captagon tablets.” Lebanon needs all the help it can get.

Security forces – the ISF, Army and customs – have dismantled and arrested criminal groups manufacturing or trafficking Captagon, but lack of government clarity on the number of Captagon-factory busts and arrests does obscure the current extent of production. The amount of Captagon that Lebanon has seized does, however, imply that production volume is large, though an estimation is impossible. “We don’t have that indicator for synthetic drugs because it’s a footloose industry. Laboratories can be anywhere – in a basement, an empty industrial factory – they don’t have to be very big to produce several tons per year,” the UNODC’s Raithelhuber says. An April 2015 report by the European Council concluded that shutting down Captagon production capacity in Lebanon requires more specialized security personnel, equipment and logistical support (e.g. intelligence) and that without these Lebanon is challenged to curb production and trafficking.

Hezbollah’s ‘kingpin’?

Armed military groups are said to use the Captagon trade as a source of revenue to rival the state’s control in parts of the country – and fingers point to Hezbollah. A January article in the Arabic language Sawt al Jabal is the most recent to allege Hezbollah’s role in trafficking Captagon – it reiterated the insinuation that the brother of Hezbollah MP Hussein al-Moussawi, Sheikh Hashem al-Moussawi, is a major Captagon manufacturer and smuggler in Lebanon’s Bekaa Valley. Back in 2012, Lebanese television channel MTV ran a documentary following the ISF as it raided Hezbollah-funded Islamic schools it said were directly connected to Moussawi. A subsequent article by Al Akhbar stated that Lebanese authorities were not able to apprehend the sheikh. Another sheikh identified only by his first name and last initial, Abbas N., said during a police interrogation that “there is a religious edict allowing [Captagon] usage because it is a stimulant and not a drug,” Al Akhbar reported.

A 2012 article in online publication Middle East Transparent alleged that the religious edict was issued by Moussawi. It sanctioned the manufacturing and trafficking of Captagon as long as followers of Wilayat al-Faqih (Guardianship of the Jurist, an Iranian interpretation of Shia doctrine) did not consume the drug. The journalist of that article alleged that revenues from trafficking ignited an internal power struggle at the highest level of party leadership – Hezbollah’s Bekaa Valley faction was gaining influence that threatened Hezbollah’s southern-dominated top brass. The factional infighting, the article alleged, gave Lebanon’s anti-drug officials the green light to raid Bekaa Valley’s Hezbollah-linked Captagon factories under the presumed outcome that the raids would weaken that faction’s influence within the party to the advantage of the other. Executive could not independently verify this claim.

The validity of the power struggle claim is questionable but it may have helped to attract unwanted attention. Research published in May 2015 by George Washington University in the United States paraphrased testimony from an anonymous US Drug Enforcement Agency (DEA) agent stationed in the Middle East. The DEA agent told the researchers that “the top of the pyramid in the global Captagon trade has been since the 1980s and remains the same core group of Lebanese gangsters based in the Bekaa Valley.” The research points to the Captagon trade as sanctioned by Hezbollah and says that there is increasing evidence that the party is directly involved. “All available indicators point to Hezbollah with Iranian backing as most involved in Captagon production as an officially sanctioned fundraising strategy,” the research concludes.

Following the money would provide conclusive evidence as to who runs the Captagon show, but that is no simple task. There is very little information available on the flow of cash from Captagon trafficking, although all officials that Executive spoke with agreed the drug’s illicit trade is in the hundreds of millions of dollars annually. It is not easy to trace the money because it often remains as cash that does not flow through the traditional banking system, and there is no global framework for coordinating the tracking and seizure of drug money.

The Hezbollah International Financing Prevention Act of 2015 signed into US law in December may change that. Section 201 of the law calls for a report on narcotics trafficking by Hezbollah – Congress will be briefed on Hezbollah’s narcotics trafficking, the procedures for listing the party under the United States Foreign Narcotics Kingpin Designation Act as well as government efforts to combat Hezbollah’s narcotics trafficking activity. The Kingpin Act grants the Treasury Department’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) the authority to block individuals and entities from the US financial system and prohibits any transactions between designees and US companies and individuals. Previously the Kingpin Act was invoked in 2014 to designate the Medellín, Colombia-based criminal organization La Oficina de Envigado (La Oficina), the enforcement and collection arm of deceased-leader Pablo Escobar’s Medellín Cartel. In October 2015 OFAC used it to designate Hezbollah-affiliated individuals and organizations.

Already listed as a terrorist organization by the United States, the application of the Kingpin Act as part of the new law will broaden OFAC’s mandate to sanction Hezbollah for any alleged role it has in narcotics trafficking – though OFAC does not publish justification for its designations. Completion of the narcotics report is expected in the first quarter of 2016 and the law requires its publication. A month later Congress will be briefed. By the middle of the year, America believes it may be able to offer an answer as to the actual size of Captagon production and the nerve center of its trafficking.

