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AdvertisingEconomics & Policy

Sibling rivalry

by Thomas Schellen April 3, 2012
written by Thomas Schellen

Each time the editorial calendar calls for coverage of the advertising industry, the same question pushes itself to my frontal lobe; it is not who, what, where, when, or even how that pains the mind but rather why journalists detest writing stories about advertising so instinctively and harbor such an intense dislike of the industry. It is a fundamental challenge. Whenever I access the finest international business publications I am dissatisfied with the quality of pieces on the advertising agencies, as if an undercurrent of derision runs invisibly through editorial departments. 

The first barrier against a professional treatment of the industry may be the fact that our profession can never quite shed the notion of its unhappy dependency. Ever since the income stream and economic viability of print journals shifted to advertising over readership, writers have worked under the bane that their job security is but a function of advertising sales. Worse, this perception of fiscal servitude can drive one to think that even top quality journalism is worth less than a nod from the ad department.

The best codes of journalistic conduct until now call for an impenetrable wall between the newsroom and the sales department to protect editorial freedom and objectivity. But even if that wall existed it would not solve the larger issue of economic dependency. On the other side, commercial media agencies need journalistic coverage, but often fail to appreciate where journalists do not see the story from the agency’s point of view.  

Against this background of unwelcome co-dependencies, it appears that hardnosed journalists and hardboiled ad people have another major barrier in, of all things, communications. The fuddle begins with overlapping words and concepts. When advertising leaders, or journalists, speak of media as their respective professional environments, they are talking about two very different things. They don’t often realize they are conversing about different fields using the same terms: miscommunication is inevitably the result. 

As advertising and marketing communications developed over the decades, public relations agencies have adopted the practice of producing texts that appear print ready for journalistic use — otherwise know as ‘press releases’. This almost naturally helped to proliferate the gutter press — the laziest of all professionals — with bottom-feeding journalists repeating these ready-made statements unquestioned. Advertising professionals, public relations practitioners and journalists all vie for attention of audiences using the same instruments of communication. All communications crafts seek to convey information and stir emotions. But journalists are prone to think that commercial media are driven by vulgar financial motives whereas we see journalism (other than the gutter variety) as being all about the noble hunt for hidden truths. Be that as it may, as commercial communicators and journalists are trying to occupy the same space in human minds using the same techniques, their ambitions and perceptions clash. 

At this point, a check of perceptions is in order. Ad industry leaders tell you that creativity is the backbone of what they do and that they like doing more meaningful things than selling soap. 

Public relations experts will tout that they don’t want to churn out press releases, explaining that the soul of their business is long-term conversations and strategic thinking. Journalists strive to get to the bottom of things, want to be concise and clear, to be relevant, impartial and independent. After meeting the same people every year for more than a decade, advertising professionals keep making soap commercials, PR agencies are still blasting useless product announcements into my inbox and I still fail to be as concise as I want to be. 

The communications profession is still an uncomfortable ménage a trois where everyone can stand in everybody’s way, or benefit the others. In my view, the future of quality journalism will be written with the approach of an honest stakeholder. If we are worth our salt as ad and PR people and journalists, it will be clear to us that we are all on the same wagon; a wagon we ought to begin steering from mutual deception toward constructive interdependence. Executive is committed to this approach in communicating our stories on the advertising industry.

April 3, 2012 0 comments
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AdvertisingEconomics & Policy

A revolution’s commercial openings

by Rayya Salem April 3, 2012
written by Rayya Salem

Following the global economic crisis, the Arab uprisings of last year have been felt like a body-shot combination in the solar plexus for the advertising industry in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA). Though winded by the beating, the industry is still on its feet, and is exploring new opportunities the turmoil has created to get moving again.  

Take Egypt for example, the regions’s fifth largest market, where ad spending fell 37 percent in 2011; that belies an impressive recovery in the second half of the year after declines of more than 50 percent year-on-year in the first and second quarter, according to Neilsen Global Adview Pulse data and the Pan Arab Research Center respectively.

“The problem is this [‘Arab Spring’] came in the wake of the remnants of financial struggle,” said Roy Haddad, chairman of JWT Mena. “The environment is not conducive to a high level of investments. Clients are maintaining their strategies rather than implementing aggressive ones.” 

Although most mediums of ad space in countries hit by civil unrest experienced a fall in revenues, the bright spot is that advertisers found a new pool of energetic customers to target — internet users, many of whom are seeking fresh information regarding their countries’ vulnerable conditions. Rayan Karaky, managing director at Vivaki Digital, confirmed that there was an enormous drop in spending  in countries like Egypt, but that recovery has been quick, partly due to robust ad budgets of some of its larger clients like Samsung and Coca Cola, while Procter & Gamble have increased their budgets. 

New horizons

Thanks to Egypt’s development of its internet infrastructure, which had progressed in the lead up to the civil unrest, capacity was able to expand greatly when the revolution encouraged many first-time users to log on. By the end of 2011, Internet penetration grew to 25 percent, according to the Egyptian arm of the global research firm TNS. The Internet remains the second most-used media source in Egypt after television, where about 15 new TV stations popped up last year, creating more ad space. 

“Usage exploded in Egypt and we have seen an increase in advertising related to that,” said Ari Kesisoglu, regional director for Google in the MENA, who added that the online advertising market in the region has grown to some $170 million, exhibiting 40 percent growth year-on-year, a rate he expects to continue. According to Ipsos Stat, a regional research firm, $70 million of that online spending was funneled into Google’s online ad platform AdWords. 

