• Donate
  • Our Purpose
  • Contact Us
Executive Magazine
  • ISSUES
    • Current Issue
    • Past issues
  • BUSINESS
  • ECONOMICS & POLICY
  • OPINION
  • SPECIAL REPORTS
  • EXECUTIVE TALKS
  • MOVEMENTS
    • Change the image
    • Cannes lions
    • Transparency & accountability
    • ECONOMIC ROADMAP
    • Say No to Corruption
    • The Lebanon media development initiative
    • LPSN Policy Asks
    • Advocating the preservation of deposits
  • JOIN US
    • Join our movement
    • Attend our events
    • Receive updates
    • Connect with us
  • DONATE
Special Feature

Kenneth Morse

by Executive Editors June 3, 2010
written by Executive Editors

Kenneth Morse is the co-founder of 3Com Corporation, Aspen Technology Inc. and a number of other startup companies. He is also the former managing director of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology’s Entrepreneurship Center and currently holds the chair of Entrepreneurship, Innovation and Competitiveness at Delft University of Technology. Executive caught up with the business guru during a tour of the region promoting entrepreneurship to gather his insight on how governments and young business leaders can spur the creation of new and innovative enterprises.

  • What steps should governments in the region take to promote entrepreneurship in their respective countries?

They need to become good customers, meaning that they quickly make decisions to buy, and then pay on time. Governments have a tough time making quick decisions because they are rewarded more for not making mistakes than for doing the right thing — and because the press love to jump on mistakes.

This makes them risk averse. In the Middle East, the worst thing about governments is that they don’t pay their suppliers on time. It is easy to kill start-up companies by being slow customers who pay late.

  • But what about e-procurement models that we have seen some governments adopt in the region?

Do you think that is really happening? Every small company that I have found tells me that it is impossible to sell to governments. And the corruption problem compounds the challenge. They take a long time, then they want a bribe; you have to pay somebody off, so your profit is all lost in the bribe. Or, hopefully, the small company says it will not pay the bribe. Compare that with North America and parts of Northern Europe where governments like to buy from start-ups because they are more innovative. Of course, corporations need innovation and they love to buy from start-ups.

  • The bureaucratic processes that are part and parcel of governments in this region don’t give new businesses that luxury and facilitate corruption inside of government itself. Have you seen any progress on this front?

I have seen both some very exciting start-up companies here and some sincere commitment to start-ups.

  • In terms of public policy?

The leaders in the United Arab Emirates, Jordan and Lebanon know that the public sector has reached its limit in terms of its ability to create meaningful jobs. So they have turned to the private sector. Large companies in the private sector are growing and are so the small companies. It’s simple Aristotelian logic.

  • We have seen an increase in the amount of aid being supplied to the region by the United States since President Barack Obama’s 2009 speech in Cairo. Could there really be a paradigm shift in the US’s strategic policy for the region, or is it more likely that this is a public relations stunt?

There is a paradigm shift in thinking for sure. For example, one of the proposals in [Obama’s] speech in Cairo on America’s relations with the Muslim world was to have a conference on entrepreneurship in Muslim Majority Countries.

  • But these are just conferences. They may look good on paper but they don’t necessarily have effects on the ground.

Entrepreneurship is still a good thing for America to export to the world. It’s not controversial. However, I’m not sure how well implemented the new policy is.

  • Why are you not sure of the implementation?

Well, not if they work it through the United States Agency for International Development (USAID). USAID is reluctant to pay any of their consultants more than $565 a day, and I don’t think [they] are going to be able to attract fantastic entrepreneurs at those rates. 

  • So you think there needs to be more funding? 

The funding is there but they won’t spend the money because they are not willing to face up to the fact that [$565 a day] is a low sum.

  • But does it have to be done through USAID? 

There are competing forces in Washington but USAID claims that [the funds] should go through them — and they are brain-dead. Still, entrepreneurship is a message of hope and an export from the US, and there is plenty of interest in importing entrepreneurship.

  • So where do we go from here?   

There is a program that builds on all the current initiatives. It’s called the ‘10 by 20 program’ where each year 10 companies form a paragon [of companies] and commit to achieving $20 million in annual revenues within 5 years. This is an ambitions target; if you are not ambitious you need not apply.

The firms involved are given training and helped to access markets through the diaspora and other means. You were also talking about another model: public private partnership. The public sector could provide the money — it could be through the central bank — and the private sector would administer it because they [are more efficient], and then those companies that were in the program could take off like a rocket.

  • But many governments are in debt and may not be willing to put up the capital.

The payback on the [similar] Quebec program took one year; after that it was tax revenue. It’s about job creation — you take people off unemployment and onto the payroll.

  • When do you think young entrepreneurs should take the dive and start their own businesses?

The ambitious small and medium-sized enterprises of today are the big companies of tomorrow. I am not in favor of having kids start companies right out of school. They don’t know enough to achieve sustainable growth.

I am more a fan of having young people participate in business plan competitions to taste what entrepreneurship is about and then work for well managed, rapidly growing companies, where they learn how to sell, get a purchase order, how to move though an organization and how business processes work, and then start a company with a large team and a critical mass.

  • Where do you see the greatest growth potential in the Middle East?

Women. Female entrepreneurs in the Middle East are [proportionally] the highest percentage in the world. I teach at Delft University (in Holland), where only one in 112 CEOs that I have taught during my tenure [are women]. In the Middle East it is 25 to 30 percent.

This is because entrepreneurship does not suffer from a ‘glass ceiling’. When there is no glass ceiling, you start your own company, you are the president and you are all set.

Women entrepreneurs in the Middle East are doing well for other reasons. They work harder, they are more dependable and the men tend to be lazier.

