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Feature

Asian Assertion

by Nicholas Blanford June 11, 2006
written by Nicholas Blanford

With Asian economic powerhouses such as China and India aggressively hunting new sources of energy to fuel their expanding economies, new opportunities beckon for the oil- and gas-rich states of the Middle East.
Iran and Syria, under stiff international pressure and US sanctions, are strengthening their ties to the Far East and South Asia – eyeing up new markets for their oil and gas and hoping to win powerful new political allies in the process.
Saudi Arabia and other key Gulf states are also looking to lessen their reliance on the West by entering the booming markets of the East, a swing that could have geo-strategic implications for Western influence in the Middle East.
“I think we are in a very fluid transitional period not just in terms of energy factors but geo-political factors,” says John Calabrese, an energy specialist with Washington’s Middle East Institute. “I think every country is recalibrating its relations in order to try and, at least in the short term, achieve a better balance.”

Converging interests
The convergence of economic and political interests between Iran and Syria and Asia is evident from recent developments in the United Nations Security Council. Both Russia and China opposed a French-drafted resolution against Syria which demanded Damascus accept full diplomatic relations with Lebanon and demarcate the border between the two countries. Syria countered that diplomatic relations between two countries was a bilateral issue and not the affair of the UN, an argument that won the sympathy of Russia and China, two of the five permanent members of the Security Council.
Although the objection of Russia and China was insufficient to block the adoption of the resolution, it appeared to have thwarted a more strongly worded version proposed by the US.


Iran is also gaining political benefits from the lure of its enormous energy resources. Russia and China were the two most powerful hold-outs in the Security Council over a draft resolution that would oblige Iran to halt its uranium enrichment program. The draft, co-sponsored by Britain and France and backed by the US, the other three permanent member states, would come under Chapter 7 of the UN charter which allows for sanctions or even military action as a last resort.
“The reason we don’t think that Tehran will be hit by sanctions is because Russia and China won’t let that happen,” says Said Ghusayni, vice-president of Mitsui Bussan Commodities in London. “There will be a much more even playing field in the Security Council than when Saddam Hussein was causing problems.”
China is the world’s second largest consumer of petroleum products after the US and is the source of about 40 percent of world oil demand growth over the past four years, according to the US government’s Energy Information Administration. With worldwide oil production stretched to the limit and the price of a barrel of oil hitting near record highs, every drop counts if China is to sustain its high economic growth.
“Asia is the natural market for Middle East oil and gas,” says Hossein Ebneyousef, a consultant with the Washington-based International Petroleum Enterprises. Middle East oil fueled South Korea’s economic boom, but, according to Ebneyousef, what is relatively new is the phenomenal demand of other parts of Asia, China and India in particular. “Obviously the Persian Gulf region with its huge reserve space offers excellent opportunities for them.”
And excellent reciprocal opportunities for Middle East oil producers looking to diversify their markets and win greater political leverage.
“Here’s where it gets interesting,” says Calabrese, “because they run the risk – Syria, Iran and Sudan – of seeing the East as being not just their economic salvation but also their political salvation and I’m not totally sure about that. At the end of the day, the relationship with the US, particularly as far as China is concerned, means far more than the relationship with Iran.”

Washington concerned
Still, Washington remains concerned that its opponents in the Middle East will gain greater leverage through increased ties with Asian nations like China.
“Part of the problem is that some of the nations we rely on for oil have unstable governments, or agendas that are hostile to the United States,” President George Bush said in a speech to ethanol producers in Washington last month. “These countries know we need their oil, and that reduces our influence, our ability to keep the peace in some areas.”
Meanwhile, Chinese President Hu Jintao’s visit to Saudi Arabia in April, part of a whirlwind international tour of oil-producing states, resulted in multi-billion dollar deals not only in the energy sector but also defense and security, traditionally the preserve of US and European companies. Hu’s visit followed on from a trip to China and other Asian countries by Saudi King Abdullah in January, underlining Riyadh’s desire to foster stronger commercial and political links with Asia.
Oil production is also a vital component of the Syrian economy, generating almost 70 percent of its export revenues. But output has been in decline for a decade, dropping by just over 25% from over 600,000 barrels per day to 460,000 barrels per day. At the current rate, Syria could be a net oil importer within a decade, a stark fact that has galvanized the Syrian government to intensify oil exploration and production.
Two years ago, the Bush administration slapped limited sanctions on Damascus, banning the export of all American goods to Syria except for humanitarian supplies. Last month, Bush renewed the sanctions for another year. Although the sanctions regime does not prevent American companies from investing in Syria, the prohibition on importing US goods has an adverse impact on high-tech industries such as oil and gas which often rely on specialized equipment manufactured in the US. That, combined with the prospect of incurring the Bush administration’s ire, has spurred several American oil majors to reduce their investment profile in Syria or pull out of the country altogether. US oil giant ConocoPhilips withdrew from Syria in 2004 and Devon Energy left last year.
“The majority of Western companies are not interested in investing in Syria because an investor always calculates risk and any country that is under sanctions or could face sanctions is going to be regarded as a higher risk,” says Samir Saifan, a Syrian economist. “Naturally Syria will look for other sources, and they are China, India, Malaysia and other Asian countries.”
Enter Texas-based Marathon Oil, which had been locked into a long-running dispute with the Syrian government after discovering two oil and gas fields in central Syria in the 1980s. However, in early May, Marathon Oil signed a $127 million deal with the state-owned Syrian Petroleum Company, ending a freeze in the company’s activities in Syria. But this was not an American oil major investing in Syria. The agreement allows the company to sell its interests to a third party, allowing it to exit Syria altogether if it so wishes.


“That’s definitely one option,” says Scott Scheffler, a spokesman for Marathon Oil. “Part of the contract did review that as an option.”
With American companies departing, Russian and Asian companies are more than willing to fill the gap. Devon Energy sold its interests in Syria to Gulfsands, its partner in a joint exploration contract. Gulfsands then sold 50 percent of the project to SoyuzNefteGas, a Russian oil and gas company.
At the end of 2005, the Syrian oil ministry and the Russian Company for Investment Credit Line signed a memorandum of understanding for the construction of a $2.7 billion oil refinery and petrochemical complex in Deir ez-Zor in central Syria.
Normally competitors in the pursuit of fresh energy sources, an Indian oil and gas major teamed up with a Chinese rival to win in January a 37% stake in a Syrian oil and gas field in a $573 million deal with Petro-Canada, which said it was selling its share to reduce its political risk profile due to the prevailing political uncertainty in Syria.

Reduced American private presence
The reduction in American oil and gas majors is a trend reflected throughout the Middle East, a result of political pressure on US companies combined with the closed-door policy of many Arab oil producers toward foreign companies.
According to Ebneyousef, only about 4% of US oil giant Exxon’s total investments in the last few years have been allocated to the Middle East.
“And they know this region is rich [in energy reserves],” he says. “They know that they are not welcomed in certain parts [of the Middle East]. They know there is a closed-door policy existing, they know they don’t have the support of the US government, they know that sanctions exist. These are the factors and until and unless we see a major change, we have to expect China and India and others to take the lead.”

“We have to expect China and India to take the lead.”


The eagerness of Russia and Asian countries to invest in Syria is a source of irritation for Washington which is seeking to isolate and squeeze the Syrian regime. In response to the Indian-Chinese oil and gas deal with Petro-Canada, the Bush administration failed to convince the Indian government to reconsider. For its part, Delhi said it was a private sector transaction and therefore outside its remit, while Petro-Canada said that the deal was not a fresh investment in Syria but a sale of existing equity.


Asian interest in Iran’s energy reserves is also complicating US efforts to isolate Tehran. The US is attempting to persuade India and Pakistan to drop out of the proposed $7 billion Iran-Pakistan-India (IPI) gas pipeline linking Iran’s massive gas reserves, the second largest in the world, to India’s soaring economy. In April, the Bush administration reportedly made an unofficial offer to the Pakistani government to provide funding and security guarantees for an alternative $3 billion gas pipeline linking Turkmenistan, Afghanistan and Pakistan if Islamabad abandoned the IPI pipeline. The recent nuclear cooperation deal between the US and India was an attempt to woo New Delhi away from cooperating with Tehran.
But it could prove difficult for the US to undermine the strengthening economic ties between the Middle East and Asia, particularly as many analysts view the relationship as a perfect match.
“If you look at the future of the global energy market there are areas known to have substantial reserves and there are customers who are heavy hitters on the demand side, and they’re in Asia,” says Calabrese.

