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Economics & PolicyTechnology

Tablets on the boardroom table

by Jad Hajj March 3, 2012
written by Jad Hajj

With the explosive growth in demand for smartphones and notebook computers in recent years, it is hard to believe that corporate technology users are still finding room in their bags and attachés for yet another device. The rising popularity of tablet computers, though, suggests they are somehow finding a way.

Although corporate demand for tablets is still low relative to consumer demand, it is already significant — and rising rapidly. Global market research firm IDC sees worldwide demand for tablets and other Internet mobile devices rising sharply in coming years, from 41 million units in 2011 to 235 million units in 2016. A significant driver of this growth, according to IDC, are corporations, which are seen doubling their share of tablet purchases to nearly 10 percent of total shipments in 2015, up from about 5 percent in 2010. Apple, for its part, claims that its iPad tablet is being used or tested at 80 percent of Fortune 100 companies. In the Middle East and North Africa, technology-consulting firm Ovum sees growth doubling in 2012 alone, from two million units to four million, and rising to 11 million by 2016. A recent IDC survey found that roughly half of all Internet users said they plan on buying a tablet in the near future.

In hopes of gaining a better idea of what is driving the popularity of tablets in the business world, Booz & Company and Motorola recently undertook a global research effort, interviewing chief information officers (CIOs) from a wide variety of companies. Three factors stood out. 

First, much of the interest in tablet computers is due to the ongoing consumerization of corporate information technology (IT), as more and more employees insist on using their favorite devices in the workplace. IT departments are scrambling to put in place new IT infrastructure and policies to run and manage these devices. CIOs have needed to devise programs and processes that support workers who bring personal devices — not just tablets but also smartphones — into the office and use them in their regular work activities. Some companies have even gone so far as to give employees an allowance to buy the devices they prefer.

Mobility is a second factor, as more companies recognize the value in empowering employees to consume content — check e-mail, review PowerPoint presentations, manipulate downloaded sales data — on the go. Very few notebook computers are mobile broadband-enabled (less than 10 percent, according to our estimates), compared to roughly half of tablets. Our CIO interviews suggest that mobile broadband tablets are being strongly considered as alternatives. 

Finally, there are the added security benefits that mobile broadband offers over Wi-Fi connectivity, including the ability to erase a tablet’s sensitive data remotely, if necessary. “We need encryption at rest [data physically stored in an encrypted manner], policy enforcement via active sync, remote data wiping, encryption, and associated policies,” a CIO at a global workforce firm told us. “It is all basic stuff, but it needs to be supported out of the box.”

In the coming years, enterprises in the MENA region will be further investing in information and communication technologies (ICT) as they strive to catch up with their counterparts elsewhere. Although enterprises account for as much as 6.5 percent of all mobile SIMs in some European countries, they have not even reached one percent in any country in the MENA region. By some estimates, the size of the MENA enterprise ICT market will almost double over the next five years, from an estimated $14.8 billion in value in 2010 to $26.1 billion in 2015. 

The next two to three years will see a very interesting battle for the corporate share of mobile device spending, and CIOs in the region will need to think about what part tablet computers will play in their overall ICT strategy. Cost, of course, will be top of the list. A current major drawback of the iPad is its relatively high price, which is difficult to justify if the device is to be used in conjunction with both smart phones and laptops. Other cheaper tablets have not gained sufficient momentum in the corporate market, but this may change, as developers create more business-oriented apps and companies develop their own. 

The extent to which MENA enterprises adopt tablet computers may also depend on other factors that lead to benefits that are harder to quantify but should still be part of a CIO’s calculations for return on investment. Among them: 

Structured creation: Tablets’ initial use in enterprises is primarily centered on applications where mobility matters and where content is consumed rather than created. The new frontier of mobile productivity will be driven by what the industry terms “structured creation,” in which users can enter information in standard methods, such as drop-down menus. This results in data sets that can be easily compiled and analyzed, meaning faster processing of data and gathering of insights. In the MENA region, increasing Arabic language support for tablets — along with greater numbers of Arabic-language applications — will drive this kind of structured creation. 

Unanticipated productivity gains: Because tablets can significantly increase employees’ connectivity, they will likely result in higher productivity as employees respond to questions faster, review materials more frequently, and plan work activities in advance. An IDC survey shows that 40 percent of UAE organizations have deployed mobile devices to at least 10 percent of their employees for work purposes. 

Increased retention: Consumer technology is taking over every facet of people’s lives. Employees want access to the newest and best technology at work because they most likely are using something even more cutting-edge at home. Providing employees with new technology to help them become even more productive can boost retention by improving their engagement with the company. 

Unexpected creativity from employees: In their push to persuade management to invest in tablets, employees will likely search far and wide for new ways of using them, in order to justify the costs. Those engaged in sales demonstrations have found that the tablets provide a level of interaction not previously possible. Client response is stronger, and salesmen report better results, suggesting that companies will need to be open to evolving applications of the technology. 

Competitive advantage: Inevitably, the use of tablets will become standard in virtually every industry. Companies that can devise new applications and uses for tablets may be able to gain real advantage over competitors. Tablets can offer an advantage in industries where it may be important for customers to see that the company is on the cutting edge of technology. CIOs should consider whether there are ways the workforce interacts with customers that could be standardized through the adoption of tablets to improve customer perceptions of the company.

With manufacturers releasing more advanced tablets every month, the increasing use of these devices in the business world is not likely to slow down anytime soon. In the MENA region, senior managers are driving technology purchase decisions much more actively because of their own at-home use of tablets and other devices. CIOs in the MENA region are responding to this interest from senior managers and are seeking to ensure support of the new devices in corporate environments. Understanding how tablets are evolving — and how they are likely to benefit enterprises in the years to come — can help position enterprises and their employees on the leading edge of this technological change.

March 3, 2012 0 comments
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Economics & PolicyTechnology

Naturally selected

by Maya Sioufi March 3, 2012
written by Maya Sioufi

To say that Internet and social media usage in the Middle East and North Africa is expanding exponentially has become a truism of our time, but like the dinosaurs that failed to adapt as the ice age covered the globe, many companies’ marketing strategies now resemble bewildered cave men soon to be run over on the information highway. 

So how fast is the online world changing? Well, the number of Internet users in the Middle East has increased from 3 million in 2000 to around 77 million today, of which 18 million are on Facebook, according to Internet World Stats. 

In the past year alone, the number of Facebook users tripled in Algeria, doubled in Egypt and Saudi Arabia, and increased 75 percent in the United Arab Emirates, according to an analysis by Omnicom Media Group (OMG). Advertisers have been among the first species to take note of the sea change in consumer behavior and realize the value of the increasing attention online.

While Internet advertising in the Middle East is still in its infancy, online advertising spend in the Arab region is estimated to reach $266 million by 2013 and $1 billion by 2016, up from $56 million in 2009, according to Zenith Optimedia. Advertising companies, web development companies and small start-ups specialized in digital marketing all want a piece of the growing digital pie. 

Ahead of the wave

Lebanon-based Eastline Marketing (ELM) is one of the companies offering digital marketing tools and claims to have grown rapidly from its inception in 2006 to cut itself a 20 percent slice of the domestic market currently, with other clients in Qatar and Saudi Arabia. Its founders, Nemr Badine and Marc Dfouni, both graduates from Canada’s Concordia University, say their headline offering is Sweepz, the only proprietary platform in the region that supports the Arabic language. Through Sweepz, clients of ELM can launch social media promotional campaigns such as contests, quizzes and sweepstakes, which are linked and regularly updated to social networks such as Facebook and Twitter. The company expects this product, which costs $1,000 to $10,000 depending on the project, to represent 30 percent of revenues in 2012. 

ELM offers several other services, such as social media marketing (which includes managing the online presence of a customer) and display advertising: the acquisition of media space, planning campaigns and search engine optimization. 

ELM’s founders believe that they have now reached an inflection point and in order to grow further they need more capital, and thus are seeking a strategic investor to fuel expansion. Badine and Dfouni estimate their company’s value to be at least $3 million. 