Who would you rather buy from? Someone with hustle, or someone who is complacent?

  • Do you think this is a long-term trend?

I have observed it for seven years; I don’t know what you think long term is. It doesn’t seem to show any signs of letting up.

  • If you could speak to policy makers in the region about entrepreneurship, what do you think would you say?

Promote ambition. Fix the bankruptcy laws. Become good customers.

June 3, 2010 0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Feature

A new American intervention

by Executive Editors June 3, 2010
written by Executive Editors

The policy of aggressive democracy promotion in the Middle East, a hallmark of former United States President George W. Bush’s administration, seems to have been sidelined by his successor in favor of a softer approach to international relations. While not renouncing the democracy campaign altogether, Barack Obama’s government has refocused its methods toward State Department projects that target economic advancement, education and job creation in the region.

This shift was exemplified by the Presidential Entrepreneurship Summit on April 26 and 27, where more than 250 delegates from 50 Muslim majority countries (MMCs), as well as Secretary of State Hilary Clinton, Secretary of Commerce Gary Locke and several members of Congress, gathered in Washington, DC to discuss methods to foster entrepreneurship as a means of spurring economic growth and community development.

The summit signals a wider move in the administration to position the Middle East as part of a worldwide religious community, rather than the home of the ‘axis of evil’, as America reformulates its role in the region. The US’s long history of involvement in the Middle East, however, begs the question of whether this new initiative is a genuine policy shift or whether the White House has simply entered another phase of the decades-old strategy of quietly promoting civil society development while maintaining relations with heads of state.

On the surface, the White House appears eager to trumpet its departure from previous US policy. At April’s summit, Secretary of State Clinton cited Obama’s June 2009 “New Beginning” address at Cairo University as the administration’s “new approach to foreign policy.”

In a press statement, the Chief of Media and Cultural Affairs at the US Embassy in Lebanon, Ryan Gliha, said he considered changing the way the US administration was seen in the region as the “crux of the point” for the event.

Many of the new programs differ in that they favor local expertise over imposing an external agenda for development or aid. Yet their details remain largely unknown, and citizens’ suspicions of American intervention lingers.

A new beginning

Former Secretary of State Madeleine Albright will partner with Walter Isaacson, president of the leadership-oriented Aspen Institute, and Muhtar Kent, the Turkish-American chief executive officer of the Coca-Cola Company, in launching the “Partners for a New Beginning” program — part of the State Department’s push for innovation. Described as “a team of eminent Americans from across sectors and industries who will lead an effort to engage the US private sector in carrying out our vision for a new beginning with Muslims,” little additional explanation was given as to the program’s specific plans.

Two other initiatives, the Silicon Valley-based Global Technology and Innovation Partners and the Innovators Fund, have already been set up by venture capitalists following Obama’s Cairo speech and aim to “support innovation” in Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon, Turkey and Malaysia.

Having already reached out to Jordanian venture capitalists Oasis 500 and several American firms, the Innovators Fund plans to expand.

Secretary Clinton also mentioned the e-Mentor Corps, a project that will allow entrepreneurs seeking advice to access mentors on-line from Intel, Ernst & Young, the Kauffman Foundation, TechWadi, the Young Presidents’ Organization, Babson College and Endeavor.

While many of the schemes sounded well intentioned if vague, Clinton delved into greater detail regarding the Global Entrepreneurship Program (GEP), which is set to begin in MMCs and grow from there. Clinton said that the private sector will partner with civil society groups to “help create successful entrepreneurial environments” by providing access to capital, business education from US business schools, mentoring programs and by identifying promising ideas. Launched in Egypt in April, the GEP pilot  will soon start in Indonesia, the countries with the largest Arabic speaking and Muslim populations, respectively.

Egypt exemplar

Egypt’s GEP was launched under the auspices of the US-Egypt Business Leaders Forum, the latest manifestation of a decades-long collaboration between wealthy Egyptian and American businessmen, such as Taher Helmy, co-founder of Hamza, Helmy & Partners Law Firm, and Steven Farris, chief executive officer of the Apache Petroleum company, Egypt’s largest US investor. Helmy and Farris, co-chairs of the Forum, explained that after years of economic and financial reform, Egypt is ready to receive support for entrepreneurship.

“Reforms [have been] substantially successful, the private sector controls over 75 percent of the Egyptian economy…our primary focus has shifted to entrepreneurship and education,” Helmy told The Daily News Egypt.

Egypt’s willingness to undertake controversial reforms won it recognition with the GEP pilot program, and Clinton urged other nations to follow suit: “We need to encourage your governments to make the legal and commercial reforms needed to encourage trade, allow for the free flow of ideas [and] lower the barriers to launching new businesses,” she said in her speech.

Endeavour sets the pace

Although the efficacy of the State Department and its affiliates in promoting innovation in MMCs remains untested, Endeavor is an independent organization already active in the region. Initially focused in Latin America, the non-governmental organization began giving entrepreneurs access to mentors and angel investors in Morocco, Turkey and Egypt in recent years and is contemplating a Beirut office.

Endeavor’s method — identifying successful small businesses and helping them grow to scale, becoming role models for other entrepreneurs — represents what Elmira Bayrasli, policy and outreach coordinator for Endeavor Global, refers to as a “paradigm shift” — offering support to successful local initiatives rather than descending with a list of externally-generated goals.

“We don’t apply a cookie-cutter model. We have a framework that is driven by finding local business leaders and local networks that will then define how their own framework is built,” she said at Endeavor’s International Selection Panel in Cairo in March. “It’s really up to them to drive it forward in the vision they feel is best suited to that country.”