February 8, 2016 2 comments
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Opinion

Worse than weapons

by Yasser Akkaoui February 8, 2016
written by Yasser Akkaoui

The war years in Lebanon were particularly ugly near the end. I was 16 years old when the bottom fell out from under the lira, and the currency collapse changed everything. People lost their jobs. Wealth vanished. Desperation reigned. We were used to being terrorized by bombs, bullets and ever-accurate mortar shells. Financial terrorism proved even worse.

Crooks preyed on distressed and vulnerable people who, even if they might have known better, still fell for their scams. Fear that your family would starve or be pushed onto the street, however, did not inspire the best decisions. Criminality was everywhere. Certain unscrupulous types were approving loans they knew would fail to get their hands on land or property at obscenely low prices. It was a morality-free zone.

Last December, seeing an advertisement designed to dupe people who lack a social safety net brought back some of my worst memories. We’ve been living through an economic disaster the past few years, and all signs point to distress. Even our drug trade is flourishing again. I fear for what we’re becoming. I don’t want to live in a country of outlaws, isolated from the global economy. I want a country where honest hard work and entrepreneurial risk taking are respected and rewarded.

Executive has spent more than 16 years advocating for ways our government officials can make Lebanon better for all. We must remember, however, that building a prosperous country requires individual initiative and individual responsibility. Our focus in 2016 on business ethics includes a series of warnings we all must heed. We take a look at the many opportunities that adherence to international best practices can provide.

This month we report how Beirut should position itself as a hub for private banking with an ethical investment focus. Money can be made honestly, and we mustn’t forget that. We have been sailing back into the morality-free zone. It’s time to reverse course.

February 8, 2016 0 comments
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Fashion

Creative Space Beirut

by Lynn Soubra February 5, 2016
written by Lynn Soubra

I open the door on the first floor of an old pink building located among the cement foliage of Mar Mikhael and step inside what looks like a mad scientist’s mind. Trash bins overflowing with scrunched up papers, magazines tossed on the floor, racks of handmade clothes scattered here and there along with scissors, rulers, pens, glue sticks and more. The white walls accentuate the vibrant colors in the room and transform it into a colorful box of crayons set against January’s gloomy weather. This is Creative Space Beirut (CSB), where the mind knows no boundaries.

CSBCSB is a free fashion design school that welcomes skilled individuals from all corners of Lebanon. In 2011, Sarah Hermez, a fashion design graduate from Parsons New York, co-founded the institution with her former instructor Lebanese-American designer Caroline Shlala-Simonelli. Hermez moved to Beirut with a mission to ease the financial strains that prevent Lebanese youth from receiving an education in creative fields. “What we’re creating is a bridge for our students to cross in order to get into this competitive sector,” says Karina Goulordava, responsible for the institution’s fundraising. “We have all this talent in Lebanon that doesn’t get the chance to show itself because of the ways things are run in this country,” she explains, adding,  “Education should be a right for everybody.”

CSBAccording to Sarah Hunaidi, CSB’s communication director, CSB relies heavily on the community’s participation in its vision. As of now four students are sponsored by three donors who pay for their education throughout the three-year program. “They believe in what we do,” says Goulordava.

CSBCSB’s main source of income is sponsors but the school also relies on its Ready to Wear line, designed in-house and showcased twice a year at different venues and events around Beirut, to become more self-sustainable with time. “All proceeds from the sales go back to the school,” says Goulordava. CSB also holds fundraising parties, workshops and exhibitions. Events like these help expose students to challenges and opportunities in the fashion industry and allow them to showcase their one-of-a-kind pieces, win competitions and possibly get recruited by professional Lebanese designers. “It is not only about free education, but about access to the design world that’s very hard to get into if you do not have the financial means,” she explains.


CSBTo be selected, applicants submit a portfolio of their creations and sit for an interview, and priority is granted to those who cannot afford the high fees of private schools. Unlike most higher-education institutions in Lebanon, CSB admits
up to four students per year, and while many design schools begin their programs with theory, CSB’s 11 current students get to play with fabric on the first day. They are mentored by volunteering professional designers, photographers and other experts while the school keeps a watchful eye on student progress through regular assessment. CSB recently adopted a “buddy-system” through which senior students partner with junior classmates to help guide them through different techniques. “Most of the students have a lot of experience and knowledge; it doesn’t have to be an instructor [who teaches the course],” explains Goulordava. Students with strong knowledge in design-related methods are also invited to teach and share their expertise with the class. The seamless student-teacher relationship results in a coherent exchange of knowledge and talent, which helps the students get a well-rounded understanding of the fashion design process.

