There is a growing local clientele in Lebanon hungry for a more “authentic” experience of the country. Through word of mouth and social media, rural activities, such as fruit picking and hiking, are slowly moving from small groups of connoisseurs to being embraced by a broader public. Guesthouses across the country, once informal, are becoming a stay-cation preference for Lebanese. In the words of Kamal Mouzawak, founder of Souk El Tayeb — which operates several guesthouses, restaurants, food festivals, and markets throughout the country — more and more Lebanese are seeking “the same experience as going to their grandmother’s house.”

Leaving the capital to visit one’s family home in the mountains may be an age-old tradition in Lebanon, but the institutionalization of rural tourism, with guesthouses, tour guides, and proper signage, is a relatively recent phenomenon.

Fostering rural tourism

In the past, guesthouse owners had been accommodating tourists on an ad hoc basis. Around 2010 they came to the realization that they could turn this activity into a profitable business, according to Martine Btaich, president of the Lebanese Mountain Trail Association (LMTA).

Help and training came from USAID, through Diyafa, a network of rural guesthouses that last year launched an upgraded online booking site, and through the Lebanon – Industry Value Chain Development (LIVCD) project, which began in 2012. Initially billed as five year, $41.7 million project  — “aimed at improving Lebanon’s economic stability and providing income-generating opportunities for small businesses while creating jobs for the rural population, in particular women and youth” LIVCD was recently given a two-year extension till 2019. The hope being that by then, the activities that received funding and support will have become self-sustaining.

From humble beginnings, the number of guesthouses in Lebanon has risen to around 80, per LIVCD figures, though as of yet, no centralized data on guesthouses exists. Petra Obeid, who is in charge of rural tourism at the Ministry of Tourism (MoT), told Executive that figures are currently being collated.

Obeid says that the MoT supports rural tourism through a national strategy developed in tandem with LIVCD and launched in 2015. Among its aims were to promote awareness of rural tourism destinations, institutionalize rural tourism at the community level of local communities, improve and enforce environmental, cultural, historical, and agricultural protections, diversify and modernize rural destinations, improve data collection, develop a culture of rural tourism among the younger generation and improve networking with the diaspora.

According to Btaich, so far the strategy has validated the efforts of tourism stakeholders. “Many new initiatives at the level of municipalities have been done, creating a snowball effect,” she says. “The challenge now is for the strategy not to sit in a drawer.”

Guesthouses: a reasonably profitable venture

The cost of rooms is varied. If booked through L’Hôte Libanais, a website with a network of 16 guesthouses, prices can range from $80 to $250, with the average room going for $100 – $120. Guesthouses that are part of the Diyafa network, tend to be cheaper. According to LIVCD figures, they cost $60 per person on average, and start as low as $40. Orphée Haddad, L’Hôte Libanais’ founder works at the higher end of market, only listing guesthouses that interact with the local community, serve local food, are environmentally friendly, and that, in his eyes, have “character.”

The popularity of guesthouses shows no sign of waning, both for those looking for a place to relax outside the city and for entrepreneurial types eyeing the opportunity to reinvent family property. Philippe Germanos, who co-runs Guita Bed and Bloom, left corporate life a few years ago to return to his family home and develop the declining farming business that he inherited from his great grandfather.

The five rooms of the guesthouse, which cost from $50 to $75 a night per person, were opened to the public in late 2015. Like many other guesthouses, Germanos claims that he is fully booked on weekends during the tourist season (April-November). To help generate income, and tap into a growing market for rural activities, he decided to include agrotourism and recreation into his business, such as yoga retreats.

Reinventing the family home as a rural getaway does not come cheap. To finance these various projects, Germanos took out two loans, totalling $100,000. “I benefitted from special environmental banking loans (subsidized by Lebanon’s central bank) that allowed me to add solar panels, install low consumption taps, and build a warehouse,” he says. 

