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Finance

Understanding Lebanon’s first online tax payment gateway

by Livia Murray October 22, 2013
written by Livia Murray

In September the Ministry of Finance, Credit Libanais, Fransabank and online payment gateway NetCommerce launched Lebanon’s first online taxation gateway, allowing credit card holders to pay their taxes online. Executive sat down with Credit Libanais’ assistant general manager, Alain Hakim, to discuss the achievements and limitations of the new platform, and what type of road it paves for electronic government.

Can this platform be considered as a step towards electronic government?

This is the opening of a new era in Lebanon of electronic government through the payment of everything — tickets, taxes, whatever. For us to speak about electronic banking, electronic government, in 2013 with all that’s happening, is an achievement. It’s an achievement for the government, and for the banking sector. It’s a breakthrough because of the relationship between the public sector and the private sector, represented by the Ministry of Finance, and by two of the major banks in Lebanon. The Lebanese government is on track to grow into electronic government, which is a premiere in Lebanon. Due to our surrounding problems and internal problems, it’s a pioneering thing to think about electronic government in such a surrounding mess.

Could you explain how the e-taxation platform works?

The e-taxation is coming in two parts. The first part is the online process. This is a first in Lebanon, which will be available through a direct transfer from their bank accounts to the account of the Ministry of Finance. The second part is to pay the same taxes but through credit cards online through a gateway called NetCommerce. It is implemented and available, and the advantage of that is that even non-customers of this bank or another bank, or any credit card holder, can pay his taxes through this gateway. The taxes can be settled via the Ministry of Finance portal www.finance.gov.lb using Visa or MasterCard credit or debit card in the most easy and secure way.

What are the benefits of the platform?

First of all, it will decrease bribery, since clients will not be dealing or transacting directly with any employee. Second, it will help to reduce waiting lines, and cut penalties that the client will incur when he is late for his tax payment due to his busy schedule, or outside the country. The benefits are huge especially that he can pay for his taxes anytime, anywhere even during holidays and outside working hours. Plus, on the government side it will open the door for the public sector to move toward e-government.

Can users pay any kind of tax online?

To begin with, it is the built property tax and the income tax, which are the major taxes in Lebanon. But, eventually it will be gradually implemented on all taxes.

Do people have concerns about online safety?

The taxes e-payment is very safe knowing that NetCommerce supports the Verified by Visa and the MasterCard Secure Code, in addition to customer authentication programs, ensuring a secure internet acceptance e-payment experience. Besides, NetCommerce offers extensive and vigilant monitoring services, keeping the fraud risk at a minimal low rate. 

There’s still no law on the electronic signatures. How is that affecting the e-taxation platform?

Negatively, but we cannot do anything. This is the duty of the government to do something about it — not even the government, the parliament, but they have other things to think about.

What is the percentage of people in Lebanon that have bank accounts?

1.5 million people in Lebanon have bank accounts in Lebanon: between 40 and 45 percent [of the adult population]. And from those, almost 50 percent have deposit accounts. And deposit accounts you cannot do transfers with. So roughly 20 percent have accounts that can be used on the online system.

How will the adoption of e-taxation be affected by the fact that not everyone in Lebanon has a credit card or a bank account?

We are pushing a lot — us banks — to push people to have a bank account or debit or credit cards. Of course, it is an issue. But we are working on it. We have a steady increase of online users on a banking level. You have an increased number of online users and transactions per day, per month, per year, and this increase is continuous and stable.

October 22, 2013 1 comment
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Economics & PolicyIndustry 2013

Lebanese industry’s coping strategies

by Joe Dyke October 21, 2013
written by Joe Dyke

The climate for Lebanese industrialists is perhaps the toughest it has been since the Civil War. A combination of geopolitical turmoil, challenging economic conditions and a lack of political support are working against them. In these circumstances companies need to have smart survival strategies. Executive talked to three companies taking very different routes through these challenging days.
Coping strategy 1 – Go Niche

It is a brave man that establishes a factory in Lebanon in the current economic and political climate, but Marwan Malek — founder of Pharma M — isn’t one to shy away from a challenge. His small seven-man factory in Brumana opened in January and is the Middle East’s first, specifically designed to manufacture dietary supplements.

Malek’s Pharma M is a relatively new company

The supplements market in Lebanon is worth $120 million annually, with annual growth rates of over 20 percent for the last four years. Malek believes that a Lebanese firm has a huge advantage in the domestic market, which is currently dominated by Western brands.

“We should become number one in the market. As the only Lebanese manufacturer, we have so many advantages: we know the market, we are very flexible, we follow what the market needs,” he says. As an example of how local market knowledge can help the company thrive, Malek, a trained pharmacist, cites the Omega-3 group of fatty acids. The standard Omega-3 supplement has the unfortunate side effect of sometimes opening in the stomach, giving the taker a fishy reflux.