CSBCompared to traditional education systems, CSB has an unconventional way in delivering its program, which relieves unnecessary pressure and focuses more on helping the students grow into artists. “There’s no grading system because what’s the point of grades?” questions Hunaidi. “It’s not like it’s our place only and then they have to leave, it really feels like it’s their space,” she adds. “Sometimes if I drive by at 11 at night, the lights would still be on.”

CSBAfter our talk I walk around the workshop between rows of different designs, patterns and colors, discovering a hub where creativity takes a life of its own. Students are absorbed in their world of imagination as I take a peek at their work and speak to a couple of them. Ahmad, a 22-year-old who studied Interior Architecture at the Lebanese University, showed me his sketches and collages of androgynous women and men, explaining his desire to eradicate predetermined judgement in our society. 26-year-old Noor’s collection stems from a lucky mishap, when she accidentally placed fabrics too close to a heater. When she saw how the texture of the material changed, she had a lightbulb moment and decided to use the heater as a tool to create a bubble-like esthetic, mimicking the moon’s surface.

With creative minds and skilled hands, the students focus on their personal projects but work together towards the same goal: breaking social boundaries. “Our students are very aware of why we are doing this, so they should take that social responsibility out into the world with them,” says Goulordava.

Lebanon’s only free university does not have a fashion design program and CSB is filling that niche. Whereas people jump at the opportunity to invest in business and technology, creative fields seem to take a back seat. This prevents talent from showing itself and making a mark on Lebanon’s social and cultural scene. People’s wealth should not be determined by materialistic possession but should surpass them to encompass the richness of their minds. It’s about time we pay attention to Lebanon’s youth instead of focusing on making our wallets fatter. We might just be surprised at what talent is hidden right under our noses, if only we would allow it to prosper.

February 5, 2016 1 comment
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Fashion

Creative Space Beirut

by Lynn Soubra February 5, 2016
written by Lynn Soubra

I open the door on the first floor of an old pink building located among the cement foliage of Mar Mikhael and step inside what looks like a mad scientist’s mind. Trash bins overflowing with scrunched up papers, magazines tossed on the floor, racks of handmade clothes scattered here and there along with scissors, rulers, pens, glue sticks and more. The white walls accentuate the vibrant colors in the room and transform it into a colorful box of crayons set against January’s gloomy weather. This is Creative Space Beirut (CSB), where the mind knows no boundaries.

CSBCSB is a free fashion design school that welcomes skilled individuals from all corners of Lebanon. In 2011, Sarah Hermez, a fashion design graduate from Parsons New York, co-founded the institution with her former instructor Lebanese-American designer Caroline Shlala-Simonelli. Hermez moved to Beirut with a mission to ease the financial strains that prevent Lebanese youth from receiving an education in creative fields. “What we’re creating is a bridge for our students to cross in order to get into this competitive sector,” says Karina Goulordava, responsible for the institution’s fundraising. “We have all this talent in Lebanon that doesn’t get the chance to show itself because of the ways things are run in this country,” she explains, adding,  “Education should be a right for everybody.”

CSBAccording to Sarah Hunaidi, CSB’s communication director, CSB relies heavily on the community’s participation in its vision. As of now four students are sponsored by three donors who pay for their education throughout the three-year program. “They believe in what we do,” says Goulordava.

CSBCSB’s main source of income is sponsors but the school also relies on its Ready to Wear line, designed in-house and showcased twice a year at different venues and events around Beirut, to become more self-sustainable with time. “All proceeds from the sales go back to the school,” says Goulordava. CSB also holds fundraising parties, workshops and exhibitions. Events like these help expose students to challenges and opportunities in the fashion industry and allow them to showcase their one-of-a-kind pieces, win competitions and possibly get recruited by professional Lebanese designers. “It is not only about free education, but about access to the design world that’s very hard to get into if you do not have the financial means,” she explains.


CSBTo be selected, applicants submit a portfolio of their creations and sit for an interview, and priority is granted to those who cannot afford the high fees of private schools. Unlike most higher-education institutions in Lebanon, CSB admits
up to four students per year, and while many design schools begin their programs with theory, CSB’s 11 current students get to play with fabric on the first day. They are mentored by volunteering professional designers, photographers and other experts while the school keeps a watchful eye on student progress through regular assessment. CSB recently adopted a “buddy-system” through which senior students partner with junior classmates to help guide them through different techniques. “Most of the students have a lot of experience and knowledge; it doesn’t have to be an instructor [who teaches the course],” explains Goulordava. Students with strong knowledge in design-related methods are also invited to teach and share their expertise with the class. The seamless student-teacher relationship results in a coherent exchange of knowledge and talent, which helps the students get a well-rounded understanding of the fashion design process.

CSBCompared to traditional education systems, CSB has an unconventional way in delivering its program, which relieves unnecessary pressure and focuses more on helping the students grow into artists. “There’s no grading system because what’s the point of grades?” questions Hunaidi. “It’s not like it’s our place only and then they have to leave, it really feels like it’s their space,” she adds. “Sometimes if I drive by at 11 at night, the lights would still be on.”