Other guesthouses resort to private funding, such as Al Haush, which opened its doors a few months ago in the Bekaa. An old family farm, Al Haush mixes luxury guestrooms ($200 a night) with activities such as rosewater making and cherry picking. The owners, the Saab family, invested $60,000 to build their guestrooms. However, the rest of the infrastructure, such as the swimming pool, gardens, and tennis court, were already in place. Like Guita, Al Haush is banking on the public’s interest in agrotouristic activities.

Municipalities aren’t missing out

Private individuals are not the only beneficiaries of the surge in rural tourism. Municipalities are also involved, mostly due to LIVCD funding, which so far has  amounted to $2.25 million and has benefited nine different sites, reserves, and associations in Lebanon.

All the municipalities that Executive spoke to which recieived support from by LIVCD, such as Ehmej and Hadath el Jebbeh, have noticed increasing numbers of visitors over the last few years. Jbeil’s Bentael Nature Reserve is hoping to receive 5,000 visitors this year, a 60 percent increase relative to last year.

Though not funded by LIVCD, the manager of the Chouf reserve, Nizar Hani, has noticed the same trend. “Around 90,000 visitors were recorded last year, which is an increase of 14,000 people in comparison to 2015,” he says. Reserves are the only stakeholders in the rural tourism industry that actually manage to keep track of visitor numbers, through the entrance fees that they charge (under LL10,000 on average).

Lack of a legal framework

Guesthouses are regulated by the only decree that exists regarding rural tourism. Published on September 9, 2011, decree number 6298 describes the conditions that a guesthouse must meet, such as being built in a traditional style, having between one and 10 bedrooms, and respecting health and safety conditions. However, the conditions are not specified further, leaving much room for interpretation. While the MoT sends out a team to inspect guesthouses during registration, and conducts follow-up visits, Obeid notes that the variables  — such as owners having other employment, or guesthouses being seasonal  — make this more difficult.

Regulations are slowly being put into place, but one major obstacle still stands in the way of the sector’s development: the lack of a legal framework. “One cannot promote Lebanon as an alternative tourism destination, or adventure tourism destination, if there’s no work on the law,” argues Gilbert Moukhaiber, director of the tour operator 33 North. “Alternative tour operators that work in any sector outside classical tourism — that is, ecotourism, agrotourism, or adventure tourism — are registered with the MoT as commercial companies, not tour operators,” because no specific licence exists for them. 

As a result, responsibility for training local guides rests on grassroots initiatives, such as 33 North or the LMTA. External donors support some of these training events, but they are commercial activities that need to turn a profit. For example, a three-day course with 33 North on mountain safety costs a little under $250. When asked whether this price excludes guides who cannot afford that kind of expenditure, Moukhaiber maintains it is “equivalent to two-and-a-half-days of work as a guide,” which he believes is reasonable.

Despite its growing popularity, recognition from the government and the increasing know-how of professionals, rural tourism in Lebanon still lacks the proper framework to compete with other international destinations. Should the lack of data and a legal framework remain unchanged, its development will inevitably be undermined. Till now, its growth has been dependent on foreign support, an important part of which has recently been diverted to responding to the Syrian crisis. As the LIVCD project winds down, the next few years will be crucial to determining whether the sector can be self-sustaining.

Mosques, maqams, cathedrals, monasteries, zawiyas, madrassas, a synagogue … the list of 83 historical religious sites selected for an imposing new coffee table book, published as part of the government’s “cultural religious tourism” project, is as varied as Lebanon’s religious landscape. “The book’s title, ‘Lebanon: Celebrating Our Diversity,’ is a message in itself,” says Roula Ajouz, project coordinator of the Cultural Religious Tourism (CRT) unit created by the Prime Minister, which includes representatives from the Ministry of Tourism (MoT) and other ministries. “Enough with the expression ‘inter-religious dialogue.’ It sounds like we’re living together because we have to,” adds Ajouz, who is also the general manager of Cedar Wings, Middle East Airlines’ inflight magazine.

