• Donate
  • Our Purpose
  • Contact Us
Executive Magazine
  • ISSUES
    • Current Issue
    • Past issues
  • BUSINESS
  • ECONOMICS & POLICY
  • OPINION
  • SPECIAL REPORTS
  • EXECUTIVE TALKS
  • MOVEMENTS
    • Change the image
    • Cannes lions
    • Transparency & accountability
    • ECONOMIC ROADMAP
    • Say No to Corruption
    • The Lebanon media development initiative
    • LPSN Policy Asks
    • Advocating the preservation of deposits
  • JOIN US
    • Join our movement
    • Attend our events
    • Receive updates
    • Connect with us
  • DONATE
CancerEconomics & Policy

Everyone’s disease

by Rayya Salem April 3, 2012
written by Rayya Salem

Cancer is everyone’s disease. At some point or another it enters nearly every home society. It can devastate patients and their families, not just emotionally, but financially as well.  It also lays a heavy burden on the government which bears a significant amount of the treatment costs. But research shows that the disease does not have to be so chilling, if  prevention were maximized. According to the World Health Organization (WHO), 30 percent of cancers are highly preventable through lifestyle choices relating to diet and avoidance of toxins. Common cancers like breast, colorectal and even lymphomas in children actually have high cure rates, if caught early. 

The most recent breakdown in figures regarding cancer in Lebanon are from 2007, something that in itself shows how little the government acts to stay on top of the problem. The most common cancer among women is breast cancer and for men it is lung cancer, both of which mirror global trends. But factors known to cause cancer such as environmental carcinogens have all been on the rise, not to mention smoking rates. Thus, it’s little wonder that since figures began to be compiled in 2002, official cancer rates have increased around 5 percent every year.  

If an ounce of prevention is better than a pound of cure then we are on the heavier side of the problem. A lack of policy to push preventative measures means the focus is on the provision of medicine, while more often than not, cancer is diagnosed at an advanced stage. A nation-wide survey conducted by the health ministry in 2007 showed that only 12 percent of women in Beirut had had a mammography in the past year, though the ministry has been campaigning to increase awareness for more than 10 years, while offering a cut in the price of mammograms.

Cervical cancer in women, mostly caused by the HPV virus, is a leading cause of death in low-income countries, even though it is highly preventable. In Lebanon, estimates show there are up to 270 cases annually, but only 10 percent of women have annual pap smear tests at their gynecologists’ clinic, and (although there are no official figures) even less are thought to have been vaccinated for HPV infection. 

What is even more alarming is that some cancers affect different groups in a much higher proportion compared to figures from the United States and Europe. Breast cancer among young women under 40 years old is higher in Lebanon than in western countries, though it is partly due to the high proportion of young people compared to demographics in other countries.

Indeed, many fear a higher risk of developing cancer in Lebanon because of a number of factors within concentrated urban areas, such as war residue, pollution, toxins, low-quality diesel fuel toxins, forest fires, poor urban planning, contaminated food products and toxic pesticides used on farms. Though no figures directly correlate pollution levels to cancer rates in Lebanon, pollution levels exceeded the norms set by the World Health Organization, with many of the contaminants being carcinogens. 

Little has been achieved in terms of curbing this pollution. Thus, costs related to treating cancer patients, both for government and insurance companies, will also rise. While two-thirds of the population is covered by health insurance from employers, the National Social Security Fund or through private insurance companies, that leaves the financial fate of around a third of the population at the mercy of government, whose financial resources often run short.

After the shock of being diagnosed with cancer, patients have to run the gauntlet of choosing between treatment options, or lack of options, at various and sometimes competing hospitals. Even if one is insured, there are also ample cases where private coverage will not keep the cost of combating the ‘Big C’ at bay. 

This Executive special report helps untangle the complex web of costs and treatments, reveals strategic operations and financial data from hospitals and insurers, and offers in-depth testimonials and exclusive insights to sort the truth from fiction in relation to cancer treatment in Lebanon.

April 3, 2012 0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
AdvertisingEconomics & Policy

Jean-Claude Boulos

by Thomas Schellen April 3, 2012
written by Thomas Schellen

As his first project, Jean-Claude Boulos put up a building for the first television station in the Middle East, Tele Liban. In his last, he ran a television station in Iraq. He established his own advertising company and led it to prominence.  

Over a career spanning 54 years, Jean-Claude was a shaper of television and advertising in Lebanon. Starting out as engineer who helped construct Tele Liban in 1958 he rose to become the station’s program director and a presenter until 1970. 

The climax of his TV role was being appointed chief executive of Tele Liban in 1996. It also turned out to be his biggest disappointment, as he saw the station collapse from political infighting in the highest echelons of Lebanon’s government. Jean-Claude left Tele Liban for good in 1999. 

His other big passion was advertising. He started his advertising career in 1970 and in 1973 built an agency from scratch that was merged in 2003 into the Memac Ogilvy network. 

Since 1977 he was committed to global advertising communications with the International Advertising Association (IAA). The pinnacle of his involvement saw him as worldwide president of the IAA from 2002 to 2004. He led the Lebanese IAA chapter four times. 

Despite his international affiliations, Jean-Claude remained in Lebanon out of a sense of duty to the struggling country and the Maronite community that he was part of.

“He had many visions. He was very patriotic and wanted Lebanon to shine. One of his visions was that he wanted the Lebanese to export their advertising services outside of Lebanon and I think he succeeded in doing that,” says his son, Naji Boulos.  

“He impacted so many people in his life. Even when you rode with him for 30 seconds in the elevator, he found the time to make a joke, or say a nice thing about you. What characterized my dad was that he, all the time, did something creative and was creating until the last day of his life. He was full of ideas, had a lot of energy and a lot of humility,” says Naji.

His latest and sadly final professional achievement was getting the Al Sumaria television station in Iraq off the ground, a task he accepted in the summer of 2004. “It was the last big challenge for my father and really a success story because it is today among the favorite TV stations in Iraq,” says Naji.

Jean-Claude was intellectually at home in the Francophonie and loved the French language and literature. He authored four books and received numerous honors and accolades. He was a rock ‘n’ roll singer in the 1960s during Lebanon’s golden years and he loved to dance. He married at age 26, and on March 5, 2011, he and his beloved Blanche celebrated their golden wedding anniversary. 

When he was diagnosed with cancer his family was hopeful of his recovery, he had beaten the disease before. But it was not to be. He leaves behind his wife, his two daughters and one son, his six grandchildren and a huge legacy of media passion. 

Jean-Claude, you will be missed.

April 3, 2012 0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
AdvertisingEconomics & Policy

More public than relations

by Thomas Schellen April 3, 2012
written by Thomas Schellen

Public relations — or simply ‘PR’ — in the Middle East reminds one of New York’s Madison Avenue on Friday afternoon: a one-way artery pushing traffic north with no escape from the congestion. 

Like traffic in Manhattan, PR in the Middle East is a choking congestion of information flows. Managed mainly from Dubai by a number of multinational communications firms and directed into the inboxes of information multipliers — meaning mainly publishers, journalists, and editors across the region — the production of what passes itself off as PR in this part of the world has been swelling into a relentless torrent of product announcements and event promotions.  The stream of information pollution may have helped some PR clients boost visibility or even reputation, but what it  did was raise the question: is PR just another imported scourge on the region or does it have a useful purpose?