CSBAfter our talk I walk around the workshop between rows of different designs, patterns and colors, discovering a hub where creativity takes a life of its own. Students are absorbed in their world of imagination as I take a peek at their work and speak to a couple of them. Ahmad, a 22-year-old who studied Interior Architecture at the Lebanese University, showed me his sketches and collages of androgynous women and men, explaining his desire to eradicate predetermined judgement in our society. 26-year-old Noor’s collection stems from a lucky mishap, when she accidentally placed fabrics too close to a heater. When she saw how the texture of the material changed, she had a lightbulb moment and decided to use the heater as a tool to create a bubble-like esthetic, mimicking the moon’s surface.

With creative minds and skilled hands, the students focus on their personal projects but work together towards the same goal: breaking social boundaries. “Our students are very aware of why we are doing this, so they should take that social responsibility out into the world with them,” says Goulordava.

Lebanon’s only free university does not have a fashion design program and CSB is filling that niche. Whereas people jump at the opportunity to invest in business and technology, creative fields seem to take a back seat. This prevents talent from showing itself and making a mark on Lebanon’s social and cultural scene. People’s wealth should not be determined by materialistic possession but should surpass them to encompass the richness of their minds. It’s about time we pay attention to Lebanon’s youth instead of focusing on making our wallets fatter. We might just be surprised at what talent is hidden right under our noses, if only we would allow it to prosper.

February 5, 2016 1 comment
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Leaders

The ABCs of the 123s

by Executive Editors February 5, 2016
written by Executive Editors

Finance is a complicated topic to understand. The jargon and math don’t help. Top employees of Lebanese lending institutions have admitted to Executive that even some bankers cannot define an annual percentage rate (APR). Look it up on Wikipedia, and you’ll no doubt be researching more new terms (such as nominal APR and effective APR) before you finish reading the first sentence. Financial literacy is not a global strong-suit. Surveys from 2011 conducted by researchers with the non-profit, US-based National Bureau of Economic Research asked residents of Germany, Italy, Japan, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Russia, Sweden and the United States three short questions designed to assess respondents’ ability to calculate interest rates, understand inflation and understand risk diversification. Only in Germany did more than 50 percent of those surveyed answer all three questions correct. In all eight countries, at least 10 percent of respondents got all three wrong.

Financial literacy is becoming a hot topic internationally, according to the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development. The OECD explains that this stems, in part, from a global “concern about the potential impact of shrinking public and private welfare systems, shifting demographics, including the ageing of the population in many countries, and the increased sophistication and expansion of financial services.” In other words, people around the world are likely to be increasingly responsible for taking care of themselves financially rather than being able to rely on state-organized savings or pension schemes. In response, the OECD also reports that “as of 2014, more than 50 countries at different income levels are well advanced in the design or implementation of a national strategy for financial education, and many other countries are considering developing one.” While Executive was unable to find financial literacy statistics for Lebanon, it is safe to assume we would not score higher than the majority of other countries. What we know, however, is that this country has no effective pension system, and citizens are basically left to fend for themselves when it comes to having a secure financial future. We were shocked to see advertisements featuring an elderly man taking out a loan with his house as collateral. In fact, this ad inspired this month’s investigation into loan sharking in Lebanon. We we saw that advertisement, We didn’t see a man securing his family’s financial future. We saw an attempt to dupe the vulnerable. We saw a population in need of protection. In this regard, we must once again tip our hat to Central Bank Governor Riad Salameh. Banque du Liban (BDL), our central bank, recently passed much needed regulation to limit the potential bite of loan sharks (see Shark hunt), but there is still a lot more work to be done to educate and protect the population.

In the United Kingdom, there exists a company called Lending Stream. It offers so-called “payday loans” – short-term, high-interest credit many borrowers cannot repay on time, which can rather quickly bury them in unsustainable debt. Quite prominently on the company’s homepage is the following note of caution: “Warning: Late payment can cause you serious money problems. For help, go to moneyadviceservice.org.uk.” Money Advice Service describes itself as  “an independent service, set up by government” with a mandate to “help people manage their money.” Their offerings are diverse, and their financial advice is clearly aimed at helping people who understand nothing about finance get a grip on the basics. Lebanon needs something like this. While it may be too much to ask the government to follow the exact model, the Ministry of Economy and Trade could quite easily include information like this (do’s and don’t’s of borrowing, understanding interest rates and how to calculate them, identifying and mitigating risks, etc.) on the consumer protection section of its website.