“Outside Lebanon this is not a big problem but in Lebanon we have one of the highest reflux percentages in the world, that is why we have an abuse of acid medication,” he explains. As such he has developed a tablet that does not open in the stomach but instead is protected by a gel that ensures it only dissolves once in the intestines.

Malek’s belief is that by focusing on a specific niche for the local market and having better intelligence on his customers, he can buck the trend for industrial companies in Lebanon. The company is currently on course to manufacture about 200,000 tablets in its first year, with the capacity to reach 600,000 in the future. They also have long-term expansion plans, with northern Iraq the primary target, but Malek says that in the short term he wants to focus on conquering as much of the Lebanese market as possible.

Related article: Industry’s surprising success

It helps that, unlike most industrialists, Malek has been supported by the government, specifically the Investment Development Authority of Lebanon (IDAL). The agency supported the firm and has helped them get a ten-year tax exemption on all its manufacturing products.

Malek says he was pleasantly surprised by the support offered. “IDAL is a very, very important support for companies in Lebanon. When you go to something governmental you are going with, as they say in Arabic, one foot forward and one back — you are hesitant [about whether] they will help you,” he says. “I was surprised they were very helpful, very professional, very nice people. They consult you on stuff that doesn’t have to do with IDAL, if you want advice on the market they help.”

But despite IDAL’s backing, Malek doesn’t feel there is enough support for industry in the country in general. “Actually for us as pharmaceuticals we are very scientific, we have very expensive raw materials and we don’t need a lot of electricity, we don’t need a lot of fuels. But for companies that produce plastics, that produce cement, bricks, stuff — they are in huge trouble. They cannot compete with the Chinese, Turkish — [in those countries] they have a lot of support on energy, a lot of support of fuel, even the land is for free almost.”
Coping strategy 2 – Go Outside

Until the 2006 war with Israel, Carlos Sfeir and his company Sfeir Industries had focused all their efforts on Lebanon. The firm, a specialist producer and manufacturer of high-end steel products mostly for kitchens, had become a major player in Lebanon’s small market.

But the 33-day war left them unable to pay the salaries of their employees, and Sfeir said he and his father decided that enough was enough. “It was a wake up call. We decided to go out [of Lebanon]. It was the best thing that ever happened to us. Thank you to the people that made war,” he says.

Sfeir is looking outside of Lebanon for future profits

Since then the company has branched out into new markets, particularly West Africa, Saudi Arabia and Qatar. Sfeir senior died two years ago, but Carlos has overseen continued growth — with the company’s $10 million turnover three times what it was in 2006. Of this, three quarters is now coming from abroad. “Before 2006 we were focusing 100 percent on Lebanon, now we are 75 percent outside Lebanon — targeting 95 percent,” Sfeir said.

This has been achieved largely through the outsourcing of the company’s industrial production to companies outside Lebanon. In the last two years, particularly in the wake of what Sfeir called the “catastrophic” government decision to increase minimum wages for private sector workers, he has effectively given up on Lebanon as a base for manufacturing. He has reduced his factory staff from 35 to 15, and admits that there may be further lay-offs.

But he has kept the company’s logistical base in the country, taking advantage of lower salaries and the highly talented local workforce. “If I want to take an engineer to Saudi, his package is very heavy. I need to pay perhaps $25,000 [a month] but here I can pay him $6 or 7,000,” he says. Sfeir travels between his more profitable projects in other countries and the less valuable ones in Lebanon, but says he is able to control everything from Beirut.

The company still has a small factory in Lebanon

The cumulative result is a Lebanese-based company at least somewhat inoculated from the economic crisis and the effects of the civil war in neighboring Syria. “I found the right formula with my team here to be able to grow. That is why we are [still] paying good salaries. Everyone [in Lebanon] is paying half salaries now because there is a crisis — we don’t have any crisis,” Sfeir says.

For Lebanon’s policy-makers, however, Sfeir Industries’ change in policy must represent a personal failure. For an established firm to move away from manufacturing is a bad indictment of the country’s lack of support for industrialists. While Sfeir highlights the wage hike and corruption as factors driving him away, the most basic one is the increasing tension in the country. “We need stability … we need security,” he says. And, at least in Sfeir’s case, it appears once he gives up on the country there is little that can be done to lure him back. “We definitely will not invest any more in Lebanon, definitely,” he says.

While he has no current plans to set up a factory outside of Lebanon, he admits that he has discussed the idea of doing so in Saudi Arabia, partly due to the kind of government support lacking in Lebanon. “In Saudi there are a lot of facilities, they give you the land for free for 25 years — it is crazy,” he said. “They give subsidized loans very easily, especially for industry …  so maybe.”
Coping strategy 3 – Adapt fast
Al-Wadi Al-Akhdar is in perhaps a fortunate position in the Lebanese industrial sector. The food giant, which has over 200 products including Lebanese specialties, frozen vegetables and tinned goods, benefits from the fact that it operates in a market less prone to cyclical trends than others. “You are in the food business; you cannot have people not eat,” Gay Mandour, marketing manager for the firm, says bluntly. “You just have to be more proactive than the competition and you will be ok.”