The book was published in English and Arabic, and distributed during the official launch of the religious tourism program at the Grand Serail on May 16. Six regional maps of Lebanon, which pinpoint 250 religious sites of interest, were printed for distribution across the country. A website was launched (www.sacredlebanon.com), and a six-minute documentary produced. All of this work was funded by the Italian Agency for Development Cooperation using $328,000 of a $462,000 grant. “It’s an initiative that can also generate important revenue for local communities and for the state. By developing this particular sector, Lebanon will improve its infrastructure network and create new job opportunities for hostels, museums, craftsmanship, artisans, small shops, and other tourist related activities,” Massimo Marotti, the Italian ambassador, wrote in an email to Executive.

Needs and impact still unclear

There has been no study yet on how many jobs the CRT project will create, but its second phase is already scheduled. “In phase two, which will be completed by the end of October, the experts will focus on two pilot sites: Qana, in south Lebanon, and a mosque in Tripoli. For this phase, Italy will contribute $69,186,” Ambassador Marotti said. According to him, “It’s understood that an approximate budget of $1.3 million will be needed over a period of two years to promote [an] additional 500 religious sites. Additional investments should come from private and public institutions.”

The total amount of such investments remains unclear. Executive was able to consult partial estimates provided by Qabas, a Shiite association that promotes religious tourism. Qabas compiled a list of 24 sites that needed rehabilitation or additional infrastructure, with the total bill amounting to $7.2 million. The only other study that Executive was able to locate was a rural tourism strategy prepared by the United States Agency for International Development (USAID) for the village of Maghdouché near Saida, which houses the popular Christian sanctuary Our Lady of Mantara (Our Lady of Awaiting). The study was compiled after the World Tourism Organization officially declared the site an international religious tourism destination in May 2016. Currently, “Maghdouché lacks the basic tourism services and facilities, especially in terms of accommodation, lodging, and F&B services,” USAID wrote in its report. Among other expenditures, USAID estimates that the renovation and embellishment of the town would cost between $250,000 and $750,000, the creation of a museum would amount to $100,000, and the opening of new restaurants would range between $50,000 and $250,000. One can only speculate how much money would be  needed to rehabilitate the thousands of religious sites scattered throughout Lebanon.

Though it is too early to evaluate the total economic needs and impact of the program, Walid Hussein, a consultant on the CRT project, has compiled the average number of visits to the 39 most visited religious sites in Lebanon. They amount to 5 million, with the top destination being the Shrine of Our Lady of Lebanon in Keserwan’s Harissa, at 2 million visits per year, followed by the sanctuary of Jbeil’s Saint Charbel, which attracts 400,000 visitors per year. The number of  unique visitors was estimated at 4.5 million per year for these same 39 sites.

Out of the 39 sites, 25 are Christian — mainly Maronite sites including St. Rafqa and St. Hardini — and 14 are Islamic (Sunni, Shiite and Druze). According to Pierre Achkar, head of the Syndicate of Hotel Owners in Lebanon, approximately 20,000 foreign tourists visit Lebanon every year for religious purposes. When compared with Hussein’s figures, one can only conclude that the overwhelming majority of visitors to religious sites are Lebanese residents.

The CRT unit believes that increasing the visibility of religious sites will encourage locals to go visit places that are not affiliated with their own religion. “It helps Muslims and Christians understand each other better,” says Ghassan Lakkiss, a mufti from Jbeil who helped the CRT research the history of the city’s mosques. Should this strategy succeed, its economic implications would also be important, argues Hussein. “More than 153,000 Lebanese traveled abroad to visit religious sites last year, according to statistics that I gathered from the Higher Islamic Shiite Council, the Hajj affairs committee, and the (Christian) tour operators Lebanon Roots and Emmanuel Travel. They spent over $300 million in 2016,” says Hussein. According to him, these figures include all Muslim travelers who visited Saudi Arabia, Iran, Iraq, and Europe, but not all Christians travelers, which is why he believes that the Lebanese people probably spent even more than this sum.

