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Economics & Policy

Protecting the integrity of Banks

by Thomas Schellen November 1, 2005
written by Thomas Schellen

The UN investigation into the assassination of former premier Rafik Hariri has impacted the financial scene. The work of German prosecutor Detlev Mehlis and his team to uncover suspects behind the murder created a stir when a request for banking secrecy laws to be lifted from the accounts of certain individuals key to the enquiry was leaked to the press and found to contain the name of Elias Murr who was not considered a suspect.

Banking industry members said they were dismayed at the negative publicity created by the “propaganda” surrounding the leak and the erroneous inclusion of Murr’s name. “Every day banks get letters about suspicious transactions but they deal with them with discretion. This brouhaha about the investigation into those bank accounts is bad,” said one manager.

Other experts have pointed out that, in any case, a request for information on accounts and financial transactions of any suspect would have to be investigated under clearly defined procedures before banking secrecy could legally be lifted from an account.

Fuelling speculation

Some media pundits took the incident as an excuse to regurgitate speculation over hidden agendas behind the UN investigation. Having apologized to Murr, Mehlis will have bigger fish to fry, but the controversy over the request has served to highlight once again the importance of banking secrecy to Lebanon. As such, it is actually a reminder that this country has nothing to be afraid of when it comes to discussing the matters of security of transfers, data protection, and combating money laundering.

This can be best illustrated by the work and international involvement of the country’s financial intelligence unit charged with fighting abuses of the financial system through organized crime, corrupt officials, terrorists, and crooks. This Special Investigation Commission (SIC) under the chairmanship of central bank governor Riad Salameh hosted in September, a meeting of the recently formed Middle East and North Africa Financial Action Task Force (MENA FATF), during which new important measures for the regional fight against money laundering were adopted. In its Beirut meeting, MENA FATF (an affiliate body of the original FATF founded by the G-7 nations in 1989) passed resolutions that install greater supervision of the Middle East’s hawala system of funds movement, cash couriers, and charitable organizations from the perspective of Anti-Money-Laundering (AML) measures, said SIC secretary, Mohammed Baasiri.

Working groups for training and mutual evaluation also produced important papers, including a regional schedule for mutual evaluations among the participating countries under which Lebanon will be inspected in 2007, “because we are going in alphabetical order,” said Baasiri who also currently heads MENA FATF.

These measures and new initiatives will have no detrimental effects on banking secrecy and financial markets in Lebanon, Baasiri told Executive. “Banking secrecy is intact,” he said, noting that by law he could not provide any information on the financial investigation aspects of the inquiry into the Hariri assassination suspects. Instead, he emphasized that stricter money laundering procedures have helped the country gain international recognition in addition to keeping foreign deposits in the banking system. “After Lebanon was taken off the list, it has witnessed a remarkable increase in deposits. I can also tell you that Lebanon enjoys an excellent reputation in terms of fighting money laundering and terrorism finance,” he said.

As for the efficiency of the SIC on the ground, the commission last year received 199 individual cases based on local suspicious transaction reports and inquiries from abroad. Of this initial count, the SIC passed on 71 cases to the relevant authorities for further measures. With 46 cases still pending, 82 were not passed on, said the SIC’s annual report, presumably because they were unsubstantiated. The total number of reported suspicious incidents last year was down from 2003, when 272 cases had been brought to the commission’s attention.

Anonymous cases described in the report as examples for money laundering typologies uncovered in Lebanon were small size by comparison to such investigations in international financial centers, confirming Baasiri’s contention that the Middle East plays no significant part in the problematic area of money laundering. However, 20 of last year’s 199 cases in Lebanon were related to terrorism and terrorism finance suspicions, and five to embezzlement of public funds, while almost half of the cases were not classified. Of the terrorism cases, 17 involving 47 suspects were based on requests from the UN or the US.

Another aspect of the SIC’s work in Lebanon is the supervision of alignment with AML standards through financial market participants. Undertaken by the commission’s compliance unit, this unit’s work contributed in 2004 to an intensification of the guidelines for requirements for external audits of banks and financial institutions in producing their AML reports. The unit inspected 24 banks, 24 financial institutions, and 24 insurance companies as well as 43 money dealers as to their compliance and issued several reprimands to firms that failed to follow through on corrective measures.

Those that complied

Due to the composition of the country’s financial sector and operator numbers in the different categories, compliance supervision was highest for finance firms (83%), followed by banks and insurers (38 and 44%, respectively) and lastly, money dealers (11%). Behind such dry numbers, what the work of the Mehlis investigation, the SIC and financial intelligence units elsewhere underlines is that money in the 21st century’s global economy is more than ever the track to follow when chasing the bad and the ugly. And pausing for a moment of pondering the flipside of this coin, it is also an important track in pushing for the best.

Since the early 1990s until the dot com crash, discussions on the future of economics abounded with ideas about the abstraction of money through modern payment systems. Some of the more extreme concepts proposed that “virtual money” would soon rule the internet-based economy. Lately, virtual money has found its home, not in online purchases but as a part of the online games experience.

But it is in the real world where money becomes more and more an abstract expression of trust. Safeguarding the numbers that reflect our economic achievements, is a job that requires the skills and integrity of governments and central banks.

This is the funny thing about dealing with money today: all those numbers that define the financial world represent value without allowing a single touch. If money is the tangible physical means that binds the economy into a coherent system, electronic money is this system’s metaphysics. As this invisible force has assumed more and more of the functions that make the system work, the mission of managing money becomes inseparable from the tasks of weeding out the bad and strengthening the good.
 

November 1, 2005 0 comments
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Economics & Policy

What Lebanon can Learn from the Turkish Experience

by Faysal Badran November 1, 2005
written by Faysal Badran

The end game for developing countries, in this day and age, is the ability to attract and maintain capital investment. The catalyst to this inflow is, broadly speaking, a mix of infrastructure rehabilitation and reform. There are numerous trajectories in the developed world, but in many instances reform is slow, and the corollary of sustainable economic growth suffers. Most developing countries, dragged down by decades, sometimes centuries, of corruption and inefficiencies built into the system, see their economic fortunes stutter. Key to shifting gears into higher growth, higher employment, and better overall development has been countries’ ability and willingness to embark on reforms and business promotion.

Turkey’s turn

In this respect, Lebanon may have quite a few lessons to learn from Turkey. As Turkey has made headway into strengthening and revitalizing its public sector and improving its efficiency, it has become, within the span of three decades, a regional economic powerhouse that is close to joining Europe. This has reshaped its image. Obviously, integrating with Europe is not a Lebanese objective, but the mechanisms of change and reform to enter are ones that are applicable to a lot of countries.

Turkey is at a crossroads. After hitting the most severe crisis of its recent history over 2000 to 2001, the economy bounced back and is now among one of the fastest growing economies in the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). A new institutional framework for monetary and fiscal policies, as well as for product, labor and financial markets, infrastructure, industries, and agricultural support, has opened a window of opportunity to escape from the triple evils of low confidence, weak governance and high informality, which underpinned the boom and bust cycle of the past – so as to embark upon on a path of growth. Success will depend on fully implementing and completing the new policy framework, but at least the path has been laid down.

Following the crisis of 2000-2001 which saw multiple currency collapses coupled with a run on Turkish bonds, the effort to reform, based on EU convergence criteria as well as strong pressure from the IMF, has led to a purge of sorts on the political landscape, and has led to an overall effort to overhaul the macroeconomic platform of the government. While Turkey still suffers from many “growing pains,” it has set itself in an international straight jacket of change. This would be an ideal situation for Lebanon. Since organic change remains highly doubtful with ongoing political bickering and the eternal sectarian debate, international economic pressure or other incentives would be highly beneficial. High unemployment and poverty are typically mirror images of the same sequence of symptom and cause. The experience of the past decade in developing economies has demonstrated that the high priority of economic reform and privatization of inefficient public entities is key to long-term efficiency and job creation. Yet this effort, which initially leads to job cuts, is frustrated by the absence of alternative job-creating mechanisms, which creates a vicious circle that does not augur well for the future. What is needed is a private sector framework with public sector support and participation to inculcate a culture of venture capital as an effective means for job creation, accelerated growth, and enhanced innovation and competitiveness in emerging economies. Turkey has been able to promote a private venture culture, which has not only offset some contraction-related aspects of tighter fiscal policy, but has also increased multinational interest in Turkey and has seen the GDP of Turkey rise dramatically over the last five years.