This proactivity manifests itself in an in-depth knowledge of the local market, and a constant struggle to readjust. In the past 18 months, Mandour says, the deteriorating security situation has caused a shift in shopping trends. Previously, Lebanese people had been moving toward large supermarkets for their weekly or monthly shops, but there has been a shift back toward local stores. Adjusting to this has been a major part of the company’s strategy.

“When people are insecure and there are bomb threats, people don’t go out of their neighborhood as much — so they shop in their local mini markets,” Mandour says. “So you have to try to make sure at this level of distribution that you have all your products [in smaller stores] as well and the best offers available. If you don’t know that this is happening you are losing part of your sale.”

The company has set itself the perhaps ambitious target of 9 percent growth for 2013, a goal Mandour says they are on schedule to meet. While sales of staple goods such as canned products — a field in which the company is the market leader — continue to grow at a solid rate of between 2 to 3 percent, the real expansion comes from introducing the right new products to the market — decisions that are carefully made based on their knowledge of local demand.

Mandour gives the example of balsamic vinegar, which they have started packaging and importing from Italy in the past 18 months. “For the Lebanese, balsamic vinegar is very Italian so people thought it might not work. But today we are number one in the country, because people trust our brand,” she says.

With over 700,000 Syrian refugees in Lebanon, it would be fair to assume a large knock-on effect on staples that the company sells — particularly tinned foods. While they have seen a small lift, Mandour says that the company has not seen a major boost, partly because many refugees are reliant on aid.

There are, however, exceptions. The company has four recipes of foul — one Lebanese, one Egyptian, one spicy and Aleppan. Until the Syrian crisis began sales of the latter were, as Mandour says, “peanuts,” produced mostly for range expansion and because some customers preferred the larger bean. Since the crisis, refugees looking for a taste of home have boosted sales exponentially. “We used to sell 100 cases a month, today we sell 300.”

October 21, 2013 0 comments
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Society

Doctors go digital

by Livia Murray October 21, 2013
written by Livia Murray

Online medical consultation platforms Sohati and eTobb are bent on digitalizing the process of diagnosis. In the past year both companies have launched interfaces that allow users to ask medical questions and get a doctor’s response within 24 to 48 hours, anonymously, and for free. 

The digitalization of health has clear benefits. It is making reliable health information more accessible in Lebanon and the wider Middle East — where not everyone has adequate access to healthcare or the means to procure a doctor’s services. It is also raising awareness of taboo topics that are sometimes considered too personal for the doctor’s offices while enabling tech-savvy doctors to attract new clientele.

Zena Sfeir and Elsa Aoun, two of the co-founders of Sohati, recently quit their jobs at pharmaceutical and consulting companies to work full-time on the project. Together with Naji Gehchan and Wassim Kari, they launched Sohati in April, an online platform bringing doctor-verified information to the internet. This is Aoun and Kari’s second venture into digital marketing after founding Ounousa.com, a popular online women’s portal. For the four of them, the need for reliable health information online was apparent.  “You can go on the internet and find tons of medical forums, where you have lots of information, but you’re not sure that this information is really credible,” explains Sfeir. “What we decided is to have something really credible, that’s validated by doctors, [to ensure] we have the right information.” Sohati points to various medical articles written by doctors, in addition to Q and A’s and monthly forums — available through the website — in which the general public can pose health-related questions to Sohati’s contributing experts.

Trusted medical knowledge

Co-founders of eTobb Paul Saber and Sara Helou also cited inaccurate health information online as a reason for starting their company in January with third co-founder Jad Joubran. “What we want to do is digitalize health in the region, and the problem is that doctors are not very digital when it comes to their profession,” says Saber, “We’re trying to capture the patient life cycle…helping them every step of the way,” he continues. “We launched eTobb to give specific answers to personal cases, and who better to answer you than a doctor?” Helou echoes the sentiment, “This is one of the main objectives: to empower people with medical knowledge. Not any medical knowledge — trusted medical knowledge.” ETobb, like Sohati, allows users to ask medical questions in Q and A forums which are then answered by doctors. The platform also lets users browse through doctors’ full professional profiles.

The two initiatives have sparked the interest of users, doctors, and investors alike. Sohati’s Arabic-language platform generated 150,000 unique visitors in the month of August alone, and they currently have over 10,000 users active on the site. ETobb did not wish to disclose their visitor numbers, but claim 20,000 registered users on their English-language platform.  Sohati’s user base mostly comes from the region, with 30 percent coming from Saudi Arabia and 18 percent from the UAE. Only 6-7 percent came from Lebanon. ETobb’s user base by contrast is primarily Lebanese.