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Special Section

Talking Banking

by Executive Editors June 11, 2006
written by Executive Editors

4Ronald Yazbeck,
Assistant General Manager, Banque BEMO

E Your bank has been involved in many diversification activities, including geographic expansion and securitization. How has this shaped your strategy for 2006?
We are still following our main strategy as a specialized bank in Lebanon, as the specialized bank in private and corporate banking. We don’t intend to change that strategy. Our focus will be on expanding within the strategy, as you can see from the opening of our first specialized branch for corporate banking in Sin al-Fil. This is our new point-of-sale. It is not a general expansion in view of regional coverage. It is more within the scope of our business, giving corporate clients and companies a dedicated space in a branch that is located in the same area as these companies and factories, where tailored products for corporate clients are available from a dedicated team and sales manager who are pleasant and available. We’re talking about quick cash, cash delivery, cash collection, and many other services.
We have also opened a branch in Verdun that is dedicated to private banking, mainly for Arab investors who have a residence in the area. This summer in the branch we will have special representation for Banque Saudi Fransi customers.
We are focusing a lot on the Gulf region by giving more push to services specially dedicated to Arab investors in Lebanon. We have been increasing our physical presence in the Emirates and Saudi Arabia – strengthened by the participation of Banque Saudi Fransi in our capital and the joint venture we have in Syria. We are always trying to support our line of business through our affiliated company BEMO Securitization, which is also a specialized financial company dealing mainly with securitization products. So we are still within the scope of our business, within our specializations, continuing to try to find growth within them. We are not expanding in other ways, like retail banking or branches. We have been successful in obtaining a very good increase in our profits for the first quarter. We are launching now a preferred share that we will be closing in the coming ten days. There’s another $30 million that was privately placed that will also enhance our corporate business by giving more strength to our shareholder equity and enhancing our ratios, which are still very far from the requested ratio internationally. We are already well-prepared for any ratio coming from Basel II.


We have a history in Syria. We are present in Syria now in a totally different way, under a universal bank, doing all the commercial business of a bank from commercial trade to retail. This has enhanced our presence in Syria, mainly on the offshore business side of the market.
But we also have very strong partners in the Gulf. The Gulf is for us an open door. It is totally different. The services we provide in the Gulf are usually tailored within the group of banks that we have under BEMO Europe, with a presence in Paris and Luxembourg. That’s a French-entity bank, completely separate from Lebanon. And in Lebanon, as a private bank, we do some business in joint venture with our European banks. Lately we have launched the family service office, which is fully dedicated to high net worth customers. It is a very specialized part of private banking in which we talk about structuring families, consolidating wealth, and auditing actual performance of portfolios of wealth. We’re not really doing wealth management directly. It’s more on a consultancy and mandate basis. That’s what we do in the Gulf. In Syria we are still private bankers. We cash deposits and work on wealth management. It’s a little bit different. The Gulf has already been fully covered by the international private banks and the big names. So going there and trying to do what the others are doing will not really provide anything value-added. Instead, we go there with a new product. Being a small bank that is fully dedicated to relationship management, we can provide this kind of business.
Stock market losses in the Gulf have convinced people that the services we sell are very important. When you audit risk, wealth repartition and wealth return, automatically you are going to see how much people have emphasized one aspect of the market, thinking that it will offer an open-ended return – which is not true. In many cases, we have seen there is a limit for everything and a return for everything. The Gulf market crashes have shown people that it’s very important to know your total exposure, to consolidate your wealth. Let us tell you where the weak points in your wealth are. That’s very important when you are talking about wealth per client which is now on average $100-200 million and not anymore like in our markets in Lebanon and Syria, where it averages between $30 million and $50 million. The difference is really very big.
We are not looking into regional expansion because we are not a retail bank. We are present in Jordan, Qatar, Abu Dhabi, Bahrain, Dubai, Saudi Arabia, Syria and Cyprus. We have enough now to conduct our business. We prefer to be small and smart.

4Philippe
El Hajj,
Head of Retail Banking Division, Fransabank

E Can you bring us up to date on Fransabank’s investment and retail banking activities? How important have they been to the bank’s operations in 2006?
Fransabank is the oldest bank in Lebanon. Its foundation dates back to 1921. It had a French name before. Within the last decade it became Fransabank. Since then it has worked as a retail bank. Three years ago, the bank decided to expand its retail presence and so a separate retail division was founded within the bank. The bank’s policy is to expand retail products and services. The bank has set a target, an objective, because it sees a substantial importance in the profitability of retail business, for the profits of the bank. On the customer side, if you expand your retail business you please the customer. And on the other hand, for shareholder value, retail business is positive as well. We have created within the retail division a business development department that takes care of improving existing products and services and introducing new ones. We have also set a mechanism for communicating with our nearly 60 branches, whereby the retail business, loan approval and so on have been speeded up substantially in a way that pleases the customer and the branch as well.


We have a 24/24, 7/7 call center. We are planning to educate our clients to use as much as possible the services of the call center rather than those of the branches. It’s difficult in this part of the world, but we are improving in that respect. When you improve the service of the call center, the client will be pleased because there is a one-stop shop for him, single window access. And our service-people in the branches will be free to do other jobs, such as sales. We have introduced new loan products, such as the car loans, the PC loan, the housing loan for Lebanese expatriates working abroad, and many types of accounts that serve the needs of clients, for example marriage accounts, ‘newly-married’ accounts, domiciliation accounts, payroll accounts and so on. Our retail portfolio over the last three years has witnessed more than a 50% increase. In the credit card sector for example, three years ago we had a MasterCard market share of 13%. That rose by the end of 2005 to 21%. I’m talking in terms of the number of cards. We are rapidly increasing our cardholder numbers. Our aim is for all of our customers to hold at least one credit card. We are improving very well in that respect. Of course, communication with the market is important. Our marketing department is transferring these developments to the market. We are on TV, in newspapers, on billboards, everywhere.
In 2004 and 2005, we invested in introducing new products. In 2006, we will be improving sales among our points of distribution. But this year we will be focusing mainly on electronic banking. We are heading quickly towards internet banking and SMS banking. They will be an excellent backup to what we have done over the last three years.
We have also opened branches in the last couple of years. And we will open more this year and in the years to come. We will reach more people and be present in many areas in which we are not for the time being. For the coming two years our objective is growth. We have built a very important infrastructure as far as products, services and technology are concerned. Now we want to grow. In the coming five years, as well, our plan is growth in terms of profits and numbers.
Electronic banking has been around for some time in Lebanon. But electronic banking, call centers and even credit cards require very significant client education. Take credit cards for example. We are trying to educate our clients first of all to use the credit card. Then we are trying to educate them to use them at points of sale and not only at ATM machines, because the cards are mainly used at ATMs in Lebanon. We are also trying to get clients to use the call center and e-banking. This needs client education and persistence from the bank. Of course we have offers and incentives for the clients to do so.
We were one of the leaders in introducing reward, loyalty or points systems for credit card users. This year we will be renovating our system completely and introducing, maybe within the coming two months, something to encourage clients to use the card at the point of sale. They will get points, rewards, and cash rebates if they use it at points of sale.


4Anthony Usher,
Head of Consumer Banking, Standard Chartered
E You are known as an emerging markets bank with a strong presence in Asia. What is the bank’s strategy for the Middle East in general, and Lebanon in particular?
As far as the strategy in the Middle East is concerned, it’s pretty obvious that with rising, and likely continuing high energy prices, that the Middle East is going to continue to be a focus of attention – especially, right now as far as Standard Chartered is concerned, in the UAE and Bahrain. Qatar is a big focus. We see that probably as an emerging opportunity at the moment. The UAE is a continuing opportunity – has been for some years, and will continue to be like that. As far as this part of the world is concerned, there’s a sort of spillover effect especially in Jordan – we’re seeing huge growth there. And there’s some spillover effect in Lebanon too. But of course that is muted by the political situation. Actually right now there’s quite a boom in the real estate market in Lebanon. That bodes well for the future. So I think that in general the bank would say that we’re very optimistic about the Middle East. Oman is another area that is developing for the bank – and we’re looking at other places within in the region to expand our reach. But right now our focus is on making the most of the franchises we have in the Middle East – Lebanon, Jordan, UAE, Bahrain, Qatar, and developing in Oman. We’re really piggybacking on the energy boom. It makes sense to be in there, both on the consumer banking side as well as the wholesale banking side. There are clearly opportunities in both areas, pretty much across the region, virtually wherever you look.
Our strongest profit earner or revenue generator right now is the UAE. The bank’s been there for 50 years plus. Bahrain is going well. Jordan is a bit of a latecomer but it’s generating very good revenue, so probably the growth is highest in Jordan on a percentage basis. But obviously compared to the UAE, gross numbers are much much higher in the UAE. We’re really trying to make the most out of that franchise, meanwhile trying to develop the lesser franchises like Bahrain and Qatar. Qatar is coming back. And now with the LNG prices being so high as well, it clearly makes sense to make the most of that. We have a fairly strong franchise there, too. We’ve been there for multiple decades. And so we’re doing our best to make the most of that on the consumer as well as wholesale sides.
With respect to Lebanon, the franchise in Lebanon has only been here for roughly five years. It’s a consumer banking franchise, predominantly, and that’s been our strategic position from day one. Lebanon’s doing well on the real estate side. There’s a lot of direct investment coming in from non-resident Lebanese as well as Gulf Arabs and that’s really what’s driving the economy right now. And obviously we’re benefiting from that. The consumer banking side in Lebanon has done extremely well over the past two years. In percentage terms again it’s very small if you compare it to the bigger markets. And that’s our challenge right now – to get a place on the table as against the bigger markets so that we can get listened to as well.
We are growing very fast. We have an excellent franchise here with a superb team, good branches, super service, and good products. There’s really very little excuse for us not to do well going forward.
Our emphasis from last year was on building the asset side, the consumer lending. We’ve been very, very aggressive in credit cards, personal loans, and auto loans. We’re going to continue that focus but that will become business as usual.
Now we’re moving much more onto the wealth management side. I think that’s where you’ll see the bulk of our enhancements coming along in the future. We’re introducing a number of innovative products on the investment services side. We have now our own dedicated sales team who work on nothing but building up wealth management clients. We’re developing our high net worth service. That’s coming along very well, too. That’s focused towards wealthier local clients as well as non-resident Lebanese. So I think you’ll see that’s the emphasis, so that we end up with a matched revenue stream from both areas, because it is a bit unbalanced at the moment towards the asset side.
The general target market that we’re looking for is sort of middle market and above. That’s not particularly selective, because we can cater to virtually everyone.
The global decision was taken to look at consumer banking in Lebanon because it’s a more diversified risk. At the time, and I daresay even now, the decision was made that given the amount of capital we’re devoting to Lebanon, it’s better placed in the consumer market than in the wholesale.
Middle to long-term our vision would be to be the biggest foreign bank in Lebanon. We’re never going to be the largest bank in Lebanon but we certainly want to give the local banks a run for their money.