When Dubai hosted an international PR industry gathering in the middle of last month, the event’s promotional material trumpeted that the Middle East PR industry “is worth $500 million” and that the market in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is the world’s “fastest growing and arguably the only high-growth market for the PR industry today.”

While it could be impressive, one can also easily read this sort of self-promotion from the opposite end: the PR industry in most regions of the world has somehow failed to convince audiences of its value. It is expanding strongly only in the Middle East, where PR has been shunned by public and private sectors until 10 years ago or less, and has been growing from a low base in the recent past — or is that assumption correct?  

Separating fact from fallacy 

According to Majdi al-Ayad, vice president of network affairs and United Arab Emirates managing director at TRACCS, a Saudi Arabia-based PR network, Saudi Arabia and the UAE lead the region with 30 to 35 percent annual growth while other GCC markets are experiencing “a steady 15 to 20 percent,” adding, “We have experienced first hand the exponential growth of our business, which has, ironically, accelerated since the onset of the global recession.”

International PR industry performance shows that these numbers are indeed far above global rates but also that growth has not only been happening in Dhammam and Dubai. According to research published last September by an industry resource called The Holmes Report, worldwide revenues in the PR industry stood at $8.8 billion in 2010, representing an 8 percent increase of fee incomes. 

The Holmes Report presents two other aspects. First, the worldwide industry growth came as a turnaround from a 7.5 percent contraction in 2009. Secondly, the split of revenues between PR units of global conglomerates and independent PR agencies is roughly even at $3.75 billion versus $3.85 billion, with another $350 million weighing in for the independents in results not reported by the companies directly. By these headline numbers, independent agencies and units of global advertising conglomerates dominate the world market for PR, taking to 85 to 90 percent of market share. 

When considering that the big four communications conglomerates in 2010 reported gross revenues approaching $40 billion between them, and that their PR units were clocked by The Holmes Report at $3.85 billion within those results, it seems not outlandish to assume, as many in the industry do, a rule-of-thumb business size ratio of eight or nine to one between advertising agencies and PR firms. 

Trying to correlate these global results with the PR industry size estimates in the Middle East and North Africa, however, and attempting to find corresponding ratios between PR and advertising industries on global and regional scales, would lead deep into fruit market territory, way beyond apples and oranges.

Yet, according to Ayad, the PR industry estimate for the Middle East of $500 million is reasonable when including agencies and in-house budgets. The $9 billion global figure on the other hand does not represent the huge in-house budgets allocated in public and private sectors to PR departments. 

With very little quantitative data on hand,  gauging the quality of regional and international PR requires perspective rather than exact science. Regional leaders affiliated with the global communications conglomerates see no lag in the quality of PR agency work here. Raja Trad, chief executive for agency Leo Burnett in the Middle East, told Executive that he sees the quality of PR on the regional level as “not at all inferior to advertising.” PR has “come a long way in the region in the past 10 years and there are PR agencies today that are talking the same language that you find in Europe and America,” said Trad, adding that a high level of strategic thinking exists in both PR and ad agencies of the Middle East. 

As to the overproduction of press releases in the regional markets, he blamed some clients who “judge PR by the number of press releases and amount of coverage they get in news media and across all channels, without examining if there is strategic thinking behind this.”

While such problems of the PR industry in the Middle East can be seen as those of a fairly young practice when compared to the regional advertising industry, the contentious and interrelated issues of bossy clients and the poor reputation of PR are not specific to the region. An international PR industry veteran, Harold Burson of Burson-Marstaller (the world’s number four PR agency by revenue) told participants at the Dubai Public Relations World Congress last month that the top PR people have to hold their own when dealing “with the toughest, most-demanding, and smartest CEOs,” according to a report by the online-only Dubai Chronicle. The Holmes Report cited British PR personality Lord Bell as saying in Dubai that the PR industry has to learn to live with being “a lightning rod for distrust.” 

Still, Bell and Burson told their audiences that they see a great future for PR. The optimism is shared by Mark Daou of young regional PR firm Rizk Public Relations. “From what I am seeing now, PR is gaining much more speed not only in terms of growth but also in terms of the necessity for companies,” he told Executive, after confessing he had converted from advertising to PR. “PR builds the reputation whereas advertising serves immediate business purposes.”

April 3, 2012 0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
AdvertisingEconomics & Policy

Sibling rivalry

by Thomas Schellen April 3, 2012
written by Thomas Schellen

Each time the editorial calendar calls for coverage of the advertising industry, the same question pushes itself to my frontal lobe; it is not who, what, where, when, or even how that pains the mind but rather why journalists detest writing stories about advertising so instinctively and harbor such an intense dislike of the industry. It is a fundamental challenge. Whenever I access the finest international business publications I am dissatisfied with the quality of pieces on the advertising agencies, as if an undercurrent of derision runs invisibly through editorial departments. 

The first barrier against a professional treatment of the industry may be the fact that our profession can never quite shed the notion of its unhappy dependency. Ever since the income stream and economic viability of print journals shifted to advertising over readership, writers have worked under the bane that their job security is but a function of advertising sales. Worse, this perception of fiscal servitude can drive one to think that even top quality journalism is worth less than a nod from the ad department.

The best codes of journalistic conduct until now call for an impenetrable wall between the newsroom and the sales department to protect editorial freedom and objectivity. But even if that wall existed it would not solve the larger issue of economic dependency. On the other side, commercial media agencies need journalistic coverage, but often fail to appreciate where journalists do not see the story from the agency’s point of view.  

Against this background of unwelcome co-dependencies, it appears that hardnosed journalists and hardboiled ad people have another major barrier in, of all things, communications. The fuddle begins with overlapping words and concepts. When advertising leaders, or journalists, speak of media as their respective professional environments, they are talking about two very different things. They don’t often realize they are conversing about different fields using the same terms: miscommunication is inevitably the result. 

As advertising and marketing communications developed over the decades, public relations agencies have adopted the practice of producing texts that appear print ready for journalistic use — otherwise know as ‘press releases’. This almost naturally helped to proliferate the gutter press — the laziest of all professionals — with bottom-feeding journalists repeating these ready-made statements unquestioned. Advertising professionals, public relations practitioners and journalists all vie for attention of audiences using the same instruments of communication. All communications crafts seek to convey information and stir emotions. But journalists are prone to think that commercial media are driven by vulgar financial motives whereas we see journalism (other than the gutter variety) as being all about the noble hunt for hidden truths. Be that as it may, as commercial communicators and journalists are trying to occupy the same space in human minds using the same techniques, their ambitions and perceptions clash. 

At this point, a check of perceptions is in order. Ad industry leaders tell you that creativity is the backbone of what they do and that they like doing more meaningful things than selling soap. 

Public relations experts will tout that they don’t want to churn out press releases, explaining that the soul of their business is long-term conversations and strategic thinking. Journalists strive to get to the bottom of things, want to be concise and clear, to be relevant, impartial and independent. After meeting the same people every year for more than a decade, advertising professionals keep making soap commercials, PR agencies are still blasting useless product announcements into my inbox and I still fail to be as concise as I want to be. 