“Our objective is to position ourselves as the regional leaders in digital marketing solutions whereby international brands would come to us to market their brands in the region and regional brands would come to us to market their brands both regionally and internationally,” says Badine. ELM is considering several options: venture capitalists (VCs), angel investors and another round of ‘family and friends financing’, though “we are in that spot where we are a bit too large for smaller VCs and too small for larger ones,” remarks Badine. 

As the Middle East becomes ever more wired and the number of users who are ‘Facebooking’ and ‘Tweeting’ increase, the prospects for the nascent digital marketing industry seems abundant. ELM has been one of the early movers in this space but their future expansion in a fast changing industry will depend on their securing strategic capital.

March 3, 2012 0 comments
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Economics & PolicyTechnology

Q & A – Hamadoun Touré

by Thomas Schellen March 3, 2012
written by Thomas Schellen

The United Nation’s International Telecommunications Union (ITU) partners with governments to define the global rules that underlie the development of the information society. It has also assumed a growing role in seeking to employ information and communications technology in reaching the UN’s Millennium Development Goals. Executive sat down with the ITU’s Secretary General Hamadoun Touré after his February visit to Beirut to discuss the ICT policy in Lebanon and the wider region. 

You have referred to broadband Internet access as an essential infrastructure for participation in today’s economy. In the case of Lebanon, how do you assess the importance of broadband in the country’s participation in the global economy?

As I said [during my visit], Lebanon had a fixed broadband penetration rate of about 4.7 percent at the end of 2010, which is the highest in the non-GCC countries of the Arab region. Lebanon also has a relatively extensive fixed telephone network at about 20 percent fixed-line penetration, which is again the highest penetration in fixed-lines in the Arab region. It has been estimated that by end of 2010, 20 percent of households in Lebanon had a high-speed DSL broadband connection and therefore, Lebanon will have to prioritize increasing the number of households with internet access if it is to reach the global target put in place last October by the [ITU’s] Broadband Commission for Digital Development, which is that by 2015 40 percent of all households in developing countries will have broadband internet access at home.  

How about pricing of broadband and mobile access? 

Lebanon is providing relatively affordable fixed broadband penetration; according to our price basket that we published last year, entry level Internet broadband access was at 3.5 percent of average monthly income at the end of 2010, which is below the five percent target identified by the broadband commission… One must say that Lebanon has been late to introduce 3G mobile Internet penetration. Operators launched 3G only in 2011 and that was late; due to the nature of the annual contracts they have, mobile operators will not upgrade the networks through long-term investments. 

Do you have figures showing the correlation between broadband penetration and ease of access and economic growth?

There are publications by the World Bank and other agencies showing that each 1 percent of broadband penetration translates into 1.38 percentage of growth in gross domestic product. You could also argue the contrary that each seven percent of GDP translates into 10 percent penetration of broadband; we will never be able to say which one is the cause and which one is the effect. 

A concern in Lebanon is the political indecisiveness that could delay a new board for the Telecommunications Regulatory Authority (TRA). Would in your view a non-functional TRA affect the development of telecommunications in Lebanon? 

Can you imagine a game without a referee? It could be chaos; and therefore you need a referee that is not only fair but also balanced and neutral and ensures that players play a fair game. You need rules and regulations — light-touch regulations, as we always advocate, but they have to be in place. To have authority, the referee should come before the game starts. Otherwise he could be ignored. Continuity in this area [of regulatory authority] is very important. 

Do you see that the political upheavals of the Arab Spring have been affecting the operating environment, from the ITU perspective? 

We as ITU are assuming that today, except for one country — Syria — the Arab Spring is over and that we need to talk about economic development issues in order to start creating jobs for the people who are the most in need of them. This is why we are organizing the Connect Arab Summit in Doha for March 5 to 7 to which His Highness the Emir has invited all the heads of state and governments in the Arab region and to which I am inviting all the Arab private sector and the international private sector as well. We want to bring all the stakeholders together and talk about not only investments in infrastructure but also in content development because the region has so many things in common and could develop heavily upon common Arab heritage, Arabic language, and Arab culture.

March 3, 2012 0 comments
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Economics & PolicyTechnology

The apper class

by Thomas Schellen March 3, 2012
written by Thomas Schellen

Times always seem fortuitous for those companies in information and communications technology (ICT) that focus on the newest and fastest growing demand. This is even truer when other outlooks in the economy are, to say it nicely, as subdued as is the case today. So it come as no surprise that the handful of Lebanese companies which specialize in the emerging business of developing applications for mobile devices are buzzing with aspirations. 

By the reckoning of the members in this new Lebanese branch of the global ICT industry, the field of developers in Lebanon today comprises about five companies that are focused exclusively on mobile app consulting and development. Approaching the market with innovative names such as FOO Solutions, Eurisko Mobility and Apps2U the larger of these companies employ between 15 and 25 professionals apiece and have on average produced 20 to 30 mobile apps in the past three years or less.    

A second group of Lebanon-based companies with supply-side mobile app business interests include developers that produce apps as a value-added service to their existing ICT business or are expanding from their existing business into the apps space. A third group of companies are startups and young companies that are product centric, meaning they are in the business of developing games or financial payment solutions and use the mobile as one of their channels to engage customers. These companies, however, do not seek to address third party demand from companies that are looking to have apps developed by specialist services firms.   

For FOO founding partner and CEO Elie Nasr, a crucial value gain since the company’s formation in early 2009 was the acquisition of skills. “Part of the process [is] where clients invest and the company benefits from delivering the project but also from the learning involved in producing the app,” he said.  

Eurisko’s co-founder and CEO Zack Morad told Executive that the company has become a regionally known entity in less than 18 months of operations. “We started marketing our services in late 2010 with all cold calling,” he said. “In the first six weeks of 2012, there was almost no cold calling. Now, a lot of people call us.”

 Up-sizing

The growth rates for the relatively small, in terms of employment numbers, have been impressive. FOO and Eurisko expanded from founding teams of two and four entrepreneurs in 2009 /10 to teams each numbering just under 20 professionals at the end of 2011. For 2012, each of the two competitors looks to reach team sizes of 30. Like the other mobile app developers in Lebanon, FOO and Eurisko have been financed from own funding resources of the founding entrepreneurs and their business partners, not by small and medium enterprise investment funds, venture capital groups, or private equity firms. Morad and Nasr also both said that they are entering a phase where their respective companies are looking for injections of capital.  The company has grown organically until now and is bent on reinvesting its earnings, Morad said, “We are not taking anything out of the business. We will always be investing and growing because we see the big picture and we want to grow and help grow the market.” 

Going viral

Similarly to Eurisko and FOO, the headcount at Apps2U is advancing toward 20 specialists. What is different in the genesis of Apps2U is that this enterprise grew out of the business of parent company MT2. This firm, although having worked for many years with relatively low profile, is well established in regional ICT. Its corporate DNA is rooted in telecommunications and MT2 acts as a content and services provider in partnership with network operators and audiovisual media across Arab markets. “We are a telecom company and we are offering all kind of mobile app services to all kind of customers in the region, not only in Lebanon. MT2 has connections with over 30 operators,” Apps2U managing partner Mario Hachem told Executive. The content formulas of MT2 include highly profitable features such as subscription-based delivery of Islamic content – e.g. guides to the proper observances during Ramadan and hajj – via SMS to mobile phone users across regional markets from Saudi Arabia to Iraq under revenue sharing agreements with network operators. 

This business sparked the formation and growth of Apps2U, said Hachem, who is also chief technical officer at MT2. “For the last three years, operators have been asking for apps and for the last three years our team has been increasing in numbers and experience,” he said.

Scheduled to be turned into a standalone company under ownership by the current MT2 investors, Apps2U plans to increase team size from 16 developers to between 25 and 30 before the year’s end. The growth is in part for adding new technical expertise, as the firm wants to build skills in developing apps on the Microsoft 8, Facebook, and SmartTV platforms.  As it has been expanding into the mobile app sector, the latest addition to the interactive portfolio of MT2 and Apps2U in February 2012 was a dedicated television channel on Nilesat where Blackberry users in the Middle East can flash their chat messages on the TV screen while communicating within the Blackberry community as well as with users of different smartphones. 