Given that government is not the only stakeholder in citizens’ economic well being, the impetus to act should not be expected to come from elected and appointed officials alone. Civil society, business and economic associations, and even banks and financial institutions themselves can easily step up and help financially educate the public. We already have one example of a local ad company and a local bank partnering to produce 30-second financial literacy spots (see Q&A with George Jabbour). We need much more of this. And as an increasing number of local corporations seek ways to deploy capital on do-good initiatives under the banner of corporate social responsibility, here is a perfect place to start spending. For banks in particular, increasing financial literacy can actually translate into more business opportunities. Research out of China from 2013 shows that people increase the amount they deposit into retirement savings accounts the more they understand interest compounding (which means that interest earned is added to the principal after a certain time period – yearly, for example – thus generating the account holder more money the longer said money is kept in the account. See, increasing financial literacy can be that simple). The central bank can even help incentivize private-sector efforts to increase financial literacy by awarding the corporations doing the best job each year. Companies love affirmations of how excellent they are.

Stopping at financial literacy is not enough. We also need all relevant stakeholders to understand that they must never exploit financial illiteracy. Again, BDL has done commendable work in this regard – twice passing decisions demanding that banks, financial institutions and now even loan sharks fully explain products and services to customers. These are excellent developments, but we need more players to understand their ethical obligation not to mislead people into making poor financial decisions. The head of Lebanon’s Advertising Association says he’s keen to develop an industry code of ethics. This is a must, and it requires buy-in from not only the agencies producing ads, but the media outlets that run them and the intermediaries in between.

To build a prosperous future, we have to understand how to get there without being duped into bankruptcy along the way.

February 5, 2016 0 comments
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Economics & Policy

Toward ethical lending

by Matt Nash February 5, 2016
written by Matt Nash

On the list of what separates humans from our primitive ancestors, one activity usually gets neglected: lending with interest. Finance seems embedded in our DNA. We have debt records that date back more than 4,000 years. As the historian Niall Ferguson put it in his book, “The Ascent of Money: A Financial History of the World,” these ancient ledgers serve as “reminders that when human beings first began to produce written records of their activities, they did so not to write history, poetry or philosophy, but to do business.” Not surprisingly, debates about interest rates are nearly as old. Religious authorities, philosophers and even state officials have, at one point in the past, advocated a ban on interest altogether. Islam still considers interest sinful.

Questioning interest, however, is as much an ethical debate as a financial one. Does a person with more resources have an obligation to help – free of charge – a person with fewer resources for that poorer person’s benefit? For the non-Sharia compliant, the answer humanity has settled on seems to be: the person with more deserves some kind of compensation for his or her assistance, with some limitation. After all, loan recipients use what they borrow to better their own lives (either by increasing their own wealth with the loan or acquiring a possession they did not have the means to buy on their own), so why shouldn’t the lender benefit too?

As noted, however, humanity seems to have generally agreed that lenders have an obligation to limit how much they benefit from the arrangement. Many jurisdictions today ban excessively high interest, commonly referred to as usury. Lebanon has no such ban (nor do its legal codes put a limit on what interest rates lenders can charge), but Banque du Liban (BDL), Lebanon’s central bank, has devised rules to keep consumers from being buried in debt by placing limits on how much of their monthly household income can be spent repaying a lender. In the end, the effect is arguably the same.

A premium for the poor

The exact rate of interest charged on a loan does not seem to be what distinguishes an ethical lender from an unethical one. Taking advantage of the vulnerable or financially illiterate and misleading people are the real distinguishing marks of an unethical lender. For example, microfinance is currently the darling of the development community. Microfinance institutions (MFIs) lend small amounts to poor borrowers who typically invest the funds into some modest business venture. The idea is to help the poor create more wealth for themselves. Microloans come in ticket sizes far smaller than most commercial banks would ever consider (hundreds or a few thousands of dollars) and thus they come at a premium. Though the rates are higher than a bank would charge, microfinance is considered by most an ethical practice.

More important than specific rates, therefore, is just how well a borrower understands what he or she is getting into. The Great Recession might never have happened if duping poor people into buying homes they could not afford had not become such a rampant practice in the United States.

One of the biggest risks MFIs face, according to the three Executive interviewed for this report, is over-indebtedness. If MFIs do not have effective tools to communicate or a centralized list of clients and their outstanding debts, borrowers could take out several loans from different institutions, eventually finding themselves with more debt than they can afford. MFIs are hoping a new association, officially launched in mid-2015, can help mitigate this risk (known as cross lending).

Protecting borrowers from themselves

Poor decision-making on the borrower’s behalf – rather than unethical lender behavior – is not only a risk faced by micro-borrowers. People using otherwise legal services like payday loans or car title loans often get in over their heads, and governments in the UK and the US have legislated protections for people who use these services, such as legislation regarding debt restructuring and personal bankruptcy. One of the prime tools these governments are using as a protective measure is more information. The thinking goes that if a borrower fully understands the risk of certain types of loans, he or she will seek funds elsewhere. Lebanon’s central bank has also recently demanded lenders provide potential clients clear and easy-to-understand information as a consumer protection measure. For a lender-borrower relationship to be both ethical and mutually beneficial, both parties need to have agreed to all terms with a full understanding of what they mean. Further, if the borrower is coming at a moment of vulnerability, a lender has a moral — if not always a legal — obligation to make sure not to take advantage of the borrower. Until humanity agrees on an ethical paradigm to govern lending, this seems like the best we can hope for to ensure credit does more good than harm.