4Walid Raphael,
Deputy General Manager, Banque Libano-Francaise

E The bank has a strong Syrian portfolio both in terms of clients and board members. How will this affect your proposed move into Syria and how will it affect the bank’s positioning in the Syrian market?
Banque Libano-Francaise has historically been very active in the Syrian market. Several shareholders are of Syrian origin and are also board members. The bank was active in the Syrian market before the bank was Libano-Francaise, when it used to be Compagnie Algerienne de Credit et de Banque. We had a base in Syria and since then we have had very strong ties with the business community in Syria. We have since increased our portfolio of clients in this region.
We are seeing very strong growth and development in the Syrian market. Large investments are being made in industry and businesses. There is, however, a potential risk that the economy will suffer fron an economic embargo.
We’ve been looking at establishing operations in Syria. We had some constraints with French majority shareholders, who had different views about the region. But we have since made a first step with the acquisition of Banque SBA, which is very active in Syria and has an office in Syria’s free zone, and we are currently working on a license to operate in Syria. We are currently in the application process, the duration of which will depend on the Syrian authorities.
In Syria, we plan to continue our commercial and corporate banking activities but also to develop the retail business, and also to some extent introduce private banking and insurance products. Retail will take time to build. If you look at how other banks have developed in Syria, they have been very fast at developing a network and increasing the level of deposits, but on the retail side it takes time to adapt to the market and structure the right products for it. On the commercial banking side, there is huge demand. So our clients are expecting us to be there as soon as possible.
It is clear today that Lebanese banks need to expand abroad; the market is too small for them, and it is true that the opportunities for them are in countries that are not yet covered by large international banks. In these markets there are very few institutions, and business is based on direct personal relationships. You really need to know the people and how the system works. There is a lack of transparency. People are afraid to show their numbers. You have very few competent auditors. It works on trust, and an understanding of business in the region. Of course, Syria is a risky country. They only recently opened the market. For several years, the market was run completely by the public sector. So it’s quite rusty. The regulations should evolve. You still have a lot of restrictions. It’s not easy to make profitable investments.
The challenge, also, is human resources. It is very difficult to find people who are trained to the standards that we are used to here in Lebanon. For the moment, skilled executives are dispatched from Lebanon.
We are looking at some other countries. But it’s too early to say. Right now we have finalized the acquisition of the Banque SBA in Paris, with a subsidiary in Geneva, which is a very important acquisition. It’s a bank with around Euro 66 million of equity and around Euro 600 million in assets. We want to develop this bank as a platform for international business, not only for the Lebanese and Syrian diaspora in Europe, but also those in North Africa. Private banking will get a boost with business in Geneva.
The Lebanese market has experienced a lot in the last year. We are looking forward to developments on structural reforms.
4Dr. Marwan Barakat
Head of Research Bank Audi SAL – Audi Saradar Group

E What are the banking areas Audi Saradar is addressing in 2006? What are the plans for revenue diversification,
geographical expansion, and product and activity development? Which areas of banking appear most promising?
As a result of exceptional growth performances and a strong earning power, Bank Audi now ranks among the first 25 Arab banking groups, according to the most important criteria such as assets, deposits, shareholder equity and net profits. The bank was able to realize over the 2001-2005 period a yearly average growth in assets of 25.9%, which corresponds to three times the average of the sector, and an average growth in net earnings of 32.0%, equivalent to 2.5 times the average of the sector. Based on these performances, the bank has consolidated its universal banking profile, covering the whole spectrum of banking services, i.e commercial banking, retail banking, private banking and investment banking. Non-interest income now accounts for 43% of net financial income, evidence of successful diversification by business lines over the past few years.
Following this successful diversification of its business lines, the bank is now looking at regional diversification by market of its presence. Total assets actually represent 52% of Lebanon’s GDP, giving to the bank a regional dimension that lies at the basis of its cross-border expansion strategy. Out of $15.6 billion of total footings, the Bank has today 77% in Lebanon and 23% abroad. It is targeting, in the medium term, balanced activity between Lebanon and its affiliates abroad. The new strategy can be summarized by the strengthening of the bank’s domestic franchise, the reinforcement of its immunity against domestic conditions and the enhancement of cross border activity in high value added markets.
It is within this context that the regional expansion policy has gained ground recently. The bank has formulated a regional expansion strategy for the Middle East and North Africa. Against that backdrop, the expansion of Bank Audi within the targeted regions is evolving rapidly. Established in July 2004, the bank’s Jordan network now consists of eight operating branches out of ten licensed branches, dedicated mainly to retail banking and related commercial banking activities. Activity in Jordan has actually taken off nicely, allowing the Group to build assets of above $300 million in 18 months of activity, which ensures the bank a privileged position in this market. The 2005 performance ensured a break even in net earnings, prior to the preset target, with a strong growth in bottom line expected for 2006.
Activity in Syria took off last September with very encouraging first results, exceeding $100 million in assets in less than a half-year period. Bank Audi (Syria) was established in September 2005, with a capital of $47 million. The bank in Syria is 47% owned by Bank Audi SAL – Audi Saradar Group, after an initial public offering for 25% of the bank’s capital that was significantly oversubscribed (about ten times). Bank Audi (Syria) has a targeted network of 20 operating branches, covering the majority of Syrian territories, mainly dedicated to commercial, retail and corporate banking activities.
In addition, the Group just won a public offer on an Egyptian bank, the Cairo Far East Bank, which ensures a good platform from which to launch its activities in Egypt – a market it considers very promising. Bank Audi’s action plan in Egypt mainly hinges on the development of extensive retail activities based on its acquired expertise in that field with the aim of turning it into the main activity of the new entity. In parallel, Bank Audi is looking to enhance the existing businesses of the acquired bank at the level of commercial, corporate and correspondent banking activities.
The bank also obtained in 2005 a license to operate in Iraq. In order to consolidate its presence in the Levant, the Bank considers Iraq to be a market with very high potential, notwithstanding the uncertainties that continue to characterize its overall environment. Despite the persisting volatility in political and security conditions, the bank believes that the probability of normalization in Iraq is higher than the opposite. As such, it cannot neglect a huge potential like the one currently prevailing in such a neighboring country. Bank Audi is actually targeting the launch of activities in Iraq in 2006 in the North of the country, the Kurdistan region, as a first step. The region offers an interesting and secure infrastructure and is currently witnessing booming economic activity.
The prospect for new regional markets with high potential is now in progress, with plausible perspectives in Algeria and Sudan. The expansion of the Bank to these countries is a key prerequisite for its regional positioning, with the aim of firmly integrating, within a five-year horizon, the restricted Group of large regional banks.

4Roger Dagher
Manager­–Financial Control, Bank of Beirut

E Bank of Beirut made significant profits in 2005. How was the bank able to achieve this and what are its strategic aims for the next five years? Will there be any expansion and if so will it be domestic or regional or both? How has not being a family-owned bank contributed to the success of Bank of Beirut?

Bank of Beirut SAL was able, in 2005, to achieve a net profit of $35 million (post dividends). This high profitability was attained due to efficient management of interest rate margins, despite the high pressure resulting from the rise in financing costs in both Lebanese and international markets; increased net commissions, primarily derived from trade finance activities, credit card business and other banking services, in compliance with the bank’s strategy of nourishing its revenues from this source in order to diversify its income and moderate its interest rate risk; cost control and efficiency where Bank of Beirut was able to decrease its cost-to-income ratio despite the growth in assets and number of employees; and finally, the outstanding increase in the profitability of the Bank’s international arms, namely the wholly owned subsidiary in London (Bank of Beirut (UK) Ltd) and the branch in Cyprus, both backed by the three representative offices in Dubai, Lagos and Baghdad.
Bank of Beirut’s strategic aim for the next five years is to strengthen its competitive position by expanding its presence in Lebanon whether through internal growth or selected acquisitions which ultimately would result in further developing consumer (mid-market and retail) banking business; enlarging the network of delivery channels and providing customers with all types of innovative services and products; expanding regionally in countries with large Lebanese/Arab communities where Bank of Beirut has a competitive advantage; improving the bank’s performance management via increased use of technology; and investing further in human capital by hiring the best talents and continually training our staff.
Bank of Beirut has very clear, short, medium and long-term expansion plans. The key here is to seize the good opportunities that would provide BoB with the highest risk adjusted return on investment and meet its long-term strategic goals. Currently, Bank of Beirut is looking for domestic acquisition opportunities and to incorporate and/or acquire banks in the regions where the Lebanese/Arab diaspora is well in place and benefiting from political stability and adequate law enforcement.
We have been recently granted a license by the Central Bank of Oman to open a branch in the Sultanate. With time, Bank of Beirut intends to open several branches in Oman and to focus on both the commercial and retail banking sectors, as well as become a trade channel between Oman and the UK.
The license for Syria (with Qatar National Bank and Emirates Bank International as partners) is in its final approval stage. Bank of Beirut is also contemplating expansion beyond the MENA region. In this respect, we are planning to enhance the activities of our subsidiary in the UK Bank of Beirut (UK) Ltd, as this has already established a success story and a great deal of room for further growth is envisaged. Most recently, we have acquired the UK private banking arm of a major North American bank.
Finally, as to not being a family-owned bank, this fact has definitely contributed to make Bank of Beirut one of the few banks in Lebanon and in the whole region that have applied the highest level of risk management standards, the internationally recognized corporate governance guidelines and the most accepted transparency principles and practices. Actually, BoB has applied written “Corporate Governance Guidelines” approved by the board of directors. The board itself is composed of two executive members with prominent banking experience, Emirates Bank (Dubai – UAE), two high experienced bankers (both of whom were Chairman and CEOs of banks acquired by BoB) and two very successful businessmen. The number of shareholders is close to 2,000, and the bank listed its shares on the Beirut Stock Exchange starting in 1997.
Additionally, Bank of Beirut has several committees that actually have a notable role in the decision taking process in connection with the investment strategy, risk control and operational efficiency.