Centralizing data

The reason why a lot of data on religious tourism is still missing is that its collation has never been attempted before. Promoting religious tourism, both domestically and abroad and, is normally in the hands of religious associations or tour operators. As a result, sites that are a little off the grid can be difficult to find for inexperienced visitors, as signage is sparse and often in Arabic, and informational brochures are rarely available. Even relatively important sites, such as the imposing Shiite maqam of Sayyida Khawla in Baalbek, which attracts 180,000 visits per year according to statistics gathered by Hussein, does not have brochures onsite in languages other than Arabic. The daunting fortifications and armed guards that surround it also do not help create a tourist-friendly atmosphere.    

“It’s a real problem,” said Father Marwan Saidy, from the monastery of Paulist fathers in Jounieh. He accompanies tourists several times a year to religious sites, both in Lebanon and abroad. “In Lebanon, you need a local to be with you. Foreigners find it difficult to drive if they rent a car. Agencies only organize seasonal tours, not year-round visits,” adding that it is harder to find tours in the winter.

Lebanon as part of the

Holy Land

In addition to attracting tourists and developing local infrastructure, the CRT project is a political statement, argues Ajouz. “For example, we all know that the site of Qana is controversial,” she points out. The village claims to be one where Jesus performed his first miracle of turning water into wine, though it is widely accepted by scholars that the location referred to in Bible is a little further south, in Occupied Palestine. The answer to this question matters little to Ajouz. “Jesus and his apostles walked this land. So how come we are not ready to fight for this on the marketing side?” she asks, pointing to a 1942 map of the Holy Land that she has hung in her office. It includes certain areas of Lebanon, Palestine/Israel, Jordan, and Syria. Local experts like to stress that there are over 96 references to Lebanon in the Bible. “Despite these biblical references, and the many stories of pilgrims and orientalists, the designation of ‘Holy Land’ has been almost exclusively reserved for Palestine/Israel,” wrote one of the CRT unit’s consultants, Nour Farra, in a 2015 article titled, “Case Study 8: Pilgrimages toward South Lebanon: Holy places relocating Lebanon as part of the Holy Land,” published in the book Religious Tourism and Pilgrimage Management, An International Perspective.

Presenting Lebanon, in particular the south, as part of the Holy Land is important for local communities that want to benefit from religious tourism. Qabas printed 25,000 brochures in English, Farsi, and Arabic on the maqam — a site closely associated with the life of a saint in Islam — of Chamoun al-Safa, or Saint Peter for Christians. “Chamoun al-Safa is important for the Shiites because Prophet Muhammad said to Ali, ‘You represent to me what Saint Peter represented to Jesus,’” explains Ali Zreik, program manager at Qabas. “The wife of the 11th Imam Hasan al-Askari was also directly related to Saint Peter.” Other shrines, such as the sanctuary of Our Lady of Mantara in Maghdouché and the maqam of Nabi Omran, said to be the father of the Virgin Mary, have the potential to attract higher numbers of both Muslim and Christian tourists.

The Virgin Mary is a favorite for inter-religious tourism, as she plays an important role in the Quran in addition to being a central figure in Christianity. “She is quoted 36 times in the Quran. No other woman is mentioned by her name,” says Muhammad Nokari, consultant for the CRT unit and ex-director of Dar al Fatwa. In Lebanon, Muslims and Christians celebrate the announcement by the angel Gabriel to the Virgin Mary that she would become the mother of Jesus on March 25. As a result, maqams such as Chamoun al-Safa and Nabi Omran “are the subject of a campaign by the local Shiite communities who preach for their integration into the biblical trails, and hope for their official development. So far, the unstable security situation in the region has impeded the resurgence of tourism, and as a result these maqams are barely promoted at all,” Farra wrote in 2015.