Taking up the mantle

An area of which Lebanon would do well to emulate Turkey, is in gathering and building political consensus on the economic and fiscal imperatives. For now, much of the politics in Lebanon revolves around feudal/tribal issues, and while the fiscal time bomb is ticking away, there is little effort, bar those of the prime minister and his cabinet, to ring the budgetary and macroeconomic alarm bell. Much like in Lebanon, the level and growth rate of public debt became the primary source of macroeconomic vulnerability in Turkey following the 2001 crisis, which saw a public net debt to GNP ratio of around 90% while raising concerns in domestic and international markets about its sustainability. The debt stock’s short maturity and the large share of foreign-currency linked securities implied particularly high rates of rollover on domestic and international markets, increasing the vulnerability to interest rate and currency rate shocks. Although Turkey has made remarkable progress in restoring debt sustainability with high primary surpluses, lower borrowing costs, currency appreciation and high growth – which all helped reduce the public net debt to GNP ratio to about 70% at the end of 2003 – risk factors remain, albeit to a lesser extent.

Turkey, in its drive to enter an economic order and deliver the EU criteria, has forced itself into drastic reform on the way the public sector operates, and while it did resort to privatization, it is not clear that privatization alone will do the trick in Lebanon as many pundits seem to think.

Proceeding with caution

Privatization, without the fostering of private venture capital is tantamount to a fire sale of state assets, and Lebanon would do well to emulate Turkey’s efforts to promote the incubation of many private businesses, offering tax breaks and facilitating their access to capital markets. So, while Turkey did lower the burden of the public sector through reform and privatization, it also nurtured private enterprise, and created an environment of trust for Turkish nationals wishing to set up shop in Turkey.

Please don’t write in to point out the differences between Turkey and Lebanon; they are obvious. Turkey is bigger, more industrialized and more ethnically homogenous, but in a lot of ways, its transition into a more liberal, more vibrant and more globalization-friendly place is replicable in many emerging countries including Lebanon.

Perhaps the most delicate but relevant aspect of modern Turkey, in my opinion, is the secular nature of its system. Turkey has made a clear separation between state and religion, and while Islamists have made significant headway into the political arena, the overall functioning of the state is unperturbed by religion. We could learn a lot from this experience, for to become a genuinely open system and to integrate the international community; a transparent and strong civil society needs to flourish. There is no alternative. Turkey and its youth, much like in Lebanon, is clearly immersed in Western culture, but the difference is, Lebanon’s elite is cosmopolitan but its political system and its corresponding social fabric remains archaic and racist to a large extent. Yes, the make up of Turkish society is truly homogenous, with Muslims representing 99% of the population, but the society is quite secular and the political lines are drawn based on ideas and platforms.

Turkey has reoriented its priorities towards business and growth areas, and has continued to shrink the public sector. While this has caused some dislocations, it has been the pillar of the revival of Turkey. More importantly, and in order to continue receiving aid and easy access to the global debt market, Turkey has forced itself into a long introspection of its economic raison d’etre, something badly needed in Lebanon. Turkey has understood that in order to prosper, it must comply with a path of reform set out by the IMF, OECD and World Bank. There is simply no other way, and rather than dump its state assets in an ad hoc way, it has gradually improved their operating efficacy before privatizing.

Getting with the program

Turkey has grasped and implemented the notion that there is no debt solution without reform, and Lebanon should get in that frame of mind. Any thought of debt relief by the international community is ludicrous in Lebanon, because most of the debt is held by Lebanese banks. So there is no short cut. Turkey also realized that there is no sense in maintaining a large government when instead, it could rely on private business to be the engine of growth. It attracted strong minded and educated Turks back into Turkey to create businesses and jobs. We, in Lebanon, because of the rot in our system due to corruption and sleaze politics, are hardly an ad for Lebanese wanting to create businesses here.

Surely, we have a lot to learn from Turkey. Built on the weak remnants of the Ottoman Empire, this country has placed itself in a position of strength, built important alliances, and promoted a culture of change and sustainable development. Lebanon would do well to copy, in spirit, the approach of Turkey in prioritizing the economy over politics, in promoting private enterprise, and in embracing globalization by acting in the national interest in forging a strong working relationship with the industrialized world and its institutions.
Turkey has come a long way from its depiction of a dictatorship with little economic hope simply by adhering to the global economic textbook and by strengthening its institutions. Turkey has quadrupled its revenues from tourism in ten years as well as becoming one of the top Mediterranean destinations by assisting tourist projects and emphasizing a clean tourism environment.

In its bid to enter the European process, Turkey has had to make many tough concessions in order to fit in. When we hear of Saudi Arabia entering the WTO, one wonders how ready is Lebanon? As Turkey integrates an economic bloc, it has had to shape up.

We can only hope that Lebanon, driven by a desire to enter any kind of economic entity, will make significant changes to its modus vivendi, both economically and politically. It would therefore be beneficial to shoot for a similar path to Turkey, especially by realizing that deep structural and institutional change is the only way out. A strong banking sector, a piece meal tourism plan, and lip service to demands for change will not cut it this time around.
 

November 1, 2005 0 comments
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Heaven via hell

by Yasser Akkaoui November 1, 2005
written by Yasser Akkaoui

They say the people know best. It is possibly why we have the concept of democracy.

When the extension of the presidential mandate was bullied through parliament and the UN passed Resolution 1559, the word on the street was that things did not look bright for Mr. Hariri. The Syrians will get him, people whispered. And they had a point. The people had seen it all before. We even hinted at it in our February 2005 editorial, two weeks earlier. So when it came, the shock and horror was coated with déjà vu.

One month later, it was the same gut feeling that pushed 1.3 million people onto the streets. Enough was enough. We knew it was time for Damascus to go and the people told it to.

Then, in the run up to the release of the UN Mehlis report, came the same whispers, this time predictions of a “suicide” or “accident” in Syria; for there would have to be a fall guy. And so it came to pass. Ghazi Kanaan was, as the people said, “suicided.”

And when Herr Mehlis showed us what he found, it merely confirmed what we already knew, a knowledge accrued over years of witnessing first hand the activities of what one interviewee in the report described as “Murder Inc.”

And economically we can see our own destiny. We can see a gleaming world of skyscrapers and prosperity. The word is out and the Lebanese trading genes are limbering up for the biggest boom in years. The real estate investment in Solidere and elsewhere in Beirut and other tourism and retail projects all herald what is most certainly likely to be a bonanza, one that will free the nation from the shackles of mediocrity, sell off state burdens and fly the flag of private enterprise. If there is one force that shapes the Lebanese instinct, it is that which drives it to trade, to deal, to sell and to build. It is a force that even when knocked down, will rebuild because it knows nothing else.

We know who we are and we know where we live. We trust our own instincts. We should go by them.

November 1, 2005 0 comments
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Economics & Policy

Andy Kemp talks oil

by Thomas Schellen November 1, 2005
written by Thomas Schellen

 

 

Levant Oil, incorporated in Lebanon, has been trading, importing and storing oil derivatives since it opened a storage terminal in Jiyeh in 2001. This year, the company is launching a chain of “LEO” gas stations across Lebanon. The Levant Oil Group comprises three companies: Levant Oil International, which started up in February 2005, and specializes in general oil trading and business development; Levant Oil, which specializes in storage and distribution within Lebanon; and LEO, which started up a few months ago and specializes in lubricant blending and station development. Andy Kemp heads Levant Oil International’s import operations. He has also worked for Shell Oil, Goldman Sachs and Salomon Smith Barney. Executive asked him about Levant Oil’s new chain of service stations and Lebanon’s oil sector in general.

E What is the rationale behind opening the new service station chain now?

I think it’s an effort to provide a more integrated, stable company system. If you import into Lebanon you are to some extent restricted as to how much market share you have, and to some extent to wholesalers and intermediaries and so on. So if you have your own chain you have a slightly more stable system. Levant Oil is also an attempt to build a brand and one of the most important ways to build a brand is to have retail networks.

 

E How important are the plans to build the LEO station network in the revenue projections at Levant Oil?

It will help stabilize your revenues by having your fixed off-take systems. But it’s a bit of a double-edged sword of course, because when we live in a posted-price environment here, there are times when it’s actually a disadvantage because you are obliged to be supplying your own terminals, your own retail network when realistically you don’t want to do that. So it’s a double-edged sword. On the one hand you have a consistency of off-take and you have some margin income that’s fixed from that off-take. But at the same time it’s an obligation. So my own personal view is that it’s part of the brand-building exercise. It’s part of an integration exercise. There is some value in it but you have to be particularly cautious and not make it too large.

E How much of your income do you plan to derive from secondary business, i.e. sales of side items, car washes, mechanical or maintenance services?

I’m a firm believer in that. The retail network is extremely well established. There are far too many retail stations. Everybody has too much choice. There seems to be quite an obsession with having retail networks. It’s fairly expensive to set up a new petrol station. There are an enormous number of them here. I’m a little surprised at how many retail stations there are. It can’t be particularly efficient, and people are building new ones. Perhaps it’s a characteristic of local business. So I think you have to go into some kind of added value element. You compare it to ones in the UK. They have supermarkets and they have just about everything in them that you can imagine. There has to be some extra value to having a retail station.