The event brought Endeavor Board Chairman Edgar Bronfman to Egypt to advise small business owners hoping to partner with the group. Bronfman, the CEO of Warner Music Group and heir to one of the wealthiest families in Canada, explained his commitment to facilitating entrepreneurship, particularly in the Middle East: “I’ve always believed that the more people that have jobs, the greater the opportunities for peace and the fewer opportunities for anger and frustration,” he said. “This is true everywhere, but especially important in the Middle East.”

His statements echo those made by Clinton, who listed a strong economic foundation and a stable middle class as “essential” to good governance and the rule of law. While the words “democracy” and “US security” enter the vocabulary of the Obama administration with less frequency than that of his predecessor, its policies represent the unspoken understanding that Bush had the right agenda but the wrong methods.

As a congressman, Obama’s record for democracy promotion included co-sponsorship of the Advance Democracy Act, while in 2005 he introduced the Democratic Republic of Congo Relief, Security and Democracy Promotion Act. Monetary support for democracy in the Middle East may re-emerge after trust has been re-established by the US’s respect for sovereignty and international rule of law.

America comes first

In the meantime, civil society groups in Egypt, Jordan and other countries have watched funding disappear. United States Agency for International Development told the Associated Press that cuts resulted from a drawing down of military aid, especially to Egypt.

The DC-based Project on Mideast Democracy reported that funding in Egypt fell from $10 million in 2008 to $2.6 million in 2010, and that only groups registered with the Egyptian government may receive funding, a hindrance for those attempting to monitor the upcoming presidential election in 2011, for example. Perhaps in an attempt to counterbalance this loss of civil society funding, the Obama administration has sponsored social entrepreneurship in the region.

Ultimately, the Presidential Entrepreneurship Summit’s role as a catalyst may be more important than the event itself. For example, it inspired the recent Arab World Social Innovation Forum in Cairo, hosted by international social entrepreneurship NGO Ashoka and attended by representatives from Microsoft, Price Waterhouse Coopers, the Arab League and USAID, among others.

However, this one summit should not be taken as a sure sign of fundamental change in US policy in the Middle East. Although the White House may seem to have changed its methods, it will undoubtedly continue to pursue policies to promote what it considers best, both for the region and for its own interests.

June 3, 2010 0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Feature

Bred to kill

by Executive Editors June 3, 2010
written by Executive Editors

For the aficionados, dog fighting is more than a sport — it is a platform to play God with the violence of Darwin’s natural selection.

“I have Hitler’s mentality,” says 35-year-old Mike Kennel, a pseudonym he chose to maintain anonymity. “I aim for humans to advance, just like I am allowing these dogs to advance — I only let the most intelligent marry each other and the strongest marry each other.”

On the outskirts of Beirut down a winding road off the Hadath highway, an iron gate opens onto a secluded path bordered by agricultural land. Yet the organically grown plots, the picturesque greenery and the peaceful ambiance camouflage a farm of another kind: This is doggie boot camp.

A seemingly abandoned building at the end of the path houses dogs enrolled in a rigorous training regimen, and on the other side of the clearing, leafy fichus trees shade a square fighting arena, in which they are trained to tear each other apart.

Apart from fulfilling his competitive lust, Kennel claims he stages fights to test for specific traits to ensure the preservation of the species.

“I check for the dog with the stronger jaw, the strongest mind and the longest breath, and I use it for the selection I breed. To test it, I need to put it in the ring,” says Kennel. “We believe in the rule of the jungle. We believe in the survival of the fittest, because the fittest will make stronger offspring, and prevent the extinction of the animal.”

When these canine “ultimate fighters” are in the ring, the faceoff is brutal. American pit bull terriers (APBT) have been bred for their capacity to fight and inflict maximum damage. It is also their “gameness,” or ability to attack regardless of their physical condition, that is one of their most appealing attributes for their masters.

APBTs have a predisposition to tolerate pain through anesthetizing compounds that their bodies naturally secrete. The selection and genetic make-up, rather than the use of any drugs, says Kennel, have allowed the development of strong, feisty pit bulls that are born with a predator’s instinct to hurt other dogs.

What started for Kennel as a fascination with animal competitions at age 12 led him, by 16, to become a professional dog-fighter, trainer, breeder, trader, handler and referee; in other words — a dogman. Today he says it is also a lucrative business, but one that he declined to quantify to avoid litigation by auditors from the Ministry of Finance.

Kennel owns 75 dogs that he trains and breeds; 25 are APBTs, which are the only species he raises for fighting purposes. Kennel’s work in breeding and training has earned him a region-wide reputation: in his workshop he builds self-powered treadmills that he sells for $600 around the Middle East to improve the cardiovascular fitness of the dogs without exhausting them.

Dogs also wear weighted collars, usually four kilograms, to increase upper body strength, and their biting power is improved by having them chomp on a hanging rope from which they are suspended for extended periods. Kennel has also developed strict nutrition regimes complete with vitamins and minerals to complement dogs’ training.

A puppy is trained until the age of two before entering the ring for the first time. Formal matches are usually arranged two months in advance to give time for training, with the details — such as the wager of each owner and the weight class of the dogs — drafted into a contract for the competing parties to sign.

Lord of the ring

Just before formal matches dogs are weighed to ensure they adhere to the agreed weight category, and if not, the party in breech of the contract pays a penalty, usually half the value of the bet, or an average of $2,000, to cover the cost of the training. The opponent can then also choose to cancel the bout.

After passing the weigh-in, the dogs are washed to remove any possible poison hidden in their fur. Handlers then bring the animals into the pit, or “ring” — a four meters by four meters square with walls up to 75 centimeters high. They hold the dogs by their hips behind “scratch lines” in opposing corners as the dogs prepare to attack.