February 5, 2016 0 comments
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Economics & Policy

Shark hunt

by Matt Nash February 5, 2016
written by Matt Nash

Playtime is over. Nearly one year after calling for unregulated lenders to step out of the shadows, Banque du Liban (BDL), Lebanon’s central bank, imposed new restrictions and reporting requirements on what are locally known as comptoir creditors. Until January, articles 183 and 184 of the 1963 Code of Money and Credit – Lebanon’s banking bible – allowed companies to engage in consumer lending absent of any BDL supervision provided they did not accept deposits. While a few of these companies – most notably al-lebananiyeh al-arabieh lil tasleef, which was running television, print media and billboard campaigns to promote its willingness to approve a loan in five minutes – have garnered media attention because of legal trouble in late December and early January, the exact size of this market segment and the overall economic impact of the new rules are difficult to quantify.

Consumer protection?

In early 2015 and again in January 2016, BDL published decisions related to comptoirs (see box). The January 2016 rules set out new regulations for these type of companies. While the central bank refused Executive’s interview requests to discuss this topic, circumstantial evidence suggests consumer protection was at least a partial motivator.

Forced to show their hand

On February 2, 2015, the central bank published two decisions. One of them, basic decision 11947, called on regulated banks and financial institutions to include more financial education in their dealings with clients, and builds on a 2010 decision that called for clearer explanations of loan terms in bank and financial institution advertising. Among other requirements, the 2015 decision demands that banks and financial institutions “provide customers with accurate, clear and ample key information on the conditions, benefits and risks of products and services.” It defines “key information,” in part, as: “the computational method of the actual cost of each product or service (i.e., all expenditure, commissions, expenses, charges and/or any other amounts)” and “the computational method of the lending or deposit interest rate of each product or service.” Basic decision 11948, passed on the same day, calls on what it identifies as “comptoir credit” companies – those operating under articles 183 and 184 of the Code of Money and Credit – to notify the central bank of their existence. On January 21, 2016, the central bank again passed two decisions related to the comptoir lenders: one banned all banks and financial institutions from loaning them money, and the second brought them into the central bank’s regulatory orbit – meaning they must play by the same rules as regulated lenders including 2015’s rules on properly informing customers about the products and services on offer.

Bad reputation

In investigating this story, Executive reached out to other lenders operating without the same supervision as that imposed on banks and financial institutions – microfinance institutions (MFIs). Every MFI Executive spoke with says a comptoir would be called a loan shark in an English-speaking market, meaning their practices are predatory and they charge interest rates in the neighborhood of 30 percent or more per month. According to a report in the local press, two comptoirs were shuttered in late December – Housing Finance for Financial Loans in Hadath and MFD in Jal el-Dib. Both were closed because of consumer complaints about their loan practices, the report said. The comptoir with the most aggressive advertising strategy, al-lebananiyeh al-arabieh lil tasleef, is under scrutiny for allegedly selling collateral before a borrower defaults, a practice now specifically banned by BDL. Local media report that al-lebananiyeh al-arabieh lil tasleef would draft documentation allowing the company’s owner – Fadi Jairo – to sell whatever collateral they offered up in exchange for the loan if the borrower defaulted. One of the company’s print ads specifies that collateral can be property, land or a car or truck title. Customers allege that Jairo tried selling their possessions before they defaulted. Executive contacted al-lebananiyeh al-arabieh lil tasleef for an interview and was originally told a meeting with Jairo would be arranged on January 20. When Executive called on the agreed date, an employee of Jairo said, “He has a problem. He’s not coming.” On January 25, Executive called the company to ask about interest rates on their loans only to be told that it is no longer accepting new borrowers pending clarification of the new central bank rules.

Into the fold

As evidenced by the February 2015 decisions, comptoirs have been on the central bank’s radar for some time. Bachar Kouwatly, general manager of Ibdaa Microfinance, tells Executive that BDL even tried to ascertain their numbers, although he did not have more details. Youssef El Khalil, president of the Microfinance Association – a group of MFIs recognized by the Ministry of Interior in 2015 – tells Executive that, according to figures from the central bank, where he also works, there were “over 1,000” comptoirs prior to 2015, but no more than 40 after the bank began requiring them to register. This does not necessarily mean there are fewer loan sharks in Lebanon, of course, as BDL’s request for information could well have pushed some comptoirs further into the shadows. Each MFI Executive interviewed distinguished between shadow lenders registered as companies (the comptoirs) and village loan sharks operating without any pretense of formality. “The local loan shark has existed forever and a day,” says Youssef Fawaz, executive director of Al Majmoua, an MFI. Some of Al Majmoua’s micro borrowers, he explains, took their first loans from his institution specifically to pay off debt to village loan sharks. That said, he adds that he has noticed some comptoirs – like al-lebananiyeh al-arabieh lil tasleef – being more aggressive in recent years, but notes loan sharking is not something the central bank can eliminate completely. “They’ve been there, and they will always be there,” he says.