The situation has changed little since the publication of Farra’s article. The main obstacle to developing religious tourism remains the ongoing war in neighboring Syria and the closure of its border with Jordan. The number of tourists has plummeted as a result, and Lebanon has disappeared from regional package tours. “Figures from the Ministry of Tourism show that in 2010, there were 2.2 million tourists, and in 2015, only 1.5 million,” remarks Hussein. The numbers of tourists who come specifically to visit religious sites cannot be analyzed, as official figures don’t exist, but it seems logical that they would have also decreased. “Qana, for example, received 50,000 visitors per year before 2010. Now, they probably have less than 1,000,” Hussein says. According to tour guide François Hobeika, “Some pilgrims still come to Lebanon, but not many. So far this year, I’ve only worked with two groups.” .

Italian Ambassador Marotti, argues that in the meantime, “Lebanon can develop its own itineraries … In the future, Lebanese itineraries could be integrated in regional tours.” The Secretary General of the Federation of Touristic Unions, Jean Beyrouthi, adds that he has been working with the Jordanian Ministry of Tourism to bring down the price of flights between Lebanon and Jordan. The aim is to encourage tourists visiting Jordan to also come to Lebanon. “Currently flights costs between $250 and $400, depending on the season. We would like them to be under $200,” he says. Should the plan succeed, it could be implemented by October.

All the professionals Executive spoke with agree that Lebanon has the potential to develop its religious tourism, and that doing so is important. However, a lack of investment and security problems have historically confined religious tourism to a small number of visitors, mostly pilgrims. With this new project, the government hopes to expand its appeal to tourists interested in Lebanon’s cultural history in a broader sense, and to encourage Lebanese to discover sites of religions other than their own. The government has already reached out to local stakeholders to start centralizing data in order to efficiently promote Lebanon’s varied religious history. However, further developing religious tourism will depend, in great part, on foreign donors’ and private investors’ willingness to contribute to a volatile region.

The holy month of Ramadan is traditionally a slow one for tourism in the Arab region, and the hot streets of Beirut have been somewhat subdued this June. But among those in the hospitality sector, the sense of expectation and excitement for a busy July and August is so palpable one can almost taste it.

For the past six years, tourism in Lebanon has suffered from local insecurity and regional instability, which have caused the number of tourist arrivals drop from 2.17 million in 2010 — considered one of the golden years for tourism in Lebanon — to 1.5 million in 2015, though a tourist bump at the tail end of 2016 brought numbers back up to 1.7 million.

But with internal security now more or less under control, there are solid indications that summer 2017 will see a significant improvement in terms of tourism — albeit not at the levels of summer 2009 or 2010. 

Back in business

With a new president and government in late 2016, the Lebanese hospitality sector finally saw progress on the internal instability it has blamed for sluggish tourism these past six years.

Indeed, tourism numbers from December 2016 to date reflect a sector starting to get its wings back. According to EY’s Middle East Hotel Benchmark Survey report, room occupancy rates at Lebanon’s five star hotels during December 2016 were at 64 percent, the highest they have been for that month since 2010.

Hotels Executive spoke to noted this uptick as of December last year. “Things started improving in the last quarter of 2016, and that improvement continued over to the first quarter of 2017. So from January 2017 until end of May 2017, we have been way above last year and way above our expectations for this year as well,” says Ramzi Sayess, regional vice president and general manager of the Four Seasons Hotel Beirut.

A bright beginning

This positive momentum has spilled over, with many hotels saying occupancy has been markedly better so far this year.

The Phoenicia Hotel has already added several million dollars in revenue year-on-year from 2016, despite 2016 being “a not bad year all in all,” according to Peter Edholm, cluster director of sales and marketing at Le Vendome and Phoenicia Intercontinental Hotels & Resorts.

Le Gray also started 2017 on a positive note. “The first quarter of 2017 was definitely better than same time last year. We’ve witnessed an increase in occupancy of 18 to 22 percent from first quarter 2016. The first quarter 2017 was positively influenced by the election of the president and the improving security conditions in the country,” explains George Ojeil, general manager of Le Gray Lebanon.