The communications profession is still an uncomfortable ménage a trois where everyone can stand in everybody’s way, or benefit the others. In my view, the future of quality journalism will be written with the approach of an honest stakeholder. If we are worth our salt as ad and PR people and journalists, it will be clear to us that we are all on the same wagon; a wagon we ought to begin steering from mutual deception toward constructive interdependence. Executive is committed to this approach in communicating our stories on the advertising industry.

April 3, 2012 0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
AdvertisingEconomics & Policy

A revolution’s commercial openings

by Rayya Salem April 3, 2012
written by Rayya Salem

Following the global economic crisis, the Arab uprisings of last year have been felt like a body-shot combination in the solar plexus for the advertising industry in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA). Though winded by the beating, the industry is still on its feet, and is exploring new opportunities the turmoil has created to get moving again.  

Take Egypt for example, the regions’s fifth largest market, where ad spending fell 37 percent in 2011; that belies an impressive recovery in the second half of the year after declines of more than 50 percent year-on-year in the first and second quarter, according to Neilsen Global Adview Pulse data and the Pan Arab Research Center respectively.

“The problem is this [‘Arab Spring’] came in the wake of the remnants of financial struggle,” said Roy Haddad, chairman of JWT Mena. “The environment is not conducive to a high level of investments. Clients are maintaining their strategies rather than implementing aggressive ones.” 

Although most mediums of ad space in countries hit by civil unrest experienced a fall in revenues, the bright spot is that advertisers found a new pool of energetic customers to target — internet users, many of whom are seeking fresh information regarding their countries’ vulnerable conditions. Rayan Karaky, managing director at Vivaki Digital, confirmed that there was an enormous drop in spending  in countries like Egypt, but that recovery has been quick, partly due to robust ad budgets of some of its larger clients like Samsung and Coca Cola, while Procter & Gamble have increased their budgets. 

New horizons

Thanks to Egypt’s development of its internet infrastructure, which had progressed in the lead up to the civil unrest, capacity was able to expand greatly when the revolution encouraged many first-time users to log on. By the end of 2011, Internet penetration grew to 25 percent, according to the Egyptian arm of the global research firm TNS. The Internet remains the second most-used media source in Egypt after television, where about 15 new TV stations popped up last year, creating more ad space. 

“Usage exploded in Egypt and we have seen an increase in advertising related to that,” said Ari Kesisoglu, regional director for Google in the MENA, who added that the online advertising market in the region has grown to some $170 million, exhibiting 40 percent growth year-on-year, a rate he expects to continue. According to Ipsos Stat, a regional research firm, $70 million of that online spending was funneled into Google’s online ad platform AdWords. 

Google searches increased by roughly 30 percent and advertising revenues shot up by 118 percent in 2011, according to Carlo D’Asaro Biondo, Google’s president for Southern and Eastern Europe as well as the MENA, who made the remarks at a November 23 press conference.  Hussein Freijeh, commercial director at Yahoo Middle East, says long-term prospects for ad revenue are good, given Egypt’s rapidly increasing usage. “Over the first three to nine months, of course, there was a freeze of spending in Egypt and some of the pan regional spending because the consumption of media was focused on news and not sports and entertainment.” But in the long term, its users increased, and its news destination experienced double the traffic, mainly in markets where there was unrest like Egypt, he said. As nearly 36 million people visit Yahoo’s homepage in Arabic, that makes it the third most visited of all 22 Yahoo homepages after the US and Taiwan.

Diverted spending

Tourism took the hardest fall in countries like Tunisia and Egypt, with the latter’s visitors down by roughly a third and thus ad spending for related sectors almost vanished, with other industries also blindsided by the after effects of the Arab uprisings. 

“Real estate has disappeared in Egypt, the banking sector has reduced its spending, and Syria has stopped spending,” said Haddad. JWT Cairo’s country client officer, Mohammed Sabry, added that spending also decreased in the automotive sector but is stable in the telecommunications industry as more Arab countries open their markets to private competitors. 

The United Arab Emirates has received a lot of the tourism that these countries have lost, where some airlines created new routing destinations and budget airlines also increased their ad spending.

“Egypt’s tourism board stopped spending as much, but Etihad and Gulf airlines have increased online ad spending, as did the Abu Dhabi Tourism Board and Qatar Airways,” said Yahoo’s Freijeh, who pointed out that they had all increased their ad spending on Yahoo by 100 percent.

While in times of crisis it is common to have a growth in promotions rather than traditional brand-building, according to Haddad, some big name brands took the risk and used revolution-inspired images to redefine their brand. 

Vodaphone, Mobinil and Coca Cola are among those that began using ads that incorporated emotional attachment to patriotism. 

Still costs to incur

Since revenue predictions still have a ways to go in terms of recovery, the smaller income pool means competition between agencies and media companies is more fierce. Therefore, executives affirmed that talent, training, and research would play a larger role in their internal strategies.

“Things that add a real added value to our clients, like reinvestment in research to know how effective the advertisement is, or like training budget, we don’t touch,” said Haddad, adding, “We look at savings in other areas.” Media sites like Yahoo and Google are also sharpening their products and expanding their MENA staff, to serve both their consumers and their advertising clients alike. 

“We are hiring at a significant pace — last year we more than doubled our headcount for MENA operations, including people working outside the region,” said Kesisoglu. In regards to Yahoo, which currently has 97 people on its ad team, Freijeh said, “This year, the big investment is 47 open headcounts in Yahoo in the Middle East. Egypt will be a big focus for us.” 

To kick start ad revenue five months after the crisis while implementing a long-term approach, Yahoo created a market development team in November that works with agencies and major clients to try to help them understand the gaps in their strategy. 

Still, Haddad points out that in this tough environment, the only way forward is to diversify. “We are more and more telling our clients that one channel is not enough to access your consumer. Look at multiple channel approach and be more effective.”

Looking ahead

2012 will likely be a recovery year for Egypt, assuming things stay stable, according to the experts Executive spoke to. The hope is that a booming digital market will carry things forward and Vivaci’s Karaky thinks Egypt’s market will grow in the double digits, albeit out of the doldrums of 2011. He’s also betting that the fastest growing markets in MENA will be Iraq and Kuwait, where telecoms are the biggest advertisers and will fight for media space as the private market opens up.

Yahoo’s Hussein predicts a 25 percent year-on-year growth in 2012 in terms of ad spending online, while forecasting a 5 percent growth in spending in the overall advertising industry, of which the online share is 2 to 4 percent.

Thus, the future will undoubtedly see companies continue to expand their marketing and imaging campaigns through digital and social media. “The Vodafone/Facebook page has just under 1.2 million likes. Nokia Egypt has almost 900,000 likes on its Facebook page and integrates changes based on the comments,” JWT’s Sabry says. “More and more clients want that.”

April 3, 2012 0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
AdvertisingEconomics & Policy

The mechanics of creativity

by Thomas Schellen April 3, 2012
written by Thomas Schellen

A starving artist is a good artist. That romantic but ludicrous notion has been retired in the last century, but the view that harsh times bring more creativity in business may still ring true. The Middle East advertising industry, which has experienced a range of economic challenges since 2008, has started 2012 on quite humble footing. 

In February 2011, regional advertising leaders told Executive that they were expecting a growth year in 2011 despite sharing their uncertainty over how the Egyptian uprising would play out, yet the voices this year are very solemn when it comes to business performance.