Also sporting a strong business profile in providing value-added services to telecommunications operators is Inmobiles. Established in Beirut as startup in 2003, the firm has grown to a current team size of 80 by delivering products to telecoms operators or the banking sector, but until now never to end users, Inmobiles CEO Charbel Litany told Executive.  The company made its first foray into the provision of an app to end users just at the end of 2011. It did so with a big splash, as the “whozcalling” app went viral in the space of weeks.  

According to Litany, the roll out of the free app and its success nicely links to a strategy to convince network operators of a value proposition involving operator-owned app stores to push into the space currently controlled by device manufacturers. “I am trying to push value-added services on the device side and have network operators change from the network side to the device side. With the huge growth of the smartphone market, we have decided to test the market with one of the free products,” he said.   

The company has so for not been monetizing its successful app in favor of using it as “proof of concept” in demonstrating to regional telecom operators that they can generate their own revenue with their app stores. This notwithstanding Inmobiles’ first free app appealed equally to regional and global users.   

Market potentials 

Corresponding to the limitations on assessing the value of enterprises on the supply side of mobile apps, searching into the demand side value for Lebanon’s mobile app developers does not provide a picture with clear and sharp contours. 

According to Fadi Sabbagha, the chief executive of Born Interactive, local market potentials for mobile apps are limited by the small budgets that most Lebanese companies allocate to digital. For his firm, apps are not a standalone business but a natural extension of its communications services on a basis of client demand. What’s more, most of the business is in the region, not in Lebanon.

In all likelihood, the small budgets in Lebanon are directly correlated to the small size of the Lebanese market which translates into small revenue potentials, he told Executive, noting that hype over mobile apps here is paired with restrictions on budgets whereas in regional markets he observed, “a bit less hype but clients are more comfortable with budgets.“

While acknowledging that apps are still on the slow burner in the Lebanese market, Ralph Khattar, CEO of 2010 startup Virtual, added that the launch of every app developed for a major Lebanese company provides a boost to the business. 

“Each time a company launches an app, they are promoting it, and each time is advertising [app development]. There are a lot of companies that need an app and we can have a good market share. Twenty percent is a good number,” he said. 

Reality tests

Responses from the firms that have ordered apps give a clue that the experience is a bit more differentiated. Some high-profile companies which had apps developed for them in the past two years gave Executive overall positive and satisfied feedback but added that things could still get better. 

According to Jihad Murr, the Chief Operating Officer of television station MTV, the station’s strongly advertised app is not yet highly used but among the most downloaded Arab applications on all platforms. 

“For Lebanon, it is too early to make money from mobile apps but I think mobile apps and related revenue streams in the future will be a big part of the income for our media. We wanted to be the first in this market,” Murr said. MTV’s mobile app is linked to the station’s website, which has 70,000 unique visitors per day. 

According to Eurisko Mobility, which developed the app for MTV, the station’s app has been downloaded over 300,000 times. The company embarked on the mobile app project with the intent to monetize it through revenues streams from paying advertisers, he added. The ad activity has been scheduled to start in March and MTV will also seek to obtain revenue from in-app sales of specific programs.  Both projects are in progress but have advanced slower than planned. “We were late in monetizing it. We are starting now but I expected to start six months ago,” Murr said. 

Similarly, business development director Michel Aji at restaurateur Roadster Diner enthused about the company’s mobile app in general but could convey no positive message about harvesting financial rewards from the year-old gadget. 

The app was the number one among the free-to-download apps for the Lebanese market in the first two weeks of its launch in the first quarter of 2011 and had reached 15,000 downloads by mid February 2012, Aji said. The company serves in the range of 200,000 monthly visitors across its 12 eateries in Lebanon. 

“On return on investment on this particular application, there is no reliable data,” he conceded, pointing to the Lebanese issue of unreliable data connectivity as a reason why the app does not facilitate online ordering. 

No cheap feat

Costs of commissioning a mobile app are certainly an issue in the small local market. Companies that ask a Lebanese provider to custom develop a mobile app for them look at a cost of “at least $5,000”, Sabbagha said. This appears to be a consensus figure in the industry. The ceiling of possible cost for an app is not really defined, and Hachem said it can reach “$100,000 per platform”.

For entrepreneur Bahi Ghubril the cost of having a high-end app developed for several thousands of dollars per mobile platform is certainly a barrier. Ghubril is CEO of Zawarib, a mapping company with a declared mission to make Beirut easier to navigate. But although maps and mobiles make a natural fit and location-based services are among the reliable performers in application stores, the value proposition in Lebanon is not strong enough for his company to go it alone in commissioning an app. 

“People consider apps to be a sign of success but users expect everything in apps and online to be free; at the same time it costs a lot of money to develop a strong app that would have good interactivity and a good search function for Zawarib while the market for this in Lebanon is very small,” he said, adding that the proposition of developing an app could be interesting in a partnership with online portals but not as a branding tool or mere image project.   

Competitive edge or just edge?

The developers agree that infrastructure problems and high cost of connectivity are barriers to the industry’s growth in Lebanon. However, the better-late-than-never rollout of 3G services by the mobile phone operators Alfa and MTC Touch since last November has resulted in some 400,000 users who by February 2012 have taken to the services. 

The outlook seems to be moderately positive also on the structural side of telecoms as latest annual management contracts between the government and the two network operators, which went into effect at the beginning of last month, contain two, albeit somewhat vague, management objectives of positive relevance to mobile applications developers: network operators are each to enable at least one Mobile Internet Service Provider by deadline of May 31 and to establish a mobile applications platform by 2013 “that hosts and offers mobile applications to subscribers”, with the added stipulation that four fifths of the applications have to be sourced from Lebanese developers. The two propulsion factors for competitiveness of Lebanese developers are the high quality of the human capital and its low cost in Lebanon. “Beirut has a highly-educated human resources pool, highly motivated, highly creative, and very cost efficient,” Morad said.  

From Inmobiles, whose Charbel Litany said the company has seen zero attrition in its headcount since starting operations in 2003, to Virtual whose Ralph Khattar referred to the country’s leading universities as ready sources of talent, the developers describe Lebanon’s rich human capital as a core strengths that the industry can build on. This comes with the downside of losing staff to players abroad. As Nasr said, “the problem is not migration to competitors in Lebanon but people going overseas.” For FOO, a loss of four staff members who went abroad to join companies or pursue further education represented 70 percent of employee turnover since the company started.

As all mobile app developers in Beirut are aware of the threat of losing high-value talent to multinational firms, each company said that it is investing substantially in employee loyalty and retention, offering profit sharing or stock grants to its existential talents.  

As every developer Executive talked to also has aspirations to grow its business internationally, foreign competition is an issue to consider. According to the Lebanese providers, India, the world’s leading country in ICT outsourcing, is not the biggest competition, because, as Nasr argued, Indian supply comes with a price-value caveat under which high-quality apps will be just as expensive as those produced here. 

The GCC countries are also not on the radar as big competitors because of their low availability of native human resources and high costs of production in the knowledge economies. This leaves countries closer to Lebanon as main sources of competition in developing mobile apps under similar price and quality matrixes. One serious contender is Egypt, which was one of the rising stars in the outsourcing globe, before running into disruptions of economic reliability in 2011. Other countries with competitive potential vis-à-vis Lebanon are Jordan and, according to Nasr, Palestine. 

Mobile applications developers represent the third wave of potential knowledge economy progress via ICT made in Lebanon. It serves to recall here that the first two waves — the introduction of mobile telephony in 1994/95 and the new economy take-off in 1999/2000 — also saw the country start out at the forefront of ICT adoption and native entrepreneurship. Both times, the natural competitive advantages of Lebanese innovativeness and richness in human capital were eroded, at least in part, by systemic, political inabilities to support the economic competitiveness of Lebanese ICT firms. 