Contributing doctors offer their expertise for free. Of the around 13,000 registered doctors in Lebanon Sohati draws from a pool of 30. ETobb boasts over 500, explaining that although doctors essentially work for the site pro bono they benefit from the online exposure. “Doctors are not paid, but what they get is a free profile and a chance to engage with the community, to answer questions, so people know them better,” explains Saber. “Doctors can’t advertise themselves in Lebanon ­— it’s illegal. So this is one way to spread their reputation to get people to know them better,” adds Helou.

The projects have attracted the eyes of investors. Sohati received angel funding from a Lebanese investor who did not wish to disclose the size of her investment in print. ETobb received $76,500 in cash and in-kind investment from startup accelerator Seeqnce. The interest of investors for these budding companies is perhaps a good indication that there is a market for electronic health, as both companies are working on ways to monetarize their ideas.

Business Models

Sohati is leaning towards advertisement and sponsorship to monetize their platform. On the ad side, selling banner space on the website on a cost per click or cost per impression basis would generate some revenue. As for sponsorship, Sohati are looking for partnerships with pharmaceutical companies, universities, insurance companies, and hospitals. Currently the group is in negotiations with a major Lebanese hospital to feature a new machine on the site. 

Sohati is also eyeing the e-commerce market with plans afoot to carry out a pilot test in a particular country before launching regionally. “It’s going to be more over-the-counter products: pharmaceutical supplements, vitamins, stuff where you don’t need a prescription from a doctor and can buy it online. Especially for products that we don’t have in the region,” says Sfeir. Although without revenue to date, Sohati are hoping that come December the revenue stream will start to flow.

ETobb has already made $30,000 from sponsorships by charging a flat rate for people to place logos on their site. They are also looking for ways to charge users for certain services on their website. For example, by setting up an online booking option in the next couple of months that would enable doctors to manage their appointments through eTobb while charging them a monthly fee — equivalent to the price of a consultation. “Sometimes you do still need to go see a doctor for a physical consultation, so we have the online bookings for that,” says Saber.

ETobb is also geared to launch a premium version of their Q and A platform, which would be private and would give users the option to add features in order to customize their interactions with the doctors. “In the premium private sessions you can share your medical information with the doctor,” says Helou. “We’ll be allowing patients to upload their medical files on eTobb.” Users can also opt for a video chat with doctors although prior to launch the company is finalizing security measures so that patients’ privacy is not compromised.

Taking on the taboos

Anonymous online consultations have helped to create a platform for people to seek professional advice on often touchy personal health issues without the potential embarassment of a face-to-face meeting with a general practitioner. “The most popular are the taboo subjects, the ones where people are intimidated when they want to ask a doctor face-to-face, especially in the Arab world,” says  eTobb’s Saber. “There is not a lot of awareness in our society because of taboos so now when people go on eTobb and read the questions and answers they are like ‘oh, I didn’t know this could happen, I didn’t know this was true,’” says Helou.

Sohati’s most popular live chat sessions with doctors have been hosted by gynecologists. “You cannot imagine the number of questions we got, even after we closed the session we had it on the inbox of Facebook with lots of questions,” says Sfeir. Much of the interest is coming from Saudi Arabia. “If it’s not the woman, it’s the husband,” she says. 

As far as online health goes, it is only the beginning. ETobb will be launching a cellphone app with the same features as their website, as well as an Arabic language version of the site. Sohati plans to launch a related platform in January and re-vamp the group’s website to increase its user-friendliness. “We’re working on it so hopefully we will have it soon,” says Sfeir.

The market for online health in Lebanon is still uncharted territory. “The health industry, especially in this region, has so much potential,” says Helou. “In the [United] States, there are so many health apps and so many health websites and everything is still growing and growing and multiplying and there are always new ideas. I think the same can be applied to the region … We still have a long way to go and a lot of things to do. What we’ve listed here are the main features — this is just the beginning. There is so much to do.”

October 21, 2013 0 comments
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The Buzz

Business briefing: 21 Oct 2013

by Executive Staff October 21, 2013
written by Executive Staff

Economics and Policy

Political unrest has hurt Tunisia’s growth outlook but it will stay committed to cutting the state budget deficit next year, while relying on foreign aid to fill a large external financing gap, Prime Minister Ali Larayedh has said.

More from Reuters

 

The Gulf Arab state of Kuwait will allow Egypt to repay a $2 billion central bank deposit over five years instead of the current one-year timeframe, Egypt’s interim prime minister has said.

More from Reuters

 

Israel has named Karnit Flug as the first woman to head its central bank and meet the challenge of a rising shekel after a rocky selection process that dragged on for months.

More from Reuters

 

Companies and Business

Lebanon's Bank Audi saw net profits decline by 5.5 percent in the first nine months of 2013 compared to the same period last year.

More from The Daily Star

 

Harrods, the London luxury department store that was taken over by Qatar Holding in 2010, has paid a £68.6m ($111m) dividend to the sovereign wealth fund.