Hard knocks in 2011  

“Some of us hate to admit it but the reality is that the business is facing challenges. Our memories tend to be short but the reality is that the Middle East advertising industry went through one exodus after the other,” said Ramzi Raad, chairman and chief executive of TBWA/Raad, an affiliate of New York-based Omnicom Group, which in 2011 reported almost $14 billion in global revenue, one of  highest turnovers in the world of marketing communications conglomerates. “In 2011, the [so called] Arab Spring brought a new reality to the Arab world which people tend to underplay but whenever the brand product was affected, so was the business.” 

Joe Ghossoub, the chairman and chief executive of Menacom Group, which is affiliated with WPP, agreed. “This thing [the Arab uprisings] has not settled yet and my prediction for 2012 is that there will also be extra pressures on revenues and at the same time on performance.” 

Others take a graver view of the year to come. “There was no growth in 2011 — if we take the MENA region as a whole, drops were more acute in some markets than in others but there was an overall drop,” said Raja Trad, chief executive for Leo Burnett’s MENA branch. “All the projections for 2012 also suggest that there will be no growth,” he added, citing reports by regional firm Pan Arab Research Center (PARC) and by Zenith Optimedia, an international reference on advertising industry performance and projection. Leo Burnett and Zenith Optimedia are both members of Paris-based Publicis Group, the world’s third largest advertising conglomerate by 2011 turnover, reported at $7.6 billion.

The tenor of the regional industry leaders carries over at DDB Gulf, an agency formed in February 2011 in Dubai with a lot of fanfare in an internal consolidation under the DDB network, which is also part of Omnicom. Business wise, the agency’s road last year was “financially very challenging” even as the internal integration of the merged units was smooth, conceded DDB’s chief executive Ajay Shrikhande. Pointing to regional factors, he said, “2011 was challenging for all in the industry and the events of the [so called] Arab Spring impacted marketing budgets and marketing expenditures.”

A different Dubai

Dubai, of course, is not quite what it used to be a few years ago for the regional advertising industry. In a few gold rush years from about 2005 to 2008, business growth for marketing communications groups in the Gulf Cooperation Council, and especially in Dubai, was so heated that headcounts grew much faster than what was good for quality. 

That expansion stopped cold when marketing budgets of property developers were hit by the implosion of the United Arab Emirates real estate bubble. In 2009-10, signs stood on regrouping, weeding out the overgrown departments, and building new enthusiasm. Then came 2011 and new business woes, mixing regional and international uncertainties into a year where, according to Trad, advertising companies “are still living in turbulence and need to pass through the difficult times… to see how things are going to settle.”

However, industry leaders express enthusiastic remarks rather than grave concerns when it comes to describing the quality of their industry’s labors in 2011. And they are even more hopeful for 2012, as they show praise for creative teams instead of looking bleakly on the dark projections for this year. 

Speaking on the sidelines of the MENA Cristal advertising awards, Tarek Miknas, chief executive of Promoseven Group, which is affiliated with the fourth-largest global advertising conglomerate by turnover, Interpublic, said: “Year after year, the work coming from our region is getting better. And that’s great for all of us in the industry.” 

Christian Crappe, chief executive of the Cristal Festival Network and organizer of the MENA Cristal, concurred. “Over the last years,  creativity has been improving every year. If you review the last five years, you can be sure that the creativity has improved a lot,” he said. 

Menacom Chairman Ghossoub argued that the economic pressures, as much as they press down on the industry, are good for discerning the most creative people. “Definitely the pressure is on the ‘creatives’ today to deliver immediate or short-term results. This is where you can pick out the good creatives, because from my point of view a creative has to be able to work in any environment,” he said. 

Commercial Darwinism 

The crisis could thus facilitate more positive growth in the region’s advertising and communication industry, creating something more impressive than ever. According to what advertising leaders told Executive, the rise in quality is going to continue on the strength of two factors. 

The first is that the Arab uprisings, while accounting for a big part of the industry’s economic worries in 2011 and 2012, has liberated creative flows, and the second is the growth of digital advertising, the use of online space that has finally started happening in the MENA region.  

The latter expectation has been voiced at every advertising conference in the past few years, only to be followed until now by embarrassingly low actual allocations of advertising budgets to digital in each of the past five years. While online marketing options were compelling, for example, in Europe, they accounted still for less than five percent of budgets in MENA last year.

This time, the industry members talk as if they are convinced that digital growth is happening, especially if they say, as Shrikhande did, that the shift to online will not necessarily increase industry revenues. “I expect that the initial part of the shift into digital media will be reducing the total marketing expenditure,” he told Executive.  

According to Trad, Ghossoub, Miknas, and Raad, the combined experiences of economic hardship and the outpouring of the Arab uprisings are guarantors of a more creative future in the region’s advertising industry. 

In Raad’s view, the creativity is now in the hands of a new generation of advertisers and what is needed most at this time is for decision makers and their clients, the advertisers, to catch the new spirit. As creativity has been liberated, he said, “Nothing is going to stop it except the disappointments when you develop great campaigns and clients do not buy them.”

April 3, 2012 0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
AdvertisingEconomics & Policy

Complementary or contradictory

by Majdi Al-Ayed April 3, 2012
written by Majdi Al-Ayed

Public relations and advertising seem to have similar aims. As a result, there is a perception in the market that they compete with or replace one another — that one is better than the other or, worse, that they are somehow the same — that PR is advertising in sheep’s clothing or a cheap form of promotion. This misperception persists, particularly in underdeveloped markets. In the developed world the practice of public relations was given a place at the adults’ table some time ago, to a large extent on the strength of its evolution into a diverse and sophisticated set of practices – public policy communications, social impact campaigns, lobbying, government relations, crisis and issues management and now social media. 

In the Middle East and much of the developing world these misperceptions are entrenched because PR emerged from advertising. One of the early pioneers of the Middle East PR industry confessed to a colleague, “When we started up in the 1970s we honestly didn’t know the difference between public relations and advertising. We thought advertising was the same as PR. It took us a while to understand the difference.” Twenty years ago, advertising companies would leverage ad spending to get free editorial placement to please existing clients, with editorials written by advertising copywriters. The first PR agencies in the region were corridor companies of advertising groups.

As late as the 1990s obsequious articles celebrating a CEO’s latest trip to Europe or America or “press releases” extolling the wonders of some product or other, garnished with ad copy hyperbole, passed for PR editorial in much of the Middle Eastern media. Thankfully, those days are fading but the image of PR as a poor relation of advertising has persisted with both clients and the media and is reinforced by advertising and PR agencies and clients. 

The benefits of PR

Advertising groups try bundling PR services into “integrated communications” packages, and it is no surprise they tend to be skewed toward advertising where the big bucks are. Back in the ‘90s one of our managing directors served as COO in one of these Middle East advertising-cum-PR groups and would sit by helplessly at a pitch for PR and watch the CEO spend the whole presentation trying to convince the client to advertise. Even today there are still one or two advertising groups that win business by providing free or heavily discounted “PR services” as part of the overall advertising and media placement offering. Needless to say, the “PR services” they offer are inherently limited. This situation exists because many clients remain clueless as to what the practice of public relations actually is and to a very great extent this is the fault of the PR industry.