 

Business Models in Mobile apps

The business models underlying the development and delivery of mobile apps by serial app developers come in three main categories: 

First — the free to download, which is still the largest group. When such an app is ordered by a client, the app developer produces a customized product according to demand specifications that include interactive features and the number of operating systems and platforms that the app needs to run on. These apps can function as enterprise tools within a company (for example as catalogues for the sales team), as marketing, branding, and customer relations tools toward a company’s end customers, or as instruments enhancing the company’s corporate social responsibility portfolio. As the developer produces the “free” app for a corporate client, he is paid like any other software consulting and developing company. In many cases, developers also produce free apps at their own cost and push them into the markets to build reputation or to generate advertising or sponsorship revenue streams.   

Second — user paid and individually priced apps which can be downloaded for a onetime fee. This bazaar or mall-like business model has been pioneered by Apple’s App Store and benefits both the developer, who in case of the App Store reaps 70 percent of revenue, and the platform, which takes the rest. This model has proven to work well for popular apps as users pay fees that in many cases amount to less than one dollar for each download. If an app goes viral through peer-to-peer recommendations by users or effective marketing schemes, the monthly revenue streams can scale into very handsome sums and high profit margins. Apps in the ultra-long tail of available products, however, until now are not likely to generate enough income to recover development costs. The owners of leading platforms and application stores — currently the device makers (with Apple on top) and Google — are beneficiaries of concentration in consumer capital, but network operators and other players are not going to leave this attractive market place un-staked in the rising mobile technology economy, or mobitech.   

Third — apps that rely on recurrent revenue streams from users. Under this model, a basic app is often offered for download at no cost. However, the free download acts as teaser. To succeed, the app needs to convey attractiveness and inspire loyal and habitual usage. Customers are either asked to pay for the continuous use of the app after the initial free usage period, or are offered premium services for which they pay either time-based, recurrent subscription fees or per-item charges. This in-app purchase model unlocks income streams for content providers and network operators.

March 3, 2012 0 comments
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Finance

Prying open privacy

by Joe Dyke March 3, 2012
written by Joe Dyke

Financial wherewithal was not a quality Lebanese poet Khalil Gibran naturally inherited; his father was a gambling addict who was imprisoned for embezzlement. But given his penchant for priceless wisdom, perhaps the Lebanese banking system would be sage to heed of one of Gibran’s most famous sayings: “If you reveal your secrets to the wind you should not blame the wind for revealing them to the trees.” 

Lebanon’s financial sector has long relied on the country’s banking secrecy laws, some of the toughest in the Middle East, and the country has, for decades, encouraged the powerful and affluent from across the region to use it as a safe house for capital. Yet, despite Gibran’s warning, word has gotten out and awoken some altogether more powerful beasts, with Western countries claiming Lebanon’s secrecy laws help their citizens avoid tax. Recent events, both in Lebanon and internationally, suggest those countries will look the other way no more and Lebanon’s secretive system is under threat.

Near the beginning of 2011 it emerged that the United States Department of the Treasury had designated Lebanese Canadian Bank as a money laundering concern, claiming it was acting as a washing machine for Hezbollah cash. To prevent a catastrophic collapse in confidence in the sector, Bank du Liban (BDL), Lebanon’s central bank, intervened, eventually facilitating LCB — minus the suspect accounts — being bought out by Société Générale de Banque au Liban. The LCB crisis proved seminal for the industry, with a December article in The New York Times alleging pervasive cooperation between LCB and Hezbollah in laundering money, bringing the crisis back into the international consciousness.

While the banking sector tried hard to regain confidence some of the mud stuck, and it has struggled to regain its international reputation. A compliance officer of a major Lebanese bank, talking on condition of anonymity because he was not officially permitted to speak to the press, admitted it signalled change in the industry.

“After the LCB it has become much more important for banks to have the backing of the international community. It has made all the Lebanese banks more concerned,” he said.

Fighting the FATCA

The crisis in confidence comes amid increasingly tough attitudes towards banking secrecy globally. In particular, the US has indicated that it going to go tough on those countries that act as havens for tax avoidance through the new Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act (FATCA).

Under the law, which comes into force in July 2013, non-US banking institutions will have to provide transaction details of all customers with American citizenship and a balance of more than $50,000 in their accounts, to the US Internal Revenue Service (IRS) annually. If they fail to do so they will have to pay 30 percent of the interest, dividend and investment payments due to those clients to the IRS. More worryingly for the banks, they could be deemed ‘non-compliant,’ making it difficult for US institutions to continue working with them, or for them to continue to trade in dollars — the same issue that saw the closure of LCB. 

The compliance officer, however, admits that there may still be loopholes. If a client, for example, spreads his money between banks he can avoid hitting the limit. “If you have $45,000 in our bank and $45,000 in five others it is not reportable,” he said.

Camille Barkho, manager of money laundering advice firm Amerab Business Solutions, explains that the law transforms the role of banks, particularly in a secretive financial system like Lebanon. “Let’s say I am a Lebanese-American, at any time my account hits the threshold the banks I work with are obliged every January to report directly to the IRS every transaction I have made,” he says. “FATCA changes the rules so that foreign banks have to take part in identifying US citizens, assessing who is eligible to be investigated and reporting it to the IRS.”

This is clearly incompatible with the banking secrecy rules in the country, based around the 1956 law which was amended in 2001 in the form of Law 318. Within that legal framework banking secrecy can only be terminated in a small number of circumstances, including if a client files for bankruptcy, becomes subject to legal proceedings or dies.

For this reason the Lebanese central bank initially sought to preserve banking secrecy by urging banks to just pay the fees on their clients accounts to the IRS.  

“Our recommendation to the banks is going to be to go for the 30 percent option because the other option is legally difficult,” he said. “It would involve the IRS auditing their banks, which is not in line with Lebanese laws and would also create much litigation, which, reputation wise, is not recommendable.”

However it appears attitudes have softened in the past year, with banks coming to the conclusion that they can no longer fight the tide of pressure from the US Treasury. Asked if his bank would abide by the FATCA law, the compliance officer said: “We are forced to. We live in a world where the US is the dominant force and the dollar is the global currency, we can’t just ignore that.”

He admitted that this could mean an end to banking secrecy, for Americans at least.

Outside the law?

However, the current legal framework in Lebanon may prevent banks from complying with FATCA even if they want to. Lebanese anti-money laundering legislation revolves around Law 318, which explicitly does not mention tax avoidance. The most common way to lift banking secrecy currently is through raising suspicion under Law 318; therefore, for the banks to supply the IRS with the information without a waiver from the customer could be a breach of the law.

Barkhro says he believes that for any Lebanese institution to comply with FATCA it would require Law 318 to be amended to include tax avoidance. Paul Morcos, founder of the law firm, Justicia Beirut Consult, and an adviser who works closely with the BDL, is less certain but said that an amendment has been discussed by the central bank. The BDL did not respond to repeated requests for confirmation.

But if reforms are needed, perhaps somebody should tell the parliamentarians. The head of the parliamentary finance and budget committee, Member of Parliament Ibrahim Kanaan, admitted he was not familiar with the intricacies of the FATCA law and said he hoped the BDL could deal with the issue without needing to change the law.

“Money laundering is an issue that is of concern to us and the central bank and the government,” he said. “It should be dealt with by different measures but these measures could be decisions taken, initiatives to control the cash flow, to try to see any way regulations could be more effective. I don’t know if it needs an amendment to the law.”

The downside of any such change to the law would be the effect it could have on remittances. In February, the World Bank estimated that money sent from the Diaspora had remained constant at around $7.6 billion in 2011, despite overall financial inflows falling 18 percent. In an economy with a gross domestic product of around $40 billion, that equates to around 20 percent of the country’s economy.

Adding tax evasion in foreign countries to the items recognized under Law 318 would mean that all remittances would have to have been taxed before they entered the country. If, for example, a dual British-Lebanese citizen brings money into Lebanon without paying tax in the UK and puts it in a Lebanese bank, currently there is no legislation under which he can be prosecuted. If the amendment were passed then these accounts would be open to scrutiny under Law 318, not just for Americans but all remittances.