June 11, 2006 0 comments
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Special Section

Riad Salameh

by Executive Editors June 8, 2006
written by Executive Editors

Governor of the Central Bank Riad Salameh has been widely credited with steering a prudent monetary course during his time in office, especially during moments of national crisis. Salameh talks to Executive about the outlook for GDP growth, Basel II compliance, the war on money laundering and the selling off of Central Bank assets, as well as the ongoing problems of convening a donor conference.

E Given the current political impasse, what is the Central bank’s outlook for GDP development in 2006?
Our economic research department, in compliance with the INSEE [National Institute for Statistics and Economic Studies], is predicting a growth rate of between 4% and 5% for 2006. Of course this can be altered if we have political or security problems.

E What is your view?
I have to go along with the statistics of the departments.

E The heady events of 2005 seem a distant memory. Did we make a mistake in not taking advantage of this period to gather a donor conference and can we realistically expect one in 2006?
The donor conference was on the table immediately once the parliamentary elections were complete. The delays in convening that meeting were related to an agreement on a reform program.
The reform program has been prepared and presented in an initial draft to the government, but it has not been approved. The backing is still on offer, but we haven’t agreed on a reform program that we can present to a donors’ meeting.
E What conditions need to be in place?
We need a political agreement on a program, because the idea, contrary to Paris II, is to have funding that is conditioned on the execution of structural reforms in the country.

E Do you think we can reach such a consensus in 2006?
This is a political issue that is beyond our ability to predict.

E There has been talk that the international community believes Lebanon will not reach a consensus and that the political gulf is too wide. What has the Central Bank done to allay these fears?
The international community has given its full backing to Lebanon. Two meetings have taken place involving participants from the major organizations and major countries, one in New York in September and one in April in Washington. The support is there and continues to be there. These organizations are waiting for us to present a comprehensive project. Their commitment and belief is still alive – the delay is from our part.
E What has the Central Bank agreed
with the BIS for Lebanon to ensure
that Lebanon fulfills all its
Basel II obligations?
The Central Bank has decided that the Lebanese banks should abide by the criteria of Basel II by January 2008. The standard approach will be adopted in the five years after 2008, by 2013. This can be absorbed by the banking sector according to the stress test that we and the IMF carried out. On the other hand, a circular was issued asking the banks to appoint a coordinator to work with the BCC [Banking Control Commission] on implementation. Lebanon is going to be compliant and has the capability to do it and we see it happening with no problems.

E There have been plenty of conferences on Basel II compliancy but do you believe that the sector is still not taking Basel II seriously?
By law they will have to abide by the circulars of the Central Bank. The fact that we have asked for a coordinator will improve the participation of any bank not yet prepared. In fact, it is not only a regulatory matter; if you want to expand internationally and keep up with your international obligations, adoption of Basel II criteria becomes a business obligation so I think this, and not regulations, will force the banking sector to follow and apply the criteria.

E Are there are any Central Bank assets that are ripe for privatization?
The Central Bank is independent of the government. The assets we hold are legally commercial asserts so we don’t need a law to dispose of them. We have successfully sold the BLC bank and now we are preparing to float 25% of the shares of Middle East Airlines. The Central Bank is also selling real estate. Given the positive momentum of the markets, the sales are going well.

E Why only 25% of MEA?
It’s a matter of strategy. We want to approach this as a sale to the people and have a real public issue traded in the market. We believe the value of the shares will be more in keeping with the value of the company if the market sees there is a strong shareholder still in the company.

E What’s MEA worth?
We are presently evaluating the company with three investment banks.

E A ballpark figure?
We will arrive at a figure as we have always operated in the previous sales. We are fully transparent and put the info in a prospectus available to the public. It’s our intention to announce an offering price and from there one can conclude on the value of the company.

E Were there any political obstacles in the selling of MEA shares?
Politically we have been able to gather a consensus on the operation. It is important, and this has happened in all countries that have gone through sales of assets that used to belong to the government, to communicate with and win the backing of the political groups. With the privatization of Japan Post the [Japanese] Prime Minister had to dissolve parliament and call elections on that issue. Therefore political discussion on these operations is a normal process that you can see in all countries.

E Around 80% of corporations are indebted. There has been a proposed debt for company share swap inspired by the article 41 debt for land exchange.
Our proposition is to amend the law in order to allow banks to appropriate shares provided they sell then seven years later and are on the board of these companies. We are talking about shares both private and public. They would turn them around and do IPOs. This would profit the economy, decrease the bank risk and enrich the capital markets, which we believe is essential for Lebanon. The idea is to capitalize the private sector which is handicapped in terms of returns and investment by debt. We believe that this will be good for the economy, although we would be departing from the traditional role of banking.

E How many developmental bank licenses are still dormant? Is the Central Bank planning to resurrect any of these banks and prepare them for sale?
No. No licenses are dormant or in our portfolio.

E Money laundering is still a hot topic. Would you agree with those who say it can never be stamped out especially in Lebanon, given the laws, and that there can be an acceptable level of money laundering in all economies?
Today there are criteria and standards set by the FATF [Financial Action Task Force] on money laundering. Lebanon has complied and we are considered a fully cooperating country in the fight against money laundering. We have received positive feedback from the FATF and the international community on our performance. This is our job.
Now I would not like to go into a subjective evaluation on the topic. Lebanon needs to preserve its reputation and I think that what we have done and what the SIC [Special Investigation Commission] has succeeded in doing has served this purpose.

E Can you bring us up to date on any rules and regulations the Central Bank is considering to boost the economy and the capital markets?
As you know, the Central Bank, through appropriate monetary policy, has been able to stabilize prices, create flexibility and with good [monetary] engineering has maintained confidence in the worst days of 2005. We have been instrumental in creating the appropriate environment to enhance investment and consumption. We are going to maintain these policies although there may be some regulations to help the extension of credit or help banks to participate in capitalization. But these will complement the essential and fundamental role of the Central Bank, which is to maintain price stability and confidence.

June 8, 2006 0 comments
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Special Section

Developing the communityDeveloping

by Executive Editors June 8, 2006
written by Executive Editors

On May 17, Lebanon was on top of the world. Literally. A Lebanese flag had been planted at the summit of Mount Everest, the world’s highest point. And what then, according to the Daily Star, did mountaineer Maxim Chaya do?
“He contacted his sponsor, Audi Bank, and thanked them for making his dream come true.”
Call it community outreach, or charity, or Corporate Social Responsibility. Banks’ logos can be seen in the sponsor’s position at athletic contests, concerts and art exhibits, and other cultural events around the country. And they also lend their support (and their brand names) to educational, environmental and development efforts.
Marwan Kheireddine, General Manager of Al Mawarid Bank, rejects the idea that publicity is the primary goal of CSR spending, at least for his bank. “The objective is not really exposure. The objective is community development.”
But Elie Azar of Lebanese Canadian Bank doesn’t see publicity as a bad thing. “When we opened our new branch in Halba,” he says, “we didn’t do an expensive advertising campaign. We gave away 180 boxes of food and provisions to the needy families there. These people were our best publicity.”

No bright lines
Azar does not see a bright line between a bank’s service to the community in its charity spending and its service as a commercial entity. “When we opened our branch in Hermel in 2003,” he says, “we were the first bank in the area, and we gave the people there access to a number of services they needed if there was going to be development, if they were to be able to stay there.” This value notwithstanding, the bank also contributed to a UNDP project bringing clean water to five hundred homes in the province.
This “both-and” approach informs another Lebanese Canadian Bank initiative. At the beginning of May they started to offer a unique loan program, offering loans of up to $5,000 at a 9% interest rate to homeowners in order to install solar water heaters in their homes.
“It’s a win all around for everyone,” says Azar. “The loans are profitable for us, and the customers save much more in heating costs than they pay over the time of the loan. And then you can add in that it saves the environment and reduces the pressure on our electrical and fuel infrastructure.”
LCB has been getting 5-10 applications a day for the loans. “This is the future,” says Azar. “If you look at the other countries in the region, in Israel 80% of the houses are using these heaters – in Greece, it’s 60%.”
In their more traditional CSR spending, Azar says, his bank concentrates on finding “effective projects that will have a positive impact.”