E Consumers have been shielded from strong oil price increases over the past year by a government cap on prices at the pump. How does this affect the margins of traders?

It doesn’t, because inside the government formula are a bunch of add-ons. In fact, you net back to an element of price which reflects the international market. What varies seems to be the amount of tax that is taken by the government. They have had the chance, in the last few months, to raise retail prices slightly and perhaps should have taken that opportunity when the time was there. But to us it doesn’t make an enormous amount of difference. It does, of course, if there’s no money left for tax, which has been the case lately.

E Would an end to government caps on fuel prices affect the consumption of your products?

I think so. I think there is an elasticity of demand here. I think it’s probably more pronounced in this country than in stronger Western economies. You’ll have an effect on demand with higher prices, that’s for sure.

E As traders, you import oil derivatives. Where do you get your best deals these days?

Most come from places like Italy, Greece, France, Romania, sometimes from other locations, but the bulk comes from those kinds of areas. There are only a certain number of refineries in Europe and that’s where the refineries are situated.

E Where can you make profits in the import and distribution of oil derivatives?

There are margins, obviously, between the importation price and wholesale prices. There are margins in the wholesale chain. The system that’s executed here does provide some protections for the importers, but with the market movements that you’ve seen lately it’s not a great deal of protection. If you get it wrong, you get it very wildly wrong.

E Is the quality of oil derivates imported to Lebanon better today than five or ten years ago?

Yes. For the most part, the qualities imported here are pretty similar to European norms. Some of the specifications like for example, gasoline have been improved; diesel’s been improved again in Europe. We’re not like them at the moment. But mainly it’s pretty similar. In Europe in particular the sulphur specifications are tighter. Diesels, for example, are now more commonly 10 parts per million (ppm) diesel in Europe. We are largely importing 50 ppm but we can import much much higher levels of sulphur in the diesel if we wish. So, there are some improvements going on but in the main it’s pretty good diesel and pretty good gasoline that’s being imported here for the moment. Where there are probably large differences is with the power stations. There are power stations on gas oil, which is a form of diesel and has a very high sulphur specification. When you compare it with 50 ppm, and you’re talking about half a percent, it’s more like 5,000 ppm. That is an anomaly.

E Are the current industry structures good for the consumer or could you envision improvements through more competition, new regulations, or other changes?

It’s a very strange system here in Lebanon. A large number of oil terminals – I think I once counted up 24 oil terminals – are all lots of little oil terminals distributed up the coast. So ships will come and go to three locations, which is not a particularly economic thing to do. The feudal system in Lebanon is really the way things work and the system as it stands at the moment is a workable system. The infrastructure here though is a little bit anomalous. Government oil storage installations are severely underutilized. Look at Zahrani for example. A terminal in Europe is expected to turn over more than one times its capacity in a month. Here in Lebanon I’d be surprised if the turnover in the private storage locations for the imports of gasoline and diesel is much over 0.3 [of their capactiy] a month and that’s really underutilizing the terminal capacity. In addition, the valuation of assets is too high. If you compare it to other examples internationally these are not assets that would be valued at the rates they are here. Partially it’s done on land costs, partially on cash flow for margins. There are so many people who have invested money over the years at times when the situation was different. They have legacies. They have asset investments that they have to maintain at value. That’s the barrier now to a more efficient infrastructure here in the country, these legacies.

E There have been many allegations of cartel structures in Lebanon’s energy industry. Do such structures exist in the private sector importation and distribution business or only in other parts of the energy sector?

Perhaps what you’re referring to is for example the pool system with importation for the private sector, which is effectively cooperation between groups for imports. But there is actually a logic to this. It’s back to the feudal structure. It partly works because people can combine to import these cargos themselves so if you want to call it a cartel you probably could, but it’s not for anti-consumer purposes. Quite the reverse. It actually allows people to bring in bigger shipments that are more economic to bring in. For example, all the people in the pool, which we’re not a member of – we came and we left – will provide a sealed tender for their importation and the best price wins, so effectively it’s not really a cartel in that sense. It’s actually for the consumer benefit because they will get the best prices for the importations that way. By cooperating, they can bring in 30,000 ton cargos when some terminals will only take a few thousand.

E Why did you leave the pool?

We preferred to have our own flexibility. The pool works for the people in it due to their locations. We’re probably a number too many. We have the capacity to bring in our own 30,000 ton ships without the pool. The problem for us was that we would end up taking small pieces off a number of different ships that came in. It’s not particularly economic. If you say that a ship will cost you about $20,000 to $25,000 each port it goes to, if you’re going for just a few thousand tons or for 30,000 tons it makes quite a substantial difference to your economics.

E Where do you expect our energy costs to go over the long term, and how do you plan your business strategy in response to potential ‘energy wars’ or consistent high costs?

If there was an energy war I think we would be in particularly good shape because we have a terminal that has a reasonable size to it. We have the capacity to bring in ships ourselves. We have an efficient system. We have a relatively low cost base. We don’t have historical debts. It would just crush margins in the short run and I don’t fear for that. I would have thought that the government would need to consider – and I obviously don’t want to say anything that would upset the consumer – reflecting the new reality of world oil prices some time and to do it gradually so that people can absorb it and adjust to it. They really need to not avoid the situation that’s out there. They need to deal with it.

E How much of your revenue do you reinvest in environmental safety measures?

The oil terminal is currently being ISO-approved. It has the requisite systems on it, to, for example, stop evaporation losses and cooling systems to minimize any kind of airborne losses. Our terminal is well looked after in that respect and the ISO qualifications should endorse that.

E What effect does the ongoing instability in Lebanon have on your strategy and projections?

On a general level I think that the Lebanese have a business spirit that stands them in extremely good stead. Effectively, the issues that we see around us can prevent investment and the creation of a more organizational structure. We have a lot of individual small companies that are ruled as fiefdoms. At some point Lebanon needs to evolve to where companies actually run themselves. And those structures could, with the Lebanese spirit, become very powerful in the region. The factors that we’ve seen lately don’t help the Lebanese situation of development and growth, despite the fact that it is well placed to do so. And it’s missing out on the growth that you see in Amman and other places nearby.

November 1, 2005 0 comments
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Economics & Policy

Open for trading: The DIFX takes off

by Nicolas Photiades November 1, 2005
written by Nicolas Photiades

Since the fateful events of 9/11 in New York, the phenomenon of investment repatriation by Gulf Arabs has accelerated significantly. Indeed, since 2002, Saudi investors are believed to have withdrawn more than $300 billion of investments from the US, while other Gulf countries are also said to have reeled-in roughly the same amount, if not more.

The record high price of oil has also contributed significantly towards this new prosperity and high level of liquidity in the Middle East. However, this liquidity has flooded a region that has been stagnating for the last decade in terms of investments, and has not been matched by a similar number of placement opportunities … until now that is.

Three years ago the return of Arab money prompted the launch of plans for a regional, modern and efficient financial exchange in Dubai. The result, rather predictably, is the Dubai International Financial Exchange (DIFX), which opened for business in September 2005, and which now gives international investors full access to Middle East companies.

It is part of the legally autonomous Dubai International Financial Centre (DIFC), a 110-acre “mini state,” which was also inaugurated in September, and which has, with the help of British and Australian regulators, established the Dubai Financial Services Authority (DFSA), a special capital markets authority to regulate the exchange and ensure it complies with international regulatory standards whilst supervising all capital market transactions that go through the DIFX. All successful exchanges traditionally set up a rigorously run capital markets authority to supervise capital markets transactions, and it is up to the DFSA to ensure that transparency is kept high at all times, and only suitable companies that fulfill investors’ needs get their securities listed on the exchange.

Taking it international

Thus the DIFX is unique, even by world standards, as it is a new financial exchange with a primarily international outlook. Most are usually set up as national exchanges, which become tied to the domestic economy for long periods of time. Some national exchanges, such as those in London or New York, have gradually developed into international exchanges, welcoming companies wishing to be listed from all over the world. However, the process is usually slow and it is clear that with the significant amount of liquidity available in the Gulf region, the DIFC felt it had no time to waste in making the DIFX into both a regional and international exchange from the beginning. While the old Dubai Stock Exchange has been kept operational by the Dubai government, the DIFX has been created and set up separately to cater for regional companies and to complement markets in the rest of the Middle East.

Until now, the various local exchanges of the Middle East have had limited success, as they all operate along national lines, with their potential being highly dependent on the way their national economies develop and prosper (the Beirut Stock Exchange (BSE) for example, doesn’t even have a capital markets authority in place). The exchanges stand out by their lack of attractiveness, given the dire state of their domestic economies, and a consequent lack of liquidity in secondary markets.