O Monot, a luxury boutique hotel in Ashrafieh, saw a 158 percent increase in room revenue year-on-year from June 2016, according to Michel Boulad, the hotel’s director of sales and marketing. While the Four Seasons’ Sayess says comparing 2017 to 2016 is like comparing day and night, and that the results for the first quarter 2017 are almost double what they were last year.

The newfound sense of security and safety in the country seems to have played the biggest role in these results. “The improvement is because the whole country is now deemed to be safe, as we saw at the Arabian Travel Market (ATM), the perception of Lebanon in terms of the security situation among visitors is changing,” says Boulad.

Sayess notes that it was Egyptian tourists who increased room occupancy at the Four Seasons, both as corporate travelers and as leisure groups. “We had a lot of social groups and weddings from Jordan, Syria, and Egypt … we also had big corporate accounts from Egypt that came to Lebanon for the first time. I assume they used to go to other places such as the GCC or Turkey, and now they’ve shifted to us,” he says.

Phoenicia’s Edholm also notes the positive trend of increased Egyptian leisure and corporate guests in 2016, but cautions that Lebanon might see less of them this summer due to the challenges facing the Egyptian pound.

Take back the gulf

The successful first half of 2017 has brought optimism and positive energy to preparations for the summer season, which effectively started after Eid el Fitr.

Prior to 2012, summers in Lebanon were full of GCC nationals escaping the desert heat in favor of a milder climate, but security incidents over the past six years have caused their visits to dwindle to next to nothing as a result of travel warnings and restrictions.

Hoteliers Executive spoke to are hoping to regain those tourists. “I think with the Gulf markets we’ll for sure recover [from a potential decrease in Egyptian tourists], and add even more. The ban is more or less lifted, although some Gulf countries have more restrictions than others,” says Edholm.

The Gulf countries are Lebanon’s most logical tourists, Pierre Achkar, head of the Syndicate of Hotel Owners, explains. “Across the globe, the best tourists for your country are your neighbors because of the proximity between you means [a] short travel time. Therefore, the Gulf — which is between two to three hours away by plane — has historically constituted the biggest percentage of visitors to Lebanon, and they would come more than once a year and even had investments in the country,” he says.

Ojeil explains that Lebanon holds a unique appeal for GCC nationals, which makes re-attracting them easier. “We don’t need a great effort, if they give us security and safety, it’s enough. In Lebanon, you can live the European experience while speaking Arabic, and this is what the GCC nationals like. They’re always welcomed in Lebanon. We know their habits and can cater to them, and we know the royal families and how to deal with them,” he explains.   

Hotel sales teams have been touring the region ahead of the summer season, promoting Lebanon properties  to tour operators and agents in the GCC. “We worked very actively with our worldwide sales and the regional office, and our sales team was traveling the globe up until two weeks ago. They either targeted new contacts, or touched base with existing ones. But really, the number one goal is to let people know Lebanon is safe, it’s a great place and it has a lot to offer,” explains Sayess.

For O Monot, now in its second year of operation, the GCC is an untapped market which they are exploring for the first time this year through their participation in ATM and other events. “We didn’t go last year because it didn’t make sense to approach the Gulf market when there was a travel ban. Now, they are trusting Lebanon as a destination again, which is what I heard from several airlines that are increasing their flights to Lebanon. So there is much more demand in the country and at the end [of the day] these tourists need hotels. So our expectations are that much [higher] for the summer,” says Boulad, citing Kuwait Airlines, which has scheduled 14 flights per week to Lebanon this summer.

Don’t forget the expats

While the hospitality sector’s efforts may be focused on GCC nationals, they are still keeping their eye on Lebanese expats who may be eager to visit their homeland, now that calm prevails and the garbage is off the streets.