Relying on local knowledge
To identify the projects they wish to fund, banks rely on their local managers’ knowledge of their own communities.
“We work with each branch to discern the needs of each region,” explains Nahla Bou-Diab, assistant general manager of Al Mawarid. “The needs in rural areas are different from major cities. We have a branch in the village of Dmit, in the Shouf mountains. The community there are not well-off – their needs are for assistance in terms of developing a medical center – we helped them with basic necessities, schools, medicine, and so on. In another village in the Shouf area, the community were a bit more affluent, so in that particular area we designed a garden.”
Individual branch managers for Al Mawarid analyze the opportunities in a community and submit recommendations to the central branch. Some ideas come from formal or informal requests by NGOs or other organizations, and others come from the managers themselves. “Our manager in one area knew of a medical center that was crucial to the community – it was a poor area, and people were reliant on it every day. He knew that this center had a number of needs, and proposed to us that we help with them.”
Byblos Bank trusts its managers to decide on much of its educational spending. “In all the regions in Lebanon, our branches have a lot of schools as customers,” says Joumana Chelala, Senior Manager at Byblos Bank. “Our managers each have a budget to use towards educational needs, whether scholarships or something else.”
Banks are eager to get their employees involved. “Social responsibility is not just about contributing money to the community,” says Bou-Diab. “The other part that’s really essential is highlighting that these areas are really important in the eyes of management. One example of that was when we offered to match our employees’ contribution to St. Jude’s Children’s Cancer Care Center. We had 90% participation among our employees.”
“The salary structure in Lebanese companies is not very high,” she adds. “So these employees who contributed are not, financially, very very comfortable.”
The banks’ representatives show the pragmatism of a hardened loan officer in assessing their choices. Khaireddine says that Al Mawarid stopped funding concerts because “they were not doing anything for the community. We financed a few classical concerts in the Shouf, but the people who came, came at night, and didn’t even spend dinner up there. We felt like we were just making the events more profitable for the promoters.”
Chelala came to the opposite conclusion about cultural events, but arrived there by a very similar line of reasoning. Discussing her bank’s support for the Byblos festival, she says, “Before the festival, Byblos was not a destination for Lebanese. But now, even when the festival is not going on, many people from Beirut go up for dinner, or to visit the old souq.”

Focused on tangible outcomes
Perhaps because of their pragmatic approach, banks’ spending tends to be focused on tangible outcomes; medical centers refurbished or trees planted or schools equipped and teachers trained. Buzzwords common among the NGO community, like “civil society” or “dialogue,” don’t come up much.
“The private sector is becoming very active in supporting work in the environment, education, and so forth,” says Gilbert Doumit, who works both in education and in civil society areas. “Lebanon is well ahead of most Arab countries in this. But in more political, civil society, or citizenship-related areas, they are not so eager.”

To identif the projects they wish to fund, banks rely on their local managers’ knowledge of their own communities.


Education is a priority across the board. Kheireddine points to a library and computer training center near Shebaa. “We’ve taught people how to use computers there, and more importantly, we’ve given the young people there, right next to the Shebaa farms, access to the internet. Now they have access to the world.” Azar discusses a new library in Hermel. But it’s Byblos Bank that has taken on perhaps the most ambitious project.

Adopt-a-school
In a partnership with UNICEF, International College, and a large network of NGOs, Byblos Bank launched an “Adopt-a-school” project. The $200,000, three-year project, whose goal is to reduce the drop-out rates at a pair of public schools in Tripoli and Kesrouan, aims at attacking the problem from a number of different angles simultaneously.
There will be physical upgrades to the schools, especially to the bathroom and sanitation facilities. There will be training for teachers and administrators in identifying and helping children with special needs. But possibly the most important factor is literacy classes for the parents of children in danger of dropping out.
With an illiteracy rate as high as 20% in Northern Lebanon, children are “not given the support they need at crucial points in the curriculum,” says Roberto Laurenti, head of the project for UNICEF. “As the curriculum becomes more difficult, illiterate parents are unable to help those children who are already struggling.” As a result, the drop-out rates among 7th and 8th graders in Lebanese public schools are 9% and 11%, respectively, twice as high as at private schools. And once they drop out, they become vulnerable to any number of problems, from child labor to drugs and violence. “It costs much less to invest in keeping these children in school than to pay the social consequences later,” notes Laurenti.

“It costs much less to keep these children in school than to pay the social consequences.”


He emphasizes that all of the resources for the program, from expertise in training to monetary resources, are coming from within the country. “UNICEF is acting as a broker, bringing the people with the monetary resources in contact with the NGOs who can make use of them. We’ve been able to provide an opportunity to narrow the distance between financial and human resources in this country.”
The program differs from much charitable giving, Laurenti says, in that it is focused on dealing with a specific problem through a wide variety of needs, rather than on focusing on physical infrastructure. “We hope to see measurable improvement in the drop-out rate within a year and a half,” he adds.
This focus on a measurable outcome is a major step forward for CSR spending in Lebanon, says Isabelle Naoum, head of PR for Byblos Bank. “It helps us move towards a more formal CSR program, one where we can quantify the results of our action, and better fulfill our responsibility to our shareholders.”

June 8, 2006 0 comments
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Special Section

In their debt

by Nicolas Photiades June 8, 2006
written by Nicolas Photiades

The affinity of Lebanese banks for government Treasury bills and other fixed income securities has always been strong, but the love affair intensified significantly in the early 1990s with the Hariri-inspired Horizon 2000 reconstruction program, which forced the government to resort to domestic and foreign issues of government fixed income securities or bonds to finance the project.

Rebuilding the country and the pound
Back then the country was in tatters. Not only was there an urgent need to rebuild, but the Lebanese pound, which by the fall of 1992 nearly hit LL3,000 to US dollar, also had to be saved. Rafik Hariri was quick to realize that the only way to obtain fast financing was to resort to debt via the issuance of domestic, Lebanese pound denominated Treasury bills. Loans from international banking institutions or supranational organizations such as the World Bank or the IMF would have been too slow to come in, too expensive and insufficient in terms of amount. On the other hand, Treasury bills in local currency, provided they carried a very attractive yield, would be easy to print, issue and place in a large domestic banking sector, which, although under-developed, lacking in significant human resources and strategic guidance, did have sufficient funding that needed optimization.
The banking sector at the time had succeeded in attracting around $6 billion in deposits from expatriate Lebanese but did not have the human resources or managerial quality to employ these new funds efficiently. Banks urgently needed to allocate their funds in such a manner as to boost their stagnating profitability and hence increase their capital base, which at the time was extremely insufficient and well below the international capital adequacy ratio of 8%. By subscribing to high yielding Treasury bills, the banks would not only help finance the government and the reconstruction program, but also buy themselves valuable time for the development of their own banking activities.
The government used the domestic banks to the full and issued significant amounts of Treasury bills, distributing them among the 83 banks from 1992-1996. Although the national debt level was increased significantly and debt service began eating up most of the government’s revenues, the reconstruction program was well under way and would be used as the main marketing tool for the government in its efforts to issue dollar-denominated Eurobonds. The first Lebanese Republic Eurobond of $400 million in 1994 was voted Bond Deal of the Year 1994 by the international bond community and was placed evenly among Lebanese and foreign investors. It would be the first of many to come in subsequent years, although the investor base for this particular instrument became 100% Lebanese (mostly Lebanese banks) as foreign investor enthusiasm waned.

Trading in government securities
Since then the Lebanese banking sector has increased its profitability significantly and boosted its capital adequacy to better cover the risks of the domestic operating environment. Some banks even made it their specialty to trade in government securities, while the sector as a whole started to appear more as a sector of deposit and savings banks rather than a real commercial banking sector.
Until recently, Lebanese banks appeared as financial institutions whose main function is to attract retail deposits and to place such deposits in government Treasury bills and Eurobonds. The diversification of activities, the expansion of typical banking activities such as retail banking, and the diversification of revenues are more recent developments for the Lebanese banking sector, which for a long time relied on the yield of government debt securities to finance and develop traditional commercial banking activities.