Another issue is that Middle Eastern equity markets have, for very long periods, been closed to foreigners, and have been operating under different rules from those established in other regions. While international investors have been limited in what regional securities they can buy and how they can buy them (settlements, currency, etc.), regional investors have been restricted as to where they can buy securities emanating from different parts of their own region. Most of the exchanges in the Gulf have, until now, been dependent on demand from oil-rich institutions and individuals, while exchanges in Lebanon, Egypt, Jordan and other non-oil Arab countries, have been relying on retail investors with traditionally limited capabilities.

Today, investors throughout the Middle East, particularly the cash-rich nations of the Gulf, are keen to diversify their investment interests beyond oil-related stocks and local real estate companies. Such desires for diversification and strong demand for securities issued regionally can only be met by international exchanges such as the DIFX. The latter is aiming to trade in US dollars and to place no limits on foreign ownership. The minimum listing requirements are expected to attract companies from throughout the region, as well as companies from Africa (demand from South African mining companies has been registered), Turkey, India and China (which interestingly are starting to use the DIFX option, even though they can use the Hong Kong and Singapore markets). According to the exchange’s officials, Egyptian and Lebanese companies have also shown interest in the DIFX, with the latest example being a potential listing of the recently much publicized and significantly over-subscribed IPO (Initial Public Offering) of Investcom, a telecommunications company owned and controlled by the Lebanese Mikati family (see pages 48 to 70).

The DIFX is ambitious. It is aiming for at least 15 IPOs and as many secondary listings in the next 18 months. This is more than just mere hype, as the recent IPOs that have already taken place and which got listed on the DIFX, such as ADDAR Real Estate ($225 million), the Saudi consumer dairy company Almarai, and the Saudi Dairy and Foodstuff Company (SADAFCO), were heavily over-subscribed. ADDAR was impressively 450 times covered, while Almarai and SADAFCO were respectively 3.5 times and 6.5 times oversubscribed. This severe over-subscription is a reflection of the heavy demand for too few investment opportunities, and the future looks bright for this new exchange, which is relying on its light but solid regulations and international outlook to attract companies from Asian and African markets.

Pre-placing IPOs

Demand for newly issued regional securities is such that even the usual process of underwriting is often unnecessary. The high demand emanating from Gulf individual and institutional investors, as well as from Islamic banks – which are the fastest growing type of financial institution in the world (annual growth in both profits and assets is estimated to range between 10% to 15%) and which focus solely on placing cheap funding into non-interest paying assets such as shares – is such that all IPOs are pre-placed before the official date of their issue.

The DIFX is also looking to see listings across sectors, despite initial concerns that securities issued by the oil and gas sector would dominate. Currently, the DIFX includes companies with market capitalizations ranging from $100 million to $1.5 billion, reflecting the accessibility of this exchange. All kinds of securities are expected to be listed, including traditional equities, bonds, sukuks (Islamic bonds) and even Global Depositary Receipts, particularly those issued by Indian companies. Expansion of the exchange over time should add derivatives to this diversified pot of securities, as the high accessibility of capital through the DIFX is recognized in the medium-term.

The DIFX is also the first vehicle through which demand for capital would be optimized. No wonder Chinese, Indian and South African companies are feeling the necessity to launch their IPOs through this exchange, which finally offers our own Lebanese companies a real opportunity to go global, diversify funding and revenues, and gain substantially in terms of reputation. The massive success of the Investcom IPO (through both London and the DIFX) and the significant over-subscription (believed to have exceeded 10 times) is proof of the strong demand for Lebanese shares and securities that awaits any visionary Lebanon-based company in need of capital boosting.

With the Lebanese government planning to resume a much-awaited and overdue privatization program, the launch of the DIFX could not have been timelier. Before the opening of the DIFX, it was not clear whether Lebanese privatization would have been successful. However, the recent IPOs of Gulf companies, as well as Investcom, have proved many skeptics wrong, including this writer.

Although strategic institutional investors are still needed in the privatization of Lebanese public institutions (particularly the utilities such as EDL and water), the Lebanese government now has the added comfort of raising capital and urgent cash out of listing on the DIFX. Sadly, this could be bad news for the BSE, as Gulf and Lebanese investors find it more practical and transparent to buy Lebanese privatization shares directly through the DIFX.

Although some issues of corporate governance and interference from the DIFC’s top bosses remain, it is obvious that the creation of the DIFC and the DIFX is the step that will propel the Arab financial world forward into the 21st century. With such a tool paving the way for an explosion in Arab capital markets and consequent regional prosperity, it would be a shame if all of it were to collapse due to weak corporate governance and control freak behavior.

 

November 1, 2005 0 comments
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Business

Ready For Take-Off

by Anthony Mills November 1, 2005
written by Anthony Mills

In the United States today more than a third of all plane tickets are bought on the web, thanks in great part to the fact that 68% of the country’s 328 million inhabitants use the internet – according to www.internetworldstats.com – and that the credit card has become almost as ubiquitous as the wristwatch. In stark contrast, across the Middle East, only 8.2% of roughly 261 million inhabitants use the internet and many people have never seen a credit card. But despite this world of difference, Mitri Kurban, a partner of Lebanon’s Kurban Travel, is convinced that now is the time to launch a Middle East online travel booking agency – appropriately named uflyonline.com.

A revamped concept

Uflyonline – the website – has actually been around for a couple of years. But it has kept a distinctly low profile, operating behind the existing travel agent Kurban Travel. So, although you could buy a ticket online, you had to pick it up from Kurban Travel. “Not the best way of doing it,” agreed Kurban. Only recently, though, did he and his fellow investors decide that the time was ripe to transform uflyonline from an unpublicized website into a fully-fledged, independent company – a move streamlined by a marketing campaign that by the end of the year will have cost almost a quarter of a million dollars (around 70% of total costs).

“Two years ago, we didn’t feel that the market was ready. For two years, we advertised only online. Now, more people in Lebanon and the region are using the internet, technology has advanced, the internet is much faster, and airlines like Emirates, Saudi Arabian Airlines and even MEA are using e-ticketing and the internet more,” Kurban said. “We have opened a real bricks-and-mortar shop to let people know that we exist, that internet booking is a reality, that it’s the best way to book for a journey. The shop is licensed and operated in Lebanon. It’s open 24 hours. The choice is there and prices are very competitive.

“If we don’t move into the business, in this region now, someone else is going to.”

Uflyonline had only been functioning in its new form for five days when Executive spoke to Kurban, but he said sales already indicated the marketing campaign was drawing customers to the site. “We’ve been positively surprised by the appetite of people for this service,” he said. “People have been catching on immediately, jumping on the internet and booking.” In the 48 hours before the interview, Kurban said, uflyonline had sold 10 tickets.

Following international trends

Kurban witnessed firsthand the boom in online booking in the United States when he was living there in the late 1990s, and predicted its spread to Europe. In fact, one of uflyonline’s current owners is a Frenchman who set up an online booking agency in Europe just as the boom was spreading. “He told me: we should try this in the Middle East,” Kurban recalled. “I began seeing how it could be implemented here. I went from Cairo to Dubai to Abu Dhabi to establish the system. It took us almost a year-and-a-half to create alliances and understand the business. And we had to adapt the technology. We dealt with a lot of problems, a lot of bugs. We changed our business plan many times. Finally, we came to the conclusion that we would have to set up a shop in each target city and begin promoting online booking as a real product and give people the choice.”

The company is owned by four partners: Kurban, the French online booking agency owner who suggested the Middle East venture to Kurban and apparently wishes to remain anonymous, Openfares, a Canadian software solutions company active in North and South America and Europe and hoping to expand into the Middle East, and a Saudi silent investor. Together, the four have already invested almost a million dollars.

An inexpensive startup

“That’s actually a very small amount for this type of business,” said Kurban. “The startup budget for my French partner’s Europe venture in 1998 was 12 million euros. Today it would cost him 30, 40 or 50 million euros.

“The reason it has cost us so little here is first, we haven’t done that much yet; second, the cost of advertising and many other costs are much lower; and third, we don’t for the moment have any competition.”

But Kurban said he expected competition to flourish as the concept took hold in the region. “We have noticed that Europe follows the US by three to four years,” he said. “And we follow Europe by three to five years. So the gap between the United States and us is about 10 years. Online travel developed in the United States in 1996. Today, almost a third of European air travelers purchase online. In five or six years from today, online booking may take a 10% share of the Middle East market.

“I don’t think it will ever reach 30% or 40%,” he added, “because of the lack of education, of people speaking the languages. But even 10% of the Middle East online market is a lot of money.”