“You have diaspora who transfer their money to Lebanon and the source of money might be considered tax evasion in American law, especially in the US where they have to pay high taxation rates,” said Morcos. “It is not in the interests of the Lebanese economy to classify tax evasion as a money laundering crime. It could prevent Lebanon from benefiting from huge amounts of transfers coming from abroad; it would have a very negative effect.”

According to Byblos Bank, at least 45 percent of households in Lebanon have at least one family member abroad who sends home some form of remittance. Some send more than others, but Nassib Ghobril, head of research and analysis at the bank, estimated that on average Lebanese emigrants are worth about $1,400 per capita every year to their home country.

The compliance manager admits that the changes would “certainly” have negative consequence for trade: “It is going to affect the business but it’s is not easy to know the full impact yet.” 

These difficulties with estimating the effect are even more pronounced as the $7.6 billion does not include the remittances that are brought into the country in cash. According to Morcos, Barkho and the compliance officer, if Lebanon wanted to comply with FATCA and change its laws accordingly, effectively cash deposits would have to be justified by the depositor to see if they are taxable — thus ending the days of ‘no questions’ over where cash comes from, and the consequent attractiveness of the Lebanese banking sector.  

The government and the banking sector are caught in a bind. If they carry out the reforms, they risk undercutting the remittances that keep the economy alive, if they fail to do so, they risk irking the international community and undermining confidence in the sector.

The Secretary-General of the Association of Banks in Lebanon (ABL) Makram Sader admits they are concerned about the effect FATCA could have on the sector, but denies that Lebanon's secretive system is more susceptible than any other country’s. “We are as concerned as any other bank in Asia, Europe or emerging [economies],” he said. 

The third way?

Karlheinz Moll, founder of the German firm SPIROCO Consulting, which focuses on FATCA, equates Lebanon’s two potential paths to being a choice between the two tax-havens of Switzerland and Singapore. Switzerland has announced concessions to its banking secrecy laws in recent years in an attempt to tame the anger of the international community, while Singapore has remained hostile to any reform of its banking system.

“Switzerland is in very strong dialogue with the US Treasury and the IRS and I expect they will reach an agreement [on FATCA] at some point, whereas Singapore is not yet actively approaching them,” he says.

There may yet be a way to square the circle. The most recent draft of the FATCA law, released in early February, contained a surprise for many bankers. Previously the assumption had been that the only agreements that would be signed were between the IRS and individual banks. However, the new draft contained a direct agreement with five European countries: France, Germany, Italy, Spain and Britain. The deal commits both sides to helping each other target tax evasion, but requires the US to work with these states to find their tax-dodging nationals in the US as well. 

Given that Lebanon does not have any sort of global income tax, however, the country may not have equal bargaining power with the IRS, though Moll believes that if Lebanon approaches the IRS with other countries in the region, it could achieve a similar agreement. 

“They will have to go to the IRS to get a deal. This is what the European governments are doing: they are going government to government,” he said. “Everyone in the region should sit together and say ‘let’s write to the IRS and enter a bilateral agreement that banks don’t need a contract and full disclosure, but we will supply you with some information’.”

Moll also pointed out that the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development-led initiative TRACE aims to make information exchange agreements the standard method of fighting tax evasion, and thinks Lebanon could benefit from this: “You can get a special agreement but you have to approach the IRS. You have to go to them as they are not going to come to you.” Executive queried BDL officials regarding whether they were considering such agreements, but they failed to comment.

If such a deal is not stuck, the omens are not good. Without the correct planning the Lebanese banking system faces an unenviable choice: between opening up and potentially scaring away remittances that fuel the economy, or staying secretive but risking American censure. Whatever changes the government makes, the decision will be weighty, and the financial sector and remittances are too important to the economy to get it wrong.

March 3, 2012 0 comments
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Finance

Lebanese capital markets

by Marwan Mikhael March 3, 2012
written by Marwan Mikhael
The healthy financial results released by top Lebanese banks at the end of January 2012 offset investors’ worries over the regional security situation and its implications on Lebanon. Hence, the BLOM Stock index (BSI), Lebanon’s equity gauge, moved in whipsaws between a lower band of 1,163 and its highest band of 1,184 points before ending the five-week period in green. The BSI rose 1 percent to settle at 1,183 points, widening its year-to-date performance to 0.57 percent.

 Trading activity on the Beirut Stock Exchange (BSE) was subdued between January 16 and February 17, as the daily average volume of trades per month decreased to 196,470 shares worth $1.45 million, as opposed to 237,574 stocks valued $1.42 million recorded in the preceding four-week period. On a regional comparative scale, the Lebanese equity benchmark index underperformed the S&P Pan Arab Composite Large Mid Cap index that rose 5.7 percent from its previous close on January 13. Moreover, the BSI failed to outperform the MSCI Emerging market index that grew 5.8 percent to 1,049 points. 

With respect to stock activity, the financial sector grasped the lion’s share of trades on the BSE accounting for 71 percent of the total value traded while real estate stocks represented the remaining 29 percent. The BLOM Bank GDR stock rallied during the past five-week period, rising 5.2 percent to $7.68. On the other hand, Audi stocks witnessed a mixed performance as its GDR and listed stocks advanced by a respective 6.5 percent and 5.2 percent to $6.35 and $6.01, while its preferred stock class “E” slightly fell by 0.1 percent to $100.4. Byblos stocks closed all in green; its common stock advanced by 1.86 percent to a two-week high of $1.64 whereas its preferred stocks 2008 and 2009 rose by 0.49 percent each to align at $102. It is worth highlighting that the top three banks in Lebanon, Audi, BLOM and Byblos, reported a respective net profit of $364 million, $331 million and $179 million for the year 2011. 

On the other side, Bank of Beirut and BEMO common stocks retreated by 0.52 percent and 6.4 percent to settle at $19.3 and $2.2 respectively. BLC Bank listed during last week of January 400,000 new Class A preferred shares and 550,000 Class B preferred shares on the BSE.

 
Lebanese Eurobond prices remained high and stable with limited offers during the past five weeks as investors waited for the new possible swap for the bonds maturing in 2012. The BLOM Bond Index (BBI) remained almost flat, adding a slight 0.1% from its previous close on January 13 to hit a level of 111.1 points. This cut the portfolio’s weighted effective yield by 8 basis points (bps) to 4.70% and the spread against the US benchmark yield by 11bps to 396bps. Five-year issues of Lebanon’s credit default swaps (a proxy for a country’s default risk) stood at 480-500bps compared to 465-495bps on January 13. On a comparative scale, Saudi Arabia and Dubai credit default swaps reached 132-141bps and 398-411bps respectively.
March 3, 2012 0 comments
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Real Estate

A skyline of skeleton towers

by Peter Speetjens March 3, 2012
written by Peter Speetjens

Reflecting the blue skies above, the Jordan Gate towers are the tallest — and arguably the emptiest — buildings on the Amman horizon. King Abdullah II in 2005 laid the foundation stone for the prestigious project, which was said to become the business address in the Hashemite Kingdom. Since 2009 however, the two giant cranes standing next to the towers have remained idle. The top floors have never been built and part of the glass exterior has come off. Today, the $300 million project remains a grim reminder of the days when the sky seemed the limit for Amman real estate.

The Jordan Gate was an initiative of the Gulf Finance House (GFH), a Bahrain-based investment firm badly hit by the 2008 financial crisis. GFH needed a $300 million loan to stay afloat and in 2010 escaped default only by agreeing to postpone the final repayment of $100 million. According to a prominent Jordanian contractor, who wished to remain anonymous due to fears public comments could jeopardize his business, GFH was not able to pay Al Hamad Contracting (AHC); instead, it offered the Sharjah-based firm the unfinished towers. Executive asked GFH and AHC to comment, but both declined.

“What happened is simple: the bubble burst,” said Wael Jaabari, owner of the large Jordanian real estate agency Abdoun Real Estate. “The developers had a business plan based on selling office space for some $4500 per square meter (sqm), which was, perhaps, feasible before the 2008 credit crunch. Yet they better get used to the new reality and swallow their losses. Maybe they can still rent out part of the building.”