The referee stands in the middle of the ring, ready with a wooden or plastic “breaking stick,” which is the only way to pry open a pit bull’s locked jaws. At the signal of the referee, handlers release the dogs for the first “scratch” — dog fighting terminology for an attack — and the animals leap at each other in a fever of bloodlust. 

“We don’t tell the dogs ‘Go’,” said Kennel. “The dog has an instinct to go on its own. If we have to invite the dog to the fight, we don’t want it.”

At the fight Executive attended last month, the dogs became entangled in a “dance of death” standing on their hind legs, then took turns mauling each other, quietly encouraged by their respective handlers with words the dogs were conditioned to hear when striking opponents.

During the first scratch, the dog that locked its jaws on its opponent first won a point. The dogs were then pried apart with the breaking sticks — no one flinched as blood oozed from the wounded animal.

At this point in the match the owners and the referee will check for the dog’s gameness.

“Even if the dog gets wiped, if it still has gameness then it is selected for breeding,” said Kennel.

At the second scratch, the dog that lost the first round will be released to attack his opponent. If after a 10 second count by the referee the dog still has not attacked, then the other dog must scratch and secure a lock on its opponent. If the second dog fails to attack as well, then the dogs are even and the match is over.

“Both dogs will go bye-bye,” explained Kennel with a hint of sarcasm. “They can’t be sold, there is no breeding, and their value will be zero even if they cost $10,000.”

When a dog loses, it gets a loss added to its title record, and if it does not display gameness it will never be bred or enter a ring again.

After each fight, Kennel injects the dogs with antibiotics to speed their healing. He confirms though that unless it’s a finishing game, where a dog has to be kept in the fight until its last breath, no owner would let his dog die in the ring. 

“No one kills a dog worth $4,000,” he said, though Kennel admitted that dogs often die the day after a fight due to injuries.

As a result, medical care for the dogs before and after the fight is essential in preserving their value and improving its performance.

Gambling on gore

With the blood sport underway in the ring, betting outside goes into full swing, with 10 percent of all bets going to the referee and ring, which usually go together. Kennel says there are three rings in Lebanon for professional fights.

“There are no limits for bets,” he explained. In Gulf countries, bets can reach up to $30,000, and can include automobiles and property.

Kennel says that in Lebanon,  the bets don’t go beyond $5,000, and the big betting is usually limited to a handful of insiders. The dog-fighting circle is secretive and clandestine, with heavy emphasis put on the anonymity of participants given the involvement of some of the country’s prominent businessmen, according to sources that also declined to be identified.

The price of a gladiator

As a fully-fledged dogman, Kennel takes a lot of pride in his lineage breeding. The price of a puppy ranges from $500 to $1,500. After that, prices increase with the level of training, the titles a dog earns and the owner’s emotional attachment to the animal.

With each match victory, a dog’s value normally doubles; three wins earns a dog a champion’s title, and five wins earn it the title of grand champion, which can elevate the price to as much as $50,000 in Lebanon.

Kennel’s endeavors have evolved into a highly disciplined enterprise compared to “street level” dog fighting. Sources, which asked for anonymity because they have received threats from dog fighters in these other circles, describe them as being associated with criminal networks, with bouts staged in secret locations that are only revealed to the participants shortly beforehand via SMS mobile messages. Dogs fighting in these settings tend to be subjected to extreme abuse, often deprived of food and forced to live in darkness to increase their aggressiveness.

Kennel, who sees himself as a professional, abides by the “Cajun rules,” a detailed list of guidelines related to dog fighting created in the 1950s in the United States. He argues that street dog fighters are amateurs and ignorant of important information pertaining to adequate dog training, such as the fact that darkness weakens the eyesight of a dog and makes him aggressive towards people in daylight.

“A dog that is aggressive towards humans is not allowed in [our] ring,” he says.

In fact, Kennel now recruits amateur dog fighters to join his training camp, teaching them how to be professional handlers and trainers in the creation of true canine predators.

“I recommend that anyone who has a pit bull, go to a professional to learn… the value and the love of the dog,” said Kennel.

There are currently no laws in Lebanon that pertain to dog fighting. Kennel says he believes that dog fighting should be regulated, and that those who fail to ensure a safe and secure environment for their dogs should be penalized. Inspection and regulation should be the job of the government, he says, and not that of animal rights activists who don’t understand the emotional and financial value of game dogs and want to “castrate” them.

“Why don’t we castrate Mohammad Ali? Or all the people who like boxing?” says Kennel.

“We don’t have to be enemies with animal rights activists, we can work together,” he said. “Instead of stifling those who are addicted to this sport, we can teach them to do things right. This is a dangerous sport and safety procedures have to be respected.”

June 3, 2010 0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Comment

Deadly dithering in Yemen

by Abigail Fielding-Smith June 3, 2010
written by Abigail Fielding-Smith

If your knowledge of Yemen was gained entirely from donor briefings and government statements, you might think it was a politically troubled, developmentally challenged country, like Egypt on a bad day.

When the international community was spurred to ‘do something’ about Yemen, following the attempt to take down a United States-bound airliner by a would-be suicide bomber — who apparently trained there — the impulse was not to send over emergency relief, like Ethiopia in 1984, but to set up working groups to investigate Yemen’s complex developmental challenges.  

But as donors deliberate the best way to boost the country’s long-term institutional capacity, increasing numbers of its citizens are living on the margins of survival. In the capital, Sanaa, when your car slows down even for a few seconds, thin fingers will inevitably begin tapping on the window begging for money. Poverty and privation is even worse in the countryside.

On a trip to Al Mazraq refugee camp last year, I saw people who had fled the war in the northern province of Saada shouting angrily into the sandy wind that they had nothing — no means of ensuring their own survival. Their situation has since become much worse.