Kurban said he expected the company to spend a lot more over the next few years establishing client bases across the Middle East.

In Lebanon, over the coming year, another $300,000 to $500,000 will be spent, he said. And then come other Arab countries. “If our Lebanon venture is successful, we’re moving into Dubai next, then Abu Dhabi, then probably Kuwait. We’ve seen a huge number of US soldiers using our services in Kuwait.” Kurban said the company expected to spend another $6 million in the region over the next three years.

Regional reach

When uflyonline established its low-key internet presence behind an existing travel agent in Lebanon two years ago, it did the same thing in seven other Arab countries – Bahrain, Egypt, Jordan, Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. And just as it has transformed itself in Lebanon into a fully-fledged independent company, so it hopes to do the same in the other seven countries.

Kurban said he sees the company breaking even within two years. He said he hoped to be doing $10 million worth of business in Lebanon within two years, “comparable to one of Lebanon’s top five travel agents,” or 3% of Lebanon’s roughly $300 million travel agency sector.

Kurban acknowledged that it may not be easy drawing customers in this part of the world away from the traditional face-to-face purchasing they are used to. The website “doesn’t talk,” he noted. But he is convinced that there are enough modern, aeroplane-using internet users in the Middle East to make the system work. And in an effort to retain a reassuring human element, uflyonline has established call centers that are open to queries during regular working hours. Customers are also free to pick up their tickets from uflyonline offices.

In another tacit admission that it will take time for Middle Eastern online bookers to become as automated as their Western counterparts, uflyonline doesn’t oblige customers to pay by credit card. “People are happy to drop in at our office and pay cash. Many don’t trust credit cards,” Kurban observed. Nonetheless, he added, half of the purchases over the past five days had been made by credit card. “For the moment we are educating people in the region,” he said.

Kurban is keen to stress that uflyonline is not a subsidiary of Kurban Travel. It is an entirely separate company. However, his share of the investment is effectively a Kurban Travel investment. “And so we’re trying to do it in a way that hurts Kurban Travel least,” Kurban explained. “That’s why we’re keeping it totally separate, so the customer doesn’t have two choices in the same office.”

Uflyonline currently counts 25 staff, of whom only seven actually work in Lebanon. “Everything else is outsourced to web and technology people, mostly in Canada,” explained Kurban.

November 1, 2005 0 comments
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Business

Crossing the rubicon

by Michael Young November 1, 2005
written by Michael Young

With Lebanon having crossed the Rubicon of the Mehlis report, it must now prepare for the storm that will follow. In many respects, the country will have to use the upcoming months to define, or redefine, what kind of society it expects to be – whether one imbued with a capitalist culture of openness and free markets, or one racked by fear and diffidence.

The answer is not an easy one, as the Lebanese will have contradictory answers to the three major challenges they can be expected to face: addressing the implications of what the United Nations investigator Detlev Mehlis revealed, and the legal consequences of this; the breadth of economic reform, and the limits of the society’s openness. In his report, Mehlis found compelling evidence to hold Syrian and Lebanese security officials and politicians responsible for former premier Rafik Hariri’s assassination, and described a widespread conspiracy that appeared to reach to the top leaderships in both countries. Whereas Mehlis’ conclusions may invariably lead to a clash with Syria, the dictates of the free market point in an opposite direction, namely to some sort of agreement so that Lebanese exports can travel through the common border, but also so Syrian guarantees of Lebanese security make the investment climate agreeable. The only problem is that intimidation and free markets rarely mix for long: if one party gains the upper hand, mutually beneficial exchanges – of goods, services, and much else – come to a grinding halt in favor of imposition by the stronger party. That’s why the Lebanese were compelled to applaud when months ago Syria was forced to end its border blockade of Lebanon after Iraq imposed a similar blockade on goods entering Syria. In other words, the desire for free markets may have to come accompanied with recognition that turbulence in trade and other exchanges will probably be inevitable in the coming months. This will not mean the government has no role to play in alleviating the consequences; but it does mean that it should probably not be held responsible for a worsening relationship with Syria it will almost certainly have little control over.

The fate of reforms

If foreign trade suffers from the aftershocks of the Mehlis report, the question of domestic economic reform is a different matter altogether. The difficulties of privatization are well known, and the government will certainly have to face those politicians or parties expected to lose the most from a cutback in the civil service. But instead of letting the ambient tension freeze privatization, the Seniora government (if indeed it remains in office in the coming months) must try to use the momentum created by that tension, so that any effort to derail a bureaucratic cutback can be played up as Lebanon’s missing a chance to be on the same page as foreign aid donors.

That might work if all things remain constant. Otherwise, Prime Minister Fouad Seniora’s ability to pursue reform will be a function of political cohesiveness, or lack thereof. The prospect that Lebanon may enter into a period of confrontation over the presidency, for example, may mean many weeks of costly idleness, where the international community loses interest in Lebanon. A third question the Lebanese will have to answer is how open they want their society to be. This means, particularly, looking at the future of media freedoms. The bomb attack against LBCI anchorwoman May Chidiac came as a shock; it shouldn’t have after the assassination of An Nahar columnist Samir Kassir and the threats directed against other journalists, particularly An Nahar owner Gibran Tueni. Lebanese media have accepted a small measure of self-censorship, particularly on matters Syrian, but overall this has been limited to the commentariat – as many journalists understand, it is less what they say specifically that disturbs the neighbors than the fact that Lebanon has a relatively free media sector in general. A warning to one journalist is a warning to all, and if something must be clarified in the coming months, it’s how extensively journalists will defend this; but also how wide a margin of expression the government will give media outlets.

No turning back

The Mehlis report was a break-off point between Syrian-controlled Lebanon and what now follows. The findings will hardly bring serenity, but they do push us into a new phase where it’s up to the Lebanese to begin defining the system they intend to build. There are no easy answers, and relations with Syria are bound to worsen before they get better. In that time, Lebanon’s government and society should stick to the proven certainties: adhering to an internationally sanctioned legal process in the Hariri assassination, pushing economic reform, and defending an open society.

November 1, 2005 0 comments
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Special Report

Film and TV Production

by Peter Speetjens October 23, 2005
written by Peter Speetjens

Intro

Despite having several critically acclaimed films, Lebanon has no real film industry to speak of. The fact is that without foreign funding, most Lebanese films would never see the light of day. However, Lebanon is one of the leading players in the regional TV market. The country boasts ten TV stations with a combined annual budget of some $150 million, a significant part of which is used to produce news programs, talk shows, TV series and recent monster hits such as Star Academy, Superstar, Survivor and The Farm, making LBCI and Future TV among the region’s most popular and profitable channels, while a dozen or so Lebanese production houses lead the market in terms of TV commercials and music clips, a market worth some $75 million.

Film

There has been the sweet taste of success for Lebanese films and Lebanese directors in recent years. In 2003, Randa Chahal Sabag won the prestigious Special Jury Prize at the Venice Film Festival for her cross border love story The Kite. In 1998, Ziad Doueiri put Lebanon on the world filmmaking map with his coming of age drama West Beyrouth. The film won several international awards and was a commercial success as well. It cost some $800,000 to produce and cashed in over $1 million, thanks to theater admissions, television and DVD sales.

It must be noted however, that while these movies were Lebanese in the sense that both directors and most actors are Lebanese and both films are set in Lebanon, they were actually French productions. In Lebanon no government subsidy system exists as it does in Europe, nor is there a commercial studio system as in the United States.  Therefore, we can hardly speak of a Lebanese film industry. Lebanese directors, who want to make a film, have to go abroad. Most turn to Paris.

One of the consequences of foreign funding is that directors are obliged to hire foreign crews. The director of photography, cameramen and many technicians will have to be flown in. The editing too, arguably the most expensive part of making a film, has to take place in the country that funded the film. In that sense, foreign film funding is comparable to most of today’s governmental aid to developing countries, as the aid has to be spent in their country of origin.

Still, there are other ways. Lebanese director Phillipe Aractingi raised some $800,000 in shares to make his musical dream L’Autobus reality. The film is currently in postproduction. More common among Lebanese directors however, is to go low budget, shoot on video, and rely on the goodwill of fellow artists in the industry. That is how director Elie Khalife managed to make his short film Van Express, which cost a mere $15,000.

Education

As hardly any films are made in Lebanon, most of the country’s wannabe directors, cameramen and editors mainly end up working for TV, or in the production of ads and music clips. Apart from the American University of Beirut, most major universities offer film production courses, including: Lebanese American University (LAU), Academie Libanais des Beaux Arts, Universite Saint Esprit Kaslik, Universite Saint Joseph, Notre Dame Universite, American University of Science and Technology, American University of Technology and the Lebanese University. To illustrate the importance of TV, from the 300 students at LAU’s Communicative Arts department, 90% do television, which includes everything from production to directing and editing. They will not only work for Lebanese channels as there are over 150 regional TV stations, in which Lebanese employees highly represented.