Google searches increased by roughly 30 percent and advertising revenues shot up by 118 percent in 2011, according to Carlo D’Asaro Biondo, Google’s president for Southern and Eastern Europe as well as the MENA, who made the remarks at a November 23 press conference.  Hussein Freijeh, commercial director at Yahoo Middle East, says long-term prospects for ad revenue are good, given Egypt’s rapidly increasing usage. “Over the first three to nine months, of course, there was a freeze of spending in Egypt and some of the pan regional spending because the consumption of media was focused on news and not sports and entertainment.” But in the long term, its users increased, and its news destination experienced double the traffic, mainly in markets where there was unrest like Egypt, he said. As nearly 36 million people visit Yahoo’s homepage in Arabic, that makes it the third most visited of all 22 Yahoo homepages after the US and Taiwan.

Diverted spending

Tourism took the hardest fall in countries like Tunisia and Egypt, with the latter’s visitors down by roughly a third and thus ad spending for related sectors almost vanished, with other industries also blindsided by the after effects of the Arab uprisings. 

“Real estate has disappeared in Egypt, the banking sector has reduced its spending, and Syria has stopped spending,” said Haddad. JWT Cairo’s country client officer, Mohammed Sabry, added that spending also decreased in the automotive sector but is stable in the telecommunications industry as more Arab countries open their markets to private competitors. 

The United Arab Emirates has received a lot of the tourism that these countries have lost, where some airlines created new routing destinations and budget airlines also increased their ad spending.

“Egypt’s tourism board stopped spending as much, but Etihad and Gulf airlines have increased online ad spending, as did the Abu Dhabi Tourism Board and Qatar Airways,” said Yahoo’s Freijeh, who pointed out that they had all increased their ad spending on Yahoo by 100 percent.

While in times of crisis it is common to have a growth in promotions rather than traditional brand-building, according to Haddad, some big name brands took the risk and used revolution-inspired images to redefine their brand. 

Vodaphone, Mobinil and Coca Cola are among those that began using ads that incorporated emotional attachment to patriotism. 

Still costs to incur

Since revenue predictions still have a ways to go in terms of recovery, the smaller income pool means competition between agencies and media companies is more fierce. Therefore, executives affirmed that talent, training, and research would play a larger role in their internal strategies.

“Things that add a real added value to our clients, like reinvestment in research to know how effective the advertisement is, or like training budget, we don’t touch,” said Haddad, adding, “We look at savings in other areas.” Media sites like Yahoo and Google are also sharpening their products and expanding their MENA staff, to serve both their consumers and their advertising clients alike. 

“We are hiring at a significant pace — last year we more than doubled our headcount for MENA operations, including people working outside the region,” said Kesisoglu. In regards to Yahoo, which currently has 97 people on its ad team, Freijeh said, “This year, the big investment is 47 open headcounts in Yahoo in the Middle East. Egypt will be a big focus for us.” 

To kick start ad revenue five months after the crisis while implementing a long-term approach, Yahoo created a market development team in November that works with agencies and major clients to try to help them understand the gaps in their strategy. 

Still, Haddad points out that in this tough environment, the only way forward is to diversify. “We are more and more telling our clients that one channel is not enough to access your consumer. Look at multiple channel approach and be more effective.”

Looking ahead

2012 will likely be a recovery year for Egypt, assuming things stay stable, according to the experts Executive spoke to. The hope is that a booming digital market will carry things forward and Vivaci’s Karaky thinks Egypt’s market will grow in the double digits, albeit out of the doldrums of 2011. He’s also betting that the fastest growing markets in MENA will be Iraq and Kuwait, where telecoms are the biggest advertisers and will fight for media space as the private market opens up.

Yahoo’s Hussein predicts a 25 percent year-on-year growth in 2012 in terms of ad spending online, while forecasting a 5 percent growth in spending in the overall advertising industry, of which the online share is 2 to 4 percent.

Thus, the future will undoubtedly see companies continue to expand their marketing and imaging campaigns through digital and social media. “The Vodafone/Facebook page has just under 1.2 million likes. Nokia Egypt has almost 900,000 likes on its Facebook page and integrates changes based on the comments,” JWT’s Sabry says. “More and more clients want that.”

April 3, 2012 0 comments
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AdvertisingEconomics & Policy

The mechanics of creativity

by Thomas Schellen April 3, 2012
written by Thomas Schellen

A starving artist is a good artist. That romantic but ludicrous notion has been retired in the last century, but the view that harsh times bring more creativity in business may still ring true. The Middle East advertising industry, which has experienced a range of economic challenges since 2008, has started 2012 on quite humble footing. 

In February 2011, regional advertising leaders told Executive that they were expecting a growth year in 2011 despite sharing their uncertainty over how the Egyptian uprising would play out, yet the voices this year are very solemn when it comes to business performance.

Hard knocks in 2011  

“Some of us hate to admit it but the reality is that the business is facing challenges. Our memories tend to be short but the reality is that the Middle East advertising industry went through one exodus after the other,” said Ramzi Raad, chairman and chief executive of TBWA/Raad, an affiliate of New York-based Omnicom Group, which in 2011 reported almost $14 billion in global revenue, one of  highest turnovers in the world of marketing communications conglomerates. “In 2011, the [so called] Arab Spring brought a new reality to the Arab world which people tend to underplay but whenever the brand product was affected, so was the business.” 

Joe Ghossoub, the chairman and chief executive of Menacom Group, which is affiliated with WPP, agreed. “This thing [the Arab uprisings] has not settled yet and my prediction for 2012 is that there will also be extra pressures on revenues and at the same time on performance.” 

Others take a graver view of the year to come. “There was no growth in 2011 — if we take the MENA region as a whole, drops were more acute in some markets than in others but there was an overall drop,” said Raja Trad, chief executive for Leo Burnett’s MENA branch. “All the projections for 2012 also suggest that there will be no growth,” he added, citing reports by regional firm Pan Arab Research Center (PARC) and by Zenith Optimedia, an international reference on advertising industry performance and projection. Leo Burnett and Zenith Optimedia are both members of Paris-based Publicis Group, the world’s third largest advertising conglomerate by 2011 turnover, reported at $7.6 billion.