For a long time, the lebanese banking sector relied on the yield of government securities


What developed was a tacit understanding between the banks and the government, whereby the government would reward the banking sector with high yields, which would be instrumental in strengthening this vital economic sector, while the banks would use their funding to continuously follow the government in its reconstruction and now debt management efforts, and to support the stabilization of the local currency.
Non-Lebanese investors take part
Non-Lebanese banks and investors also took part in the Lebanese government’s fixed income securities issue drive. Indeed, by the mid 1990s, many Gulf banks and high net worth investors had subscribed to the high yielding Lebanese T-bills and Eurobonds (interest rates on T-bills denominated in LBP had reached 45% by 1995), considering these instruments to be a risk worth taking. The rating of Lebanon for the first time back in 1996 (ratings of B+ by Standard & Poor’s and Ba3 by Moody’s first came out, but were subsequently brought down by four notches to the current level of B-) did not make a difference in terms of yield and certainly did not decrease the appetite of Lebanese and Arab investors. Only Western investors, who are significantly more risk-minded, withdrew, considering Lebanon to be risky over the medium term. For Arab investors, it was a case of being well rewarded for taking on Lebanese risk, while some reciprocation would be reflected by investments in Lebanese real estate and projects.
By the end of the 1990s, more than 35% (35.8% in 1999) of the balance sheet of Lebanese domestic banks was accounted for by government Treasury bills and Eurobonds denominated in both Lebanese pound and foreign currency (mainly in US dollars). At one stage, in the mid 1990s, the proportion of government debt securities to total assets for most banks, including the larger ones, stood well above 50%. The government debt securities to total assets ratio for the banking system has gradually decreased since the mid 1990s, having gone as low as 23.2% in 2003 and 23.6% in 2004, in the aftermath of the Paris II donors’ conference, when interest rates on assets and deposits were decreased significantly by both the government and the banks. By February 2006, the ratio had gone up again to 25.9%, although it remains significantly below the proportions seen in the mid and late 1990s.
Since the Paris II conference, the Lebanese government has changed its attitude toward its borrowing and debt security issues policy. Pressured by international donors and relieved by cheap financing (around $4 billion in subsidized and soft loans), the government and the central bank had to improve the overall liquidity and foreign currency reserves by encouraging local banks to reduce their exposure to government debt securities and by requiring that a certain proportion of deposits (15% of foreign currency deposits for instance) be allocated in regulatory cash reserves at the central bank. By the beginning of 2006, cash reserves and deposits at the Banque du Liban (BDL) accounted for almost 30% of total consolidated assets for the banking sector. Such cash reserves coupled with the stock of government debt securities make up for almost 60% of total consolidated assets, leaving little room for local banks to lend to the private sector. Loans to the private sector accounted for around 23% of total consolidated assets by the end of February 2006.

Government exposure remains high
Coverage of almost 30% of customer deposits remains very high by international standards and the balance sheet of Lebanese banks appears to be reassuringly liquid. However, exposure to the lowly rated Lebanese government remains extremely high. If we add reserves at the central bank to government debt securities, then we can only realize that the banks’ exposure to the government dangerously approaches 60% of total consolidated assets. Furthermore, given the very difficult operating environment in Lebanon that makes lending to the private sector very onerous, any excess liquidity the banks might get is automatically invested or placed in cash reserves at the central bank or in Lebanese Treasury bills or other bonds issued by the government.
Today, the exposure to the government or cash reserves, deposits at the BDL and government debt securities account for around 8.5 times the banking sector’s consolidated shareholders’ equity. This means that any significant devaluation of the Lebanese pound or the US dollar, and/or a drop in the value or yield of government debt securities as a result of a rating downgrade (which remains a constant possibly) by 10% or more, would wipe out the banking sector’s equity base. What is also worth mentioning is that the significant maturity mismatch between funds and assets (in other words deposits carrying an average maturity of around 1.5 months and assets such as Treasury bills carrying a maturity of more than 15 months) makes Lebanese banks very vulnerable to any potential hike in interest rates. Indeed, if Lebanon is downgraded as a result of a failure to carry out economic reforms and privatization, then interest rates on deposits would have to be raised at a time when returns from assets are not yet available. This would erode the banks’ shareholders’ equity and reserves, and affect profitability.

Doomed from the start?
Hariri’s fiscal brainchild would indeed have been perfect were it to be accompanied by economic reforms, privatization, economic diversification, long term strategies, plans to eradicate corruption, racketeering, and so on. In their absence, the state is suffering from over-indebtedness; there is little government revenue and economic diversification and the non-bank private sector is suffocated by insufficient economic growth and inefficient and corrupt public utilities. The banks have had to continue operating in a constraining operating environment and are still heavily exposed to a sovereign which carries one of the lowest ratings on the planet. They also suffer from low revenue and asset diversification, are exposed to interest rate risk, and have low economic capital.


Perhaps it would have been more judicious to privatize public utilities immediately through Built Operating Transfer (BOT) and/or concessions (a longer term form of privatization), or even outright sale rather than borrow significant amounts to rehabilitate a still inefficient infrastructure. Privatization, even on the cheap, would have modernized the country at no expense, left debt levels very low, brought in revenues for the government (in the form of taxation and concession/BOT fees), and created jobs, while simultaneously diversifying the economy. But again, maybe we all lost the plot and confused the end of the shelling with the end of the civil war back in 1990, not realizing during the last sixteen years that the dice were loaded and that our reconstruction funding plans were doomed from the start.

June 8, 2006 0 comments
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Special Section

The Lebanese banking sector shows little structural change in its consolidated balance sheet

by Executive Editors June 8, 2006
written by Executive Editors

The striking thing about the latest consolidated balance sheet of the Lebanese banking sector is the lack of change in its structure. After a period of ten to twelve years at least, assets are still split between cash reserves and deposits at the Banque du Liban (BDL), Treasury bills and other government debt securities, and loans to the private sector. As at the end of 2005, government securities accounted for 25.2% of total consolidated assets, while cash reserves and BDL deposits accounted for 29.2% and loans to the private sector for 23.1%. Foreign assets, which principally include inter-bank deposits with banks abroad accounted for 18.8% and fixed assets for 3.3%.


Funding, as has always been the case for the last 15 years, came principally from customer deposits, which accounted for 72% of total liabilities or interest-bearing funding. Total customers’ deposits, excluding deposits from non-residents, amounted to almost $48 billion by the end of 2005 and to $48.2 billion by the end of February 2006. The customer deposits figure has not increased significantly in the last three to four years, reflecting a sort of optimization of the consolidated balance sheet. Indeed, banks have slowed down their race to attract deposits by offering high interest rates, as placement of funds opportunities are scarce in a very difficult and deteriorating domestic operating environment. Moreover, the Paris II donors’ conference in November 2002 forced interest rates on both assets and liabilities to be decreased. Today, many of Lebanon’s larger banks are offering interest rates on customer deposits which are almost on par with what’s being offered by large international banks in AAA-rated countries. This is mainly due to the gradual rise in US dollar interest rates since 2002, which have today reached 4.75%.

Dollar accounts lose edge
When Lebanese banks offered 4.75% on US dollar savings accounts, the US dollar Libor (London inter-bank offer rate) was slightly below 4% at around 3.5%-3.75%. When the US Federal Reserve raised the US dollar Libor rate to 4.75%, Lebanese banks did not react and kept their own deposit rates relatively unchanged plus or minus a quarter of a percentage point. The compulsory tax on interest rates of 5%, which is imposed by the Lebanese government on both residents and non-resident depositors, brings any rate offered on deposits with Lebanese domiciled banks down to the same level as international rates.
Given the above considerations, a dangerous conclusion for the banks and the country can be drawn: why would anybody keep his savings in a bank domiciled in a B- rated and volatile country, and pay taxes on his interest receipts, when he or she could easily place his/her savings in an international AAA rated bank domiciled in a AAA rated country, get world class service and the same level of interest rates, and not pay taxes? Were a critical number of depositors to realize such a state of affairs, it would be highly likely that the liquidity of some banks may be tested again.

Relying on customer deposits
Lebanese banks seldom diversify their funding and continue to rely on customer deposits, which are nevertheless recurrent in nature despite having on paper an average maturity of 1.5 months. The maturity mismatch that characterizes the Lebanese banking sector does not appear to be a problem, as banks succeed in maintaining and even increasing their deposit base year in and year out. The only problem is that if the country is downgraded or there is a major external blow, such as last year’s assassination of former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri, then interest rates on both assets and liabilities may go up. Given the maturity mismatch, the higher rates on deposits, which have a much shorter maturity than assets, would then have to be implemented immediately, while valuable time would pass before the higher rates on longer assets are received. The ultimate price for Lebanese banks would be to see their profitability affected in the short term, and to witness depletion in equity and provisions, which would be difficult to compensate at a later stage if the interest rate hike is significant.
Straight, plain vanilla bonds accounted for 0.08% of total assets and amounted at year end 2005 to a measly $58.7 million. This is surprising, given the previous success banks had in the international capital markets when they last issued large size bonds back in the late 1990s. It is worth noting that the fact that the Lebanese government is still a frequent issuer of Eurobonds should make the banks equally attractive amongst local and international investors when issuing bonds. Issues of medium to long-term bonds would improve the maturity mismatch of most banks, while this other form of funding could be placed in new, but badly needed projects and/or products.

Medium and small banks clearly lack sufficient capitalization. They have been warned.


The Lebanese banking sector’s equity base has increased by a little bit more than 10% from the end of 2004 to the end of 2005, reaching a consolidated figure of almost $4.3 billion. The same figure has increased by almost 7% in just two months since the end of 2005 to reach $4.6 billion at the end of February 2006. The reason for this rise in equity is partly due to a frenzy of preferred share issues and to capital increases, which were mostly subscribed to by wealthy Gulf investors. Shareholders’ equity also rose because of better than expected profitability for the larger banks which were able to allow for an organic growth of their equity.

Insufficient capitalization
The consolidated equity figure for the banking sector is still regarded as barely sufficient, as reflected by an equity/assets ratio for the whole sector of 6%. With the implementation of Basel II requirements starting in 2008, the domestic banks’ current economic and regulatory capital would not be enough, as Basel II promises to hike risk weighting on assets significantly. For the moment, risk weightings are excessively generous and do not reflect the reality of credit risk in a volatile country such as Lebanon. It is also worth mentioning that from the consolidated figure of $4.6 billion of February 2006, at least $1 billion was accounted for by one bank, BLOM, which is the largest bank in the country. That particular statistic should be considered alarming for the medium and small banks, which clearly lack sufficient capitalization. They have been warned.