A brief history of Lebanese TV

Unlike most Arab countries, yet in line with the country’s traditional laisser-faire philosophy, Lebanon’s first TV channel was launched by two local businessmen, Wissam Izzedine and Alex Arida. In 1956, they obtained a government permit to launch the Companie Libanaise de Television (CLT), which started operating in 1959.

Backed by the American Broadcasting Channel (ABC), a second private station, the Compagnie de Televsion du Liban et du Proche Orient (CTLPO) started transmission in May 1962.

Both channels became profitable by the early 1970s, but as soon as the war erupted in 1975 were on the brink of bankruptcy. To guarantee the country TV access, the government was forced to step in and in 1977 established the Lebanese Television Company (TeleLiban), which incorporated remnants of the CLT and CLTPO. During the 1980s, a large number of pirate private stations appeared, each linked to one of the warring factions, among which most importantly the Lebanese Broadcasting Company (LBC), Mashrek and New TV (NTV). In 1991 there were no less than 46 TV channels, although not all operational.

In 1996, the government decided to regulate the TV-sector and issued broadcasting permits to but 4: LBC International (LBCI), Future Television (FT), Murr TV (MTV) and the National Broadcasting Company (NBN). Critics accused the Hariri government of trying to silence political opponents. Al Manar obtained a permit later that year, while during the brief period Salim Hoss served as Prime Minister in 1998, NTV and IUCN also received a license. Christian channel TeleLumiere does not have a permit, but is tacitly allowed to broadcast. As IUCN is not operational, Lebanon currently boasts 7 active channels, with MTV reopening its doors soon.

Satellite a Go Go

With the arrival of satellite in the early 1990s, most Lebanese TV broadcasters today have both terrestrial branch and satellite branch to reach the broader Arab region Especially LBCI and Future TV have proved successful in increasing viewers and today rank among the 5 of most watched Arab TV channels. The reason is that, from the start, both channels perceived broadcasting as a business venture. LBCI may originally have been a Maronite station, even during the war it broadcasted the popular Fawazeer Ramadan show to attract Muslim viewers. What’s more, the privately owned Lebanese channels never had to serve as a government mouthpiece, as channels in Egypt or Saudi Arabia. Last but not least, Lebanon has always had a more relaxed attitude towards sexual morals.

What is it worth?

The Lebanese TV sector operates on a combined annual budget of some $150 million, while employing up to 2500 people full time and up to 500 people a month on a freelance base. Most broadcasters are rather tight lipped about annual budgets, and viewer numbers, yet it is estimated that the leading channels operate on annual $30 million to $35 million budget, some 60% to 70% of which is dedicated to in-house productions, while the remainder goes to the administration, as well as buying foreign films and TV series.

Partly owned by Saudi Prince Walid bin Talal, who for $98 million bought a 49% stake in the company, LBCI employs 550 people fulltime, while hires an additional some 50 part-timers a month. LBCI produces a variety of programs, among which Star Academy and The Farm, news, talk shows, programs for kids, a comedy Abdo & Abdo and weekly drama series such as Marti wa Anna and Familia.

Future TV has a staff of up to 500 and hires some 100 freelancers every month. Likewise, it produces big entertainment shows such as Superstar, Soccer Star, The Trap, news, talk shows, kids’ and sports programs.

Operating on an estimated annual budget of $15 million, Al Manar has some 300 employees, which includes bureaus and correspondents in Iran, Dubai, Jordan and Egypt. Other Lebanese channels generally employ between 100 and 200 people and operate on a budget of less than $10 million.

While some local drama and comedy series, Lebanese TV channels are hardly involved in the production in films, documentaries and drama series. It is the market leader in entertainment shows and, to a certain extent, talk shows. Egypt leads the way in terms of films and drama, followed by Syria, which produces hardly any films but up to 40 dramas a year. It is mainly regional channels such as Al Arabya and Al Jazeera that produce documentaries for an average price of $20,000 to $25,000 for a 50-minute film.

Having been closed for over 3 years, MTV is keen to reopen its doors and join the fray. With an estimated annual budget of up to $40 million, it aims to employ 550 people. While most of the staff of some 450 at the time of closure had to find work elsewhere, the MTV studios in Naccache were hired by other broadcasting companies, such as MBC, Al Hurrah, Manar and Rotana. The experiment was so successful, that MTV is currently constructing a second studio worth some $60 million.

Funding

Lebanese broadcasters rely first of all on advertisement revenue to pay for their annual budget, and hence for their production capacity. With the exception of LBCI and Future TV however, none of them actually breaks even. Total income from national TV advertisement in recent years decreased from some $90 million to $50 million a year. The regional advertisement market is where the money is, worth an estimated $300 million. Yet with over 150 regional broadcasters, competition is fierce. Most Lebanese channels are kept afloat by powerful backers for ideological reasons and, in the case of Manar and Telelumiere, by private donations.

Advertisement rates vary per channel, program and timing. A 30-second-ad on Future TV terrestrial costs $1500 to $5000, while the satellite rate amounts up to $7,000. Likewise LBCI charges $3,000 for a 30-second-ad between 7 and 8 PM, $6,000 during the news and $5,000 to $7,000 during the prime time evening programs. Mornings and afternoons are generally cheaper. Future TV works with its own advertisement department, while LBCI advertisement is in the hands of Audiovisual Media (AVM), part of the Choueiry Group, which takes a 40% cut from the brute revenues mentioned earlier.

LBCI and Future TV are able to break even, or actually make profit, mainly thanks to massively popular entertainment and reality shows. Take the ultimate LBCI hit Star Academy, in which rates for a 30 second clip in the show’s semi-finals and finals increase to $11,000. Revenue is further boosted by the exclusive sponsorship deal with Pepsi worth $8 million for two years. Similarly, the rates for Future TV’s Superstar final stages amount up to $12,000, while Lipton and Ford signed an exclusive sponsorship deal worth some $3 million a year. Last but not least, a significant part of revenue for reality TV shows and voting contests stem from Short Message Services (SMS).

Production houses

Lebanon boats a dozen or so of major production houses with up to 40 employees and tens of smaller ones. The major players include companies such as Intaj, Laser Film, Talkies, Signature, Vip Films, The Post Office, Independent Productions and Filmworks.

There are several post-production companies, most importantly VTR, that just opened an $8 million state-of-the-art facility, offering highly specialized (and expensive!) software to create animation characters and special effects, as were used in films like Shrek and Toy Story. Aim is to offer the stop from people going to Europe to acquire similar services. 

Representing some 80% of the market, the big production houses mainly do TV ads, video clips, and corporate videos. Like TV broadcasters, their staff consists mainly of producers and administrative people, while creative, such as directors, cameramen, editors, are hired on a freelance base.

The major productions houses make on average three or four commercials a month, mainly for the Arab world. “If there were not for Saudi Arabia, we would all be out of job tomorrow,” one producer said. It is estimated commercials worth some $50 million a year are produced in Lebanon. The market for music clips is worth up to $25 million. Lebanon is regarded market leader, followed by Dubai, Egypt and South Africa, which rapidly captured a share of the Arabic market, as it offers European standards for a more affordable price In case of a TV commercial, it is generally the advertisement agency that comes up with concept, which the production house will execute. In case of a video clip, it’s the production house, in cooperation with artist and director, who create the clip.

Prices differ greatly, depending on the material being shot on film or video, the number of shooting days, and special effects. Throw in a famous actor or actress and prices will of course explode. So, Nicole Kidman reportedly received $12 million for a series of 30-second clips for Chanel No. 5.

(BOX)

Producing a TV commercial in Lebanon*

Format

Film $25.000 – $35,000/day

Video $15,000 – $25,000/ day

Genre

Music video $20,000 – $125,000

30-minute corporate video $20,000 – $70,000.

Personnel

Director (depending on reputation) $1,000 – $4,000/day

Director of Photography $1000 – $2500

Cameraman $150 – $500

Editor $80/day.

*In the case of 30-day TV series or show, a package deal will be agreed upon.

Sound & vision

Finally, as vision is nothing without a sound, a word on dubbing. Every foreign language film, documentary or TV series must be dubbed before it can be screened in Lebanon or the Arab world. There are some 5 major studios in Beirut specialized in dubbing. Specialized in dubbing cartoons and Mexican soaps, Filmali charges between $1,000 and $2,000 per episode. It employs some 20 to 30 actors on a freelance basis. For many Lebanese actors, dubbing is in fact the main source of income.