The tenor of the regional industry leaders carries over at DDB Gulf, an agency formed in February 2011 in Dubai with a lot of fanfare in an internal consolidation under the DDB network, which is also part of Omnicom. Business wise, the agency’s road last year was “financially very challenging” even as the internal integration of the merged units was smooth, conceded DDB’s chief executive Ajay Shrikhande. Pointing to regional factors, he said, “2011 was challenging for all in the industry and the events of the [so called] Arab Spring impacted marketing budgets and marketing expenditures.”

A different Dubai

Dubai, of course, is not quite what it used to be a few years ago for the regional advertising industry. In a few gold rush years from about 2005 to 2008, business growth for marketing communications groups in the Gulf Cooperation Council, and especially in Dubai, was so heated that headcounts grew much faster than what was good for quality. 

That expansion stopped cold when marketing budgets of property developers were hit by the implosion of the United Arab Emirates real estate bubble. In 2009-10, signs stood on regrouping, weeding out the overgrown departments, and building new enthusiasm. Then came 2011 and new business woes, mixing regional and international uncertainties into a year where, according to Trad, advertising companies “are still living in turbulence and need to pass through the difficult times… to see how things are going to settle.”

However, industry leaders express enthusiastic remarks rather than grave concerns when it comes to describing the quality of their industry’s labors in 2011. And they are even more hopeful for 2012, as they show praise for creative teams instead of looking bleakly on the dark projections for this year. 

Speaking on the sidelines of the MENA Cristal advertising awards, Tarek Miknas, chief executive of Promoseven Group, which is affiliated with the fourth-largest global advertising conglomerate by turnover, Interpublic, said: “Year after year, the work coming from our region is getting better. And that’s great for all of us in the industry.” 

Christian Crappe, chief executive of the Cristal Festival Network and organizer of the MENA Cristal, concurred. “Over the last years,  creativity has been improving every year. If you review the last five years, you can be sure that the creativity has improved a lot,” he said. 

Menacom Chairman Ghossoub argued that the economic pressures, as much as they press down on the industry, are good for discerning the most creative people. “Definitely the pressure is on the ‘creatives’ today to deliver immediate or short-term results. This is where you can pick out the good creatives, because from my point of view a creative has to be able to work in any environment,” he said. 

Commercial Darwinism 

The crisis could thus facilitate more positive growth in the region’s advertising and communication industry, creating something more impressive than ever. According to what advertising leaders told Executive, the rise in quality is going to continue on the strength of two factors. 

The first is that the Arab uprisings, while accounting for a big part of the industry’s economic worries in 2011 and 2012, has liberated creative flows, and the second is the growth of digital advertising, the use of online space that has finally started happening in the MENA region.  

The latter expectation has been voiced at every advertising conference in the past few years, only to be followed until now by embarrassingly low actual allocations of advertising budgets to digital in each of the past five years. While online marketing options were compelling, for example, in Europe, they accounted still for less than five percent of budgets in MENA last year.

This time, the industry members talk as if they are convinced that digital growth is happening, especially if they say, as Shrikhande did, that the shift to online will not necessarily increase industry revenues. “I expect that the initial part of the shift into digital media will be reducing the total marketing expenditure,” he told Executive.  

According to Trad, Ghossoub, Miknas, and Raad, the combined experiences of economic hardship and the outpouring of the Arab uprisings are guarantors of a more creative future in the region’s advertising industry. 

In Raad’s view, the creativity is now in the hands of a new generation of advertisers and what is needed most at this time is for decision makers and their clients, the advertisers, to catch the new spirit. As creativity has been liberated, he said, “Nothing is going to stop it except the disappointments when you develop great campaigns and clients do not buy them.”

April 3, 2012 0 comments
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AdvertisingEconomics & Policy

Complementary or contradictory

by Majdi Al-Ayed April 3, 2012
written by Majdi Al-Ayed

Public relations and advertising seem to have similar aims. As a result, there is a perception in the market that they compete with or replace one another — that one is better than the other or, worse, that they are somehow the same — that PR is advertising in sheep’s clothing or a cheap form of promotion. This misperception persists, particularly in underdeveloped markets. In the developed world the practice of public relations was given a place at the adults’ table some time ago, to a large extent on the strength of its evolution into a diverse and sophisticated set of practices – public policy communications, social impact campaigns, lobbying, government relations, crisis and issues management and now social media. 

In the Middle East and much of the developing world these misperceptions are entrenched because PR emerged from advertising. One of the early pioneers of the Middle East PR industry confessed to a colleague, “When we started up in the 1970s we honestly didn’t know the difference between public relations and advertising. We thought advertising was the same as PR. It took us a while to understand the difference.” Twenty years ago, advertising companies would leverage ad spending to get free editorial placement to please existing clients, with editorials written by advertising copywriters. The first PR agencies in the region were corridor companies of advertising groups.

As late as the 1990s obsequious articles celebrating a CEO’s latest trip to Europe or America or “press releases” extolling the wonders of some product or other, garnished with ad copy hyperbole, passed for PR editorial in much of the Middle Eastern media. Thankfully, those days are fading but the image of PR as a poor relation of advertising has persisted with both clients and the media and is reinforced by advertising and PR agencies and clients. 

The benefits of PR

Advertising groups try bundling PR services into “integrated communications” packages, and it is no surprise they tend to be skewed toward advertising where the big bucks are. Back in the ‘90s one of our managing directors served as COO in one of these Middle East advertising-cum-PR groups and would sit by helplessly at a pitch for PR and watch the CEO spend the whole presentation trying to convince the client to advertise. Even today there are still one or two advertising groups that win business by providing free or heavily discounted “PR services” as part of the overall advertising and media placement offering. Needless to say, the “PR services” they offer are inherently limited. This situation exists because many clients remain clueless as to what the practice of public relations actually is and to a very great extent this is the fault of the PR industry.