Too many PR agencies become reactive press release factories with event management on the side, living up to the old stereotypes. Instead of educating clients as to what public relations is actually about and what the practice can do best (if they even know), these companies fall right into the reactive trap of churning out a stream of product placement and promotional releases on demand without any kind of sustainable strategy or coherent planning. Many clients insist their agencies distribute stories that have absolutely no news value. This has led to the idea that a good agency is one that can get anything into the media through personal relations. This is bad practice, which alienates media already inundated with press releases.

Clients, ad men and PR agencies all need to understand what PR can do. PR can build a brand by telling a story — we are storytellers. We develop key messages that define an organization and drive awareness. We can address complex issues and handle crises. We invest communications with credibility through genuine business news and can cover multiple aspects of an organization cost-effectively. We can influence public policy and advocate social change. 

Public relations and advertising are both essential elements in the communications mix but they are entirely distinct disciplines that need to be separated at the hip in order to function effectively. Once separated, the two disciplines at their best can build and sustain brand awareness for the organizations they serve.

April 3, 2012 0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
AdvertisingEconomics & Policy

The rewards of risk

by Rayya Salem April 3, 2012
written by Rayya Salem

Rizkgroup, a Beirut-based communications and advertising holding, has played a high stakes game in recent years that few other firms have dared follow. Since 2007, the Rizkgroup has expanded in four markets: First, they opened in Damascus; then they plotted a course to Sanaa in 2008, and from there leapt into Khartoum the next year. To top off their lineup of new territories, they ventured in 2010 into Kabul. From 2010 onward, Rizkgroup has also launched a new group company, Rizk Public Relations (RPR) and this year, engaged into a corporate match-to-be-married with Havas, the French communications conglomerate that carries the name of the world’s oldest news agency and has major international interests in advertising, digital, and corporate communications services.    

Afghanistan, Sudan, Yemen, and Syria are among the most risky places a company can get into in this period of history. But while Syria’s implosion in 2011 was an unexpected setback for Rizkgroup’s business, the group achieved five-fold growth of its turnover in venturing into the peripheral markets on the advertising globe.   

“The higher the risk, the higher the reward,” said Alain Rizk, chief executive of the group which was founded by his father, Andre, in 1965. 

Rizkgroup declined to provide Executive with figures that would substantiate the growth claim, volunteering only that turnover increased from “a few million [dollars] to many millions.”

According to Mark Daou, chief operating officer for the group’s overseas business units, the company took a long-term view when it began international expansion in 2007 to transform itself from a mid-sized Lebanese agency into a global network. “In 2008 when everyone was locking down, we invested in emerging markets and we gained size and ability because of that,” he said. 

As Rizk explained it, the group’s base of clients in the Lebanese market is comprised of about 60 percent domestic companies, reflecting its corporate view that advertising has to be local. “The more local clients an agency has, the more sustainable it is.”

A number of these local clients, however, have far-flung market interests in the Arab world and Africa, and this was a factor in setting the direction of Rizkgroup’s path of territorial expansion.

“The reason why we go to Africa, or other ‘dangerous’ territories, is that our clients take us there,” Rizk said, adding that networking in these markets worked in favor of growth more than the Lebanese connection that opened the door. “One thing leads to another. The Lebanese connection perhaps gets you there and then you meet local clients and this is how you network.”

Changing dance partners

The regional expansion and shifting ambitions of the venture resulted in Rizkgroup reassessing its regional affiliation whereby it represented the global clients of the TBWA network in the Lebanese market — TBWA being an agency owned by the US-based Omnicom Group which in 2011 was the world’s second largest advertising conglomerate by turnover and profits. The affiliation also allowed Rizkgroup to access some of TBWA’s global resources such as training and client contacts. 

The Beirut partnership between TBWA and Rizkgroup had been in place from 2001 until the end of last year. As Rizkgroup managers implied in their conversations with Executive, synergies decreased during the latter part of the relationship and divergences of interest grew. The group and TBWA terminated the partnership on “fairly amicable terms” after Rizkgroup explored new affiliation opportunities and found what they were looking for in the Havas Group. Havas, which has been in expansion mode since 2011, is in the second size tier of global communications conglomerates, one notch down from the quartet of mega groups WPP, Omnicom, Publicis and Interpublic which all commanded annual revenues above $7 billion in 2011, whereas the second tier raked in a mere $1.7 billion to $3.8 billion. 

Rizk said the fit of client typologies and locations with Havas is to its advantage. The current affiliation was devised to sell an equity stake of no more than 51 percent to Havas if both sides are satisfied with the development of the relationship in the coming two years. For the time being, the affiliation, which involves fees and profit sharing aspects that Rizk did not want to explain in any detail, gives Rizkgroup access to offices and creative teams of Havas and spans markets in central Asia, the Middle East, and North and East Africa. 

According to Rizk, the affiliation with Havas will allow the Lebanese group to service its clients in Qatar via the offices of its new partner. On this trajectory, Rizkgroup could become more active in places where TBWA’s presence excluded expansion under the previous partnership. This could also mean that Rizkgroup may find itself competing against TBWA in Gulf and Levant markets. 

Although Havas did not publish a statement to news media on its rationale and target of the affiliation with Rizkgroup, growth in emerging markets and in digital communications seems to be the fit that makes the Lebanese group interesting to the French conglomerate. 

While, according to Havas’ March 1 announcement of 2011 results, more than 50 percent of the group’s 1.65 billion euros in revenue ($2.2 billion) were from Europe and only about 16 percent from emerging markets, growth last year was weakest in France and other European markets and strongest in emerging markets, led by Latin America. Highlights of 2011 in terms of newly established units, network takeovers and acquisition of new clients by Havas did not mention the Middle East and Africa regions. 

“We are still true to our original position that we are a local company but we are bringing in an international company. When I say local it means we work our clients locally in every country we are in.” Rizk said, adding: “When you own 49 percent of the company you still care for profits, you still wake up early every day and work for your clients.”

Daou, who is one of two non-family shareholders in Rizkgroup, expects business logic and ambitions of expansion to determine the details of any equity sale and shareholding agreement. 

He said that the company’s business doubled in Lebanon in the past five years but all other growth originated from its international operations. He also said that the advertising market in Lebanon is unlikely to expand in the near future and that growth prospects lie abroad, including long-term growth of the client base in Syria. 

In Yemen, the group is maintaining and servicing its clients while anticipating new business to emerge possibly from next year on. Advertising markets in Sudan are poised for growth in the nearer term and Rizkgroup is looking at setting up a presence in the young Republic of South Sudan, along with mulling expansions into North African markets in Egypt, Libya or other countries. 

Another geography on which the group has set its risk-friendly sights is the Horn of Africa. This region entails the countries of Ethiopia, Djibouti, Eritrea, and Somalia. Apart from this, Rizkgroup is pursuing diversification of its capabilities in the rising public relations side of the regional communications industry by investing in and expanding the PR offerings to all offices in the network.  

“In the public relations work, the growth rate is especially excellent and we are forecasting 80 to 90 percent growth,” said Daou. “We are looking at transferring the PR service properly to our entire network, developing new revenue streams in all those offices.”

Thus, for the moment the Rizkgroup seems to have no intention pulling out of the highs stakes game — whether the payoffs continues will likely depends on how well they can keep track of the wild cards.