October 23, 2005 0 comments
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Special Section

Fadi Osseiran

by Executive Contributor October 23, 2005
written by Executive Contributor

The Blom banking group also for 2004 occupied the leading position in important categories for Lebanese banking, including ranking first in assets, profits, and shareholder equity. BlomInvest is the investment banking and private banking arm of the group. Executive talked to general manager, Fadi Osseiran, about the performance of Lebanese and regional markets, the general outlook, and the group’s development perspectives.

How do you judge the performance of Lebanon’s financial markets in the recent past?

Financial markets in Lebanon are developing quite ok, especially on the fixed income side. I am looking now from the issuer point of view. On the dollar side, the market for sovereign paper has developed quite well for primary issues, secondary market, and market makers. The Lebanese Pound side has not been developed properly and I think there is room for improvement.

On the corporate side, banks have issued CDs and eurobonds, but less happened from corporations, apart from Ciments Libanaise. I think there is also room to go forward in this area. This is not an easy thing, however, because you need investment banks to play a role.

Why could that pose a difficulty?

Because investment banks are mostly part of commercial banks, those banks have no incentives to help corporations issue bonds when they will receive lending directly from the banks. In this sense, I believe that there is a role to play for a financial company that is not related to banks. In fact, banks would love to participate in corporate issues, if a specialized institution came to the market and arrange for this. For us as bankers, it is much more difficult to do this, because we are competing with our commercial bank.

Is there muscle in Lebanon’s capital markets?

On the equity side, there is major room of improvement because the privatization process has not been realized. If the government would privatize or, apart from privatization, sell the stake it owns in private companies, like Intra, the whole equity market would also develop. 

The most important thing is for corporations to come to the market. The difference between corporations and banks in that respect is that corporations do not have the exposure of banks, especially to international or Arab investors, and that they are not regulated in the way banks are regulated. That makes them less inclined to issue and therefore to be bought as equity. They also need size, because you can’t increase equity if you have a small size. I can see that many corporations need increase of capital. I think the only choice for them is to go to the capital markets.

Are these the only reasons why the equity market is developed less well than the fixed income market?

Seen from the regulatory angle, the bond market has developed more because it is an interbank market. For equity you have to go to the stock exchange. The lack of financial authority and regulations did not help develop the market. By establishing a special authority for it, the equity market will develop much more.

A third lacking is on the demand side, investors. Our investors, at least the Lebanese ones, are more inclined towards a fixed-income instrument. They are deposit takers and don’t want exposure to fluctuation in prices or losses. On the demand side you need also major investors that are the pension funds. Pension funds do not exist in Lebanon and thus a player that is supposed to play a major role in developing the market on the demand side, does not exist.

What are our chances to improve our market cap significantly, like other Arab stock markets have increased theirs?

The channeling of funds has been a feature of the Lebanese economy but because there is no alternative, the most liquid of investments are bank deposits. I am not saying that there is no way of investing in other instruments. But they have to exist.

There is a major tool if you offer investors alternatives whether in real estate, or real estate funds or stocks or corporate bonds or whatever instruments you can create. If you have funds flowing into the stock market, this will not lower your deposits. You can have both and the more instruments you have, the bigger the market will be.

When talking about funds that have been flowing into the stock market and into Solidere lately, one important point to be mentioned is that these were not only Arab funds. Even foreign funds, emerging market funds, came here which are looking at the Lebanese market as part of the Arab markets and want to invest into this new developing market. If reform were to happen in Lebanon, the market would increase much more but that should be concomitant to introducing new instruments.

What is life like for an investment banker these days with such diverse developments all around, between the GCC and Lebanon? Are times very difficult, are they exciting, or perhaps dry and boring?

It’s never dry, it’s never boring. Exciting is the proper word. We are torn between two issues. One is to look after our customers, the second is to promote Lebanon not only because of patriotic reasons but also we feel value there. When I see how the markets are prospering in the region and what opportunities exist, I have to tell my customers about these opportunities but I also am keen on bringing enough customers to Lebanon and see the value of the place.

What are the focal activities of BlomInvest?

We do mostly private banking, and we do investment banking. We do private banking since my horizon is the whole world and my customer is my priority. He can invest in Lebanon, in the Arab world, in the US, he can invest in the bond market, the equity market, in a structured product, in deposits, in foreign currency – and there is always a market that will satisfy my client.

In investment banking, the issuer is my priority and my role is confined to Lebanon. If the government is issuing, I am there and in fact, we have been there. If the corporate market is issuing, I am there whether in the bond market or in equity. But if they don’t issue because of regulatory or whatever reason, I cannot do something that is not there.

So you are saying that even as one of the largest players in the financial market and the BSE, you cannot create this market?

Let me put it more specifically. If the government doesn’t want to privatize, I cannot force it to privatize. Privatization will lead the market. Suppose the government would privatize, we would be there and at the forefront of the privatization process in helping whether in investment banking or private banking. If for whatever political reasons there is no privatization, I cannot do anything.

Some people in private banking expressed that they see investment banking currently as the more difficult activity in Lebanon of the two. Would you share that perspective?

I think it has been all the time more difficult. Had you asked me ten years ago, “why you don’t do investment banking?”, my answer was just the way I am answering today. I didn’t think at that point in time that the time had come for the authorities to understand investment banking. However, I feel that now we are really approaching the era of investment banking, and very, very fast. Before, you see, we haven’t seen the need and it was leisure to do investment banking. Now, it is a necessity. 

Where do you see the coming period lead us, and what does that mean for investment banking?

The government has to privatize and corporations have to increase their capital. And the economy needs restructuring both on the government level and on the corporate level. All the three processes need investment banking. I believe that the only way to move forward is to do some kind of restructuring – and you cannot do restructuring without investment.

Whether this investment bank is to be local or foreign, is a different story. As a local investment bank, we’ll be there and we will be competing. We have all the capabilities of competing and doing a good job.

I don’t know how things could turn but I can see that we are at a crossroads and this is why the need for investment banking is now more pressing than 10 years ago. Little by little, investment banks will constitute another pillar of the economy like commercial banks have been, are still today and will continue to be a major pillar of the economy. Financial markets will help Lebanon also to receive a lot of money that will not go straight into deposits and cost us but will go into foreign direct investment, FDI.

Turning to Blom Bank, which just issued $100 million in a preferred shares issue. Could you tell us the rationale behind this step?

The bank is growing and this growth in assets is bigger than the growth in capital that is being retained. The increase in capital is warranted. The choice is how to increase your capital. We think that increasing our capital in dollar is important because our loan portfolio, our exposure is in dollar.

Regulation will tell me that if I have to increase my capital through issuing ordinary shares, I have to increase it in Lebanese Pounds. The rationale for issuing preferred shares is that the law has allowed banks to increase capital in preferred shares but keep them in the currency that they are issuing in.

Your GDRs performed nicely over the past twelve months. Are there any considerations about trading the bank with its regular shares fully on the stock market?

Nothing prevents it. Historically, when the GDRs were listed, it was the only way to list our shares. We issued GDRs to be able to be traded by foreigners, started trading abroad and brought them back to Lebanon. The question, why not trading all the issues – we did not think about it but nothing prevents us from thinking about it. There is no taboo. We will look into it and see what the benefits of the shareholders would be. That is basically our concern.

Do you have any concerns that regulations or management of Lebanon’s stock market would be insufficient?

We have reservations in that we believe the financial market needs to be regulated much more but that has nothing to do with the day-to-day management of the exchange where I think the BSE has been doing an excellent job. Now, they are moving to extended hours of trading. The BSE is also looking seriously at online trading from sites like the banks, and in very latest developments will probably be starting the trading of options. It is in the discussion.

The opening of the regional Dubai International Financial Exchange has been scheduled for the end of September. Does Blom have any inclinations towards DIFX?

Before they started the process of opening they paid us a visit to see if we want to join either as issuer or as broker. We looked at it and are still looking at it and we’d like to see how it will develop before we make any decision. There are a lot of hurdles, in terms of currencies, settlement and trading, but if it works, it will be wonderful and we definitely should help them. The times are definitely not boring. They are the antithesis of boring.

Any further BLOM intentions? There were stories about more regional expansion?

That’s in the plan. We have been in Syria and in Jordan and are already in the Gulf.

There was some talk about Egypt

Could be. I am not in a position to say, but by the time this story is out, something could happen. We will see.

As private banker, would you say that investing in Blom today is not a bad idea?

It was never a bad idea. Even as Blom shareholders have seen the prices drop during some period, dividends were more than enough to help them carry the stock. But in the long run, it was always a mine of gold and I think it will remain that way. 

October 23, 2005 0 comments
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Special Section

Sitting Pretty at the Top

by Marianne Stigset October 23, 2005
written by Marianne Stigset

With women representing less than 30% of the Lebanese labor force (despite over 50% having a university degree), one could be excused for assuming that the traditionally male dominated world of finance would be the last bastion to fall under the onslaught of career-minded females. Yet over the years more and more competent women are forcing a change in the traditional mindset.