The Phoenicia is predicting that expats who had delayed their visits to Lebanon may choose to come this summer. “Who comes first when a destination comes back? It’s those who are familiar with it, for example, the Lebanese diaspora, and we are seeing a trend there. Maybe they previously postponed their trip due to the garbage crisis or conflicts, but they can’t postpone forever, and now is the time to come back,” says Edholm, predicting that there is going to be an increase in visits to Lebanon from Lebanese expats in South America and Africa.

For O Monot, focusing on attracting GCC nationals and expats makes more sense during this period than working on new markets. “For the moment, our main focus is on reviving the local market of business travelers and that of leisure travelers from the Gulf. Now is not the best time to look at new markets because we can already get a lot from what is available, but which was not accessible to us for a very long time,” explains Boulad.

All are welcome

Gulf tourists and expats are not the only ones visiting Lebanon this summer. The hoteliers interviewed say interest from Europe and America has increased so far this year — and hope that it will continue in the summer.

Speaking for Le Gray, Ojeil says that although they have been making an additional effort to promote the hotel in the GCC region, it is against the hotel’s policy to focus on one market feeder. He explains that they have had more international journalists as guests than they did previously. “Our strategy doesn’t focus on one main market. We’re actually receiving a lot of journalists from many parts of the world, such as the US, Latin America, and Europe, who are reaching out to us to write about the hospitality market in Lebanon,” he says.

The mix of European and Gulf tourists is interesting for a hotel, explains the Four Seasons’ Sayess. “We have bookings from the GCC, from Europe, and from expat Lebanese who come for the holidays. People coming from the Gulf are looking for different accommodation than people coming from Europe — it’s nice to have this balance. You have more suite business for the Gulf tourists and more room business from Europe, but sometimes that can change as well,” he adds.

Exercise cautious optimism

Optimism for a successful summer 2017 is indeed high. Many hotels were already fully booked for the week of Eid el Fitr and are experiencing high demand for July and August, although bookings in the region are usually made last minute. “In this part of the world, we don’t book many months ahead as they do in Europe. In some part, it’s because of the security situation and what is happening in the region, so people fear planning their trip ahead, and then we, in this part of the world, are not planners. It’s always last minute in this region,” explains Le Grey’s Ojeil.

However, no one in the hospitality sector is blind to the fact that the situation both locally and regionally is very different than it was in 2010. Their optimism is mixed with a healthy dose of caution.

To begin with, the Gulf region itself has changed in terms of purchasing power, and its nationals can no longer spend as they used to. “You have to balance the positive trend in the market with the decreasing oil prices and the overall situation in the Gulf, which wasn’t the case when they used to visit Lebanon before,” says Edholm, explaining that although GCC nationals will still visit Lebanon this summer, they will probably book less lavish rooms. “I think we’ll see much more volume than 2016, but I think we’ll sell less champagne bottles than we want,” he adds laughingly.

Ojeil also cautions on the GCC’s purchasing power. “Let’s be conservative in our expectations. I think we will have a good summer but we won’t notice a boom for many reasons. First, back in 2010, as I recall, the oil barrel was at $150, and there was no war in Yemen, Syria, or Iraq. I think the purchasing power of the GCC feeding market is exhausted and that they are not going to spend like they did back in the day,” he says.

There are also repercussions from past years of instability remaining in people’s minds and affecting their perceptions of Lebanon, Ojeil says. “We need to promote more positive news in the country. Lebanon is fantastic and could be a destination for all kinds of tourism from medical to culinary, and it is safe now, so we should be promoting it,” he adds.

Boulad also speaks of the perception of Lebanon among an international audience as the main difficulty he faces in promoting O Monot and Lebanon. “Perception of the security situation is improving, but will always remain a challenge because people don’t see Lebanon as just Lebanon, they see it as part of the region,” he says, adding that negative media focus is a hindrance.

It is with all this in mind that those in the Lebanese hospitality sector are expecting a much improved season — but not a miracle. “For me, if hotels are running at an average of 80 percent occupancy for the whole summer, then I would consider that very good,” concludes Edholm.