The new central bank rules, however, seem aimed at making the comptoir business less lucrative and easy to engage in as well as curbing some of their more unsavory and potentially illegal practices (such as selling collateral before a borrower defaults, which is the subject of a court investigation into al-lebananiyeh al-arabieh lil tasleef). For example, a comptoir must have 2 billion LL (over $1.3 million) in paid-up capital in order to register, and must have the same paid-up capital for every branch it wants to open. Comptoirs must also register all the loans they give at the central bank; their clients cannot be made to pay monthly installments that exceed 35 percent of their household income; loans they give cannot be worth less than 60 percent of the collateral on offer, nor can the loans exceed 5 percent of the comptoir’s capital or $100,000, whichever is less; and they cannot take fees for opening a new file for a client.

Following the money

Requiring comptoirs to report all their loans to the central bank serves two purposes. In the year 2000, the central bank created a Central Office of Credit Risk to keep track of all outstanding loans in the country. The office is a tool to limit over-indebtedness – meaning that it prevents consumers from taking out multiple loans with different banks. Without it, enforcing caps on the percentage of monthly income going toward debt payments would be more complicated if not impossible when a consumer has different loans from different institutions. Requiring comptoirs to register loans with the central office means they will be part of this system. Prior to the central bank’s January decision, comptoirs could theoretically add to a consumer’s debt burden if that consumer had other outstanding loans. This rule therefore helps protect consumers from themselves. However, it also adds a level of control to this previously unregulated market segment by making these loans known to the central bank. Khalil, head of the Microfinance Association who spoke to Executive just days before the new rules were public, likens steps to control comptoirs to central bank moves to crack down on then-unregulated money exchange offices in the wake of US Treasury Department accusations in 2013 of money laundering against the Lebanese Canadian Bank, which supposedly involved exchange offices. “Exchange bureaus in this country were operating [with no regulation beyond registering their names at the central bank prior to 2013], but nowadays with anti-money laundering laws, [the central bank] had to intervene, and now they are very heavily regulated.” The loan registration rule means the central bank will have an idea of the total value of this market segment, information that is lacking until now.

Welcoming the change

One previously unregulated lender that will now have to abide by the central bank’s rules is Money sal. Founder and General Manager Elias Samia tells Executive he welcomes the new rules. Since launching operations in 2012, Samia says his company – which lends at an annual interest rate of 17 percent to salaried employees of what he describes as “top tier” companies – has been fighting perceptions that Money is a loan shark. More regulation, he says, is another weapon in that fight. Money launched an aggressive expansion campaign in October 2015, partnering with retail outlets – mostly cellphone shops – to extend its reach and build a national distribution network. He tells Executive that, as of mid-January, Money had 150 such partnerships with a goal of reaching 700 by the end of 2016.

He describes the company as an “investment vehicle” for sister company UFA Assurances, founded by Henri Chalhoub and focused on insurance, which Samia notes means UFA has plenty of excess liquidity. Money takes no collateral and promises quick and easy loans. It even offers a loan-delivery service, of which Samia is particularly proud. The company caps its loans at $6,000 and Samia says the average ticket size among Money’s 7,000 borrowers is $2,500. He wants to double that portfolio in 2016 and grow by 30 percent in each of the following four years, meaning Money would have around 40,000 clients by 2021 with an average ticket size reaching around $4,500. The company, he says, currently has provisioned for a non-performing loan rate of 1.7 percent but the actual default rate is 0.4 percent.

One risk to his business posed by the new regulations, Samia says, is the loan reporting requirement. He estimates around 15 percent of his clients choose Money specifically because of the anonymity it was able to offer. In an interview before the new rules were made public, Samia says that some clients also come to Money because they have loans from banks but cannot borrow more because they are already spending 35 percent of their household income to service existing debts, yet they have enough disposable income to take on a bit more of a debt burden. Asked after the new rules were made public whether the fact that the cap now also applies to Money will shrink his client base, he denies that the regulation poses a new business risk for the company, saying he is confident that the central bank may waive that requirement in certain cases.