Yemen may superficially be a part of the Middle East — a “middle income” region — but its statistics are in a different league. Child malnutrition rates are second only to Afghanistan, and a recent shortfall in funding to the World Food Program (WFP) means that, quite simply, more children will die this year as their plates go empty.

“We are expecting the moderately malnourished children to fall into a severe malnutrition state, and those who are already severely malnourished will sustain life-long implications,” said Wisam al-Timimi, a nutrition specialist with UNICEF in Yemen. “Their survival will be jeopardized.”

According to the WFP, one in three Yemenis, some 7.2 million people, suffer from chronic hunger and 1.7 million people will become unable to meet their basic nutritional requirements with seasonal food price rises this summer. Lack of funding will force the WFP to withdraw assistance from 80,000 beneficiaries in July, and it has already almost run out of food for the 270,000 internal refugees from the northern conflict — between Houthi insurgents and government forces — who are completely dependent on aid handouts. As of last month, the agency began distributing half rations to trickle out the supply longer. 

“Anyone arguing this is a nightmare scenario wouldn’t be wrong,” said one humanitarian expert I spoke to.

Its not just the WFP that is suffering a funding crisis — an appeal for $177 million in humanitarian assistance for Yemen launched by a coalition of international agencies last year has only received around 30 percent of this target. 

“It’s puzzling,” said Gian Carlo Cirri, head of the WFP in Yemen. “There’s lots of talk about helping Yemen, but very little money.”

Some speculate that the Haiti earthquake has caused donor fatigue. Yemeni political analyst Abdul-Ghani al-Iryani blamed the government in Sanaa — which disputes the WFP’s findings — for not making food security a high profile issue due to the potential political embarrassment. 

“The callous position of the government on the issue of hunger is costing each year more lives than all the wars that Yemen has seen since its founding,” said Iryani. “The most vulnerable group is too powerless to protest.”

Another theory is that humanitarian aid has become the victim of development aid policy concerns . 

“Expectations that Western donors would give more money have not materialized,” said the Deputy Finance Minister Hisham Sharaf. Western delegates at a conference held in London after December’s failed bombing attempt didn’t pledge new funds to the country, but instead vowed to direct $5 billion donated following a 2006 conference, much of which remains untouched.

Donor desire to implement a considered development strategy that avoids propping up a system notorious for its corruption and inefficiency is understandable, but the country’s immediate humanitarian needs are too acute to be held hostage by such concerns. This is not only a moral issue, but a strategic one as well.

Protests have already begun in Saada after the announcement of half-rations for internal refugees, and there are fears the $35 million WFP funding shortfall for food supplies to feed these people could destabilize the situation in the north, where a fragile ceasefire is holding.

After all, $35 million is, as Cian Carlo Cirri keeps telling reporters, a relatively cheap price for stability.

ABIGAIL FIELDING-SMITH  reports on the Middle East for the Financial Times

June 3, 2010 0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Editorial

Tomorrow’s zeal

by Yasser Akkaoui June 3, 2010
written by Yasser Akkaoui

Last fall, I was teaching a business ethics course at the American University of Beirut and explaining the ‘double bottom line,’ the concept that in modern business, a healthy bottom line must also include a firm commitment to corporate social responsibility and corporate governance. Two of my students, Omar Touma and Linda Sawaya, asked me how Executive could call itself a responsible company, and presumably claim to have a double bottom line, when it prints 25,000 copies of a magazine every month.

They had a point. So much so that Executive immediately set about improving its green profile. We started by only sourcing paper made from wood grown in sustained forests, while internally we began recycling. But it still wasn’t enough. We still felt we were falling short of being on good terms with our carbon footprint.

It was only back in the classroom this spring, this time teaching strategic management, that the final piece of the jigsaw fell into place. Another group of students suggested that for every magazine we distribute, we should make a commitment to collect up to three more, of any publication, for recycling.

We are empowered and inspired by the enthusiasm, awareness and talent shown by our young business leaders. What is all the more remarkable is that they have demonstrated such maturity in the face of a society that has dragged its heels in embracing the ethics, not only of the modern business community, but the wider world. That they have done so is a testament to the power of the media to cross borders and positively affect us all.

I am telling you this, not only because I am proud of the way Executive has reacted in its own small way to embrace best practice, but because the solutions came from our youth, our future leaders. It is the duty of our generation to ensure that they, and the generations that will follow as they mature, have a world worth inheriting.

Finally, it was with profound sadness that Executive learned of the sudden death of Melhem Karam, who for 50 years was head of the Lebanese Journalists’ Union. He was 78.

As a journalist and writer, he penned many works including ‘The Storm,’ ‘A Thousand and One Nights’ and ‘The Secrets.’ Karam also founded the Arabic weekly Al-Hawadeth, the daily Al-Bayraq and the magazines La Revue du Liban and Monday Morning.

He will be missed.

June 3, 2010 0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Economics & Policy

Tightening inflows

by Executive Staff June 3, 2010
written by Executive Staff

Total net private financial inflows to the Middle East and North Africa are projected to be $12.9 billion in 2010, a decrease of 23 percent from 2009’s $16.8 billion, according to the International Monetary Fund.

The estimate accounts for 6.1 percent of global inflows to emerging and developing economies, projected at $210 billion. By comparison, Latin and Central America are slated to be the largest recipients of net private inflows in 2010 with $80 billion, or 38 percent of the total. The IMF’s predications, however, vastly differ from those of the Institute of International Finance, which forecasts inflows of $709 billion globally.

The IMF forecast net private direct investment to the MENA region at $71.7 billion this year and $77.8 billion in 2011, up from $70 billion in 2009. The body also estimated foreign currency reserves to increase by $60 billion in 2010 and $71 billion in 2011.