More from Arabian Business

 

Qatar Islamic Bank, the Gulf state's fourth-largest lender by market value, reported a 12.4 percent drop in third-quarter net profit on Sunday.

More from Reuters

 

October 21, 2013 0 comments
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Economics & Policy

‘Oil and gas could make Lebanon worse’

by Joe Dyke October 18, 2013
written by Joe Dyke

Martin Skancke is among the world’s leading consultants on the resource curse, commonly called ‘Dutch Disease’, wherein countries that discover oil and gas subsequently see a loss of competitiveness in other sectors of their economy. He has advised countries across the globe from Cyprus, to Ghana, to East Timor on the best way to manage newfound resources. Executive asked him if Lebanon could avoid going Dutch.

What are the most important steps to avoid wasting oil wealth?

Number one is starting with institutions. If you want to have good management of petroleum wealth you need good, well-governed institutions to deal with that — on tax collection, on revenue management, on macroeconomic issues.

Number two is thinking thoroughly about the macroeconomic impact of large and volatile petroleum revenues. It is easy to get carried away and think about the things you can do with oil money, but there has to be a more broad understanding of the macroeconomic implications of spending that money — in terms of how it will affect exchange rates, price inflation, wages. The spending of those revenues has very different macro-economic implications than the spending of other types of revenues from the non-oil sector.

In what way, specifically?

If you spend $100 in your domestic economy but finance that by taxing your local economy $100 you are essentially increasing demand by $100 but reducing the purchasing power of the private sector by taking out $100. The overall effect on the economy is not that great. But if you get $100 from the oil sector and spend it in the non-oil sector that doesn’t have that offsetting tax impact: there is no drag on domestic demand. The spending of these oil revenues has a much stronger expansionary effect on the economy. That is why you need to have a mechanism to phase the spending of oil revenues gradually.

 

Related articles: Serious concerns over transparency in oil and gas process

Educating the oil and gas generation

How political bickering is endangering Lebanon's oil future

Energy Minister Gebran Bassil Q&A

 

Is Dutch Disease inevitable?

Yes, but in a sense it is something that you want. If you think about the economy as traded and non-traded sectors, you have a production of non-tradeables — such as services, healthcare — and you have a sector of tradeables. When you get richer you want to consume more of both categories and the way to do that is to transfer some of your resources from the tradable to the non-tradable sector and use your oil to cover the deficit.

A certain lack of competitiveness can ensure resources are transferred into the non-tradeable sector and give you a more balanced consumption between the two. But if it goes too far you become vulnerable if and when revenues fall. These revenues are transitory in their nature and at some point they will fall. If you then have a very small tradable sector you will be running a very large current account deficit.

The Lebanese economy is very entrepreneurial. Will this be undermined by oil and gas?

Yes, the changes in exchange rates and prices and wages that bring about increased imports will bring about reduced exports. If you look at historical experiences, unfortunately resource-rich economies have had lower growth rates than resource-poor economies…[because] these resources tend to distort incentives to work, lower productivity growth, and are [often] spent on things with very low economic value like trophy assets — buying a dozen 747s.

What is the one most important thing to focus on?

Building a broad consensus … oil revenues will last for several years and the decisions you make will affect the country for decades ahead. There should be an effort to reach out across different political bodies, parties, interest groups and religious groups.

How dangerous is it for politicians to continue fighting?

It is very dangerous. Firstly, your bargaining position vis-a-vis the oil companies gets much weaker because they will have to factor in higher uncertainty and larger risk when they think about their investments. Secondly, the risk of macroeconomic instability is larger because investors will not know how spending will evolve over time if there is no broad consensus and no broad guidelines for it.

If political infighting continues, is it better for a country not to extract these resources in the first place rather than squabble over them?

On average that has been true. If you look at countries over the last 50 years comparing resource-rich economies with economies with few resources, unfortunately it is true that the ones without resources have tended to do better.

October 18, 2013 0 comments
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The Buzz

Business briefing: 18 Oct 2013

by Executive Staff October 18, 2013
written by Executive Staff

Economics and Policy

The boss of a Turkish real estate company working on projects such as Trump Towers Istanbul has warned Gulf investors about impulse buying in his country amid growing investor interest in Istanbul.

More from Arabian Business

 

Iraq plans to raise production and increase oil exports to China and India next year after receiving requests for more, the country’s deputy prime minister said.

More from Bloomberg
 

The creation of a new Cabinet in Lebanon would encourage the donor states to speed up their financial assistance to the country to help it cope with the influx of Syrian refugees, caretaker Economy and Trade Minister Nicolas Nahas has said.

More from The Daily Star

 

Companies and Business

Around 65 per cent of private equity professionals investing within the MENA region expect an increase in investment activity over the next year, according to a Deloitte private equity confidence survey.

More from Arabian Business

 

At least four executives from Etihad Airways are likely to assume key positions in Jet Airways by the end of year.