“It’s harder for women in this business, especially in the Arab world, where there is a tendency to take women less seriously,” Roula Habis, a funds and products desk manager at Financial Funds Advisors, says. “It’s a man’s world so you have to be tough to be in it, but women can compete and they have proven themselves to be good managers. The industry is changing, notably because you’ve had several successful women who have proven themselves. This has helped change mentalities.”

Despite being one of only four female brokers on the floor of the Beirut Stock Exchange (BSE), Lara Dib says she has rarely experienced any discrimination.

“I haven’t had to face many problems as a woman,” the young mother says. “Occasionally you will find an elderly client who prefers to work with men, but these are rare. Your regular investor is aware and highly educated – he will be able to gauge whether you are competent or not. Furthermore I work with a lot of banks and companies, where you also have women dealers.”

Changing lifestyles as a result of a shift in mentalities has further contributed to the promotion of women in the financial world.

A growing number of working women are choosing to have their children in their mid to late thirties, giving them more time to establish a career.

“The culture is not what it used to be,” Serene Mawlawi, managing partner and founder of ProFinance, notes. “For those who are married, there is now a greater tendency to think that you don’t know what will happen further down the line, so a woman needs to get an education and a job. Parents are also giving their daughters more leeway. For instance more are now willing to let their single daughters move to Dubai if a good job opportunity presents itself.”

Yet if mentalities have changed in Lebanon, the rest of the Middle East has not followed suit as rapidly, making for the occasional challenge posed when negotiating with foreign clients.

“It can get a little tricky when you are doing business with clients from the Gulf, although most of these countries, such as Dubai, have become much more open over the years,” says Mawlawi. “It is generally just with the Kuwaitis and especially the Saudis that I may need to be a little bit more aggressive. The Saudi bureaucracy can also be difficult, in terms of granting visas for instance. I wouldn’t send any of my female employees alone to Saudi Arabia.”

Women over Men

Despite the occasional challenge posed when dealing with clients from the Gulf, Mawlawi, whose company has four women and one man, still prefers to hire women. She finds they tend to be more detail-oriented and focused.

Dib concurs. Her company, Credit Commercial et Foncier (CCF), also has a majority of women and was transformed from a real estate company to a financial institution by her sister Carole Dib, the assistant general manager.

“It hasn’t been a deliberate recruitment policy, but we find that women tend to more hard-working and can put up with more,” the broker, who completed her MBA while working full time, notes.

Women who try to rely too heavily on other assets than their brain cells however, are unlikely to complete the race to the top.

“Mentalities have changed – connections and beauty are not enough,” Dib comments. “If you are not competent, you will lose your position.”

As a result, incidents of sexual harassment remain virtually unheard of.

“You are talking about people’s personal investments here, their own money, so it has to stay serious,” says Habis.

But without resorting to the arms of seduction, several women acknowledge that their gender can actually be an asset.

“The presence of a woman eases the atmosphere in a male dominated world,” says Habis. “And as a woman, it might be easier to obtain a meeting with a client. But once you get there, you’d better be professional and present something good, otherwise it won’t work. If you succeed in doing that, the interaction will shift away from the male-female dynamic, to one of two equal partners doing business.”

According to Dib, male clients tend to be less aggressive with women, leading to fewer confrontations and more constructive collaboration.

The upside to the economic downturn

If hard work and degrees are helping women get their foot in the door, the economic slowdown from which Lebanon has suffered over the course of the past decade has not necessarily played in their disfavor.

As local job opportunities dwindle, more men than women have chosen to pack up their bags and seek fortune abroad. With educated youth being advantaged in the emigration process, there has been a decrease in men competing for jobs in the financial industry.

Furthermore, women are willing to accept lower salaries than men, giving them a comparative advantage when applying for entry level positions.

“Women are more willing to sacrifice themselves at the initial stage,” says Dib. “They will take a lower salary, say $500 a month, with the strategy of later being rewarded for their hard work. Men tend to want to start in high positions with greater remuneration immediately.”

Men are also more frequently restricted by the burden of having to provide for their families, thereby automatically setting their minimal salary requirements above those of their female counterparts.

“Single women will be living at home with their parents, whereas married women are generally the second source of income in the household,” says Mawlawi. “Therefore, they will be willing to take a pay cut. Job satisfaction will play a greater role for women than money.”

As a result of this, women overall tend to earn less than their male colleagues, by an estimated 10 to 20%.

Less cut-throat than the West

The Arab financial industry remains a comparatively young one by European and American standards.

As a result, the job conditions have yet to reach Wall Street norms, where 100 hour work weeks and an up or out mentality prevail. The more humane job terms in Lebanon, where work weeks average 50 hours, have made it easier for women not only to enter the industry, but to stay in it after having had children.

“When I worked for Lazard investment bank in London, I would get projects that required that I stay in the office until 3 am, Monday through Sunday, for months,” says a senior corporate finance associate. “Among the 18 partners in the firm, only two were women, and they were single and without children. These types of women would be the only ones promoted. I would never have envisaged starting a family while working there. Here in Lebanon, I would consider it.”

The quality of life in Lebanon also makes the long working hours more bearable, according to Mawlawi.

“When I worked for City Bank in New York, I would get out of work at 10 pm and simply go home,” she says. “Here, you can work hard and play hard. Being able to have even just two hours of fun once you get out of the office affects your performance positively. And the fact that you have the sun and the beach gives you a proper break during the week-end. In New York, I got burnt out and needed to take vacations. Here, I haven’t had a vacation in years. The lifestyle allows you to work much harder.”

Twice the effort

Yet if women’s access to the industry may be less insurmountable than it once was, climbing the ranks whilst juggling a family life remains a daunting task, before which many are forced to cave in.

“In order to spend time with my daughter, I come into the office from 8 am to 2 pm, then I spend the afternoon with her, and go back to work from 9 pm to 1 am, unless I have a business dinner I need to attend,” Mawlawi explains. “With my first child, I worked full-time.”

“By the end of the week I am exhausted,” adds Habis, who had her two children before she began working in finance ten years ago. “You can manage, it’s just a question of organizing yourself, but it’s really tough. I work from 9 am to 6 pm, but the American markets don’t close until 11 pm, so you continue to follow up and stay in touch with the clients once you’ve left the office. Sometimes you check the markets in the middle of the night. It really is non-stop.”

All agree that compared to the amenities working mothers are offered in Europe and America, Lebanon still has a long way to go.

“Most nurseries close too early, at 3-4 o’clock, and I haven’t even been able to find one in the Solidere area,” Dib complains. “If it weren’t for my mother helping me out with the childcare, as well as my husband, and wouldn’t have been able to do it. Fortunately in this region, you have at least a solid family network that can back you up.”

According to Mawlawi, there are many options that would facilitate the task for working mothers, and that remain unexplored.

“There are no flexible work schedules available here like in the West,” she says. “One could work part time, or work from home – a lot of our work doesn’t have to be done at the office. As long as one is performing and meeting targets, one should be able to stay on. I would also like to see large companies who can afford it, such as banks, provide in-house child-care for their employees.”

Government intervention unwanted

Partly as a result of the challenges posed to combining motherhood with the demands of a challenging career, the number of women in the upper echelons remain few.

“At the very top, senior levels, it is definitely very male dominated, I will go to meetings and there will be only one other woman there, if any at all,” Mawlawi says. “At the mid-management level you will find more women, approximately 30 to 40%.”

“I have been working on the floor at BSE for four years, during which the number of women hasn’t increased at all,” notes Dib.

However few view government intervention as being the answer to promoting women in the industry. Whereas Scandinavian countries have experienced a certain degree of success with government imposed gender quotas for board of directors of listed companies, few consider these types of measures appropriate for Lebanon.

“There is already too much government interference here,” Mawlawi grumbles. “Besides, you would run the risk of sectarian quotas being mixed into it, so unless it managed professionally, I wouldn’t recommend it.”

Others see the problem first and foremost as a cultural issue among Lebanese women, on which government regulations would have little effect.

“The problem is not with the government, it’s with the women,” says Dib. “Women don’t tend to be ambitious here. In our culture, a woman’s priority should be her house. She might get a good university degree, but once she gets married and has babies, she will quit her job.”

A fervent believer in women being the architects of their own success, Habis maintains that Lebanon will be better served by not being forcefully rushed.

“Just look at our government: a few years ago, there were no women there,” she argues. “Now we have to or three, who made it due to their competence. They did so slowly, but they did it on their own. We’re on the right path. Government intervention wouldn’t be right at this point. Women will become CEOs on their own.”

October 23, 2005 0 comments
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