June 3, 2010 0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Economics & Policy

Q&A – Paul Griffiths

by Paul Cochrane June 1, 2010
written by Paul Cochrane

DubaiAirports Chief Executive Officer Paul Griffiths currently oversees operationsat Dubai International while at the same time coordinating the launch of DubaiWorld Central-Al Maktoum International (DWC), which is slated to be the world’slargest passenger and cargo hub. He sat down with Executive to discuss thecompany’s activities.

E   Dubai International became thethird busiest airport in the world this year. The expectation is that it willbe the busiest by 2020, but could you reach the top spot before that date?

Basedon our growth projections, this is entirely possible. The busiest airport forinternational passenger traffic currently is London Heathrow with around 60million per annum, whereas we will reach 46 million this year and 52 million bythe end of 2011. As you know, recent proposals for a third runway have beenshot down, which significantly constrains Heathrow’s future capacity. Paris,Frankfurt, Hong Kong and Amsterdam also face capacity constraints, althoughthey are less severe and have slower growth rates. All told, we believe we canget to the top spot within the next several years.

E   What challenges are you facing tohandle such exponential growth in passenger and freight traffic?

Theprovision of timely and efficient capacity, both in terms of infrastructure andairspace, is a top priority. We have aggressive plans in place to boostcapacity at Dubai International from the current 60 million passengers per yearto 90 million by 2018 and to complete the world’s largest airport at [DWC], bythe midpoint of the next decade for 160 million passengers. Our goal is tostreamline processes and implement technologies that allow us to do this asefficiently as possible.

E   While Dubai International is thebase of carrier Emirates, what are you doing to attract more airlines?

Dubai’sopen skies policy combined with top-flight infrastructure provided atcompetitive rates has served us well to date. With 130 airlines offeringservices to 220 destinations on six continents, we already provide consumerswith a compelling range of options. That said, we are always looking to growthose numbers and do so primarily through direct and ongoing consultation withexisting and prospective client airlines.

E   DWC began cargo operationsrecently. Did this have any affect on Dubai Airport’s freight operations? Ifnot, why is that the case?

Thetwo operations are complimentary. They provide attractive options to our clientairlines whose commercial and operational requirements often vary. To date we have19 cargo airlines signed up to operate at the new airport. We expect thatnumber to increase in the years ahead as slot availability for cargo freightersdiminishes and air freight volumes reach capacity limits at DubaiInternational.

E   The Strategic Plan 2015 is forDubai to be the region’s aviation hub. What role will Dubai Airport play inthis plan, given the development of DWC? What will happen to DubaiInternational when DWC is fully operational?

Ithink it’s safe to say we are already the region’s aviation hub and haveestablished Dubai as a leading global aviation hub. The next step in thejourney is to fully develop Dubai International’s capacity and cement itsposition as the number one international hub by the end of the decade. DWC willtake us to the next level serving as the world’s largest airport with room for160 million passengers and 12 million tons of freight when it is completed atsome point in the mid-2020s. It is too early to say what will happen to DubaiInternational at that point.

 

 

June 1, 2010 0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Economics & Policy

The world isn’t sinking

by Natacha Tannous June 1, 2010
written by Natacha Tannous

After four months of anxious waiting, the Government of Dubai, along with government-owned conglomerate Dubai World and real estate subsidiary Nakheel, released official statements on March 25 regarding the restructuring of billions of dollars in debt and the reorganization of both companies.

 

The emirate stated that it intends to support the debt restructuring plans of Dubai World and Nakheel “with significant financial resources, including…up to $9.5 billion in new funding,” according to the statement by Sheikh Ahmed bin Saeed al-Maktoum, chairman of the Dubai Supreme Fiscal Committee. Acting on behalf of the government, the Dubai Financial Support Fund (DFSF) will allocate $1.5 billion to Dubai World and $8 billion to Nakheel, of which $5.7 billion stems from unused Abu Dhabi loan proceeds. The remainder will come from internal governmental resources.

Restructuring and reactions

Dubai World’s $23.5 billion of outstanding debt is broken down between $14.2 billion in external debt (including United Arab Emirate banks) and $9.3 billion owed to the Government of Dubai through the DFSF. Given the sheer size of the tab, there were many turmoil-filled scenarios that had circulated through the Gulf financial world before the debt restructuring announcements — which have been greeted with a general sigh of relief.

Three key takeaways from these announcements were: First, the DFSF capital injection of $1.5 billion will be used to fund Dubai World’s working capital and interest payments on its restructured debt. Second, the Dubai government will equitize $8.9 billion out of its $9.3 billion debt outstanding, and such restructuring – meaning the capital injection plus the equitization “will allow Dubai World to focus on its core holdings and to manage and realize full value from its assets,” stated the Government of Dubai. Finally, the 97 non-DFSF creditors — of whom Emrati and United Kingdom banks own the lions share of the debt — will see their $14.2 billion claim fully restructured with a haircut on the principle, through the issuance of new debt into two tranches of five and eight-year maturities.

The announcements were well received by the markets, bringing down the cost of insuring Dubai’s debt. This is most clearly exemplified by Dubai’s five-year credit default swap spread dropping 14 percent, sliding from 420 basis points to 360 basis points. To crunch a few numbers, with the current 6.5 percent discount rate — as opposed to February’s 10 percent — and a 50 percent principal repayment in five years and the other half in eight years, the net present value is 67 cents on the dollar; much less of a hit than creditors had initially feared.

Nakheel restructuring and the real estate sector

The DFSF capital injection of $8 billion will be used to fund Nakheel’s operations and to terminate its current outstanding debt. Moreover, the government will also “recapitalize Nakheel through the equitization of the Government’s $1.2 billion claim.”