More from Arabian Business

 

October 18, 2013 0 comments
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Economics & PolicyLebanese oil and gas

‘We are being open and transparent’

by Joe Dyke October 17, 2013
written by Joe Dyke

Gebran Bassil became Lebanon’s minister of energy and water in 2011. Since then, the country has made huge strides toward extracting its offshore oil and gas, but last month those bids suffered their first delays since international oil companies became involved. Executive sat down with him to discuss how he plans to get the bids moving again.

With regard to the delay in the oil and gas bids, are you seeing politicians wanting it to happen?

Some people want it to happen, others are simply apathetic. Some others are not helping, others are obstructing.

We need to have a council of ministers, which is the responsibility of the president and of the prime minister. It can happen in two minutes by convening the council of ministers  — the decrees are there, they have been ready for a few months, we have the approval of the Shura [Council]. It is a two-minute meeting, we say ‘ok’ and we move on.

How big is the risk of oil companies losing interest?

To be frank we have lost so many years, it is not a matter of a week or a month, two weeks or two months. What matters to us is our credibility, that we are always meeting our schedule — showing that we are serious, professional, transparent. The good opinion that we have from abroad is something we should preserve.

But for example on July 1, these companies had prepared their top seismic experts…

They will not lose interest. Some circumstances will appear where one company or another could have other interests, other investments, other obligations ­— this can happen. Or maybe there will come a time when other companies may have more interest in Lebanon. [But] what will matter at the end of the day to these companies is if the resource exists — and it exists. And secondly, how appealing it is to them, the conditions, the cost and the facility to export, to use. I believe that Lebanon is in a position where we will always attract international companies. I am not afraid about this.

 

Related articles: Serious concerns over transparency in oil and gas process

Educating the oil and gas generation

How political bickering is endangering Lebanon’s oil future

 

Are you concerned that any delays in Lebanon are undermining its regional competiveness?

If [the delay] is long enough, yes. If, let’s say, we stay for a few more years doing nothing, [then] yes. This is the aim of Israel: to delay us. So the big question for our politicians is: Do they want to help Israel by giving Israel more time? But even with the [recent memorandum of understanding between Cyprus, Greece and Israel] we are in a better position.

How so?

We are in a geopolitical position that is much better than Israel and we have reasons to believe our resources will be more attractive. You can tell this from the companies that participated in Israel and the companies that participated in Lebanon. Why in Israel did they only have Noble Energy? Where are the big companies that we were able to attract?

Could a liquefied natural gas (LNG) plant in Cyprus owned by the Cypriots be used by both Israel and Lebanon?

No, because Israel is part of it. We don’t need that LNG plant, I am telling you we can afford a better investment plan for the companies where we don’t need it [the plant].

So what is your preferred option for exporting gas?

We are already connected to the regional pipelines. We will have other connections. No matter what Israel and Greece and Cyprus do, we will be in a better position. [Assuming] we progress, of course.

Have negotiations with the Cypriots over an LNG plant stalled or ceased?

We have the problem [with Cyprus] of the exclusive economic zone (EEZ), which is a priority to be solved. And under it we have to negotiate and we have already started to exchange drafts about unitization and partnership regarding any extraction of oil resources. That could go on but the priority is for the EEZ.

Are negotiations over the EEZ [dispute with Israel] ongoing?

Yes.

Are you hopeful of a breakthrough?

More or less. We are not in the same position [as a year ago] where we were asked [by the United States and Israel] to let go of a few square kilometers of our EEZ. We are in a position where the Americans and the United Nations and the Cypriots have a better understanding of our demands, which are rightful, and of our perspective that [the dispute] is not only about a line but what lies beneath the line i.e. the resources.

You are hinting that they are getting closer to accepting the Lebanese line?

They are closer to dealing with a comprehensive solution and they are already dealing with it. But regardless of what happens on this front it will not stop our operations nor our process for exploration.

You recently said Israel could steal Lebanese gas using horizontal drilling. Can you give us a figure for the gas you estimate could be stolen? Are we talking about 1 percent, 5 percent, 10 percent?

It is not important what is the percentage. Even if it is 0.001 percent, it is our right. We will not allow Israel to touch it…with Israel it is a matter of principle not quantity.

There are currently negotiations over the signing of the Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative (EITI). Are you in favor of it?

Yes.

What are the potential problems stopping the signing of the EITI?

I am not aware of any problems. Any global initiative which abides by UN regulations and laws and gives us the good image that we deserve regarding what we are doing in this sector, we can be part of.

You have previously promised to make oil contracts public. Do you stand by that guarantee?

Of course they are public. We will be completely transparent.Until now everything we’ve done has been published and then when we open the tenders; this will be public.

But, for example, the Strategic Environmental Assessment was meant to be published on the first of May and has still not been made public?

I am not aware of this, and I don’t want to suppose of every study we are making it [public]. I am not at all aware that we were supposed to publish on a certain date.