Too many PR agencies become reactive press release factories with event management on the side, living up to the old stereotypes. Instead of educating clients as to what public relations is actually about and what the practice can do best (if they even know), these companies fall right into the reactive trap of churning out a stream of product placement and promotional releases on demand without any kind of sustainable strategy or coherent planning. Many clients insist their agencies distribute stories that have absolutely no news value. This has led to the idea that a good agency is one that can get anything into the media through personal relations. This is bad practice, which alienates media already inundated with press releases.

Clients, ad men and PR agencies all need to understand what PR can do. PR can build a brand by telling a story — we are storytellers. We develop key messages that define an organization and drive awareness. We can address complex issues and handle crises. We invest communications with credibility through genuine business news and can cover multiple aspects of an organization cost-effectively. We can influence public policy and advocate social change. 

Public relations and advertising are both essential elements in the communications mix but they are entirely distinct disciplines that need to be separated at the hip in order to function effectively. Once separated, the two disciplines at their best can build and sustain brand awareness for the organizations they serve.

April 3, 2012 0 comments
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AdvertisingEconomics & Policy

The rewards of risk

by Rayya Salem April 3, 2012
written by Rayya Salem

Rizkgroup, a Beirut-based communications and advertising holding, has played a high stakes game in recent years that few other firms have dared follow. Since 2007, the Rizkgroup has expanded in four markets: First, they opened in Damascus; then they plotted a course to Sanaa in 2008, and from there leapt into Khartoum the next year. To top off their lineup of new territories, they ventured in 2010 into Kabul. From 2010 onward, Rizkgroup has also launched a new group company, Rizk Public Relations (RPR) and this year, engaged into a corporate match-to-be-married with Havas, the French communications conglomerate that carries the name of the world’s oldest news agency and has major international interests in advertising, digital, and corporate communications services.    

Afghanistan, Sudan, Yemen, and Syria are among the most risky places a company can get into in this period of history. But while Syria’s implosion in 2011 was an unexpected setback for Rizkgroup’s business, the group achieved five-fold growth of its turnover in venturing into the peripheral markets on the advertising globe.   

“The higher the risk, the higher the reward,” said Alain Rizk, chief executive of the group which was founded by his father, Andre, in 1965. 

Rizkgroup declined to provide Executive with figures that would substantiate the growth claim, volunteering only that turnover increased from “a few million [dollars] to many millions.”

According to Mark Daou, chief operating officer for the group’s overseas business units, the company took a long-term view when it began international expansion in 2007 to transform itself from a mid-sized Lebanese agency into a global network. “In 2008 when everyone was locking down, we invested in emerging markets and we gained size and ability because of that,” he said. 

As Rizk explained it, the group’s base of clients in the Lebanese market is comprised of about 60 percent domestic companies, reflecting its corporate view that advertising has to be local. “The more local clients an agency has, the more sustainable it is.”

A number of these local clients, however, have far-flung market interests in the Arab world and Africa, and this was a factor in setting the direction of Rizkgroup’s path of territorial expansion.

“The reason why we go to Africa, or other ‘dangerous’ territories, is that our clients take us there,” Rizk said, adding that networking in these markets worked in favor of growth more than the Lebanese connection that opened the door. “One thing leads to another. The Lebanese connection perhaps gets you there and then you meet local clients and this is how you network.”

Changing dance partners

The regional expansion and shifting ambitions of the venture resulted in Rizkgroup reassessing its regional affiliation whereby it represented the global clients of the TBWA network in the Lebanese market — TBWA being an agency owned by the US-based Omnicom Group which in 2011 was the world’s second largest advertising conglomerate by turnover and profits. The affiliation also allowed Rizkgroup to access some of TBWA’s global resources such as training and client contacts. 

The Beirut partnership between TBWA and Rizkgroup had been in place from 2001 until the end of last year. As Rizkgroup managers implied in their conversations with Executive, synergies decreased during the latter part of the relationship and divergences of interest grew. The group and TBWA terminated the partnership on “fairly amicable terms” after Rizkgroup explored new affiliation opportunities and found what they were looking for in the Havas Group. Havas, which has been in expansion mode since 2011, is in the second size tier of global communications conglomerates, one notch down from the quartet of mega groups WPP, Omnicom, Publicis and Interpublic which all commanded annual revenues above $7 billion in 2011, whereas the second tier raked in a mere $1.7 billion to $3.8 billion. 

Rizk said the fit of client typologies and locations with Havas is to its advantage. The current affiliation was devised to sell an equity stake of no more than 51 percent to Havas if both sides are satisfied with the development of the relationship in the coming two years. For the time being, the affiliation, which involves fees and profit sharing aspects that Rizk did not want to explain in any detail, gives Rizkgroup access to offices and creative teams of Havas and spans markets in central Asia, the Middle East, and North and East Africa. 

According to Rizk, the affiliation with Havas will allow the Lebanese group to service its clients in Qatar via the offices of its new partner. On this trajectory, Rizkgroup could become more active in places where TBWA’s presence excluded expansion under the previous partnership. This could also mean that Rizkgroup may find itself competing against TBWA in Gulf and Levant markets. 

Although Havas did not publish a statement to news media on its rationale and target of the affiliation with Rizkgroup, growth in emerging markets and in digital communications seems to be the fit that makes the Lebanese group interesting to the French conglomerate. 

While, according to Havas’ March 1 announcement of 2011 results, more than 50 percent of the group’s 1.65 billion euros in revenue ($2.2 billion) were from Europe and only about 16 percent from emerging markets, growth last year was weakest in France and other European markets and strongest in emerging markets, led by Latin America. Highlights of 2011 in terms of newly established units, network takeovers and acquisition of new clients by Havas did not mention the Middle East and Africa regions. 

“We are still true to our original position that we are a local company but we are bringing in an international company. When I say local it means we work our clients locally in every country we are in.” Rizk said, adding: “When you own 49 percent of the company you still care for profits, you still wake up early every day and work for your clients.”