“Compared to the peak prices of early 2008, prices in west Amman, depending on a property’s location and quality, have decreased by some 25 to 60 percent, while prices in the outskirts have decreased by some 80 percent,” said Jaabari. As an example, he refers to his office in Abdoun, a prime location, which he bought in 2010 for $1,200 per sqm, while a few years back people were paying up to $3,000. 

And yet the Jordan Department of Lands and Surveys (DLS) last January reported that the real estate market grew by 8 percent in 2011 to amount to nearly $9.8 billion, following a 25 percent increase in 2010. Hopeful signs of recovery, although the increase follows upon a decline of more than 30 percent in 2009 alone. When compared to 2007, the 2011 market is only 14 percent larger.

There are other reasons to treat the DLS statistics with care. “One government measure to boost trading was to abolish the real estate registration fee of some 10 percent,” said economist Yusuf Mansur, chief executive officer and owner of Jordanian consulting firm EnConsult. “Today, a government employee estimates the value of a property or land, which is generally higher than what the contract states. What’s more, the sales of a small number of commercially viable plots of land boost and obscure the overall picture.”

Boom & Burst

The reasons behind Jordan’s real estate boom prior to the crisis are well known. The 2003 United States-led invasion of Iraq forced many Iraqis to flee to Jordan. Some arrived, quite literally, with suitcases full of money, which they used to buy homes in Amman’s affluent western section. Price increases of up to 400 percent were recorded and real estate trading increased by a whopping 74 percent and 48 percent in 2004 and 2005, respectively.  The Amman market was awash with cash and seemingly everyone wanted a piece of the pie, including many foreign investors. An ABC Investments report states that 1,247 new construction companies were established between 2004 and 2008, of which 339 companies were established in 2008 alone. 

Today, the days of plenty seem long gone indeed, if only for the fact that loans are not as easy to come by. The Central Bank has imposed a strict ceiling of 20 percent of customer deposits on the amount of facilities granted by banks to the real estate and construction sector. “Banks are less lenient regarding real estate loans,” said Jaabari. “For a while, they permitted firms to postpone payments. Pay a bit now, a bit later. Now they just want their money. As a consequence, we no longer have pinball property development. No more building to speculate and sell; it’s a buyer’s market.”

The Jordan Gate project was not the bubble’s only victim. The GFH initially also intended to build the $800 million Royal Village — a project that never saw the light of day. The same is true for The Living Wall, a project that is anything but alive. An enormous billboard still reminds Amman of the six luxury towers and Buddha Bar that were set to arise. In 2006, the project was even named Best Future Commercial Project at Cityscape Dubai. Today it remains a huge hole in the ground. 

The Living Wall was the brain child of Mawared, a state-owned developer with close ties to the military, which has been tainted by a series of corruption scandals. Its former CEO, Akram Abu Hamdan, has been detained for allegedly pocketing millions of dollars.

Dubai World’s Limitless Towers did not even dig a hole. A massive marketing campaign prior to the crisis stressed the towers’ height: at 200 meters they would dwarf even the Jordan Gate, while the suspended swimming pool, at 125 meters, would be the world’s highest — would being the operative word, as the $300 million project was never even started.

Another failure concerns the $1 billion Saraya Aqaba resort. Construction started in 2006, yet has been stalled since 2008. Saraya Holdings, largely owned by former Lebanese Prime Minister Saad Hariri, also planned to build a $700 million Dead Sea resort. Announced with much fanfare at the 2007 World Economic Forum, construction never started. The same is true for the company’s regional projects. Small wonder therefore that the Saraya Holdings headquarter, which Hariri planned to build at his brother Bahaa’s Abdali Project, has been stalled as well [see box].

Abdali stays Afloat 

“The Abdali Project was not spared the effects of the global financial crisis like so many other large, mixed use developments,” said Salim Majzoub, deputy CEO of Abdali Investment and Development. “Since the start of the crisis, not a single investor has pulled out; however, construction work on some of the projects was halted for a period of time. Currently, some 15 percent of the developments in ‘phase one’ are on hold.”

With an estimated cost of $3 billion, the first phase of the Abdali Project foresees, among other elements, the construction of 12 mixed-use buildings and a shopping boulevard and mall, which are the heart of the 1.7 million sqm regeneration development in central Amman. The project is a joint venture between Jordan’s Mawared and Horizon, a Lebanese property developing firm established in 2002 by Bahaa Hariri. Both Mawared and Bahaa Hariri own 44 percent; the remainder is in the hands of Kuwait Projects Co.

If a tree falls in the forest…

As a forest of construction cranes continue to operate at Abdali, the project seems to have survived the onslaught that followed the 2008 crisis. “Approximately 75 percent of the mid-rise developments within the project will be ready for opening in 2012,” said Mazjoub. “They mainly consist of ‘Grade-A’ commercial and luxury residential space. The Abdali Boulevard has been over 80  percent completed and construction has started on the Abdali Mall, which is due to become operational by the end of 2013.” 

Since 2008, the project has received several loans from Arab Bank, BLOM Bank and Bank Audi, with work underway on a number of banks’ offices, as well as offices for Saudi Arabia’s Rajihi Cement and Lebanon’s MedGulf. Also, five towers are being built, among which are the Rotana Hotel Tower (“the highest in the Kingdom”) and a DAMAC residential tower. The Emirati developer reportedly faced some financial woes, yet found new partners to complete the 34-story building, though abandoned the initial idea of building a total of 7 luxury towers in the Jordanian capital.

The Abdali Project is arguably the most prestigious in the country. Modeled to a large extent on Solidere’s downtown Beirut project, it aims to become the new (commercial) heart of Amman. Its failure would be an absolute disaster for Jordan’s international standing. It remains to be seen however, if the project will finally be executed as planned on the drawing board. 

A planned university and medical city, reportedly, have already been cancelled. In the project’s $2 billion second phase are another nine high-rise towers and 25 mid-rise buildings. Seeing the fate of the twin coffins of the Royal Gate — and the many, many other plans to build Jordan’s biggest this and tallest that — perhaps a slightly humbler version is not entirely out of place.

Saraya dream turns sour

The Lebanese daily Al Akhbar reported on February 13 that King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia had saved Saad Hariri from bankruptcy by offering him a $2 billion interest-free loan. The latter firmly dismissed the report as Hezbollah propaganda. True or not, rumors over Hariri’s financial health have been persistent and if his real estate endeavors are anything to go by, then a major Saudi bailout would not come as a surprise.

Saad Hariri is the chairman and majority shareholder of Saraya Holdings, a Dubai-registered firm that aims to develop “luxurious mixed-use tourist destinations”. Its first and flagship project was announced in May 2005 at the World Economic Forum: Saraya Aqaba, a $1.2 billion mixed-use resort built around a man-made lagoon. In partnership with, among others, Arab Bank, the project had an initial capitalization of $242 million. It raised a further $120 million by issuing shares. 

Other project announcements followed in quick succession. In September 2005, Saraya Holdings, Arab Bank and the Emirate of Ras Al Khaimeh signed an agreement to launch the $500 million Saraya Islands. In February 2006, Saraya and Arab Bank launched a $250 million real estate investment fund. In June 2006, Saraya signed a deal with Oman to create a first-class beach resort south of Muscat. In 2007, it announced a deal to create a $700 million Dead Sea resort and a luxury resort on Russia’s Black Sea coast. Then came the ‘Big Bang’ of 2008, and suddenly things turned very silent indeed at Saraya Holdings. Work at Saraya Aqaba, by the construction arm of Hariri-owned Saudi Oger, had started in January 2006 but was stalled in 2008. Executive requests to Saraya Aqaba for further information on the matter were declined.