It was a promise made by the Petroleum Administration…

No, no, no. I am not aware of it at all. Nothing that should have been published was not published. There is no reason, we don’t have anything that is negative in any sense — whether environmental, economical, technical — not at all.

You would be in favor of publishing it?

You are asking me something that [I am not aware of]. I know that we did it ahead of time and it was positive when we finished it. It was a long time ago.

With regard to the more than $33 million raised from the sales of the seismic surveys so far, there seems to be some ambiguity as to whether it is under the control of the Petroleum Administration, the Ministry of Energy or the Ministry of Finance. Can you give me an understanding of where that money has gone so far?

You know this is very small compared to what we will be gaining, so I don’t know why you are…there is no ambiguity at all. This money is put in an account on which everybody agreed, and the minister of finance has approved. Without their approval we could not have opened an account.

My understanding is that the Petroleum Administration thought the money would be available for them to spend on staff?

I don’t know where you are getting this from. You are asking questions I am not really aware of, details that are not really important.

October 17, 2013 0 comments
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Real Estate

Making the most of a bad market

by Karim Makarem October 17, 2013
written by Karim Makarem

Investing in a tight market is never easy. Choosing the correct product, paying the correct price, renting at the correct value, building the correct typology: these are much more crucial to achieve in a stagnating market than they are in a booming market. A slow market does not forgive mistakes of judgment.

Sitting on the supply side of the equation is the trickiest position in any market downturn. This applies ­— in different degrees — to developers, landowners, and landlords.

In such an unforgiving market, developers have the difficult task of building exactly what the market wants at a price buyers are willing to pay. Today, developers must juggle the choice of location, the product mix across sectors (residential, office, and retail), size, layout, construction quality, amenities and, of course, asking price. Any misjudgment on any of these parameters may make the difference between the success and the failure of a project.

For residential developments safe investments include small, mid-market residential units that still manage to offer three bedrooms in a classic residential neighborhood at budgets not exceeding $500,000. It is important to maximize the usage of space and offer as many in-built storage areas as possible.

Large and luxurious apartments have not been able to find buyers for the past several years. On the other hand, niche products that are in high demand can sell at 20-30 percent higher than the standard neighboring products. For example, a developer offering one-to two-bedroom studios with double height living areas and excellent finishing and fixtures in the area of Sursock can achieve very high sales ratios at a starting price of $6,000 per square meter (on the first floor) while neighboring projects average $5,000 per sqm on the first floor.

Beirut has never counted so many office developments as it does today. While there is demand for modern offices with an open floor layout, full amenities, services and parking spaces, sub-par office products are not attracting takers.

Developers also tend to include retail units on the ground floor of their projects to try to boost the sales returns. However, not all locations are adapted for retail development. Retail units should be limited to projects with unobstructed frontage on a main street that attracts traffic. Retail spaces should also answer demand in terms of sizes required and layout (façade vs. depth). While the majority of developers distribute retail over ground floor, mezzanine, and basement, retailers now want all the retail space to be located on ground floor level only. Retail units that do not address demand requirements remain vacant for years and can be harmful to the image of the project. In the long run, they could negatively affect the price of the units on the upper floors.

Ultimately, the price of new stock depends largely on the price of the land. Land accounts for roughly 30-50 percent of the overall construction cost, depending on the location, the quality of construction, and the profit margin the developer retains. In many cases, landowners refuse to drop their prices, putting excessive strain on final asking prices.

The problem is not limited to landowners. Property owners need to be flexible on asking prices to dispose of their assets more quickly. Landlords must reconcile asking prices with real property values given the post-boom-years downturn.

These high prices exacerbate stagnation. Landlords must understand that they can no longer retain pre slow-down prices. To successfully place one’s property on the market under the current tight conditions one must lower house prices to their market values. This applies to apartments, offices, and retail units across Beirut.

On the other side of the equation, buyers and tenants only stand to profit from the current situation. While landlords are slow in aligning their prices with values that would be acceptable to end users or investors, they are more disposed to negotiate now than ever.

As prices are not set to start increasing in the near future, buyers and tenants should have stronger negotiation power. Time is on their side, as is the increased pressure on landlords who are serious about selling or renting their property to drop their prices.

So how to speed up a slow market? If you’re selling, don’t camp on your price. Be reasonable and listen to what demand wants. If you’re buying, don’t be afraid to negotiate — hard!
 

Karim Makarem is director of Ramco Real Estate Advisers

October 17, 2013 0 comments
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Economics & PolicyLebanese oil and gas

Educating the oil and gas generation

by Jeremy Arbid October 17, 2013
written by Jeremy Arbid

The emerging oil and gas industry in Lebanon may have hit a few speed bumps recently, but that hasn’t stopped the country’s universities from starting to think about the industry’s potential. Lebanon’s universities have always graduated students into the oil and gas professions but they are beginning to recognize the demand for specialized programs that will prepare students to work in the petroleum industry in Lebanon if and when the country does extract its hydrocarbons.