Even if the terms of the announced deals vary according to the type of creditor, all Nakheel debt holders will receive full repayment — when, however, is another question, as most maturities are as yet unclear. The schedule of Nakheel sukuk Islamic bond holders is set though, and should be fully repaid on their 2010 and 2011 maturity dates.

The bottom line
$9.5 billion in fresh funds to be injected by the Dubai government
$1.5 billion into Dubai World
$8.0 billion into Nakheel
Of which:
$5.7 billion is from unused Abu Dhabi loan proceeds
$3.8 billion is from internal Dubai government resources Dubai World’s $23.5 billion debt breakdown:
$9.3 billion owed to the Government of Dubai (of which $8.9 billion will be equitized)
$14.2 billion owed to external creditors, who should receive full repayment via new debt, in tranches of five and eight year maturities

 

Since Nakheel developments amount to a substantial amount of the pending projects in Dubai, the proposal “will have a significant direct impact on the construction and real estate sectors and the wider economy,” stated Sheikh Ahmad.

Challenges remain

The announcements bring some much-needed positive sentiments back to the market. However, “the restructuring process is expected to take several months to implement,” highlighted Sheikh Ahmed, and the high capital injection and governmental equity share might decrease the potential support for other struggling government-related entities. Furthermore, the financial support increases UAE government exposure to Dubai World: a situation not as welcomed by creditors as a government guarantee would have been. Finally, even if Nakheel’s restructuring proposal helps investors regain confidence in the real estate sector, the oversupply of product built and near completion remains.

June 1, 2010 0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Real Estate

Waking the sleepers

by Rayya Salem June 1, 2010
written by Rayya Salem

Grandiose visions of splendor have dissipated for Dubai’s developers after a sobering couple of years spent rethinking their payment schemes and trying to re-galvanize investor confidence. Now they are left with an array of unfinished projects, many of which are currently dormant.

 

“Not many projects have been restarted except the Nakheel ones,” says Charles Neil, chief executive officer of Landmark Advisory, a division of Landmark Properties. “Most of the ones that are stalled will remain stalled.”

Neil adds that it was the combination of the financial crisis and many developers’ lack of experience that led to the huge swaths of unfinished projects scattered throughout the emirate. Certain areas like Business Bay and Dubai Marina have a concentration of unfinished work, though some slow and cautious crane activity recently restarted. In June 2010, Proleads, a construction consultant, said $5 billion worth of Dubai projects were stalled, some of which had never physically started construction. More recent data published in The National suggests that more than a fifth of Dubai’s projects are postponed or have been cancelled completely.

According to Fadi Moussalli, regional director at Jones Lang LaSalle in Dubai: “Some projects went beyond the point of no return; depending on the project’s financing [or re-financing], how much was sold and how much of the down payment has been paid in cash, a developer may reach a conclusion that it would be less costly to re-launch building [work] rather than do nothing because of the liabilities on that building.”

Dubai World’s property arm, Nakheel, repaid $930 million to creditors as early as September of last year, announcing a mighty revival of construction on eight of their stalled projects (see chart). Though priority was given to Al Furjan and Jumeirah Park villas, Nakheel, in a November 12 announcement, only mentioned reactivating the first phases of construction. That means Arabtec, the construction company assigned to Al Furjan, is back on payroll but will complete only 800 units out of the 4,000 originally planned by the first quarter of 2012, after it had halted work in January 2010.

Pauling Middle East and Al Huda Contracting Company will both go back to stacking up villas in Jumeirah Park, but Al Huda will only deliver 289 out of the 2,764 villas originally planned by the fourth quarter of 2011. In response to investor frustration over Nakheel’s delivery delays, Chairman Ali Rashed Lootah said in February that about half of the company’s liabilities to buyers were swapped for these and other units to be completed in the next two years.

Landmark Advisory’s Neil believes most developers have opted to downsize their projects: “For people who put down payments on five villas, their deposits will all go towards one villa; that’s how they consolidate.”

The cost of stalled projects

A project’s revival will be driven by its uniqueness, its location and “the possibility of securing an anchor tenant, if that’s relevant” said Mark Fraser, partner at Dubai law firm Taylor Wessing, who believes that “it’s not just Nakheel that will be resuscitating projects.” Areas other than Business Bay, Dubai Marina (where Abyaar and Omniyat are trying to restart projects) and Jumeirah are seeing re-construction, such as the tourism mega-project in Dubailand, City of Arabia, which is being developed by Dubai Properties.

The biggest issue for developers is reeling in their contractors. “If you renegotiate with the appointed contractor, there are certain running costs in addition to remobilization costs for the stalled projects,” said Rizwan Shaikhani, managing director of Shaikhani Contracting. “If you appoint a new contractor, he’s got big liability concerns because he has no idea how it was built by the other contractor and has to go through complicated legal formalities and project details to ensure nothing has been overlooked.”

Any delays pose structural concerns, as exposed projects are subject to Dubai’s harsh environment. When slabs under the foundation are exposed to high temperatures for years it can cause a defect, posing a legal headache for the old and new contractor as well as safety concerns for the owner and future residents. The United Arab Emirates’ civil code does not specifically address who is at fault in such a situation, but, as Fraser asserts, “Given the potential liabilities that a contractor can face under the UAE civil code, he is going to implement exhaustive surveys to manage such risks.”

For example, exposure to salt and humidity in porous concrete can alter its composition after a year or two, depending on its quality, according to Tanmay Biswas, an engineer at Meinhardt Dubai who spoke at a June 2010 conference in Dubai about the risks of re-constructing stalled projects. Exposed pumps, electrical cablings, rebar and steel also need to be protected from the elements, but owners and consultants often spar over who should pay the maintenance fees when a project has been stalled, according to Biswas.