Last year, a former Saraya employee told Jordan’s Jo Magazine that Saraya Aqaba’s business model was based on one-third equity, one-third loans and one-third pre-sales. A model quickly undermined, he said, as the project’s estimated cost ballooned from $700 million to $1.2 billion. “The company grew incredibly quickly,” said a prominent Jordanian contractor and former employee of Saraya Aqaba, who wished to remain anonymous due to fears public comments could jeopardize his business. “It seemed they were trying to inflate the brand name in order to go public. Then the crash happened and we had to scale back dramatically. The marketing department in Amman alone went from thirty-five employees to just four or five. We thought it would get better, but the CEO, Ali Kolaghassi, eventually admitted that it wasn’t looking good — and that’s when many of us lost our jobs.”

While most Saraya projects are “on hold”, there is a chance that Saraya Aqaba will still rise from its coma. In October 2011, the company announced a new cash injection of $240 million by an unnamed Abu Dhabi investor, which follows a previous $350 million injection by Saraya Holdings’ Aqaba partners Arab Bank, the Aqaba Development Corporation and Jordan’s Social Security Corporation.

By February 2012, with work at Aqaba still yet to be resumed, the company issued a rare press release promising to begin discussions with clients who had bought homes in Saraya Aqaba. “We do appreciate the patience of our customers and look forward to addressing their needs within the coming weeks,” wrote Saraya Aqaba’s general manager, Saud Soror. Whether that means Saraya’s dream world of villas, townhouses and a lagoon will indeed manifest, one can only wait and see.

March 3, 2012 0 comments
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Society

Snap, crackle and pop-ups

by Ellen Hardy March 3, 2012
written by Ellen Hardy

Life is tough for Lebanese designers. Despite unreliable spending and tourist numbers in a contracting economy, retail rents per square meter per year range from $400-$2,000 in malls, and are totally unregulated elsewhere. Multi-brand stores are reluctant to support local names, and even established retailers rely on holiday seasons to boost slack sales. This makes setting up shop a daunting prospect for small local businesses that need to boost their brand presence and client bases while running on minimal staff and overheads.

Some brands are therefore operating ‘limited edition’ or seasonal stores, which are as blink-and-you’ll-miss-them as Lebanese profit margins themselves. They are inspired by the trend in America and Europe for ‘pop-up shops’, which in some cities have become ubiquitous in their popularity. Opening sometimes for days or even hours, these stores offer unique products and experiences, from Hermès pitching its scarves and swimwear to summer crowds in the Hamptons, to ‘Alcoholic Architecture’ by Bombas & Parr, which filled a venue in London with vaporized gin and tonic. Brands love the marketing buzz and sales hike — qualities that are exceptionably valuable to Lebanese designers struggling for a foothold.

Temporal retail

“It’s not that sales increase twofold during the holiday period like Christmas and August, it’s that they increase seven to eight times,” says Nayla Assaf, whose casual contemporary clothing line En Ville has been selling wholesale to multi-brand stores in Beirut and Amman from a studio in Ain El Mreisseh since early 2010. She convinced Solidere to let her and six other brands take over a line of empty shops in the Souks for six weeks over Christmas and the New Year. 

“At this point in time it did not make sense for me to open a permanent shop,” says Assaf. “So I wanted to tap into that holiday buzz and holiday crowd… by choosing a really prime location with lots of tourists.” Unlike other locations that were overpriced and whose owners were reluctant to draft temporary contracts, Solidere listened to Assaf’s case that “we’re entrepreneurs, we’re Lebanese, those shops are empty… but equally we’re going to bring people. We have our own mailing lists, we have our own contacts.”

For a “symbolic” rent, these retailers could test the location and market, meet new clients and boost sales. Compared to her sales for the same period the previous year, Assaf scored an increase of around 150 percent, offset by incidental expenses like staff, décor, packaging and the DJs and catering that were an essential part of the “buzz”. Two of the pop-ups — jewellery designers Joanna Laura Constantine and Smartiz handbags and accessories — decided to extend their contracts on the site across Valentine’s Day and Mother’s Day. Joanna Laura Constantine, 90 percent of whose customers are in the United States, says that “the potential of the market in the Middle East had low expectations for me until I opened the pop-up store,” which exceeded her predictions “20 times over”. 

Elsewhere, Rouba Mortada’s paper products and homeware brand Choux à la Crème sells in a few local outlets, in Monocle stores worldwide and at Liberty in London, but she is not ready to commit to a Beirut boutique of her own. Instead, she opened her fourth-floor Clemenceau design studio to the public for two weeks in December, selling her standard and Christmas collections with special packaging and snacks on offer. A couple of posters and a Facebook group advertised “for two weeks only” and “limited edition pretty things”, generating 22 percent of her annual turnover. Simply, Mortada says, “it makes more sense and more money for me to sell on my own,” and the use-by date on a retail space can intensify this advantage. “It’s a whole experience,” says luxury brand consultant Marie-Noelle Azar from the agency Whyte Mulberry. “You’re selling them the product that they might not necessarily need but… because they know that in a week you won’t have it, they need to buy it now.” Mortada sees this potential as unexplored by established Lebanese brands: “One of the frustrations about Beirut is that it tends to run in the same circles… so I wouldn’t be surprised by any of the creatives doing a pop-up shop here.”

Seductive synergies 

For Nour Sabbagh and Nur Kaoukji, their ‘Beirut Loves’ pop-up experience is an end in itself rather than a test run or a boost to an existing brand, opening for 15 days a year and focusing on products from a different country each time, starting in 2011 with ‘Beirut Loves Jaipur’. 

“We both knew that we wanted something ephemeral, something that was a store and an event mixed into one,” says Kaoukji. “We imagine the store to be a kind of suitcase, something exciting we bring back from our travels.” They, too, scored a deal on a Downtown location. “People were initially surprised that we were only going to be present for 15 days, but that factor pulled them back. We received a lot of client’s details who were keen to be notified about our next pop-up.” For them, consumers are in a mood to be seduced by such projects. “One can sense their longing for this personal connection and we believe that this is going to affect businesses in the long run, the trend of the ‘one off’ or the handmade is growing stronger.”

Azar sees the pop-up trend in Beirut as an underdeveloped tool that, done properly, can bring together the best in online media, marketing and creative sales. “In terms of maturity… it’s still who you know that’s going to come and who you know that’s going to buy, it’s not commercial,” she says. “When pop-up stores started in Europe and the US they started in the main street where they know that they have traffic and they know that if they get the right product to this traffic they’re going to sell — you don’t have that here.” In an environment that lacks syndication, low-cost retail space or a healthy market for carefully crafted, locally branded goods, entrepreneurial artisans have always relied on exhibitions and exhibits to spread the word about their work; pop-up stores work on the same principle but with significantly more business benefits.

And when the store itself is the must-have limited-edition accessory, the possibilities are endless. Sara Darwiche at Chouchic.com, an invitation-only online boutique for the Middle East that deals in luxury labels, describes her marketing strategy as “a continuous virtual pop up store for a variety of high-end brands and trend setting styles [and] themes with a twist”.  

Daily sales at noon are driven by membership and email alerts that cause “a daily flood of transactional traffic,” she says, for a “business model based on scarcity, selection and urgency,” where “hundreds of thousands of shoppers compete online for the limited inventory… we expect the majority of the ‘hot’ items to be sold within the first 10 minutes, with the bulk of sales occurring within the first 90 minutes.” 

Attempting this sort of daily rush in the physical world, Hania Yaffawi from local multi-brand store Depeche Mode opened concept store 6:05 Downtown in January. Rather than spending money on traditional marketing, the store relies on the media and buzz generated by a daily cocktail hour with a DJ and weekly events with artists and musicians. If every day offers a unique or unusual experience, the theory goes, the clientele will be more diverse.

Big players in the industry are also waking up to the benefits of limited-edition, unusual events to hook customers. Retail rents at ABC Dbayeh might run at an estimated $1,000-$1,200 per square meter per year, but 205 square meters have been dedicated rent-free to temporary stalls for Lebanese designers for three months of 2012. The designers promote their wares in a new forum, and ABC benefits from corporate social responsibility brownie points, plus a percentage of the sales and publicity. As Azar says, it is a “win-win situation.”