June 8, 2006 0 comments
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Special Section

Profitability

by Executive Editors June 8, 2006
written by Executive Editors

The hey days of the mid to late 1990s in terms of bank profitability are now over for most Lebanese banks. During that period, local banks were able to create significant interest rate margins between deposits and other funding on the liability side, and loans and government debt securities on the asset side. At that time, yields on government debt securities, whether Eurobonds or Treasury bills, were very high and well exceeded the 10% mark for both Lebanese pound and US dollar denominated fixed income securities, while deposits carried average interest rates (albeit, higher than current levels).
Profitability at Lebanese banks has been on a declining trend for some time, as some banks have slowed down their growth, while others find it extremely difficult to lend to viable and creditworthy companies, individuals or projects, given the deteriorating general operating environment. But the main reason for a depleted profitability is the enforced provisioning by the BDL, which requires a certain percentage of customer deposits to be kept in the form of cash reserves and deposits at the BDL, mostly at an interest rate of 0%.

Interest income still accounts for around
80-90% of total banking income


Since Paris II, when interest rates were brought down to more normal levels, banks have been left cogitating about ways to improve their profitability. Additional provisioning requirements to cover for an increasing level of non-performing loans (as the operating environment is still depressed), subdued loan growth and limited options for low-risk profit-generating investments, and escalating costs for IT investments, the expansion of the branch network, product development and foreign acquisitions, are all factors that have contributed to a slowdown in growth, in addition to the enforced over-liquidity of the balance sheet.
Profitability remains at risk, as Lebanese pound operations (mainly Treasury bills denominated in LBP) are in fact subsidizing US dollar operations. If the Lebanese pound devaluates (the risk still exists), the profitability of Lebanese banks could be wiped out. Moreover, interest income still accounts for around 80%-90% of total banking income and the banks are still at a level where earning diversification is still “under study.” Some banks, particularly the larger ones, have acted more swiftly in the issue of earning diversification by establishing operations abroad and expanding retail activities. This explains the rise in profitability in 2005 for most of the larger banks.

Large banks increase profits
For example, Bank Audi, or the Audi-Saradar group as it is currently named, witnessed an increase in net profits of 48% by year end 2005 to around $106 million. This was due mainly to a rise in commission income and to better profits on financial or treasury operations. Bank Audi’s foreign investments are clearly starting to pay off, and the bank’s recent merger with Egyptian investment banking group, EFG Hermes, bodes well for the future. However, a return on assets (net income divided by total assets) of less than 1% (0.9% in Audi’s case) still shows a very average profitability. Truly profitable banks worldwide usually register ROAs of well above 1% and more in the 2% waters.
Byblos Bank’s performance was similar to Audi’s, in the sense that it too had an ROA of 0.9% at year end 2005. Profit growth was less significant, as net profits grew by 28.5% to $69.3 million. Profits would have been higher were it not for a 157% rise in allocations to loan loss provisions. But the bank was able to more or less compensate with more commission income and financial and treasury operations.
BLOM Bank’s profitability rose significantly by 72.2% for the year ending March 2006, to $44.2 million. However, this profitability could have been higher given the size of Lebanon’s largest bank’s balance sheet and equity base. BLOM is known for its conservative and prudent approach to lending, but nevertheless holds the most important franchise in the country.
On an annualized basis, Banque Libano-Francaise shows an ROA of 0.5%, for an annualized net profit for 2005 of $18.9 million. This bank is still considered to be in a transition phase, as its previous French 51% shareholder, Credit Agricole, sold its stake to regional investors a little bit more than a year ago. The bank is currently going through some changes in management, in culture, and in business philosophy, and significant provisioning is also gradually taking place. BLF should be expected in the medium-term to become increasingly more profitable as its new strategy falls completely into place.
Bank of Beirut, one of the best-managed banks, saw a profit growth slightly below the 10% mark. Its ROA is similar to its peer group at around 0.6%. Net interest income and non-interest income were slightly reduced in 2005, and the rise in net profitability to $28.3 million (unaudited accounts) was mainly due to less allocations to loan loss provisions. Given these figures, one can only feel that the bank is currently optimizing its balance sheet.
The only audited accounts for 2006 came from CrÊdit Libanais, a traditionally well-managed institution, with state of the art systems, policies and procedures. This bank’s profitability also improved in 2006 by 22% to $23.3 million, which is a step closer to its profitability of $25 million+ during the peak period of 1999-2000. However, ROA remains lower than a standard 1% at 0.7%, reflecting a further need to diversify earnings and invest in some form of product and geographical expansion.
Other high growth banks, such as Intercontinental Bank of Lebanon (IBL) and Lebanese Canadian Bank have witnessed significant growth in profitability in the last few years, which was commensurate with their impressive asset and deposit growth. Although IBL did not publish end of year accounts, its June 2005 figures show an ROA of 1.08% and a 65% net profit growth on an annualized basis. Lebanese Canadian, which had grown substantially in the last five years, is showing signs of profit slow down, as the net income increase dropped to 16.8% in 2005 compared to 65% in 2004.

Profitability depends on stability
As seen above, Lebanese bank profitability would highly depend on the stability of the operating environment, which itself depends on the political situation and the ability of the government to implement an efficient economic recovery and debt repayment plan. Given the socio-political mess of the last few months and the desperate lack of light at the end of a very long tunnel, banks are strongly advised to look elsewhere for profitability.

June 8, 2006 0 comments
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LEBCAN multitasking on strategies

by Executive Staff June 3, 2006
written by Executive Staff

The term to best describe the approach of Lebanese Canadian Bank to its current development strategy is multitasking – but what the bank does in pursuit of its second five-year growth program actually goes a bit beyond the range of activities associated with that word. Lebanese Canadian is in fact making an attempt at multi-directional multitasking.

The core objectives of the program apply the tried-and-true pattern of Lebanon’s banking leaders seeking to achieve vertical and horizontal growth through diversification of business lines and through geographic expansion into regional markets. Lebanese Canadian, however, stands out among its peers by pursuing this path with more than common vigor. For example, the bank is looking seriously at joint ventures and new operations in at least half a dozen countries. At the same time, it is seeking to stack its activities in a vertical structure reaching from Islamic banking and asset management on the one hand to retail lending and insurance brokerage on the other.

First growth plan

To back up these lofty ambitions, Lebanese Canadian has the accomplishments of its first growth plan to show for itself. The bank devised this plan during an establishment phase following upon the majority entry of Lebanese shareholders and transformation from being the Lebanese branch of the Royal Bank of Canada into Lebanese Canadian Bank in 1988.

Implemented with the start of the new millennium, the first five-year plan took Lebanese Canadian from being a midsized bank with assets below $500 million at the beginning of 2001 to a five times larger asset base by the end of 2005, making it a solid member of Lebanon’s alpha group of banks (by the definition that banks in this group have deposits of more than $2 billion each) in late 2004.

At the end of 2005, the bank’s deposits stood at around $2.3 billion and assets reached $2.8 billion. In terms of market share, Lebanese Canadian clocked in at around 4% at end of last year, up from 1.5% at the commencement of its five-year growth program in 2001.

In embarking on its second five-year strategy, the bank met and exceeded its profit target of LL 10 billion ($6.65 million) for the first quarter of 2006 by reaching over LL 11 billion in [unaudited net] profits in the three-month period. The asset and deposit figures did not change greatly in the first quarter, according to the bank’s chief financial officer, Charles Skaff.

Over the past five years, Lebanese Canadian also advanced from a position of relative obscurity to that of an operator with a high visibility profile. It refurbished and expanded its domestic network, establishing 21 new branches (advancing from 10 branches at start of 2001 to 31 this month). Moreover, Lebanese Canadian maximized the publicity benefits of gaining ISO 9001-2000 certification or excelling among its peers by highlighting its performance peaks such as being the top bank in the alpha group last year in terms of its growth in deposits (18.21%) and total assets (21.16%), as well as achieving the alpha group’s highest percentage return on average equity with 25.23% RoAE.

For its cross border outreach, the bank opened a representative office in Montreal, Canada’s epicenter for the Lebanese community, and started offering products tailored to Lebanese expatriates in the Gulf region while it staked out its domestic claim to prominence with acquisition of a downtown Beirut plot of land for its headquarters project smack on the Martyrs’ Square axis. In other visibility enhancing steps, Lebanese Canadian undertook sponsorship of events in both the professional realm – i.e. conferences and trade fairs – and the corporate citizenship area, through social, cultural, and environmental ventures.

Based on the groundwork of the years 2001 – 2005, the year 2006 appears to easily be one of the most important for the bank’s development plans. In the first quarter, a main target was increasing its capital, along with making preparations for an initial public offering (IPO). The bank is further seeking to make a domestic acquisition before the end of the year, and is angling for joint venture activities with an international banking institution.

The 2006 capital increase program, which was still in progress at time of writing, had been planned for a while. Lebanese Canadian spelled it out as a three-layered project that includes issuance of new common shares, a preferred shares issue, and launch of Global Depository Receipts (GDRs). However, while the combined growth horizon for these three measures had been an increase in the bank’s capital to about $250 million at end of 2006, the target figure has recently been revised upwards and now stands at over $300 million.