Anyone in business knows that time is money. But for Dubai’s half-built structures, time is more costly than elsewhere because the climate weighs heavily on the cost of re-starting construction. According to Taylor Wessing’s Fraser,    when Thailand was finally bouncing back from the 1997 Asian financial crisis some five years ago, half-built developments that had been stalled for six or seven years were resuscitated. Contractors weren’t particularly concerned about degraded materials because of Thailand’s wet tropical climate.

“[Dubai] is obviously different because of salt and heat issues, but you could still resuscitate a building 3-5 years after, if a reputable survey company, either local or international, has carried out a comprehensive examination of the building,” said Fraser.

Oversupply

Given the oversupply across all sectors in Dubai and the resulting negotiating power of the tenant shopping around for the best deals, one of the prickliest thorns for developers is not reconstruction but rather trying to fill the units after they are finished.

Dubai Pearl shining up a treat
Pearl Dubai FZ Chief Executive Officer Santhosh Joseph seems to have weathered the financial storm better than most. In a February email to Executive, Joseph said that fundraising was underway for phase one of the Dubai Pearl – a 1.86 million square meter ‘city-within-a-city.’ “A total of 3 million man hours have been spent since work started and over 70,000 cubic-meters of concrete has been poured on what is one of the largest construction projects still being developed in the UAE,” he said.
 
It has been a long road for the project since it was conceived in 2003. Pearl Dubai FZ, a consortium headed by Abu Dhabi’s Al Fahim group, took control of the project in 2007 after its previous owners had to give up on it due to financial concerns. In November 2008, the UAE’s largest construction group, Al Habtoor-Leighton, bagged the $2.4 billion main construction contract, the largest deal in the region at the time.
 
The initial phase will cost $2.5 billion to build, but construction “[has] never stalled and remains on schedule” since starting in March 2010, though it was earlier announced that construction would begin in January 2009 after structures were demolished on-site during the enabling works phase in September of 2008. Most probably because of the change of ownership and drastic “revival plan” that called for a $6 billion project instead of the originally planned $800 million project on the cards, the project was “stalled” for years, according to various local and non-local media outlets.

In 2011, Dubai’s total housing stock will see an increase of 25,000 new units, bringing the total number to around 335,000, according to Jones Lang LaSalle’s fourth quarter 2010 report released in January, adding that the value of transactions dropped 65 percent in the year leading up to the third quarter of 2010. Reports issued last month say properties such as Jumeirah Lakes Towers are still empty, as is half of Dubai Marina, where 36 crane sites are actively humming along.

Jones Lang LaSalle’s Moussalli said, “It’s very tough to fill a building with over 100 units when tenants are dictating [the market].”

Landmark Advisory’s Neil adds to the gloomy mix: “I think the investors don’t have a lot of confidence that these projects will be completed on schedule. For example, we [Landmark Properties] get some of these houses on the secondary market.

Buyers are not interested because there’s plenty of choice to buy something ready and functioning and because you have no idea when they will be completed.” There are also problems such as a lack of utilities connections and infrastructure in zones like Business Bay, meaning that even if homes are complete, they are still not immediately livable. 

Next target… malls

Developers seem to be turning to Dubai’s greatest pastime, shopping, to grease the cash-flow wheel since it became rusty in the dry financial climate of the last two years. Emaar, the other Dubai-based construction giant often described as Nakheel’s rival, pulled in 24 percent of its 2010 revenue from its retail and hospitality sector, according to its 2010 earnings statement released on February 10. In 2009 it was about nine percent of revenue.

Perhaps that’s why Nakheel is set to expand its Dragon Mart and Ibn Battuta malls in Dubai as soon as the eight priorities it listed in September are brought to fruition, as a serious cash inflow would be more of a priority than finishing work on other stalled projects.

June 1, 2010 0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Finance

Checking up

by Executive Staff June 1, 2010
written by Executive Staff

Lebanon saw a 38.7 percent rise in check clearing activity in the first quarter of 2010. According to figures released by the Association of Banks in Lebanon, total cleared checks came to $16.9 billion. The increase was attributed to a 43.1 percent surge in foreign currency denominated checks, 22.7 percent higher than in local currency.

Activity peaked in March, up by 56.6 percent on the same month last year, and 17.4 percent and 32.6 percent higher than January and February, respectively. The rise in foreign currency denominated checks has led to an increase in dollarization to some 80 percent in the first quarter versus 78.4 percent over the same period in 2009.

June 1, 2010 0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
  • 1
  • …
  • 417
  • 418
  • 419
  • 420
  • 421
  • …
  • 696

Latest Cover

About us

Since its first edition emerged on the newsstands in 1999, Executive Magazine has been dedicated to providing its readers with the most up-to-date local and regional business news. Executive is a monthly business magazine that offers readers in-depth analyses on the Lebanese world of commerce, covering all the major sectors – from banking, finance, and insurance to technology, tourism, hospitality, media, and retail.

  • Donate
  • Our Purpose
  • Contact Us

Sign up for our newsletter

    • Facebook
    • Twitter
    • Instagram
    • Linkedin
    • Youtube
    Executive Magazine
    • ISSUES
      • Current Issue
      • Past issues
    • BUSINESS
    • ECONOMICS & POLICY
    • OPINION
    • SPECIAL REPORTS
    • EXECUTIVE TALKS
    • MOVEMENTS
      • Change the image
      • Cannes lions
      • Transparency & accountability
      • ECONOMIC ROADMAP
      • Say No to Corruption
      • The Lebanon media development initiative
      • LPSN Policy Asks
      • Advocating the preservation of deposits
    • JOIN US
      • Join our movement
      • Attend our events
      • Receive updates
      • Connect with us
    • DONATE