April 3, 2012 0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
AdvertisingEconomics & Policy

A direct line to the big time

by Thomas Schellen April 3, 2012
written by Thomas Schellen

Digital has dominated the discussion in the world’s advertising industry recently, but in the Middle East, the economic adoption of cyber marketing has occured haltingly: spending on electronic advertising in 2011 still thrashed about in low percentages of marketing budgets.  However, this did not void the region entirely of success stories in the digital marketing sphere. The acquisition of a Dubai-based specialist digital communications agency, Flip Media, by French communications company Publicis, shows that digital marketing in the Middle East could finally be catching fire.

Flipping through crisis

Although it does not give out financial performance numbers, Flip boasts clear indicators of success: after some eight years of operation, the company numbers more than 100 employees in the United Arab Emirates and India, and its UAE client base includes some of the biggest local brands. “We have worked with big UAE real estate brands such as Dubai Properties, Emaar, Nakheel, and Sorouh,”  CEO Yousef Tuqan told Executive. The Abu Dhabi-based media zone ‘Twofour54’ was another high-profile account and Emirates Air was the company’s largest client for three years. Moreover, a substantial total number of projects testified to Flip’s broad appeal in the market. “I believe we worked with 109 individual clients last year,” Tuqan said.  

The fact that Flip, despite depending on real estate developers for a very significant portion of its business, survived the 2009 crash of UAE real estate advertising budgets with only moderate downsizing — which Tuqan said was a reduction from 160 to about 150 employees — also speaks for the company’s acumen. An even weightier indicator of Flip’s potential is the process by which the regional leadership of Leo Burnett, core advertising agency in Publicis, developed an interest in the company.

Digital partners

After taking the first initiative to transform Leo Burnett into a digital agency five years ago, Chief Executive Raja Trad sought to progress the agency even further: “I wanted to strengthen this offering even more and so I came to the [Publicis] group and suggested that we would like to buy Flip Media. The group took our recommendation and we have Flip as part of Leo Burnett today. We did it first of all because we believe in digital and secondly we believe in Flip Media.” Trad explained that the group approached Flip “under an initiative of the management of Leo Burnett in the MENA region because we understand the market very well.” The initiative was further based on good experiences with the digital agency’s performance in some assignments which Leo Burnett had farmed out to them. “There are common beliefs between us and them. The culture is there, the chemistry is there,” he said. Flip had geared itself pretty much from inception toward teaming up with a big player. “What we knew very early on when we started our business was that agencies have a trajectory where they grow very quickly in the first few years and then, if they don’t make a significant leap between six and eight years of age, they go stale,” Tuqan said. “We have grown very rapidly in the last few years but we have always known that to take the agency to the next level, we need to be integrated into a larger communications company.”

How that next level will be shaped in operational detail is still “quite an open-ended requirement,” he added. “Right now, there is a lot we need to do in terms of aligning our people and aligning our businesses before we can put a very clear and definite answer on how that is going to go.”

According to Trad, the next steps in hammering out collaboration with Leo Burnett are now being sorted out in intense strategic communications, mainly between Trad and Tuqan, but the new relationship is already economically productive. “Flip is already engaging in serious engagements with clients of ours in Saudi Arabia because we have extended the services of Flip to our clients in Saudi Arabia and to one of our major multinational accounts,” Trad said. 

“We have a very clear strategic thinking planned with Flip,” Trad said, elaborating that this thinking entails learning from each other and progressive integration between the two organizations, with Leo Burnett taking the creative lead.  Trad and Tuqan both emphasized that Flip will remain a standalone digital brand agency for the moment, but Tuqan signaled expectations that this duality of names could last for some period. “I think we got a few years,” said Tuqan. “The thing for us is that the Flip brand is very strong and well known; we worked very hard to build a very good reputation for ourselves over the last eight years. It would be foolish for us to throw that away in order to be swallowed up by another advertising agency.” 

He also pointed out that continued separation would help avoid conflict of client interests.   Dilemmas regarding contradicting client interests are a common factor behind the multiplicity of agencies and units with similar operating profiles in the big communications conglomerates. However, the trend currently seems to point in the general direction of some simplification and streamlining of the convoluted global networks. For example, the Havas Group last month simplified its structure and dropped the Euro RSCG name, with chief executive David Jones giving as a reason that the group wanted to demonstrate that it was better integrated than its larger rivals. In Trad’s description, potential conflicts of client interests in the Leo Burnett-Flip setting are not likely and there is presently only one scenario of competing clients, as Flip works for Sony and Leo Burnett handles Samsung.    

One enticing sideline aspect of Flip’s beginning as a Dubai-based startup is that it did not involve a UAE or Gulf-based financial investor’s eminence in the background. The founders were Indian and German, focused on tech and business, respectively, who hit the market before they were 30. Together with Tuqan, who joined Flip as CEO in 2005, the company builders combined three distinct skill sets and meshed strengths of three diverse cultures, merging successfully into a high-growth venture in the Dubai business laboratory under the economic benefits of the emirate’s Free Zone formula. 

According to Tuqan, the cultural mix of the founding period crucially helped the company in combining Indian tech ingenuity and rigorous German business processes with his market understanding as an Arab, as well as with the company’s uncommon success operating on bi-local terms, with currently 40 employees in the UAE and about 75 in India.

Spreading the business

The founders of the company, included in the new structure as non-executive directors, have already reduced their direct involvement in managing Flip over the past few years. The current core management team, however, has maintained a strong multicultural character and achieved notable gender diversity, with two women in Flip’s five-person management team. 

Neither Tuqan nor Trad would volunteer even the slightest information on the financial side of the acquisition deal, depriving entrepreneurs in the online communications space of another clear benchmark.  

However, as Trad sees it, the addition of the digital agency and investment in Flip by the Publicis Group comes as a winning formula and at a winning time. “In my opinion, there is natural growth [in digital advertising] and I would agree that in two to three years, one third of advertising will be in digital,” he said. If that pans out, the founders of Flip will have realized significant returns in flipping the venture.

April 3, 2012 0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Economics & Policy

A poisoned chalice

by Zak Brophy April 3, 2012
written by Zak Brophy

In the midst of the incessant torrent of winter rains this year, it is hard to imagine that the country’s water resources are a serious cause for concern; but they are. A history of decaying infrastructure, poor management, rising demand and fetid politics has taken its toll. Lebanon is now blighted by seasonal rationing on domestic supply, farmers irrigating with raw sewage and roughly half of all the water entering the water network being lost in transmission and distribution. What is more, the cost of inaction in the water sector is estimated at $433 million every year. 

In an average year demand outstrips supply by around 100 million cubic meters (MCM) and that rises to around 300MCM in a dry year; approximately enough water to fill New York’s Empire State Building three times over. These are big quantities that demand big solutions. As the aquifers, rivers, lakes and reservoirs are replenishing during the winter, building a stock to feed the coming dry months, the government is pressing ahead with a number of strategies and projects that aim, in the long term, to plug the gap and keep the nation’s households, farms and industries watered. Huge quantities of money are involved and the implications, most notably for public health, cannot be understated.