March 3, 2012 0 comments
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Society

Colored by uprising

by Executive Contributor March 3, 2012
written by Executive Contributor

As headlines are dominated by the Syrian political crisis, new exhibitions in Damascus have drawn to a halt. But the city’s art gallery doors are still open. 

The conflict seems unlikely to deter the Syrian contemporary art boom that has lit up the market over the last five years. In 2007, a major work by Safwan Dahoul, a leading and much coveted Syrian painter, sold for $10,000. Today it reaches $150,000. The post-9/11 appetite for Arab culture may have played its part; as titles on Islam and the Middle East flew off the virtual shelves of amazon.com, art from the Middle East also experienced unprecedented international attention. 

Compared to artists from Lebanon, Morocco and Egypt, who were already relatively exposed to global galleries and collectors, Syria revealed itself to be an oil well of untapped talent, paint being the asset. Artwork prices soared, contemporary art galleries mushroomed and reports such as “Syrian Art Sizzles” (Time Magazine, Sept 2008) and “Damascus Evolves Into a Hub of Mideast Art” (New York Times, Nov 2010) saluted the awakening. 

“The talent hiding over the last five or six years was the surprise factor, the shock factor, that made them globally interesting,” says Khaled Samawi, the owner of Ayyam Gallery, a blockbuster art enterprise with a roster of some of the most highly-valued Arab artists — the majority from Syria — and a triad of exhibition spaces in Damascus, Beirut and Dubai. “When we first opened in 2006 to 2007, in Damascus, it was absolute golden years. I’d say once a week a private jet would land from the Gulf or somewhere, who had come to Damascus just to visit Ayyam.” Samawi, a former hedge fund manager, has spearheaded the rise of Syrian contemporary art, with a smaller cluster of galleries, such as Damascus’ Tajalliyat Art Gallery, and auction houses Christie’s and Sotheby’s following suit.  Most of Ayyam’s artists, such as Asaad Arabi and Oussama Diab, have seen their paintings rocket in value five to 10-fold, thanks to Ayyam’s polished and well-publicized exhibitions, record-breaking auctions and young artist competitions. By providing their artists financial stability and access to an international hit list of collectors, the market has grown so much that Edge Capital, a venture capital and private equity holding company, is now choosing to invest in Ayyam’s expansion. New galleries in London and New York will open in the next two to three years, a major triumph for Middle Eastern art. Samawi sees it as a “vote of confidence”, both for the artists and collectors, giving “the scoop” to Executive before the official press announcement. 

Fearless expression

The investment strikes at the right time. The political uncertainty embroiling Syria is inspiring a new drive in contemporary art: angry, poignant and provocative. “They’re painting the best art they’ve ever produced. It’s painful, humanitarian art,” Samawi describes it. 

“For years people have been living under fear, and now the fear is gone. Now artists can express themselves. There are no more taboos. They can talk about the president, the power, the party,” says Ammar Abd Rabbo, a Paris-based Syrian photojournalist who exhibited “Coming Soon”, a series of portraits of pregnant women, in Beirut last February. He believes there is a new, powerful generation of young Syrian artists in the making, “born from the crisis and revolution.” 

Some art has already left Damascus’ citadel. “In Army We Trust”, a radical set of paintings by Thaier Helal, sold positively at Ayyam’s Dubai gallery earlier this year, despite its provocative title. Established artists Mohannad Orabi, Mouteea Murad, Kais Saman and Omran Younes have abandoned their solitary ateliers and transformed the empty Damascus gallery — which stopped hosting new exhibitions four months ago — into a remarkable shared workspace. The ferocious art being produced, both in quantity and subject matter, is broadcasted on a live feed from Ayyam’s website. “It’s probably the busiest the gallery has ever been,” says Samawi, who has offered the space as a cultural refuge to citizens surrounded by violence.

“We started the workshop to see this situation in a different way. There is a huge power inside us, and we have to make these ideas and feelings visual,” says young Damascus-born painter Mohannad Orabi, whose work is becoming “more realistic, more emotional.” The eerie, blackened eyes of his human figures are unmistakable, but Orabi now paints them “open.” “Now,” he says, “you can see the detail inside and the sparkle. This sparkle is a kind of hope.”

March 3, 2012 0 comments
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Society

Banquet on the bay

by Ellen Hardy March 3, 2012
written by Ellen Hardy

Even by the standards of a city where you can dine at the tables of multi-Michelin-starred chefs one night (Yazhou, S.T.A.Y.) and be seen eating out at global trendsetters the next (Momo at the Souks, Gaucho), Zaitunay Bay is piquing interest. Pitching as it does a complex of 17 new restaurants, five retail outlets and a public promenade into the heart of the commercial district at a cost of $160 million, the brainchild of Beirut Waterfront Development (BWD) is a bold attempt to recreate the area’s pre-war sense of glamour and community. But what is it like for the local businesses whose hopes are riding on the project’s success? 

Two concepts, Cro Magnon Steakhouse & Bar and St Elmo’s Seaside Brasserie, are the work of one set of five Lebanese investors, and for them, the location sealed the deal. Though rental prices in Hamra and Ashrafieh may have been anywhere from 10 to 20 per cent cheaper, “We wouldn’t have come on board if it wasn’t Zaitunay Bay,” says one of the investors, Mazen Fakhoury. Employing some 100 people between the two restaurants, Cro Magnon is a high-end, glamorous steak house, and St Elmo’s a more casual brasserie with a slew of theme nights. Putting together the $4.5 million initial investment required a special chemistry between the five shareholders, who came together through casual meetings and are mostly newcomers to the hospitality industry. Operations manager Joey Ghazal is the most experienced restaurateur of the group, with over 14 years in the restaurant industry in Montreal and London. He is joined by engineering and financial investment services CEO Houssam Batal, nightclub public relations and communications veteran Ramzi Traboulsi, oil and gas expert Mazen Fakhoury and finance professional Rami Batal. 

Ghazal and Traboulsi first met with the BWD in February 2010, when they proposed a casual seaside brasserie. Learning that the landlord was also insisting on having a steakhouse in the project, they ended up signing the leases for two restaurants in December. “There are a lot of back office and operational expenses that you incur,” explains Ghazal, “and it’s obviously better to take those on over two profit centers.” On this day February, as the five settled into their distressed leather armchairs at Cro Magnon to sample their own menu of prime steaks and seafood, single malts and cigars, more than a desire to make a quick, high return on their investments ties them together. “You have to feel that there’s a measure of trust, a foundation of business understanding,” says Ghazal. All the investors contribute their business wherewithal; Rami Batal, for example, already has accounting and finance infrastructure in place for his other companies, so can manage the back office, while Traboulsi contributes PR expertise. “They’re their own number one clients,” winks Traboulsi. Established businessmen with a taste for the finer things in life, they came on board for the chance to bring a type of restaurant to Lebanon that they’ve admired abroad. “We are people who travel a lot and… appreciate the best class restaurants in the world,” says Houssam Batal. As such, he explains, they are long-term investors, not out to make a quick buck. They “hope to be able to pay back our investment in three years… you expect to double your money at least within the first five years maybe.”

Working with Zaitunay Bay ensured that there would be no competing concepts on the site; the most intense negotiations were over the specific concept briefs. After that, says Ghazal, apart from external design issues, the BWD was surprisingly hands-off — though citing problems with ventilation and delivery access, he notes wryly that the complex overall “could have been designed by someone who has some knowledge of the restaurant industry. It wasn’t.” Other niggles of opening a restaurant in Beirut — such as a lack of qualified staff and the terrible truism that political uncertainty hangs over everything — are a standard part of the deal. Just two months into operation, it is too early for Zaitunay Bay to release meaningful footfall and revenue figures, but Ghazal will say that “the landlord assured us they were going to do everything in their power to ensure a certain amount of footfall per week or per day, and the project has kept its promise.”  

Like most restaurant businesses, the shareholders are open to including other investors and franchising the concepts to other territories in the future. As Zaitunay Bay looks ahead to spring, its many partners will be hoping to see their investments flourish. “It’s a high risk, high reward country,” concludes Houssam Batal, and one that is unlikely to lose its appetite.

March 3, 2012 0 comments
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