The Exploration and Production Agreement, which is still awaiting approval from the Lebanese government, requires four-fifths of a company’s local labor be Lebanese nationals. According to one well-informed source, meeting the labor needs for the sector will be a challenge, though it does present an unlikely opportunity. The 80 percent requirement could prompt companies to hire based on merit rather than wasta — informal connections. While political pressure is being applied to hire connected individuals, as more technical opportunities become available it is unlikely that any one sect could dominate hiring. Clearly, making sure that Lebanon’s youth are trained to work in the sector is a key priority for the country.

AUB and USJ

A number of universities in the country are introducing new academic programs or expanding existing programs to cater for the next generation. Université Saint-Joseph (USJ) has developed a masters program in oil and gas exploration, production and management. The program is admitting individuals holding technical and engineering backgrounds and will prepare students within a two-tier system: a technical upstream track for students to gain expertise in the domain of exploration and a downstream track for students to gain expertise in management issues. The dean of the engineering department, Fadi Geara, told Executive the program is prepared to customize studies based on the background of the student and desired specialization for sub-field expertise.

Related articles: LNG – Lebanese No Go?

Serious concerns over transparency in oil and gas process

How political bickering is endangering Lebanon’s hydrocarbon future

Gebran Bassil – Q&A

A major draw for students will be the organizations affiliated with the program. Partners include French energy giant Total, with the participation of the French Petroleum Institute and additional support from Attock Oil International and the Embassy of France in Lebanon. Students will have the opportunity to associate with high-level industry experts, including a 3–4 month training period reporting to Geara and Petroleum Administration member Nasser Hoteit. As Geara noted, partners will help develop both the students and the nascent program. “For the moment, it is a professional program, [there] is no research program. It is an option for the future,” he added.


The American University of Beirut is one of a number of universities offering new courses

 

 

At the American University of Beirut the approach appears more holistic. The university has several programs at the undergraduate level to prepare students for entry into the petroleum industry. These programs include petroleum geology and a planned petroleum engineering minor to be offered within the chemical engineering department.

A noteworthy development from AUB is an interdisciplinary program entitled “Master of Energy Studies,” due to launch next spring, which will address energy from the social sciences, emphasizing the economic mechanism, funding mechanisms, policy and technical aspects. The degree will target individuals who anticipate careers as executives with decision-making responsibilities.

Also under development within AUB, and possibly attached to the Energy Studies program, is a partnership with the Graduate Institute of Geneva, which would offer a six-credit course for oil and gas training. The first training workshop is tentatively scheduled for this coming January, and will admit members of the general public not just AUB students.

Other options

Other universities are also rethinking their programs. The Lebanese University, Notre Dame University and the Beirut Arab University, are all set to offer degrees related to the industry.

Meanwhile, the University of Balamand has established a master’s program in chemical engineering with a major designated for petroleum studies. The Holy Spirit University of Kaslik has a similar master’s degree.

These programs are very positive developments for Lebanon, but doubts remain. Will there be enough employment opportunities created for individuals to return to the country and work in the sector? Will companies be able to keep them from more lucrative work in the Gulf?

Asked whether he felt the universities were preparing to train a generation of Lebanese oil and gas experts, caretaker Minister of Energy and Water Gibran Bassil said “Some are, some are not. It is a big educational challenge. But not difficult for the Lebanese. They know; they learn.” But this requires coordination if Lebanon is to make the most of its prospective gas wealth. The education and energy ministries must work with the country’s universities to establish advanced studies that prepare students for the sector. Laying the right foundations now will make a big difference for future generations.

List of current oil and gas programs in Lebanon, click to enlarge

October 17, 2013 0 comments
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The Buzz

Business briefing: 17 Oct 2013

by Executive Staff October 17, 2013
written by Executive Staff

Economics and Policy

Iraq is set to boost its oil export capacity significantly by the end of the first quarter next year, stepping up competition with top exporter Saudi Arabia to grab a bigger share of the growing Asian market.

More from Reuters

 

Israel's economy is on track to grow at a 3.4 percent rate for the second straight year in 2013.

More from Reuters

 

Abu Dhabi-based Sky News Arabia said on Thursday it had lost contact with three crew members on assignment in northern Syria, considered the world's most dangerous place for journalists.

More from Reuters

 

 

Companies and Business

The Al Habtoor Group, one of the region’s largest diversified family conglomerates, could announce an IPO as early as 2016.

More from Gulf Business

 

A public inquiry into controversial Qatar-backed plans to redevelop the Shell Centre on the South Bank in London will take place next month.

More from Arabian Business

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Since its first edition emerged on the newsstands in 1999, Executive Magazine has been dedicated to providing its readers with the most up-to-date local and regional business news. Executive is a monthly business magazine that offers readers in-depth analyses on the Lebanese world of commerce, covering all the major sectors – from banking, finance, and insurance to technology, tourism, hospitality, media, and retail.

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