Two costly solutions, one source

Since the beginning of the year two major water infrastructure projects have been officially unveiled that will fundamentally shift the state of play in the sector. The Canal 800 and the Greater Beirut Water Supply Project (GBWSP), also known as the Awali project, will feed expansive water networks to South Lebanon and Beirut, respectively. In reality the designs for both projects date back to the pre-civil war era but the plans inked on paper are now set to become a reality. However, as the politicians tout the vote-winning promise of an abundance of water for the faucets and farmsteads of Beirut and the South, concerns abound regarding the safety of the water we are being promised. May Jurdi, chairperson of the American University of Beirut environmental health department, warns, “You are building a problem. The issue is the quality. You don’t build on a problem, you need to solve the problem first.”   

What’s more, once hundreds of millions of dollars have been spent and the concrete and pipes are set in place, there are doubts that there will actually be enough water to fulfill the lofty promises now being made. In the words of a senior consultant working with the government on water management, speaking on condition of anonymity because they were not permitted to speak to the press, “As usual, politicians are over-evaluating volumes of water and over-allocating it.” 

The Canal 800 is slated to draw 110 MCM every year, from the Qaraoun reservoir in the Southern Bekaa, to the south of the country. The lions share of this water, 90MCM/yr, is intended for the irrigation of around 14,700 hectares of farmland, including the areas in and around Marjaoun, Bint Jbeil and Yaarin and the remaining 20MCM is destined for the household taps of some 100 southern villages. The first phase of this project alone carries a price tag of $330 million; $162 million in loans from the Arab Fund for Economic and Social Development and the Kuwait Fund for Arab Economic Growth, $38 million from Lebanon’s Council for Development and Reconstruction (CDR), the government body in charge of implementing infrastructure projects and $130 million dollars is yet to be secured.

As for the GBWSP, it will be drawing water in the opposite direction, from the Qaraoun Reservoir and Awali River south of the capital to the homes of 1.2 million people in Baabda, Aley, parts of the Metn and Southern Beirut, areas of Greater Beirut and Mount Lebanon region. Shifting such large quantities of water across such expansive tracts of the country is no cheap feat and the total financing requirements are estimated at $370 million. The bulk of the cash will once again come from foreigners, this time in the form of a $200 million loan from the World Bank signed last month. The government will stump up $30 million for land acquisition and the Beirut and Mount Lebanon Water Authority will cover the remaining $140 million. Whilst the two schemes are funded, planned and ultimately implemented independently of one another, they are also intrinsically linked at their source: the Qaraoun Reservoir, from which the Canal 800 is totally supplied and the GBWSP partially. 

 

The (not so) great lake

Built in 1959, the man-made Qaraoun Reservoir sits at the foot of the eastern slopes of the Mount Lebanon range in the southern Bekaa, collecting water from the Litani River before it snakes east on its ineluctable descent to the Mediterranean Sea. It is, in the words of Veronique Kaspard, professor of environmental and isotopic geochemistry at the Lebanese University, the “dustbin” of the Litani, Lebanon’s longest and most polluted river. For this reason there a number of specialists in the field who are deeply concerned about the prudence of taking 150MCM/yr of its water to the homes and fields of southern Lebanon and Beirut.      

Ismael Makki, agriculture and environment manager at the CDR, challenges these doubts, arguing that conventional treatment plants will suffice in cleansing the water from Qaraoun. “The water contains some contamination but it remains within the treatable limits, by conventional treatment,” he says.   

However, the government water consultant, a high-ranking source at the Litani River Authority (the body responsible for the management of the Litani River Basin), and Kaspard, were adamant in their rebuttal. Among the many pollutants found in the river and the reservoir are the recent findings of trace metals that are of greatest concern. As the LRA source explains, “There is a different kind of contamination and the concern is with trace metals. They are approaching the permissible levels but they only appeared in the past few years.”

Makki acknowledges that the trace metals have given cause for concern and points out that the World Bank sent a team of its specialists to conduct an independent examination. “This has been reviewed several times, and not just by the CDR, but by the World Bank itself, which appointed a committee to review the water quality and quantity for the greater Beirut project. This issue has been addressed from a highly technical point of view,” he argues. Whilst the World Bank report did conclude that the levels of trace metals were within the permissible limits, its findings are not enough to assuage the worries of everyone. 

Professor Kaspard explains that the mushroom in industrial and agricultural activity in the Litani River basin is creating a “pollution history” from which the outcomes cannot yet be known. “If you are at the appropriate time you can measure high trace metals, if you are not you will measure low. It is not steady. This is why we are now doing proper scientific work on the whole system,” she says. An environmental and social impact assessment for the Awali-Beirut Water Conveyor Project presented to the CDR in August 2010 suggests Kaspard is within reason to fear that the current situation will deteriorate before it improves, stating, “The possibility of a lower water quality both for the Awali and lake Qaraoun sources should not be ruled out.”

A 2010 USAID report on the management of the Litani River Basin further warns that the recent detections of trace metals, “renders water unsuitable for drinking and requires advanced treatment processes to deal with these types of contaminants.” 

 

What we’ll be drinking

The same report outlines many of the adverse health affects that can result from prolonged exposure to these trace metals, and it doesn’t make for comfortable reading. The three metals whose ascendancy is most pronounced in the basin are cadmium, manganese and barium, which are associated with a plethora of ailments including bone and cardiovascular disease, toxicity of the nervous system, swelling of the brain and liver and kidney damage. The USAID study report levels of cadmium more than double the national standard level and that manganese levels were increasing, with a mean level of 0.04 milligrams per liter (mg/l) encroaching upon the maximum standard limit of 0.05mg/l; moreover, 30 percent of the sample sites exceeded this limit level. 

AUB’s Jurdi warns, “Trace metals have a cumulative affect in the body so the signs may not appear for some time. It may take 10 or 15 years, but it is a risk. Especially depending on the treatment process we are implementing.”

The main cause for the deterioration in the quality of the Litani River’s water is the dumping of untreated industrial effluent and excessive use of agricultural fertilizers and pesticides, including smuggled and unlicensed varieties. With unknown quantities of unknown pollutants — including recent findings of complex chemicals from pharmaceutical industries — contaminating the river and its tributaries, Kaspard argues there is little hope of being able to successfully treat the tainted concoction once it has been drawn from the Qaraoun, as is currently planned.

“There are different qualities of pollution from the different industries and they can all converge with unknown outcomes,” he says. “They cannot be treated from the same plants because they require different treatments.” 

As the Litani River is being sullied there is a general consensus on the need to better manage and regulate the basin before the toxins enter the system. The CDR’s Makki says, “If you have pollution and you have a project of this size and with the potential benefit for so many people, you have to stop the pollution and not cancel the project.” However, that requires financing, institutional organization and coherent policies that are currently lacking, not to mention enforcement by the Internal Security Forces. “There are regulations to control discharge but very, very few have the monitoring capacity or capability,” says Nadim Farjallah, senior expert in land, water and environment at engineering firm SETS explains. “They barely have enough personnel to collect fees. The monitoring of quality… there is nobody to control it. That is a major problem.”

Soggy laws, vaporous implementation 

The ubiquitous disparities in Lebanon between laws on paper and laws in practice are a major cause of this problem. Law 221, May 2000, was meant to restructure the water sector in Lebanon, but as Abdo Tayar, advisor to the minister of energy and water, Gebran Bassil, concedes, its incomplete implementation means wastewater management remains a major problem; “Now no one is really responsible for wastewater,” he says. “It is fragmented between the CDR who is doing projects, the municipalities who are running some and the ministry is doing some others, so there is a big grey zone.”