Needed protection

Perhaps the most significant impact of the new central bank rules will be the level of consumer protection that comes with subjecting monthly comptoir loan payments to caps based on household income. Lebanese law, according to Toufic Soudayha – a lawyer with Alem & Associates – puts no interest rate limits on lending. Coupled with the requirements to fully explain to people the loan’s terms when borrowing from a comptoir, the loan-to-income limit will help protect people who might not fully realize what they are getting themselves into.

What effect BDL’s new regulations will have on the wider economy is unclear. As Société Générale de Banque au Liban (SGBL) notes in its January 2016 monthly economic publication, “In late 2014, the Central Bank tightened personal lending requirements in a bid to keep household leverage ratios in check and reduce risk in the financial system.” In the wake of that rule change – which mirrors the monthly payment versus household income cap placed on comptoirs – SGBL notes that the value of consumer loans offered by banks “rose by only 1.84 percent [year-on-year] in the first six months of 2015 to $6.65 [billion], a net production of just $14.3 [million] over the period, down from $325.7 [million] in the first half of 2014.” It seems safe to assume comptoirs will face a similar lending slowdown, meaning consumers will be pumping a little bit less cash into the system.

February 5, 2016 0 comments
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Economics & PolicyEnvironment

L’accord de Paris

by Jeremy Arbid February 4, 2016
written by Jeremy Arbid

The recent Paris Agreement is a departure in form and substance from previous climate change accords; it calls for a bottom-up approach to limit greenhouse gas emissions. Unlike the 1997 Kyoto Protocol — a bifurcated approach that legally bound developed countries to reduce their emissions — the Paris accord removes the distinction between developed and developing countries, allocating responsibility, for the most part, to the local level.

At Kyoto developed countries were allotted a target to reduce their emissions, but developing countries like China or Mexico (Lebanon too) were given no target and allowed to let their emissions increase at will. Developed countries with emission reduction targets were meant to ratify the Kyoto Protocol into law, but the United States — then the world’s largest emitter — declined to do so. For much of the 2000s, the agreement was suspended and climate change negotiations ground to a halt.

Then came the 2009 Copenhagen Accord that saw developed countries and the largest developing countries agree to reduce emissions, but not in a legally binding agreement. What had carried over from Kyoto to Copenhagen was a clean development mechanism for carbon trading. The carbon market aimed for cost effectiveness — a reduction of carbon emission per dollar invested. At Copenhagen the failure to fully articulate a legally binding treaty pushed the price of carbon into a global downspin, putting a halt to carbon trading as a mechanism to reduce emissions.

Not all was lost after Copenhagen. Part of what was agreed upon at the 2009 conference made its way into the Paris accord — financing. In Copenhagen there was limited transparency on the issue of funding developing countries; rich countries agreed to provide $100 billion annually starting in 2020 to help poorer countries invest in green technologies to reduce emissions. But in the years since Copenhagen, developed countries have largely held true to their promise: in October 2015 the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development issued a report showing that close to two-thirds of the required financing was already being supplied.

Targets for Lebanon

The Paris accord stepped away from requiring emission reductions to be legally binding, instead placing responsibility at the local level for reducing emissions through discretionary contributions. This effectively means that countries, such as Lebanon, will voluntarily phase out fossil fuel use.

Lebanon’s contribution to the Paris accord is laid out in its Intended Nationally Determined Contribution (INDC). The INDC sets forth two targets: an unconditional target that Lebanon will contribute to reduce emissions, and a conditional target if Lebanon were to receive international support — mainly financing from the $100 billion yearly fund, but also technical knowhow and technology transfer.

Under a business-as-usual scenario — with no measures taken to reduce greenhouse gases — Lebanon’s emissions would rise to nearly 44,000 million tons CO2 equivalent by 2030. Lebanon, as a low emitter of greenhouse gases, set an economy-wide target because it does not specify which sector of the economy emission reduction must come from, thereby offering greater flexibility. The country will target a 15 percent reduction by 2030 — limiting a rise in greenhouse gases to 37,400 million tons CO2 equivalent — as unconditional, meaning that emissions can be reduced in the economy wherever it is easiest. Lebanon will also produce 15 percent of its power needs through renewables and will aim for a 3 percent reduction in power demand through energy efficiency measures.

Lebanon will set more aggressive targets if it receives financing from the international community. By 2030 the country will aim for a 30 percent reduction in greenhouse gas emissions; renewables will also produce 20 percent of total power demand, while energy efficiency measures will aim to cut power demand by 10 percent. Targeting a 30 percent reduction would see Lebanon limiting the rise of its greenhouse gas emissions to just more than 30,800 million tons CO2 equivalent by 2030.

In 2010, Lebanon’s greenhouse gas emissions totaled 19,139.27 million tons CO2 equivalent, 0.04 percent of global emissions. By 2014, that proportion had risen to 0.07 percent of the global share. With countries voluntarily pledging to reduce the emissions they produce, it is not yet clear how Lebanon’s emissions might rank vis-a-vis other countries moving forward.

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