Daou, who is one of two non-family shareholders in Rizkgroup, expects business logic and ambitions of expansion to determine the details of any equity sale and shareholding agreement. 

He said that the company’s business doubled in Lebanon in the past five years but all other growth originated from its international operations. He also said that the advertising market in Lebanon is unlikely to expand in the near future and that growth prospects lie abroad, including long-term growth of the client base in Syria. 

In Yemen, the group is maintaining and servicing its clients while anticipating new business to emerge possibly from next year on. Advertising markets in Sudan are poised for growth in the nearer term and Rizkgroup is looking at setting up a presence in the young Republic of South Sudan, along with mulling expansions into North African markets in Egypt, Libya or other countries. 

Another geography on which the group has set its risk-friendly sights is the Horn of Africa. This region entails the countries of Ethiopia, Djibouti, Eritrea, and Somalia. Apart from this, Rizkgroup is pursuing diversification of its capabilities in the rising public relations side of the regional communications industry by investing in and expanding the PR offerings to all offices in the network.  

“In the public relations work, the growth rate is especially excellent and we are forecasting 80 to 90 percent growth,” said Daou. “We are looking at transferring the PR service properly to our entire network, developing new revenue streams in all those offices.”

Thus, for the moment the Rizkgroup seems to have no intention pulling out of the highs stakes game — whether the payoffs continues will likely depends on how well they can keep track of the wild cards.

April 3, 2012 0 comments
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AdvertisingEconomics & Policy

A direct line to the big time

by Thomas Schellen April 3, 2012
written by Thomas Schellen

Digital has dominated the discussion in the world’s advertising industry recently, but in the Middle East, the economic adoption of cyber marketing has occured haltingly: spending on electronic advertising in 2011 still thrashed about in low percentages of marketing budgets.  However, this did not void the region entirely of success stories in the digital marketing sphere. The acquisition of a Dubai-based specialist digital communications agency, Flip Media, by French communications company Publicis, shows that digital marketing in the Middle East could finally be catching fire.

Flipping through crisis

Although it does not give out financial performance numbers, Flip boasts clear indicators of success: after some eight years of operation, the company numbers more than 100 employees in the United Arab Emirates and India, and its UAE client base includes some of the biggest local brands. “We have worked with big UAE real estate brands such as Dubai Properties, Emaar, Nakheel, and Sorouh,”  CEO Yousef Tuqan told Executive. The Abu Dhabi-based media zone ‘Twofour54’ was another high-profile account and Emirates Air was the company’s largest client for three years. Moreover, a substantial total number of projects testified to Flip’s broad appeal in the market. “I believe we worked with 109 individual clients last year,” Tuqan said.  

The fact that Flip, despite depending on real estate developers for a very significant portion of its business, survived the 2009 crash of UAE real estate advertising budgets with only moderate downsizing — which Tuqan said was a reduction from 160 to about 150 employees — also speaks for the company’s acumen. An even weightier indicator of Flip’s potential is the process by which the regional leadership of Leo Burnett, core advertising agency in Publicis, developed an interest in the company.

Digital partners

After taking the first initiative to transform Leo Burnett into a digital agency five years ago, Chief Executive Raja Trad sought to progress the agency even further: “I wanted to strengthen this offering even more and so I came to the [Publicis] group and suggested that we would like to buy Flip Media. The group took our recommendation and we have Flip as part of Leo Burnett today. We did it first of all because we believe in digital and secondly we believe in Flip Media.” Trad explained that the group approached Flip “under an initiative of the management of Leo Burnett in the MENA region because we understand the market very well.” The initiative was further based on good experiences with the digital agency’s performance in some assignments which Leo Burnett had farmed out to them. “There are common beliefs between us and them. The culture is there, the chemistry is there,” he said. Flip had geared itself pretty much from inception toward teaming up with a big player. “What we knew very early on when we started our business was that agencies have a trajectory where they grow very quickly in the first few years and then, if they don’t make a significant leap between six and eight years of age, they go stale,” Tuqan said. “We have grown very rapidly in the last few years but we have always known that to take the agency to the next level, we need to be integrated into a larger communications company.”

How that next level will be shaped in operational detail is still “quite an open-ended requirement,” he added. “Right now, there is a lot we need to do in terms of aligning our people and aligning our businesses before we can put a very clear and definite answer on how that is going to go.”

According to Trad, the next steps in hammering out collaboration with Leo Burnett are now being sorted out in intense strategic communications, mainly between Trad and Tuqan, but the new relationship is already economically productive. “Flip is already engaging in serious engagements with clients of ours in Saudi Arabia because we have extended the services of Flip to our clients in Saudi Arabia and to one of our major multinational accounts,” Trad said. 

“We have a very clear strategic thinking planned with Flip,” Trad said, elaborating that this thinking entails learning from each other and progressive integration between the two organizations, with Leo Burnett taking the creative lead.  Trad and Tuqan both emphasized that Flip will remain a standalone digital brand agency for the moment, but Tuqan signaled expectations that this duality of names could last for some period. “I think we got a few years,” said Tuqan. “The thing for us is that the Flip brand is very strong and well known; we worked very hard to build a very good reputation for ourselves over the last eight years. It would be foolish for us to throw that away in order to be swallowed up by another advertising agency.” 

He also pointed out that continued separation would help avoid conflict of client interests.   Dilemmas regarding contradicting client interests are a common factor behind the multiplicity of agencies and units with similar operating profiles in the big communications conglomerates. However, the trend currently seems to point in the general direction of some simplification and streamlining of the convoluted global networks. For example, the Havas Group last month simplified its structure and dropped the Euro RSCG name, with chief executive David Jones giving as a reason that the group wanted to demonstrate that it was better integrated than its larger rivals. In Trad’s description, potential conflicts of client interests in the Leo Burnett-Flip setting are not likely and there is presently only one scenario of competing clients, as Flip works for Sony and Leo Burnett handles Samsung.    