Two steps out of three

In the first two steps of this three-tiered capital increase program, Lebanese Canadian this year issued new common shares and preferred shares to the tune of $35 to $37 million per measure, which together would boost the bank’s capital base by about 50%, from $140 on December 31, 2005, million to $210 million by end of May.

The $35 million increase of common capital proceeded as planned, with participation from existing and new shareholders, and led to a 4.95% equity participation of Gulf-based investors, Skaff told Executive.

The primary objective of this increase was to enhance the bank’s ability to ready itself for the Basel II banking standards, which will govern the industry as of 2008. For alert banks, Basel II risk management rules are already the yardstick by which they are shaping policies.

The preferred shares issue, however, encountered over-demand from the bank’s existing shareholders, attracting almost 25% more applications than could be filled under the planned issue size of $30 million – although this was double what the bank had offered in each of its two earlier preferred shares issues in 2002 and 2003. Thus, Lebanese Canadian decided to increase the issue to $37 million, for which it was expecting approval from Lebanon’s central bank at the end of May.

While these capital raising initiatives were fully accomplished, some of the bank’s other new development projects have been evolving slower than Lebanese Canadian’s chairman and top management hoped for. The first measure to progress less speedy than programmed was the IPO plan. Mostly, this was due to unfavorable influences on the timing. As the regional stock and equity markets caught the severe correction jitters in February and March, Lebanese Canadian thus missed out on its IPO dream timeframe of realizing the flotation in the first quarter of the year.

A bitter second place

Also on the acquisition front, Lebanese Canadian had to wrestle with the fact that buying a decently performing Lebanese bank is easier said than done. In December of last year, Lebanese Canadian made an attempt at what would have been a dream acquisition, according to its chairman, George Zard Abou Jaoude. The takeover of Lebanon’s BLC bank, for which Lebanese Canadian claims to have been the second highest bidder, would have satisfied the bank on two of its top strategy objectives – a massive domestic market share boost factor and a readymade expansion platform in the Gulf region.

Lebanese Canadian’s bid for BLC encountered overly strong competition from the cash-heavy Higher Investment Council of Qatar but it also got derailed by the bank’s downward revision of a higher bid threshold which it had been preparing earlier, in partnership with a potent corporate partner from the Gulf region. Here, according to Abou Jaoude, the bank’s double aim of applying the most aggressive and the most conservative principles in unison, did Lebanese Canadian a disfavor and made it emerge a bitter second place in the contest for BLC.

This means that Lebanese Canadian has still to go through the rituals of courtship and assimilation of a target bank in the Lebanese market, a process which Skaff said it hopes to complete by the end of the third quarter of 2006. This acquisition is highly important if the bank wants to carry forward its strategy that calls for reaching a domestic market share of around 10% by 2010. While organic growth might suffice to add another percent in market share by the end of 2006, when Lebanese Canadian intends to account for 5% of domestic market share, and yet another point or two in the following years, a takeover is a necessity for reaching the 2010 market share target which would make the bank “a major player,” by its own reckoning.

Geographical expansion

Also fully loaded is the bank’s geographic expansion agenda. According to Abou Jaoude, Lebanese Canadian is not only pursuing the takeover of a controlling majority in an Algerian bank in addition to having bought a small stake in Sudan’s Al-Salam Bank, but it also is looking at establishing a brokerage unit in a GCC country, at buying a bank in Egypt, at creating a new bank in Iraq, at branching out into Syria, at Bahrain and at Qatar. All this in conjunction with developing its private banking business, an Islamic window, and an investment banking line and while continuing to expand its retail operations.

At the end of this growth cycle, Lebanese Canadian expects to stand as a banking institution high up in Lebanon’s alpha group, and achieve a diversified income with operations abroad contributing at least 40% to its profits.

With its past five years of rapid growth and its self-perception of being a young and flexible, aggressive institution with clear-cut principles that seek more than a role in profit making, Lebanese Canadian has nurtured seedlings for the whole plantation of its expansion objectives. Its targets, which are driven with great personal investment and enthusiasm by Abou Jaoude, destine the bank to a pursuit of power growth for at least its second five-year plan.

In developing its long-term vision, however, it is pivotal for Lebanese Canadian to accomplish its IPO, implement its joint ventures with international partners, and buy a local bank. The bank is subject to the same country risks and political factors which constitute the vagaries of doing business in Lebanon and the Middle East region. The bank’s executive leadership presents an optimistic view on their ability to succeed without improvements in the political and fiscal climate but admits that a successful “Beirut I” conference for Lebanon would serve as welcome enhancer of its potentials.

June 3, 2006 0 comments
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Georges Frem

by Faysal Badran June 1, 2006
written by Faysal Badran

George Frem, who passed away in May after a valiant battle with illness, will be remembered as an astute businessman, a pioneering Lebanese industrialist, a philanthropist, and a political idealist. Many have written about the business empire he created, but few have talked about the man behind it. It is very difficult for me to write this piece with any degree of detachment as his family are dear friends.

What was striking about George Frem was the personal involvement and passion he put into everything he did. He put people first, not only in his business ventures, but also in his family life, where he always kept a firm focus on solidifying the unity of the family and its business interests. Another laudable trait of this most generous and low-profile man was his modesty and sense of identity. He was a genuine patriot and when he was appointed Minister of Industry, I went to his Paris hotel to congratulate him. Right away, my traditional cynicism about Lebanon was humbled. The man radiated hope and belief in the country and its youth. He always reminded me that the future of Lebanon rests “on you, the next generation, free from sectarianism and working for your country.” I found his idealism refreshing, but worried that his ethics and sense of good governance would run up against the ugly realities of Lebanese political life.

Yet he always felt that in business, his 6,000 or so employees were the ones doing it all and that the most important thing was to keep Lebanon alive. He acknowledged that the system had broken but that the rebuilding was in our hands. How I wish his vision was shared by more people, for George Frem, through his ventures in Saudi Arabia, where he began his professional life, and later in the US and South America, raised the profile of Lebanon, always driven by an inner force of love and respect for his country and friends.

Starting out small

It wasn’t always easy. George Frem started his career working in Saudi Arabia, at a time when air conditioning was a far-off luxury, and well before the name Frem meant so much in the paper and packaging business. Yet the group he built managed to position itself among the most well run and financially strong groups in the region, with revenues of well over $1 billion.

While the group was built almost entirely in an organic manner, he did resort to joint ventures and outright buyouts in some of the global enterprises. His most visible brand in Lebanon, Sanita, has been a genuine success story, challenging world leaders in both quality and market share, while the Indevco group of companies is run along international standards the world over. So, in many respects, Mr. Frem was running a large family business which grew into an impressive global concern. Many of the key executives were sent to blue chip executive programs in order to help the transition from a pure family business into a small multinational

On the many occasions when I corresponded with him, having lost hope in the country, he would have a contagious, upbeat attitude and spirit possessing an almost limitless optimism for the potential of the Lebanese people. We have lost another great man, and it is up to us to make sure that the country he loved so much remains a viable state, a melting pot of cultures, and an incubator for successful business ideas and the virtue of hard work. And while I hope his businesses will continue to flourish, it is his human and humane qualities that will surely be missed most.

George Frem (1943-2006)

June 1, 2006 0 comments
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It hurts

by Yasser Akkaoui June 1, 2006
written by Yasser Akkaoui

It hurts to see our politicians ignorant of the history and evolution of this great country that they are supposed to lead. It hurts that because of this ignorance we have lost opportunities.

It hurts to remember that in 1973, the first oil boom was about to explode just as Lebanon was beginning its slide into civil war. We would have been the natural beneficiary of this sudden wealth, but instead the money, potential and human capital went elsewhere.

It hurts to know that if we had been clever then, no Lebanese today would be starving and Lebanon would be a jewel, not just in the Middle East, but in the world.

It hurts to see that instead we are a bankrupt nation, living on our past and paying our way as the cut-price fleshpot of the Middle East.

It hurts that we should rely on, and fawn over, tourists rather than develop our ailing industries.

It hurts that we didn’t learn from our first mistake and that in 2005 our politicians, intoxicated by the heady fumes of megalomania, were duped into dragging the country into political deadlock, ensuring we missed out on the second oil boom.

It hurts that Gulf States are increasing their quota of Lebanese workers while we let in more maids. It hurts to know that had we been smart, we could have kept our valuable human resources and in all likelihood wooed back other Lebanese, lost to foreign job markets.

It hurts to know that the Hariri vision for economic prosperity – the vision that its detractors like to blame for the current crisis – was predicated on the inevitability of at least one, possibly two booms: peace and oil. The latter came but we had already been raped at gunpoint.

It hurts today to see the return of sectarianism, flag-waving mediocrity and the politics of segregation and self-interest.

It hurts to see our economic reform plan sabotaged for political gains, scaring away Beirut I donors and making Prime Minister Seniora politically impotent. It hurts that Lebanon is weak when it should be strong; it hurts that we are destructive when we should be creators and it hurts that we are ignorant when we should have foresight.

It just hurts.

June 1, 2006 0 comments
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Since its first edition emerged on the newsstands in 1999, Executive Magazine has been dedicated to providing its readers with the most up-to-date local and regional business news. Executive is a monthly business magazine that offers readers in-depth analyses on the Lebanese world of commerce, covering all the major sectors – from banking, finance, and insurance to technology, tourism, hospitality, media, and retail.

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