If the scientists’ fears — that toxic contaminants such as trace metals could continue to rise — manifest, then the conventional treatment options currently slated will not suffice in protecting hundreds of thousands of Lebanon’s inhabitants from a noxious nectar coming through their taps. The LRA source warns that the economic feasibility of the projects will be severely impacted if expensive treatment methods have to be employed such as selective ion removal or reverse osmosis. “It will end up being more expensive than bottled water,” he says. A recent study from the University of Texas at Arlington found that the construction specifications for an advanced treatment technique often used to remove trace metals, called reverse osmosis, would cost an additional $2,240,000, and that is before maintenance and monitoring. The plant in question is smaller than the proposed Ourdanyne plant for the GBWSP, and treatment costs do decrease with size, but it gives an indication of the hidden stings that may arise if and when it is determined that the advanced treatment techniques are required.   

No water anyway

In any case, farmers and residents may not need to fear the contents of their water tanks for the simple reason that they may be empty. In meeting minutes obtained by Executive from a session of the council of ministers on October 2011, the Ministry of Energy and Water warned that “executing the Canal 800 will affect the amount of water intended for delivery into Beirut [via the GBWSP]… During certain years it may be impossible to deliver any amount of water into Beirut. “This portent echoes the concerns of the water consultant and the source within the LRA, with the former saying, “Add one plus one plus one… sometimes you’re going to run out.”

The CDR’s Maki is adamant that the numbers have been checked and all the projects will receive the water they have been allocated. “There is no problem in that regard,” he reassures. 

Following a complaint by 51 residents of greater Beirut in November 2010, led by Fathi Chatila, a hydrologist and long time detractor of the GBWSP, the World Bank commissioned a study by the Water Institute at the University of North Carolina (UNCWI) to assess the quantitative, qualitative and financial feasibility of the scheme.

In conclusion, the report found the conveyor would receive enough water so long as, “The Canal 800 irrigation project will not begin to withdraw water until 2021 and will not reach maximum value until about a decade later.” An assertion supported by Makki. However, in the cabinet minutes leaked to Executive the CDR stated that the Canal 800 will go into service in 2017 and not 2021, hence undermining the UNCWI assessment. 

Another lynchpin in this matrix is the planned construction of the Bisri Dam between the Chouf and Sidon. Makki explains that for the coming 10 or 12 years the GBWSP can draw from existing sources, but as it enters the second phase and the water flows increase from 250,000 CM/day to 700,000 CM/day, “Then we will need the Bisri Dam. This will constitute the main source of this project.”  

This assessment is supported by the Minister Bassil, who stated in a press conference that the Bisri Dam was an “inseparable and integrated” part of the project and that building the conveyor infrastructure without building the dam would result in “an investment that is useless, resulting in paying a lot of money for a little bit of water.”   

However, this runs in contradiction to the assessment of the World Bank, the very body the ministry is pinning its hopes on to finance the majority of the Bisri dam. It stated in its response to Chatila’s complaint that, “the Bisri Dam is not a component of the GBSWP nor is it relevant to, or necessary for, the achievement of the objectives of the GBWSP.” 

In the minutes from the October 11 council of ministers meeting, the Ministry Of Energy and Water claimed the World Bank had committed to a $125 million loan to break the back of the estimated $260 million price tag on the dam. However, the most concrete commitment that Executive could elicit from the bank’s sector manager for water Ato Brown was that the bank would not commit to financing “until an evidence based approach is finalized.” 

The divergence in opinion between Lebanese government officials and the check writers at the World Bank over the interconnectivity between the GBWSP and the Bisri Dam suggests it is perhaps a bit early to take it as a given that the bankers will sign on the dotted line.

Another dry debate

In conclusion the LRA source stated that the concurrent development of the Canal 800 and GBWSP — in addition to the existing Canal 900 that irrigates some 2000 hectares in the southern Bekaa — will push the reserves of the Qaraoun and the Litani river to the limit and in many years will simply fall short: “The problem will be in the scarce years. [The annual reserves of the Qaraoun] will not reach the 300MCM which is a maximum, but this is only every three to four years. In the good years we should be able to cover all of the projects.” 

The government consultant agrees with this analysis and expands: “These projects will not reach their objectives. They won’t reach their internal rates of return. They won’t reach the number of hectares they are meant to serve, and they won’t provide the benefits they are meant to provide.” 

The same advisor complained that the decisions to implement these major developments have been driven more by political calculations than any technical and holistic reasoning of how best to manage the nation’s water resources. He argues that the Canal 800 project has been given the green light in a deal cut between speaker of the parliament Nabbi Berri and prime minister Najib Mikati, securing a vote-winning development in the heartlands of Berri’s constituencies in the south.  

He continues that the logic of drawing such large quantities of water from the Litani to the south, primarily for agriculture, does not make sense as the real agricultural backbone of the country is the Bekaa, which also happens to be the region that suffers from the greatest water deficit. “They are taking the water out of the Bekaa to other river basins around. So what happens to the people of the Bekaa?” he asks.

The CDR’s Makki denies out of hand that there has been any political interference, assuring that there is a long history behind the projects and they are part of a much larger development strategy in the water sector.

However, Abdo Tayar, one of the key advisors on this strategy at the Ministry of Energy and Water, says: “I am distancing the ministry from this [the Canal 800]. We do not have visibility on this.” That one of the biggest developments in the water sector for decades is not being pursued under the direction of the Ministry of Energy and Water (MoEW) is perhaps indicative of how politics are overriding policy. 

Lebanon can ill afford to idle over the development of its water resources. By the same token the direction and implementation of this evolution must not be misjudged. Avoiding tough questions and waxing over painful truths may enable the grand gestures of politicians in the short term. But, the possibility of swathes of the country being exposed to pernicious toxins and hundreds of millions of dollars being squandered on unsustainable projects is reason enough to drag the debate out of the meeting rooms of technocrats, bankers and contractors, and into the living room of every household in the country.

 

April 3, 2012 0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
  • 1
  • …
  • 335
  • 336
  • 337
  • 338
  • 339
  • …
  • 687

Latest Cover

About us

Since its first edition emerged on the newsstands in 1999, Executive Magazine has been dedicated to providing its readers with the most up-to-date local and regional business news. Executive is a monthly business magazine that offers readers in-depth analyses on the Lebanese world of commerce, covering all the major sectors – from banking, finance, and insurance to technology, tourism, hospitality, media, and retail.

  • Donate
  • Our Purpose
  • Contact Us

Sign up for our newsletter

    • Facebook
    • Twitter
    • Instagram
    • Linkedin
    • Youtube
    Executive Magazine
    • ISSUES
      • Current Issue
      • Past issues
    • BUSINESS
    • ECONOMICS & POLICY
    • OPINION
    • SPECIAL REPORTS
    • EXECUTIVE TALKS
    • MOVEMENTS
      • Change the image
      • Cannes lions
      • Transparency & accountability
      • ECONOMIC ROADMAP
      • Say No to Corruption
      • The Lebanon media development initiative
      • LPSN Policy Asks
      • Advocating the preservation of deposits
    • JOIN US
      • Join our movement
      • Attend our events
      • Receive updates
      • Connect with us
    • DONATE