One enticing sideline aspect of Flip’s beginning as a Dubai-based startup is that it did not involve a UAE or Gulf-based financial investor’s eminence in the background. The founders were Indian and German, focused on tech and business, respectively, who hit the market before they were 30. Together with Tuqan, who joined Flip as CEO in 2005, the company builders combined three distinct skill sets and meshed strengths of three diverse cultures, merging successfully into a high-growth venture in the Dubai business laboratory under the economic benefits of the emirate’s Free Zone formula. 

According to Tuqan, the cultural mix of the founding period crucially helped the company in combining Indian tech ingenuity and rigorous German business processes with his market understanding as an Arab, as well as with the company’s uncommon success operating on bi-local terms, with currently 40 employees in the UAE and about 75 in India.

Spreading the business

The founders of the company, included in the new structure as non-executive directors, have already reduced their direct involvement in managing Flip over the past few years. The current core management team, however, has maintained a strong multicultural character and achieved notable gender diversity, with two women in Flip’s five-person management team. 

Neither Tuqan nor Trad would volunteer even the slightest information on the financial side of the acquisition deal, depriving entrepreneurs in the online communications space of another clear benchmark.  

However, as Trad sees it, the addition of the digital agency and investment in Flip by the Publicis Group comes as a winning formula and at a winning time. “In my opinion, there is natural growth [in digital advertising] and I would agree that in two to three years, one third of advertising will be in digital,” he said. If that pans out, the founders of Flip will have realized significant returns in flipping the venture.

April 3, 2012 0 comments
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Finance

From Beirut to billions

by Maya Sioufi April 3, 2012
written by Maya Sioufi

From his office in Paris overlooking the Seine, 47-year-old Fady Michel Abouchalache, Chief Executive Officer of Quilvest group with $18 billion in assets under management, is proud to show off his latest art piece, a framed limited edition Hermes scarf with a large cedar specially produced for Lebanon.

Abouchalache spent his first 18 years in Lebanon, before emigrating to the United States where he earned a suma cum laude (the highest praise) graduate degree from the Wharton School of Business, an affiliate of the University of Pennsylvania, and a Masters in public administration from Harvard. Then, with experience as a senior manager at consulting firm Bain and Company and as a banker in the merger and acquisition department of Tucker Anthony, Abouchalache decided to leave behind the land of Uncle Sam’s financial sophistication to take a shot at evolving the financial markets in the underdeveloped Middle East. 

In 1998, along with two partners Fadi Majdalani and Sami Khoury, Abouchalache co-founded Beirut-based Delta Capital with the aim of pioneering private equity (PE) in the Middle East. At that time, there were only a few PE players in the region. Abouchalache and his partners faced several challenges, from highly volatile economies to the dot-com burst in capital markets, leading them to end their foray in the region’s PE market. 

“Our experience at that time was that the Middle East was not ready for PE,” says Abouchalache. Failing to be an initiator of PE in the region, Abouchalache headed back west, but this time a little closer to home, on the hunt for a career at a European based private equity firm. In 2001 his quest landed him a job at the Paris office of Quilvest, a global wealth manager and private equity investor whose history dates back more than a century. 

Abouchalache eventually became CEO of the group and of its private equity arm, Quilvest Private Equity. Under his leadership, the group’s assets under management grew from $5 billion to $18 billion, while Quilvest Private Equity, which has been around for 40 years, grew its assets from $400 million to $4 billion, with the aim of reaching $7 billion in the next five years. The PE’s 17 funds are all in the money with an average 15 to 20 percent annual return. 

“We don’t have one product that lost money in the past 11 years despite the crisis,” says Abouchalache with a smile. Now he has turned his sights back to the region. With his Middle Eastern background, he has helped Quilvest secure 20 percent of its funding from Middle East investors. The group started developing their focus on clients from the Middle East eight years ago, with a strong focus on Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates.

Though personally active in the region through, among other things, his membership on the board of Endeavor in Lebanon — a nonprofit organization dedicated to supporting high impact entrepreneurs in emerging markets — Abouchalache has not invested in private equity in the Middle East. 

“We have not closed the doors, we are very opportunistic but it is not our highest priority market at this point as it needs another five to 10 years of maturity,” he says, pointing to the shallow capital markets, political instability, a shaky legal framework for PE, and a lack of relative experience in the ranks of managers. 

When asked whether the Arab revolutions will change the landscape in the Middle East and create opportunities for entrepreneurs and small and medium enterprises, the central point of Quilvest’s investments, Abouchalache says “it is too early to tell,” and so for now he will continue to prudently tip-toe into the region while focusing on other regions that present more lucrative opportunities. 

Abouchalache expects Africa to be “the new kid on the block” in the PE industry. In the region, Turkey is the most interesting market, “by far ahead of the pack.” For Lebanon, his recommendations came as no great surprise: Abouchalache said he believes Lebanon could be an amazing incubator for start-ups and small companies, where they could reach a certain size and then develop abroad to eventually reduce their local exposure; but, he sees little potential in terms of big-ticket investments.  

The interview ends on a note of cautious optimism: Abouchalache says the first three months of the year have been promising for Quilvest, but while the performance of their portfolio of companies is pointing towards a recovery, the state of the world, financially and politically, leads even him to warn: “God knows whether this is sustainable or not.” 

April 3, 2012 0 comments
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Society

Pimp my Rolls

by Nadim Mehanna April 3, 2012
written by Nadim Mehanna

It is a truth universally acknowledged in the luxury goods market since the 2009 recession; people have become blasé about bling, and those who do spend on big name brands are looking for the narrative beyond the label. While customers cough up for coffee from Brazilian rainforests and rugs hand-knitted in Nepal, the canniest luxury brands are letting people build their own stories into high-end products. New figures released by Rolls-Royce in January prove the success of this strategy: last year 56 percent of customers who bought the carmaker’s latest Ghost model worldwide employed their ‘bespoke personalization’ service, a particular form of customization that is far removed from a paint job. In the Middle East, the proportion of Phantom cars sold with bespoke content rose from 75 percent in 2005 to 99 percent last year.

These numbers point to a new truth, exemplified by brands like Rolls, that top-drawer customers no longer buy from the showroom. Rolls has always had a customization service, but new trends are making those extra options an essential part of any Rolls purchase, rather than the whims of a few super-rich. 

It is all about control — Rolls’ website even features a standalone ‘configurator’ where color schemes and add-ons can be tried out virtually, from picnic tables and lambs’ wool foot mats to champagne sets and humidors, and from privacy glass to up to 44,000 different shades of paint. There is also the separate website 21stcenturylegends.com that shows videos of extraordinary stories about extraordinary motor cars. The message is unequivocal: these cars are unique, handcrafted, exceptional legends, and you, the customer, can write your own. Rolls’ new Phantom Coupé, the third newest model from Rolls since the BMW Group became custodians of the marque in 1998, has partly been driving the surge in Middle Eastern business, and will surely be a darling of 2012. At a stately five and a half meters long and two meters wide, the Phantom Coupé has all the Rolls-Royce trademarks: long bonnet, short front, long rear overhangs and large-diameter wheels, but with a more dynamic and rising profile. The inside is equipped with polished woods and hand-dyed leather, rear-hinged doors, picnic boot and fiber-optic-cable-studded rear cabin roof, giving the impression of a star-filled night sky. All this glamour conceals a 6.75-liter V12 engine that features advanced direct fuel injection with variable valve lift and timing. With 453 horsepower and maximum torque of 720 newton-meters at 3,500 rpm, the 2,590 kg Phantom Coupé offers an agile, fast, refined drive, accelerating from zero to 100 km/h in 5.8 seconds and reaching a limited top speed of 250 km/h. 

Whatever you choose to do to your Rolls, customization is no barrier to reselling it at a very respectable price — David Beckham’s black Phantom Drophead, which he bought in 2008, is now reportedly on the market in Los Angeles for $390,000. Wooden decking, 24-inch alloys and a black Spirit of Ecstasy make this car unique regardless of who owned it previously. For his part, Beckham will be back for another Rolls, and like 84 per cent of buyers in the North American market, he will be making sure it stands out as his own.

Customization is big business, not merely surface fripperies. Rolls confirmed earlier in January that its biggest sales ever were in 2011, up 23 percent in the Middle East. The new Phantom Coupé, with a suggested retail price of around $400,000 (excluding the additional Lebanese taxes and registration fees), has found a way to appeal to those customers for whom simply owning a Rolls isn’t enough — they need one they feel they have designed themselves. In case you needed any more proof, Rolls-Royce is expanding its United Kingdom manufacturing plant to keep up with worldwide demand, doubling its staff headcount on the bespoke program by the end of 2011. 

April 3, 2012 0 comments
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Finance

No longer happy to lend

by Maya Sioufi April 3, 2012
written by Maya Sioufi

The Lebanese government would be broke if it were not for the country’s banks. For decades the banks have lent to the sovereign to help make up the vast difference between money it spends and money it takes in. Of late, however, bankers have been increasingly vocal that they are no longer happy to lend money to a government that has shown no sign that it will ever be able to to pay the money back. 

“Banks can’t continue indefinitely financing the deficit and the high level of public expenditure without concrete reforms,” says Nassib Ghobril, chief economist at Byblos Bank. “Some banks have been very clear in that they are willing to renew maturing issues but not to subscribe to totally new issues.”

As of September 2011, Lebanon’s debt stood at $54.37 billion, according to the latest figures from the Ministry of Finance (MoF). Holding 50 percent Lebanon’s outstanding Treasury bills and 70 percent of its outstanding Eurobonds, the tab owed to local Lebanese banks amounted to $29.4 billion at the end of 2011, according to the Association of Banks in Lebanon. 

Given that the government has, for the sixth year running, failed to pass a national budget, while also recently upping spending through, among other things, implementing a wage increase package for most public sector workers without any offsetting revenue gain, there is little hope for a short-term reduction in the deficit or debt. Quite the opposite actually: with more than $12 billion in debt maturing this year — $2.35 billion in Eurobonds and LL15 trillion ($10 billion) in treasury bills — the MoF has stated it aims to raise $5 billion in Eurobonds and T-bills to cover the 2012 public deficit and the maturing debt.  

Tied to a stone

The exposure to the public debt is restricting the banks’ rating and constitutes a burden on their balance sheets,” says Ghobril. In short, lower credit ratings mean higher borrowing cost for the banks, but their credit ratings are effectively capped by those of the Lebanese government, given how much of the banks’ balance sheets are made up of Lebanese government debt.  

Nadim Kabbara, head of research at FFA Private Bank, concurs: “Most of the debt is held locally by commercial banks and the central bank and as such both the government and banks are joined at the hip.” In Moody’s December report on Lebanese banks, in which it downgraded the outlook on the sector from stable to negative, it stated that Lebanese banks’ “credit risk profile will continue to be closely linked to that of the Lebanese government.” 

With an estimated debt-to-gross domestic product ratio of 137 percent, Lebanon has one of the highest debt ratios in the world, which makes the banks’ exposure to this debt increasingly unsettling. 

“We had several moments in our recent history where we could have put in place reforms; clearly for political reasons those reforms have stalled,” says Khaled Zeidan, general manager at MedSecurities, a BankMed subsidiary.

Biting at the yields

Zeidan added, however, that rather than refusing new debt issues altogether,  “I expect banks will try to negotiate higher yields for the new bond issues with the Ministry of Finance.”

The average yield on a Eurobond in early March stood at 4.33 percent; yields on T-bills offered higher returns, with two-year T-bills returning 5.4 percent and five-year T-bills returning 6.2 percent. The International Monetary Fund recently published a report in which it argued for increased interest rates on T-bills that have a less than seven-year maturity, to compensate for the country’s higher risk and make them more attractive for local banks. Towards the end of last month yields began moving in that direction, with the yields on one-year, two-year and three-year T-bills increasing some 50 basis points in the weekly T-bill auction on March 22. 

Incestuous debt

In many ways the local banks are locked into continuing to lend to the government: having lent so much already, they can ill afford to even contemplate a sovereign default and thus are, in a sense, forced to step in to cover the budget shortfall if no one else will.

An alternative to local banks would be for international investors to fill the gap, but that is easier said than done. In August of last year, at the height of the Arab revolutions and the European debt crisis, Lebanon issued a $1.2 billion Eurobond, which saw international investors come in for 21 percent of the subscription, raising questions on whether they would be willing to subscribe again this year. 

“I don’t believe that foreign institutional investors today have sovereign Lebanese credit on their radar as yields on Lebanese debt are either similar or lower than other regional and emerging market sovereign issues,” says Zeidan. Marwan Abou Khalil, head of capital markets at BLOMINVEST Bank, expects that the international investor community would require the implementation of debt reforms as a main condition of any subscription. 

Looking ahead

After several years of double-digit deposit growth, local banks still managed to realize an 8 percent in 2011. While some $118 billion in deposits will keep Lebanon’s banks afloat on abundant liquidity, the prospects for more growth this year are quite dim as neighboring Syria remains in turmoil and the global economy fragile.  With slower deposit growth, interest spreads, the main source of banks’ income, need to widen to maintain the net income of banks. Raising their exposure to the sovereign debt without a risk-adjusted compensation will only squeeze banks’ balance sheets further, thus they are likely to demand better returns on money they lend the government. Higher yields would also provide banks with more leeway to increase rates on deposits. 

From the government’s perspective, higher yields entail higher debt payments, meaning the government is spending more money it has not yet figured out a way to earn, thus it will be reluctant to up its own cost of borrowing. 

Both sides have too much to lose to let the confrontation elevate to the level where the government is unable to pay its bills, but that does not mean there will not be some tense negotiations and brinkmanship, as the details of how it all plays out are of fundamental importance to everyone. 

April 3, 2012 0 comments
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Society

New kid rising?

by Yasser Akkaoui April 3, 2012
written by Yasser Akkaoui

The Lebanese love of loud engines and sleek curves has lured to its shores a classic automotive racing icon, Lotus. Lebanon is to be the brand’s launchpad into the flush markets of the Middle East, but by the admission of Group Lotus Chief Executive Officer Danny Bahar, “It’s going to be a challenge.”

A collaboration between Lebanon’s vehicle retailer Rasamn-Younis Motor Company (RYMCO) and real estate developers Zardman will bring to Beirut the first Lotus showroom in the Middle East. As any car enthusiast knows well, the arrival of Lotus means the challenge is on for them to take on Porsche, which is a long established and well-respected brand in the region.

“We spent a lot of time studying Porsche drivers, because they take a lot of things as a given,” said Bahar while talking to Executive. Lotus may carry the prestige of British racing heritage, but now that the not-so-glamorous Malaysian firm, Proton, owns them, their work is cut out to match the pedigree of their German counterpart.   

“If you compare the 2012 and the 2009 Evora they are two different cars and we’ve been working harder and harder to get closer to the expectations of the Porsche driver,” said Bahar. Even if Lotus is striving to hit the mark that will win over the loyalty of discerning drivers, the group’s CEO is adamant that they are no copycat outfit. 

“We are trying to have a differentiation strategy… The Lotus car will always be different,” he explains. What’s more he reasons that the lotus driver will get an experience at a price they would not find elsewhere.  

However, in this regard there are conflicting messages coming from the firm. The 911 has carried the history and style of Porsche for near-on 50 years to which Bahar concedes, “You cannot compare. The Evora is to compete with the Boxter and the Cayman, not the 911.” But the Evora price tag of around $60,000 is encroaching what one would expect to pay to get the 911 off the forecourt. 

“The price [for the Evora] is closer to the 911, the horsepower is closer to the 911,” says Baher, not to mention the speed and size are comparable to the 911, and yet we are told the car is competing with the smaller Porsche siblings.

As Lotus enters into the Middle East it is banking on the deep pocket of the region’s automobile enthusiasts to help lift global sales from the current level of 2,500 to 3,000 cars per year, past the breakeven point of 4,000, and into the profit making regions of 6,000 sales per annum.

“We decided three months ago to move to the Middle East and chose Lebanon as our base. I believe if we continue our aggressive strategy we should be able to sell 400 cars in the region every year,” explains Bahar. “We expect the United Arab Emirates to be the biggest market and Saudi Arabia and Lebanon look promising as well.” 

To match the territorial expansion Lotus is pushing for a “total evolution of the brand” in the coming two to three years, including a radical change to the Evora. The flagship model currently has a Toyota Camry engine but Baher said, “In 2013 it will be one of the finest cars. We are even going to change the gearbox and so many other things. It will be a totally different car.”

This is exciting news for Lotus enthusiasts but it must leave any potential buyer wondering why buy an Evora now when next year “a totally different”, and superior, car will be hitting the tarmac. 

Even if there seems to be a lack of clarity in the company’s strategy of attack, Lotus does create cars of distinction that inspire admiration from passers by and exhilaration in the driver. Indeed, in the Evora they have managed to build a thrilling and refined car.

While Lotus carries a legacy of sporting dynamism, the test is on to see if that spirit will deliver the company success in Lebanon and the wider Middle East. 

April 3, 2012 0 comments
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Since its first edition emerged on the newsstands in 1999, Executive Magazine has been dedicated to providing its readers with the most up-to-date local and regional business news. Executive is a monthly business magazine that offers readers in-depth analyses on the Lebanese world of commerce, covering all the major sectors – from banking, finance, and insurance to technology, tourism, hospitality, media, and retail.

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